Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    1/26

    Lecture 7: More on product differentiationIntroduction to the economics of advertising

    Tom Holdenhttp://io.tholden.org/

    http://io.tholden.org/http://io.tholden.org/
  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    2/26

    Endogenous differentiation: Horizontal (different consumers prefer different products)

    The Salop (1979) circular-city model, and product proliferation. Vertical (all consumers prefer the same products if they have the same

    price)The Shaked and Sutton

    (1982) quality-choice model.Other topics:

    Empirical work on product differentiation. Market power without product differentiation.

    Introduction to the economics of advertising.Why does advertising work? Three views:

    Persuasive, Informative, Complementary

    Advertising under monopoly

    Additional reference for the advertising material: Bagwell (2005)

    http://www.jstor.org/stable/3003323http://www.jstor.org/stable/2297136http://www.jstor.org/stable/2297136http://www.stanford.edu/~kbagwell/Bagwell_Web/adchapterPost082605.pdfhttp://www.stanford.edu/~kbagwell/Bagwell_Web/adchapterPost082605.pdfhttp://www.jstor.org/stable/2297136http://www.jstor.org/stable/3003323
  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    3/26

    Consumers are uniformly distributed around acircle of circumference 1.

    Transport costs are linear like last week ( perunit distance).

    Three stages:1. Firms decide whether or not enter. Those that enter

    must pay a fixed cost .2. The firms that enter are placed evenly around the

    circle. (With quadratic transportation costs we couldallow firms to choose location.)This means the distance between two firms is .

    3. Firms choose prices and produce (with zero MC).

    http://www.jstor.org/stable/3003323http://www.jstor.org/stable/3003323
  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    4/26

    Suppose firm 1, , sets price , but allother firms set a price .Firm has two neighbours, so there is anindifferent consumer both clockwise from it andanti-clockwise from it. Let be the distance to these indifferent consumers

    (symmetry means they are both the same distance).

    Then = , so = .

    Firm s profits are then: 2 = . FOC:

    = 0, so since by symmetry = : = .

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    5/26

    Given = , each firm make profits of

    = .

    Free entry then means that = , so = . Meaning = .

    Too much or too little? Total surplus is . Since the price is a transfer, surplus is

    maximised when transport costs plus entry costs are minimised.Total transport cost is: 2 = = .So the social planner wants to minimise .

    FOC:

    = 0, so 4 = , i.e. =

    . Thus there is two times too much entry under free entry.

    Business stealing effect (like Cournot) dominates non-appropriability ofsocial surplus effect (love of variety).

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    6/26

    Suppose that there were (even) brands aroundthe circle, but they were owned by only 2 firms(e.g. Kelloggs and General Mills). And suppose that their products alternated around the

    circle. Then both firms will set a price equal to , since as

    before each product faces competition from a rival onboth sides.

    So both firms will make a profit (not including any entry

    or brand creation costs) of =

    . If creating each brand costs a firm , this means net

    profits are . This is positive if > .

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    7/26

    Suppose now that Kelloggs created its brandsfirst. If it creates more than = brands, then General

    Mills will never be able to make a profit from creatingany brands afterwards.

    So by filling up the product space, Kelloggs can prevententry.

    This will be profitable for them if consumers valuations forthe product is high enough.

    See Schmalensee (1978) for an alternativeanalysis + an example of this happening in thecereal industry.

    http://www.jstor.org/stable/3003584http://www.jstor.org/stable/3003584
  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    8/26

    Under vertical differentiation, rather than producing differentproducts, firms produce different qualities of the same product. Shaked and Sutton (1982)

    Suppose there are two firms. Firm 1 produces goods of quality and charges a price and firm 2

    produces goods of quality and charges a price . Assume < (sofirm 1 is low quality).

    They both have zero marginal cost.

    There is a unit mass of consumers, indexed by 0,1. Consumer gets surplus of from consuming a good of quality

    and paying price , where (large) is their underlying valuation of thegood.

    Consumers with low are happy to buy Tesco Value. Consumers with high are prepared to pay extra to get Sainsburys Taste

    the Difference. All consumers would buy from Sainsburys if Sainsburys was the same

    price as Tesco however. (This is what makes it vertical differentiation.)

    http://www.jstor.org/stable/2297136http://www.jstor.org/stable/2297136http://www.jstor.org/stable/2297136
  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    9/26

    For given qualities, we can solve for the optimalprice just as we do in horizontal differentiationmodels. We find the indifferent consumer, who is located at .

    Thus = , so =

    .

    Thus firm 1s profits are = .FOC: 0 = , i.e. =

    .

    Firm 2s profits are 1 = .FOC: 0 = 1 , i.e. =

    + .

    Solution: = 3 , = 3 .

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    10/26

    = =

    = 3.

    So firm 1 makes profits of and firm 2 makesprofits of .

    Firm 2s profits are higher both because of higher demand,and because of making greater profit per unit sold.

    Both profits are increasing in the gap in qualities betweenthe two products.

    So if firms can freely choose quality before the sale period,then one firm will choose quality 0, and the other will choosequality 1.Strategic effect is dominating the demand effect.

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    11/26

    There is a lot of empirical work estimating demand functions indifferentiated product markets. See e.g. Carlton and Perloff p.231-233 for a summary.

    Often take a characteristics approach, running regressions like valuation =characteristics price other factors. Useful in antitrust investigations to

    work out consequences of e.g. a merger.

    Another line of research tries to quantify the gains from variety. Hausman (1997) is an early example, that finds a very large value of

    consumer surplus from the introduction of Apple-Cinnamon Cheerios.Gain in value of cereal consumption is around 25% under perfectcompetition, this falls to around 20% under imperfect competition, sinceintroducing Apple-Cinnamon Cheerios means that the price of otherCheerios brands can be increased.

    Broda and Weinstein (2010) use scanner data about every good purchasedby a sample of 55000 households.Conclude that true inflation is overstated by 0.9% because of the extra valueconsumers are getting from variety. So consumers are willing to payaround seven percent of their income to access the set of goods available in2003 relative to those available in 1994 .

    http://bpp.wharton.upenn.edu/mawhite/ReadingsFor911/17%20-%20Hausman%201997%20-%20New%20Goods%20incl.%20Bresnahan%20Comment.pdfhttp://bpp.wharton.upenn.edu/mawhite/ReadingsFor911/17%20-%20Hausman%201997%20-%20New%20Goods%20incl.%20Bresnahan%20Comment.pdfhttp://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/aer.100.3.691http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/aer.100.3.691http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/aer.100.3.691http://bpp.wharton.upenn.edu/mawhite/ReadingsFor911/17%20-%20Hausman%201997%20-%20New%20Goods%20incl.%20Bresnahan%20Comment.pdf
  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    12/26

    Must be careful to distinguish product differentiation fromsituations in which we get the results of productdifferentiation (market power etc.) while firms are sellingidentical goods. Consumer search (OZ 16):

    Suppose consumers must pay a cost to find out each firms price. Then

    there are equilibria in which all firms charge the monopoly price (sothere is no point visiting more than one firm), and equilibria in whichfirms choose a price at random, above MC. (Burdett and Judd 1983) Ifsome consumers have higher search costs than others then we can getpartial sorting by search cost. (Consider e.g. tourist shops.)

    Switching costs/habits:Many switching costs to changing products (time to change bankaccounts, lost airline status points, time to learn how to use new

    operating system/keyboard). We also become attached to products weare familiar with (=habits). Firms have an incentive to offer low pricesearly on and increase them later. But even these introductory prices maybe higher than MC. (Klemperer 1987)

    http://www.jstor.org/stable/1912045http://www.jstor.org/stable/2555540http://www.jstor.org/stable/2555540http://www.jstor.org/stable/1912045
  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    13/26

    When the firms choose location, products will be toodifferent, relative to the social optimum.At least with quadratic costs.

    Price discrimination does not necessarily increase profitswhen products are differentiated.The Salop model is one in which the business stealingeffect dominates, leading to excess entry.Product proliferation may be used to deter entry.Under vertical differentiation firms want to produce asdifferent qualities as possible, and even the low qualityfirm will make profits.

    Empirical work suggests the returns to variety are large,and that product differentiation is pervasive.But > does not always mean products aredifferentiated.

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    14/26

    OZ Ex. 12.9 Question 1

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    15/26

    Do you think adverts work?

    How do you think they work?

    Why might economists be interested inadvertising?

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    16/26

    Advertising changes peoples preferences. Advertising makes people less willing to substitute

    between the advertised good and its rivals. Makes demand less elastic, meaning higher prices. Also creates barriers to entry.

    I dont want a trainer, I want a Nike trainer.

    Suggests advertising is anti-competitive. But how can we analyse welfare if preferences

    change?

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    17/26

    Advertising provides information aboutproducts (e.g. existence, price and quality). Thus mitigates search and experimentation costs.

    The advert says Ariel cleans better than itscompetitor.

    May also provides indirect information.If Virgin were not a respectable airline they would notbe able to afford to produce adverts such as these, asno one would fly with them more than once.

    Also helps entry, since entrants may ensureconsumers know they have entered.

    Suggests advertising is pro-competitive.

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    18/26

    Advertising provides a complementary good to the product itadvertises. Adverts for hybrid cars make a big deal out of the cars green credentials.

    Thus if you own a hybrid car, and you care about the environment, seeing anadvert for the car you bought may make you feel smug, i.e. increase yourutility.

    Adverts for Porsches feature people who are beautiful and/or rich and/orsuccessful.Thus when you see a Porsche you are inclined to assume the driver has highsocial status.If the driver values being considered high status, then seeing a Porscheadvert may be a complementary good to owning a Porsche for her. Onces/hes seen the Porsche advert she knows that others who have seen it willsee her as high status.

    Clearly related to the persuasive view. But if advertising is a complementary good, then the welfare implications

    may be drastically different.

    http://www.stanford.edu/~kbagwell/Bagwell_Web/adchapterPost082605.pdfhttp://www.stanford.edu/~kbagwell/Bagwell_Web/adchapterPost082605.pdfhttp://www.stanford.edu/~kbagwell/Bagwell_Web/adchapterPost082605.pdf
  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    19/26

    Temporarily abstract from questions abouthow advertising works, and assume thatdemand is some concave function ofadvertising, , .

    One firm.

    Production has constant MC of , advertisinghas constant MC of .

    Following Dorfman and Steiner (1954) .

    http://www.jstor.org/stable/10.2307/1807704http://www.jstor.org/stable/10.2307/1807704
  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    20/26

    Profits: ,

    FOC : 0 = , , . So: 0 = , ,

    from multiplying both sides by , .

    , , < 0 is the price elasticity of demand,

    which we will call .Thus 0 = , so = .

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    21/26

    Profits: ,

    FOC : 0 = , . So: 0 = , , ,

    from multiplying both sides by , .

    , , is the advertising elasticity of demand,

    which we will call .Thus 0 = , , so

    = .

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    22/26

    Equating the two conditions for gives: = , i.e. = (as long as < 0).

    Known as the Dorfman-Steiner condition.

    So, advertising expenditure will be high relative to salesrevenues when: The advertising elasticity of demand is high.

    I.e. advertising results in large demand increases. The price elasticity of demand is close to zero.

    So firms can charge a high mark-up without quantity falling too much.

    Finally, recall = . So advertising only affects pricethrough its (ambiguous) effect on the P.E.D..

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    23/26

    Persuasive and complementary advertising maybe modelled as shifting the demand curve.

    Suggests , = . With this specification, it may be shown (tedious!) that a

    sufficient condition for > 0 is 0.True for linear demand, but not true for isoelastic demand.

    Possible to construct plausible examples in whichadvertising decreases price.

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    24/26

    Informative advertising may be modelled asscaling the demand curve.

    Suggest , = . Then the price elasticity of demand does not

    depend on , so advertising will have no effect onthe price.

    Proof: , = , so ,

    , =

    =

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    25/26

    Three different views about how advertisingworks.

    Firms will perform more advertising whenthey face inelastic demand.

    Effect of advertising on price is ambiguous.

    Read the Bagwell paper (or at least itsintroduction and conclusion) to get a widerpicture.

  • 8/13/2019 Lecture 7: More on product differentiation and Introduction to the economics of advertising

    26/26

    OZ Ex. 11.7 Question 1,2

    OZ Extra exercises: http://ozshy.50webs.com/io-exercises.pdf Set #16

    http://ozshy.50webs.com/io-exercises.pdfhttp://ozshy.50webs.com/io-exercises.pdfhttp://ozshy.50webs.com/io-exercises.pdf