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Lecture 6 Production Decisions

Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

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Page 1: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Lecture 6

Production Decisions

Page 2: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Goals and economic benefits from production

• What are the goals of production?– Some productive activities may be motivated by extrinsic

benefits– Some may be motivated by intrinsic benefits– Some, by both

• There are different types of benefits coming from production:– Internal benefits: the benefits of a project based only on the

perspective of the economic decision maker – External benefits: the benefits of a project that accrue to

persons or entities that are not among the economic actors directly responsible for the activity (Ex: environment)

Page 3: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Weighing costs and benefits

• Net benefits: total benefits minus total costs (if it is social benefits-social costs, then it is a measure leading to social efficiency)

• Cost-benefit analysis: a procedure often used by governments for attempting to determine the net benefits of proposed projects– BUT: Some costs and benefits are not easy to measure

in monetary terms!

Page 4: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Marginal thinking

• Marginal thinking: Evaluating incremental (small) changes in production (or input use) levels in order to find an optimum

• If we take the actions of a producer up to a certain point in time as given, the producer’s decision will only depend on marginal cost and marginal benefit– Marginal benefit: the extra benefit that accrues from

producing the last unit of output

• The rule : Net benefits are maximized when producers engage in an activity up to the point where MB equals MC

Page 5: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Marginal thinking in case of profit maximization

Page 6: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Total CostCurve

20

40

60

80

100

120

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160

180

200

9876543210

Quantity of Hair Dryers

Co

st (

$)

Marginal thinking in case of profit maximization

Page 7: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Total RevenueCurve

20

40

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Quantity of Hair Dryers

Rev

enu

e (

$)

Slope = 20

Marginal thinking in case of profit maximization

Page 8: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

0 1 8632 75 94

57

Quantity of Hair Dryers

Co

st a

nd

Re

ven

ue

($

)

Total Revenue Curve

Total Cost Curve

Profit

Loss20

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200

Marginal thinking in case of profit maximization

Page 9: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

101

Line demonstratingthat the two curveshave the sameslope at this point

1 8632 75 94

Quantity of Hair Dryers

Co

st a

nd

Re

ven

ue

($

)

Total Revenue Curve

Total Cost Curve

Profit

20

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0

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Quantity of Hair Dryers

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MarginalCost Curve

Price =Marginal

Marginal thinking in case of profit maximization

Page 10: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

MCP = 35

P = 20

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Quantity of Hair Dryers

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Costs and Revenue When the Price of Hair Dryers is $35

(1) Quantity of Hair Dryers

(2) Marginal

Cost ($)

(3) Total Cost ($)

(4) Marginal Revenue (= Price)

($)

(5) Total

Revenue ($)

(6) Total Profit

($)

6 14 81 35 210 129

7 20 101 35 245 144

8 35 136 35 280 144 9 55 191 35 315 124

Marginal thinking in case of profit maximization

… when the price of output changes

Page 11: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Main assumption for marginal thinking: Convexity

987654321

-10

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0

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Quantity of Hair Dryers

Pro

fit (

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Convexity: a mathematical term used to describe the special assumptions necessary for marginal thinking

With convexity, net benefits can be maximized by taking incremental steps along a smooth path.

Page 12: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Discrete decision making

• Sometimes marginal thinking may be insufficient for wise economic decision making.

• We may usually have to consider questions like «whether to produce or not to produce», «to build a bridge or not», «to enter a market or not»…

• These are discrete decisions (they involve jumps between different distinct choices)

• There may be non-convexities that require discrete decision making rather than marginal thinking

Page 13: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

A discrete decision: whether to produce or not

• Two surprising results:

– In the SR, if the firm can earn enough to cover its variable costs and at least a bit of its fixed costs, it should keep operating, even if it makes losses in the SR

– It doesn’t matter how big the fixed costs are: As long as some of these fixed costs are covered, the firm should continue to operate.Sunk costs shouldn’t matter to present decision making

(sunk cost: a cost that was made in the past and is now irreversible)

WHY?

Page 14: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Cost and Revenue When the Price of Hair Dryers is $9

(1) Quantity of Hair Dryers

(2) Marginal

Cost ($)

(3) Total Cost ($)

(4) Marginal Revenue (= Price)

($)

(5) Total

Revenue ($)

(6) Total

Profit ($)

0 -- 20 -- 0 20

1 12 32 9 9 23

2 8 40 9 18 22

3 8 48 9 27 21

4 9 57 9 36 21

5 10 67 9 45 22

A discrete decision: whether to produce or not

Page 15: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Discrete decision making: Multiple equilibria

Office-worker-oriented hours

Student-orientedhours

Iris's starting point

Pro

fit (

$)

Number of Hours Open After 11 a.m.

Page 16: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Discrete decision making: Lumpiness and increasing returns

• Lumpiness: Some inputs or outputs can be obtained or sold only in «discrete» quantities

• Increasing returns: They may lead to a PPF with a bowed-in shape (and possibly to a corner-solution)

A

C

B

Qu

an

tity

of

Exc

el O

utp

ut

Quantity of Lotus Output

Page 17: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Discrete decision making: Path dependence and switching costs

• Path dependence

Economic developments may depend on particularities of past developments, i.e., «History matters»

• Switching costsTransaction costs associated with a change

Page 18: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

Discrete decision making: network externalities

• Network externality (in production)

A particular technology may be advantageous to adopt because other economic actors have adopted it

Examples: PS vs. Macintosh; VHS video vs. BETA video; QWERTY keyboard, etc.

Page 19: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

A formal model of producer theory with convexity and perfect competition

• Assumptions: – The firm is only concerned with profit-

maximization, solving only convex problems– The firm is a price-taker (it takes the output

price P as given); i.e. it operates in a perfectly competitive market

– The firm has no market power

Page 20: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

A formal model of producer theory with convexity and perfect competition

MC

PATCAVC

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35

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Quantity of Hair Dryers

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st a

nd

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ce (

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Page 21: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

A formal model of producer theory with convexity and perfect competition

Total Revenue

MC

PATCAVC

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25

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35

40

Quantity of Hair Dryers

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st a

nd

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ce (

$)

Page 22: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

A formal model of producer theory with convexity and perfect competition

Total Cost

Economic Profit

MC

PATCAVC

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Quantity of Hair Dryers

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st a

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Page 23: Lecture 6 Production Decisions. Goals and economic benefits from production What are the goals of production? –Some productive activities may be motivated

A formal model of producer theory with convexity and perfect competition

PB

PS

P high

MC

ATC

AVC

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35

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Quantity of Hair Dryers

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$