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Linking Natural Capital Accounting (NCA) into Indonesia National Development Plan 2020-2024
Dr.MedrilzamandPakFarhanHelmyDirectorforEnvironmentalAffairsMinistryofNationalDevelopmentPlanning/NationalDevelopmentPlanningBoard(BAPPENAS)
RegionalSEEAworkshop29November2017
Preparation Schedule of National Development Plan 2020-2024:
BackgroundStudyofRPJMN
RPJMNapprovedbytheselectedPresident
WritingofRPJMN
InitialPreparation
2017 2018 2019 2020
MISSION:DEVELOPTHENEXTINDONESIADEVELOPMENTPLAN
BECOMEGREENERANDLESSCARBON
HOWNCACOULDFITININTODEVELOPMENTPLANNING?
Low Carbon Development Plan will be Integrated into National Development Plan 2020-2024
“Thisiswhyourupcoming5yeardevelopmentplan,…willbeIndonesia’sfirstlow-carbondevelopmentplan.Wewanttousethisplantoaddresssustainabilitychallengesandunlocksomeoftheseopportunitieswhichwillbecriticaltoachievingaprosperous,low-carbongrowthpath.Wewanttoensurethatourgrowth,movingforward,continuestosecureournaturalassets,providingvalueintandemwiththecreationofnewopportunitiesforeconomictransformationanddevelopment….”
(Prof.BambangBrodjonegoro–MinisterofNationalDeveopmentPlanning,BonnCOP23UNFCCC,2017);
Principles applied to LCD Planning for National Mid-Term National Plan 2020-2024: 1) Applyintegratedandsystemicapproachamong
sectors–EvidenceBasedPolicy2) Putfuturecarryingcapacity(includingGHG
Emission)ispartofpriorityconcernsindevelopmentplan
3) Emphasiseimplicationofvariouspolicies-planning-programTowardabalancingandtrade-offbetweeneconomy,povertyandenvironmentgoals
4) ApplyHITS(Holistic,Integrated,Thematic,Spatial)5) Involvingdevelopmentplannersand
environmentalstakeholders
CONCEPTUALISATION OF LOW CARBON DEVELOPMENT PLAN
Agricultures
EnergyandMining Industries
Settlements
Forestry
Fishery,othersectors
Water
Landcover
Emission
Ocean
IKLH
Assimilativecapacity
SupportiveCapacity
CarryingCapacityInter-relatedHumanActivities
Impacts/Pressures
GreenEconomy
Poverty
Policy
Interven
tion
(availabilityconcept)
Biodiversity
SectoralTarget
Tradeoff
Tradeoff
*)NCAshouldprovidenecessaryinformationonstockandflowofNaturalResourceandCarryingCapacitybeingassessed
WHERE NCA FITS IN INTO LOW CARBON DEV’T PLAN 2020-2024 PROCESS?
SystemDynamicsModel
(Non-Spatial)(Sectors:
Agriculture,Forest,Mining,etc.)
Tabular(Statistics)danSpatial
Policy/Planning/ProgramminginRPJMN
2020-2024
GreenEconomy
Poverty
CarryingCapacity
SpatialDynamicsAnalysis
INTERFACE
WAVES
NaturalCapitalStock-Flow
MAPS
DatabaseCentre
GreenGrowthandLowCarbonDevelopmentPlan
Econ.ofLowCard.Dev(IndonesiaSternReview)
InvestmentAnalysis
LowCarbonDevelopmentSystemModelStructureforDevPlan2020-2024
Economicsstock-flows
Socialstock-flows
Naturalresourcesstockandflows
Absortivecapacitystock-flows
ECONOMY LANDUSE
FISHERY
WATER
ENERGY
CLIMATE
GHGEMISSION
BIODIVERISTY
POPULATION
POVERTY
NCAContribution
LowCarbonDevelopmentmodellingprocessrequiresStockandflowinformationfromNCA:
8
Landsectors Watersectors Energy Fishery
ForestAccount
MineralAccountonlyPilotProject
IndonesiaNCA/SISNERLING
WAVESSUPPORT
Notes:• IndonesiaStatisticsAgency(BPS)leadsthedevelopmentofNCAinIndonesia
• DevelopmentoftheNCAshouldbebasedontheneedsofpolicyandplanning
• StrongcollaborationisneededbetweenWAVESconsultantandmodellingteam
FullAccount
BackgroundStudyofRPJMN
RPJMNapprovedbytheselectedPresident
WritingofRPJMN
Preparation
2017 2018 2019 2020
Modelconceptualisation,integratedmodelandDatabasedevelopment
SEAreportforRPJMN2020-2024
Policycommunications
IntegratedmodelstructureandPolicy
simulations
SEA
NCADEVELOPMENT
…ItisagoodtimingforNCAtobeapplied..ButdelayedNCAprocesscannotbetolerated..Theclockisticking…..!!
Furthercontact:
DirectorateforEnvironmentAffairs
Email:[email protected]@gmail.com
Ph:+623900412(Office),+62811802824(Mobile)
