Lecture 05 - Portfolio Analysis.pptx

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    Lecture Session

    5

    Portfolio Analysis

    Dr K. Sankaran

    Director

    Justice KS Hegde Management Institute

    Nitte, Karnataka

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    - Each business has different financial characteristics

    - They offer different strategic options

    - Examine them separately

    - The only extent of tie-up between businesses would be

    for Cash flow from one to another

    - The transfer depends upon whether the recipientdesigned for market share expansion

    PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS

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    Two Considerations

    - Growth of the business (prospects of the industry)

    What is the rate of growth of the industry

    - Relative Market share (strength of the SBU)Relative Market Position (Share of the SBU/ Share of the

    largest other competitor

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    Business

    Growth

    Rate

    Relative Competitive Position

    High Low

    High

    Low

    StarsQuestion

    Marks

    Cash Cows Dogs

    BCG GROWTH -SHARE MATRIX

    vv

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    Business Strategy

    Cash Cows: Insist on high profitability, least capital spending,tight financial control for cost leadership

    Stars: Plough back returns towards capital spending to

    maintain share, build for future

    Question Marks: Identify which would become stars (and

    invest in market share) and which dogs (insist on minimum

    returns and divest opportunistically)

    Dogs: No capital spending, be aware of any cross subsidy,

    insist on minimum returns, divest away ASAP

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    Corporate Strategy- Evolve separate business strategies for each business

    -Try evolving the mix towards having big cash cows and having

    the stars who will in turn become cash cows in future.

    -Similarly have some question marks that will turn out to be

    Stars at some later date.

    -Divest selected question marks and dogs when opportunity

    arises

    -Keep a healthy mix with the eye on the future

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    BCG-Type Matrix Models - Advantages

    Tells what to do with different businesses

    Allows for tracking changes. Can be used a control mechanism

    Sends the message that differential performance of Businesses canonly be expected.

    Allows for balance in terms of cash flow management

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    BCG-Type Matrix Models - Disadvantages

    It tells you what to do with existing businesses. It does

    not tell what to acquire.

    It ignore synergy. Assumes no tie-ins between businesses

    It does not take into account the need for balancing the portfolio and

    diversifying risk

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    Modifications to BCG-Type Matrix Models

    Map potential companies that could be acquired.

    Develop a separate matrix that shows how the businesses are

    dependent upon each other. Be aware of these connections before

    suggesting any change in the portfolio/ divestment

    Ask whether balancing is one of the objectives. If yes, connect up

    these businesses like above.

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    Engineering

    Engineering +Supervision

    Engineering

    Procurement

    Construction

    Maintenance services

    Audits & Certifications

    Safety, Energy, Env. etc.

    Other services1

    Domestic

    Govt.

    Domestic

    Private

    South

    AsiaMiddle

    East

    Developed

    Currently Served Product Market Segments

    Products Markets

    K. Sankaran, IMI

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    Profitability

    = say billing per

    Actual hours

    Innovative Learning Opportunities/ Future billing

    Circle

    represents product-

    market segments

    Size of circle represents

    annual profit from the

    respective segment

    EXIT

    MAINTAIN

    IMPROVE

    PROFITABILITY

    K. Sankaran, IMI

    Portfolio Spread of projects

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    Standardization of

    engineering inputs/

    reusable code

    Spreading of fixed costs

    Higher hourly realization

    Increase ProfitabilityIncrease Volumes

    Marketing Effort -

    Focus on profitable

    Product-Market Segments

    Increase Profits in Existing Product Markets served

    K. Sankaran, IMI

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    Increase Profits in

    Existing Product

    Markets served

    Attractive markets with

    no presence today hasexpertise

    New markets

    Develop expertise

    Extent of commitment to innovations required

    TimeFrame

    K. Sankaran, IMI

    Existing Markets

    New expertise

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    Engineering

    Engineering +Supervision

    Engineering

    Procurement

    Construction

    Maintenance services

    Audits & Certifications

    Safety, Energy, Env. etc.

    Other services1

    Domestic

    Govt.

    Domestic

    Private

    South

    AsiaMiddle

    East

    Developed

    Has Expertise But Attractive Markets Not served

    Products Markets

    K. Sankaran, IMI

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    Expertise 1

    Expertise 2

    Etc.

    Etc.

    Domestic

    Govt.

    Domestic

    Private

    South

    AsiaMiddle

    East

    Developed

    Existing Markets No Expertise

    Products Markets

    K. Sankaran, IMI

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    Innovative IT solutions for

    engineering

    Smart Buildings

    Alternative Energy

    Energy Efficient Transport

    Infrastructure

    Infrastructure projects

    (BOT, BOOT)

    Others

    DomesticSouth

    Asia

    Middle

    EastDeveloped

    New Expertise New Markets

    Products Markets

    K. Sankaran, IMI

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    Markets Demand SideFiction Non

    Fiction

    Study

    Material

    Reference

    Industries-Supply

    Side

    (Usually

    Product

    Based)

    Books

    Software

    Magazines

    Another Firm - Book Publisher