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Lincoln National's (LNC) CEO Dennis Glass on Q1 2015 Results Earnings Call Transcript Start Time: 10:00 End Time: 11:01 Lincoln National Corporation (NYSE:LNC ) Q1 2015 Earnings Conference Call April 30, 2015, 10:00 AM ET Executives Dennis R. Glass President and CEO Randal J. Freitag CFO Chris Giovanni SVP, IR Analysts Suneet Kamath UBS Ryan Krueger Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. Seth Weiss Bank of America Merrill Lynch Thomas Gallagher Credit Suisse Steven Schwartz Raymond James Erik Bass Citigroup Humphrey Lee Dowling & Partners Randy Binner FBR Capital Markets Eric Berg RBC Capital Markets Operator Good morning, and thank you for joining Lincoln Financial Group's First Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in listenonly mode. Later, we will announce the opportunity for questions and instructions will be giving at that time. [Operator Instructions]. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to the Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, Chris Giovanni. Please go ahead, sir. Chris Giovanni Thank you, Liz. Good morning, and welcome to Lincoln Financial’s first quarter earnings call. Before we begin, I have an important reminder. Any comments made during the call regarding future expectations, trends and market conditions including comments about sales and deposits, expenses, income from operations, and liquidity and capital resources are forwardlooking statements under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forwardlooking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations. These risks and uncertainties are described in the cautionary statement

Lincoln National's (LNC) CEO Dennis Glass on Q1 2015 Results - Earnings Call Transcript _ Seeking Alpha

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  • LincolnNational's(LNC)CEODennisGlassonQ12015ResultsEarningsCallTranscriptStartTime:10:00

    EndTime:11:01

    LincolnNationalCorporation(NYSE:LNC)

    Q12015EarningsConferenceCall

    April30,2015,10:00AMET

    Executives

    DennisR.GlassPresidentandCEO

    RandalJ.FreitagCFO

    ChrisGiovanniSVP,IR

    Analysts

    SuneetKamathUBS

    RyanKruegerKeefe,Bruyette&Woods,Inc.

    SethWeissBankofAmericaMerrillLynch

    ThomasGallagherCreditSuisse

    StevenSchwartzRaymondJames

    ErikBassCitigroup

    HumphreyLeeDowling&Partners

    RandyBinnerFBRCapitalMarkets

    EricBergRBCCapitalMarkets

    Operator

    Goodmorning,andthankyouforjoiningLincolnFinancialGroup'sFirstQuarter2015EarningsConferenceCall.Atthistime,alllinesareinlistenonlymode.Later,wewillannouncetheopportunityforquestionsandinstructionswillbegivingatthattime.[OperatorInstructions].

    Atthistime,IwouldliketoturntheconferenceovertotheSeniorVicePresidentofInvestorRelations,ChrisGiovanni.Pleasegoahead,sir.

    ChrisGiovanni

    Thankyou,Liz.Goodmorning,andwelcometoLincolnFinancialsfirstquarterearningscall.

    Beforewebegin,Ihaveanimportantreminder.Anycommentsmadeduringthecallregardingfutureexpectations,trendsandmarketconditionsincludingcommentsaboutsalesanddeposits,expenses,incomefromoperations,andliquidityandcapitalresourcesareforwardlookingstatementsunderthePrivateSecuritiesLitigationReformActof1995.Theseforwardlookingstatementsinvolverisksanduncertaintiesthatcouldcauseactualresultstodiffermateriallyfromcurrentexpectations.Theserisksanduncertaintiesaredescribedinthecautionarystatement

  • disclosuresinourearningsreleaseissuedyesterdayandourreportsonforms8K,10Qand10KfiledwiththeSEC.

    WeappreciateyouparticipatingtodayandinviteyoutovisitLincolnsWebsitewww.lincolnfinancial.comwhereyoucanfindourpressreleaseandstatisticalsupplement,whichincludeafullreconciliationofthenonGAAPmeasuresusedinthecallincludingincomefromoperationsandreturnonequitytotheirmostcomparableGAAPmeasures.

    SopresentingontodayscallareDennisGlass,PresidentandChiefExecutiveOfficerandRandyFreitag,ChiefFinancialOfficer.Aftertheirpreparedremarks,wewillmovetoquestionandanswerportionofthecall.

    IwouldnowliketoturnthingsovertoDennis.

    DennisR.Glass

    Thankyou,Chris,andgoodmorning,everyone.Operatingearningspershareonceagainincreasedovertheprioryearquarter,albeitslightlyasoperatingearningsweredownduetoelevatedmortalityinIndividualLifeandpoorGroupProtectionresults.Weacknowledgedatthestarttotheyearwaslowerthananalystprojections,butweremaincomfortablewithourfinancialplanningandbusinesstargets.Ourconfidenceisgroundedonseveralfronts.

    Firstandforemost,ourbroadanddeepdistributionfranchiseconsistentlygivesLincolnacompetitiveadvantage.Thisenablesmomentumandlongtermrevenueandearningsdriverstocontinue.Wesawthisinthefirstquarterwithpositivenetflowsinallofourbusinesses,salesthatbenefitedfromvariousproductintroductionsandrefinements,whichresultedingoodsalesgrowthasthequarterprogressedandhascontinuedinApril.Accountvaluegrowthineverybusinesswithtotalbalancesup6%toarecord222billion.

    Next,wehavearigorousapproachtoexpensemanagement.Thisquarter,weonceagainsawourexpenseratiodecreasefromtheprioryear.Also,ourbalancesheetstrengthandcapitalgenerationenablesustocomplementorganicearningswithcapitalmanagement,furtheraugmentingearningspersharegrowth.

    Allofthissupportskeyshareholdermetrics,severalofwhichshowedimpressivegrowththisquarterincludingbookvaluepershare,excludingAOCI,increased9%fromtheprioryear.Therepurchaseof350millionofLincolnshares,apostfinancialcrisishigh,anda25%yearoveryearincreaseinourcommonstockdividend.

    WhileourROEwasnegativelyimpactedbytheearningsitemsInotedupfront,ourROEinaseasonallyweakquarterandinthemidstofacontinuedturnaroundinGroupProtectionexceeded11%whichisconsistentwithreturnsgeneratedbyourpeersduring2014.Thatbeingsaid,weclearlyexpectourROEstorecoverandremainabovepeers.

    Letmenowturntoourbusinesslines,startingwithannuities.Favorableequitymarketsandpositivenetflowsledtoa7%increaseinouraverageaccountbalancesandanothersolidearningsquarter.Ourconsistentmarketpresencecontinuestoproducequarterlysalesinthe$3billionrangeandpositivenetflows.Variableannuitydepositsof2.7billiondecreased8%fromthefirstquarteroflastyear,butweareencouragedbythesalesmomentumwesawoverthecourseofthefirstquarter.

    Toprovidesomecontext,averagedailysalesinMarchwereup15%comparedtoJanuaryandFebruaryandthistrajectoryhascontinuedinApril.Asaresult,weexpectquarterlyannuitysalestoexceed3billioninthenextquarter,whichshouldalsoenhancenetflows.

    Weremainfocusedonpushingthepercentageofvariableannuitysalesfromproductswithoutlivingbenefitsto30%.Thisquarter,wereached27%,upfrom19%intheprioryearperiod,makingtheseventhstraightquarterofsequentialincreases.Whenfactoringintheimpactofsalesonsalescoveredbyourreinsurancetreaty,nonguaranteeproductscomprise58%oftotalDAsales.

    OurconsistentmarketpresenceandproventrackrecordofofferingvaluablecustomersolutionsthatalsoenableLincolntoachievegoodreturnsandmanagedriskstillholdstruetoday.InaDAmarketplacethatremainsrational,weareconfidentwearepositionedforgrowth.

    TurningtoIndividualLife,totallifeinsurancesalesinthequarterwere153million,a6%increasefromtheprioryearquarter.Withoneofthebroadestproductportfoliosintheindustry,wecontinuetodelivergrowthwithadiversifiedmixofsalesandbysellingmoreproductswithoutlongtermguarantees.

    Thisquarter,nosingleproductrepresentedmorethan29%oftotalproduction,downfrom32%lastyearand62%ofoursalesdidnothavelongtermguarantees,upfrom59%intheprioryearquarter.Equallyimportant,withineachproductwehavedifferentfeaturesandoptionsthatenableourdistributorstoexpandconsumerreach,butalsogiveLincolnanothertactictodiversifyrisk.AnexampleofthisisourMoneyGuardproduct,whereroughlyhalfofoursalesthis

  • quarterwereflexpayandtheotherhalfsinglepay.Thisreducesinterestratesensitivity.

    Focusingonindividuallifeinsurance,salesdecreased2%inthequarter,however,similartomypriorcommentsaroundvariableannuitysales,weareencouragedbythesalesmomentumwesawinMarchandthecarrythroughtoApril.Alsoofnote,mostproductscontributedtothismomentum.

    COLIandBOLIsaleswere14millioninthequartercomparedwithjust3millionintheprioryearquarter.OuroutlookandappetiteforCOLIandBOLIhasnotchanged,aswewillremainopportunistic.Overall,saleshereneedtomeetthesame12%to15%returnhurdlewetargetforourentirelifeportfolio.

    Lookingforward,whilewedidseeabumpinmortality,whichRandywillspeaktolater,weexpectprofitablesalesgrowthin2015giventhedepthandbreadthofourdistributionrelationshipsandproductdiversitycombinedwithprudentunderwriting.

    TurningtoGroupProtection,Randywilltouchonouroperatingearningslossshortly.Thelackofearningsimprovementisdisappointing,butdoesnotchangeourexpectationsofapproachingourtargetmarginstowardtheendof2016to2017timeframe.Wearebeginningtoseetractionontheactionswehavebeenimplementingandareencouragedbytheunderlyingpricingandclaimsmanagementtrends.Weremainfocusedontakingpricingactionsaimedatouremployerpaidbusinessesandenhancingclaimsmanagementtorestoreprofitability.

    Firstquartersalesof56millionweredown13%fromthesameperiodlastyear.Ourpricingactionscontinuedtoputdownwardpressureonnewbusinessopportunities,particularlyinthe1,000plusmarket,whichhistoricallyhasbeenamorecompetitivesegmentofthemarket.Lookingforward,weseesalesgrowthremainingpressuredaswecontinuetopushforrateincreases.

    InRetirementPlanServices,earningswereimpactedbysomespreadcompressionthoughweareencouragedbyunderlyingbusinessdrivers.Notably,wereturnedtopositivenetflows.Flowsof$115millionimprovedsignificantlywhenmeasuredagainstoutflowsinthefourthquarterandprioryearquarter.Positivenetflowsinthefirstquarterisconsistentwithouryearendoutlookthatcalledforpositivenetflowsforthefirsthalfof2015.

    Ouroptimismandvisibilitynowextendsthroughthethirdquarter.Afewpiecestothisoutlook.First,ourpipelineisstrong.Thisshouldbenefitfirstyearsalesinthenextcoupleofquarters.Also,ourexpectationsaroundretentionremainfavorable.Weattributethistoourconstanttradedeffortonimprovingplannedsponsorandparticipantexperiences.

    Weremainoptimisticinthegrowthoutlookforourretirementbusiness.Longerterm,ourcoremarketsarepoisedtogrowfasterthantheindustrywhilecontinuedexpansionintosegmentslikegovernmentandsmallmarketsbodewellforLincoln.

    Turningtodistribution,thedepthandbreadthofourretail,wholesaleandworksiteteamscontinuestodifferentiateLincoln.Wecurrentlyhaveover1,400clientfacingprofessionals,up4%versustheprioryear.ThenumberofproducerssellingLincolnproductsis63,000strongand26%ofthemarecrossselling,upfromtheprioryear.

    Aswehavediscussedinthepast,ourlargedistributionforceenablesourmixshifts.Forexample,ourfocusongrowingvariableannuitieswithoutguarantees.Wenowhavealmost13,000producerssellingBAswithoutguarantees,up26%fromayearago.AtLincolnFinancialNetwork,wehad163experiencedadvisorschoosetoaffiliatewithLincolnthisquarter,whichputsouradvisornetworkatmorethan8,300,includinga2%increaseinregisteredreps.

    SpendingaminuteonInvestmentManagement,ournewmoneypurchasesof$2.8billioninthefirstquarterwereinvestedatanaverageyieldof3.8%,whichwasdownfromthe4.3%inthefourthquarter,primarilydrivenbythedropintreasuryrates,aswellasanassetmix,whichfluctuatesfromquartertoquarter.

    Wedelivereda186basispointspreadonnewmoneyovertheaverage10yeartreasury,whichisstrongandconsistentwithourhistoricalexperience.Ouryieldenhancingdebtprogramcontinuestoaddvaluetoourcoreinvestmentstrategyandadded12basispointstonewmoneyratesinthequarter.

    Incomefromalternativeinvestmentswas8millionforthequarter,whichwasbelowtheprioryearsquarteraswellasourhistoricalaverage.Thisresultwasdrivenbyheadwindsfromourenergyexposure,whichwebelievehasstabilized.

    Beforewrappingup,IwanttobrieflydiscusstheDepartmentofLaborsfiduciarystandardsproposal.Asyouhaveheardfromothermanagementteams,thisisavoluminousandcomplexproposalandlikemostfinancialservicecompanies,wearereviewingtheproposaltounderstandallofitspotentialimplications.Aswithallpertinentregulatorymatters,thereisaprocessandthedetailsareveryimportant.Wewillbeveryengaged,expressourviews,aswellascollaboratewithvariousindustrytradegroups.

  • Intheend,therelikelywillbesomechange.Webelievecompanieswithscale,abroadsetofproductofferingsandastronganddiversedistributionfranchiseswithaprovenabilitytopivotinresponsetomarketplaceorregulatorychangeswillbebestpositionedtonavigatechanges.Clearly,weareconfidentonallthesefrontsandexpectittoonceagaindifferentiateLincoln.

    Inclosing,Irecognizetheyearstartedslowerthanmanyexpected.However,Idonotexpectseasonalfluctuationsinmortalitytodefineouryear.Ourfranchiseremainsacompetitiveadvantage,whileoursalesandflowsoutlookarestrong.Bothwillenableourlongtermrevenueandearningsmomentumtocontinue.

    IwillnowturnthecallovertoRandy.

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Thankyou,Dennis.Lastnight,wereportedincomefromoperationsof352millionor$1.35pershareforthefirstquarter,up1%fromtheprioryear.Consistentwithfirstquarterresultsthepastfewyears[indiscernible]by30millioncomparedto18millionlastyear.

    Asyouknow,wedonotnormalizeformortality,asitwillfluctuatefromquartertoquarter.However,wefeltthedeviationrelativetoourexpectationwaslargeenoughthatitshouldbementioned.

    Lookingatkeyperformancemetrics,thetoplinecontinuestoshowhealthymidsingledigitgrowthwithoperatingrevenueup5%forthequarter,drivenbyanotherquarterofpositivenetflowsandthebenefitoffavorableequitymarkets.

    Weremainfocusedonmanagingexpenses,whichagaindrovemarginexpansionasthe4%growthinG&Anetofcapitalizedexpensestrailedrevenuegrowth.Itisalsoworthnotingtheelevatedexpenses,whichIattributedtoseasonalityinthefourthquarter,didnormalize.

    Bookvaluepershare,excludingAOCI,grew9%to$49.70,analltimehigh.AsDennisnoted,operatingreturnonequitycameinat11.2%,negativelyimpactedbytheadversemortalityandpoorresultsinGroupProtection.Ourbalancesheetremainsanimportantsourceofstrength,whichgivesussignificantfinancialflexibility.

    Netincomeresultsforthequarterwerenegativelyimpactedby28millionforvariableannuitynetderivativelossesand10millionoflosseswithinourgeneralaccount.

    Now,Iwillturntosegmentresultsandstartwithannuities.Reportedearningsforthequarterwere239million,an11%increaseoverlastyear.Operatingrevenuesincreased9%fromthefirstquarterof2014,aspositivenetflowscontinuedandwebenefitedfromfurthertailwindsinequitymarkets,whichcombineddrovea7%increaseinaverageaccountvaluesthatreached123billionattheendofthequarter.

    Returnmetrics,whethermeasuredbyROAorROE,remainstrong.ROAincreasedthreebasispointsversustheprioryearandstandsat78basispointswhileROEcameinat25%,consistentwiththefourthquarter.Wecontinuetoexpectprofitablegrowthindepositsandnetflows,whichwilladdtoourrecordassetlevelsanddrivefurtherupsidetoannuitiesearnings.

    InRetirementPlanServices,wereportedearningsof35million.Firstquarterrevenuegrowthwasup1%yearoveryear.Accountvaluesbenefitedfrompositivenetflowsinthefirstquarteralongwithfavorableequitymarketperformance.Asaresult,accountvaluesincreasedsequentiallyandendedthequarterat55billion,up5%versustheprioryear.

    Normalizedspreadscompressed13basispointsversustheprioryearquarter,consistentwithourexpectationsforspreadstodeclineby10to15basispointsannuallyintheretirementbusiness.Ourreturnonassetswas26basispointsforthefirstquarter,withinthe25to30basispointrangewehavediscussedinthepast.

    TurningtoourLifeInsurancesegment,earningsof111millionweredownasaresultofthefluctuationsinmortality.26millionofthequartersadversemortalityhittheLifeInsurancesegmentversus18millionintheprioryearquarter.Aswehavediscussedinthepast,ourfocusonretainingmoremortalityexposurecombinedwiththebusinessrecapturedatyearendshouldleadtosomeincreaseinquarterlyvolatility.

    Lookingatmortalityexperienceinthecurrentquarter,andunderstandingthatwedontyethavecompleteinformation,wedobelievetheseverewinterweatherandfluseasonlikelyplayedapartinourexperience,consistentwithcommentsmadefromothersintheindustry.Itisworthnotingthatwetypicallyhaveseenseasonallyhighmortalityinthefirstquarteronlytoseemortalityimproveoverthecourseoftheyear.

  • Toprovidesomecontext,IndividualLifesfirstquarterearningsforthepastcoupleofyearshaveaveraged20%offullyearearnings.SowhileLifesfirstquarterresultswereonceagainnegativelyimpactedbyelevatedmortality,weexpectthatwhenviewedovermoreextendedperiodoftime,experiencewillbeinlinewithourlongertermexpectations.

    Itisalsoworthmentioningthatouroutlookforthebusinesswerecapturedatyearendhasnotchanged.Notably,itwillhaveamodestnegativeimpactonIndividualLifeearningsandslightlyincreaseourquarterlyearningsvolatilitybutbeaccretivetoEPSgiventhebenefitofincrementalsharebuybacks.

    Turningquicklytothelifeearningsdrivers,averageaccountvalueswereup5%withaverageinforcebaseamountup4%,bothconsistentwithrecentperformance.Normalizedspreadscameinaround166basispoints,down5basispointsfromtheprioryear,onceagaininlinewithourexpectations.

    GroupProtectionfellshortofexpectations,aswereportedalossfromoperationsof6millioninthefirstquartercomparedtoagainof20millionintheprioryear.Theearningsdomasksignificantsequentialimprovementinkeymetrics.Ournonmedicallossratioimprovedfrom81%inthefourthquarteroflastyearto78%thisquarter.

    Importantly,ourdisabilitylossratiodeclinednearly10percentagepointsto80[indiscernible]processandisevenlysplitbetweenthedecreaseinclaimincidentsandhigherrecoverieswithbothimprovingbyapproximately10%.Thesepositiveearningsdriverswereoffsetbyafewnegativeitems,includingacceleratedamortizationofDACandaportionoftheelevatedmortalityInotedupfront.

    IntermsoftheacceleratedamortizationofDAC,thiswasprimarilyduetoourextensiverepricingofpolicyrenewals.Thisreducedearningsbyapproximately10millionwhencomparedtothefourthquarter.Withthefirstquarterourheaviestrenewalperiod,theamortizationimpactisgreatestinthisperiod.

    Lookingforward,althoughweexpectamortizationtobeupversusprioryearquarters,wedonotanticipatethe10millionInotedforthisquartertorecurinsubsequentperiodsof2015.Bottomline,wedoexpectearningstoimprovebutcontinuetocautionthattheimprovementwillnotbelinear.

    BeforemovingtoQ&A,letmecommentonafewotheritemsofnote.Givenourstrongyearendcapitalpositionandthebenefitfromthereinsurancerecapture,weacceleratedcapitalmanagementinthequarterwith350millioninbuybacks.Wecontinuetoviewsharerepurchasesasanexcellentuseofcapitalandexpecttoexceedthe650millionweveputtoworkin2014.

    Returningcapitaltoshareholdersremainsapriorityandasaresult,weexpecttogototheBoardinafewweekstoaskforanincreaseinoursharerepurchaseauthorization,consistentwithourpastpractices.Statutorysurplusstandsat8.5billionandweestimateourRBCratiowillendthequarteratapproximately515%,downfromyearendaswepaid400millionindividendstotheholdingcompany.Holdingcompanycashendedthequarteratnearly800million.

    Finally,inMarch,wecompleteda$300milliondebtoffering,theproceedswhichwillbeusedtoretirethe250millionofdebtdueinJune.Weremaincomfortablewithourleverageandcapitalstructure.

    Sowrappingthingsup,earningscameupabitshorttostarttheyear,butweremainveryconfidentlookingforward.InadditiontothestrongfranchisehighlightedbyDennis,weareencouragedbyourbeliefthatelevatedmortalityinthefirstquarterisdrivenbyseasonality,consistentwithourpastexperienceinprioryearsandthatwewillseebettermortalityinIndividualLiferesultsovertheremainderoftheyear.

    Theimprovementswesawinunderlyingdisabilitytrendsthatledtoameaningfulsequentialdecreaseinourdisabilitylossratioandfinally,thestrengthofourbalancesheetandstrongcapitalgeneration,whichallowsustocontinueactivelydeployingcapital.

    Withthat,letmeturnthecallovertotheoperatorforquestions.

    QuestionandAnswerSession

    Operator

    [OperatorInstructions].OurfirstquestioncomesfromthelineofSuneetKamathwithUBS.Yourlineisnowopen.

    SuneetKamath

    Thanksandgoodmorning.FirstquestionontheDOLforfiduciarystandards,IappreciatethatitsstillearlydaysbutIjustwantedtogetahighlevelsense,maybefromDennis,howyouthinkthiscouldimpactyourannuitiesandRPS

  • business?Andthenspecificallyrelatedtoannuities,couldthismovetheindustrybacktowardsofferingmorelivingbenefitguaranteesinordertoimprovethevaluepropositionofthevariableannuity?Thanks.

    DennisR.Glass

    Yes,Suneet,Ithinkitiscomplicatedandthereslotyettoberevealedintermsofthefinalchangeshere.Idothink,ifyoudontmind,IllrepeatwhatIsaidinmyremarksandthatisthatwebelievetherewillbesomechangebutwethinkthatLincoln,becauseofourscale,broadsetofproductofferingsandstronganddiversedistributionfranchiseswithaprovenabilitytopivotinresponsetomarketorregulatedchangeswillbeablewillthereforebeabletonavigatethroughwhatevercomesdowntheroad.

    Buthavingsaidthat,letmedigalittlebitdeeperintoyourquestionandfirsttalkaboutannuities.Sooneofthebigissues,oneoftheoverarchingissuesinthisdocumentishowagentsgetpaid,feesversuscommissions.Itsworthnotingwecurrentlyofferfeebasedproductsthatmeetthefiduciarystandardofprovidinginvestmentadvice.Asanexample,ourBAproductsarealreadysetuptobesoldasfeebasedadvisoryproductssowealreadyhavetakenaction.Wellcontinuetorespondtochanges,beitthroughlaworneedsandpreferencesfromourdistributionpartner.Sothatsimportant.

    Stickingwithannuities,wevealwaysbeenknownmoreforournonqualifiedcompetitivepositioningduetoourpatentedEyeforLifeincomefeature,specificallyVAs58%ofwhatwesellisnonqualifiedand42%arequalified,andwethinkthisisprobablyalittlebetterthantheindustryaverage.Withrespecttononlivingbenefits,wedontthinktheresgoingtobeanyreductioninthepaceofourgrowthinthatproduct.Sothatsaspecificansweronthataswell.

    Andthenfinally,onRPS,theresalotofissues.Ithinkthebiggerretirementcompanieshavetouchedonthem.Ithinkourbottomlineiswethinkthatwellbeabletorespondtochangesandwemayhavetomakesomechangesinthewaywedobusiness.Butwedontseethisasasignificanthurdleforcontinuingtogrowthatbusiness.Andletmejuststopthere.

    SuneetKamath

    Okay,thatshelpful.Ididwanttoaskanotheroneoncaptives.Justintermsofwhatyourehearingaroundregulatoryreview,variableannuitycaptives,ifyoucanupdateusonthat.Andthenalso,maybeforRandy,ifyoucanremindus,howyouwhatkindofassetsdoyouhaveinthecaptivelettersofcreditexposure,thosekindsofthings?Thanks.

    DennisR.Glass

    Yes,letmestartbyremindingallofusthatwejustfinishedwebeingtheindustryandtheregulatorsalong,thoughtfulprocessaroundcaptiveregulationsforATripleXandTripleXandthatturnedoutprettygood,bothfromaregulatorystandpointandfromtheperspectiveoftheindustry.So,Imkindofencouragedbythefactthatwejustwentthroughthiswiththem.

    Onceagain,LincolnistakingsortofaleadingroleinthediscussionswithrespecttoVAcaptives.Onceagain,goodnewsintermsoftheprocess,similartowhattheregulatorsdidonATripleX,TripleX.Theyarehiringacoupleofoutsideconsultantstobringmoreperspectiveandhelpthemastheylookatthisissue.

    InthiscaseofVAcaptives,thedifficultyisthatyouhavearegulatoryregimethatismoreonabookvaluebasisandyouhaveeconomicsofthepolicymoreonthebasisoffairmarketandsortofmoreGAAPeconomics.Sothecompanieshavetochooseandwevetalkedaboutbalancesheetrisk,theyhavetochoosebetweenhedgingtoprotectyourselfortobuildassetstopayfutureclaims.Andthenyoucanatthesametimeprotectagainstsomepotentialswingsin,Illcall,statutorycapitalcallsrelatedtoextremeeconomicscenarios.

    SoImoptimisticthatmaybewellbeabletocraftasolutionwiththeregulatorsthatsortofmitigatesthistugandpullbetweenthateconomics.Andmaybe,thisisbeingabitoptimistic,wewontneedVAcaptivesifwecangetthatatall,ifwecangetthatproblemsolved.Sotheprocessisunderway.ImencouragedwithwhatIhearbeingsaidbytheregulatorsandwhattheyvealreadyaccomplished,andwellseewhereitturnsout.

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Suneet,hi,thisisRandy.WeremainverywellpositionedfromanassetstandpointintheVAcaptive.Ibelieveattheendofthequarter,ourassetsexceededourhedgetargetbyroughly$1.5billion,soIthinkthatsastorythatcontinuestodifferentiateusasacompany.Soverywellpositionedfromwherewesit.

    Ifyouremember,andDennissortofdescribeditinhisdiscussion,themainriskaroundthisisthedifferencethatcan

  • emergebetweenstatutoryliabilitiesandeconomicliabilitiesincertaineconomicenvironments.Itsreallyonlythathoteconomicenvironment,whichisprimarilyabigspikeininterestrates,whichwouldcauseustouseanythingbutthehardassetsthatwecurrentlyusetoday.

    Sowhatmakesupourcurrenthedgeassets,itsthevalueofthederivativeassetswehold,somebondsthatweholdinthere,butwerecurrentlyusingwhatyouwoulddescribeassoftassets.

    SuneetKamath

    Gotit.OnelastoneforDennis.Intermsofyourregulatorydiscussions,ImeanIthinkonTripleXandATripleX,theregulatorstookaviewofsortofaprospectiveapproachtothisasopposedtoaretroactive.IsthatyoursenseintermsofhavinganapproachVAcaptives,orisittooearlytotellonthat?Thanks.

    DennisR.Glass

    Alltheconversationisaroundprospective.Ithinkifyoulookbackhistoricallyintheinsuranceindustry,theregulatoryframeworkveryseldomlydomakethingsretroactive.Clearly,inthespecificcaseofATripleX,TripleX,therewasnoretroactivitybutIwouldhopethatitwouldbeforwardlookingbutIcantsaydefinitivelyifitwillorwontbe,becausewerenotthatfardowntheroad.

    SuneetKamath

    Okay.Thankyou.

    Operator

    OurnextquestioncomesfromthelineofRyanKruegerwithKBW.Yourlineisnowopen.

    RyanKrueger

    Thanks.Goodmorning.Onequickfollowup,Randy.Youmentionedthe1.5billionofnetassetsinthecaptives.CanyoutelluswhattheRBCimpactwouldbeifyoudidconsolidatethecaptiveatthispoint?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Yes,itsnotsomethingwelookatonaregularbasisbutitcontinuestobethesamestory,whichisnonegativeimpactonourLNL,RBCorlifeinsurancecompanyreportedRBCifweweretobringourcaptivesbackin.

    RyanKrueger

    Okay,gotit.ThenIwanttomovetocapitalmanagement.InthepastyoutalkedaboutaninterestingroupbenefitsM&A.Wouldyoufeelcomfortablemakinganacquisitioninthatspacerightnowiftherightopportunitypresenteditselfgiventhechallengesthatyoureworkingthroughinyourownbusiness?

    DennisR.Glass

    Greatquestion.Whatwevesaidinthepastwasthefollowing,andourattitudehasntchanged,whichiswedliketoincreasemorbidityearningsattherighttimeandprobablywithinacquisition.Werenotrulingoutanacquisitionnow,butbecauseofthedifficultywerehavingwithourcorebusiness,itmakesithardertogetoverthehurdleofdoinganacquisition.Andthenfinally,quiteclearly,anythingwedointermsofacquisitionshastobemeasuredagainstothersourcesofcapitalsuchasbuyingoursharesback.Soopenminded,butatthemomentthingswouldhavetoatthemomenttheressomeimpediments.Notsayingthatwewouldntdosomethingbutitdbehardertodoit.

    RyanKrueger

    Okay.Andthenjustlastone,istheIguesswheredoyoufeellikeyoucouldbringyourRBCratiodowntoinanM&AifyouweretodoalargerM&Atransaction,isaround450stilltherightwaytothinkaboutwhereyoumightbeabletobringthatto?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Ryan,IthinkitsthenatureoftheM&Adealyoudo.Ifitwasagroupdeal,Ithinkthatsprobablyareasonableestimate.Ithinkthewaywevetalkedaboutthisinthepastissortof,onourbalancesheetweprobablyhavecapacitytodo750millionorsoofM&Awithexistingcapitalfromthebalancesheet.

  • DennisR.Glass

    Butagain,Iwanttoreinforcethisissuethatcontinuingtofocusonsharebuybacksisahighpriorityforus.Andthatwhenwetalkaboutexcesscapital,itsdifferentastowhetheryouusethatexcesscapitalforsharebuybacksorforacquisitionsintermsofthesplit,becausewhenyoudoanacquisition,thecapitalstaysinthecompanywhereassharebuybacksthecapitalgoesout.Sotheexcesscapitalcantallbeusedforsharebuybackswhereasmorbidcouldbeusedforacquisitions.

    RyanKrueger

    Veryhelpful.Thankyou.

    Operator

    OurnextquestioncomesfromthelineofSethWeisswithBankofAmericaMerrillLynch.Yourlineisnowopen.

    SethWeiss

    Hi.Thankyou.Aclarificationquestiononthe$30millionadversemortalityhit.Justwanttomakesurethisisrelativetoexpectationsforaseasonallyhigher1Q.Isthatcorrect?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Thatssortofrelativetoourbaselineexpectationsforafullyear.Soifyouweretolookatanaveragequarterduringtheyear,30millionwouldbewhatsoverandabovethatnumberanditsreallysortofconsistentwithwhatweveexperiencedinthepast.IfIlookattheAtoEinthefirstquarterofthisyear,itsreallynodifferentthantheAtoEforthefirstquarterlastyear.Sowedidntseeanythingabnormalintheseasonality.WejustcontinuetogrowandretainmorebusinessandIthinkthatswhythenumberisbiggerthanlastyears.

    SethWeiss

    Okay.Thankyou.AndifIcanmoveontogroupandmaybealittlebitmoregranularityhere.IfIweretonormalizefortheacceleratedamortizationandmaybeaddinacouplemillionmoreformortalityattributedthere,wegettomodestprofitabilitybutstillunder$5millionundera1%margin.Andlastquarteryouspokeaboutnewclaimsmanagementcausingsomepressureonincidentsandrecoveriesbutexpectationstoimprovethoseclaimsmanagementissueswithinthenext6to12months.Socouldyouspeakaboutwhatclaimsmanagementpressuresyoumayhavefeltthisquarter?Andhowprogressonshoringupthoseissuesisgoing?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Sure,Seth.Youremembertheoriginalissuesaroundclaimsmanagementprocessarosewhenweinstalledthenewsysteminthemiddleofnextyear,andthatcausedaveragecaseloadsperexaminertogoupandsomeofthenewprocesschangesthatwentinplacereallycausedsortofabackup.Sowehadsomethingsthatweneededtofix.Aswesaid,itwouldbesomethingthatwedfixaswecameintothesecondhalfofthisyear.Wethoughtwedbewhereweneededtobe.

    Ithinkwemadesignificantimprovementinthisquarterandthatreallydrovethesignificantimprovementyousawonthedisabilitylossratio,asImentioneditimprovenearly10points,withalotofthatimprovementdirectlyattributableIbelievetosomeoftheimprovementsthatwemadeintheclaimsmanagementprocess.Westillhaveawaystogo.

    Specifically,Ithinkwehavemoreworktodoonbringingaveragecaseloadsdownperexaminer.Ithinkthatsstilltocome.Butwemadealotoftheprocessimprovementsbringinginsupportforclaimsexaminers,forinstance,whetherthatsnursingsupport,whetherthatssupportatthemanageriallevel,orwhateveritis.Sowemadealotofprocessandsupportiveimprovements,butwestillhavemoretogoIthinkbeforewegettowhereweneedtobe.

    SethWeiss

    Okay.Thankyou.AndthenifIcouldjustdoonequickoneoncapital,absentM&A,howshouldwethinkaboutbringingthatRBCratiodownovertime,whichat515,Ithinkisstillquitehighrelativetopeers?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Yes,IthinkitsstillhighandIthinkaswevesaidinthepast,thewaywevebeendeployingcapital,weexpectitto

  • comedown.Therehavebeensomeitemswhichhavebeenfavorable,whetheritwastheimpactofthereinsurancerecaptureinthefourthquarterorsomefavorableexperiencewehadlastyearintheRMBSreratingprocess,forinstance.Sotherehavebeenanumberofthingsthathavebeenfavorable.Butthewayweredistributingcapital,wecontinuetoexpectittocomedown10to15,10to20pointsayear,somewhereinthatrange.

    SethWeiss

    Okay.Thankyou.

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Youbet.

    Operator

    [OperatorInstructions].OurnextquestioncomesfromthelineofTomGallagherwithCreditSuisse.Yourlineisnowopen.

    ThomasGallagher

    Goodmorning.Firstquestionisjustontheadversemortalitythisquarter.Canyoucommentonwhetherorwhatimpactyousawfromtherecaptureblockthisquarter?Didthatcontributetotheweakness?Andifso,howmuch?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Hi,Tom.Yes,Imeanitcontributedoveralltotheelevatedmortalityexperience.So,aswementioned,inbringinginthatbookofbusiness,weexpectitsimilartoexperiencefortherestofourbookandwesawthat.AsImentioned,overall,wehadanactualtoexpectedexperience.Inthisquarterthatwasverysimilartothefirstquarterof2014.Sotherewasnobigimpactfromthat.

    Doingtherecaptureincreasedtheaveragepaysizeofourpolicyandwasgoingtocreatealittlemorevolatility.Andinaquarterwhereyouhavebadexperiencethatincreasedmortalitythatincreasedvolatility,meansyouregoingtohavemoreclaims,morebadexperience,andwehadthat,the30millionversusthefirst18millionwehadlastyear.Sotheresreallynodifferentiatedimpactfromtherecapturebusinesscomparedtowhatweveexperiencedinprioryearsfirstquarters.

    ThomasGallagher

    Gotyou.So,Randy,essentiallycontributeditsfairshareasapercentofthetotalblockbutnothingbeyondthat.Isthatafaircharacterization?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Thatsaveryfaircharacterization.

    ThomasGallagher

    Okay.Andthenonefollowup.Dennis,thecommentyoumadeonliving,orVAsalesoutlivingbenefitguarantees.Iguessmyquestionthereis,whatpercentofthosesalesarecomingfromqualifiedsources?Isitsimilartoyouroverallmixinthelow40%range?Andwouldyouseethosesalesaspotentiallyvulnerableorpotentiallygettingoverhauls,justconsideringthevaluepropositionthatmaybehardertoproveunderafiduciarystandardsthreshold?

    DennisR.Glass

    Yes.Tom,letmerepeatthequestion.Whatpercentageofournonguaranteedbusinessiscomingfromqualifiedplans?

    ThomasGallagher

    Thatsright.Yes.

    DennisR.Glass

    Yes.Theanswertothatisabout25%iscomingfromqualifiedplansand75%fromnonqualifiedplans.

  • ThomasGallagher

    Gotyou.Anddoyouthinkthat25%,justconsideringwhatshappeninghereandunderstandingthetechnicalitiesoftheproposalareyettobedetermined,butifyouthinkaboutthespiritofwhatsbeingproposedhere,wouldyouexpectthat25%potentiallygoingaway?

    DennisR.Glass

    Tom,thatsaveryspecificquestionanditsactuallyaquestionthatisprobablymoreappropriateforthebroaddistributionorganizations.Wehavesuchdifferentalternativestosellproduct,differentdistributionsystemsandchannels,asyouknow.Wedontthinkthatthereisaseriousrisktothat25%butitmayendupcomingfromdifferentchannelsthanitscomingfromtoday.SoIfallbackonourcommentbroad,diversifieddistributionandourprovenabilitytopivot,whetheritsforcustomerpreferences,pricingissuesorregulatoryreasons.Andthatwellfindawaywiththisdistributionorganizationtocontinuetogrowoursales.

    ThomasGallagher

    Okay.Thanks,Dennis.

    Operator

    OurnextquestioncomesfromthelineofStevenSchwartzwithRaymondJames.Yourlineisnowopen.

    StevenSchwartz

    Hi.Goodmorning,everybody.TofollowupalittlebitonTomsquestion.Iminterestedin,Dennis,ifyouknowwhatpercentageofyourVAsalesareinupfrontcommissionasopposedtofeebased?Letsjustputitthatwaysimplyintodaysworld,howaretheysold?

    DennisR.Glass

    Imtryingtogetananswerforthat.Thevastmajorityaresoldonanupfrontcommissionbasis.

    StevenSchwartz

    Okay,allright.Andthen,Dennis,youtalkedalittlebitaboutsalesandhowtheypickedup

    DennisR.Glass

    CouldIcometobackandagainreinforcethefactofhowyoupaytheagentsisreallydeterminedbyourdistributionchannels.AndasIsaidinmypreparedremarks,wearepreparedalreadytosellthesesameVAproductsonafeebasisratherthanfrontendcommission.AndIwanttoreemphasizeanotherpoint,whichwevemadeinthepast,livingbenefitproductsareanimportantpartoftheretirementplanningforAmericans,andIdontseethedemandforthatproductgoingawayeventhoughcompaniesanddistributionorganizationsmayhavetoadjustthewaytheygetittotheconsumer.

    StevenSchwartz

    Yes,Imeanitsagoodpoint,itsnotreallyyourissue.Youcandoit.Itsaquestionofwhetherbrokerdealersandbrokerswanttosellthatwayornotandmaybetheyllhaveto.Thatsalloutthere.ThatswhyIaskedthequestion.

    DennisR.Glass

    Yes.

    StevenSchwartz

    Thenduringyourpreparedremarks,youtalkedabouthowsalesbothinannuitiesandlifeinsurancepickedupinthequarterandcontinuetopickup.Ithinkyoureferencedmaybenewproductsorrevisionstoolderproducts,ifyoucouldfillthatoutplease.

    DennisR.Glass

    Yes.Ithinkthepickupisjustrelatedtobetterproductivity.TheresbeensomeproductchangesbutIwouldntattribute

  • thepickuptoanyspecificproduct.Theresnothingdramaticinthewayofproductimprovementsthatwouldhaveledtothat15%pickup.Ijustthinkwegotofftoaslowerstartandwearenowbacktowherewethinkweatlevelsofsalesthataremoreconsistentwithourexpectationsfortherestahigherlevelofsales.

    StevenSchwartz

    Okay.AndthelastoneforRandy,IthinkmaybeSethaskedthisquestion.Theadversemortalitythatyourepointingtoisrelativetowhatyoudexpectonaveragefortheyear,Igetthat.Butweknowthefirstquarterisalwaysgoingtohavebadweather.Weknowthefirstquarterisalwaysgoingtohavethefluseason.WevegottheChristmaseffect.Sodoyouhaveasense,Randy,ofgenerallyspeaking,whatyouwouldconsidertobeIdcallitnormaladversemortalityinthefirstquarterrelativetoyourbaseline?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Steven,obviouslyitsatoughnumberestimateifyouaskmetosortoftakeastabatit.Maybehalfofthe$30millionwassortofoverandaboveanormalseasonalfirstquarter,butputabigconfidenceintervalaroundthatnumber.

    StevenSchwartz

    Okay,fairenough.Thankyou,guys.

    Operator

    OurnextquestioncomesfromthelineofErikBasswithCitigroup.Yourlineisnowopen.

    ErikBass

    Hi.Thankyou.IguessfirstjustwantedtofollowuponIthinkwhatSethwasaskingonthegroupside.Haverecentresultschangedyourviewatall?AndhowlongitwilltakegroupresultstorecoverandgetbacktoIthinkthe5%to6%marginyouvetargetedonarunratebases,ordoyouthinkwerejustseeingmorenegativenoiserelatedtoDACandmortalityandotherfactors?Butkindofthetimingofgettingtotheendgoalhasntchanged.

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Ididsayinmyremarksthatourexpectationswithrespecttogettingbacktogoodmarginshaventchanged.Itssortoflate2016,early2017.Sothathasntchanged.

    ErikBass

    Gotit.Andthatsonarunratebases?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Right.

    ErikBass

    Okay.Andthenmaybecanaskoneonvariableannuities.HaveyouseenmuchimpactfromincreasedcompetitionasotherinsurershaverolledoutbothnewguaranteefeaturesaswellasproductswithoutlivingbenefitsorisyoursensethattheoverallindustrydemandforVAsjusttickeddownalittlebitinthefirstquarter?

    DennisR.Glass

    Ithinkittickeddownalittlebitinthefirstquarter,asyousay.WecontinuetohavewhatIwouldrefertoasrationalcompetitioninthismarketrightnow.Differentcompanieshavedifferentvaluepropositions,differentfeaturesand,atanypointintime,youcanseeonegetaheadoftheotherforwhateverreason.Butwereastrong,consistentplayer.Wellcontinuetogetourfairshare.Overall,ourcostandbenefitsareconsistentwithwhatothercarriersareoffering.Andthenwehavethebenefitofthebestwholesalingforcewethinkinthecountry.So,wellcontinuetogetourfairshareonourterms.

    ErikBass

    Gotit.Thankyou.

  • Operator

    OurnextquestioncomesfromthelineofHumphreyLeewithDowlingPartners.Yourlineisnowopen.

    HumphreyLee

    Thankyouandgoodmorning.JustwanttofollowontheGroupProtectionintermsoftheDACamortization.Canyoujustremindus,inanygivenyearswhatisthepatternforyourrenewalcycle?SowhatpercentageofyourbusinessinanygivenyeargothroughtheJan1renewalcycleversustheJuly1cycle?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Soletsstartoutwithyourtypicalgroupcontractisaboutathreeyearguarantee,somaybeabouta30yearbusinessisgoingthroughinanyparticularyear.Insideofthat,roughly60%orsoisinthe50%to60%isinthefirstquarteroftheyear.AndthenoursecondbiggestwouldbethethirdquarterforJulyrenewals.

    HumphreyLee

    Okay.AndthenhowshouldwekindofcomparetheJulyrenewaltokindoftherestofthepattern?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Yes,IthinkasIsaid50%to60%thefirstquarterandthethirdquarteristhenextbiggest.But,look,thebulkofitisinthefirstquarteroftheyearandIlljuststoprightthere.

    HumphreyLee

    Okay,gotit.Andthenintermsofyourretirementplanservices,Lincolnsalwaysbeenastrongplayerinthe403(b)market.Canyoureminduswhatpercentageofyourretirementplanservicesisinthe403(b)market?

    DennisR.Glass

    Whatpercentageofsalesareinthe403(b)market?

    HumphreyLee

    Maybeanaccountvalueaswell?

    DennisR.Glass

    About50%.

    HumphreyLee

    Okay.Sobasicallythosewouldnotbeaffectedbythefiduciaryproposal,buttheremaining50%couldpotentiallybeaffected?

    DennisR.Glass

    Again,intheretirementbusinessandinourotherbusinesses,wethinkwecancontinuetosellthroughregulatorychanges.Andsomeoftheregulatorychangesbythewaythatarebeingproposed,wevebeenadvocatesforsometime.So,yes,Iunderstandtheresalotofquestionsaboutit.Theresgoingtobechange.Goodcompanieswillreacttothechange.Boththelivingbenefitproductsandretirementproductsareinbigdemandandsoitsmoreaboutthechangesyouhavetomakeinthesellingprocess,commissionsandsoforthtobeabletomeetthedemandsofthemarketplace,whichwillcontinuetobestrong.

    HumphreyLee

    Okay.Thankyou.

    Operator

    OurnextquestioncomesfromthelineofRandyBinnerwithFBR.Yourlineisnowopen.

    RandyBinner

  • Hi,thanks.Mostlyaskedandanswered,soImgoingtoaskaDOLfiduciaryfollowupforDennis.Theresdifferentpiecesoftheconversationherethathavetalkedaboutkindofapotential,Icallitbifurcationofregulation,whereasifaproductisaffectedbyERISA,itwouldhaveacertainsetofrules.Andthenifitsnot,itwouldnt.SowhetheritwasHumphreysquestionorIthinkTomGallaghersbeforethatonqualified,nonqualified.

    Iguessmyquestionforyou,Dennis,isyourperspectiveonitifthatwouldbefeasibleinthemarketthatyouwouldhavekindofdramaticallydifferentrulesbasedonwhetheritkindofhittheERISAformatornotoriftherewouldbekindofalowestcommondenominatoreffectinthemarketandeveryonewouldeverythingwouldkindofmigratetowardswhateverthenewrulesarepushedbyDOL?

    DennisR.Glass

    Yes,Ithinkthatshardtopredict.

    RandyBinner

    Okay.IthoughtIdtakeatryatthat.TheoneotherfollowupIhadjustonthegrouppiecewasafterthisfirstquarterrenewal,howmuchofthebookhasbeenrepricedsinceyoustartedthelastmajorrepricinginitiative?Ithinkitwas30%atthefourthquarter.Doyouhaveafigureofhowmuchhasbeenrepricedatthispoint?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Yes.Soaswementionedearlier,30%wentthroughthepipelastyearandIthinkbytheendofthisyearwillbeatabout80%.Aswementioned,50%to60%ofthisyearsgoesthroughinthefirstquarter.Soifyousortofdothemaththereandapplythat,roughly50%ofthepremiumhaswentthroughthepipeline.

    RandyBinner

    Halfwaydone.Okay.ThatsallIhave.Thanks.

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Youbet.

    Operator

    OurnextquestioncomesfromthelineofEricBergwithRBCCapital.Yourlineisnowopen.

    EricBerg

    Thanksverymuch.Idliketoreturntothetwotopicsthathavesortofbeendominantinthiscall,mainlybeingthemortalityandthegroupinsurance.Ontheindividualside,Ijustwanttosortofsharpenmyunderstandingonceandforallofwhathappenedhere.Randy,yousaidthatactualtoexpectedsweresimilarthisyeartolastyear.IguesswhatIdliketoknowis,weretheybothabove100%thisyearandlastyear?

    RandalJ.Freitag

    No,theyrenotabove100%.Sotypicallyforayear,ouractualtoexpectedisgoingtobeinthe80s.Andwhatweveseenoverthepastyearsinthefirstquarteristhatitsroughly10pointshigherthanthatinthefirstquarter.Andthatswhatweexperiencedagainthisyear.

    EricBerg

    Okay.IllhavetocirclebackbecauseIdontunderstandhowyoucouldIllcirclebacktoChrishowyoucanexpectsomethingtobebelowyourexpectations.ItdoesntIcantgetmymindaroundit.

    RandalJ.Freitag

    Well,Eric,letmedescribethatalittlebitmaybetoinformyou.Itsbecauseofhowwecalculateit.Soforotherbusinesswevesoldinthelast15yearsorso,weusedtheexactpricingexpectations.Weexpecttoberoughlyinthe100%range.Foralltheoldhistoricbusiness,weusedsortofastandardindustrytable.Andsothatnumbertypicallycomesupsomewherebelow100.Soforeverythingthatwevesoldrecently,everythingthatwehavereallygooddataandrecordsfor,weusedtheexactpricingexperience.Andthenforalltheolderbusiness,weusemoreofanindustrytable.Andthatswhyyouendupwiththisblendednumber,whichendsupbelow100%.

  • EricBerg

    IfIcouldaskyounowaboutthegroupinsurance.Itsstillnotapparenttomeagain,Idliketosharpenmyunderstandinghavinglistenedcloselytothelastquestionsaboutwhatisnotgoingwellhereinthefollowingsense.YouvedescribedtheresultsascoreandIthinkRandy,youdescribedthemaspoor.Butwhatweknowisthattherehasbeenasignificantimprovementinincidence.Theresbeenasignificantimprovementinrecovery.Youveraisedpricessharply.ThishasledtoIguesslactation,whichinturnhastriggeredanoncashchargefortheacceleratedamortizationofDAC.Sogivenallthat,yourelosingcustomersasyouexpected,youregettingabetterclaimsexperienceasyouexpected.Whatisnothappeningthatyouwouldliketohaveseenhappenedbynow?Whereareyoubehind?

    DennisR.Glass

    Yes,Eric,Ithinknowweregettingintoalittlebitofsemantics.Ourcommentsimplyweredisappointedinanegativequarterintheabsolute.Thatsnotacommentwithrespecttoexpectationsofsomeofthesethingsthatyouretalkingabout.Werejustdisappointedthatwevehadalostquarter.

    EricBerg

    Okay.

    DennisR.Glass

    Andaswevesaidallalong,theprogressthatweregoingtomakehereisnotgoingtobelinear.Iapologizeforrepeatingthis.Westilltheresnothinghappenedatthisquarterthatwehaventseenexcuseme,thatchangesourexpectationsastogettingclosertoourmarginslate2016,2017.

    Ithinkitsfairtosay,andIknowthatwevebeentalkingaboutpriceincreasesnowforacoupleofquarters,Ithinkitsfairtosaythatwehavegottenmuchmoreaggressiveinthelastsixmonthswithourpriceincreasesthanwedidinthefirstsixmonths.Soitsnotthatwereseeingtheprogress,butwereevengettingbetterincreasesbutthosearentgoingtoshowupforalittlebit.

    Anddontforgetthatitshardtorememberthatthesepriceincreasesaregoingtoflowinovertime.Yourenotgettingthemallatonetime.SoIunderstandthequestion.Thereisalotofvariables.Iguesswejustfallbackonweremakinggoodprogressandourexpectationsremainthesame.

    EricBerg

    Thatanswersmyquestion.Thankyouverymuch.

    DennisR.Glass

    Yes.

    Operator

    Ladiesandgentlemen,weareatthetopofthehour.IdliketoturnthecallbacktoChrisGiovanniforclosingremarks.

    ChrisGiovanni

    Thankyousomuchandthankyouallforjoiningusthismorning.Asalways,werearoundtotakeyourquestionsontheInvestorRelationslineat8002372920orthroughemailatinvestorrelations@lfg.com.Again,thankyouallforjoiningandhaveagreatday.

    Operator

    Ladiesandgentlemen,thankyouforyourparticipationintodaysconference.Thisconcludestheprogramandyoumaynowdisconnect.Everyone,haveagreatday.

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