32
Aefj}nh ebnkn`f mj f` QjsZafnk` `Qdjh}nh` f` ke{zû h`e` `q`` j sqse j sza` j e{ `e{ j deajqe ~ j jqjge j `j{e ` ` beqi`û sÿa ` ` q`rî{ j `qéze 0³& j e{ `qéze{ ;;& =0& =1 ~ eeq`j{ j k`séze [jze pzj j{`ajj mjqjge{ ~ d`q`é`{~ j `qéze 4: {e 11& pzj eqseq` e ojq`qpzé` e{ze` rjq{e{ }q``e{ njq`e`j{ 'mjqje h³ 0041%133;. SQJ[NMJHKN@ MJ F@ H@KNEH [jkqj}`qN` Fjd`F ~ }jkhNk` Mq( K`qfe{ `fajq}e _`hhnhn [ne MNqjkkNEh h`kNEh`F MjF qjdN[}qE EbNkN`F Mq( Oeqdj jMz`qMe BjnOeÛ Mne hnef ttt(bk(r( )i? mCbk(r ( qn{e hnef m f Sesnmm Nfzf h¿ 701(0:1 MEiNkNFNE Fjd`F [znsg 424)k0337``E knzmm `zûe m Aze{ `n{ }f( bw =;11)=3:: { enr{ {si  `e{ m deane Aze{ `n{& fz{ 07 m e m 1303 KWRnnn hÿi ;0(71; [zi`qne ( FNAQE AF@HKE MJ F@ SQE[SJK]NR@ MJ F@[ ]JKHEFEDN@[ MJ F@ NHBEQI@KNEH ^ F@ KEIZHNK@KNEH? SQE^JK]E 1313 ']JQKJQ@ ^ ZF]NI@ S@Q]J. S`f`aq`{ Sqjfninh`qj{( Inkqe ~ H`hejfjk}qûhnk`( Aqjrj Mj{kqnsknûh( Beke{ ]jk) hefûdnke{ Keq}e%Ijmn`he Sf`e ' 6 03 `ðe{.( Beke{ ]jkhefûdnke{ F`qde Sf`e '8 03 `ðe{.( Ijqk`me Fek`f( Ijqk`me Dfea`f( K`s`knm`mj{ Fek`fj{ @k}z`fj{( @k}eqj{ Kf`rj( [ekne{ Fek`fj{ j Nh}jqh`kneh`fj{( Eaoj}nre{ jh jf Keq}e%Ijmn`) he Sf`e( Eaoj}nre{ jh jf F`qde Sf`e 'Mj{`qqeffe mj Féhj`{ ~ Jpznse{ mj N,M& Mj{`qqeffe Jisqj{`qne ~ Keijqkn`f& Mj{`qqeffe mj Qjkzq{e{ Gzi`he{.( B`k}nanfn) m`m mj @fk`h`q fe{ Eaoj}nre{( µSeq pzî f` Qjsÿafnk` @qdjh}nh` Mjajqé` Nhrjq}nq Qjkzq{e{ jh J{}` @qj`5 Ijmnm`{ Kehkqj}`{( @qj`{ ]q`h{rjq{`fj{( Jmzk`knûh ~ K`sn}`f Gzi`he( Eaoj}nre{( @h}jkjmjh}j{( Dzé` mj Fjk}zq`( Ijqk`me mj ]q`a`oe ~ ]NK( Mji`hm` mj K`sn}`f Gzi`he? Jf [jk}eq ]NK( Ebjq}` mj K`sn}`f Gzi`he( J{kjh`qne{ Se{nafj{( Beqi`knûh mjf K`sn}`f Gzi`he ]NK( K`s`knm`mj{ mj Beq) i`knûh s`q` jf ]q`a`oe ]NK( F`{ K`s`knm`mj{ mj Beqi`knûh Aà{nk` ]NK( @k}eqj{ Kf`rj( @kknehj{ Sqeszj{}`{( Nh}jdq`knûh mj ]NK jh f` Jmzk`knûh( Beqi`knûh s`q` jf ]q`a`oe keh ]NK( Beqi`knûh s`q` jf ]q`a`oe jh ]NK( Mekzijh}e{ A`{j( Jpznse mj ]q`a`oe( Nhher`knûh( Aqjrj Mj{kqnsknûh mjf Dqzse( Beke{ ]jk hefûdnke{ Keq}e% Ijmn`he Sf`e ' 6 03 `ðe{.( Ijqk`me Fek`f r{( Ijqk`me Dfea`f( K`s`knm`mj{ Fek`fj{ @k}z`fj{( @k}eq j{ Kf`rj( [ekne{ Fek`fj{ j Nh}jqh`kneh`fj{( Eaoj}nre{ jh jf F`qde Sf`e( B`k}nanfnm`m mj @fk`h`q fe{ Eaoj}nre{( Nhdjhnjqé` [ekn`f( J{}q`) }jdn` Nhher`knûh? R`fzj [geqj)R`fzj [eb}( J{}`me mj f` [n}z`knûh jh Djhjq`f( Beq}`fj`{ ~ Mjanfnm`mj{ mj f` Nhmz{}qn` '~ Iemjfe. @qdjh}nhe( @qj`{ J{}q`}îdn) k`{ e Sqneqn}`qn`{( @hàfn{n{ mj f` @qdjh}nh` mj K`q` ` f` Keisj}n}nrnm`m Izhmn`f( Keh{nmjq`knehj{ Bnh`fj{( Mnà{seq`( Mj{kqnsknûh mjf Dqzse( Beke{ ]jkhefûdnke{ Keq}e%Ijmn`he Sf`e ' 6 03 `ðe{.( Beke{ ]jkhefûdnke{ F`qde Sf`e ' 8 03 `ðe{.( Ijqk`me Fek`f( Ijqk`me Dfea`f( K`s`knm`mj{ Fek`fj{ @k}z`fj{( @k}eqj{ Kf`rj( [ekne{ Fek`fj{ j Nh}jqh`kneh`fj{( Eaoj}nre{ jh jf Keq}e%Ijmn`he Sf`e( Eaoj}nre{ jh jf F`qde Sf`e( B`k}nanfnm`m mj @fk`h`q fe{ Eaoj}nre{( µSeq pzî f` Qjsÿafn) k` @qdjh}nh` Mjajqé` Nhrjq}nq Qjkzq{e{ jh J{}` @qj`5 Nhdjhnjqé` [ekn`f( Qjke) ijhm`knehj{ mj @kknûh( ]NK jh f` Nhmz{}qn`( @dqe]NK( [jqrnkne{ N]( Keh}jhnme{ Mndn}`fj{( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( Beke{ ]jkhefûdnke{( [jdzqnm`m( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{%Beke{ ]jk hefûdnke{( Nhdjhnjqé` mj [eb}t`qj( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( [jð`fj{( Niàdjhj{( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( Beke{ ]jkhefûdnke{( Mj{kqnsknûh mj f`{ @qj`{ mj @sfnk`knûh( [eb}t`qj Jiajanme( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( Inkqe ~ H`hejfjk}qûhnk`( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( Beke{ ]jk he) fûdnke{( Jmzk`knûh ~ K`sn}`f Gzi`he( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( Beqi`knûh s`q` jf ]q`a`oe keh ]NK( Beqi`knûh s`q` jf ]q`a`oe jh ]NK( Nhher`knûh( Mnà{seq`( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( Kehkfz{nehj{( @hjwe{( Jgj`f}g? zh K`iane mj S`q`mndi` Hjkj{`qne( µPzî j{ jf Jgj`f}g5 F` Hjkj{nm`m mj K`ian`q jf [n{}ji` mj [`fzm( Eqnjh}`knehj{ Dj) hjq`fj{ mj fe{ [jqrnkne{ mj Jgj`f}g s`q` jf Bz}zqe( F` @djhm` mj Nhrj{}nd`knûh ~ Mj{`qqeffe jh jf Jgj`f}g( Sqjrjhknûh ~ ]q`}`injh}e mj Jhbjqijm`mj{( Keh}qef mj Qnj{de{ mj [`fzm( Nhbq`j{}qzk}zq` s`q` Nhrj{}nd`knûh Aneiîmnk`( Jmzk`knûh ~ @sqjhmn`oj? @sqjhmjq jh f` [eknjm`m mjf Kehekninjh}e( Fe{ Eaoj}nre{ mj @sqjh) mjq( ] jhmjhkn`{ ~ Mj{`bée{ s`q` jf @sqjhmn`oj jh f` [eknjm`m mjf Kehekninjh}e( F`{ ]NK ~ jf @sqjhmn`oj( F` @djhm` mj Nhrj{}nd`knûh ~ Mj{`qqeffe( K`iane [ekn`f& Jmzk`knûh ~ ]NK( F`{ ]NK ~ f` Jmzk`knûh jh f` @qdjh}nh`( Deanjqhe Jfjk}qûhnke( Aqjrj Mj{kqnsknûh mjf Dqzse( Jfjijh}e{ s`q` zh J{kjh`qne Bz}zqe( Fn hj`injh}e{ J{}q`}îdnke{ jh Deanjqhe Jfjk}qûhnke( Beke{ ]jk hefûdnke{ mj @sfnk`knûh (((((((((( 0    @     ð    e    N    N     √     H    ³    4    0 INHN[]JQNE MJ KNJHKN@& ]JKHEFEDN@ J NHHER@KNEH SQEMZK]NR@ [JKQJ]@QN@ MJ SF@HJ@INJH]E ~ SEFN]NK@[ JH KNJHKN@& ]JKHEFEDN@ J NHH ER@KNEH SQEMZK]NR@ Fnaqe Af`hke mj f` Sqe{sjk}nr` mj f`{ ]jkhefedé`{ mj f` Nhbeqi`knûh ~ f` Keizhnk`knûh? Sqe~jk}e 1313 ']jqkjq` Zf}ni` S`q}j. F` [jkqj}`qé` mj Sf`hj`injh}e Sefé}nk`{ mjf Inhn{}jqne mj Knjhkn`& ]jkhefedé` j Nhher`knûh Sqemk}nr` jf`aeqû jf Fnaqe Af`hke mj f` Sqe{sjk}nr` mj f`{ ]jkhefe) dé`{ mj f` Nheqi`knûh f` Keihnk`knûh? Sqejk}e 1313’( J{}` safnk`knûh {j mj) {`qqeffû keh f` kef`aeq`knûh mj j{sjkn`fn{}`{ {eaqj f` }jià}nk` )mjf {jk}eq sÿafnke& sqnr`me `k`mîinke)& `h`fn` f`{ sjq{sjk}nr`{ mj mj{`qqeffe mj f`{ ]NK jh }jk) hefedé`{ aà{nk`{& mj `sfnk`knûh& }q`h{rjq{`fj{< sqekq`hme djhjq`q mnqjk}qnkj{ qj{f}`me{ j{}q`}îdnke{ s`q` eq}`fjkjq jf mj{`qqeffe jf kqjkninjh}e }jkhefûdnke& jkehûinke {ekn`f( S@F@AQ@[ SQJFNINH@QJ[ Jf Inhn{}jqne mj Knjhkn`& ]jkhefed` j Nhher`knûh Sqemk}nr`& seq nh}jqijmne mj f` [jkqj}`q` mj Sf`hj`injh}e ~ Sef}nk`{& qj`fnû jf Fnaqe Af`hke mj f` Sqe{sjk}nr` mj f`{ ]jkhefed`{ mj f` Nheqi`knûh ~ f` Keihnk`knûh? Sqe~jk}e 1313’( J{ niseq}`h}j mj{}`k`q pj jf Inhn{}jqne mj Knjhkn`& ]jkhefed` j Nhher`knûh Sqe) mk}nr` j{}`afjkj sef}nk`{ ~ keeqmnh` `kknehj{ eqnjh}`m`{ ` eq}`fjkjq f` k`s`knm`m mj f` Qjsÿafnk` @qdjh}nh` s`q` m`q qj{sj{}` ` sqeafji`{ {jk}eqn`fj{ ~ {ekn`fj{ sqneqn}`qne{& `{ keie keh}qnanq ` nhkqjijh}`q f` keisj}n}nrnm`m mjf {jk}eq sqemk}nre& {eaqj f` a`{j mjf mj{`qqeffe mj h hjre s`}qûh mj sqemkknûh a`{`me jh anjhj{ ~ {jqrnkne{ keh i`~eq mjh{nm`m }jkhefûdnk`( Mj{mj j{}j i`qke {j keheqiû jf Fnaqe Af`hke mj f` Sqe{sjk}nr` mj f`{ ]jkhefed`{ mj f` Nheqi`knûh ~ f` Keihnk`knûh? Sqe~jk}e 1313’( Sqjkn{`ijh}j& j{}j mekijh}e e) kn`f {j safnk` s`q` jwsehjq fe{ sqnhkns`fj{ fnhj`injh}e{ mj h` sf`hnk`knûh ~ sqesehjq fhj`{ mj `kknûh jh h }ji` rn}`f s`q` jf mj{`qqeffe ~ jf kqjkninjh}e mj f` h`knûh( @ mnjqjhkn` mj e}q`{ safnk`knehj{ dajqh`ijh}`fj{& pj {j keh{}n}~jh j{jhkn`f) ijh}j keie nheqij{ mj keh{f}`& jf Fnaqe Af`hke’ {j keiseq}` }`ianîh keie h mn`d) hû{}nke ~ h `hàfn{n{ }jià}nke jw}q`eqmnh`qne pj mj{kqnaj jf j{}`me mj {n}`knûh ~ sf`h}j` mnqjk}qnkj{ s`q` `fk`h`q qj{f}`me{ e s`q` djhjq`q sef}nk`{ sÿafnk`{ }q`{( Bhm`ijh}`fijh}j& {j keheqi` keie h }jw}e sqjkn{e& keh}hmjh}j j nhmn{sjh{`afj pj sjqin}j }ei`q mjkn{nehj{ ` ijmn`he ~ f`qde sf`e& ` s`q}nq mj h `hàfn{n{ sqe{sjk}n) re( F` }e}`fnm`m mj j{}` eaq` j{}à keisj{}` seq jf sqûfede& f` nh}qemkknûh ~ ekge k`) s}fe{& pj {j mj}`ff`h ` keh}nh`knûh? jf qj{ijh jojk}nre& jf iî}eme sqe{sjk}nre& f`{ }jhmjhkn`{ djhjq`fj{& f`{ àqj`{ mj `sfnk`knûh& f`{ }jkhefed`{& f`{ àqj`{ }q`h{rjq{`fj{& f`{ qjkeijhm`knehj{ mj `kknûh ~ f`{ kehkf{nehj{( Jh jf h`f mj j{}j }q`a`oe {j qj{`f}`h fe{ `hjwe{( Mjanme ` }eme fe i`hnj{}`me {j keh{nmjqû j{jhkn`f mnhmnq jf mekijh}e keisfj}e& ~ }jhnjhme jh kjh}` { jw}jh{nûh j{}j }jw}e {j safnk` h}jdq`ijh}j jh }qj{ s`q}j{< keh{) }n}~jhme j{}` jmnknûh f` ÿf}ni` jh}qjd` mj f`{ s`q}j{( F` sqnijq` s`q}j mj j{}j Fnaqe Af`hke’ pj {j sqj{jh}û jh f` jmnknûh H³ 2> mjf [) sfjijh}e @k}e{ mj Deanjqhe '0. & `a`qkû jf sqûfede& f` nh}qemkknûh& jf qj{ijh jojk}nre& jf iî}eme sqe{sjk}nre& f`{ }jhmjhkn`{ djhjq`fj{ ~ f`{ àqj`{ mj `sfnk`knûh( Fjde mj mj{`qqeff`q sqehm`ijh}j jf sqûfede& f` nh}qemkknûh ~ jf qj{ijh joj) k}nre< jf iî}eme sqe{sjk}nre {j qjqnû ` fe{ eaoj}nre{ ~ ` f` j{}qk}q` mjf sqedq`i`( @{nin{ie& jf k`s}fe {eaqj f`{ }jhmjhkn`{ djhjq`fj{ {j jws{e {eaqj f` a`{j mj knhke kj{}nehj{? f` nh}qemkknûh& f` sjq{sjk}nr` mj f` sqe{sjk}nr`& g`kn` mûhmj r` jf ihme& F`}nhe`iîqnk` ~ f` Qjsÿafnk` @qdjh}nh`& jh i`}jqn` mj f`{ ]jkhefed`{ mj f` Nheqi`knûh ~ f` Keihnk`knûh ']NK.( Jh qjf`knûh ` f`{ àqj`{ mj `sfnk`knûh {j jisj`qeh ` sf`h}j`q knhke }ji`{ niseq}`h) }j{? f`{ ]NK jh f` nhm{}qn`& jf @dqe]NK& fe{ {jqrnkne{ N] '1. & fe{ keh}jhnme{ mndn}`fj{ ~ f` {j) dqnm`m( @f qj{sjk}e& j{ niseq}`h}j qjkeqm`q pj }jhnjhme sqj{jh}j f` fnin}`knûh j{s`kn`f '0.  Safnk`me jf = mj jhjqe s`{`me( '1.  'N]. ]jkhefed` mj f` Nheqi`knûh(

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

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Mj{`qqeffe Jisqj{`qne ~ Keijqkn`f& Mj{`qqeffe mj Qjkzq{e{ Gzi`he{.( B`k}nanfn)m`m mj @fk`h`q fe{ Eaoj}nre{( µSeq pzî f` Qjsÿafnk` @qdjh}nh` Mjajqé` Nhrjq}nq Qjkzq{e{ jh J{}` @qj`5 Ijmnm`{ Kehkqj}`{( @qj`{ ]q`h{rjq{`fj{( Jmzk`knûh ~K`sn}`f Gzi`he( Eaoj}nre{( @h}jkjmjh}j{( Dzé` mj Fjk}zq`( Ijqk`me mj ]q`a`oe~ ]NK( Mji`hm` mj K`sn}`f Gzi`he? Jf [jk}eq ]NK( Ebjq}` mj K`sn}`f Gzi`he(J{kjh`qne{ Se{nafj{( Beqi`knûh mjf K`sn}`f Gzi`he ]NK( K`s`knm`mj{ mj Beq)i`knûh s`q` jf ]q`a`oe ]NK( F`{ K`s`knm`mj{ mj Beqi`knûh Aà{nk` ]NK( @k}eqj{Kf`rj( @kknehj{ Sqeszj{}`{( Nh}jdq`knûh mj ]NK jh f` Jmzk`knûh( Beqi`knûh s`q`jf ]q`a`oe keh ]NK( Beqi`knûh s`q` jf ]q`a`oe jh ]NK( Mekzijh}e{ A`{j( Jpznsemj ]q`a`oe( Nhher`knûh( Aqjrj Mj{kqnsknûh mjf Dqzse( Beke{ ]jkhefûdnke{ Keq}e%Ijmn`he Sf`e '6 03 `ðe{.( Ijqk`me Fek`f r{( Ijqk`me Dfea`f( K`s`knm`mj{Fek`fj{ @k}z`fj{( @k}eqj{ Kf`rj( [ekne{ Fek`fj{ j Nh}jqh`kneh`fj{( Eaoj}nre{ jhjf F`qde Sf`e( B`k}nanfnm`m mj @fk`h`q fe{ Eaoj}nre{( Nhdjhnjqé` [ekn`f( J{}q`)}jdn` Nhher`knûh? R`fzj [geqj)R`fzj [eb}( J{}`me mj f` [n}z`knûh jh Djhjq`f(Beq}`fj`{ ~ Mjanfnm`mj{ mj f` Nhmz{}qn` '~ Iemjfe. @qdjh}nhe( @qj`{ J{}q`}îdn)k`{ e Sqneqn}`qn`{( @hàfn{n{ mj f` @qdjh}nh` mj K`q` ` f` Keisj}n}nrnm`m Izhmn`f(Keh{nmjq`knehj{ Bnh`fj{( Mnà{seq`( Mj{kqnsknûh mjf Dqzse( Beke{ ]jkhefûdnke{Keq}e%Ijmn`he Sf`e '6 03 `ðe{.( Beke{ ]jkhefûdnke{ F`qde Sf`e '8 03 `ðe{.(Ijqk`me Fek`f( Ijqk`me Dfea`f( K`s`knm`mj{ Fek`fj{ @k}z`fj{( @k}eqj{ Kf`rj([ekne{ Fek`fj{ j Nh}jqh`kneh`fj{( Eaoj}nre{ jh jf Keq}e%Ijmn`he Sf`e( Eaoj}nre{

jh jf F`qde Sf`e( B`k}nanfnm`m mj @fk`h`q fe{ Eaoj}nre{( µSeq pzî f` Qjsÿafn)k` @qdjh}nh` Mjajqé` Nhrjq}nq Qjkzq{e{ jh J{}` @qj`5 Nhdjhnjqé` [ekn`f( Qjke)ijhm`knehj{ mj @kknûh( ]NK jh f` Nhmz{}qn`( @dqe]NK( [jqrnkne{ N]( Keh}jhnme{Mndn}`fj{( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( Beke{ ]jkhefûdnke{( [jdzqnm`m( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{%Beke{]jkhefûdnke{( Nhdjhnjqé` mj [eb}t`qj( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( [jð`fj{( Niàdjhj{( @qj`{Kqé}nk`{( Beke{ ]jkhefûdnke{( Mj{kqnsknûh mj f`{ @qj`{ mj @sfnk`knûh( [eb}t`qjJiajanme( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( Inkqe ~ H`hejfjk}qûhnk`( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( Beke{ ]jkhe)fûdnke{( Jmzk`knûh ~ K`sn}`f Gzi`he( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{( Beqi`knûh s`q` jf ]q`a`oekeh ]NK( Beqi`knûh s`q` jf ]q`a`oe jh ]NK( Nhher`knûh( Mnà{seq`( @qj`{ Kqé}nk`{(Kehkfz{nehj{( @hjwe{( Jgj`f}g? zh K`iane mj S`q`mndi` Hjkj{`qne( µPzî j{jf Jgj`f}g5 F` Hjkj{nm`m mj K`ian`q jf [n{}ji` mj [`fzm( Eqnjh}`knehj{ Dj)hjq`fj{ mj fe{ [jqrnkne{ mj Jgj`f}g s`q` jf Bz}zqe( F` @djhm` mj Nhrj{}nd`knûh~ Mj{`qqeffe jh jf Jgj`f}g( Sqjrjhknûh ~ ]q`}`injh}e mj Jhbjqijm`mj{( Keh}qefmj Qnj{de{ mj [`fzm( Nhbq`j{}qzk}zq` s`q` Nhrj{}nd`knûh Aneiîmnk`( Jmzk`knûh ~@sqjhmn`oj? @sqjhmjq jh f` [eknjm`m mjf Kehekninjh}e( Fe{ Eaoj}nre{ mj @sqjh)mjq( ]jhmjhkn`{ ~ Mj{`bée{ s`q` jf @sqjhmn`oj jh f` [eknjm`m mjf Kehekninjh}e(F`{ ]NK ~ jf @sqjhmn`oj( F` @djhm` mj Nhrj{}nd`knûh ~ Mj{`qqeffe( K`iane [ekn`f&Jmzk`knûh ~ ]NK( F`{ ]NK ~ f` Jmzk`knûh jh f` @qdjh}nh`( Deanjqhe Jfjk}qûhnke(Aqjrj Mj{kqnsknûh mjf Dqzse( Jfjijh}e{ s`q` zh J{kjh`qne Bz}zqe( Fnhj`injh}e{J{}q`}îdnke{ jh Deanjqhe Jfjk}qûhnke( Beke{ ]jkhefûdnke{ mj @sfnk`knûh (((((((((( 0

   @    ð   e   N   N    √    H   ³   4   0

INHN[]JQNE MJ KNJHKN@& ]JKHEFEDN@ J NHHER@KNEH SQEMZK]NR@ [JKQJ]@QN@ MJ SF@HJ@INJH]E ~ SEFN]NK@[ JH KNJHKN@&]JKHEFEDN@ J NHH ER@KNEH SQEMZK]NR@ 

Fnaqe Af`hke mj f` Sqe{sjk}nr` mj f`{ ]jkhefedé`{ mj f` Nhbeqi`knûh ~ f` Keizhnk`knûh? Sqe~jk}e 1313 

']jqkjq` Zf}ni` S`q}j.

F` [jkqj}`qé` mj Sf`hj`injh}e Sefé}nk`{ mjf Inhn{}jqne mj Knjhkn`& ]jkhefedé` jNhher`knûh Sqemk}nr` jf`aeqû jf ‖Fnaqe Af`hke mj f` Sqe{sjk}nr` mj f`{ ]jkhefe)dé`{ mj f` Nheqi`knûh f` Keihnk`knûh? Sqejk}e 1313’( J{}` safnk`knûh {j mj){`qqeffû keh f` kef`aeq`knûh mj j{sjkn`fn{}`{ {eaqj f` }jià}nk` )mjf {jk}eq sÿafnke&sqnr`me `k`mîinke)& `h`fn` f`{ sjq{sjk}nr`{ mj mj{`qqeffe mj f`{ ]NK jh }jk)

hefedé`{ aà{nk`{& mj `sfnk`knûh& }q`h{rjq{`fj{< sqekq`hme djhjq`q mnqjk}qnkj{ qj{f}`me{ j{}q`}îdnke{ s`q` eq}`fjkjq jf mj{`qqeffe jf kqjkninjh}e }jkhefûdnkejkehûinke {ekn`f(

S@F@AQ@[ SQJFNINH@QJ[

Jf Inhn{}jqne mj Knjhkn`& ]jkhefed` j Nhher`knûh Sqemk}nr`& seq nh}jqijmne mj [jkqj}`q` mj Sf`hj`injh}e ~ Sef}nk`{& qj`fnû jf ‖Fnaqe Af`hke mj f` Sqe{sjk}nr` mj f`]jkhefed`{ mj f` Nheqi`knûh ~ f` Keihnk`knûh? Sqe~jk}e 1313’(

J{ niseq}`h}j mj{}`k`q pj jf Inhn{}jqne mj Knjhkn`& ]jkhefed` j Nhher`knûh Sqemk}nr` j{}`afjkj sef}nk`{ ~ keeqmnh` `kknehj{ eqnjh}`m`{ ` eq}`fjkjq f` k`s`knm`m mj Qjsÿafnk` @qdjh}nh` s`q` m`q qj{sj{}` ` sqeafji`{ {jk}eqn`fj{ ~ {ekn`fj{ sqneqn}`qne

`{ keie keh}qnanq ` nhkqjijh}`q f` keisj}n}nrnm`m mjf {jk}eq sqemk}nre& {eaqj f` a`{mjf mj{`qqeffe mj h hjre s`}qûh mj sqemkknûh a`{`me jh anjhj{ ~ {jqrnkne{ keh i`~emjh{nm`m }jkhefûdnk`(

Mj{mj j{}j i`qke {j keheqiû jf ‖Fnaqe Af`hke mj f` Sqe{sjk}nr` mj f`{ ]jkhefed`mj f` Nheqi`knûh ~ f` Keihnk`knûh? Sqe~jk}e 1313’( Sqjkn{`ijh}j& j{}j mekijh}e ekn`f {j safnk` s`q` jwsehjq fe{ sqnhkns`fj{ fnhj`injh}e{ mj h` sf`hnk`knûh ~ sqesehjfhj`{ mj `kknûh jh h }ji` rn}`f s`q` jf mj{`qqeffe ~ jf kqjkninjh}e mj f` h`knûh(

@ mnjqjhkn` mj e}q`{ safnk`knehj{ dajqh`ijh}`fj{& pj {j keh{}n}~jh j{jhkn`ijh}j keie nheqij{ mj keh{f}`& jf ‖Fnaqe Af`hke’ {j keiseq}` }`ianîh keie h mn`dhû{}nke ~ h `hàfn{n{ }jià}nke jw}q`eqmnh`qne pj mj{kqnaj jf j{}`me mj {n}`knûh ~ sf`h}jmnqjk}qnkj{ s`q` `fk`h`q qj{f}`me{ e s`q` djhjq`q sef}nk`{ sÿafnk`{ }q`{(

Bhm`ijh}`fijh}j& {j keheqi` keie h }jw}e sqjkn{e& keh}hmjh}j j nhmn{sjh{`apj sjqin}j }ei`q mjkn{nehj{ ` ijmn`he ~ f`qde sf`e& ` s`q}nq mj h `hàfn{n{ sqe{sjk}re(

F` }e}`fnm`m mj j{}` eaq` j{}à keisj{}` seq jf sqûfede& f` nh}qemkknûh ~ ekge k`s}fe{& pj {j mj}`ff`h ` keh}nh`knûh? jf qj{ijh jojk}nre& jf iî}eme sqe{sjk}nre& f`}jhmjhkn`{ djhjq`fj{& f`{ àqj`{ mj `sfnk`knûh& f`{ }jkhefed`{& f`{ àqj`{ }q`h{rjq{`fj

f`{ qjkeijhm`knehj{ mj `kknûh ~ f`{ kehkf{nehj{( Jh jf h`f mj j{}j }q`a`oe {j qj{`f}`fe{ `hjwe{(

Mjanme ` }eme fe i`hnj{}`me {j keh{nmjqû j{jhkn`f mnhmnq jf mekijh}e keisfj}e&}jhnjhme jh kjh}` { jw}jh{nûh j{}j }jw}e {j safnk` h}jdq`ijh}j jh }qj{ s`q}j{< keh{}n}~jhme j{}` jmnknûh f` ÿf}ni` jh}qjd` mj f`{ s`q}j{(

F` sqnijq` s`q}j mj j{}j ‖Fnaqe Af`hke’ pj {j sqj{jh}û jh f` jmnknûh H³ 2> mjf [sfjijh}e @k}e{ mj Deanjqhe '0.& `a`qkû jf sqûfede& f` nh}qemkknûh& jf qj{ijh jojk}nrejf iî}eme sqe{sjk}nre& f`{ }jhmjhkn`{ djhjq`fj{ ~ f`{ àqj`{ mj `sfnk`knûh(

Fjde mj mj{`qqeff`q sqehm`ijh}j jf sqûfede& f` nh}qemkknûh ~ jf qj{ijh jojk}nre< jf iî}eme sqe{sjk}nre {j qjqnû ` fe{ eaoj}nre{ ~ ` f` j{}qk}q` mjf sqedq`i@{nin{ie& jf k`s}fe {eaqj f`{ }jhmjhkn`{ djhjq`fj{ {j jws{e {eaqj f` a`{j mj knhkkj{}nehj{? f` nh}qemkknûh& f` sjq{sjk}nr` mj f` sqe{sjk}nr`& g`kn` mûhmj r` jf ihmeF`}nhe`iîqnk` ~ f` Qjsÿafnk` @qdjh}nh`& jh i`}jqn` mj f`{ ]jkhefed`{ mj f` Nheqi`knû~ f` Keihnk`knûh ']NK.(

Jh qjf`knûh ` f`{ àqj`{ mj `sfnk`knûh {j jisj`qeh ` sf`h}j`q knhke }ji`{ niseq}`h}j{? f`{ ]NK jh f` nhm{}qn`& jf @dqe]NK& fe{ {jqrnkne{ N] '1.& fe{ keh}jhnme{ mndn}`fj{ ~ f` {jdqnm`m( @f qj{sjk}e& j{ niseq}`h}j qjkeqm`q pj }jhnjhme sqj{jh}j f` fnin}`knûh j{s`kn

'0.  Safnk`me jf = mj jhjqe s`{`me('1.  'N]. ]jkhefed` mj f` Nheqi`knûh(

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/libroblancodelaprospectivadelastecnologiasdelainformacionylacomunicacion-proyecto2020-parte3 2/32

Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; 1

mjf [sfjijh}e @k}e{ mj Deanjqhe {ûfe {j jwsfnkû }eme fe kehkjqhnjh}j ` f`{ ]NK jh f`nhm{}qn`( Jf qj{}e mj fe{ keh}jhnme{ {j mnhmnjqeh jh f` {jdhm` s`q}j mj f` he}`(

Jh j{}j keh}jw}e {j safnkû f` {jdhm` s`q}j mjf ‖Fnaqe Af`hke’ jh jf [sfjijh}e@k}e{ mj Deanjqhe H³ 43 ';. pj keh}nhû mj{kqnanjhme jf k`s}fe qjf`kneh`me keh f`{àqj`{ mj `sfnk`knûh mj f`{ ]NK? jf @dqe]NK& fe{ {jqrnkne{ N]& fe{ keh}jhnme{ mndn}`fj{ ~ f`{jdqnm`m(

@mjià{& {j nhkf~û jf k`s}fe qjjqjh}j ` f`{ }jkhefed`{& pj `h`fnû k`}qe `{h}e{}q`{kjhmjh}`fj{? f` nhdjhnjq` mj {e}t`qj& f`{ {jð`fj{& f` }jkhefed` mj niàdjhj{ ~ jf{e}t`qj jiajanme(

F` }jqkjq` ~ ÿf}ni` s`q}j mjf ‖Fnaqe Af`hke mj f` Sqe{sjk}nr` mj f`{ ]jkhefed`{ mj f`Nheqi`knûh ~ f` Keihnk`knûh? Sqe~jk}e 1313’ {j safnk` jh j{}` hjr` sqj{jh}`knûhmjf [sfjijh}e @k}e{ mj Deanjqhe( ^ keisqjhmjqà jf ÿf}nie }ji mj f`{ }jkhefed`{? f`inkqe ~ f` h`hejfjk}qûhnk` '=.( Se{}jqneqijh}j& ` j{}j mj{`qqeffe& {j j{}mn`qàh fe{ k`s})fe{ h`fj{? f`{ àqj`{ }q`h{rjq{`fj{ 'jmk`knûh ~ k`sn}`f gi`he& nhher`knûh& ~ mnà{seq`.&f`{ qjkeijhm`knehj{ mj `kknûh 'f`{ ]NK jh f` nhm{}qn`& jf @dqe]NK& fe{ {jqrnkne{ N]& fe{keh}jhnme{ mndn}`fj{& f` {jdqnm`m& f` nhdjhnjq` mj {e}t`qj& f`{ {jð`fj{& f`{ niàdjhj{&jf {e}t`qj jiajanme& f` inkqe ~ h`hejfjk}qûhnk`& f` jmk`knûh ~ jf k`sn}`f gi`he& f`nhher`knûh& ~ f` mnà{seq`.& ~ f`{ kehkf{nehj{(

J{}j i`dhke }q`a`oe dajqh`ijh}`f )mj k`q`k}jq{}nk`{ nh}jqmn{knsfnh`qn`{) {eaqj hàqj` j{}q`}îdnk` mj f` knjhkn` ~ f` }jkhefed`& keie {eh f`{ ]NK& kfinh`qà keh f` mn{nûhmj }qj{ `hjwe{? `. jGj`f}g ? h k`iane mj s`q`mndi` hjkj{`qne& a. jmk`knûh ~ `sqjhmn)`oj? `sqjhmjq jh f` {eknjm`m mjf kehekninjh}e& ~ k. deanjqhe jfjk}qûhnke(

Bnh`fijh}j& {j qj{`f}` pj }jhnjhme sqj{jh}j f` eqd`hn`knûh mjf }jw}e j{ hjkj{`qnekeh}nh`q keh jf {n{}ji` mj jhijq`knûh qei`he nhnkn`me jh f` sqnijq` s`q}j mj j{}`he}`(

R( J( Inkqe H`hejfjk}qûhnk` ':.

Aqjrj mj{kqnsknûh

F` nmj` mj jhk`s{f`q knqkn}e{ jfjk}qûhnke{ jh h {ûfe mn{se{n}nre {qdj ` sqnhknsne{mj f` mîk`m` mj 0>:3 keie qj{f}`me mj f` `sfnk`knûh mjf }q`h{n{}eq '0>=7.( Jf kehkjs}e{j }q`h{eqi` jh sqemk}e mj{}nh`me `f sÿafnke jh djhjq`f qjknîh jh fe{ `ðe{ {j}jh}`&k`hme fe{ sqedqj{e{ jh f` }jkhefed` mj {jinkehmk}eqj{ sjqin}jh jf mj{`qqeffe mjfknqkn}e nh}jdq`me(

Qàsnm`ijh}j f` nhm{}qn` `mes}` j{}` hjr` }jkhefed`& ~ ` { rj j{}` g`kj se{nafjf` jrefknûh ~ kqj`knûh mj e}q`{? keihnk`knehj{& {`}îfn}j{& keis}`knûh iûrnf& }jfjeh`&{jdqnm`m& mndn}`fn`knûh mj f` nheqi`knûh jh mnrjq{`{ àqj`{ keie `mne ~ rnmje seq kn}`qf`{ ià{ mnhmnm`{( Ijheqj{ ke{}e{& i`~eqj{ sqj{}`knehj{& i`~eq qea{}j ~ keh`anfn)m`m& qjmkknûh mj }`i`ðe ~ keh{ie {eh {ûfe `fdhe{ mj fe{ ajhjkne{ mnqjk}e{ mj f``sfnk`knûh mj f` inkqejfjk}qûhnk` jh f` nhm{}qn` mj keh{ie(

]eme{ jffe{& {n anjh niseq}`h}j{& he sjmjh keis`q`q{j keh jf jw}q`eqmnh`qne `ijh)}e jh f`{ sqj{}`knehj{ ~ jh keisfjonm`m mj fe{ mn{jðe{ jfjk}qûhnke{ keh h ke{}e i`qdnh`fsqàk}nk`ijh}j hfe( J{}` j{ h` mj f`{ q`ehj{ hm`ijh}`fj{ pj g`kjh pj f` inkqe)jfjk}qûhnk` {j keh{}n}~` jh he mj fe{ i`~eqj{ `k}eqj{ nisf{eqj{ mj fe{ sqekj{e{ mjnhher`knûh(

@ s`q}nq mj h`fj{ mj fe{ `ðe{ >3& f` }jkhefed` mj knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{ keinjh` ` nh)

kq{neh`q jh }`i`ðe{ mj k`h`f mj }q`h{n{}eqj{& seq mja`oe mj fe{ 033 h`hûij}qe{ 'hi.(

@k}`fijh}j& {j jhkjh}q`h jh sqemkknûh keijqkn`f sqekj{e{ mj =:hi( Jf N]Q['Nh}jqh`kneh`f ]jkghefed~ Qe`mi`s eq [jinkehmk}eq{. safnk` sjqnûmnk`ijh}j ‖qe`m)i`s{’& pj mjhjh f`{ ij}`{ ` `fk`h`q ` }qe& j{sjknk`h fe{ {ndnjh}j{ `r`hkj{ s`q`f` mîk`m` {ndnjh}j 'rjq ]`af` @.(

]`af` @(N]Q[? Heme{ ]jkhefûdnke{ s`q` jf }`i`ðe é{nke mj keisjq}`

jh jf keq}e sf`e

 

@ðe mj Sqemzkknûh 133: 1332 1334 1334 1337 133> 1303 1300 1301

]`i`ðe bé{nke mj ;1 17 1: 1; 13 07 02 0= 0;

keiszjq}` 'hi.

 

Jf mj{`qqeffe mj sqemk}e{ mj inkqejfjk}qûhnk` nhrefkq` djhjq`fijh}j r`qn`{ j}`s`{jh f`{ pj jf hnrjf mj r`feq `dqjd`me mn{inh~j ` fe f`qde mjf sqekj{e }e}`f 'N,M r{( i`)h`k}q`.(

Fe{ dq`hmj{ j{f`aehj{ mjf sqekj{e {eh?

Mn{jðe mj knqkn}e{( Sqemk}e mj `f}e r`feq `dqjd`me qj{f}`h}j mj f` `sfnk`knûh‡

mj kehekninjh}e{ ~ jwsjqnjhkn` mjf mn{jð`meq(

Gjqq`injh}`{ mj [e}t`qj mj mn{jðe 'K@M.& rjqnk`knûh ~ {nif`knûh(‡

B`aqnk`knûh mj sqe}e}nse{ ~ jh{`~e(‡

';.  Safnk`me jf 00 mj jhjqe s`{`me('=.  F`{ }jkhefed`{ jqeh jwsfnk`m`{ jh jf [sfjijh}e @k}e{ mj Deanjqhe H³ 43 'safnk`me jf

00 mj jhjqe s`{`me.( F` inkqe ~ h`hejfjk}qûhnk`& nh}jdq`h}j mjf k`s}fe ‖]jkhefed`{’& mjanme `h` fnin}`knûh j{s`kn`f he sme {jq mnhmnm` jh jf hÿijqe `h}jqneq& he ea{}`h}j& nhnkn` j{}` ÿf}ni`jh}qjd` mjf ‖Fnaqe Af`hke mj f` Sqe{sjk}nr` mj f`{ ]jkhefed`{ mj f` Nheqi`knûh ~ f` Keihnk`knûh ?Sqe~jk}e 1313’(

':.  Sjq{eh`{ nhrefkq`m`{ jh f` kehjkknûh mj j{}j mekijh}e? Sjmqe Ofnàh 'ZH[.& S`afeI`hmefj{n 'ZH[.& @fjo`hmqe Efnr` 'ZH[.& O`rnjq Eqeke 'ZH[.& E{r`fme @d`ijhhehn 'ZH[.& Fn{]efjme 'ZKK.& S`afe Sj}q`{gnh 'ZKK.& T`f}jq F`hknehn 'ZKK.& I`hjf Dqjke 'WEF[@.& @fajq}e@hj{nhn 'NH]N.& M`hnjf Fsn 'NH]N.& I`wninfn`he Bn{kgjq 'KHJ@. ~ Djq`qme Iehqj`f '@ffjdqe Inkqe){n{}ji`{ [(@(.(

B`aqnk`knûh mj kgns{ keh sqja` jh fhj`(‡

Jhk`s{f`me ~ sqja` h`f mj nh}jdq`me{(‡

Nh}jdq`knûh mj kgns{& jfjk}qûhnk` ~ {e}t`qj jh {n{}ji`{ 'seq jojisfe? }jfîehe‡

kjff`qj{& SM@.(

Beke{ }jkhefûdnke{ keq}e%ijmn`he sf`e '6 03 `ðe{.

Mj{`qqeffe mj f` nhm{}qn` mj sqesnjm`m nh}jfjk}`f jh mn{jðe mj knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`‡

me{ 'inkqejfjk}qûhnk` ~ h`hejfjk}qûhnk`.(

Mj{`qqeffe mj {e}t`qj `{ekn`me s`q` mn{jðe ~ rjqnk`knûh 'JM@)K@M.(‡

Mj{`qqeffe mj f` nhm{}qn` mj {jqrnkne mj mn{jðe(‡

Ijoeq`{ jh f` keisj}n}nrnm`m mj f` nhm{}qn` jfjk}qûhnk` h`kneh`f‡

Beke{ }jkhefûdnke{ f`qde sf`e '8 03 `ðe{.

Mj{`qqeffe mj f` nhm{}qn` mj r`feq `dqjd`me a`{`m` jh se{}sqekj{`injh}e m‡

knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{ 'mehmj jf inkqekgns {j mn{jð` fek`fijh}j& {j jhk`qd` ` àaqnk`{ jq` mjf s`{& ~ {j `sfnk`h s`{e{ mj sqekj{`injh}e se{}jqneq jh jf s`{s`q` { nh}jdq`knûh gaqnm` keh?

) J{}qk}q`{ IJI[(

) H`he}ae{ ~ h`hes`q}kf`{(

) Inkqebmnk`(

) @kkneh`meqj{ mj QB ~ mj se}jhkn`< s`q` `sfnk`knehj{ jh?

/ Aneijmnknh`(

/ Iehn}eqje `ianjh}`f(

/ @dqnkf}q` ~ d`h`mjq`

/ Jhjqd`(

Mj{`qqeffe mj Jfjk}qûhnk` he)kehrjhkneh`f 'seq jojisfe& sfà{}nk`.(‡

Mj{`qqeffe mj f` k`mjh` mj r`feq keisfj}`& mn{jðe ~ `aqnk`knûh mj knqkn}e‡

nh}jdq`me{(

Ijqk`me Fek`f

Zh qjknjh}j j{}mne jhk`qd`me seq jf Nh{}n} }e H`kneh`f mj ]jkhefed` Nhm{}qn`f 'NH]mjheinh`me ‖J{}mne {eaqj f` Nhm{}qn` Jfjk}qûhnk` @qdjh}nh`’& ` }q`rî{ mjf Sqe~jk}e mKeesjq`knûh Nh}jqh`kneh`f ‖Ijoeq` mj f` Jknjhkn` ~ mj f` Keisj}n}nrnm`m mj f` Jkehei@qdjh}nh`’ jhkj{}û =7= jisqj{`{& mj f`{ k`fj{ ;7= jqeh jisqj{`{ ejqjh}j{ ~ 03jisqj{`{ mji`hm`h}j{ mjf {jk}eq jfjk}qûhnke( J{}j j{}mne {j jhi`qk` `mjià{ mjh}qmj f`{ `k}nrnm`mj{ sqeiernm`{ seq jf sqe~jk}e mj @qj`{ J{}q`}îdnk`{ 'S@J. jh Inkqejfjk}qûhnk` mjf Inhn{}jqne mj Knjhkn`& ]jkhefed` j Nhher`knûh Sqemk}nr`(

Jf j{}mne j qj`fn`me seq Ijqk`me{ Geqneh}`fj{ û @qj`{ ]jkhefûdnk`{& keisqjmnjhme? ]jfjkeihnk`knehj{& Nheqià}nk`& Keh}qef @}eià}nke& Nh{}qijh}`f ~ e}qe{ jpse{& Jfjk}qûhnk` mj jh}qj}jhninjh}e ~ Keh{ie& Keisehjh}j{ ~ I`}jqn`fj{ j Nhdjhnjqmj Nh}jdq`knûh( [j keh{}`}û f` jwn{}jhkn` mj 4>4 jisqj{`{ mjf {jk}eq jfjk}qûhnke& peks`h jh sqeijmne 1: jisfj`me{ seq jisqj{` ‛qjsqj{jh}`hme 13(333 sjq{eh`{ jisfj`m`{ jh jf kehoh}e‛ keh h` `k}q`knûh sqeijmne mjf eqmjh mj -0&: inffehj{ seq jisqj{`& ~ h` `k}q`knûh }e}`f `h`f mjf eqmjh mj fe{ =33 inffehj{ mj mûf`qj{ 'Z-[13(33seq jisfj`me%`ðe& e {j` Z-[0(222 seq jisfj`me%ij{.(

K`aj mj{}`k`q pj& jf 47&2* mj f`{ jisqj{`{ }n fn` mn{jðe{ sqesne{ ~ jf 70&7* i`hj{}` mj{j`q sqe}jdjq { mn{jðe keh h nh}jdq`me sqesne& injh}q`{ pj jf 73&4* jwsqj{pj nh}jdq`q s`q}j e f` }e}`fnm`m mj {{ knqkn}e{ jfjk}qûhnke{ fj qj{f}`q` h` rjh}`keisj}n}nr` niseq}`h}j(

Jh s`q}nkf`q& jf {ndnjh}j dqse mj jisqj{`{ nhnknû dj{}nehj{ s`q` f` mjhnknûh msqe~jk}e{ kehkqj}e{?

]QEHNL? `aqnk`h}j mj jh}j{ ~ kehrjq}nmeqj{ mj jhjqd` jfîk}qnk`(‡

JK@IJK? `aqnk`h}j mj nh{}qijh}e{ mj ijmnknûh mj jhjqd` jfîk}qnk`(‡

[^[]JF@A%@IQ? `aqnk`h}j mj jpnse{ s`q` }jfjijmnknûh ~ dj{}nûh mj jhjqd‡

jfîk}qnk`(

QIN? `aqnk`h}j mj q`mnejhf`kj{ mj inkqeehm`{ ~ qjsj}nmeqj{ j nhgnanmeqj{ s`‡

}jfjeh` iûrnf(JWJI^[? `aqnk`h}j mj nh}jq`kj{ nhm{}qn`fj{(‡

GNAQNKEI? `aqnk`h}j mj knqkn}e{ gaqnme{(‡

IJD@]JKG? `aqnk`h}j EJI mj kjh}q`fj{ mj kehi}`knûh }jfjûhnk` NS(‡

NHR@S? mj{`qqeffe mj q`m`qj{& {`}îfn}j{& qj`k}eqj{ hkfj`qj{(‡

SJH]@KEI? dj{}nûh mj mn{}qnaknûh mj f` jhjqd`(‡

Ijqk`me Dfea`f

@ s`q}nq mj ijmnme{ mj fe{ `ðe{ 73 f` nhm{}qn` inkqejfjk}qûhnk` eqoû { k`inhe mj{sjkn`fn`knûh {js`qàhme{j jh me{ dq`hmj{ àqj`{ mj r`feq( F` sqnijq` àqj` keqqj{sehmj `f mj{`qqeffe mj f`{ }jkhefed`{ mj `aqnk`knûh(

J{}` àqj` jw}qji`m`ijh}j keisj}n}nr` ~ k`q` ffjrû ` f` j{sjkn`fn`knûh mj jisqj{`pj aqnhm`h `kkj{e ` f`{ }jkhefed`{ pj {j f`{ mjheinh` ‖ehmqnj{’(

Jh jf e}qe jw}qjie mj f` k`mjh` mj r`feq& h sqemk}e nh}jdq`me s`{û ` {jq {ûfe sqeafji` mj mn{jðe ~ mj {jqrnkne mj nh}jdq`knûh ~ keh f` kqjknjh}j mn{sehnanfnm`m mj gjqq`

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Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; ;

injh}`{ mj mn{jðe jf hÿijqe mj mn{jð`meqj{ kqjknû `{ keie f`{ ajh`{ nmj`{ qj{f}`hme{jq h ie}eq mj jisoj {e{}jhnme mj f` nhm{}qn`& mj{mj jh}ehkj{(

Jh f` `k}`fnm`m& ikg`{ mj f`{ dq`hmj{ jisqj{`{ nh}jqh`kneh`fj{ g`h qjkqqnme`f ‖e}{eqknhd’ mj {jqrnkne{& }`h}e mj `aqnk`knûh keie mj mn{jðe( Jh jf sqnijq k`{ekeie qj{f}`me mj fe{ ke{}e{ qjpjqnme{ s`q` i`h}jhjq `k}`fn`m` h` sf`h}` mj`aqnk`knûh mj ÿf}ni` }jkhefed`& {njhme jf k`{e mj ]JW@[ NH[]QZIJH][ jf ià{jiafjià}nke(

Jh jf k`{e mj mn{jðe& f`{ jisqj{`{ e ‖mj{ndh ge{j{’ {qjh ` hnrjf dfea`f mj h` j{)k`{j mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{ k`fnk`me{& fe k`f qj{f}` jh h` mji`hm` mj mn{jðe{ pjhe {j sjmj {`}n{`kjq seq keisfj}e( J{}e g`kj hjkj{`qn` f` }jqkjqn`knûh mj {jqrnkne{ `e}q`{ keis`ð`{& e ` mn{jð`meqj{ qjjf`hkj & e ` dqse{ jh hnrjq{nm`mj{(

@ fe{ `k}eqj{ jwn{}jh}j{ jh jf sf`he nh}jqh`kneh`f& {j {i` Aq`{nf& keh f` `sjq}q` jh jf`ðe 1334 mjf Kjh}qe mj B`aqnk`knûh KJN]JK mj }jkhefed` mj {jð`f inw}` mj 3(2:i '2.(

@fqjmjmeq mj j{}j kjh}qe {j jhkjh}q`h ~` esjq`hme knhke k`{`{ mj mn{jðe& keh jfeaoj}nre mj sqemknq {efknehj{ s`q` f` nhm{}qn` fek`f& j{sjkn`fijh}j jh qaqe{ keie fe{{ndnjh}j{? `}ei`}n`knûh nhm{}qn`f ~ keijqkn`f& }jkhefed` mj f` nheqi`knûh& }jfjke)ihnk`knehj{& ]R mndn}`f& jfjk}qûhnk` `}eie}qn& jfjk}qûhnk` mj keh{ie& `jqehà}nk`& ~QBNM 'Nmjh}nk`knûh seq Q`mne Bqjkjhkn`.(

K`s`knm`mj{ fek`fj{ `k}`fj{

[jk}eq knjh}ébke 

Mjh}qe mjf {jk}eq knjh}ke& {j j{}àh mj{`qqeff`hme keh îwn}e fhj`{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûhjh knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{ `h`fûdnke{ ~ mndn}`fj{& knqkn}e{ mj }jfjij}q` s`q` i`qk`{ nh}jfn)djh}j{ 'QBNM.& {jh{eqj{& knqkn}e{ mj a`oe keh{ie j ni`djq{ & IJI[ s`q` {jh{`me mjr`qn`afj{ `ianjh}`fj{ ~ anefûdnk`{ j nh{}qijh}`knûh( J{}e {j j{}à ffjr`hme ` k`ae jhf`aeq`}eqne{ mj ZH[& ZKK& NH]N& ZHQ(

Fe{ f`aeq`}eqne{ mj f` ZH[ ~ ZKK se{jjh dqse{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh jh f` }jià}nk` mjmn{jðe mj knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{ `h`fûdnke{& mndn}`fj{ ~ mj {jð`f inw}`(

Dq`kn`{ ` kef`aeq`knehj{ jh}qj kjh}qe{ mj mj{`qqeffe keie f` KHJ@& NH]N& ZH[@I&~ ZH[ {j j{}àh `sqerjkg`hme k`s`knm`mj{ mj f` Qjsÿafnk` @qdjh}nh` jh jf mn{jðe mjmn{se{n}nre{ inkqejfjk}qeijkàhnke{ ~ h`he}jkhefûdnke{ keie?

Keisehjh}j{ IJI[ mj q`mneqjkjhkn` ~ knqkn}e{ s`q` `h}jh`{ mj {`}îfn}j{‡

mj i~ a`o`{ sîqmnm`{ mj {jð`f& pj he qjpnjqjh se{nkneh`injh}e ijkàhnke&fedq`hme h a`oe keh{ie mj jhjqd` ~ rjh}`o`{ jh jf keh}qef mj `k}n}m mjf{`}îfn}j(

Ef`}j`me}j{ seq}à}nfj{ ~ mj sqj{}`knehj{ mnrjq{`{ s`q` fe{ {jk}eqj{ mj {jdqn)‡

m`m h`kneh`f j nhm{}qn`f& h`qnkj{ jfjk}qûhnk`{& {jh{eqj{ mj d`{j{ ~ mn{se{n}nre{`hj{(

[n{}ji`{ mj fnajq`knûh keh}qef`m` mj mqed`{ ijmnknh`fj{ jh jf kjqse gi`he&‡

keh {jh{eqj{ nh}jfndjh}j{ ~%e qj{jqreqne{ `}ekeh}qef`me{(

Ane{jh{eqj{ IJI[ s`q` mn`dhû{}nke{ nh{}`h}àhje{ keisj{}e{ seq knqkn}e{‡

`r`h`me{ ~ h`he}ae{& h`hek`afj{ e h`hegnfe{(

H`hes`q}kf`{ j{sjkk`{ s`q` jf `hàfn{n{ nh rnre mj }jonme s`hkqjà}nke {`hme‡

Se{n}qeh Jin{{neh ]eiedq`sg~ 'SJ].([jk}eq }îkhnke 

Mj{`eq}h`m`ijh}j& jf {jk}eq }îkhnke mjaj qjkeh{}qnq{j ` hnrjf h`kneh`f ~ he jwn{}jmn{sehnanfnm`m jh f` `k}`fnm`m mj }îkhnke{ k`s`kn}`me{ jh f` }jià}nk`(

[jk}eq jisqj{`qne 

Jf {jk}eq jisqj{`qne jh jf àqj` mj mn{jðe j{ k`{n nhjwn{}jh}j( [ûfe g`~ me{ jisqj{`{&@FFJDQE INKQE[N[]JI@[ 'Sqernhkn` mj Ajhe{ @nqj{.& ~ KF@QNSG^ @QDJH]NH@'Sqernhkn` mj Kûqmea`.& mjmnk`m`{ `f mn{jðe mj knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{ `h`fûdnke{& ~ mjkeihnk`knehj{& qj{sjk}nr`ijh}j(

K`m` h` mj j{}`{ jisqj{`{ }njhj jh f` `k}`fnm`m he{ 13 jisfj`me{ sqeijmne& ~jisfj` `f dqj{e mj fe{ dq`m`me{ keh kehekninjh}e{ jh inkqejfjk}qûhnk` sqemknme{jh f`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{(

Zh` }jqkjq` jisqj{`& JI]JKG& mj ijheq }`i`ðe '= ` : jisfj`me{.& sqerjj {ef)knehj{ nh}jdq`m`{ a`{`m`{ jh BSD@ e jh nh}jdq`knûh qàsnm` mj kgns{ ijmn`h}j mn{jðemj f`{ k`s`{ {sjqneqj{ mj ij}`f ~ kjfm`{ j{}àhm`q& {jqrnkne sqern{}e seq f` jisqj{`‖KgnsW’(

[jk}eq dzajqh`ijh}`f 

Mjh}qe mjf {jk}eq dajqh`ijh}`f& {j kjh}` keh f`aeq`}eqne{ mj `f}` keisfjonm`mkeie fe{ pj se{jjh jf NH]N& f` KHJ@ ~ f` KEH@J( Jh s`q}nkf`q& jf NH]N }njhj f`{ k`s`)knm`mj{ s`q` mj{`qqeff`q inkqe{jh{eqj{ s`q` f` ijmnknûh mj r`qn`afj{ ane`ianjh}`fj{&jhk`s{f`q& {efm`q ~ }j{}j`q knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{( Kjh}` `mjià{ keh h` {`f` fnisn` s`q`se{}sqekj{`injh}e mj knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{(

F` KHJ@)K@K j{}à }jqinh`hme { {`f` mj `aqnk`knûh mj IJI[& ~ mj{`qqeff` ane){jh{eqj{ ~ mj}jk}eqj{ a`{`me{ jh h`hekeisehjh}j{( ]`ianîh mn{sehj mj jpns`injh}es`q` nqq`mn`knûh mj ij{}q`{ mj qjfjr`hkn` s`q` {nif`q f`{ kehmnknehj{ mj q`mn`knûh `f`{ pj {j rjh {eij}nme{ fe{ knqkn}e{ jh jf j{s`kne ~ jh jpns`injh}e iîmnke mj `f}`keisfjonm`m(

F` KHJ@)K@A }njhj f`aeq`}eqne{ s`q` f` i`hnsf`knûh mj IJI[& h`hej{}qk}q`{&h`hes`q}kf`{& }ae{& gnfe{ ~ knh}`{& ~ s`q` jf j{}mne mj {{ sqesnjm`mj{ i`dhî}n)k`{(

'2. Rjq? g}}s?%%ttt(kjn}jkinkqe{{n{}ji`{(eqd(aq%seq}`f%(

@k}eqj{ kf`rj

Mjh}qe mj fe{ {ekne{ fek`fj{ {j sjmjh heiaq`q fe{ {ndnjh}j{?

Jh f` `k`mjin`& {j kjh}` keh fe{ dqse{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh mj ZH[ ~ mj ZKK(‡

Mjh}qe mjf {jk}eq dajqh`ijh}`f& eqd`hn{ie{ keie?

Jf NH]N& f` KHJ@ ~ f` KEH@J {eh `k}eqj{ mji`hm`h}j{ mj }jkhefed` s`q` `s‡

k`knehj{ j{sjkk`{(

Jh f` `k}`fnm`m& j{}`{ `sfnk`knehj{ nhkf~jh& knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{ k`fnk`me{ s`rjfe& nh}jq`kj{ s`q` {jh{eqj{ ane`ianjh}`fj{& nh}jq`kj{ s`q` }jfjij}q` nh`fàiaqnk` jd`h`mjq`%`dqnkf}q`& knqkn}e{ mj f}q`)a`o` }jisjq`}q`& nh}jq`{j{ s`q` h`he}ae{ m

k`qaûh ~ IJI[& nh}jq`{j{ s`q` {jh{eqj{ nhq`qqeoe{& j}k(Jh s`q}nkf`q& jf NH]N ojd` h qef hm`ijh}`f jh f` `q}nkf`knûh mj h sqe~jk}e h`kne

h`f mj mj{`qqeffe mj f` nhm{}qn` mj mn{jðe mj inkqejfjk}qûhnk`(

Jf j{}`afjkninjh}e mj f` J{kjf` @qdjh}nh` mj Inkqejfjk}qûhnk`& ]jkhefed` ~ @sfnkknehj{ 'J@I]@? ttt(j`i}`(kei(`q.& {j g` keh{}n}nme jh h kjh}qe hkfj`q mj jhkjh}mj }eme{ fe{ `k}eqj{ knjh}ke{& mj jisqj{`{ 'h`kneh`fj{ ~ jw}q`hojqe{. ~ j{}mn`h}jkeh mnhàink` sqesn` ~ pj ojd` h qef sqjsehmjq`h}j jh f` `k}`fnm`m(

[ekne{ fek`fj{ j nh}jqh`kneh`fj{

F` {eknjm`m fek`f ià{ niseq}`h}j {j m` jh }eqhe ` f` ZH[& ZKK& NH]N& KHJ@ KEH@J seq f` keisfjijh}`knûh jh}qj f` }jkhefed` pj j{}e{ `k}eqj{ {eh k`s`kj{ msqemknq& ~ jf mn{jðe mj inkqekgns{ mjmnk`me{( Jf NHR@S j{ h {ekne mj niseq}`hkn`& se{{ r`qne{ sqe~jk}e{ mj `f}e rjfe }jkhefûdnke(

F`{ jisqj{`{ KF@QNSG^ @QDJH]NH@ [( @( ~ @FFJDQE INKQE[N[]JI@[ {eme{ keis`ð`{ mj mn{jðe mj knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{& jh f`{ àqj`{ mj kehrjq}nmeqj{ mj m`}emj `f}` rjfeknm`m ~ mn{jðe `h`fûdnke s`q` jfjk}qûhnk` mj keh{ie& qj{sjk}nr`ijh}j(

J{}`{ me{ jisqj{`{ j{}àh jh sfjhe sqekj{e mj kqjkninjh}e& ~ jisfj`hme mj 1 ` sjq{eh`{ seq `ðe& k`m` h`(

Jh f` `k}`fnm`m& j{}j kqjkninjh}e {j g`~` fnin}`me seq f` mn{sehnanfnm`m mj QQGG iàpj seq hnhdÿh e}qe `k}eq(

Jh jf sf`he nh}jqh`kneh`f& {j kjh}` keh f`e{ keh{efnm`me{ keh iÿf}nsfj{ nh{}n}knehj{& keh f`{ k`fj{ {j g`h qj`fn`me%sqj{jh}`me sqesj{}`{ mj kef`aeq`knûh( F`{ nh{}n}knehj{ {eh f`{ {ndnjh}j{?

Oegh{ Geslnh{ Zhnrjq{n}~ 'JJZZ.(‡

Zhnrjq{n}~ e K`fneqhn` `} [`h Mnjde 'JJZZ.(‡

Kjh}qe Inkqejfjk}qûhnk` mj [jrnff` 'J{s`ð`.(‡

J]G '[n`.(‡

Zhnrjq{nm`m mj [`e S`fe 'Aq`{nf.(‡

Zhnrjq{nm`m Bjmjq`f mj Qne Dq`hmj me [f 'Aq`{nf.(‡

NH@EJ 'Iîwnke.(‡

Kgehal& H`}neh`f Zhnrjq{n}~ 'Keqj` mjf [q.(‡

H`}neh`f Kgn`e ]hd Zhnrjq{n}~ ']`nt`h.(‡

Zhnrjq{nm`m mj f` Qjsÿafnk` 'Zqd`~.(‡

Qj{f}` mj s`q}nkf`q niseq}`hkn`& f` qjf`knûh pj {j i`h}njhj keh kjh}qe{ h`kneh`fjmj inkqe ~ h`hejfjk}qûhnk`( Mjh}qe mj jffe{& {j sjmjh mj{}`k`q?

Kjh}qe H`kneh`f mj Inkqejfjk}qûhnk` mj [jrnff` 'J{s`ð`.(‡

H`}neh`f [~{}ji eh Kgns Sqedq`i Ekj e ]`nt`h ']`nt`h.(‡

KJN]JK 'Aq`{nf.(‡

FJ]N 'Dqjheafj.(‡

Eaoj}nre{ jh jf keq}e%ijmn`he sf`e

Fe{ eaoj}nre{ jh jf keq}e ~ ijmn`he sf`e ` keh{jdnq s`q` fedq`q h nis`k}e jh

{jk}eq sqemk}nre ` }q`rî{ mjf mj{`qqeffe mj inkqe ~ h`he}jkhefed`& {eh fe{ {ndnjh}j{?

Jh sqnijq fd`q& fedq`q h` i`{` kq}nk` mj knhkjh}` hjre{ mek}eqj{ j‡

f`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{ j nh{}n}knehj{ mj N,M mjf s`{( J{}e j{ jpnr`fjh}j ` i}nsfnk`q seq knhke& `sqewni`m`ijh}j& f` k`h}nm`m mj nhrj{}nd`meqj{ `k}`ijh}j jh f` `k`mjin`( Fe{ hjre{ mek}eqj{ mjajq`h eqi`q{j jh mnrjq{`iem`fnm`mj{?

) Jh sqedq`i`{ mj se{dq`me jh jf s`{(

) Jh sqedq`i`{ mj se{dq`me jh jf s`{ sjqe keh sjqeme{ nh}jqijmne{ jh jf j}jqneq(

) Jh sqedq`i`{ mj se{dq`me jh jf jw}jqneq(

F`{ }jià}nk`{ mj eqi`knûh mj j{}e{ QQGG {eh? mn{jðe `h`fûdnke& mn{jðe jq`mneqjkjhkn` 'QB.& mn{jðe mndn}`f& mn{jðe inw}e& mn{jðe }efjq`h}j ` q`mn`knûhK@M)JM@ ~ {e}t`qj mj {eseq}j& nh}jq`kj{ anefûdnk`{ ~ aneiîmnk`{& nh}jq`kj{ {jh{eqj{& {jh{eqj{& IJI[& HJI[& i`hjoe mj jhjqd`& [n{}ji`{ jh kgns '[eK.& iûmfe{ gaqnme{& [n{}ji`{ jh Jhk`s{f`me '[eS.& jhk`s{f`me& }j{}je ~ rjqnk`knûh(

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Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; =

Jh {jdhme fd`q& fedq`q h` i`{` kq}nk` mj i`d{}jq{ }jkhefûdnke{ jh kehmnkne)‡

hj{ mj nh}jdq`q{j `f {jk}eq sqemk}nre& jh me{ iem`fnm`mj{( F` sqnijq` iem`fn)m`m keh{n{}j jh f` eqi`knûh mj h refijh `sqewni`me mj 1: i`d{}jq{ seq `ðe'jh = `ðe{. jh jf jw}jqneq jh }jià}nk`{ mj `f}e nh}jqî{ keijqkn`f& jh jf i`qke mjh sqedq`i` {gekl mj `k}nr`knûh mjf {jk}eq sqemk}nre }jkhefûdnke( F` {jdhm`iem`fnm`m `sh}` ` djhjq`q h` sqemkknûh keh}nh` mj i`dn{}jq{%j{sjkn`fn{}`{jh jf s`{& ` q`ûh mj knhke mj jffe{ seq k`m` nhrj{}nd`meq seq `ðe& jh f`{ hn)rjq{nm`mj{ j nh{}n}knehj{ mj N,M( Jh }eme{ fe{ k`{e{& jf eaoj}nre sqnhkns`f mj j{)}e{ i`d{}jq%j{sjkn`fn{}`{ j{ refk`q{j `f ijmne sqemk}nre& jh f`{ keis`ð`{ mjmn{jðe jwn{}jh}j{& jh f`{ keis`ð`{ }q`{& jh jisqjhmninjh}e{ sqesne{& ~ jhjisqjhmninjh}e{ keh jisqj{`{ mjf qaqe jfjk}qûhnke nh}jqj{`m`{ jh nhkeqseq`q}jkhefed` mj knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{(

Jh }jqkjq fd`q& keh}`q keh h Nh{}n}}e H`kneh`f mj Mn{jðe& pj keeqmnhj ~ `q)‡

}nkfj j{jqe{& pj `{n{}` ~ `}njhm` f`{ hjkj{nm`mj{ mj f`{ S~IJ{& sqeij)r` ~ mnhm` f` nhkeqseq`knûh mj `f}` }jkhefed` jfjk}qûhnk`& hjdeknj fnkjhkn`{ ~`kjqme{ keh jisqj{`{ j nh{}n}knehj{ jw}q`hojq`{( Jf nh{}n}}e mjajq` }`ianîhkeeqmnh`q j{}mne{ hjkj{`qne{ s`q` h` mjhnknûh kf`q` mj f`{ se{nafj{ hnm`mj{mj hjdekne jh }eqhe ` h hjre {jk}eq keie {jq` jf mj f` nhm{}qn` `qdjh}nh` mjf{jinkehmk}eq( Ià{ `ÿh& j{}j nh{}n}}e mjajq` mjfnhj`q h sf`h nh}jdq`f mj mj){`qqeffe mjf hjdekne mjf mn{jðe inkqe ~ h`hejfjk}qûhnke jh f` @qdjh}nh`& j{}`afj)knjhme s`}`{ {eaqj jf i`hjoe mj f` sqesnjm`m nh}jfjk}`f& f` {jdqnm`m oqmnk` ~kj{}nehj{ `m`hjq`{(

Jh k`q}e fd`q& se{nkneh`q f` ni`djh mj f` @qdjh}nh` keie sefe mj djhjq`knûh‡

}jkhefûdnk`& ijmn`h}j h jq}j `se~e fed{}nke mjf J{}`me 'qjf`knehj{ jw}jqneqj{.jh f` jojkknûh mj h sf`h nh}jdq`f mj keihnk`knûh( S`q` jffe {j mjajh }nfn`qjknjh}jijh}j {{ qjkq{e{ {nke{ 'jia`o`m`{ ~ keh{f`me{. ~ gi`he{ '`dqj)d`me{ keijqkn`fj{ ~ kf}q`fj{. mj i`hjq` mj fedq`q sjhj}q`q `f}e{ kjh}qe{ mjmjkn{nûh 'jisqj{`{ ~ hnrjq{nm`mj{. ~ `{ {jmknq nhrjq{nehj{ djhnh`{ ` f`qdesf`e(

Jh pnh}e fd`q& ~ keisfjijh}`hme jf sh}e `h}jqneq& keh}`q keh h` mjkjh`‡

mj keis`ð`{ mj mn{jðe nh{}`f`m`{ jh f` @qdjh}nh`& `fqjmjmeq mj fe{ kjh}qe{

mj nhrj{}nd`knûh ~ mj{`qqeffe pj kjh}`h keh i`{` kq}nk`( J{ mj{j`afj fedq`qnhkeqseq`q jh}qj j{}`{ keis`ð`{ f` s`q}nkns`knûh mj jisqj{`{ j{sjkn`fn`m`{mj qjheiaqj nh}jqh`kneh`f( J{}`{ jisqj{`{ mjajqàh {jq }jh}`m`{ keh jf îh`{n{sj{}e jh f` djhjq`knûh mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{ 'h anjh j{k`{e jh jf ihme. ~jisfje& keh ijmnm`{ pj `kjfjqjh f` q`mnk`knûh mj f`{ in{i`{( Jf jjk}e mj}q`kknûh pj j{}e djhjq`q` qjkeisjh{`q` f` nhrjq{nûh qjpjqnm`(

Eaoj}nre{ jh jf f`qde sf`e 'mj{`qqeffe mj féhj`{ jpnse{ mj N,M& mj{`qqeffejisqj{`qne keijqkn`f& mj{`qqeffe mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{.

Jf eaoj}nre sqnhkns`f mj f`qde sf`e j{ jf mj{`qqeffe mj h ijmne sqnr`me mj `f}e sjqf}jkhefûdnke& pj djhjqj }q`a`oe keh h nis`k}e `sqjkn`afj jh f` jkehei` mj f` @qdjh)}nh`(

Zhe mj fe{ eaoj}nre{ sqnhkns`fj{ j{ f` djhjq`knûh mj sjpjð`{ ~ ijmn`h`{ jisqj{`{pj sqemk`h sqemk}e{ 'hÿkfje{ mj sqesnjm`m nh}jfjk}`f& {n{}ji`{ jh kgns& {jh{eqj{nh}jfndjh}j{& {n{}ji`{ jfjk}qûhnke{ keisfjoe{. s`q` jf ijqk`me jw}jqhe j nh}jqhe( E}qe& j{f` nh{}`f`knûh mj jisqj{`{ }jkhefûdnk`{ ~` keh{efnm`m`{ jh }jqqjhe h`kneh`f(

E}qe eaoj}nre j{ if}nsfnk`q fe{ dqse{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh ~ mj{`qqeffe& ~ fe{ dqse{ }jk)hefûdnke{ ` fe f`qde mjf s`{& mj i`hjq` pj jf {jk}eq knjh}ke kjh}j keh h` i`{`

kq}nk` {knjh}j s`q` `se~`q ~ jhqnpjkjq ` }q`rî{ mj f` nhher`knûh jf mj{`qqeffe mj f``k}nrnm`m sqnr`m`(

[j mjajq` keh}`q keh ià{ mj mnj kjh}qe{ mj N,M ~ }jkhefûdnke{& keh h` i`{`kq}nk` he ijheq ` mnj mek}eqj{ jh k`m` he mj jffe{(

[j mjajq` keh}`q keh h` nhq`j{}qk}q` mj jpns`injh}e mj `r`h`m` s`q` jf mj){`qqeffe mj IJI[& h`hej{}qk}q`{& keihnk`knehj{ mj `f}` qjkjhkn` 'DG. ~ {n{}ji`{inw}e{ ane)jfjk}qûhnke{& {knjh}j s`q` fnmjq`q mj{`qqeffe{ }jkhefûdnke{ jh j{}`{ àqj`{(

@mjià{ g`q` `f}` h` fhj` mj `aqnk`knûh mj knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{ mj a`o` j{k`f` 'hemj `r`h`m`. ‛i`~eqijh}j s`q` mn{jðe{ `h`fûdnke{‛ pj {nqr` s`q` `isfn`q f` a`{j mjkehekninjh}e jh }jkhefed`{ mj `aqnk`knûh& sqerjjq f` jfjk}qûhnk` mj keh{ie h`kneh`f&f` eqi`knûh mj }jkhûfede{& i`d{}jq{ ~ SgM„{& ~ fnmjq`q f` `aqnk`knûh mj sqe}e}nse{ mjf{n{}ji` jmk`}nre(

B`k}nanfnm`m mj `fk`h`q fe{ eaoj}nre{

Jh h j{kjh`qne i~ es}nin{}`& jf J{}`me sqerjj h `se~e nhnkn`f mjkn{nre ` f` eqi`)knûh mj QQGG keh kef`aeq`knûh nh}jqh`kneh`f ~ `}q`j h ajh hÿijqe 'ià{ mj knhke. mjjisqj{`{ mj mn{jðe(

Jh j{}j j{kjh`qne& qj{f}` i~ `k}nafj j{sjq`q pj {j fedqj h hÿijqe mj dq`m`me{mj i`d{}jq pj {j rjfpjh ` f` `k}nrnm`m sqnr`m`& }`h}e jh f`{ jisqj{`{ `}q`m`{& keiejh jisqjhmninjh}e{ sqesne{ jwseq}`hme }jkhefed`(

@{nin{ie& f`{ keis`ð`{ h`kneh`fj{ mj jfjk}qûhnk` `kjs}`h jf {`f}e }jkhefûdnke& ~fe h`hkn`h& sqemknjhme h` ejq}` mj jisfje& nhkeqseq`hme knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{& ~ jfj)r`hme jf r`feq `dqjd`me mj {{ sqemk}e{( Jh j{}j j{kjh`qne& }`ianîh j{ i~ `k}nafj hmj{`qqeffe mj f` k`s`knm`m `k`mîink` pj fedq` h` i`{` kq}nk` jh f`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{&{knjh}j keie s`q` `a`{}jkjq jf refijh qjpjqnme mj i`dn{}jq{ jh jf {jk}eq sqnr`me& ~s`q` jhqjh}`q fe{ mj{`e{ }jkhefûdnke{ }qe{(

F` @qdjh}nh` `s`qjkj jh jf i`s` nh}jqh`kneh`f keie h jwseq}`meq mj sqemkknûh mj}jkhefed`& mnh`in` ~ `k}`fn` { nhm{}qn` h`kneh`f jh }jkhefed`(

Jh h j{kjh`qne es}nin{}`& jf J{}`me sqerjj h `se~e ijmn`he& aqnhm`hme h hÿijqe{`}n{`k}eqne mj ajk`{ mj i`d{}jq ~ mek}eq`me& keh `fdh`{ mj jff`{ mj{}nh`m`{ ` f` j{)sjkn`fn`knûh jh jf jw}jqneq( [j `}q`jh h s`q mj jisqj{`{ mj mn{jðe( Jh j{}j j{kjh`qne&{j fedq` h` i`{` kq}nk` mj }jkhûfede{%nhrj{}nd`meqj{ jh f`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{( [j sqemkj}`ianîh h hÿijqe `mjk`me mj i`j{}q`{(

F`{ jisqj{`{ }ei`h h ajh hÿijqe mj fe{ j{sjkn`fn{}`{ eqi`me{& fe k`f i`h}njhj h qn}ie mj kqjkninjh}e {e{}jhnme }`h}e `f hnrjf mj eqi`knûh mj QQGG keie mjisfje(

F` `f}` mj eqi`knûh jh jf jw}jqneq& g`kj pj he {j mj nhnkn`fijh}j h` k`h}nm`h}qnm` mj jisqjhmninjh}e{ s`q` f` jwseq}`knûh mj }jkhefed`( [qdjh jisqjhmninjh}efek`fj{ jh kehohknûh keh jisqj{`{ h`kneh`fj{ mj jfjk}qûhnk`& f`{ k`fj{ mnh`in`h sqemkknûh mj }jkhefed` ~ jisfje(

F` @qdjh}nh` mnh`in` ~ `k}`fn` { nhm{}qn` h`kneh`f mj }jkhefed`( Keh{ndj f`a`{j{ {knjh}j{ s`q` jhk`q`q h` `{j {ndnjh}j ~ }q`h{eqi`q{j jh jwseq}`meq mj in{i`(

Jh h j{kjh`qne sj{nin{}`& he g`~ h `se~e mjkn{nre& {j keh{ndj h hÿijqqjmknme mj ajk`{& {ef`ijh}j mek}eq`fj{( F`{ ajk`{ mj i`j{}q`{ {eh sqern{}`{ jhÿijqe{ a`oe{ seq f`{ jisqj{`{ jwn{}jh}j{ jh jf ijmne( He {j fedq` `}q`jq hnhdhjisqj{`(

Jh j{}j j{kjh`qne& f` eqi`knûh mj QQGG {j }eqh` fe {knjh}jijh}j fjh}` keis`q` he sqemknq jf jjk}e if}nsfnk`}nre( [j sqemkjh `fdh`{ i`j{}q`{& f`{ k`fjea}njhjh }q`a`oe{ àknfijh}j jh f`{ jisqj{`{ h`hkn`meq`{& he ea{}`h}j& î{}`{ h`fk`h`h ` {`}n{`kjq {{ hjkj{nm`mj{ mj nhkeqseq`knûh mj sjq{eh`f(

Jf kqjkninjh}e jh f` `k`mjin` j{ fjh}e& ~ he `fk`h` ` se}jhkn`q jf {jk}eq sqnr`me( Hg`~ i`{` kq}nk` s`q` sqerjjq f` mji`hm` mj f`{ nhm{}qn`{ h`kneh`fj{ mj jfjk}qûhnk`& {j djhjq` jh jff`{ h nh}jqî{ he}`afj( He {j jwseq}` }jkhefed`(

µSeq pî f` Qjsÿafnk` @qdjh}nh` mjajqé` nhrjq}nq qjkq{e{ jh j{}` àqj`5

Beq}`fj`{ 

Nhmjsjhmjhkn }jkhefûdnk`(

@sqerjkg`injh}e mj qjkq{e{ g`{}` `geq` nhrjq}nme{(

K`s`knm`mj{ mn{}qnanm`{(

Hnrjf jmk`}nre mj fe{ j{}mn`h}j{ mj nhdjhnjq`(

Ke{}e{ keisj}n}nre{(

Eseq}zhnm`mj{ 

@ian}e nhm{}qn`f beqjknjh}j(

J}`s` gn{}ûqnk` jh [m`iîqnk`(

QQGG jh eqi`knûh(

Kjh}qe{ `k`mîinke{ ~ mj k`s`kn}`knûh qea{}e{(

F`aeq`}eqne{ }jkhefûdnke{ j{}`}`fj{ mj `f}` keisfjonm`m(

Se{nafj `keis`ð`injh}e mj inkqejfjk}qûhnk` keh jf kqjkninjh}e mj N] jh f` @

djh}nh`(

Mjanfnm`mj{ 

B`f}` mj keihnk`knûh ~ mj{kehekninjh}e nhm{}qn`)`k`mjin`(‡

B`f}` mj i`{` kq}nk` mj QQGG(‡

@{jhkn` mj h ijmne sqemk}nre pj sqerj` nhrjq{nehj{ mj qnj{de ~ jisfje(‡

@ijh``{ 

B`ff` jh f` `{ekn`}nrnm`m jh}qj jf {jk}eq mj mn{jðe ~ fe{ {jk}eqj{ mj sqemkknû‡

mj }jkhefed` ~ {e}t`qj (

B`f}` mj nh}jqî{ mj nhdjhnjqe{(‡

Behme{ nh{knjh}j{ s`q` f` sqemkknûh mj h` i`{` kq}nk` mj QQGG(‡

Ijmnm`{ kehkqj}`{

Bnh`hkn`q h sqedq`i` mj eqi`knûh mj I`j{}q`{ ~ Mek}eqj{& keh f` bjwnanfnm`‡

`mjk`m` s`q` f` kehkqjknûh mj fe{ eaoj}nre{ mj{j`me{& keh}jisf`hme f` eqi`knûh jh jf jw}jqneq(

Keisfj}`q f` eqi`knûh mjf Nh{}n}}e mj Mn{jðe keh h` j{}qk}q` djedqàk` mn{‡

}qnanm`( D`q`h}n`q jf h`hkn`injh}e s`q` f` ea}jhknûh mj fnkjhkn`{ keijqkn`fj~ {jqrnkne{ mj `aqnk`knûh(

Kqj`q h sqedq`i` j{sjkn`f pj h`hknj fe{ sj{}e{ mj fe{ j{sjkn`fn{}`{ djhjq‡

me{ jh jisqj{`{ }jkhefûdnk`{ jwn{}jh}j{ ~ jh hjre{ jisqjhmninjh}e{(

Beijh}`q f` nh{}`f`knûh mj ; jisqj{`{ jw}q`hojq`{ keh jq}j{ f`e{ ` fe{ sqe‡

~jk}e{ mj djhjq`knûh mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{ ~ j{}`afjkninjh}e mj mj{`qqeffe }jhefûdnke jh f` @qdjh}nh`(

RN( @QJ@[ ]Q@H[RJQ[@FJ[

RN( @( Jmk`knûh K`sn}`f Gi`he

‖]jkghefednk`f k`s`anfn}nj{ g`rj `ft`~{ ajjh ` zhm`ijh}`f keisehjh} e jkeheidqet}g `hm tjf`qj’ '‖ F`{ k`s`knm`mj{ }jkhefûdnk`{ {njisqj g`h {nme h keisehjhhm`ijh}`f mjf kqjkninjh}e jkehûinke ~ mjf anjhj{}`q’ '4..

@qkgnazdn " Keke '133=?1

'4. F` }q`mkknûh keqqj{sehmj ` f` jmnknûh mjf [sfjijh}e @k}e{ mj Deanjqhe(

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Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; :

Jh h` jkehei` k`m` rj ià{ meinh`m` seq fe{ {jqrnkne{ }jkhefûdnke{ he j{ se){nafj qj`fn`q h` sqe{sjk}nr` jh jf àqj` mj ]jkhefed`{ mj f` Nheqi`knûh ~ f` Kei)hnk`knûh ']NK. {nh keh{nmjq`q f` eqi`knûh mj K`sn}`f Gi`he keie h` mj f`{ àqj`{j{}q`}îdnk`{(

Jf K`sn}`f Gi`he j{ he mj fe{ `k}eqj{ mj sqemkknûh kf`rj{ jh f` jkehei` mjfkehekninjh}e jh djhjq`f ~ jh f` nhm{}qn` ]NK jh s`q}nkf`q(

Jh jf ÿf}nie pnhpjhne f` jrefknûh mj f` nhm{}qn` ]NK jh f` @qdjh}nh` g` jwsjqnijh)}`me h mj{`o{}j jh}qj f` ejq}` ~ f` mji`hm` mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{( Jh }`h}e f` mji`h)m` keh}nh` kqjknjhme sjq{n{}jh}jijh}j& f` ejq}` he fedq` bjwnanfn`q { kqjkninjh}e(

J{}` aqjkg` jh}qj ejq}` ~ mji`hm` ek`{neh` {jqne{ kjffe{ mj ae}jff` jh jf ijqk`memj }q`a`oe( Seq fe }`h}e {j sqes{e s`q` j{}j Fnaqe Af`hke nhkfnq h` Sqe{sjk}nr` {eaqj jfk`sn}`f gi`he ]NK s`q` f` @qdjh}nh` keh h geqneh}j sj{}e jh jf 1313(

Jh f`{ knjhkn`{ {ekn`fj{ jf qef mj f`{ sjq{eh`{ pj nh}jqrnjhjh jh jf sqekj{e sqemk)}nre }re mnjqjh}j{ mjheinh`knehj{(

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Mj `kjqme ` f` Jhkj{}` J{}qk}q`f ` S~IJ{ mj {jqrnkne{ ` f` sqemkknûh mjf Ea){jqr`}eqne S~IJ& jf 07* mj f`{ jisqj{`{ ijhkneh`h keie { sqnhkns`f sqeafji` f` mn)kf}`m mj k`s}`q qjkq{e{ gi`he{(

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[ûfe keie nf{}q`knûh& mj ;4(:33 jh jf 1332 s`{û ` =2(01: jh jf 1334 ~ {j rn{fiaqpj ffjd`qà ` ::(700 jh jf 1303 ~ 2:(7:4 jh jf 1300( Keie j{}` kj{}nûh j{ kjh}q`f s`qj{}j }q`a`oe& {j }q`}`qà jh mj}`ffj se{}jqneqijh}j(

Bndq` 1? Mnhàink` mjf Ijqk`me mj ]q`a`oe ]NK( @ðe 1332

 

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J{}e{ kjh}qe{ sqemk}nre{ eqjkjh iemjqh` nhq`j{}qk}q`& `se~e h`hknjqe ~ k`s`kn}`knûh s`q` `pjff`{ hjr`{ jisqj{`{ pj qjpnjqjh eqi`q ~ `k}`fn`q ` {{ qjkq{egi`he{(

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Jf ijqk`me mj f`{ }jkhefed`{ mj f` nheqi`knûh g` kqjknme ` s`{e qij ~ {j jkjh}q` sqûwnie mj qjksjq`q jf hnrjf pj }jh` `h}j{ mj f` kqn{n{ mjf 1330%1331( Mq`h}j jf 1332 f` `k}q`knûh jh keis}`meq`{& {e}t`qj ~ {jqrnkne{ nheqià}nke{ {sjqû feZ-[;(333 inffehj{& h` {i` pj {j `kjqk` ` fe{ Z-[;(2>3 inffehj{ qjdn{}q`me{ jh 1330& jf ÿf}nie `ðe mj f` kehrjq}nanfnm`m( 'KNKEIQ@& 1334< sàd( 4;.(

Zhe mj fe{ sqnhkns`fj{ }q`k}nre{ mjf ijqk`me qdjh}nhe ~ pj jwsfnk` { kqjkninjh{e{}jhnafj j{ pj& ` h ke{}e keisj}n}nre& {j sjmj jhkeh}q`q jisqj{`{ keh sjq{eh

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/libroblancodelaprospectivadelastecnologiasdelainformacionylacomunicacion-proyecto2020-parte3 7/32

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Zh niseq}`h}j nisf{e ` f` `k}nrnm`m mj ]NK g` {nme jf i`qke fjd`f pj j{}`afjkj pjf` `k}nrnm`m mj sqemkknûh mj {e}t`qj mjaj keh{nmjq`q{j keie h` `k}nrnm`m sqemk}nr`mj }q`h{eqi`knûh `{ninf`afj ` h` `k}nrnm`m nhm{}qn`f& ` fe{ jjk}e{ mj f` sjqkjsknûh mjajhjkne{ nise{n}nre{& kqjmn}nkne{ ~ mj k`fpnjq e}qe }nse(

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F` mji`hm` mj sjq{eh`f jh j{}j {jk}eq mjsjhmjqà mj f`{ jisqj{`{ pj jh k`m`eh` esjqjh ~%e {j q`mnpjh& ~ mj f` qjm mj kfnjh}j{ ~ sqerjjmeqj{ pj jh hknûh `jff`{ {j eqij( Zhe mj fe{ jfjijh}e{ pj nhb~jh `f ieijh}e mj f` jfjkknûh pj g`kjh` jisqj{` mj mj}jqinh`m`{ eh`{ djedqàk`{ s`q` esjq`q& j{ jf i`qke qjdf`}eqne ~j{pji`{ mj nhkjh}nre{ ` fe{ pj {j sjm` `kkjmjq(

]`af` 1( K`sn}`f Gi`he%Eqd`hn`knehj{ Z{`qn`{ mjf J{}`me( @ðe 1332

 

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‖He g`~ djh}j( Jf snaj pj j{}` jh sqnijq `ðe mj f` `kf}`m ~` j{}` }q`a`o`hme( Hjkj{n}ikge{ }îkhnke{& `fdhe{ }jqkn`qne{ hnrjq{n}`qne{ ~ {ûfe `fdhe{ nhdjhnjqe{( Seq jojisfs`q` qjjisf``q ` f` qjkjsknehn{}`& ffjd`a`h 13 KR seq m`< s`q` mj{`qqeff`meqj{& 03 jh ij{’(

Mnqjk}eq mj zh` keis`ðé` h`kneh

‖F` mji`hm` mj djh}j j{ jheqij( He{e}qe{ jisj`ie{ g`kj ; `ðe{ keh 4> sjq{eh`{]jqinh`ie{ jf 133: keh :33( Jf 1332 keh 0;33 ~ jf 1334 keh h sepn}e ià{ mj 1333’

Djqjh}j mj izf}nh`kneh

J{}` mnhàink` mj{kqnaj h` mnhàink` mj ijqk`me k`hna`fn`me jh mehmj f`{ jisqj{`{ dq`hmj{ ‖qea`h’ fe{ qjkq{e{ mj f`{ jisqj{`{ ijmn`h`{ ~ sjpjð`{ ~ î{}`{ {‖qea`h’ fe{ qjkq{e{ mjf j{}`me(

Mjanme `f seke k`m`f mj dq`m`me{ e eqi`knûh mj nmûhje{& fe{ }qj{ dqse{ keis}jh seq k`s}`q sjq{eh`f }îkhnke jh jf àqj` mj {n{}ji`{ ~ f` keisj}jhkn` {j nh}jh{nk` ` fgeq` mj qj}jhjqfe{ ~ keisj}nq keh jf {`f`qne(

[jdÿh h nheqij pj qj`fnû N]KEH ` s`q}nq mj ;(=73 jhkj{}`{ ~ ;33 jh}qjrn{}`jh sqehmnm`m keh sqej{neh`fj{ mj N]& jf 72* mj sqej{neh`fj{ sf`hj` h k`iane f`aeq`f ~ jf 7:* mj{j` h {jfme ià{ `f}e( Jh}qj fe{ ÿf}nie{& jf 0:* `{snq` ` h {jfme pmsfnk` jf `k}`f( Fe{ ià{ mn{keheqij{ {eh o{}`ijh}j fe{ sqedq`i`meqj{ ~ jf sjq{eh`mj {eseq}j pj {j ank`h jh f` a`{j mj f` snqàinmj {`f`qn`f ~ mj keisj}jhkn`{( 'Sjqh`1337.(

Bndq` ;( Snqàinmj mj f` Mji`hm` mj QQGG ]NK? jf semjq mj k`s}`knûh

 

Knqkzf`knûh mjf k`sn}`f gzi`he ]NK jh jf ijqk`me mj }q`a`oe jh f` mji`hm` mj ]NK(

ebjqjh}j{[[N

z{z`qne{ sqnr`me{

z{z`qne{ j{}`me

Jh}qj f`{ jisqj{`{ pj eqjkjh sqemk}e{ ~ {jqrnkne{ ]NK& jf nheqij mj KNKEIQ'1334? 2>. {jð`f` pj jf 70* rn{fiaq` h nhkqjijh}e mj { sjq{eh`f ~ g` {qnme hr`qn`knûh sqeijmne mjf 1:* jh}qj 1332 ~ 1334(

Mj f`{ jisqj{`{ {`qn`{ mj }jkhefed`& {efe h =3* mj jff`{ j{sjq` }jhjq h nhkqjijh}e mj sjq{eh`f keh h` r`qn`knûh mj g` {nme mjf 13* jh}qj 1332 ~ 1334< injh}q`{ ph :3* rn{fiaq` i`h}jhjq jf in{ie sjq{eh`f(

Keh{nmjq`hme f`{ }qj{ jq`{ pj iernfn`h f` jws`h{nûh mjf mji`hm` mj K`sn}Gi`he ]NK& f` `sjq}q` mjf ijqk`me ` f` sqern{nûh mj {jqrnkne{ dfe`afj{ mj ez}{ezqknhjf kqjkninjh}e {e{}jhnme mj f`{ nhrjq{nehj{ jh f`{ djqjhkn`{ mj N] mj f` i`he mjf SAN f` iemjqhn`knûh mjf J{}`me< {j sjmj mj{kqnanq r`qne{ {a{jdijh}e{ mjh}qe mj fe{ }qj}nse{ mj {jdijh}e{ mj ijqk`me{(

K`m` he mj jffe{ mj{kqnaj mji`hm`{ mj K`sn}`f Gi`he mj k`q`k}jq{}nk`{ mn{}nh}r`{& ~ qjpnjqjh mj sqern{nûh mj qjkq{e{ mnjqjhkn`me{ he{ mj e}qe{(

[n anjh he {j mn{sehjh mj hÿijqe{ sqjkn{e{ mj ejq}` ~ mji`hm` s`q` k`m` he mj{}e{ {jdijh}e{ {j sjmjh eqif`q gnsû}j{n{ {eaqj kàf mj j{}e{ {jdijh}e{ j{}`qià{ sqj{neh`me seq f` aqjkg` jh}qj f` ejq}` ~ f` mji`hm` ~ kàfj{ {jqàh f`{ fhj`{ mjq` jh}qj fe{ {jdijh}e{& ~` pj keie j ijhkneh`me `qqna` fe{ qeae{ mj QQGG jh}jisqj{`{ j{ g`an}`f m`m` f` {n}`knûh mjf ijqk`me mj }q`a`oe(

[jdijh}e ejqjh}j{? jwseq}`knûh& ez}{ezqknhd ~ mj{`qqeffe qjdneh`f 

F`{ jisqj{`{ pj ejq}`h {jqrnkne{ mj mj{`qqeffe mj {e}t`qj ~ {jqrnkne{ nheqià}nke{eh f`{ ià{ nh}jqh`kneh`fn`m`{ mj f` nhm{}qn`? mj{mj ez}{ezqknhd mj {jqrnkne{ }îkhnke~ mj{`qqeffe& }`h}e h`kneh`fj{ jwseq}`meq`{ e nh}jqh`kneh`fn`m`{& g`{}` f`{ if}nh`kne

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

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@ keh}nh`knûh {j mj}`ff`h k`m` h` mj fe{ {a{jdijh}e{?

Jisqj{`{ if}nh`kneh`fj{ mj {jqrnkne{? h sjpjðe dqse mj dq`hmj{ qi`{‡

}q`h{h`kneh`fj{& pj djhjq`fijh}j }njhjh keie `k}nrnm`m sqnhkns`f f` keijqkn`fn)`knûh mj {e}t`qj mj eqndjh jw}q`hojqe ~ f` sqj{}`knûh mj {jqrnkne{ nheqià}nke{&{eh f`{ pj ià{ sjq{eh`f `a{eqajh seq { }`i`ðe ~ j{}qk}q`( Seq jojisfe? NAIf`h` aÿ{pjm`{ mj 0:3 sjq{eh`{ s`q` kaqnq sj{}e{ }îkhnke{ jh ijhe{ mj ;ij{j{( J{}j }nse mj jisqj{`{ {ûfe sjmj j{}`q nh}jqj{`m` jh jisfj`q kgnke{ mjkf`{j{ sesf`qj{ seq {{ sqedq`i`{ mj qj{seh{`anfnm`m {ekn`f jisqj{`qn`( [nhjia`qde& f` fnin}`knûh he j{}`q` qjf`kneh`m` ` h sqjonkne mj kf`{j hn ` f` `f}`

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Jisqj{`{ h`kneh`fj{ ~ qjdneh`fj{ mj N]? fe{ me{ {jdijh}e{ `h}jqneqj{ {eh i~‡

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[jdijh}e z{z`qne{ sqnr`me{ 

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[jdijh}e J{}`me 

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Jh j{}j k`{e jwn{}jh {ûfe me{ sjqfj{ mn{sehnafj{? ]îkhnke jh Keis}`knûh ~ ]îkhnkjh Nheqià}nk` Sqej{neh`f ~ Sjq{eh`f& `iae{ nh{knjh}j{ s`q` f` mji`hm` mjf ijqk`me'BHKN[[N& 133=.(

Mj `kjqme ` f` nheqi`knûh qjk`a`m` jh jf `hàfn{n{ mj mekijh}e{& he ea{}`h}fe{ sjqfj{ sqe{ mj sqedq`i`knûh {eh fe{ ià{ qjpjqnme{& keie seq jojisfe ]îkhnkjh mj{`qqeffe mj {e}t`qj ~ Sqedq`i`meqj{& fe{ sjqfj{ gaqnme{ keie fe{ mn{jð`meqj

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[jdÿh jf nheqij mj KNKEIQ@& jh jf sjqeme 1334)1303 jf kehoh}e mj jisqj{`‛}`h}e `pjff`{ pj eqjkjh keie f`{ {`qn`{ mj ]NK‛ mji`hm`qàh ;= inf sjqfj{ kq}ke{( Jh JJ(ZZ(& î{}e{ {eh fe{ sjqfj{ keh ià{ ~ ijhe{ sj{}e{ mj }q`a`oe jh f` `k}`m`m 'KNKEIQ@& 1334< sàd( ::.?

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Bndq` 2( Bq`ho`{ {`f`qn`fj{ jh f` nhm{}qn` ]NK

 

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[n anjh fe{ nhmnk`meqj{ `qdjh}nhe{ jh i`}jqn` mj i`}qnkf`knûh jh k`qqjq`{ hnrjq{n}`)qn`{ ~ }jqkn`qn`{ qjf`kneh`m`{ ` N] {eh fe{ ijoeqj{ mj f` qjdnûh& f` jmk`knûh {sjqneq heg` `keis`ð`me `f kqjkninjh}e mj f` mji`hm` mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{ 'hn jh k`h}nm`m mjsqej{neh`fj{ eqi`me{& hn jh f`{ eqnjh}`knehj{ eqi`}nr`{ mj mnkge{ sqej{neh`fj{. mj f`nhm{}qn`(

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[jdÿh jf k`mqe 2& jf {n{}ji` hnrjq{n}`qne ~ jf }jqkn`qne jh { }e}`fnm`m ij{}q`h hkqjkninjh}e jh jf }e}`f mj jdqj{`me{ jh fe{ ÿf}nie{ `ðe{ '03(;13 jh jf 1334.(

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Jwn{}jh r`qn`{ esknehj{ jh k`h}e ` k`fkf`q f` aqjkg` jh}qj ejq}` ~ mji`hm` mk`sn}`f gi`he ]NK( Jh k`fpnjq` mj fe{ k`{e{ se{nafj{ jf qj{f}`me {jqà hjd`}nre( [`mrnjq}j pj }`h}e jh jf K`sn}`f Gi`he ank`me jh f` ‖Ejq}`’& keie jh jf ank`me jf`{ jisqj{`{ {`qn`{ sÿafnk`{ ~ sqnr`m`{ {jdnqàh kqjknjhme ` }`{`{ {e{}jhnm`{( ‖S`jf sjqeme 1334)1303 f` mji`hm` mj K`sn}`f Gi`he keh sjqfj{ kq}nke{ ]NK jwkjmjqà f` ejq}` jh 10(333 sjq{eh`{’ 'KNKEIQ@& 1334< s( 12.(

Jf K`sn}`f Gi`he mj f`{ jisqj{`{ mj f` ‖Ejq}` ]NK’ {jdnqà kqjknjhme keh i`~e`kjfjq`knûh pj jf sqeijmne( Mj `kjqme `f Nheqij mj K`sn}`f Gi`he ]NK& jf kqjkninj}e jh f` ejq}` j{}`q` kehmnkneh`me seq fe{ {ndnjh}j{ `k}eqj{& m`hme fd`q ` mn{}nh}ej{kjh`qne{ 'KNKEIQ@ 1334? ;;%;=.?

J{kjh`qne Es}nin{}` 

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Seq e}qe f`me f`{ keis`ð`{ }njhjh h` qj{seh{`anfnm`m ~` pj jwn{}j h` nhkeis`anfnm`m jh}qj }q`a`oe{ ff }nij mj ià{ mj =3 geq`{ {ji`h`fj{ ~ fe{ j{}mne{ hnrjq{n}`qnesjh{`me{ s`q` h` mjmnk`knûh sfjh` mq`h}j : `ðe{(

Jwn{}jh e}qe{ }ji`{ mj mnrjq{` hmefj qjf`kneh`me{( Seq jojisfe f` ‖rnq}`fn`knûmj fe{ iî}eme{ mj jh{jð`h`)`sqjhmn`oj’ semq` if}nsfnk`q f` k`s`knm`m mj eqi`knûmjf {n{}ji`( [nh jia`qde jh j{}j }jqqjhe jf s`{ {j jhkjh}q` i~ `}q`{`me qj{sjk}e ms`{j{ fmjqj{ keie Nhdf`}jqq` ~ J{s`ð` 'Sîqj Fnhme& 1334? :2.(

Jh }eme k`{e fe{ sqeafji`{ ijhkneh`me{ {eh mj hmefj eqd`hn`kneh`f ~ mj `{ndh`knûh mj qjkq{e{ mjh}qe mj f`{ nh{}n}knehj{ hnrjq{n}`qn`{& seq fe }`h}e h }ji` sqesne mf` `}ehei`& e anjh& h sqeafji` qjf`kneh`me keh jf keiseq}`injh}e mj f` seaf`knû  oerjh pj qj{sehmj ` f` qj`fnm`m mj fe{ {e{ ~ ke{}iaqj{ mj f` seaf`knûh oerjh p

nhdqj{` `f ijqk`me f`aeq`f pj sqjjqj mjo`q {nh }jqinh`q { k`qqjq` `h}j f` jrnmjhkn` mpj { sj{}e mj }q`a`oe he j{}`qà jh qnj{de(

Seq fe }`h}e {j ek`fn`qà j{}` {jkknûh jh f`{ àqj`{ mjf {n{}ji` jmk`}nre pj se}jhkn`fijh}j }njhjh ‖k`s`knm`m ekne{`’ s`q` f` eqi`knûh mj k`sn}`f gi`he( Seq h f`me fej{}mn`h}j{ jh jf {n{}ji`{ jmk`}nre mjf qj{}e mj f`{ k`qqjq`{ hnrjq{n}`qn`{ ~ }jqkn`qn`pj se}jhkn`fijh}j semq`h nhkeqseq`q e g`h nhkeqseq`me keh}jhnme{ ]NK< ~ seq {sj{}mj f` jmk`knûh sqni`qn` ~ {jkhm`qn` pj se}jhkn`fijh}j semq`h nhkeqseq`q e g`h nhkeseq`me keh}jhnme{ ]NK& }`h}e jh sqedq`i`{ kqqnkf`qj{ keie jh fe{ jw}q`kqqnkf`qj{( Jj{}j sh}e {j mjajq` keh{nmjq`q fe{ j{jqe{ sÿafnke)sqnr`me{ s`q` mj{`qqeff`q sqedq`i`{ mj nh{jqknûh f`aeq`f jh jf {jk}eq ]NK(

J{kzjf` ijmn` ~ }jqkn`qn` 

F`{ `kknehj{ pj {j rnjhjh mj{`qqeff`hme jh jf sf`he mj f` eqif`knûh mj sf`hjj{}q`}îdnke{ s`q` jf {jk}eq ~` nhkf~j h ajh` me{n{ mj sf`hnk`knehj{ `f qj{sjk}e( Jj{}j `{sjk}e h` sqnijq` `r`h`m` mjf mj{sfnjdj mj sef}nk`{ jmk`}nr`{ j{ jf p{j eksû mj `k}`fn`q f`{ kqqkf`{ mj f`{ jmk`knûh }îkhnk` ijmn`( Jh j{}j sh}}`ianîh {j mjajq`h nhkfnq f` `k}`fn`knûh }jkhefûdnk` mj fe{ nh{}n}}e{ }jqkn`qne{ mj @qdjh}nh`

E}qe `{sjk}e ` kaqnq j{ jf mjf mj{`qqeffe mj sjqfj{ gaqnme{ pj mjajq` {jq s`q}j mh` {jdhm` djhjq`knûh mj sef}nk`{ mj }q`h{eqi`knûh mj f` j{kjf` ijmn`(

Ge~ j{}e{ sjqfj{ gaqnme{ {j kaqjh keh Nh{}n}}e{ }jqkn`qne{ mj eqi`knûh sqnr`mpj }`ianîh eqi`h s`q}j mj f`{ `r`h`m`{ mjf k`iane }îkhnke jh j{}j k`{e qj{jf}e sef` ejq}` sqnr`m` mj eqi`knûh }jqkn`qn`(

Seq ÿf}nie }`ianîh {j qjdn{}q`h ejq}`{ mj eqi`knûh ‖eh }gj oea’ pj f`{ jisqj{`mj{sfnjd`h jh { `àh mj qj{efrjq fe{ sqeafji`{ mj {`}n{`kjq {{ mji`hm`{ mj qjkq{egi`he{(

Sjqbfj{ nheqià}nke{ s`q` f` jmzk`knûh ijmn` 

Jh}qj fe{ k`fj{ {j sjmj mj{}`k`q f` kehjkknûh seq s`q}j mjf Nh{}n}}e H`kneh`f mf` Beqi`knûh ]îkhnk` 'NHJ]. mj 1 sjqfj{ sqej{neh`fj{ keh jf `se~e mj f` KJ[[N( FKJ[[N keisnfû h j{}mne mj sjqfj{ mjf k`f {j mj{sqjhmj f` {ndnjh}j fn{}` `dqs`mseq kf{}jq{ mj mji`hm`{ seq {jdijh}e mjf ijqk`me?

Fn{}`me mj Sjqbfj{ 'KJ[[N& 133:.

Kf{}jq Mj{`qqeffe mj [e}t`qj?‡

) @h`fn{}` mj {n{}ji`{%@h`fn{}` ]îkhnke Bhkneh`f(

) Mj{`qqeff`meq mj @sfnk`knehj{ Tja(

) Mj{`qqeff`meq mj @sfnk`knehj{ Kfnjh}j [jqrnmeq(

) @qpn}jk}e%Mn{jð`meq mj [efknehj{(

) J{sjkn`fn{}` jh [jdqnm`m mj @sfnk`knehj{(

Kf{}jq Nhq`j{}qk}q` ]jkhefûdnk`?‡

) @minhn{}q`meq mj qjmj{& keihnk`knehj{ ~ {n{}ji`{ esjq`}nre{(

) @minhn{}q`meq mj [jdqnm`m(

) @minhn{}q`meq mj A`{j mj M`}e{(

Kf{}jq Bhkneh`f?‡

) Keh{f}eq Bhkneh`f Ohneq(

) Keh{f}eq Bhkneh`f [jhneq() Fmjq mj Sqe~jk}e(

) Sqe~jk} I`h`djq%Mnqjk}eq mj Sqe~jk}e{(

) Jojk}nre Keijqkn`f(

Kf{}jq K`fnm`m?‡

) Fmjq%Djqjh}j%Qj{seh{`afj mj K`fnm`m(

) @h`fn{}` P@ 'P`fn}~ @{{q`hkj.(

) @h`fn{}` ]j{}jq 'keh eqnjh}`knûh }îkhnk` ~%e hkneh`f.(

J{}j r`fne{e ~ qjknjh}j }q`a`oe qjpnjqj mj h j{jqe jmjq`f s`q` { nisfjijh}`knûh( J{}` hjr` nhnkn`}nr` qjpnjqj mj f` `kknûh se{n}nr` mj fe{ {n{}ji`{ jmk`}nresqernhkn`fj{ s`q` pj {j ffjrj ` f` sqàk}nk`( Jh j{}j {jh}nme jwn{}jh ikg`{ eseq}hnm`mj{ s`q` kqjkjq jh jf àqj` ijmn` mjf {n{}ji` kqj`hme j{kjf`{ }îkhnk`{ nheqià}nk`{ nheqi`}n`hme f` j{kjf` ijmn` djhjq`f(

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

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Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; 00

Sjqbfj{ géaqnme{

F`{ ejq}`{ mj eqi`knûh mj k`sn}`f gi`he he {efe mjajh qj{sehmjq ` f` nhm{}qn`mjf {e}t`qj  seqpj {j sqj{jhkn` h j{kjh`qne mj sjqfj{ gaqnme{( F` i`~eq` mj f`mji`hm` mj QQGG jh f` nhm{}qn` [[N {j jhkjh}q` jh fe{ sqerjjmeqj{ mj {e}t`qj & {nhjia`qde jf dqj{e mjf ijqk`me {j jhkjh}q` jh f`{ jisqj{`{ {`qn`{( Zh `{sjk}e qj)fjr`h}j mj j{}`{ jisqj{`{ j{ { mji`hm` mj sjqfj{ mj hjre }nse(

[eh fe{ sjqfj{ gaqnme{ pj {j eks`h mj hknehj{ mj fhj` pj g`h nhkeqseq`meh` `f}` me{n{ mj }jkhefed` nheqià}nk`( Seq jojisfe& f`{ djqjhkn`{ mj i`qlj}nhd ~ ke)ihnk`knûh mj j{`{ jisqj{`{ {eh }ei`meq`{ mj Mn{jð`meqj{ Tja& j{}e{ mn{jð`meqj{{n anjh he {eh eqi`me{ keie nheqià}nke{ sjmjh sqerjhnq mj k`qqjq`{ mj mn{jðe e ke)ihnk`knûh ~ fjde {j eqi`h jh f`{ `sfnk`knehj{ ~ jh sqedq`i`knûh mj i`hjq` eqi`f

e nheqi`f(E}qe jojisfe mj sjqf gaqnme {eh fe{ }îkhnke{ nhm{}qn`fj{ ‖mndn}`fn`me{’ keie fe{

733 esjq`qne{ pj }eiû f` jisqj{` ]E^E]@ k`hme `aqnû { sf`h}` jh zàq`}j 'Sqe)rnhkn` mj Ajhe{ @nqj{. jh 0>>4( S`q` ]E^E]@ j h sqeafji` `a`{}jkjq{j mj qjkq){e{ gi`he{ pj sjm`h i`hjo`q fe{ j{}àhm`qj{ pj {{ sjqfj{ qjpnjqjh( Jh 1332&]E^E]@ @qdjh}nh` qj`fnû f` sqnijq` jh}qjd` mj mnsfei`{ mj { ‖Sqedq`i` mj Jmk`knûhj Nh{jqknûh F`aeq`f’(

[j }q`}` mjf sqnijq sqedq`i` mj j{}j }nse jh f` @qdjh}nh` ~ { eaoj}nre sqnhkns`f j{sqeierjq pj oûrjhj{ mj 07 ` 1: `ðe{ keisfj}jh jf {jkhm`qne( @{nin{ie& h` rj }jq)inh`me{ {{ j{}mne{& {j fj{ aqnhm` f` eseq}hnm`m mj keh}nh`q k`s`kn}àhme{j j nhdqj{`q` }q`a`o`q jh f` keis`ð`( Fe{ sqnijqe{ 02 oûrjhj{ pj qjknanjqeh jf mnsfei`& ~` jqehnhkeqseq`me{ ` f` sf`h}` nhm{}qn`f mj ]E^E]@ jh zàq`}j(

E}qe jojisfe mj sjqf gaqnme {eh fe{ rjhmjmeqj{ ‖mndn}`fn`me{’( F` kqjknjh}j nh)keqseq`knûh mj }jkhefed`{ mj f` nheqi`knûh jh fe{ }q`a`o`meqj{ iûrnfj{ }`h}e seq fe{mn{se{n}nre{ nheqià}nke{ keie mj }jfjeh` kjff`q keh Nh}jqhj} iûrnf ~ jf sz{g i`nf mjmn{se{n}nre{ keie fe{ Af`klajqq~  kehrnjq}jh ` }eme }q`a`o`meq mj k`ise jh }q`a`o`meqmndn}`fn`me k`hme {eaqj j{`{ sf`}`eqi`{ {j mj{`qqeff`h `sfnk`knehj{ j{sjkk`{ s`q`f` dj{}nûh mj rjh}`{(

Sqejk}e{ mj eqi`knûh `f}jqh`}nr` mj QQGG

Jf mj{`qqeffe mj sqedq`i`{ ~ j{pji`{ mj k`s`kn}`knûh ~ eqi`knûh& keie {j mnoe`h}jqneqijh}j& keh{}n}~j h` `f}jqh`}nr` s`q` {efkneh`q f` j{k`{j mj K`sn}`f Gi`he&h k`inhe pj r`qn`{ jisqj{`{ g`h mj{`qqeff`me jh f` @qdjh}nh`(

Fe{ sqedq`i`{ ià{ jwn}e{e{ {eh fe{ sqedq`i`{ nh)gez{j pj qj`fn`h f`{ jisqj{`{s`q` qjkf}`q ~ eqi`q }`fjh}e{( @ keh}nh`knûh {j qj{jð`h f`{ jwsjqnjhkn`{ ea{jqr`m`{(

Kûqmea` ]jkghefed~? Sqedq`i` mj Ajk`{ mjf Kjh}qe mj Qj{nmjhkn`{ 

Jf sqedq`i` mj Ajk`{ mjf Kjh}qe mj Qj{nmjhkn`{ {j jhi`qk` jh jf ‖Sf`h J{}q`}îdn)ke mj Beqi`knûh mj Qjkq{e{ Gi`he{ s`q` f` nhm{}qn` nheqià}nk` ~ jfjk}qûhnk` mj f`Sqernhkn` mj Kûqmea`’( [eh kq{e{ dq`}n}e{ mj `k}`fn`knûh jh }jkhefed`{ mj f` nheq)i`knûh ~ jfjk}qûhnk` pj {j mnk}`h jh jf Kjh}qe @i`mje [`a`}nhn(

[j }q`}` mj h sqedq`i` mj k`s`kn}`knûh mnqndnme ` `mefj{kjh}j{ jh {n}`knûh mjrfhjq`anfnm`m 'mqed`mnk}e{& {nh ged`q& rnefjhkn` `infn`q& j}k(. eqd`hn`me seq jf Inhn{}jqnemj Sqemkknûh mjf Deanjqhe mj f` Sqernhkn` mj Kûqmea`& oh}e keh jf Kf{}jq Kûqmea`]jkghefed~ '0=.& f` KNNJKK@& jf N]K ~ f`{ jisqj{`{ if}nh`kneh`fj{ q`mnk`m`{ jh j{}` sqe)rnhkn`< eqjkjh k`s`kn}`knûh dq`}n}` jh kq{e{ mj eqi`knûh f`aeq`f jh O`r`& (Hj}& K& K,,~ Eq`kfj(

Ajk`{ ‖:33w:33’ ~ ‖:33w;33’? Deanjqhe mj f` Sqernhkn` mj Kûqmea` 

Jf Sqedq`i` ‖:33w:33’ sqjrî e}eqd`q :33 ajk`{ mj :33 sj{e{ ijh{`fj{ '2(333 sj){e{ `h`fj{. seq jf sjqeme pj mqj f` k`qqjq` s`q` `fihe{ keh fe{ ijoeqj{ sqeijmne{pj {j nh{kqna`h jh k`qqjq`{ hnrjq{n}`qn`{ mj nheqià}nk`(

Jf Sqedq`i` ‖:33w;33’ sqjrî e}eqd`q :33 ajk`{ mj ;33 sj{e{ ijh{`fj{ ';(233 sj){e{ `h`fj{. seq jf sjqeme pj mqj f` k`qqjq` s`q` `fihe{ keh fe{ ijoeqj{ sqeijmne{pj {j nh{kqna`h jh k`qqjq`{ }jqkn`qn`{ mj nheqià}nk`(

Sqekjmninjh}e? fe{ eqif`qne{ mj nh{kqnsknûh {j qj}nq`h jh fe{ kefjdne{( Fe{ `fihe{mjajqàh keisfj}`q f` {efnkn}m ~ sqj{jh}`qf` jh { sqesne kefjdne( F` Mnqjkknûh mjf j{}`)afjkninjh}e g`qà keh{}`q jf sqeijmne& jfjr`qà f` {efnkn}m `f Inhn{}jqne mj Jmk`knûh ~ {jg`qà f` {jfjkknûh( Jh}qj jf 0 ~ jf 0: mj mnknjiaqj {j g`qà f` sqj{jh}`knûh ~ `h}j{ mj h mj`ðe {j m`qàh fe{ qj{f}`me{(

Sqedq`i`{ jw}q`kzqqnkzf`qj{ jh jf [n{}ji` Jmzk`}nre 

G`an}`fijh}j jh f`{ j{kjf`{ }îkhnk`{ ` keh}q` }qhe jwn{}jh sqedq`i`{ jw}q`k)

qqnkf`qj{ mj eqi`knûh mj sqedq`i`meqj{( J{}e{ sqedq`i`{ mn{}`h mj {jq i`{nre{ ~{eh jf qj{f}`me mj f` refh}`m mj h sð`me mj sqej{eqj{( Jh f` Knm`m mj Qe{`qne&seq jojisfe& hkneh`h jh : j{kjf`{ }îkhnk`{ mj f`{ pj {j qjknajh mj =3 ` :3 sqedq`)i`meqj{ seq `ðe( Jf qj{f}`me j{ ajhe ` sj{`q mj keh}`q keh h` nhq`j{}qk}q` ~ jpn)s`injh}e i~ sqjk`qne {nh jia`qde jf refijh j{ seke(

NAI)@qj` mj Dfea`f Mjfnrjq~ Kjh}jq mj NAI @qdjh}nh` 

Jh jf sjqeme 133:%1332 {j keijhû ` mj{`qqeff`q h` inhn kqqkf` s`q` kefjdne{{jkhm`qne{( F` jisqj{` NAI `keqmû keh jf Nh}jhmjh}j mjf Ihnknsne mj Rnkjh}j Fûsjqj`fn`q h k`{e snfe}e jh f` J{kjf` S`f` @fa`qq`kh mj [`qinjh}e( F` nhq`j{}qk}q`jq` i~ i`f` ~ j i~ jhdeqqe{e g`kjq e sqesehjq k`iane{( NAI jh}qjdû h kq{e mjeqi`meq mj eqi`meqj{ ~ ijoeqû ikge jf hnrjf fe{ sqej{eqj{( Sj{j ` f`{ mnkf}`mj{&j{}j sqedq`i` qjknîh ffjdû ` f` nisfjijh}`knûh jh f`{ j{kjf`{ j{}j `ðe '1337.( S`q` fek`f {j `sfnk`qeh f`{ fjkknehj{ `sqjhmnm`{ mjf k`{e snfe}e ~ {j qiû h kehrjhne ff`i`meKESQJ] keh f` Mnqjkknûh mj J{kjf`{ mj f` Sqernhkn` mj Ajhe{ @nqj{ ~ keh jf Inhn{}jqnemj ]q`a`oe(

'0=. Rjq? g}}s?%%ttt(keqmea`}jkghefed~(kei%nhmjw(`{s(

Jf eaoj}nre mjf kehrjhne jq` eqi`q ` fe{ jdqj{`me{ keie {~{}ji `minhn{}q`meq & `inhn{}q`meqj{ ~ {eseq}j{ mj qjmj{ ~ `sfnk`knehj{& keh g`anfnm`mj{ }`fj{ keie nh{}`f`sqedq`i`{ ~ qjmj{& h eaoj}nre keisfnk`me e `iankne{e s`q` ffjr`q keh `fihe{ mj kefjdne {jkhm`qne keh kehekninjh}e{ i~ aà{nke{( [j {jfjkkneh`qeh 11 sqej{eqj{ psjq}jhjkjh ` j{kjf`{ keh ajh jpns`injh}e ~ kqqkf` ià{ {e{}nk`m` s`q` semj}jhjq h mnàfede keiÿh( F` ihnkns`fnm`m heiaqû h keeqmnh`meq 'Mnqjk}eq mjf KefjdF` [`ffj. s`q` }eme jf sqe~jk}e(

Jf in{ie nhkf~j pj fe{ `fihe{ }eijh fe{ kq{e{ jh fe{ me{ ÿf}nie{ `ðe{ mj {jkhm`qn` ~ pj j{}e{ keh}jhnme{ {j`h s`q}j mj fe{ KAK{( [n {eh s`q}j mj f` kqqkf`m`me pj {n jq` jw}q`kqqnkf`q {j keisfnk`a` f` nisfjijh}`knûh ~` pj fe{ `fihe}jh`h pj kehkqqnq jh geq`qne{ jw}q` keisfnkàhme{j f` esjq`knûh ~ f` fed{}nk` mj fekq{e{( Jf sf`h j{ pj `f h`f mjf kq{e jh}qjh jh NAI keie  ozhneq mj fednk`f kkj{{ p

j{ fe ià{ ozhneq pj g`~ jh f` keis`ð`(DFEA@H] Zhnrjq{n}~ 'DFEA@H] Z. 

DFEA@H] j{ h` mj f`{ jisqj{`{ mj {e}t`qj pj ià{ g` kqjknme jh fe{ ÿf}nie`ðe{ jh f` @qdjh}nh`& mj{}`kàhme{j seq jf r`feq `dqjd`me( S`{û mj }jhjq ;33%;:3 jisfj`me{ jh jf 133; ` 433 jh jf 1334(

@ s`q}nq mjf se{nkneh`injh}e ea}jhnme& f` jisqj{` pnjqj mj{`qqeff`q h` k`qqjq` àdmehmj fe{ `fihe{ }eme{ fe{ `ðe{ qjkna`h `fdh` kjq}nk`knûh pj k`ian`q` ` ijmm` pj f`{ }jkhefed`{ k`ian`h( Jf sqe~jk}e jisj`qà keh `mefj{kjh}j{ mj =³ `ðe m{jkhm`qne& keh }qhe{ `keiem`me{( [j fj{ snjh{` jh{jð`q }ji`{ kjh}q`fj{ ~ h 43*kehekninjh}e{ ‖qj`m~ }e aj {jm’& seq jojisfe& keie {`q f`{ deedfj sn{ & jf deedfj i`kqj`q ojde{ w jfjk}qehnk`q}{ & j}k( [j j{sjq` qjknanq ` 0:3%133 kgnke{ mq`h}j jf sqnij`ðe( F` nhrjq{nûh s`q` kqj`q f` DFEA@H])Z j{ mj `sqewni`m`ijh}j ; e = inffehj{ mmûf`qj{(

‖J{}j sqe~jk}e pj ij sqj{jh}à{ he{ nh}jqj{` 'Bhm`knûh AN. seqpj pnà{ sjm`h kef`aeq`q e sfjd`q{j ` f` Dfea`f Z( Pjqjie{ mj{`qqeff`q h` k`qqjq` àdnf 'fe keh}q`qne ` }jhmjhkn` mj f`{ k`qqjq`{ t`}jq`ff .( Sjh{`ie{ pj f` k`qqjq` }njhj pj {jq h` {jkjhkn` ½}eme{ fe{ `ðe{ ij qjknae mj `fde½( ]`iseke pjqjie{ j{sjq`q pj }jhd`h 07 `ðe

}njhjh pj jisj`q `h}j{& h kgnke mj 0: j{ ~` h kjqjaqe’(I`q}nh Inde~`& DFEA@H] KJ

Kfnjh}nhd Dqezs 

Jh jf 1334 f`h`qeh h sqe~jk}e mj Oûrjhj{ Jh}{n`{}`{ s`q` qjkf}`q 13 oûrjhjseq {ji`h` s`q` k`s`kn}`qfe{ jh }`qj`{ ~ kehekninjh}e{ j{sjkke{ mj sqedq`i`knûh {n{}ji`{ }îkhnke{( Sjqe keie he fedq`qeh kaqnq jf kse& fe jqeh keisfj}`hme keh djh}s`q` k`ff kjh}jq{(

KN[KE 

F` jisqj{` nisf{` Qe`m[get{ seq jf nh}jqneq mjf s`{ mj `sqewni`m`ijh}j meij{j{& mj ieme }`f mj keh}`k}`q ` nh}jqj{`me{ jh kehrjq}nq{j jh k`h`f mj KN[KE ~ j{sjkn`fn`q{j jh {efknehj{ s`q` S~IJ{& ~ ` f` rj& eqjkjq `f}jqh`}nr`{ mj k`s`kn}`knûj{sjkk`{ s`q` fe{ sjqfj{ pj hjkj{n}`( E}qe j{pji` }nfn`me seq KN[KE keh{n{jh sqeierjq sqedq`i`{ keh `se~e dajqh`ijh}`f '~` {j` ` hnrjf h`kneh`f& sqernhkn`f ihnkns`f.(

INKQE[EB]? F`aeq`}eqne{ mj k`s`kn}`knûh ~ jisfje 

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EQ@KFJ 

EQ@KFJ oh}e keh Bhm`knûh Sqe~mj{` mj{`qqeff`qeh jf kq{e ‖EQ@KFJ 03d O`rSqedq`iinhd’( J{}` hjr` sqesj{}` mj eqi`knûh sqej{neh`f `sh}` ` eqjkjqfj ` j{}mn`h}j{ ~ dq`m`me{ s`q` { nh{jqknûh f`aeq`f k`s`kn}`knûh jh sqedq`i`knûh O`r`( F` mnhink` mjf kq{e nhkf~j kqj`q `sfnk`knehj{ ijmn`h}j f`{ }jkhefed`{ O`r` j{}àhm`q& ` }q`rîmjf jh}eqhe mj mj{`qqeffe EQ@KFJ OMjrjfesjq 03d( ‖EQ@KFJ 03d O`r` Sqedq`iinh}njhj h` mq`knûh mj h {jij{}qj& 07 {ji`h`{ jh }e}`f( F` kq{`m` j{ mj = geq`{ {ji`h`fj{ keh h` keianh`knûh mj kf`{j{ sqj{jhkn`fj{ ~ j{}mne jh fhj` seq ijmne mj h {n}Tja mj{`qqeff`me s`q` j{}j sqedq`i`( Jf i`}jqn`f mj j{}mne }nfn`me j{ jf ln} mj EQ@KFZhnrjq{n}~ ~ h` {jqnj mj keh}jhnme{ j{sjkke{ eh)fnhj(

F`{ k`s`knm`mj{ mj eqi`knûh aà{nk` ]NK

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F`{ sef}nk`{ }jkhefûdnk`{ jh djhjq`f& ~ f`{ sef}nk`{ mj nhkf{nûh mndn}`f jh s`q}nkf`}njhjh ikg`{ mnkf}`mj{ s`q` fedq`q h fd`q mj `}jhknûh jh f` `djhm` sÿafnk`( [jia`qde& {n anjh he {eh eaoj}e mj fe{ mn{kq{e{ sef}nke{& { {j sjmjh ea{jqr`q `kknehjkehkqj}`{ s`{nafj{ mj {jq ijh{q`m`{(

J{}`{ `kknehj{ g`h jijqdnme mj h` {jqnj mj sef}nk`{ mj hnrjf ijmne jh f` `minhn{}q`knûh pj `sh}`qeh ` qj{efrjq fe{ }ji`{ aà{nke{ mj f` iemjqhn`knûh ~ fe{ sqeafji`kehkqj}e{ jh f` jk`kn` mj f` `minhn{}q`knûh mjf J{}`me '@q}esefe{ ~ Iefnh`qn& 1334.(

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

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Jf sqeijmne mj `fihe{ seq keis}`meq` jh j{}`afjkninjh}e{ mj hnrjf ijmne mjjmk`knûh keiÿh jh jf àian}e qa`he `{knjhmj ` 1:(

Jh f` qjdnûh j{ {sjq`me seq s`{j{ keie Kgnfj& Ke{}` Qnk` e Iîwnke ~ {sjq` `Aq`{nf pj `{knjhmj ` =3 `fihe{ seq keis}`meq`( Jh jf àian}e sqnr`me j{}` knq` {j qj)mkj ` 0= {njhme ;2 jf sqeijmne s`q` f`{ j{}`}`fj{( Sjqe {n {j keh{nmjq` ` f`{ j{kjf`{ mjhnrjf sqni`qne fe{ d`qn{ie{ {j mn{s`q`h ` h sqeijmne mj 4> `fihe{ seq keis}`meq`&ffjd`hme ` 010 jh f`{ j{}`}`fj{(

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Mj }eme{ fe{ sqedq`i`{ jwn{}jh}j{ jh jf Inhn{}jqne mj Jmk`knûh& jf pj g` nhrjq}nmejh eqi` keh{n{}jh}j jh jf àqj` mj nheqià}nk` jmk`}nr` g` {nme jf Sqedq`i` mj Ijoeq`)injh}e mjf [n{}ji` Jmk`}nre 'SQEI[J. 'g}}s?%%ttt(ij(der(`q%sqei{j%.(

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Jwsjqnjhkn`{ sqernhkn`fj{ 

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

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F`{ Qjmj{ mj Nhher`knûh& Jisqjhmjmeqn{ie ~ Sqemk}nrnm`m 'QNJS. `sh}`h ` qj{erjq he mj fe{ ‖hme{ kq}nke{’ jhkeh}q`me{ jh fe{ hijqe{e{ j{}mne{ qj`fn`me{ {eaf` {n}`knûh mjf {jk}eq [[N ~ ]NK jh djhjq`f< ` {`ajq& f`{ he}`afj{ mnkf}`mj{ s`q` f` nh}jq`kknûh j nh}jdq`knûh mj jisqj{`qne{& {jk}eq jmk`}nre ~ knjh}ke ~ {jk}eq sÿafnke jh sqe~jk}e keiÿh mj mj{`qqeffe mj h {jk}eq }jkhefûdnke a`{`me jh `k}nrnm`mj{ nh}jh{nr`jh kehekninjh}e( J{}` {n}`knûh g` {nme nmjh}nk`m` keie h` mj f`{ sqnhkns`fj{ }q`a`eaoj}nr`{ s`q` jf kqjkninjh}e( 'Sf`h J{}q`}îdnke 133=)130=.(

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

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Jh j{}` {n}`knûh& hjr`ijh}j jf qef mjf J{}`me j{ kf`rj? `ijh}`hme f` nhrjq{nûhjh knjhkn` ~ }jkhefed`& qjeqi`hme fe{ sf`hj{ jmk`}nre{ jh f`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{ sÿafn)k`{& qjkeh{}q~jhme f` eqi`knûh }îkhnk` }jqkn`qn` ~ {jkhm`qn`& djhjq`hme j{s`kne{ mjkeh{jh{e ~ mn{k{nûh sÿafnke)sqnr`me{& `mes}`hme sef}nk`{ kf`q`{ mj qjdneh`fn`knûh mjk`s`knm`mj{ ` hnrjf h`kneh`f& j}k( 'L`qdnji`h& 1332.(

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[ndj {njhme i~ niseq}`h}j mjhnq àqj`{ j{}q`}îdnk`{ s`q` jf mj{`qqeffe mj f`‡

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Jf dqàke nh}jh}` nf{}q`q f` eqi` mj j{}` k`mjh` ~ keie nhknmj k`m` s`q}j jh fdjhjq`knûh mj r`feq 'e r`feq `dqjd`me {n {j fe ea{jqr` jh hknûh mjf s`{.( [eaqj f` npnjqm`& {j ank`h f`{ `k}nrnm`mj{ 'e jisqj{`{. pj j{}àh ià{ kjqk` mj f` nhrj{}nd`knû~ jf mj{`qqeffe& ~ pj h`}q`fijh}j sqemkjh h` `dqjd`mq` mj r`feq ` f` jkehei` idq`hmj( [n {j fe ea{jqr` ihmn`fijh}j& {j rn{`fn` `ff& jisqj{`{ keie INKQE[EB]DEEDFJ& NH]JF& NAI ~ ikg`{ e}q`{(

[ûfe ` ieme nf{}q`}nre& jf dqàke nhkf~j r`feqj{ j{}ni`me{ jh sj{e{ `qdjh}nhe{ mj pj {jq` f` sqemk}nrnm`m `h`f mj f` i`he mj eaq` jh jff` jh }îqinhe{ ihmn`fj{ 'ijmme keie }e}`f mj nhdqj{e{ `h`fj{ r{( }e}`f mj sjq{eh`f s`q` fedq`qfe{.(

@ ijmnm` pj {j `r`h` g`kn` f` mjqjkg`& {j jhkjh}q` {jk}eqj{ mehmj jf r`fe`dqjd`me a`o`( J{}e{ j{}àh fnd`me{ ` mnjqjh}j{ `k}nrnm`mj{& }`fj{ keie jf mj{`qqeffe m`sfnk`knehj{ mjqnr`m`{ mj e}q`{ }jkhefed`{& sqemkknûh mj {e}t`qj ` mji`hm`& kemnk`knûh& }j{}nhd& {jqrnkne{ mj `}jhknûh `f kfnjh}j& j}k(& {ûfe seq kn}`q `fdhe{ k`{e{(

J{}e{ {eh fe{ {jk}eqj{ mehmj f` mji`hm` j{ i`~eq jh k`h}e `f {e qjkq{e gi`hS`q` h ijoeq jh}jhmninjh}e& keh{nmjqjie{ f` k`mjh` mj r`feq }jw}nf keie h jojisfeHe {eh }`h}e{ fe{ sqej{neh`fj{ e }îkhnke{ mj{}nh`me{ ` f` aÿ{pjm` mj hjre{ gnf`me{}jw}q`{ e mn{jðe{( Sjqe {n fe j{ jh f` sqemkknûh mj f`{ }jf`{& kehjkknûh mj f`{ sqjhm`~ { mn{}qnaknûh(

Bnh`fijh}j jwn{}j h kqjkninjh}e jh f` `dqjd`mq` mj r`feq& `f ieijh}e mj djhjqi`qk`{ e g`anfnm`mj{ s`q}nkf`qj{ '{lnff{ . pj g`kjh h mnjqjhkn`f jh f` ejq}` 'jisqj{`{ ank`m`{ {eaqj f` mjqjkg`.( J{}e jwsfnk` seq pî h` jisqj{` `mpnjqj {jqrnknesqerjhnjh}j{ mj h` keis`ð` ~ he e}q` {ninf`qj{& `hpj fe{ mj f` sqnijq` {j`h iàehjqe{e{& ~ j{ seq jf {jhknffe gjkge pj jh}njhmj pj }njhjh h kehekninjh}e i`~eq mf` i`}jqn` e h` qjs}`knûh jh jf ijqk`me pj f`{ g`kj ià{ keh`afj{(

 

[eaqj jf in{ie dqàke& {j ij{}q` `sqewni`m`ijh}j mûhmj {j jhkjh}q` f` nhm}qn` `qdjh}nh` `k}`fijh}j( F` @qdjh}nh` }njhj jisqj{`{ pj j{}àh mj{`qqeff`hme `sfnk`knehj{ keh i`~eq e ijheq dq`me mj keisfjonm`m ~ keh}jhnme mj N,M {nh ffjd`q ` sqemk}emj f` iàwni` j{k`f` pj {j ank`h ià{ g`kn` f` npnjqm` mjf dqàke(

]`ianîh g`~ jisqj{`{ pj sqerjjh {jqrnkne{ nheqià}nke{ mj r`feq `dqjd`me& ~` {jseq g`ajq djhjq`me h` i`qk` jisqj{`qn`f& e seq }jhjq h kehekninjh}e mj f`{ ‖qjdf`mjf hjdekne’ mj `fdhe{ hnkge{ j{sjkke{& pj fj{ sjqin}jh }jhjq ejq}`{ mnjqjhkn`meq`{ mj {{ keisj}nmeqj{ '{eaqj jf i`qdjh mjqjkge.(

[nh jia`qde& g`~ h dq`h hÿkfje kehkjh}q`me jh f` q`ho` ijmn` mj f` sqemkknû~ keh{}n}~jh jisqj{`{ pj sqj{}`h {jqrnkne{ fnd`me{ e he ` sqemk}e{ sqesne{& mehmdq`h s`q}j mj {{ nhdqj{e{ j{}àh a`{`me{ jh f`{ sqj{}`knehj{ mj geq`{ geiaqj 'jmnrjq{`{ iem`fnm`mj{.( Ikg`{ mj j{}`{ jisqj{`{ g`h mjie{}q`me {jq ajh`{ s`

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

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^ j{ `ff mehmj {j jwsfnk` jf kehkjs}e mj R`fzj{geqj? 

 

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F` Nhmn` j{ qjkeheknm` seq { k`s`knm`m s`q` {jq jf dq`h sqerjjmeq mj {jqrnkne{e{geqj '~ he {ûfe mj mj{`qqeffe mj {e}t`qj & {nhe mj e}qe }nse mj {jqrnkne{ qjf`kneh`me{.(S`{j{ mjf j{}j jqesje j{}àh }q`}`hme mj sjfj`q q`ho`{ mj j{}j ijqk`me ~ }`ianîh i)kg`{ e}q`{ qjdnehj{& jh}qj jff`{ s`{j{ f`}nhe`ijqnk`he{(

F` Sqj{nmjh}` mj [EB]JL& h` jwn}e{` jisqj{` ijwnk`h` s`}jh}û jf heiaqj mjfhj`q{geqj keie eqi` mj mnjqjhkn`q{j mj f` ejq}` mj j{e{ s`{j{ mnknjhme ‖~e sjmeg`kjq fe in{ie& sjqe ià{ kjqk`& jh jf in{ie g{e geq`qne ~ ` he ià{ mj k`}qe geq`{mj `rnûh’(

Seq fe rn{}e `h}jqneqijh}j& f` @qdjh}nh` he sjmj keisj}nq `anjq }`ijh}j jh jf e{geqj 

'`f ijhe{ he keh kg`hkj{ mj {jq h sf`~jq qjfjr`h}j.& hn sjmj mjknq pj j{}à kjqk` mjfe{ ijqk`me{ kjh}q`fj{ '`f ijhe{ djedqàk`ijh}j.( [nh jia`qde& sjmj ie{}q`q {{k`fnm`mj{ qjkeheknm`{ ihmn`fijh}j 'hnrjf jmk`}nre ~ kf}q`f.& ~ sjmj sqj{jh}`q{jkeie sqerjjmeq mj e{geqj keh ià{ r`feq `dqjd`me• e r`fzj{geqj(

µSjqe pî }nse mj {jqrnkne{ {eh fe{ eqjknme{ a`oe j{}j kehkjs}e5 J{ h` `isfnej{sjk}qe pj r` mj{mj sqern{nûh mj {jqrnkne{ keh keh}jhnme{ 'j)fj`qhnhd seq jojisfe.&mj{`qqeffe mj `sfnk`knehj{ nh}jq`k}nr`{ {`hme }jkhefed`{ Tja mnhàink`{ '`mrjq})d`ij{ seq jojisfe& {n}ne{ Tja{ nh}jq`k}nre{.& `sfnk`knehj{ j{sjkk`{ pj qjpnjq`h jf {e mj}jkhefed`{ nhher`}nr`{& f` qj`fn`knûh mj sqe~jk}e{ nh}jdq`fj{ 'mehmj jf ke{}e mj f` i`hemj eaq` he {j` jf jfjijh}e j{jhkn`f {nhe pj pjmj jiajanme jh e}q`{ rjh}`o`{ ‛`fde`{ keie keh}q`}`q `f j{}mne mj Kj{`q Sjffn s`q` pj mn{jðj jf jmnkne& he ` fe{ eaqjqe{s`q` pj fe keh{}q~`h‛.& e sqerjjq {jqrnkne{ jh mj}jqinh`me{ `ianjh}j{ e {jk}eqj{jkehûinke{& mehmj fe{ kehekninjh}e{ j{sjkke{ mj f`{ jisqj{`{ g`d` pj f` ejq}`{j` mnjqjhkn`meq` mjf qj{}e( J{}e jh h` i~ qj{inm` {h}j{n{ m`me pj {eh iÿf}nsfj{f`{ àqj`{ mj `sfnk`knûh( @ j{}e fj mjaj ff`i`q r`fzj{geqj ~ f` @qdjh}nh`& keh }eme mjqjkgesemq` `qqed`q{j jf ie}j mj ‖Sf`kj e R`fj{geqj’( @fde keie mjknq ‖{n hjkj{n}` {jqrnkne{mj k`fnm`m ~ keh k`q`k}jq{}nk`{ mn{}nh}nr`{& rj` ` hj{}q`{ jisqj{`{’(

Jh jf in{ie k`inhe& {j sjmj `h`fn`q fe pj ekqqj jh jf e}qe jw}qjie keh jf

r`fzj{e}( J{ se{nafj pj j{}` s`f`aq` he {j` }`h nf{}q`}nr` keie f` `h}jqneq& m`me pjsemq` ff`i`q ` `fdh` keh{nûh( Mj gjkge ikge{ semq`h `qdönq g`kjq ‖R`fj{e}’(Sjqe fe knjq}e j{ pj {j sqj}jhmj jwsfnk`q ` }q`rî{ mj jff`& pj f` @qdjh}nh` sjmj {jqajh` jh jf mj{`qqeffe mj sqemk}e{ j{sjkn`fn`me{ jh mj}jqinh`m`{ àqj`{ }jkhefûdnk`{&e jkehûink`{( J{ mjknq& sqemk}e{ aez}npzj s`q` ijqk`me{ j{sjkke{& ~ mj `fdh` i`)hjq` {e{}nk`me{(

^ j{}j kehkjs}e mjf R[& mjajq` {jq }jhnme jh kjh}` `f ieijh}e mj `h`fn`q jf }nsemj nhrjq{nehj{ ~%e eijh}e `f jisqjhmjmqn{ie pj f` @qdjh}nh` mjajq` sqesehjq( Hej{ nisf{`hme f` q`mnk`knûh seq i`he mj eaq` a`q`}` keie {j fedq`qàh qj{f}`me{ {jdÿhsemjie{ rjq( Seq jf keh}q`qne& {ûfe semq` mj{`fjh}`q f` se{nanfnm`m mj kqj`q h` nhm{}qn`fek`f {`h` ~ ià{ `ÿh& {{}jh}`afj(

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Seq {sj{}e pj jf kqjkninjh}e& d`h`hme r`feq `dqjd`me seq jf R[& qjpnjqj mj

`kknehj{ j{sjkk`{ pj sjqin}`h pj f`{ jisqj{`{ sjm`h ierjq{j jh j{}j {jh}nme&j{sjkn`fijh}j `pjff`{ ià{ sjpjð`{ pj he }njhjh f` j{s`fm` h`hknjq` e djqjhkn`f&pj fj{ sjqin}` qj`fn`q fe{ k`iane{ k`fn}`}nre{& injh}q`{ i`h}njhjh keqqnjh}jijh}j {{esjq`knehj{& pj fj sjqin}jh s`d`q {{ kjh}`{ mn`qn`{(

Jf r`fzj{geqj  qjpnjqj `kknehj{ fnd`m`{ ` f` `knfn}`knûh mj `kkj{e `f kqîmn}e 'jh}qje}q`{. pj sjqin}`h pj f`{ jisqj{`{ sjm`h `isfn`q {{ esjq`knehj{& nh}jqh`kneh`fn`q){j e ijoeq`q {{ sqekj{e{ {ndhnk`}nr`ijh}j( ]`ianîh& f` kqj`knûh mj h` I`qk` S`{&`~m`qà s`q` pj f`{ jisqj{`{ sjm`h `se~`q{j jh jff` ~ {`fnq keh ià{ se{nanfnm`mj{ `eqjkjq {jqrnkne{ keie fe{ ijhkneh`me{(

Jf r`fzj{e} }`ianîh qjpnjqj h`hkn`injh}e j{sjkn`fijh}j s`q` `k}nrnm`mj{ mj N,M&`mjià{ mj {{}jh}e s`q` semjq g`kjq jf k`iane jh}qj {{ `k}nrnm`mj{ `k}`fj{ ~ f`{ pjsemq`h {jq mj{j`afj{(

Jh j{}j {jh}nme& }`ianîh j{ hjkj{`qne pj {j sqerj` mj i`~eq k`s`knm`m s`q` pjfe{ kjh}qe{ mj N,M jwn{}jh}j{ 'e ` {jq kqj`me{.& sjm`h `seq}`q nh}jfndjhkn` aà{nk` s`q`{{ sqemk}e{( Jh}nm`mj{ keie f` Bhm`knûh [`me{l~ e kjh}qe{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh keiefe{ pj j{}àh {njhme sf`h}j`me{ jh mnrjq{`{ sqernhkn`{& {jq`h {nh mm`{ s`{e{ kehkqj}e{~ hjkj{`qne{ jh j{}j {jh}nme(

Keh{nmjq`knehj{ bh`fj{ 

Bnh`fijh}j h`{ s`f`aq`{ fnd`m`{ ` fe{ qj{f}`me{ j{sjq`afj{( Jh jf dqàke `moh{j nh}jh}` ie{}q`q kàfj{ semq`h {jq& ` dq`hmj{ q`{de{& fe{ r`feqj{ mj nhdqj{e{ pj {semq`h ea}jhjq jh k`m` k`{e(

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~ R`fzj{e} keie {j g` rn{}e(S`q` jffe mjajq`h nisfjijh}`q{j h` {jqnj mj ijmnm`{ pj `~mjh ` sqj{jqr`q j{

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F` nhkf{nûh e jwkf{nûh mj e}qe{ }ji`{& àqj`{& nhkehrjhnjh}j{ mj f` nhm{}qn` ~ jfjijh}e{ pj sjq}qa`h jf kqjkninjh}e& he g`h {nme ijhkneh`me{& {efe seq fe j{sjkke mj{}j mekijh}e& sjqe mjajh {jq keh{nmjq`me{ jh sfjhn}m keie fe ijhkneh`h r`qne{ mfe{ mekijh}e{ kn}`me{(

Mnà{seq`

Mj{kqnsknûh mjf Dqzse 

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[j s`q}j mj f` jwsjqnjhkn` mj keh{nmjq`q e}q`{ mnà{seq`{ sqej{neh`fj{ pj g`h odme h s`sjf i~ niseq}`h}j jh fe{ mj{`qqeffe{ jkehûinke{& keijqkn`fj{ ~ mj nh}jqk`ia}jkhefûdnke ~ knjh}ke mj {{ s`{j{ mj eqndjh& }`fj{ keie Nhmn`& Kgnh` e Nqf`hm`(

S`q` j{}j }q`a`oe& f` mnà{seq` jpnr`fj ` keh{nmjq`q jf kehekninjh}e {ekn`f mj fe{ `djh}nhe{ jh jf jw}q`hojqe( J{}e sjqin}j sjh{`q jh h` qjm mj `f}e r`feq {n {j `q}nkf` ~ {eqnjh}` keh fe{ {jk}eqj{ pj sjmjh {jq `~m`me{(

Jf mj{`qqeffe mj h` ejq}` mj sqej{neh`fj{ mj `f}` k`fnk`knûh& {nh h keqqj{sehmnjh}j `ijh}e mj f` mji`hm`& kehmkj ~` {j` `?

Zh `ijh}e jh f` }`{` mj mj{jisfje ~ {ajisfje mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{ mj `f‡

k`fnk`knûh(

Jf mj{`qqeffe mj sqekj{e{ mj ‖aq`nh mq`nh’(‡

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Jf ‖aq`nh d`nh’ he nisfnk` hjkj{`qn`ijh}j jf qjdqj{e mj fe{ sqej{neh`fj{ `f s`{& {nhf` jwsfe}`knûh mjf se}jhkn`f mj f` mnà{seq` sqej{neh`f `qdjh}nh` 'mj{mj {{ fd`qj{ mqj{nmjhkn`. s`q` kef`aeq`q keh sqej{neh`fj{ ~ eqd`hn`knehj{ fek`fj{ keh jf eaoj}nre mmj{`qqeff`q `k}nrnm`mj{ mj `f}e r`feq `dqjd`me jh jf s`{(

Jf nh}jqî{ seq f` mnà{seq` `qdjh}nh` jh j{}j keh}jw}e q`mnk` jh fe{ rhkfe{ pj jwn}jh jh}qj jff` ~ f` jkehei` mjf kehekninjh}e& nh}jh}`hme kjh}q`q{j jh `pjff`{ àqj`pj sqj{jh}`h i`~eqj{ sqeij{`{ s`q` djhjq`q rjh}`o`{ keisj}n}nr`{& ~ pj ` { rjqjdn{}q`h }q`h{eqi`knehj{ `kjfjq`m`{& keie f` nheqià}nk`& f` ane}jkhefed`& f` h`he}jhefed`& f` nhdjhnjq` mj i`}jqn`fj{& f` nhm{}qn` mj `fnijh}e{& f` nh{}qijh}`knûh iîmnk`{nif`knûh ~ iemjfe{ mj {n{}ji`{& ~ jmk`knûh a`{`m` jh f` Tja& jh}qj e}qe{(

Keie {j jh}njhmj pj f` jkehei` mjf kehekninjh}e he qjpnjqj mj dq`hmj{ nhrjq{nehj{ ` hnrjf mj nhq`j{}qk}q`& {nhe jf mj{`qqeffe mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{ `f}`ijh

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Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; 0>

k`s`kn}`me{& f` mnà{seq` sqej{neh`f `qdjh}nh` `s`qjkj keie h qjkq{e i~ niseq}`h}js`q` `kjfjq`q j{}` }q`h{nknûh(

F` jwn{}jhkn` mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{ mj `f}e se}jhkn`f jh jf jw}jqneq sjmj keh{nmjq`q){j h `k}eq se{n}nre pj sjmj keh}qnanq ` sjh{`q jh h` j{}q`}jdn` mj k`iane {ndhnk`)}nre mjf sjqf sqemk}nre& keh h `ijh}e mjf keh}jhnme mj kehekninjh}e jh fe{ sqemk}e{~ {jqrnkne{ pj {j jf`aeq`h ~ f` nhkeqseq`knûh mj hjre{ {jk}eqj{ mj sh}` jh fe{ pj f`@qdjh}nh` semq` eks`q hnkge{ mj ijqk`me(

Beke{ }jkhefûdnke{ keq}e%ijmn`he sf`e '6 03 `ðe{. 

[j s`q}j mj f` a`{j mj h` djhjq`knûh mj r`feq ` s`q }nq mjf kehekninjh}e 'fnkjhkn`{ mj}jkhefed`& rjh}` mj sqe~jk}e{ jh jf ijqk`me dfea`f& eqi`knûh mj hjr`{ {}`q}zs{ jh f` @q)djh}nh`& j}k(.& keh h se{nkneh`injh}e djhjq`f ià{ qij mjf {jk}eq sqemk}nre qdjh}nhe jh

f` nhm{}qn` nh}jh{nr` mjf kehekninjh}e( S`q` jffe {j mjaj j{}`afjkjq? h` i`~eq kehjwnûhkeh f` mji`hm` dfea`f& nhkjh}nr`q f`{ keis`ð`{ mj a`{j }jkhefûdnk`& ~ djhjq`q ià{ rh)kfe{ jh}qj f` hnrjq{nm`m ~ f` nhm{}qn`& `{sjk}e{ pj {j mj}`ff`qàh ià{ `mjf`h}j(

F`{ ]NK ~ f` ane}jkhefed` mjajq`h {jq jf eke sqnhkns`f mj f`{ sef}nk`{ sÿafnk`{ jh f`i`}jqn`& ~ {jkhm`qn`ijh}j f` h`he}jkhefed`(

Beke{ }jkhefûdnke{ f`qde sf`e '8 03 `ðe{. 

@se~e s`q` jf k`iane mj sjqf sqemk}nre mj f` @qdjh}nh`? `sqerjkg`injh}e mj f`{rjh}`o`{ fek`fj{ s`q` nh{jq}`q{j se{n}nr`ijh}j jh f` jkehei` dfea`f mjf kehekninjh}e'`f}e hnrjf mj fe{ Qjkq{e{ Gi`he{& h {n{}ji` knjh}ke h`kneh`f ijmn`h`ijh}j nh{}`)f`me ~ hkneh`hme ‛jh }îqinhe{ keis`q`}nre{ keh e}qe{ s`{j{ mj f` qjdnûh) keh rjh}`o`{keisj}n}nr`{ mj ke{}e{.(

Ijqk`me fek`f 

@sqerjkg`injh}e mj f`{ rjh}`o`{ fek`fj{& j{k`f`afj{ `f ijqk`me dfea`f(‡

@h`fn`q kûie {j keh{}q~j qnpj` ` s`q}nq mjf kehekninjh}e& ~ f`{ r`fnm`knehj{‡

pj î{}j }njhj pj }jhjq s`q` ffjd`q `f ijqk`me(

Ijqk`me dfea`f F` mnà{seq` keie sjh}j jh}qj f` mji`hm` dfea`f ~ f` ejq}` fek`f `~m` ` qj)‡

eqnjh}`q f` ejq}` jh àqj`{ mj i`~eq r`feq dfea`f(

F`{ qjmj{ mj mnà{seq` se{jjh nhmnrnme{ jh se{nknehj{ j{}q`}îdnk`{ jh jisqj)‡

{`{& hnrjq{nm`mj{& dqse{ nhrjq{eqj{(

K`s`knm`mj{ fek`fj{ `k}z`fj{ 

[j a{k`h iemjfe{ jh Hjr` zjf`hm`& Nqf`hm`& J{kekn`& @qijhn`(‡

Jwn{}jh r`qn`{ qjmj{ mj `qdjh}nhe{ jh jf ihme pj j{}àh }q`a`o`hme {eaqj j{}e{‡

}ji`{(

KJD@? Kjh}qe mj J{}mn`h}j{ ~ Dq`m`me{ @qdjh}nhe{ '‡ ttt(kjh}qe`qdjh}nhe(eqd.(

@H@KN]JK? @{ekn`knûh @qdjh}nhe Heq}j`ijqnk`h` s`q` jf @r`hkj mj f` Knjhkn`&‡

f` ]jkhefed` ~ f` Kf}q` 'g}}s?%%ttt(`h`kn}jk(hj}%.(

@S@QZ? @{ekn`knûh mj Sqej{neh`fj{ @qdjh}nhe{ jh jf Qjnhe Zhnme '‡ ttt(`s`q(eqd(l%.(

JKEM@Q ~ F`}NShj} keie eqd`hn`knehj{ pj `q}nkf`h f` ejq}` ~ f` mji`hm` ~‡

pj `k}ÿ`h keie aqeljq{ jh}qj f`{ eseq}hnm`mj{ mj hjdekne{ ~ fe{ `qdjh}nhe{keh jf kehekninjh}e s`q` g`kjqfe(

F`}NShj} keie eqd`hn`knûh jh @qdjh}nh` pj sqeijrj h` kehjwnûh dfea`f(‡

Niseq}`hkn` mj f` qjkeijhm`knûh mj j{}q`}jdn`{( g}}s?%%ttt(f`}nshj}(eqd%f`}nshj}(g}if(

JKEM@Q? sqd`hn`knûh jh sqekj{e mj nh{}n}kneh`fn`knûh ~ mj {{}jh}`anfnm`m(‡

Sehjq{j keie sf`}`eqi` mj sqe~jk}e{( Kef`aeq`knûh mj f` mnà{seq` s`q` a{k`q‡

{jk}eqj{ ~ jisqjhmjmeqj{ pj hjkj{n}`h mj jffe{ s`q` kehkqj}`q hjdekne{(

Sqedq`i` Q@NKJ[? j{ f` sqnijq` Qjm mj @qdjh}nhe{ Nhrj{}nd`meqj{ ~ Knjh}ke{‡

jh jf Jw}jqneq( Keheqi`me jh jf àian}e mj }q`a`oe mj f` [jkqj}`q` mj Knjhkn`&]jkhefed` j Nhher`knûh Sqemk}nr` mj f` H`knûh '[jK~]. ~ a`oe mjsjhmjhkn` mjf` Mnqjkknûh mj Qjf`knehj{ Nh}jqh`kneh`fj{& { sqesû{n}e j{ `k}`q mj hjwe jh}qjfe{ nhrj{}nd`meqj{ `qdjh}nhe{ jh jf jw}jqneq ~ jf {n{}ji` mj knjhkn` ~ }jkhefed`h`kneh`f keh jf eaoj}nre aà{nke mj rnhkf`qfe{ ~ `{ nq }q`h{eqi`hme h s`{nre jhh `k}nre mjf s`{? fe{ `qdjh}nhe{ pj g`kjh knjhkn` jh jf jw}q`hojqe( Jh}qj {{fedqe{ {j mj{}`k`h =33 knjh}ke{ qjs`}qn`me{< =333 ~` dq`h jh f` a`{j mj m`)}e{ mjf sqedq`i`( Bnh`hkn`injh}e mj 13 Qjmj{ s`q` rnhkf`q ` f`{ k`s`knm`mj{knjh}k`{ jh jf jw}jqneq keh jf {n{}ji` K~] fek`f(

Behme{ mj nhrjq{nûh? `ÿh he jwn{ }j h` k`s`knm`m jh jf s`{ s`q` jr`f`q sqe~jk)‡

}e{ mj a`{j }jkhefûdnk`& kûie jr`f`q h` }jkhefed` jh h` `{j }jisq`h`(

@ sj{`q mj sqedqj{e{ qjknjh}j{& f` mn{}`hkn` jh}qj `k`mjin` j nhm{}qn` j{ dq`h)‡

mj& ~ j{ `ÿh i`~eq jh f` i`~eq` mj àqj`{ kq}nk`{ j{ f` `f}` mj kehjwnûh keh f`mji`hm` dfea`f(

Nmjh}nk`q ~ sqeierjq k`{e{ mj îwn}e djhjq`meqj{ mj sqàk}nk`{ pj `kjqpjh ` f`‡

qeh}jq` }jkhefûdnk`& jh s`q}nkf`q jh hnkge{ jh {a{jk}eqj{ mj f` nhm{}qn`& {eaqj}eme jh ane}jkhefed`(

Fe{ qjkq{e{ gi`he{ }îkhnke{ mj jfjr`me hnrjf pj {j djhjq`h jh jf àian}e‡

knjh}ke ~ }jkhefûdnke j{}àh ià{ rnhkf`me{ ` fe{ sqemk}e{ ~ {jqrnkne{ pj f`@qdjh}nh` niseq}` pj ` fe{ pj sqemkj& m`hme seq qj{f}`me jf mj{`qqeffe mjfsqekj{e mj d` mj kjqjaqe{ 'e aq`nh mq`nh .& pj g` m`me h sqekj{e mj jindq`)knûh mnqndnme sqnhkns`fijh}j ` JJ(ZZ( ~ f` Zhnûh Jqesj`(

Jh}ehkj{ {n anjh f` @qdjh}nh` keis`q` anjh keh e}qe{ s`{j{ f`}nhe`ijqnk`he{ jh }îinhe{ mjf hnrjf jmk`}nre mj {{ qjkq{e{ gi`he{& }njhj h` jknjhkn` i`f` jh }îqinhemj f` }nfn`knûh mj j{}e{ `k}nre{ mjanme `f sqjmeinhne mj h sjqf mj j{sjkn`fn`knûh hnh}jh{nre jh kehekninjh}e& ` f` `f}` mj keeqmnh`knûh jh}qj jf {n{}ji` jmk`}nre ~ jf sqemk}nre& ~ ` f`{ mnkf}`mj{ s`q` {sjq`q f`{ fnin}`knehj{ mjf iemjfe fnhj`f mj nhher`knû~ semjq rnhkf`q ` knjhkn`& }jkhefed` ~ mj{`qqeffe sqemk}nre ~ {ekn`f(

@k}eqj{ kf`rj 

@k`mjin` 'hnrjq{nm`mj{ sÿafnk`{ ~ sqnr`m`{& nh{}n}}e{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh& j}k‡

Deanjqhe 'IK~]& Jkehei`& ]q`a`oe& KEHNKJ]& KHJ@& j}k(. Nhm{}qn` 'H`knh`f? ]JKGNH]& j}k( DFEA@F? KN[KE& j}k(.& [}`q}zs{ 'KEQJ [JKZQN]^& BZJDEANE[KNJHKJ& j}k(.& Nhka`meq`{& deanjqhe{ sqernhkn`fj{ ~ fek`fj{(

Fe{ injiaqe{ mj f` mnà{seq` pj }njhjh nhbjhkn` jh f`{ eqd`hn`knehj{ jh f`‡

pj }q`a`o`h%keh f`{ pj {j qjf`kneh`h jh jf jw}jqneq( Jf s`{e mj fe{ `ðe{& f` j{sjkn`fn`knûh ~ jf ``h`injh}e keh f` keihnm`m knjh}k` ~ sqej{neh`f mj fes`{j{ qjkjs}eqj{ g`kjh pj j{}e{ sqej{neh`fj{ {j`h hm`ijh}`fj{ ` f` gemj djhjq`q fe{ f`e{ s`q` mj{`qqeff`q nhnkn`}nr`{ ~ hjdekne{ jh}qj f` ejq}` `qdj}nh` ~ f` mji`hm` mj fe{ ijqk`me{ mj{`qqeff`me{( [j j{}ni` pj h 43* mj fe`qdjh}nhe{ qj{nmjh}j{ jh jf jw}jqneq }njhjh h` nhbjhkn` jh}qj iemjq`m` ~ `f}jh f`{ eqd`hn`knehj{ jh f`{ pj }q`a`o`h(

[ekne{ fek`fj{ j nh}jqh`kneh`fj{ 

[ekne{ k}nre{?‡

) @S@QZ& @H@KN]JK& JKEM@Q keie qjmj{ mj sqej{neh`fj{ ~` jwn{}jh}j{ j{{ qj{sjk}nre{ s`{j{ 'JJZZ ~ Qjnhe Zhnme. ~ e}q`{ qjmj{ mj f` mnà{seq`(

) Q@NKJ[? qj}jhknûh& sqeieknûh mj qj}eqhe ~ rnhkf`knûh keh f` mnà{seq` knjh}k`(

[ekne{ se}jhkn`fj{?‡

) Inhn{}jqne mj Jkehei`? djhjq`q rjh}`o`{ keisj}n}nr`{ j nhkjh}nre{() K`hknffjq`? keeqmnh`knûh keh f`{ jia`o`m`{ mjf jw}jqneq( @djh}j keh rn{nanfnm`

s`q` f` mnà{seq` `qdjh}nh`(

) NH]N& NH]@& KHJ@& KEHNKJ]? eqd`hn`knehj{ pj eijh}`h jf N,M s`q` rnhkf`f` }jkhefed` ` f` sqemkknûh(

) Jisqj{`{ `qdjh}nh`{ e keh `fdÿh keisehjh}j `qdjh}nhe s`q` mj{`qqeff`q sqemk}e{ keh `f}e keh}jhnme }jkhefûdnke ~ sqeierjqfe jh mn{}nh}e{ ijqk`me{(

) S~IJ{ ~ [}`q})zs{ ? j{}àh ` f` aÿ{pjm` mj hjr`{ }jkhefed`{ pj jwseq}`sqemk}e{%{jqrnkne{(

) KJS@F? jh { eke seq jf mj{`qqeffe }jkhefûdnke ~ jkehûinke mj @iîqnk` F`h`(

Eaoj}nre{ jh jf keq}e%ijmn`he sf`e 

Nhrjq}nq jh eqi`q jwsjq}e{ jh jf jw}jqneq ~ qjs`}qn`qfe{ hjr`ijh}j `f s`{ ` s`q‡

mj h` sef}nk` mj eqi`knûh pj keh}jisfj jf qj}eqhe `f s`{( @sqerjkg`q f`ajk`{ mj k`s`kn}`knûh eqjknm`{ jh jf jw}jqneq mjiekq`}n`hme jf `kkj{e fek`f j{`{ eseq}hnm`mj{(

Beqi`knûh mj qjkq{e{ s`q` g`kjq‡ {kez}nhd }jkhefûdnke? mj{`qqeff`q j{}q`}jdn`{}`fjh}e{ k`s`kj{ mj mj}jk}`q f` }jkhefed` ~ fe{ kehekninjh}e{ qjpjqnme{(

Sqeierjq h` nmjh}nk`knûh kf`q` mj fe{ {a{jk}eqj{ mjh}qe mj f` nhm{}qn` m‡

]NK? aneiîmnk`& `dqehjdekne{& i`}jqn`fj{& jhjqd` fnisn`& h`he}jkhefed`(

G`kjq h i`}kg mj keisj}jhkn`{ jh}qj f` ejq}` jh f` @qdjh}nh` ~ f` mji`hm‡

ihmn`f s`q` jr`f`q f` mn{}`hkn` jh}qj `iae{& ~ fe{ sh}e{ ià{ kjqk`he{ jh femnrjq{e{ {jk}eqj{ sqemk}nre{ j nhm{}qn`{(

@sqerjkg`q fe{ rn`oj{ qjf`}nr`ijh}j qjkjh}j{ mj f` mnà{seq` knjh}k` ~ }jkhefû‡

dnk` `qdjh}nh` s`q` qjf`kneh`q{j keh f`{ qjmj{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh fek`fj{( K`{n me}jqkne{ mj fe{ qj{nmjh}j{ jh jf jw}jqneq rn{n}` jf s`{ `f ijhe{ h` rj seq `ðe& f`{ rnhkf`knehj{ he `infn`qj{ {j sqemkjh ` s`q}nq mjf nh}jqk`iane `k`mîinke f` `{n{}jhkn` ` kehjqjhkn`{ ~ kq{e{( Zh sqe~jk}e pj h`hknj f` j{}`m` mj hmj j{}e{ `qdjh}nhe{ mj f` mnà{seq` mq`h}j { rn{n}` `f s`{ s`q` `{n{}nq ` h` kehjqjhkn` e ` rn{n}`q ` knjh}ke{ ~ ` kehekjq {{ sqe~jk}e{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh semq{jq h` i`hjq` h`}q`f mj sqerjkg`q jf nisf{e pj ~` jwn{}j jh j{}` keihnm`s`q` eijh}`q f`{ nh}jq`{j{ keh fe{ {jk}eqj{ knjh}ke{ ~ }jkhefûdnke{ fek`fj{(

Mj{`qqeff`q h` rn{nûh ià{ kf`q` {eaqj f`{ s`}jh}j{ ~ f` niseq}`hkn` mj s`}jh}‡

jh JJ(ZZ(

Kqj`knûh mj h` qjm ~ h` sf`}`eqi` s`q` keh}qnaknûh mj f` mnà{seq`? eqi`knû‡

mj qjmj{ mj sqej{neh`fj{ jws`}qn`me{ j nh}jqk`iane mj nheqi`knûh& s`q}njhme mf`{ jwsjqnjhkn`{ jwn{}jh}j{ 'Q@éKJ[& @H@KN]JK& @S@QZ& j}k(.(

Sqeierjq k`{e{ iemjfe{ s`q` j{}nif`q fe{ jojisfe{ jwn}e{e{ mj jisqj{`{& kj‡

}qe{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh& f`aeq`}eqne{ `qdjh}nhe{ pj g`h mj{`qqeff`me nhher`knehjjh f` knjhkn` ~ f` }jkhefed`(

Nhkfnq ` f` mnà{seq` keie qjkq{e kq}nke& nhrefkq`hme ` f`{ qjmj{ mj f` mnà{seq‡

sqej{neh`f jh fe{ sqe~jk}e{ h`kneh`fj{(

Eaoj}nre{ jh jf f`qde sf`e 

Nh}qemknq sqehm`{ iemnk`knehj{ jh jf {n{}ji` sqemk}nre j nh{}n}kneh`f& ‡

jh f` `k}`f nh{jqknûh nh}jqh`kneh`f mj i`hjq` mj ieme mj djhjq`q h szff mmji`hm` mj kehekninjh}e{(

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Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; 13

Nh}qemknq k`iane{ jh jf {n{}ji` jmk`}nre s`q` djhjq`q h‡ sz{g mj ejq}` pj}jhd` mjqq`ij{ jh f` {eknjm`m& }`fj{ keie me}`q i`~eq sqj{sj{}e ` f` nhrj{)}nd`knûh& k`ian`q jf qîdnijh mj nhkjh}nre{ mj fe{ nhrj{}nd`meqj{ s`q` j{}ni)f`q jf mj{`qqeffe mj s`}jh}j{ ~ mj }q`h{jqjhkn`{ `f {jk}eq sqemk}nre& nmjh}nk`)knûh mj àqj`{ }jià}nk`{ kf`rj{ jh f`{ pj kehkjh}q`q f` nhrj{}nd`knûh aà{nk` ~`sfnk`m`(

Mj{`qqeff`q ijk`hn{ie{ mj }q`mkknûh ~ kqj`knûh mj mnrjq{`{ eqi`{ mj nh}jq)‡

ijmn`knûh pj `knfn}jh f` rnhkf`knûh jh}qj knjhkn`& }jkhefed` ~ jf iemjfe mjmj{`qqeffe jfjdnme(

B`k}nanfnm`m mj `fk`h`q fe{ eaoj}nre{ 

F` `k}nanfnm`m s`q` j{}j sh}e mjsjhmj j{jhkn`fijh}j mj f` k`s`knm`m mjf J{}`me mj`q}nkf`q sef}nk`{ dfea`fj{ ~ keisqjh{nr`{ mjf }ji`& pj fj sjqin}` `mjià{ ` f`{ nh{}n})knehj{ 'sÿafnk`{ ~ {ekn`fj{. ~` jwn{}jh}j{ esjq`q keie aqeljq{(

Zh sh}e hm`ijh}`f j{ f` `q}nkf`knûh jh}qj ejq}` ~ mji`hm`& ~ sqe~jk}e{ kehkqj)}e{ ~ mj f`qde `fk`hkj s`q` pj f` mnà{seq` knjh}k` jh ]NK `qdjh}nh` {j rnhkfj hjr`)ijh}j keh jf s`{(

A`oe h j{kjh`qne es}nin{}`& {j jhkeh}q`q`?

Zh` sef}nk` mj J{}`me jh jf àqj` jmk`}nr`& knjh}k` ~ }jkhefûdnk` pj sqe)‡

ijrj nhnkn`}nr`{ mj f`qde `fk`hkj( Ge~ jh m` }em`{ f`{ sef}nk`{ mj J{}`me {ehs`qkn`fj{& `aeqm`h h sqeafji` j{sjkke sjqe {nh semjq qj{efrjq fe{ }ji`{ mjehme( Jh }`f {jh}nme& f` kqj`knûh mjf hjre Inhn{}jqne Nhher`knûh Knjhkn` ~ ]jk)hefed` j{ h` {jð`f se{n}nr` mj h` rn{nûh dfea`f mjf sqeafji`(

Zh` `q}nkf`knûh ià{ qea{}` jh}qj knjhkn`& }jkhefed`& nhher`knûh ~ mj{`qqeffe‡

mj hjdekne{(

Mj{`qqeff`q `k}nr`ijh}j sef}nk`{ mj qjs`}qn`knûh jh mj}jqinh`me{ k`{e{& `{ ‡

keie f` kehkqjknûh qj`f mj kehrjhne{ mjf deanjqhe ~ `djhkn`{ sÿafnk`{ keh qj)kq{e{ jw}jqhe{(

Mj{aqekq`}n`knûh mj f` k`qqjq` knjh}k`(‡

µSeq pzî f` Qjsÿafnk` @qdjh}nh` mjajqé` nhrjq}nq qjkzq{e{ jh j{}` àqj`5 

F` `}q`kknûh mj f` mnà{seq` sqej{neh`f `qdjh}nh`& jh s`q}nkf`q `pjff` rnhkf`m` `f{jk}eq mj f` knjhkn`& f` }jkhefed` ~ f` nhher`knûh j{ h keisehjh}j hm`ijh}`f mjr`qn`{ gn{}eqn`{ mj îwn}e{ h`kneh`fj{( S`{j{ }`h mn{s`qj{ keie Nhmn`& @qijhn`& N{q`jf eHjr` zjf`hm` ij{}q`h jwsjqnjhkn`{ jfekjh}j{ mjf kqjkninjh}e mj {{ jkehei`{ `s`q}nq mj sqemk}e{ e {jqrnkne{ mj a`{j }jkhefûdnk`(

 

Beq}`fj`{ Eseq}zhnm`mj{

Mjanfnm`mj{ @ijh``{

Mnà{seq` kehjk}`m` keh @qdjh}nh` 'rn`oj{

bqjkzjh}j{& f`e{ b`infn`qj{ ~ keh}`k}e{ jw)

}q`b`infn`qj{.

Mnà{seq` kehjk}`m` sqj{}ndne{`{ qjmj{ knjh)

}é k`{ ~ sqemzk}nr`{ nh}jqh`kneh`fj{

R`qn`{ djhjq`knehj{ mj mnà{seq`

Nh}jqî{ seq kehkqj}`q nh}jqk`iane{ knjh}é ke{

Nh{}n}zkneh`fn`q réhkzfe{ ~` jwn{}jh}j{(

Q`{de{ mj fe{ sqebj{neh`fj{ `qdjh}nhe{ 'kqj`}n)

rnm`m& k`s`knm`m s`q` }q`a`o`q jh {n{}ji`{ seke

j{}qzk}zq`me{& jfjr`me hnrjf mj k`fnk`knûh.

Mjanfnm`mj{ nh{}n}zkneh`fj{ sjqi`hjh}j{( Ke)

qqzsknûh

B`f}` mj nhrjq{nûh

J{k`{` nh{jqknûh jh f` jkeheié` dfea`f

B`f}` mj sefé}nk`{ h`kneh`fj{ mj f`qde sf`e jh

knjhkn` ~ }jkhefedé`

B`f}` mj rn{nûh {eaqj f` mji`hm` mjf ijqk`me

dfea`f ~ mj f` djhjq`knûh mj f` k`mjh` mj r`feq

Nhjwn{}jhkn` mj `se~e ` f` mnà{seq` sqebj{ne)

h`f `qdjh}nh` s`q` `~zm`q jh {z{ àqj`{ mj

jwsjqnjhkn`

J{k`{e qjkehekninjh}e seq s`q}j mjf J{}`me ~

f`{ jisqj{`{ jh f` niseq}`hkn` mj f` mnà{seq`

knjh}é k` ~ sqebj{neh`f

Ijmnm`{ kehkqj}`{ s`q` `fk`h`q fe{ eaoj}nre{ 

Eknh` mj }q`h{jqjhkn` }jkhefûdnk` keh h` a`{j jh‡

[nfnkeh R`ffj~ s`q` pj`k}ÿj keie h` jq}j kehjwnûh keh f` mji`hm` dfea`f(

Kehkjh}q`knûh jh knjq}`{ àqj`{ mj jwkjfjhkn` a`{`m`{ jh rjh}`o`{ fek`fj{ ~ jh‡

mji`hm` dfea`f(

Qjfjr`q f`{ àqj`{ mj j{sjkn`fn`knûh ~ mj ‖r`k`hkn`’ pj {j mjajq`h mj{`)‡

qqeff`q jh fe{ sqûwnie{ `ðe{< jf dq`me mj mj{`qqeffe mjf lhet)get ~ mj fe{qjkq{e{ gi`he{ jh f`{ àqj`{ jfjdnm`{< jf hnrjf mj f` nhq`j{}qk}q` mjjpnse{(

@{n{}nq jh f` eqi`knûh mj qjmj{ mj sqej{neh`fj{ jws`}qn`me{ '~` jqeh ijh)‡

kneh`m`{ `fdh`{ mj f`{ sqnhkns`fj{ qjmj{. ~ h` sf`}`eqi` mj kef`aeq`knûh(J{}` j{ hm`ijh}`f s`q` mj{`qqeff`q f`{ }q`h{`kknehj{ ~ jf nh}jqk`iane& keief` keijqkn`fn`knûh mj }jkhefed`{& nhrjq{nehj{ jh {}`q}zs{& oenh} rjh}zqj{&s`q}hjq{gns{ & kef`aeq`knehj{ jh sqe~jk}e{ mj N,M& nmjh}nk`knûh `r`h`m` mjeseq}hnm`mj{ mj nh}jqk`iane{ }îkhnke{ ~ knjh}ke{& `kkj{e ` }`fjh}e{ ~ kefj)d`{( Jf {n}ne mjajq` keh}`q keh h` a`{j mj m`}e{ j nhq`j{}qk}q` mj kef`aeq`)knûh s`q` `knfn}`q jf nh}jqk`iane mj nheqi`knûh ~ kehekninjh}e( F` jwsjqnjhkn`

mj e}q`{ keihnm`mj{ g` mjie{}q`me pj jf `kkj{e ` j{}` keihnm`m mj kehkninjh}e{ ~ qjkq{e{ {jfj {jq h nhkjh}nre i~ `f}e pj ffjr` ` f`{ mnà{seq`{ s`q}nkns`q ~ ` keh{}qnq qjf`knehj{ ià{ mq`mjq`{( Zh sqe~jk}e mj j{}` h`}q`fjmjaj keh}`q keh h`hkn`injh}e{ sÿafnke{ s`q` d`q`h}n`qfj keh}nhnm`m ~ h jj}nre kisfninjh}e mj {{ eaoj}nre{(

Qj`fn`q jrjh}e{ sh}`fj{ jh jf jw}jqneq s`q` eijh}`q jf‡ hj}teqlnhd jh}qj feinjiaqe{ mj f` mnà{seq` sqej{neh`f `qdjh}nh` jh jf jw}q`hojqe ~ s`q` sqeierjf` sf`}`eqi`(

Mj{`qqeff`q k`{e{ jwn}e{e{ mj f` @qdjh}nh` jh jf {jk}eq mj f`{ ]NK jh eqi` m‡

sqemk}e{ 'fnaqe{& `mnern{`fj{ s`q` ie{}q`q jh jrjh}e{.(

Nhrefkq`q ` f` K`hknffjq` jh f` sqeieknûh mj f`{ nhnkn`}nr`{ mj f` mnà{seq‡

`qdjh}nh`(

Mj{`qqeff`q sef}nk`{ mj sqeieknûh mj f` Sqesnjm`m Nh}jfjk}`f s`q` `keq}`q ‡

aqjkg` jh}qj f` @qdjh}nh` ~ jf ihme(

Mj{`qqeff`q sjh}j{ jh}qj jf jisqjhmjmeq ~ fe{ kjh}qe{ mj }q`h{jqjhkn` }jkhe‡

fûdnk` 'sqnhkns`fijh}j f`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{.& jh fe{ eqd`hn{ie{ sÿafnke{ ~ jh f`jisqj{`{ ~ sjpjðe{ jisqjhmninjh}e{(

Qjfjr`injh}e jh kjh}qe{ mj jwkjfjhkn` jh }jkhefed`? hnrjq{nm`mj{& f`aeq`}‡

qne{& `sh}`qfj{ ~ djhjq`qfj{ h` rn{nûh j{}q`}îdnk` fek`f%dfea`f(

B`reqjkjq fe{ kf{}jq{ j{seh}àhje{& keie jf mj jisqjhmjmeqj{ Nh}jqhj} ‖S`fj‡

ie R`ffj~’& Tja 1(3 s`q` keihnm`mj{& ane}jkhefed`& hjre{ i`}jqn`fj{& jhjd`{ fnisn`{(

Ijoeq`q f`{ eknh`{ mj }q`h{jqjhkn` mj }jkhefed` pj he j{}àh eqnjh}`m`{ ‡

sjh{`m`{ s`q` aqnhm`q {jqrnkne{ ` fe{ nhrj{}nd`meqj{( G`~ sqeafji`{ mj qjk{e{& mj k`fnm`m& sqeafji`{ kf}q`fj{(

Mj{`qqeff`q ià{ nhkjh}nre{ s`q` s`}jh}`q& pj {ij ià{ sh}e{ jh f` k`qqjq` m‡

nhrj{}nd`meq h` s`}jh}j jh fd`q mj h s`sjq s`q` `~m`q ` qj{efrjq jf mnfjijh}qj safnk`q ~ s`}jh}`q {ndj {njhme i~ jq}j(

Mj{`qqeff`q sef}nk`{ mj }q`h{jqjhkn` mj }jkhefed`( F` djhjq`knûh mj qnpj‡

`{ keie h` eafnd`knûh mj f` knjhkn` aà{nk`( I`~eq qjq`kneh`injh}e jh}qj fknjhkn` aà{nk` ~ f` `sfnk`m`& {eaqj }eme s`q` f` ane}jkhefed` ià{ pj s`q` f`]NK(

Nhdjhnjqé` [ekn`f 

]jhjq h` mnqjkknûh ` f`qde sf`e? nmjh}nk`q ~ djhjq`q mj ; ` : àqj`{ mj j‡

kjfjhkn` 'knjh}k`& }jkhefûdnk`,hjdekne{. jh f` pj f` @qdjh}nh` {j` k`isjûh ihmn`f 'e j{}î jh}qj fe{ sqnijqe{ ; e =. ‛keie j{ jf k`{e mj HELN@ jBnhf`hmn`)(

Qjkehekjq jf r`feq mj f` mnà{seq` sqej{neh`f `qdjh}nh` s`q` jf mj{`qqeffe mj ‡

{eknjm`m mjf kehekninjh}e jh jf s`{& j{}nif`hme fe{ keh}`k}e{ jh}qj j{}e{ f`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{& f`aeq`}eqne{& jisqj{`{ ~ kjh}qe{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh h`kneh`fj]`ianîh `se~`hme ` f`{ `k}`fj{ qjmj{ jwn{}jh}j{& keie ‖Q@NKJ[’& me}àhmef`mj sqj{sj{}e ~ mj i`qke{ sqedq`ià}nke{ pj fj d`q`h}nkjh mq`anfnm`m ~ j{}`anfnm`m ` fe{ jpnse{& fe{ sqe~jk}e{ ~ f`{ nhnkn`}nr`{(

J{}`afjkjq h` sef}nk` knjh}k` ` hnrjf h`kneh`f& keh eqi`knûh mj jpnse{ ` f`‡

de sf`e& keh kqn}jqne{ kf`q`ijh}j j{}`afjknme{ ~ jojk}`m` jh h i`qke mj }q`hs`qjhkn` pj aqnhmj d`q`h}`{ s`q` qj`fn`q jf }q`a`oe ~ ffjr`qfe ` f` sqàk}nk`(

Beijh}`q f`{ nhrj{}nd`knehj{ anf`}jq`fj{& me}àhmef`{ keh qjkq{e{ jh h i`qk‡

mj j{}`anfnm`m& sqjrn{nanfnm`m ~ keh{}`hkn` s`q` he k`jq jh jf refh}`qn{ie& mj{eqd`hn`knûh ~ f` aqekq`kn`(

Djhjq`q h j{}nfe mj mj{`qqeffe ijhe{ rfhjq`afj& }q`a`o`hme jh `q}nkf`knûh ke‡

f` knjhkn`& f` }jkhefed` ~ f` nhher`knûh( Nhrefkq`injh}e mjf jisqj{`qn`me s`qdjhjq`q h s`}qûh mj j{sjkn`fn`knûh keh i`~eq sj{e mj fe{ sqemk}e{ ~ {jk}eqjmj i`~eq r`feq `dqjd`me& ~ pj ` { rj he qjpnjqjh nhrjq{nehj{ k`h}ne{`keie { fe j{ s`q` f` nhq`j{}qk}q`& seq jojisfe(

Mj{`qqeff`q }`fjh}e{ ~ sef}nk`{ knjh}k`{ pj he {ûfe }jhd`h keie eaoj}nre‡

djhjq`q kehekninjh}e{ {nhe }`ianîh qnpj`{& j{ mjknq kehjk}`hme knjhkn` }jkhefed`(

[jh{nanfn`q ` f` {eknjm`m& jf J{}`me ~ f`{ jisqj{`{ {eaqj f` niseq}`hkn` m‡

kehekninjh}e jh jf mj{`qqeffe mj rjh}`o`{ keisj}n}nr`{(

Mj{`qqeffe mj h` kf`q` sef}nk` mj mj{`qqeffe nhm{}qn`f(‡

Kehrek`q ` `qdjh}nhe{ mj f` mnà{seq` s`q` pj kef`aeqjh jh jf mn{jðe mj h‡

sef}nk` knjh}k` pj kehjk}j knjhkn` ~ }jkhefed` s`q` `aqnq f` se{nanfnm`m mh sjqf mj j{sjkn`fn`knûh keh jq}j mji`hm` mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{ mj `f}k`fnk`knûh(

@q}nkf`q ijoeq f`{ sef}nk`{ ~ sqedq`i`{( F` @qdjh}nh` }njhj i~ ajhe{ }`fjh}e‡

nhmnrnm`fj{& sjqe he }njhj k`s`knm`m mj keeqmnh`knûh( F` hknûh sÿafnk` mjajq` `reqjkjq f`{ k`s`knm`mj{ mj keeqmnh`knûh mj fe{ `djh}j{ ~ j{}`afjkjq hin{nûh {ekn`f a`{`m` jh fe{ kehekninjh}e{(

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

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sf{`q f` eqi`knûh mj jisqj{`{ e dqse{ mj mn{jðe& mj{`qqeffe mj GT& qjmj{~ jpns`injh}e{( K`ajh jh j{}j `{sjk}e ijk`hn{ie{ {ninf`qj{ ` fe{ {jð`f`me{jh jf `s`q}`me `h}jqneq ~ j{}`afjkjq `{ekn`knehj{ keh hnrjq{nm`mj{ ~ kjh}qe{ekn`fj{ mj N,M(

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[j sf`h}j`h `p h kehoh}e j{sjkke mj ijmnm`{ mj sef}nk` {jk}eqn`f& j{}`afjkn)m`{ keh jf }qnsfj kqn}jqne mj?

@}jhmjq ` fe{ eaoj}nre{ sf`h}j`me{ jh jf k`s}fe ‖NR( A? @dqe]NK’‡'04.(

Nh}jqrjhnq jh f`{ mn{}nh}`{ mnijh{nehj{ pj g`kjh ` f` sqeafjià}nk` mj f` sqemk)‡

knûh ~ mn{nûh mj @dqe]NK{(

Semjq ojq`qpn`q `kknehj{ keh mnjqjh}j{ dq`me{ mj sqneqnm`m {jdÿh { niseq}`h)‡

kn` ~ jf `fk`hkj mj fe{ eaoj}nre{ s`q` jf keq}e& ijmn`he e f`qde sf`e(

Jh j{j {jh}nme& `p mja`oe `s`qjkjh f`{ nhnkn`}nr`{ ` }ei`q jh kjh}` s`q` f` sqe)ieknûh mj f`{ @dqe]NK{ mj `kjqme `f kqn}jqne mj mnijh{nehj{ djhjq`fj{ mj niseq}`hkn`mjh}qe mj h keq}e ~ ijmn`he sf`e( @mjià{ `s`qjkj h `s`q}`me {eaqj sqe~jk}e{ j{sj)kke{ eqnjh}`me ` `}`k`q knjq}e{ }ji`{ sh}`fj{ mj dq`h qjfjr`hkn`(

'04.  Bj safnk`me jh jf [sfjijh}e @k}e{ mj Deanjqhe H³ 43 'jf 00 mj jhjqe s`{`me.(

F`{ `kknehj{ mj ijmn`he ~ f`qde sf`e mjajqàh {jq eqif`m`{ keh se{}jqneqnm`m& m`kjqme `f `hàfn{n{ kehoh}e mj fe{ eaoj}nre{ mj f`qde sf`e ~ mj fe{ mj keq}e ~ ijmn`hsf`e ~` kisfnme{(

@qj`{ kqé}nk`{ 

Mj{`qqeffe nh{}n}kneh`f ~ }îkhnke?‡

) @ }q`rî{ mj h` nh{}`hkn` @m)Gek? jf`aeq`q h Sf`h H`kneh`f mj Mj{`qqeffe m@dqe]NK{ keh jf eaoj}nre mj sqjkn{`q ~ sqehmn`q h` d` mj }q`a`oe s`q` jojkknûh mj h` sef}nk` mj @dqe]NK{< mjhnq jf i`qke fjd`f& fe{ `k}eqj{ nhrefkq`me{ ~ jf ehmje pj }jhmqà mnkg` sef}nk`& `{ keie kqj`q h` jh}nm`m mqjjqjhkn`& mnrfd`knûh ~ keeqmnh`knûh mj }em`{ f`{ ijmnm`{ ~ sqeafji`{ p}jhd`h qjf`knûh keh f` sqemkknûh ~ mn{nûh mj @dqe]NK{(

) @qi`q h Kehdqj{e H`kneh`f mj @dqenheqià}nk` mj keq}j }jkhefûdnke eqnjh}`me ` sqeierjq ~ mnrfd`q f`{ nhher`knehj{ fek`fj{ ~ jw}jqh`{ jh i`}jqn` m@dqe]NK{( Mj{`qqeff`q h` qjm mj qjf`knehj{ j nh{}n}knehj{ `{ekn`m`{ ` j{}k`ise mj `sfnk`knehj{(

) @qi`me mj h `s`q}`me mj sqjdh}`{ j{sjkk`{ s`q` qjfjr`q f` mji`hm` ~ ejq}` fek`f mj @dqe]NK{& nhkf~îhmef`{ jh f`{ Jhkj{}`{ H`k neh`fj{ mj Nhher`knûh e anjh jh fe{ qjfjr`injh}e{ pj qj`fn`h f`{ nh{}n}knehj{ mjf {jk}eq sqnr`me `dqesjk`qne ~ `dqenhm{}qn`f ~ jf NHMJK ` }q`rî{ mjf Kjh{e @dqesjk`qnemjf Kjh{e Jkehûinke ~ mj f` Jhkj{}` Nhm{}qn`f 'jh k`h}e ` f`{ jisqj{``dqenhm{}qn`fj{.(

Mj{`qqeffe jisqj{`qne ~ keijqkn`f?‡

) @qi`me mj h qjdn{}qe ~ h j{}m ne mj jisqj{`{ @dqe]NK{ fek`fj{ ~ jw}q`hojq`mj k`s`knm`mj{ }jkhefûdnk`{ ~ mj nhq`j{}qk}q` `k}`f mj }jfjkeihnk`knehj~ jfjk}qûhnk`& ` h mj kehekjq f` ejq}` fek`f( J{}mn`q f` mji`hm` fek`f jh {mnjqjh}j{ {jdijh}e{ ~ j{f`aehj{ mj f` k`mjh` `dqenhm{}qn`f& nhkf~jhme sqerjjmeqj{ mj nh{ie{ ~ gjqq`injh}`{& ` f`{ `dqenhm{}qn`{ ~ ` f` keijqkn`f`knûh ~ fed{}nk` mj i`}jqn`{ sqni`{ ~ sqemk}e{ IE@(

) Ffjr`q `mjf`h}j `kknehj{ s`q` sqeierjq i`{nr`ijh}j f` `mesknûh mj ]NK jjf {jk}eq `dqesjk`qne ~ `dqenhm{}qn`f fek`f jh hknûh mj h nis`k}e se{n}nrs`q` { keisj}n}nrnm`m( S`q` j{}e j{ sqjkn{e j{}mn`q f` mnhàink` mj nhher`knûjh f`{ mn{}nh}`{ jkehei`{ sqemk}nr`{ ~ fe{ `k}eqj{ hm`ijh}`fj{ pj g`kjh ` f` mn{nûh( Jh f` nh}jqrjhknûh {jqà hjkj{`qne `}`k`q mj mn{}nh}`{ eqi`j{}` sqeafjià}nk`& mj `kjqme ` fe{ qj{f}`me{ pj {qo`h mj h mn`dhû{}nkekeh{nmjq`hme seq h f`me `kknehj{ rnhkf`m`{ ` f` qj{efknûh mj sqeafji`j{}qk}q`fj{ pj `jk}`h nhmnqjk}`ijh}j ` f` mn{nûh mj @dqe]NK{& ~ seq e}f`me `kknehj{ mnqjk}`{ keie jf `qi`me mj h` jqn` keijqkn`f @dqe]NK{ s`qsqeierjq jf keijqkne ~ f` mn{nûh ` hnrjf fek`f& k`is`ð`{ mj {jh{nanfn`knûh mj mn{nûh& qjfjr`injh}e{ keeqmnh`me{ mj nheqi`knûh& qjhnehj{ mj keh{f}}`ffjqj{ mj }q`a`oe ~ k`s`kn}`knehj{( F`{ `kknehj{ ` mj{`qqeff`q sjmjh {jq mj{`qqeff`m`{ jh eqi` mj{kjh}q`fn`m` ` s`q}nq mj f`{ mnjqjh}j{ nh{}n}knehj{ ~jwn{}jh}j{ pj ~` }njhjh nhkiajhkn` mj{mj mn{}nh}e{ àhdfe{ jh j{}` kj{}nûsjqe keeqmnh`m`{ seq f` jh}nm`m mj qjjqjhkn` ijhkneh`m` ià{ `qqna`(

) Mj{`qqeffe mj j{}mne{ {eaqj jf ijqk`me nh}jqh`kneh`f s`q` mjhnq {jdijh}e`k}nafj{ mj nh{jqknûh jh e}qe{ s`{j{& kehmnknehj{ jw}jqh`{ ~ h` j{}q`}jdn` mjws`h{nûh keijqkn`f(

) Mj{`qqeffe mj h` fjdn{f`knûh keh h` nhojqjhkn` sqesn` mjf }ji` ~ keh ajhjkne{ nise{n}nre{ s`q` f` nhher`knûh `dqesjk`qn` 'mj{keh}`q e mnjqnq d`{}e{ j}jkhefed`.& ~ s`q` jf kqjkninjh}e mj S~IJ{ mj @dqe]NK{ hjre{ e ~` jwn{}jh}j{< s`q` jffe j{ nhmn{sjh{`afj sqjrn`ijh}j `h`fn`q fe{ j{pji`{ qjdf`}eqnepj nis`k}`h ge~ {eaqj f` nhher`knûh `dqesjk`qn` ~ {eaqj jf kqjkninjh}e mj{}`{ jisqj{`{(

) F`h`q h` fhj` mj kqîmn}e{ j{sjkn`fj{ mj `se~e s`q` sjpjð`{ jisqj{`{ ma`{j }jkhefûdnk` e {a{nmne{ ` mj}jqinh`me{ }nse{ mj ke{}e{ '`isfn`knûh mj Fj~ mj [e}t`qj.& keh knjq}` sqneqn`knûh jh {jdijh}e{ keie @dqe]NK{( Sqjrjf` keisfjijh}`knûh ~ f` he {sjqse{nknûh keh e}qe{ nh{}qijh}e{ ~` jwn{}jh}js`q` jf {jk}eq mj ]NK keie JF BEH[EB]& BEHK^]& BEH]@Q& j}k(

) Mj{`qqeffe mj h seq}`f mj mnrfd`knûh rnq}`f s`q` jf sÿafnke `isfne ~ mjf {jk}eq sqemk}nre( Mn{nûh jh qjrn{}`{ mj fjk}q` ke}nmn`h` mjf {jk}eq mji`hm`h}'jojisfe? Iàqdjhj{ @dqesjk`qne{& Nhe}`iae.(

Mj{`qqeffe mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{?‡

) Qjfjr`injh}e ~ j{}mne mj jr`f`knûh mj h sqedq`i` mj {jh{nanfn`knûh jh

}ji` ~ mj eqi`knûh keh}nh` jh ]NK jh j{kjf`{ qq`fj{& `{ekn`knehj{ mj sqemk}eqj{& {eknjm`mj{ qq`fj{ fek`fj{ ~ kài`q`{ `dqesjk`qn`{(

) Mj{`qqeffe mj {jinh`qne{ keh nh{}n}knehj{ mj eqi`knûh nheqià}nk` ~ jfjk}qhnk`& qjrn{nûh mj sqedq`i`{ kqqnkf`qj{ ~ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh e jw}jh{nûh ~ s`{`h}`{ keh jf eaoj}e mj rnhkf`q f`{ k`qqjq`{ mj nheqià}nk` mj hnrjq{nm`mjfek`fn`m`{ jh eh`{ sqemk}eq`{ keh jisqj{`{ mj @dqe]NK{ ~ kài`q`{ nheià}nk`{(

) Kqj`q h` i`j{}q` keh eqnjh}`knûh }îkhnk` jh @dqe]NK{& q`mnk`m` jh me{ }qj{ hnrjq{nm`mj{ ` jr`f`q& ` h mj eqi`q k`s`knm`mj{ s`q` jf mj{`qqeffe m`sfnk`knehj{& f` j{sjkn`fn`knûh ~%e f` eqi`knûh mj hjre{ jisqjhmninjh}ejh @dqe]NK{(

Beke{ }jkhefûdnke{ 

Mj{`qqeffe mj fhj`{ ~ jpnse{ mj N,M?‡

) Mn{jðe ~ sj{}` jh i`qkg` mj sqedq`i`{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh ~ j{}mne{ mj `k}anfnm`m s`q` sqe~jk}e{ mj mj{`qqeffe mj `sfnk`knehj{ jh fe{ eke{ }jkhefûdnke`{ekn`me{ ` f`{ @dqe]NK{ '`dqeanenheqià}nk`& }jkhefed`{ iûrnfj{& qjmj{ m

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

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}jfjkeihnk`knûh& {n{}ji`{ djeqjjqjhkn`me{& j{}àhm`qj{ `dqenheqià}nke{&mn{nûh mj ]NK& j}k(.& sqjrne qjfjr`injh}e mj fe{ sqe~jk}e{ ~ mj{`qqeffe{ jhi`qkg` e nhknsnjh}j{(

) Mjhnq h` qjm nh{}n}kneh`f mj kjh}qe{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh& }jkhefûdnke{ ~ dqse{knjh}ke{ jh f` @qdjh}nh` rnhkf`me{ seq mjs`q}`ijh}e{& sqedq`i`{ e sqe~jk)}e{ `f k`ise mj f`{ @dqe]NK{& ~ a{k`q `{ekn`knehj{ keh nh{}n}}e{ jw}q`hojqe{mj nhrj{}nd`knûh ~ mj{`qqeffe& {jdÿh jf àqj` e eke }jkhefûdnke( A{k`q f` s`q}nkn)s`knûh mj j{}e{ dqse{ ~ kjh}qe{ jh sqe~jk}e{ mj keesjq`knûh nh}jqh`kneh`f jhN,M 'seq jojisfe? jh jf RNN)BS& ` }q`rî{ mj kehrjhne{ keh s`{j{ fmjqj{ keieN{q`jf& Nhmn`& Nqf`hm`& e kfnjh}j{ `dqesjk`qne{& keie Kgnh`& @fji`hn`& Sjqÿ ~jf IJQKE[ZQ.( A{k`q j{}`afjkjq `fdÿh }nse mj `kjqme mj keisfjijh}`knûh}jkhefûdnk` ~ knjh}k` keh Aq`{nf& qjfjr`hme f` keesjq`knûh ~` jwn{}jh}j(

Sqe~jk}e{ j{sjkke{?‡

) Sqe~jk}`q f` nh{}`f`knûh mj h` qjm }jfjnheqià}nk` snfe}e mj `fk`hkj fek`f)qjdne)h`f& mj f` pj eqijh s`q}j mnrjq{`{ nh{}n}knehj{& ~ ` s`q}nq mj f` k`f qj`fn`q}j{}je{ ` k`ise mj fe{ mn{}nh}e{ }nse{ mj {jh{eqj{& {n{}ji`{ mj nheqi`knûh~ jh}j{ pj keisehjh mnkg` qjm& `mjià{ mj sqerjjq mj keihnk`knehj{ `f`{ keihnm`mj{ qq`fj{ nisfnk`m`{( J{}e sjqin}nqà mj{`qqeff`q h iemjfe mjdj{}nûh mj h` qjm eqnjh}`m` ` j{}`{ rn{}`{ `sfnk`afj jh e}q`{ àqj`{& ~ jrjh}`f)ijh}j jwseq}`afj(

) F`h`q h sqedq`i` mj nhkjh}nre{ {jk}eqn`fj{ ` f` {{}n}knûh mj niseq}`knehj{~ kehkq{e{ mj nhher`knûh }jkhefûdnk` jh }ji`{ kf`rj jh a`{j `f mj{`qqeffemj h ijhÿ mj hjkj{nm`mj{ ~ eseq}hnm`mj{ jh jf àqj` mj @dqe]NK{ ` keq}e ~ijmn`he sf`e '}jkhefed`{ mj `r`h`m`< }jkhefed`{ s`q` {{}n}nq niseq}`kne)hj{< }jkhefed`{ mn{sehnafj{ sjqe ijoeq`afj{.(

) J{}mn`q ~ jr`f`q ` ehme jf j{}`me mjf `q}j ~ sqeierjq f` `mesknûh mj j{}àhm`)qj{ s`q` jf `kesne ~ jf i`hjoe mj nheqi`knûh `h keh f`{ `k}nrnm`mj{ `dqesj)k`qn`{ ~ `dqenhm{}qn`fj{& `{ keie f` jf`aeq`knûh mj qjkeijhm`knehj{ `kjqk`mj f` keis`}nanfnm`m jh}qj {n{}ji`{ ~ sf`}`eqi`{ s`q` jf`aeq`q j{` nheqi`)

knûh& pj ge~ {j jhkjh}q` jh h` {n}`knûh mj `f}` gj}jqedjhjnm`m( [ûfe {jsqj{}` `}jhknûh ` {e{ ~ mj{`qqeffe{ nh{}`f`me{ jh jf jw}jqneq s`q` {n}`knehj{he hjkj{`qn`ijh}j {jijo`h}j{ ` f`{ meiî{}nk`{(

) J{}mne ~ mj{`qqeffe mj j{pji`{ se{nafj{ s`q` `reqjkjq f` mn{nûh mj f` }q`)`anfnm`m mj anjhj{ ~ {jqrnkne{ jh }eme jf {jk}eq ~ f` `mesknûh mj heqi`{ ~j{}àhm`qj{ s`q` `reqjkjqf`( [j }q`}` mj keh{nmjq`q he {ûfe jh jf {jdijh}emj f` d`h`mjq` aernh`& {nhe }eme{ fe{ qj{}`h}j{ {jdijh}e{ mjf {jk}eq `dqesj)k`qne ~ `dqenhm{}qn`f keh fe pj {j }q`}`q` mj nisfjijh}`q f` }q``anfnm`m jh}eme }nse mj `hni`fj{& mj snj`{ mj{se{}`m`{& mj sf`h}`knehj{& ijqk`mjq` `dq`hjf e nhmnrnm`f& j}k( J{}j j{jqe mjaj keh{nmjq`q f` se{nanfnm`m mj rnhkf`qhkneh`fijh}j jh}qj { f`{ nh}jq`{j{ jh}qj }em`{ f`{ j}`s`{ mj f`{ k`mjh`{`dqe`fnijh}`qn`{ sqj{}`hme `}jhknûh }`h}e ` f` }jkhefed` i`}jqn`f ~ {ekn`f pj{j qjpnjqj& keie f`{ fnin}`knehj{ sef}nk`{ ~ jkehûink`{ pj j{ mj j{sjq`qpj j{}`{ `kknehj{ `k`qqjjh(

RNN( K( [jqrnkne{ N]

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Beqi`knûh jh refijh mj QQGG(‡

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F`}nh`(

I`~eq sjhj}q`knûh jh Kfnjh}j{ Jwn{}jh}j{(‡

[jdijh}`knûh mj Ijqk`me{ ~ Kfnjh}j{(‡

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Beke{ }jkhefûdnke{ 

[``[& keie iemjfe mj jh}qjd` mj {e}t`qj ~ he keie sqemk}e }jqinh`me(‡

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RNN( M( Keh}jhnme{ Mndn}`fj{@qj`{ kqé}nk`{ 

Beqi`knûh mj sjqfj{ `m`s}`me{ ` f` nhm{}qn` mj Keh}jhnme{ mndn}`fj{( Rjq sjq)‡

fj{ gaqnme{ jh jf `s`q}`me mj K`sn}`f Gi`he& pj j mj{`qqeff`me jh fe{sqnijqe{ sàqq`e{(

) [jk}eq Jmk`knûh?

/ @{jdq`q pj }eme{ fe{ seq}`fj{ jmk`}nre{ h`kneh`fj{ kisf`h fe{ kqn}jqne{rndjh}j{ s`q` nhkeqseq`q{j keie injiaqe{ sfjhe{ jh qjmj{ qjdneh`fj{ mjj{}e{ seq}`fj{(

/ A{k`q jf j{}`afjkninjh}e mj h ijqk`me qjdneh`f mj keh}jhnme{ ~ {jqrnkne{mndn}`fj{& pj nhkf~` f` qj`fn`knûh mj eqe{& ` }q`rî{ mj h` `fn`h` sÿafnke)sqnr`m` keh sqerjjmeqj{ keijqkn`fj{(

/ @ijh}`q jf nh}jqk`iane mj jwsjqnjhkn`{ ~ keh}jhnme{ mj `f}` k`fnm`m jh f`{qjmj{ qjdneh`fj{ mj seq}`fj{ jmk`}nre{& nhkfnm`{ `sfnk`knehj{ mj Tja 1(3 ~e}qe{ k`h`fj{ mj mn{}qnaknûh& keie f` }jfjrn{nûh ~ f` q`mne(

/ Mnhmnq jwsjqnjhkn`{ jh jf {e mj gjqq`injh}`{ mj qj`fnm`m rnq}`f kei`sfnk`knehj{ mj f`{ ]NK jh sqedq`i`{ jmk`}nre{ s`q` eijh}`q f` mnrj{nm`m kf}q`f& f` }efjq`hkn` ~ keia`}nq f` mn{kqninh`knûh seq keh{nmjq`knehj{ mj q``& dîhjqe& qjfndnûh& j}hn`& jhjqijm`m ~%e mn{k`s`knm`mj{& jh}e}q`{(

) [jk}eq Jijqdjhkn`{?

/ Eqjkjq {n{}ji`{ mj qj{sj{}`& keie a`{j{ mj m`}e{ mj m`ihnk`me{& {n{}ji`{ mj dj{}nûh mj qjkq{e{ s`q` f` qj{sj{}` ` jijqdjhkn`{& jh}qj e}qepj {j`h mj{`qqeff`me{ keh ehme{ sÿafnke{& ~ sqeierjq { }nfn`knûh jh fes`{j{ mj f` qjdnûh }`h}e ` hnrjf h`kneh`f keie fek`f(

) [`fm?

/ @{jdq`q pj jf 43* mj fe{ kjh}qe{ mj {`fm ~ ge{sn}`fj{ }q`a`ojh ke{e}t`qj e `sfnk`knehj{ s`q` f` dj{}nûh ~ sf`hnk`knûh mj sqekj{e{& d`q`h`hme { nh}jqesjq`anfnm`m& e msfnk`q jf hÿijqe `k}`f(

/ Jhf``q seq}`fj{ h`kneh`fj{ mj {`fm keh inq`{ ` j{}`afjkjq h` qjm qjdneh`s`q` keis`q}nq jwsjqnjhkn`{& nh}jqk`ian`q keh}jhnme{ ~ sqeierjq { mj{qqeffe& `m`s}`knûh ~ sjq}nhjhkn`& }ei`hme jh kjh}` f` mjanm` sqe}jkknûh mm`}e{(

/ Sqeierjq f` ijoeq` mj f`{ qjmj{ qjdneh`fj{ mj {`fm ijmn`h}j f` `mesknûmj j{}àhm`qj{ pj rn`anfnkjh f` nh}jqesjq`anfnm`m mj fe{ {n{}ji`{ mndn}`fj{& jnh}jqk`iane mj {e}t`qj & f` nh}jq`kknûh mj `sfnk`knehj{ ~ f` nh}jqkehjwnûh mseq}`fj{ ~ anafne}jk`{ rnq}`fj{ mj {`fm(

) Deanjqhe?

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J{kjf`{ mj Rjq`he jh Nhdjhnjq` mj [e}t`qj?‡

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Nhrj{}nd`knûh ~ Mj{`qqeffe j Nhher`knûh 

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Beke{ }jkhefûdnke{ 

Bnh`fijh}j& mj{mj f` sjq{sjk}nr` }jkhefûdnk`& f` qjkehmq`anfnm`m ~ bjwnanfnm`‡

pj k`q`k}jqn`qà ` fe{ mn{se{n}nre{ ~ {jqrnkne{ mj keihnk`knehj{ iûrnfj{ }qe{& ~ f`{ }q`{ sqj{}`knehj{ mj {n{}ji`{ mj keihnk`knehj{ seq jhf`kj{ maq` ûs}nk` mj `f}e mj{jisjðe& mji`hm`qà keh{nmjq`afj nhdjhnm`m j nhdjhs`q` qj{efrjq fe{ keisqein{e{ mj jknjhkn` qjpjqnme{( Zh` gjqq`injh}` keiÿs`q` qj{efrjq r`qne{ mj j{e{ keisqein{e{ j{ jf sqekj{`injh}e j{}`m{}nke m{jð`fj{(

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Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; 1=

RNN( G( Niàdjhj{

@qj`{ kqé}nk`{ 

Se}jhkn`q f` mekjhkn` ` hnrjf h`kneh`f( J{ nisqj{knhmnafj ffjr`q ` k`ae nh}jqk`i)‡

ane{ mj mekjh}j{ j{sjkn`fn{}`{ h`kneh`fj{ s`q` jf mnk}`me mj kq{e{& mnqjkknûh mjse{}dq`me{& j}k( jh e}q`{ ZZHH& `{ keie jf mnk}`me mj kq{e{ mj jw}jh{nûh s`q`nh{}n}knehj{ ~ jisqj{`{( Zh` i`hjq` j{sjkk` mj nisfjijh}`q j{}j sqesû{n}ekeh{n{}j jh kqj`q se{}dq`me{ jh qjm jh}qj r`qn`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{( ]`ianîh qj{f}`nhmn{sjh{`afj sqjrjq f`{ r`k`hkn`{ `k}`fj{ ~ }q`{ jh jf ijqk`me f`aeq`f& ~s`q` jffe kqj`q j{sjkn`fn`knehj{ jh }ji`{ sh}`fj{ keie niàdjhj{ iîmnk`{&}jfjmj}jkknûh ~ {jh{`me qjie}e& rn{nûh qeaû}nk` j nhm{}qn`f& j}k( [jq` mj{j`afjpj }em`{ j{}`{ `k}nrnm`mj{ j{}îh hkfj`m`{ `fqjmjmeq mj eaoj}nre{ kqqnkf`qj{

keh{jh{`me{ ` hnrjf h`kneh`f(Hkfj`q ` f` keihnm`m? h` mj f`{ sqneqnm`mj{ s`q` eqnjh}`q f`{ `k}nrnm`mj{ j{‡

j{}`afjkjq h` {eknjm`m h`kneh`f mj j{sjkn`fn{}`{ ~ kqj`q h` qjm mj jwkjfjhkn`jh knjhkn`{ mj f`{ niàdjhj{(

Nisfjijh}`q h f`aeq`}eqne rnq}`f s`q` jf mj{`qqeffe mj `sfnk`knehj{ Zh` mj‡

i`~eqj{ qdjhkn`{ `k}`fj{ q`mnk` jh f` `f}` mj {efknehj{ nheqià}nk`{ s`q`h dq`h kehoh}e mj sqeafji`{ `k`mîinke{& sqemk}nre{& ~ mj djhjq`knûh mjsef}nk`{ dajqh`ijh}`fj{( Jf ijqk`me qjpnjqj `sfnk`knehj{ pj sjqin}`h ` f`nhm{}qn` fek`f g`kjq {e mj }îkhnk`{ `r`h`m`{ mj }ei` mj mjkn{nehj{ `{n{}nm`{seq }jkhefed`{ dqàk` ~ mj rn{`fn`knûh( F` {efknûh ià{ jknjh}j ` keq}e sf`ekeh{n{}j jh nisfjijh}`q h F`aeq`}eqne Rnq}`f pj `k}ÿj keie qjjqjh}j h`kne)h`f( J{}e sjqin}nqà kehkjh}q`q f` nheqi`knûh {eaqj f` mji`hm` mj {n{}ji`{ ~ {jq)rnkne{& ~ rjgnkfn`q { mj{`qqeffe g`kn` jf dqse mj j{sjkn`fn{}`{ ià{ nhmnk`me(

Kqj`knûh mj h` sf`}`eqi` hnk`m` keh }jkhefed` fek`f? f` dq`h i`~eq` mj fe{‡

{n{}ji`{ nheqià}nke{ }nfn`me{ `k}`fijh}j {eh sqemk}e{ keijqkn`fj{ mj `f}eke{}e }`h}e mj nhrjq{nûh keie esjq`}nre( J{}e& `mjià{ mj djhjq`q fe{ sqeafji`{k`q`k}jq{}nke{ mj f` }jkhefed` sqesnj}`qn`& fe{ g`kj he nh}jqesjq`afj{ keh e}qe{{n{}ji`{& j{}àhm`qj{ e `sfnk`}nre{ nhmjsjhmnjh}j{( Zh eaoj}nre pj `knfn}`q` ~

`dnfn`q` jheqijijh}j jf mj{`qqeffe mj `sfnk`knehj{ {jq` keh}`q keh h` an)afne}jk` e [ML fek`fijh}j mj{`qqeff`m` keh jf s`}qeknhne mj h keh{eqkne nh}j)dq`me seq f`{ `djhkn`{ mj knjhkn` ~ }îkhnk`& f`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{& f`{ Kài`q`{ mj[e}t`qj ~ }eme{ fe{ eqd`hn{ie{ pj mj{jjh s`q}nkns`q jh f` j{sjknk`knûh( [jg`kj îh`{n{ mj j{}` eqi` jh f` nh}jqesjq`anfnm`m mj fe{ sqemk}e{ h`kneh`fj{ ~f` djhjq`knûh mj h i`qke qjdf`}eqne jh f` jwseq}`knûh mj sqemk}e{ j{}q`}îdn)ke{ pj g`d`h {e mj mnkg` }jkhefed`(

Nisf{`q f` nhrj{}nd`knûh jh àqj`{ r`k`h}j{? j{}` `kknûh {j j{}`afjkj ` s`q}nq mjf‡

h`hkn`injh}e mj sqedq`i`{ j{sjkn`fj{ s`q` sqe~jk}e{ mj knjhkn` ~ }îkhnk`& pjsjqin}`h kehkq{`q ajk`{ nh}jqh`{ ~ jw}jqh`{& rn{n}`{ mj nhrj{}nd`meqj{ mj sqj{)}ndne nh}jqh`kneh`f ~ }`ianîh ajk`{ se{mek}eq`fj{ mj nhrj{}nd`meqj{ `qdjh}nhe{&jh f`{ àqj`{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh jh knjhkn`{ mj f`{ niàdjhj{(

Keh}`q keh nh{}qijh}e{ mj h`hkn`injh}e `mjk`me{? f` }q`h{jqjhkn` mj }jk)‡

hefed` {j ffjr` ` k`ae keh qj{}qnkknehj{ mj }njise i~ mnjqjh}j{ ` f`{ mj fe{sqe~jk}e{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh& seq fe pj {j qjpnjqjh nh{}qijh}e{ mj h`hkn`injh)}e `mjk`me{( Zh` se{nanfnm`m `f qj{sjk}e keh{n{}j jh keh}`q keh kehrek`}eqn`{keh jkg` `anjq}` ~%e kehmnkneh`me{& pj sjqin}`h pj fe{ dqse{ mj nhrj{}nd`)knûh qj`fnkjh { sqj{jh}`knûh kehmnkneh`m` ` fe{ `kjqme{ keh fe{ {}`ljgefmjq{(]`ianîh {j g`kj îh`{n{ jh f` hjkj{nm`m mj ajk`{ sqej{neh`fj{ pj sjqin}`h

h` dj{}nûh àdnf ~ bjwnafj mj fe{ qjkq{e{ gi`he{ s`q` semjq ffjr`q `mjf`h}j f`{}`qj`{ mj }q`h{jqjhkn`(

Beke{ }jkhefûdnke{ 

[jdijh}`knûh ~ k`h}nk`knûh mj eaoj}e{ ~ }jw}q`{ jh niàdjhj{? jf sqeafji`‡

mj f` {jdijh}`knûh jh niàdjhj{ mndn}`fj{ keh{n{}j jh {js`q`q `mjk`m`ijh}j jfàqj` mj nh}jqî{ mjf ehme mj f` ni`djh( Jojisfe{ mj j{}j sqeafji` djhîqnke {ehmjfnin}`knûh mj àqj`{ keh `fdh` k`q`k}jq{}nk` mn{}nh}nr` pj {j mj{j` mj}jk}`q'kf}nre{ jh niàdjhj{ {`}jfn}`fj{& }jonme{ jh niàdjhj{ iîmnk`{& j}npj}`{ mj sqe)mk}e{ jh sf`h}`{ nhm{}qn`fj{& j}k(.(

Qjkehekninjh}e& nmjh}nk`knûh& j nh}jqsqj}`knûh `}eià}nk` mj niàdjhj{? jf qj)‡

kehekninjh}e j nmjh}nk`knûh jh niàdjhj{ ~` {jdijh}`m`{ nisfnk` nhkeqseq`qkehekninjh}e mj `f}e hnrjf 'nh}jfndjh}j. mjh}qe mjf snsjfnhj  mj sqekj{`injh}e&}jhmnjh}j ` nh}jdq`q mnjqjh}j{ eaoj}e{ jh h` ni`djh mj i`hjq` mj jif`q f`kedhnknûh gi`h`( Jojisfe{ k`q`k}jq{}nke{ {eh jf qjkehekninjh}e mj qe{}qe{ jh{n{}ji`{ mj {jdqnm`m& f` nmjh}nk`knûh mj eaoj}e{ iûrnfj{ jh sf`h}`{ nhm{}qn`)fj{& j}k(

Iî}eme{ nh}jfndjh}j{ mj‡ }q`klnhd jh {jkjhkn`{ mj rnmje? jf }q`klnhd  jh rnmje

nisfnk` jf qjkehekninjh}e j nh}jqsqj}`knûh `}eià}nk`{ nhkeqseq`hme `mjià{ f`keeqmjh`m` }njise& fe k`f jh `fdhe{ `{sjk}e{ mnkf}` jf qjkehekninjh}e seq f`keisfjonm`m `mnkneh`m`& sjqe seq e}q` s`q}j fe `knfn}` {n j{ se{nafj jw}q`sef`q jhjf }njise f` nmjh}nk`knûh jjk}`m` jh k`mqe{ `h}jqneqj{( Fe{ jojisfe{ mj{}`)k`me{ {eh f` rn{nûh keis}`kneh`f ~ qeaû}nk`& f` mjseq}efed`& f` qeaû}nk` iûrnf&j}k(

B{nûh ~ keqqjdn{}q`knûh if}nj{s`kn`f& if}n}jiseq`f& ~ if}niem`f? j{}j sqeafj)‡

i` keh{n{}j jh nh}jdq`q& sehmjq`q& ~ jr`f`q fe{ m`}e{ j{s`kn`fj{ sqerjhnjh}j{mj mnjqjh}j{ {jh{eqj{& jh mnjqjh}j{ ieijh}e{& ~ keh mnjqjh}j{ k`fnm`mj{( Fe{jojisfe{ k`q`k}jq{}nke{ {eh f` {nûh mj niàdjhj{ djej{s`kn`fj{ sqerjhnjh}j{mj in{nehj{ {`}jfn}`fj{& nh}jdqàhmef`{ keh e}edq``{ `îqj`{& iemjfe{ mndn}`fj{mj jfjr`knûh 'MJI{.& m`}e{ mj DS[& ~ j{}`knehj{ mj {jh{`me& {njhme }eme{ j{)}e{ m`}e{ mj mnjqjh}j mn{sehnanfnm`m& k`fnm`m& qj{efknûh& j}k( ~ g`anjhme {nme}ei`me{ jh mnjqjh}j{ ieijh}e{( E}qe jojisfe mj dq`h niseq}`hkn` j{ f` keqqj)dn{}q`knûh mj m`}e{ iîmnke{ '}eiedq``{& jkedq``{& `}f`{ iîmnke& j}k(. s`q` jfmn{jðe mj sqû}j{n{ ~ ûq}j{n{& f` sf`hnk`knûh pnqÿqdnk`& j}k(

Qjhmjqnhd&‡ iemjfe{ mj nfinh`knûh& qj`fn{ie& ~ `hni`knûh? jf sqeafji` mjfqjhmjqnhd jh keis}`knûh dqàk` sjmj mjhnq{j keie jf mn{jðe mj j{}qk}q`{

mj m`}e{ ~ `fdeqn}ie{ pj sjqin}`h f` qjsqj{jh}`knûh rn{`f mj iemjfe{ djeiî}qnke{ mj fe{ eaoj}e{& ~ mjf }q`h{seq}j mj f jh f` {sjqknj mj fe{ in{ie{( F`hni`knûh `dqjd` ` j{}j sqeafji` f` mnijh{nûh }jiseq`f( Fe{ jojisfe{ mj j{}sqeafji` fe{ semjie{ jhkeh}q`q jh f` }jkhefed` mj keis}`knûh dqàk` 'ode{& rnmje{ mj `hni`knûh.& f` qj`fnm`m rnq}`f ~ `ijh}`m`& f` }jfjsqj{jhkn`& j}

Qjhmjqnhd mj refÿijhj{? jf‡ qjhmjqnhd jh iemjfe{ ;M {j mnjqjhkn` mjf qjhmjqnhjh keis}`knûh dqàk` seq jf gjkge mj pj {j a{k` qjsqj{jh}`q rn{`fijhm`}e{ refiî}qnke{ 'seq jojisfe? jf nh}jqneq mj eaoj}e{.& seq fe pj he {j jif`fj~j{ {nk`{ keheknm`{( Jf jojisfe ià{ niseq}`h}j mj j{}j sqeafji` j{ f` rn{`fn`knûh mj m`}e{ iîmnke{ '}eiedq``{& SJ]& K@]. mj i`hjq` }`f mj semjq qjsqj{jh}`q fe{ m`}e{ `mpnqnme{ keie h {ûfnme }q`{fÿknme pj sjqin}` `f j{sjkn`fn{q`mnûfede nmjh}nk`q ~ mn`dhe{}nk`q `sqesn`m`ijh}j( Jojisfe{ {ninf`qj{ sjmj

jhkeh}q`q{j jh jf mn{jðe nhm{}qn`f& mehmj fe{ m`}e{ ` qjsqj{jh}`q sjmjh sqerhnq mj {nif`knehj{ keis}`kneh`fj{ mj f` sqesnjm`mj{ mj h eaoj}e 'seq jojisfe? f` }qafjhkn` mj h eaoj}e `jqemnhàinke jh h }ÿhjf mj rnjh}e rnq}`f.(

DSDSZ? {n anjh g`~ jh f` @qdjh}nh` dqse{ nhrj{}nd`hme f` sqedq`i`knûh m‡

`qpn}jk}q`{ if}nkeqj& keis}`knûh dqnm& ~ kf{}jq mj keis}`meq`{& f`{ DSZ'Dq`sgnk Sqekj{{nhd Zhn}{. qjsqj{jh}`h jh f` `k}`fnm`m f` ijoeq `f}jqh`}nr` jke{}e ~ sqj{}`knehj{ s`q` jf kûis}e kehkqqjh}j ~ s`q`fjfe& {njhme j{}` }jhmjhkn` k`m` rj ià{ `kjh}`m`( Jf {e mj j{}j g`qmt`qj sesf`q s`q` {e{ knjh}ke{ {j kehekj keie DSDSZ 'Djhjq`f Sqse{j DSZ.& àqj` pj j{}à kehkn}`hme f` `}jhknûh mj h kqjknjh}j hÿijqe mj dqse{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh nh}jqh`kneh`Jh}qj f`{ `sfnk`knehj{ mjf DSDSZ {j sjmj keh}`q f` {nif`knûh ~ iemjf`me j}njise qj`f mj dq`hmj{ j{}qk}q`{& f` qj{efknûh nh}jq`k}nr` mj sqeafji`{ hiîqnke{ mj dq`h keisfjonm`m& j}k(

Nh}jdq`knûh mj a`{j{ mj m`}e{ ;M 'djej{s`kn`fj{& iîmnk`{& j}k(. jh {nif`meqj‡

~ rn{`fn`meqj{? f`{ a`{j{ mj m`}e{ j{s`kn`fj{ 'djedqàk`{& iîmnk`{& j}k(. ei`h s`q}j kqjknjh}j mjf `k}nre mn{sehnafj s`q` {e{ ~ `sfnk`knehj{( Seq e}qe f`mef` }jkhefed` mj {nif`meqj{ 'mj rjfe& brn`fj{& mj sn{}`& j}k(. he g` }jhnme jkjh}` mj{mj { nhnkne f` se{nanfnm`m mj i`hjo`q{j mjh}qe mj }jqqjhe{ e jh}eqhepj he j{jh {nif`me{( F` nh}jdq`knûh mj j{}`{ me{ }jkhefed`{ sjqin}nqà j

}q`jq jf iàwnie sqerjkge mj k`m` h`& g`knjhme se{nafj jf mj{`qqeffe mj `sfnk`knehj{ g`{}` `geq` nisjh{`m`{(

Ie}neh k`s}zqj& g`s]NK& sen{j j{}ni`}neh ‡ ? j{}j sqeafji` sjmj mjhnq{j keiqj`fn`q f` k`s}q` mj nheqi`knûh dj{}`f e knhjià}nk` mj sjq{eh`{ eaoj}e{S`q` jffe {j kjh}` keh mn{se{n}nre{ j{sjkke{& e sjmjh mj{`qqeff`q{j iî}ememj k`s}q` a`{`me{ jh rn{nûh keis}`kneh`f 'ijhe{ jknjh}j{ sjqe mj ijheke{}e.( Jojisfe{ mj j{}` sqeafjià}nk` sjmjh jhkeh}q`q{j jh mjseq}efed` 'jh}qjh`injh}e ~ jr`f`knûh mj mjseq}n{}`{.& ojde{ 'mj}jqinh`knûh mj {jkjhkn`mj ierninjh}e{ s`q` sjq{eh`oj{.& keh}qef dj{}`f mj `sfnk`knehj{& j}k(

Mj{kqnsknûh mj f`{ àqj`{ mj `sfnk`knûh 

[n{}ji`{ mj rn{nûh nhm{}qn`f?‡

) ]nse{ mj sqemk}e{ e ijqk`me?

/ Fek`fn`knûh mj eaoj}e{ iûrnfj{ jh sf`h}`{(

/ Mj}jkknûh mj `ff`{ jh f`inh`me{(

/ Iehn}eqje mj keia{}nûh jh `f}e{ geqhe{(/ Iehn}eqje jh geqhe{ mj kq`klnhd(

/ Iehn}eqje rn{`f mj k`fnm`m(

/ Nh{sjkknûh rn{`f mj s`q`aqn{`{& qem`injh}e{& s`q}j{ ijkàhnk`{(

) [}`ljgefmjq{ & kfnjh}j{& {jk}eqj{ nh}jqj{`me{?

/ Nhm{}qn` `}eie}qn(

/ @kjq`{ j nhm{}qn` ij}`fÿqdnk`(

/ Qjhjq`{ ~ `f}e{ geqhe{(

/ Bq}ngeq}kef`{(

/ Jisqj{`{ mj }q`h{seq}j jqqern`qne(

/ Nhm{}qn` mj `fnijh}e{(

Ojde{ j nhm{}qn` mjf jh}qj}jhninjh}e?‡

) ]nse{ mj sqemk}e{ e ijqk`me?

/ Sf`}`eqi`{ mj {nif`knûh '`îqj`& h`r`f& j}k(.(

/ F`aeq`}eqne mj ie}neh k`s}zqj(

/ Sqedq`i`knûh mj DSZ ~ Keis}`knûh mj i~ `f}` sjqeqi`hkj(

/ Qj`fnm`m rnq}`f e `ijh}`m`(

/ ]jfjsqj{jhkn`(

/ [snh)e mj sf`}`eqi`{ ~ jhdnhj{(

/ Ez}{ezqknhd mj sqemk}e{(

) [}`ljgefmjq{ & kfnjh}j{& {jk}eqj{ nh}jqj{`me{?

/ Jisqj{`{ mj{`qqeff`meq`{ mj ojde{(

/ Jisqj{`{ mj mn{jðe nhm{}qn`f(

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Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; 1:

/ Mjseq}efed`(

/ J{}mne{ mj `qpn}jk}q`(

/ Jisqj{`{ mj }qn{ie(

/ BB@@& mjjh{`(

/ Jisqj{`{ seq}`qn`{(

/ @jqefhj`{(

]jfjmj}jkknûh ~ DN[?‡

) ]nse{ mj sqemk}e{ e ijqk`me?/ Iehn}eqje nh}jfndjh}j keh niàdjhj{ mj {jh{`me qjie}e(

/ [jh{eqj{ Nhq`qqeoe{(

/ K`q}edq`` ~ k`}`{}qe mndn}`f(

/ Djem`}`a`{j{ ~ Djern{`fn`knûh(

/ Iehn}eqje nh}jfndjh}j keh {n{}ji`{ jiajanme{(

) [}`ljgefmjq{ & kfnjh}j{& {jk}eqj{ nh}jqj{`me{?

/ [jk}eq sÿafnke 'ihnkns`fnm`mj{& {jkqj}`q`{& inhn{}jqne{.(

/ EHD½{(

/ Jisqj{`{ mj iehn}eqje(

/ Keis`ð`{ mj {jdqe{(

/ Jisqj{`{ `{ekn`m`{ ` f` nhm{}qn` mjf sj}qûfje(

/ Nh{}n}}e{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh(

/ Jisqj{`{ mj {jqrnkne{ mj k`q}edq``(

/ Jisqj{`{ mj }q`h{seq}j& dj{}nûh ~ fed{}nk`(

Niàdjhj{ Iîmnk`{?‡

) ]nse{ mj sqemk}e{ e ijqk`me?

/ Q`mnefed` keis}`kneh`f(

/ Mn`dhû{}nke seq niàdjhj{ ~ mn`dhû{}nke `{n{}nme seq keis}`meq`(

/ Iemjf`me `h`}ûinke ;M(

/ Sf`hnk`knûh pnqÿqdnk`(

/ Mn{jðe mj sqû}j{n{(

) [}`ljgefmjq{ & kfnjh}j{& {jk}eqj{ nh}jqj{`me{?

/ Nh{}n}}e{ mj mn`dhû{}nke seq niàdjhj{(

/ [jqrnkne{ mj niàdjhj{ ~ q`mnefed` jh ge{sn}`fj{(

/ Nh{}n}}e{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh iîmnk`(

/ [`fm sÿafnk`(

/ Sqej{neh`fj{ q`mnûfede{(

Rnmje Mndn}`f ~ [n{}ji`{ mj Iehn}eqje?‡

) ]nse{ mj sqemk}e{ e ijqk`me?

/ @sfnk`knehj{ mj rnmje seq NS(

/ ]jfjrn{nûh mndn}`f(

/ ]jfjsqj{jhkn`(

/ Jhkqns}`knûh(

/ T`}jqi`qlnhd(

/ Keisqj{nûh(

/ ]q`klnhd j nmjh}nk`knûh(

) [}`ljgefmjq{& kfnjh}j{& {jk}eqj{ nh}jqj{`me{?

/ Jisqj{`{ mj }qn{ie rnq}`f(

/ Jisqj{`{ djhjq`meq`{ mj keh}jhnme{(

/ Mj{`qqeff`meqj{ mj ojde{(

/ Jisqj{`{ mj rndnf`hkn` ~ {jdqnm`m(

RNN( N( [e}t`qj Jiajanme

@qj`{ kqé}nk`{ 

Zh `{sjk}e niseq}`h}j {jqà f` `isfn`knûh mj f`{ k`s`knm`mj{ `k`mîink`{ ` hnrjf‡

mj mek}eq`me qj`fn`me{ }`h}e ` hnrjf fek`f keie nh}jqh`kneh`f jh }ji`{ mj iemj)

f`me& {nh}j}n`me ~ rjqnk`knûh mj `qpn}jk}q`{ ~ {n{}ji`{ iemf`qj{& ij}emefed`{ mj {e}t`qj eqnjh}`m`{ ` {n{}ji`{ jiajanme{& gjqq`injh}`{ mj nh}jdq`knûmj {n{}ji`{ keisfjoe{& {n{}ji`{ mj }njise qj`f& `qpn}jk}q`{ qjkehdq`afjke)mn{jðe g`qmt`qj%{e}t`qj% {n{}ji` ~ keihnk`knehj{& jh}qj e}q`{ àqj`{ mnh}jqî{( S`q` jffe qj{f}` hjkj{`qn` f` kqj`knûh mj j{s`kne{ mj }q`a`oe if}nmn{ksfnh`q jh f`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{ j nh{}n}}e{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh keh dqse{ sqerjhnjh}jmj f`{ knjhkn`{ j nhdjhnjq` mj g`qmt`qj ~ {e}t`qj keh h` nhq`j{}qk}q` mjpns`injh}e mj `r`h`m`(

RNN( O( Inkqe H`hejfjk}qûhnk`

@qj`{ kqé}nk`{ 

Bnh`hkn`q h sqedq`i` mj eqi`knûh mj I`j{}q`{ ~ Mek}eqj{& keh f` bjwnanfnm`‡

`mjk`m` s`q` f` kehkqjknûh mj fe{ eaoj}nre{ mj{j`me{& keh}jisf`hme f` eqi`knûh jh jf jw}jqneq(

Keisfj}`q f` eqi`knûh mjf Nh{}n}}e mj Mn{jðe keh h` j{}qk}q` djedqàk` mn{‡

}qnanm`( D`q`h}n`q jf h`hkn`injh}e s`q` f` ea}jhknûh mj fnkjhkn`{ keijqkn`fj~ {jqrnkne{ mj `aqnk`knûh(

Kqj`q h sqedq`i` j{sjkn`f pj h`hknj fe{ sj{}e{ mj fe{ j{sjkn`fn{}`{ djhjq‡

me{ jh jisqj{`{ }jkhefûdnk`{ jwn{}jh}j{ ~ jh hjre{ jisqjhmninjh}e{(

Beijh}`q f` nh{}`f`knûh mj ; jisqj{`{ jw}q`hojq`{ keh jq}j{ f`e{ ` fe{ sqe‡

~jk}e{ mj djhjq`knûh mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{ ~ j{}`afjkninjh}e mj mj{`qqeffe }jhefûdnke jh f` @qdjh}nh`(

Mj{`qqeffe mj f` nhm{}qn` mj sqesnjm`m nh}jfjk}`f jh mn{jðe mj knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`‡

me{ 'inkqejfjk}qûhnk` ~ h`hejfjk}qûhnk`.

Beke{ }jkhefûdnke{ 

Mj{`qqeffe mj {e}t`qj `{ekn`me s`q` mn{jðe ~ rjqnk`knûh 'JM@K@M.(‡

Mj{`qqeffe mj f` nhm{}qn` mj {jqrnkne mj mn{jðe(‡

Ijoeq`{ jh f` keisj}n}nrnm`m mj f` nhm{}qn` jfjk}qûhnk` h`kneh`f ~ mj{`qqeffe m‡

f` nhm{}qn` mj r`feq `dqjd`me a`{`m` jh se{})sqekj{`injh}e mj knqkn}e{ nh}jdq`me{ 'mehmj jf inkqekgns {j mn{jð` fek`fijh}j& {j jhk`qd` ` àaqnk`{ jq` mf` @qdjh}nh`& ~ {j `sfnk`h s`{e{ mj sqekj{`injh}e se{}jqneq jh jf s`{. s`q` {nh}jdq`knûh gaqnm` keh?

) J{}qk}q`{ IJI[(

) H`he}ae{ ~ h`hes`q}kf`{(

) Inkqebmnk`(

) @kkneh`me}j{ mj QB ~ mj se}jhkn`< s`q` `sfnk`knehj{ jh?

/ Aneijmnknh`(

/ Iehn}eqje `ianjh}`f(

/ @dqnkf}q` ~ d`h`mjq`(

/ Jhjqd`(Mj{`qqeffe mj Jfjk}qûhnk` he)kehrjhkneh`f 'seq jojisfe& sfà{}nk`.(‡

Mj{`qqeffe mj f` k`mjh` mj r`feq keisfj}`& mn{jðe ~ `aqnk`knûh mj knqkn}e‡

nh}jdq`me{(

RNN( L( Jmk`knûh K`sn}`f Gi`he

@qj`{ kqé}nk`{ 

Nh}jdq`knûh mj ]NK jh f` Jmk`knûh?‡

) {j qjkeinjhm` mj{`qqeff`q sqedq`i`{ mj `se~e ` f`{ sqernhkn`{ s`q` eqi`fn`sf`hj{ mj nh}jdq`knûh mj ]NK jh f` kqqkf`( J{}e{ sqedq`i`{ {j sjmjh mj{`qqeff`q jh r`qn`{ iem`fnm`mj{?

Nhrj{}nd`knûh {eaqj f` nh}jdq`knûh mj ]NK?‡

) Ijmn`h}j f` qj`fn`knûh mj snfe}e{ pj sjqin}`h jwsjqnijh}`q ~ sehjq ` shmn{se{n}nre{ mj nh}jqrjhknûh nh{}n}kneh`f( J{}` ijmnm` {j sjmj qj`fn`q keh j{eseq}j kehoh}e mj fe{ Inhn{}jqne{ mj Jmk`knûh ~ mj Knjhkn`& ]jkhefed`

Nhher`knûh Sqemk}nr`(F` eqi`knûh mekjh}j jh ]NK?‡

) @k}`fn`q f`{ kqqnkf`{ mj fe{ sqej{eq`me{ ~ `aqnq j{s`kne{ mj nhher`knûh jf` sqàk}nk` mekjh}j(

Jf mj{`e mjf `kkj{e?‡

) Mj{`qqeff`q ij}`{ mj kehjwnûh ~ jpns`injh}e {{}jh}`afj{ jh jf }njise(

Mj{`qqeffe mj J{}àhm`qj{?‡

) Mj{mj jf Inhn{}jqne mj Jmk`knûh `se~`q f` dj{}nûh mj fe{ inhn{}jqne{ sqernhkn`fj{ kqj`hme j{}àhm`qj{ mj keisj}jhkn`{ ]NK s`q` mekjh}j{(

Beqi`knûh s`q` jf }q`a`oe keh ]NK 

J{kjf` ijmn` nh}jdq`m`{ ` f`{ ]NK?‡

) Nhkeqseq`q ` f`{ ]NK keie gjqq`injh}` mj sqjs`q`knûh s`q` jf }q`a`oe jh }em`f`{ j{sjkn`fnm`mj{ mj f` j{kjf` ijmn`( S`q` aqnhm`q ` fe{ `fihe{ h` eqi`

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Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; 12

knûh s`q` jf }q`a`oe keh jf meinhne mj gjqq`injh}`{ nheqià}nk`{ s`q` }nfn`q jheks`knehj{ he nheqià}nk`{(

) Qjher`knûh ~ qjsf`h}je mj f`{ kqqnkf`{ mj f` j{kjf` ijmn` pj nhkeqseqj `fe{ ‖hjre{’ ekne{ ~ fe{ sjqfj{ gaqnme{(

]jqkn`qne{ nh}jdq`me{ ` f`{ ]NK?

) Nhkeqseq`q ` f`{ ]NK keie gjqq`injh}` mj sqjs`q`knûh s`q` jf }q`a`oe(

) Z{e mj ]NK jh }em`{ f`{ }jkhnk`}q`{ pj {j sjm`h ajhjkn`q mj }nfn`qf`{(

Keihnk`knûh?

) Mj{`qqeff`q sf`hj{ mj keihnk`knûh ` h mj pj f` `mnjhkn` oerjh sjqkna` f`mnjqjhkn` mj nhdqj{`q jh f` nhm{}qn` [[N ~ g`d` }`hdnafj ajhjkne{(

Knjhkn` ~ ]jkhefed`?

) Kehjk}`q ` f` j{kjf` ijmn` keh f` `f}` }jkhefed`& jh s`q}nkf`q keh nhrj{}nd`)meqj{ hnrjq{n}`qne{(

Beqi`knûh s`q` f` Nh{jqknûh f`aeq`f?

) Nh}jh{nk`q fe{ sqedq`i`{ mj `se~e ` f`{ sqernhkn`{ s`q` f` eqi`knûh mj }îkhn)ke{ [[N& ijmn`h}j f` eqi`knûh jw}q`kqqnkf`q jh {jkhm`qne{ ~ fe{ kq{e{ mjeqi`knûh sqej{neh`f(

Beqi`knûh s`q` jf }q`a`oe jh ]NK 

Mj{`qqeff`q f` J{kjf` ]îkhnk` jh Nheqià}nk` jh }eme{ fe{ mn{}qn}e{ mj f`‡

@qdjh}nh`?

) [n anjh f` J] jh Nheqià}nk` ~` jwn{}j he }njhj f` mnijh{nûh jh k`h}nm`m mj j{)}`afjkninjh}e{ pj mjajq` s`q` `o{}`q{j ` f`{ hjkj{nm`mj{ mj f` {eknjm`m(J{ hjkj{`qne eq}`fjkjq f`{ ejq}`{ `k}`fj{ `k}`fn`hme ~ eqi`hme ` fe{ me)

kjh}j{& eijh}`hme { rnhkf`knûh keh jf {jk}eq& ijoeq`hme { jpns`injh}e&sqjeksàhme{j seq ijoeq`q f` mnmàk}nk` mj kehkjs}e{ keisfjoe{ keie f` sqe)dq`i`knûh& ~ `dqjd`hme ejq}`{ jh eh`{ pj k~`{ kehmnknehj{ {eknejkehû)ink`{ f`{ qjpnjq`h e hjr`{ j{sjkn`fnm`mj{ pj r`~`h {qdnjhme(

@k}`fn`knûh ~ qjsf`h}je mj kqqkf`{?‡

) @k}`fn`knûh ~ qjsf`h}je mj fe{ sqedq`i`{ mj j{}mne ` h mj `kjqk`qfe{ ` f`sqàk}nk` f`aeq`f(

Keihnk`knûh?‡

) Mj{`qqeff`q sf`hj{ mj keihnk`knûh ` h mj pj f` `mnjhkn` oerjh sjqkna` f`mnjqjhkn` mj nhdqj{`q jh f` nhm{}qn` [[N ~ g`d` }`hdnafj ajhjkne{(

Ajk`{ keisfj}`{?‡

) Sqedq`i` nh}jh{nre mj ajk`{ pj j{}nifj jf j{}mne mj ]NK jh fe{ {jk}eqj{ijhe{ `reqjknme{(

Mj{jqknûh ~ mj{dq`h`injh}e?‡

) Sqedq`i` mj `se~e s`q` jrn}`q f` mj{jqknûh ~ jf mj{dq`h`injh}e jh f`{ k`qqj)q`{ mj nheqià}nk`(

Bfjwnanfn`knûh mj sf`hj{?‡

) Kqj`knûh mj }}fe{ nh}jqijmne{& qjmkknûh mj `ðe{ mj k`qqjq`{ mj dq`me(

RNN( F( Nhher`knûh

@qj`{ kqé}nk`{ 

Kqj`q jf ianjh}j mj hjdekne{ fqjmjmeq mj f`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{? f`{ jisqj{`{‡ {}`q}zs  ]NK {eh f`{ pj ijoeq qjÿhjh f`{ k`q`k}jq{}nk`{ ie}qnkj{ s`q` f` nhher`knûh }jkhe)fûdnk`? f` nmjh}nk`knûh mj hjre{ ijqk`me{ ~ }jkhefed`{ herjme{`{& bjwnanfnm`mj{}qk}q`f& k`s`knm`m mj nh}jdq`knûh mj }`fjh}e& sqjmn{se{nknûh f qnj{de ~ rek`knûhmj {sjq`knûh( J{}`{ jisqj{`{ djhjq`fijh}j h`kjh kjqk` mj àian}e{ hnrjq{n}`)qne{ s`q` fe k`f j{ hjkj{`qne kqj`q fe{ ianjh}j{ sqesnkne{ j nh{}n}kneh`fn me{(

Beijh}`q f` nhrj{}nd`knûh `sfnk`m` k`ian`hme fe{ {n{}ji`{ mj jr`f`knûh mj fe{‡

nhrj{}nd`meqj{? {n anjh jf ajh s`sjq kehmkj ` f` }q`h{jqjhkn`& j{ knjq}e s`q`fe{ s`{j{ kjh}q`fj{ ~ he {j }q`}` mj h` qjdf` djhjq`f s`q` s`{j{ sjqnîqnke{( Jh

f` @qdjh}nh` g`~ ikge{ nhrj{}nd`meqj{& pj }jhnjhme se{nanfnm`mj{ mj nhrj{}nd`q}ji`{ qjfjr`h}j{ s`q` jf mj{`qqeffe fek`f& fe mj{k`q}`h seqpj he {eh }ji`{ mjiem` jh f` oezqh`f{ nh}jqh`kneh`fj{( G`~ }ji`{ qjfjr`h}j{ s`q` f` @qdjh}nh` pjhe {eh qjfjr`h}j{ jh s`{j{ kjh}q`fj{& seq fe }`h}e gnse}î}nk`ijh}j semjie{}jhjq jwkjfjh}j{ nhrj{}nd`meqj{ pj sqemkjh s`sjq{ keh `sfnk`anfnm`m pj hesjmjh safnk`qfe{ jh qjrn{}`{ nh}jqh`kneh`fj{ seq { }ji` he j{ ‖qjfjr`h}j’(

Bnh`hkn`knûh mj f` nhher`knûh? j{}j }ji` j{ niseq}`h}j he {efe s`q` sqeiekneh`q‡

fe{ {}`q}zs{ {nhe }`ianîh s`q` g`kjq kqjkjq f` keihnm`m nhher`meq`( F`{ jisqj){`{ pj jh jf }qe N,M jh {jqne {jqàh jh`ojh`m`{ ~ keisq`m`{ seq ehme{ mjnhrjq{nûh e if}nh`kneh`fj{( F` kqj`knûh mj ehme{ fek`fj{ sjqin}j d`q`h}n`q jfkqjkninjh}e mj f` seaf`knûh mj jisqj{`{ fek`fj{ a`{`m`{ jh jf kehekninjh}e(

Mjqjkge{ mj sqesnjm`m nh}jfjk}`f? qj{d`qme fjd`f mj f` `k}nrnm`m nhher`}nr`( Zh‡

gjkge hm`ijh}`f mj f` jkehei` mjf kehekninjh}e j{ f` se{nanfnm`m pj }njhjhfe{ `}eqj{ j nhrjh}eqj{ mj semjq `sqesn`q{j mj fe{ q}e{ mj {{ nhher`knehj{ {nhniseq}`q mjf k`sn}`f pj mn{sehd`h(

Jmk`knûh g`kn` f` nhher`knûh ~ jf jisqjhmjmqn{ie? jf jisqjhmjmeqn{ie j{‡

hjkj{`qne seqpj f`{ hjr`{ jisqj{`{ pj g`d`h N,M iemjqhe h`kjh mj j{)

}mn`h}j{ mj {jdhme `ðe he mj sqej{eqj{ e mj nhrj{}nd`meqj{( Ge~ {eh iseke{ fe{ j{}mn`h}j{ mj k`qqjq`{ N] {j fj{ jh{jð` ` {jq jisqjhmjmeqj{(

@se~e ` f` nh}jqh`kneh`fn`knûh mj jisqj{`{? seqpj f`{ jisqj{`{ pj g`kj‡

N,M mj `r`h`m` e {eh if}nh`kneh`fj{ e {eh S~IJ{ dfea`fj{( Jf ijqk`me j{ jihme s`q` fe{ sqemk}e{ ~ {jqrnkne{ keisj}n}nre{( J{ hjkj{`qne pj hj{}qejisqj{`qne{ r`~`h ià{ `ffà mj Qe Dq`hmj& In`in e fe{ Snqnhje{(

RNN( Ff( Mnà{seq`

@qj`{ kqé}nk`{ 

Qjfjr`q f`{ àqj`{ mj j{sjkn`fn`knûh ~ mj ‖r`k`hkn`’ pj {j mjajq`h mj{`qqeff`‡

jh fe{ sqûwnie{ `ðe{< jf dq`me mj mj{`qqeffe mjf lhet)get ~ mj fe{ qjkq{e{ g

i`he{ jh f`{ àqj`{ jfjdnm`{< jf hnrjf mj f` nhq`j{}qk}q` mj jpnse{(

@{n{}nq jh f` eqi`knûh mj qjmj{ mj sqej{neh`fj{ jws`}qn`me{ '~` jqeh ijh‡

kneh`m`{ `fdh`{ mj f`{ sqnhkns`fj{ qjmj{. ~ h` sf`}`eqi` mj kef`aeq`knûJ{}` j{ hm`ijh}`f s`q` mj{`qqeff`q f`{ }q`h{`kknehj{ ~ jf nh}jqk`iane& keif` keijqkn`fn`knûh mj }jkhefed`{& nhrjq{nehj{ jh {}`q}zs{& oenh} rjh}zqjs`q}hjq{gns{ & kef`aeq`knehj{ jh sqe~jk}e{ mj N,M& nmjh}nk`knûh `r`h`m` meseq}hnm`mj{ mj nh}jqk`iane{ }îkhnke{ ~ knjh}ke{& `kkj{e ` }`fjh}e{ ~ kefd`{( Jf {n}ne mjajq` keh}`q keh h` a`{j mj m`}e{ j nhq`j{}qk}q` mj kef`aeq`knûh s`q` `knfn}`q jf nh}jqk`iane mj nheqi`knûh ~ kehekninjh}e( F` jwsjqnjhkmj e}q`{ keihnm`mj{ g` mjie{}q`me pj jf `kkj{e ` j{}` keihnm`m mj kehkninjh}e{ ~ qjkq{e{ {jfj {jq h nhkjh}nre i~ `f}e pj ffjr` ` f`{ mnà{seq`{ s`q}nkns`q ~ ` keh{}qnq qjf`knehj{ ià{ mq`mjq`{( Zh sqe~jk}e mj j{}` h`}q`fjmjaj keh}`q keh h`hkn`injh}e{ sÿafnke{ s`q` d`q`h}n`qfj keh}nhnm`m ~ h jj}nre kisfninjh}e mj {{ eaoj}nre{(

Qj`fn`q jrjh}e{ sh}`fj{ jh jf jw}jqneq s`q` eijh}`q jf‡ hj}teqlnhd  jh}qj feinjiaqe{ mj f` mnà{seq` sqej{neh`f `qdjh}nh` jh jf jw}q`hojqe ~ s`q` sqeierjq sf`}`eqi`( Mj{`qqeff`q k`{e{ jwn}e{e{ mj f` @qdjh}nh` jh jf {jk}eq mj f`{ ]NK jeqi` mj sqemk}e{ 'fnaqe{& `mnern{`fj{ s`q` ie{}q`q jh jrjh}e{.(

Nhrefkq`q `f Inhn{}jqne mj Qjf`knehj{ Jw}jqneqj{& Keijqkne Nh}jqh`kneh`f ~ Kf}‡

jh f` sqeieknûh mj f`{ nhnkn`}nr`{ mj f` mnà{seq` `qdjh}nh`(

Mj{`qqeff`q sef}nk`{ mj sqeieknûh mj f` Sqesnjm`m Nh}jfjk}`f s`q` `keq}`q ‡

aqjkg` jh}qj f` @qdjh}nh` ~ jf ihme( Mj{`qqeff`q sjh}j{ jh}qj jf jisqjhmjme~ fe{ kjh}qe{ mj }q`h{jqjhkn` }jkhefûdnk` 'sqnhkns`fijh}j f`{ hnrjq{nm`mj{.& jfe{ eqd`hn{ie{ sÿafnke{ ~ jh f`{ jisqj{`{ ~ sjpjðe{ jisqjhmninjh}e{(

Qjfjr`injh}e jh kjh}qe{ mj jwkjfjhkn` jh }jkhefed`( Zhnrjq{nm`mj{& f`aeq`}‡

qne{& `sh}`qfj{ ~ djhjq`qfj{ h` rn{nûh j{}q`}îdnk` fek`f%dfea`f( B`reqjkjq fekf{}jq{ j{seh}àhje{& keie jf mj jisqjhmjmeqj{ Nh}jqhj} ‖S`fjqie R`ffj~’& Tj1(3 s`q` keihnm`mj{& ane}jkhefed`& hjre{ i`}jqn`fj{& jhjqd`{ fnisn`{(

Ijoeq`q f`{ eknh`{ mj }q`h{jqjhkn` mj }jkhefed` pj he j{}àh eqnjh}`m`{ ‡

sjh{`m`{ s`q` aqnhm`q {jqrnkne{ ` fe{ nhrj{}nd`meqj{( G`~ sqeafji`{ mj qjk{e{& mj k`fnm`m& sqeafji`{ kf}q`fj{(

Mj{`qqeff`q ià{ nhkjh}nre{ s`q` s`}jh}`q& pj {ij ià{ sh}e{ jh f` k`qqjq` m‡

nhrj{}nd`meq h` s`}jh}j jh fd`q mj h s`sjq s`q` `~m`q ` qj{efrjq jf mnfjijh}qj safnk`q ~ s`}jh}`q {ndj {njhme i~ jq}j(

Mj{`qqeff`q sef}nk`{ mj }q`h{jqjhkn` mj }jkhefed`( F` djhjq`knûh mj qnpj`‡

keie h` eafnd`knûh mj f` knjhkn` aà{nk`( I`~eq qjq`kneh`injh}e jh}qj f` knjhkaà{nk` ~ f` `sfnk`m`& {eaqj }eme s`q` f` ane}jkhefed` ià{ pj s`q` f`{ ]NK(

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8/3/2019 Libro_Blanco_de_la_Prospectiva_de_las_Tecnologías_de_la_Información_y_la_Comunicación-Proyecto_2.020-Parte_3

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@mjià{& fe{ `k}`fj{ {jqrnkne{ mj `}jhknûh mj f` {`fm {j jhkjh}q`h q`dijh}`mejh i`~eq e ijheq ijmnm`& jh }eme jf ihme< j{}` q`dijh}`knûh qj{f}` jh mj}qnijh}mj fe{ s`knjh}j{ 'fnin}`hme { iernfnm`m ~ `ijh}`hme fe{ qnj{de{ mj `kknmjh}j{ iîmke{ jrn}`afj{.& mj fe{ sqej{neh`fj{ iîmnke{ 'nise{nanfn}`hme e mnkf}`hme jf `kkj{e ` fnheqi`knûh mj fe{ s`knjh}j{. ~ f` nhm{}qn` 'qjmknjhme jf i`qlj} {g`qj .

Eqnjh}`knehj{ djhjq`fj{ mj fe{ {jqrnkne{ mj jGj`f}g s`q` jf }qe

Jh }îqinhe{ djhjq`fj{& f` djhjq`knûh mj sqemk}e{ ~ {jqrnkne{ mj ]NK s`q` f` {`fmjajqàh ` `sh}`q ` f` {efknûh mj fe{ sqeafji`{ `h}j{ ijhkneh`me{( I~ {nh}î}nk`ijh}j& j{}e sjmj jwsqj{`q{j keie? se{nanfn}`q `kkj{e nd`fn}`qne ~ {jhknffe `f knm`me mj {`fm jh k`fpnjq fd`q ~ jh k`fpnjq ieijh}e s`q` }eme{ fe{ knm`m`he{(

Seq h` s`q}j& j{}j eaoj}nre keh{n{}j jh mj{`qqeff`q {n{}ji`{ eh)fnhj pj sjqin}`h

f`{ sjq{eh`{ `kkjmjq ` kehekninjh}e{ {eaqj knm`me mj f` {`fm s`q` { nheqi`knûh jmk`knûh ‛{ninf`q ` h ‖Deedfj eq Gj`f}g’)(

Seq e}qe f`me& j{ hjkj{`qne m`q {eseq}j }jkhefûdnke s`q` f` kqjknjh}j iernfnm`m mj f`sjq{eh`{< j{}e& ` { rj& qjpjqnqà mj nh}jqesjq`anfnm`m jh}qj {n{}ji`{ ~ {jqrnkne{ mj {`fm jh }eme jf }jqqn}eqne nhrefkq`me 'fek`f& h`kneh`f& qjdneh`f.& ~ {efknehj{ s`q` nmjh}nk`knûh mj s`knjh}j{& ijh{`oj{ s`q` m`}e{ iîmnke{& qjdn{}qe{ jfjk}qûhnke{ mj {`fm& j}k( eaoj}nre h`f ià{ qjfjr`h}j j{ sjqin}nq jf `kkj{e ` mnkge{ qjdn{}qe{ mj {`fm j nheqi`knûs`q` jijqdjhkn`{ mj{mj k`fpnjq fd`q(

F`{ {efknehj{ mj nh}jqesjq`anfnm`m }jhmqàh h sqehme nis`k}e {eaqj f` nhm{}qn` mjGj`f}g( F`{ dq`hmj{ keis`ð`{ ~` {j jhkjh}q`h }q`a`o`hme jh j{}j k`ise& sjqe f` i`~s`q}j mj f`{ jisqj{`{ mj j{}j {jk}eq ‛jh f` @qdjh}nh` ~ jh }eme jf ihme‛ {eh S~IJ{ k~{{}jh}`anfnm m mjsjhmjqà mjf j{}`afjkninjh}e mj j{}`{ {efknehj{ mj nh}jqesjq`anfnm`m(

Jf Sf`h mj @kknûh s`q` jGj`f}g mj f` ZJ ‛s`q}j mjf Sqedq`i` J{}q`}îdnke n1303 ‖Jqesj`h Nheqi`}neh [eknj}~ eq dqet}g `hm jisfe~ijh}’ '0>.)& sqesehj h kehoh}e m`k}nrnm`mj{ s`q` ea}jhjq fe{ {ndnjh}j{ eaoj}nre{?

'0>.  Rjq? g}}s?%%jqes`(j(nh}%nheqi`}nehU{eknj}~%jjqesj%n1303%n1303%nhmjwUjh(g}i(

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Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; 17

J{}nif`q f` nhrjq{nûh ~ mn{}qnaknûh mj {efknehj{ mj‡ jGj`f}g jh }em` Jqes`(

Mj{`qqeff`q jw}jh{nr`ijh}j qjmj{ mj nheqi`knûh {eaqj {`fm(‡

Se{nanfn}`q ~ `knfn}`q jf `kkj{e ` kehekninjh}e mj `f}` k`fnm`m {eaqj {`fm `‡

}eme{ fe{ knm`m`he{(

Sqerjjq {jqrnkne{ mj‡ jGj`f}g nh}jdq`me{ j nh}jqesjq`afj{ keh `kkj{e keisfj}e` gn{}eqn`{ kfhnk`{ ~ m`}e{ mj }eme{ fe{ knm`m`he{ mj{mj k`fpnjq fd`q mjJqes`(

@}q`jq ià{ `k}eqj{ nhm{}qn`fj{ ~ jws`hmnq jf ijqk`me mj‡ jGj`f}g & pj j{ hemj fe{ {jk}eqj{ mj f`{ ]NK pj ià{ qàsnm`ijh}j kqjkj jh f` `k}`fnm`m(

F` @djhm` mj Nhrj{}nd`knûh Mj{`qqeffe jh jGj`f}g 

F` {n}`knûh ~ fe{ mj{`e{ }qe{ s`q` fe{ {jqrnkne{ mj {`fm mn{k}nme{ sqjrn`ijh)}j& ffjr`h h`}q`fijh}j ` f` kehkf{nûh pj j{ hjkj{`qn` h` qjj{}qk}q`knûh mj fe{{n{}ji`{ mj sqj{}`knûh mj {`fm(

F`{ `kknehj{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh ~ mj{`qqeffe mjajh `sh}`q ` {jqrnq mj {eseq}j `j{}j eaoj}nre( Kehkjs}`fijh}j& {j }q`}` mj h k`iane mj s`q`mndi` pj nhkf~j me{`{sjk}e{ kjh}q`fj{?

Mjf knm`me mj f` {`fm ‖a`{`me jh {h}ei`{’ ` f` sqjrjhknûh(‡

Mjf {n{}ji` mj {`fm kjh}q`me jh ge{sn}`fj{ `f {n{}ji` mj {`fm kjh}q`me jh‡

f`{ sjq{eh`{(

Fedq`q j{}j k`iane mj s`q`mndi` `{jdq`qà f` keh}nhnm`m mj f` `}jhknûh jh}eme{ fe{ hnrjfj{& mj{mj sqjrjhknûh g`{}` qjg`anfn}`knûh ~ jh }eme{ fe{ fd`qj{ jhfe{ pj f`{ sjq{eh`{ sjm`h hjkj{n}`q knm`me{ '‖ effet ij gj`f}gk`qj’.( ]`ianîhse{nanfn}`qà f` sqern{nûh mj {jqrnkne{ sjq{eh`fn`me{ ~ }q`}`injh}e{ ~ ijmnknh`{ nhmn)rnm`fn`me{(

F`{ ]NK `sfnk`m`{ ` f` {`fm sjmjh {jq nh{}qijh}e{ semjqe{e{ s`q` m`q {eseq }j}jkhefûdnke `f k`iane mj s`q`mndi`& mj{`qqeff`hme {n{}ji`{ ~ {jqr nkne{ s`q`?

@kjfjq`q jf `r`hkj mjf kehekninjh}e iîmnke ~ ijoeq`q f` keisqjh{nûh mj fe{‡

sqekj{e{ qjf`kneh`me{ keh f`{ jhjqijm`mj{(

Se}jhkn`q f`{ k`s`knm`mj{ mj fe{ knm`m`he{ s`q` pj sjm`h keisqeij}jq{j‡

`k}nr`ijh}j jh jf knm`me mj { j{}`me mj {`fm(

Ijoeq`q f` sqjrjhknûh ~ jf mn`dhû{}nke }jisq`he mj ikg`{ jhjqijm`mj{& qj)‡

mknjhme fe{ ke{}e{ mjf {n{}ji` mj {`fm ~ ijoeq`hme f` k`fnm`m mj rnm` mj f`{sjq{eh`{(

@ijh}`q f` {jdqnm`m mj fe{ s`knjh}j{(‡

Ijoeq`q f` jknjhkn` mjf }q`}`injh}e mj f`{ jhjqijm`mj{ kqûhnk`{(‡

Ijoeq`q jf `kkj{e ` f` {`fm ~ f` k`fnm`m mj rnm` mj fe{ dqse{ {ekn`fj{ mj i`)‡

~eq qnj{de& jh s`q}nkf`q& fe{ {jk}eqj{ {ekn`fijh}j jwkfnme{& fe{ `hkn`he{ ~ fe{hnðe{(

Jh j{}` mnqjkknûh& f`{ `k}nrnm`mj{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh mjajq`h `fnhj`q{j jh }qj{ dq`h)mj{ eqnjh}`knehj{?

Sqjmnkknûh& sqjrjhknûh ~ }q`}`injh}e mj jhjqijm`mj{(‡

I`hjoe mj qnj{de{ mj {`fm(‡

Nhq`j{}qk}q` s`q` nhrj{}nd`knûh aneiîmnk` ~ {{ `sfnk`knehj{(‡

Sqjmnkknûh mj Jhjqijm`mj{(‡

F`{ fhj`{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh pj sjqin}jh mj{`qqeff`q k`s`knm`mj{ s`q` f` sqjmnkknûhmj jhjqijm`mj{ j{}àh qjf`kneh`m`{ sqnhkns`fijh}j keh fe{ }ûsnke{ mj nheqià}nk` ane)iîmnk`& ‖Rnq}`f Sg~{nefednk`f Gi`h’ j niàdjhj{ iefjkf`qj{(

F` nheqià}nk` aneiîmnk` j{ h k`ise if}nmn{knsfnh`qne pj {j mj{`qqeff` {eaqj f`

a`{j mj f`{ {nhjqdn`{ jh}qj anenheqià}nk` j nheqià}nk` iîmnk` ~ sqerjj h i`qke s`q`mj{`qqeff`q& nh}jdq`q ~ keis`q}nq kehekninjh}e aneiîmnke mj i~ mnjqjh}j{ mn{knsfnh`{keie f` djhûink`& sqe}jûink`& nhrj{}nd`knûh kfhnk` ~ jsnmjinefed`(

F` nheqià}nk` aneiîmnk` he {ef`ijh}j nhkf~j f` nh}jdq`knûh mj nheqi`knûh~ m`}e{ qjf`kneh`me{ keh jf k`ise mj f` {`fm jh mnjqjh}j{ hnrjfj{ 'iefjkf`q&kjff`q& }jonme{& ûqd`he{& sjq{eh`{ ~ seaf`knûh.& {nhe }`ianîh keh }`qj`{ keis)}`kneh`fijh}j keisfjo`{ ~ mji`hm`h}j{ keie m`}` inhnhd & iemjfe{& {nif`knûh ~rn{`fn`knûh(

Jf ‖apj nh{ndhn`’ mj f` nheqià}nk` aneiîmnk` j{ jf mj{`qqeffe mj h jh}eqhe kei)s}`kneh`f s`q` iemjf`me ~ {nif`knûh if}nhnrjf mj f` `h`}ei` ~ {nefed` gi`h`{&jf ‖Rnq}`f Sg~{nefednk`f Gi`h’(

J{}j kehkjs}e j{ jf dq`h mj{`e s`q` h kehoh}e mj mn{knsfnh`{ pj {j jhkjh}q`hjh f` nh}jq{jkknûh mj f`{ ]NK ~ f`{ aneknjhkn`{(

Jf eaoj}nre h`f j{ sjqin}nq ` fe{ knjh}ke{ ~ iîmnke{ kehekjq }`h}e keie {j` se){nafj `kjqk` mj f` {nefed` gi`h` qj`f& `}`k`hme jh kehoh}e }em`{ f`{ àqj`{ mj f`

`h`}ei` ~ {nefed` gi`h` j nh}jdq`hme m`}e{ mj }eme{ fe{ hnrjfj{( J{}e }`ianîh sqekq` rn`anfn`q f` }q`h{nknûh g`kn` jf knm`me mj f` {`fm sjq{eh`fn`me& a`{`me jh jf {mj iemjfe{& {nif`knûh ~ rn{`fn`knûh s`q` sqjmjknq jf qj{f}`me mj f`{ nh}jqrjhknehj'pnqÿqdnk`{ ~ `qi`kefûdnk`{. {eaqj fe{ nhmnrnme{(

J{}` hjr` àqj` }`ianîh sjmj `{n{}nq `f mn{jðe mj nisf`h}j{ ~ ûqd`he{ `q}nkn`fj`{ keie jf mj{kaqninjh}e mj mqed`{ nhher`}nr`{ ~ sjq{eh`fn`m`{(

Jf k`ise mj f`{ niàdjhj{ iefjkf`qj{ j{ sqein{eqne he {ef`ijh}j s`q` f` sqjmnknûh ~ jf mn`dhû{}nke }jisq`he mj jhjqijm`mj{& {nhe }`ianîh s`q` }jq`sn`{ ~ h`fijh}j s`q` f` sqern{nûh sjq{eh`fn`m` mj ijmnknh`{ ~ knm`me{(

Jh sqnhknsne j{}` mn{knsfnh` se{nanfn}` f` rn{`fn`knûh ~ }q`}`injh}e mj sqekj{e{ ane

fûdnke{ ‖i~ sjpjðe{’ pj sjmjh qj{f}`q jh s`}efed`{ mjf }nse mj f`{ kîff`{ k`hkjqe{`{(

G`{}` jf ieijh}e& f` i`~eq s`q}j mjf }q`a`oe {j g` kehkjh}q`me {eaqj f`{ ià`kkn`h}j{ ~ hm`ijh}`fj{ hjkj{nm`mj{ }jkhefûdnk`{& keie {nûh mj m`}e{ mj niàdjhj{ mj iÿf}nsfj{ jh}j{( F` nhrj{}nd`knûh }q` mjajq` eqnjh}`q{j `f mj{`qqeffe mgjqq`injh}`{ keis}`kneh`fj{ pj sjqin}`h ijoeq`q f` keisqjh{nûh mj f`{ niàdjhjiefjkf`qj{& rnhkf`q j{}`{ niàdjhj{ ` {n{}ji`{ mj `~m` ` f` mjkn{nûh ~ sjqin}nq j{e mj iemjfe{ gi`he{ rnq}`fj{ s`q` jf mj{`qqeffe mj mqed`{ ià{ jknjh}j{ ~ sj{eh`fn`m`{(

Sqjrjhknûh }q`}`injh}e mj jhjqijm`mj{

Jf }ji` kjh}q`f mj nhrj{}nd`knûh qjf`kneh`me keh sqjrjhknûh ~ }q`}`injh}e mj jhjijm`mj{ j{ jf mj fe{ [n{}ji`{ Sjq{eh`fj{ s`q` f` [`fm< j{}j }nse mj {n{}ji`{ sjmj{jq seq}à}nfj{ e nisf`h}`afj{ `{ keie }`ianîh fe{ mn{se{n}nre{ mj mn`dhû{}nke ‖Senh} K`qj’& ~ {eh h` mj f`{ kf`rj{ s`q` pj f`{ sjq{eh`{ sjm`h kehekjq ~ keh}qef`q {sqesne j{}`me mj {`fm ~ `~m`qfe{ jh { jmk`knûh s`q` f` {`fm(

Fe{ {n{}ji`{ sjq{eh`fj{ s`q` f` {`fm sjmjh `knfn}`q jf mn`dhû{}nke }jisq`he mjhjqijm`mj{ ~ sjqin}jh jf }q`}`injh}e qjie}e mj jhjqijm`mj{ kqûhnk`{(

F`{ fhj`{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh jh ]NK qjf`kneh`m`{ keh j{}` }jià}nk` nhkf~jh?

Mj{`qqeffe j nh}jdq`knûh mj ane{jh{eqj{(‡

Zhnm`mj{ mj keihnk`knehj{& keh}qef ~ sqekj{`injh}e nh`fàiaqnk`{(‡

[n{}ji` a`{`me{ jh kehekninjh}e(‡

@fdeqn}ie{ s`q` `se~e ` f` }ei` mj mjkn{nehj{ jh {n{}ji`{ seq}à}nfj{ ‡

nisf`h}`afj{(

E}qe{ }ji`{ niseq}`h}j{ pj qjpnjqjh mj nhrj{}nd`knûh ~ mj{`qqeffe {eh?

[jqrnkne{ mj `se~e ` }jfjijmnknh` a`{`me{ jh {n{}ji`{ nh}jdq`me{ mj keih‡

k`knûh o` j nh`fàiaqnk`(

Mj{`qqeffe mj ûqd`he{ `q}nkn`fj{ seq}à}nfj{ j nisf`h}`afj{(‡

Keh}qef mj Qnj{de{ mj [`fm

Zhe mj fe{ mj{`e{ s`q` fe{ }qe{ mj{`qqeffe{ mj f`{ `sfnk`knehj{ mj f`{ ]NK f` {`fm {jqàh jf keh}qef ~ i`hjoe mj fe{ qnj{de{ s`q` f` {`fm ~ f` {jdqnm`m mj fes`knjh}j{(

[eaqj f` a`{j mj f`{ gn{}eqn`{ kfhnk`{ jfjk}qûhnk`{ j{ niseq}`h}j nhrj{}nd`q ~ mj{qqeff`q {eaqj?

]îkhnk`{ mj‡ m`}` inhnhd(

[n{}ji`{ mj qjseq}j{ mj jrjh}e{ `mrjq{e{(‡

@fdeqn}ie{ mj jr`f`knûh mj qnj{de{(‡

@fdeqn}ie{ mj {eseq}j ` f` mjkn{nûh pj sjmjh `~m`q ` sqjrjhnq qj`kknehj‡

`mrjq{`{ ` mqed`{ ~ sqekjmninjh}e{ qnj{de{e{(

E}q`{ fhj`{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh qjfjr`h}j{ s`q` j{}` }jià}nk` {eh?

Iemjfe{ ~ {nif`knûh mj ‖n}nhjq`qne{ mj {`fm’ '‡ gj`f}g s`}gt`~{ . pj sjqi}nq`h nmjh}nk`q }eme{ fe{ se{nafj{ qnj{de{ pj semq`h `ijh``q f` {`fm mh` sjq{eh`( Ià{ `ÿh& }nfn`me{ jh kehoh}e keh jf sjqf mj h s`knjh}j semq`h mj}jqinh`q k`h}n}`}nr`ijh}j fe{ qnj{de{ `{ekn`me{ keh k`m` }q`}`injh esjq`knûh ` fe{ pj {j semq` {eij}jq h` sjq{eh`(

Gjqq`injh}`{ s`q` iehn}eqje ~ i`hjoe mj qnj{de{ mj jrjh}e{ mj dq`h j{k`f`‡

mjf }nse mj f` sqes`d`knûh mj h` s`hmjin` e h `}`pj ane}jqqeqn{}`(

Nhq`j{}qk}q` s`q` nhrj{}nd`knûh aneiîmnk`

Jf }ûsnke hm`ijh}`f s`q` jf àqj` mj f`{ ]NK jh qjf`knûh ` se}jhkn`q f` nhrj{}nd`knûh aneiîmnk` ~ {{ `sfnk`knehj{ j{ jf kehkjs}e mj Gj`f}gDqnm '13.( J{}` heknûmj{kqnaj jf {e mj }jkhefed`{ Dqnm jh jf k`ise mj f`{ aneijmnknh` ~ qjsqj{jh}` h{ef`ijh}j jf kkj{e ~ }nfn`knûh mj dq`hmj{ i`{`{ mj m`}e{ mn{}qnanm`{& {nhe }`ianî~ sqnhkns`fijh}j& h` nhq`j{}qk}q` mj i~ `f}` sjqeqi`hkj ~ `f}e qjhmninjh}e s`

'13.  Rjq? g}}s?%%ttt(gj`f}gdqnm(eqd(

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Fz{ 07 m e m 1303 {si`e{ m deane  AEFJ]NH EBNKN@F H¿ ;0(71; 1>

`sfnk`knehj{ keis}`kneh`fijh}j keisfjo`{ ~ mji`hm`h}j{& `{ keie h `ianjh}js`q` sqeafji){efrnhd jh nhrj{}nd`knûh aneiîmnk`(

Seq e}qe f`me& jf mj{`qqeffe mj j{}j }nse mj }jkhefed`{ semqà {jqrnq mj a`{j s`q`se}jhkn`q r`qne{ k`ise{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh jh jGj`f}g & s`q}nkf`qijh}j jh jf meinhne mj‖Rnq}`f Sg~{nefednk`f Gi`h’ `h}j{ ijhkneh`me(

Mj{mj jf sh}e mj rn{}` mj f` sqern{nûh mj {jqrnkne{ jf kehkjs}e mj Gj`f}gDqnm sj)mj {jq mj dq`h }nfnm`m s`q` f` sj{}` jh i`qkg` mj qjmj{ mj nheqi`knûh iîmnk` ~ od`qh qef niseq}`h}j jh jf mn{jðe mj j{}àhm`qj{ s`q` nh}jqesjq`anfnm`m(

Seq e}q` s`q}j& j{}` rn{nûh qjpnjqj mj kknehj{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh ~ mj{`qqeffe keesj)q`}nr`{ jh r`qn`{ àqj`{ mj f`{ ]NK& jh}qj jff`{?

Dqnm inmmfjt`qj(‡

Nisfjijh}`knûh mj nhq`j{}qk}q`{ s`q`‡ dqnm keisz}nhd(

Mn{jðe j nisfjijh}`knûh '~ jrjh}`fijh}j qjnhdjhnjq`. mj `sfnk`knehj{‡ dqnm  s`q` aneijmnknh`(

@( NN( JMZK@KNEH ~ @SQJHMNz@OJ? @SQJHMJQ JH F@ [EKNJM@M MJFKEHEKNINJH]E

Jf kqjkninjh}e ~ mj{`qqeffe mj f` jkehei` ~ f` {eknjm`m qjpnjqjh& ~ qjpjqnqàh ÿhià{ jh f`{ sqûwni`{ mîk`m`{ h` ijoeq` {{}`hkn`f jh fe{ {n{}ji`{ mj jmk`knûh ~jh}qjh`injh}e s`q` }eme{ fe{ knm`m`he{< jh j{}e kenhknmjh }eme{ fe{ deanjqhe{ ~ j{)sjkn`fn{}`{ jh jf ihme( [j }q`}` mj h mj{`e i`~eq& s`q}nkf`qijh}j s`q` fe{ s`{j{{amj{`qqeff`me{ ~ jh r`{ mj mj{`qqeffe(

F` [eknjm`m mjf Kehekninjh}e qjpnjqj `kkj{e hnrjq{`f `f kehekninjh}e ~ ià{}em`r` meinhne mjf kehekninjh}e sj{}e jh `kknûh(

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Mj gjkge& `fdh`{ jwsjqnjhkn`{ }`h}e mjf {jk}eq hnrjq{n}`qne keie `k`mîinkij{}q` pj j{ `k}nafj g`kjqfe& Zh `qdijh}e he ijheq s`q` jffe j{ f` qnp{ni` }q`mknûh jmk`}nr` ~ mj sqemkknûh mj keh}jhnme{ pj g` }jhnme ‛~ `ÿh keh{jqr` jh s`q}jseq mîk`m`{ jf s`{ ~ pj& mj ikg`{ i`hjq`{ j{}à sqj{jh}j j nhb~j se{n}nr`ijh}j jfe{ sqedq`i`{ ~ sqe~jk}e{ pj {j g`h mj{`qqeff`me jh j{}j k`ise(

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B`knfnm`m mj `kkj{e? ~` he {j rjfrj nhmn{sjh{`afj `kmnq ` f` eknh` sqj{jh‡

kn`f mj f` eqd`hn`knûh s`q` qj`fn`q f` i`~eq` mj f`{ dj{}nehj{ ke}nmn`h`jf j{}`me mjf `q}j jh }jkhefed` sjqin}j qj`fn`qf`{ mj{mj k`fpnjq s`q}j mjihme& ` }q`rî{ mjf }jfîehe e seq Nh}jqhj}( F`{ eknh`{ j{}àh mn{sehnafj{ s`fe{ {`qne{ jh k`fpnjq fd`q(

@geqqe mj }njise? jf `kkj{e rnq}`f mj fe{ {`qne{ ` f`{ dj{}nehj{ ke}nmn`h`‡

{sehj h` jheqij d`h`hkn` mj }njise }`h}e s`q` fe{ knm`m`he{ keie s`fe{ sqesne{ eqd`hn{ie{ mjf J{}`me& fe pj g`kj ià{ jknjh}j ~ ijhe{ ke{}e{

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Jh eqi` keh{n{}jh}j& fe{ k`s}fe{ ` qj{efrjq {j qjmkjh ~ {nisfnk`h? f` kj{}nûseq qj{efrjq j{ f` keh{`anm` }eqsj` mj fe{ ijk`hn{ie{ aqekqà}nke{ mj keisq`{ ~ aqekq`kn` nh}jqh`& pj jh j{}j j{pji` he s`{` mj {jq h s`q}jh`nqj iefj{}e ~ semjhnknûh qj{n{}jh}j f` iemjqhn`knûh jhk`qh`m` jh k}eqj{ hjkj{`qn`ijh}j jw}jqhe` f` j{}qk}q` j{}`}`f(

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Jh k`m` h` mj {{ àqj`{& `djhkn`{& nh{}n}knehj{ ~ eqd`hn{ie{& jf J{}`me {‡

keh{}n}~j keie h j{s`kne mehmj {j mj{`qqeff`h so`{ {jk}eqn`fj{ pj sjin}jh e jh}eqsjkjh& keh dq`h r`qn`knûh mj h àqj` ` e}q`& jf mj{`qqeffe mj sq~jk}e{ mj iemjqhn`knûh @minhn{}q`}nr`( Keh{jkjh}jijh}j& j{}e kehmnknehdq`hmjijh}j f` `sfnk`knûh mj ‖qjkj}`{’ }jkhefûdnk`{ djhjq`fj{(

F` `djhm` sÿafnk` mjhnm` jh k`m` ieijh}e seq f` {eknjm`m sqeafji`}n` ‡

sqneqn` mj}jqinh`m`{ kj{}nehj{ seq {eaqj e}q`{ 'keie {jq {jdqnm`m& {`fm& fkg` keh}q` f` seaqj`& jf mj{`qqeffe nhm{}qn`f ~ }jkhefûdnke& jwseq}`knûh& j}kFe{ ajhjkne{ mjf deanjqhe jfjk}qûhnke mjajq`h mnqndnq{j ` j{`{ sef}nk`{ ~ hdjhjq`q `q}nkn`fijh}j h` `djhm` s`q`fjf` ~ {nh rnhkf`knûh jjk}nr` keh j{`sef}nk`{ sÿafnk`{ mj `sfnk`knûh ‖rjq}nk`f ’(

Jwn{}jh r`qn`{ ‖k`s`{’ e ‖hnrjfj{’ pj j{ sqjkn{e jhk`q`q mj{mj h` sef}nk` m‡

sqeieknûh mjf deanjqhe jfjk}qûhnke s`q` {jq `k}nafj( @fdh`{ mj j{`{ k`s`{ hnrjfj{ semq`h {jq?

) Eqd`hn`kneh`f%Sef}nk`? nhrefkq` f`{ }q`h{eqi`knehj{ heqi`}nr`{& fe{ kjme{ sef}nke{& f` qjeqif`knûh mj sqekj{e{& jf k`iane kf}q`f ~ f` dj{}nûh mkehekninjh}e qj`fn`q g`kn` jf nh}jqneq mj f` minhn{}q`knûh( F` eqi`fn`knûmj keihnm`mj{ mj nheqi`knûh keie semq`h {jq f` mj {`fm& f` `ianjh}`f& }qna}`qn`& f` sqjrn{neh`f& f` mj jwseq}`knûh& qj{f}`h gjqq`injh}`{ i~ ÿ}nfjkeie ijmn`meqj{ jh}qj f`{ mnjqjh}j{ àqj`{ mj f` `minhn{}q`knûh ~ f`{ kee

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) Nheqi`kneh`f? jf mj{`qqeffe mj j{}àhm`qj{ {jiàh}nke{& {nh}àk}nke{ s`q` f`dj{}nûh j nh}jqk`iane mj nheqi`knûh keh{}n}~j h` a`{j nhjfmnafj s`q` f`nh}jdq`knûh mj {jqrnkne{ ` jjk}e{ mj g`kjq se{nafj jf ‖ehj {}es derjqhijh}’pj nisfnk` jf mj{`qqeffe mj rjh}`hnff`{ ÿhnk`{ pj hnpjh {jqrnkne{ mj mnj)qjh}j{(

) Nhq`j{}qk}q`f? jf {eseq}j {nke mj f`{ keihnk`knehj{& jf g`qmt`qj  ~ jf{e}t`qj mj a`{j j{}àh nhrefkq`me{ jh j{}` k`s`(

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Jf mj{`qqeffe ~ f` `m`s}`knûh mj j{`{ gjqq`injh}`{ keh{}n}~jh h` mji`hm` sjq)i`hjh}j& k~` keajq}q` {jqà i~ mnknf {nh j{jqe{ mj nhrj{}nd`knûh& sqja` ~ ge)iefed`knûh mj }`fj{ sqemk}e{(

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Fnhj`injh}e{ j{}q`}îdnke{ jh Deanjqhe Jfjk}qûhnke

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Mj{`qqeff`q sfnk`knehj{ qj}nfn`afj{ ~ keis`}nafj{ hkneh`fijh}j mnjqjh}j{‡

àqj`{ mj f` `minhn{}q`knûh sÿafnk`(

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Mj{`qqeff`q nh{}qijh}e{ }jkhefûdnke{ ~ sqeierjq f` eqi`knûh mj qjkq{e{ g)‡

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[jh}`q f`{ a`{j{ s`q` f` eqi`knûh mj qjkq{e{ gi`he{ jh ‖dj{}nûh mj f` Nh)‡

eqi`knûh’ jh eqd`hn`knehj{(

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[`fm?‡

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) Mj{`qqeffe mj Kehoh}e Ihnie mj Ij}`m`}e{ Keihj{ ~ Sjqfj{ mj @sfnk`knûh(

Mj{`qqeffe mj h` Kqqkf` s`q` f` Beqi`knûh mj Dj{}eqj{ mj Nheqi`knûh(‡

Mj{`qqeffe mj Rek`af`qne{ Keh}qef`me{ s`q` jf [jk}eq Sÿafnke?‡

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Keihnm`mj{ mj Nheqi`knûh?

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ihnm`mj{ mj Nheqi`knûh(

Qj}nfn`knûh mj [e}t`qj Fnaqj e mj Sqesnjm`m J{}`}`f?‡

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