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Llad PhillipsLlad Phillips 11
Casual Users, Substance Abusers, and Public Policy
The War On DrugsThe War On Drugs
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Questions
Should public policy towards marijuana be Should public policy towards marijuana be any different than public policy towards any different than public policy towards alcohol consumption and cigarette alcohol consumption and cigarette consumption?consumption?– Why?Why?
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Drugs and Crime: The Perception of the VictimDrugs and Crime: The Perception of the Victim
Source: http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/Source: http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/
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Arrests: The War on Arrests: The War on DrugsDrugs
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State PrisonersState Prisoners Federal Prisons:Federal Prisons:
In 1996, Drug OffendersIn 1996, Drug Offenders accounted for 60% ofaccounted for 60% ofFederal PrisonersFederal Prisoners
Federal Spending on Drug ControlFederal Spending on Drug Control19811981 $1.5 Billion$1.5 Billion19891989 $6.7 “$6.7 “19901990 $9.8 “$9.8 “19951995 $13.0 “$13.0 “20002000 $17.9 “$17.9 “20012001 $18.1”$18.1”
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Federal Drug Budget By Function Total Total $17,940.3 $17,940.3
$18,053.1$18,053.1 Drug treatment $2,915.2 Drug treatment $2,915.2 $3,168.3$3,168.3 Drug prevention 2,338.6Drug prevention 2,338.6 2,515.7 2,515.7 Criminal justice system 8,429.0 Criminal justice system 8,429.0 9,357.79,357.7 International 1,892.9 International 1,892.9 609.7609.7 Interdiction 1,965.9 Interdiction 1,965.9 1,950.41,950.4 Research 89.6 Research 89.6 106.1106.1 Intelligence 309.1 Intelligence 309.1 345.2345.2 International (U.S. SupportInternational (U.S. Support for Plan Colombia 954.4for Plan Colombia 954.4
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Drug Use by High School SeniorsDrug Use by High School Seniors ER IncidentsER Incidents
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http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/graphics.htmhttp://www.cdc.gov/hiv/graphics.htm
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Death Rates from HIVDeath Rates from HIV
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Questions About Crime What are the Social Policy Options What are the Social Policy Options
Towards Victimless Crimes?Towards Victimless Crimes?– education problemeducation problem
preventionprevention
– health problemhealth problem cure for addicts and abuserscure for addicts and abusers
– fiscal problemfiscal problem control use through taxescontrol use through taxes
– law enforcement problemlaw enforcement problem focus on demand?focus on demand?
– usersusers
focus on supply?focus on supply?– distributorsdistributors
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Education Let an informed public make a choiceLet an informed public make a choice
– An individual would weigh the benefits against An individual would weigh the benefits against the coststhe costs
– If the benefit/cost ratio exceeds oneIf the benefit/cost ratio exceeds one smokesmoke drinkdrink
– Could impose costs on othersCould impose costs on others driving under the influencedriving under the influence second hand smokesecond hand smoke
– Protection of MinorsProtection of Minors blandishments of advertisingblandishments of advertising influence of peersinfluence of peers
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Health
Treat substance abuseTreat substance abuse– Need to identify the abusersNeed to identify the abusers
many citizens are not covered under health plansmany citizens are not covered under health plans
– Difficult to cure addictsDifficult to cure addicts
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Fiscal Policy
Use excise taxes, a tax per unit, to control Use excise taxes, a tax per unit, to control demanddemand– tax per pack of cigarettestax per pack of cigarettes– tax per bottle of gintax per bottle of gin
Policy moderates rather than eliminates usePolicy moderates rather than eliminates use– lacks the moral suasion of a law prohibiting uselacks the moral suasion of a law prohibiting use
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Law Enforcement Control demand?Control demand?
– hard to keep tabs on numerous users hard to keep tabs on numerous users – loss of respect for the lawloss of respect for the law
people like to partypeople like to party
Control supply?Control supply?– at homeat home
search and destroy policies have a low success ratesearch and destroy policies have a low success rate
– abroadabroad interdiction of supply has low success rateinterdiction of supply has low success rate we export our enforcement problem to:we export our enforcement problem to:
– producing countries, e.g. Boliviaproducing countries, e.g. Bolivia
– transhipment countries, e.g. Mexicotranshipment countries, e.g. Mexico
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What are the Tradeoffs Among Policy Options?
Policy Benefits Costs
Education Prevent Abuse Limited Effect*
Health Cure theAbuser
LimitedCoverage
Fiscal DecreaseDemand
Does NotEliminate Use
Enforcement Discourage theLaw-Abiding
LimitedEffectiveness
* Scare tactics such as Reefer Madness are not convincing
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Some Consequences from Criminalizing Substance Use
barrier to law-abiding suppliersbarrier to law-abiding suppliers enriches crooksenriches crooks
– prohibition financed the Mafia in the USprohibition financed the Mafia in the US– drug profits have created a new Mafia in drug profits have created a new Mafia in
ColombiaColombia high prices drive some users to crime to high prices drive some users to crime to
support their habitsupport their habit easy money corrupts some law enforcement easy money corrupts some law enforcement
officialsofficials
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“Scale, nature, and perception of the drug problem are very
different in ...” United StatesUnited States CanadaCanada Western EuropeWestern Europe
Source: Peter Reuter et. al., Comparing Western Europe and North American Drug Policies, Rand
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The Western Nations Drug Problem
Country Heroin Use CocaineUse
SocialProblem
US high high Violenceguns & drugs
Europe moderate low
Canada low low
Behavior Social Problem
drug use
crime
AIDS
( violence: US with guns,50 million hanguns in private hands = 100 timesthe per capita rate in Europe)
(free needles for addicts:GermanyItalyNetherlandsSwitzerlandGreat Britain)
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CountryCountry Number of Heroin AddictsNumber of Heroin Addicts Epidemic DecadesEpidemic DecadesUSUS 600,000 - 800,000600,000 - 800,000 60’s & 70’s60’s & 70’sGreat BritainGreat Britain 60’s60’sGermanyGermany 60’s60’sNetherlandsNetherlands 60’s60’sSpainSpain 80’s80’sCanadaCanada NoneNone
CountryCountry Number of Cocaine AddictsNumber of Cocaine Addicts Epidemic DecadesEpidemic DecadesUSUS 1,800,000-2,000,000*1,800,000-2,000,000* 80’s80’sCanadaCanada NoneNone* 12,000,000 users of at least once per year* 12,000,000 users of at least once per year
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The Western Nations Drug ProblemCountry Policy Response CommentsUS law
enforcementItaly health problem decriminalized
useNetherlands health problem Cannabis legally
availableSpain health problem drug use or
possession, legalSwitzerland health problem heroin
maintenanceplan
England health problem methadoneavailable
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Market Analysis
Compare and contrastCompare and contrast– free marketfree market– enforcementenforcement– fiscal policyfiscal policy
excise tax as a control deviceexcise tax as a control device
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Market Analysis
conceptsconcepts– market supplymarket supply
marginal cost of production: the additional cost of marginal cost of production: the additional cost of one more unitone more unit
cost of production equals the sum of marginal costscost of production equals the sum of marginal costs revenue = price * quantity soldrevenue = price * quantity sold
– market demandmarket demand price some consumers are willing to payprice some consumers are willing to pay expenditure = price * quantity boughtexpenditure = price * quantity bought consumer surplus: a measure of welfare for those consumer surplus: a measure of welfare for those
consumers willing to pay above the market priceconsumers willing to pay above the market price
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Market Analysis
ConceptsConcepts– supply and demandsupply and demand
determines the market pricedetermines the market price– the marginal cost of production = the marginal value of the marginal cost of production = the marginal value of
consumersconsumers
the quantity demanded equals the quantity suppliedthe quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied profit = revenue - cost of productionprofit = revenue - cost of production
– profit, or producer’s surplus, is a welfare measureprofit, or producer’s surplus, is a welfare measure
total welfare benefit = consumer’s surplus + total welfare benefit = consumer’s surplus + producer’s surplusproducer’s surplus
Quantity Produced
Cost ofProduction
Marginal Costof Production
MarginalCost
Quantity
Market SupplyMarket Supply
Market DemandMarket Demand
MarketPrice, PM
Quantity Demanded, QM
RevenueR = PM QM
Market Demand
ConsumerSurplus
MarketPrice, PM
Quantity Demandedand Produced, QM
Demand
Supply
Cost ofProductionTrapezoid
Profit =Revenue -Cost
ConsumerSurplusTriangle
Market Supply and DemandMarket Supply and Demand
Enforcement Policy: Search, Confiscate, ResaleEnforcement Policy: Search, Confiscate, Resale
a
PM
PM
2 a
2 PM
FreeMarketSupply
Search, Confiscate,Resale: Supply
Quantity Produced
Price,MarginalCost
a
2 a
FreeMarketSupply
Search, Confiscate,Resale: Supply
Quantity Producedand Demanded, QS, C, R
Price,MarginalCost
Demand
FreeMarketPrice, PFM
Search,ConfiscateandResalePrice, PS, C, R
Enforcement Policy: Search, Confiscate, ResaleEnforcement Policy: Search, Confiscate, Resale
Enforcement Policy: Search, Confiscate, BurnEnforcement Policy: Search, Confiscate, Burn
a
PM
PM
2 a
2 PM
FreeMarketSupply
Search, Confiscate,Resale: Supply
Quantity Produced
Price,MarginalCost
Search, Confiscate, Burn: Supply
QM
QM / 2
a
2 a
FreeMarketSupply
Search, Confiscate,Resale: Supply
Quantity Producedand Demanded, QS, C, B
Price,MarginalCost
Demand
FreeMarketPrice, PFM
Search,ConfiscateandBurnPrice, PS, C, B
Search, Confiscate, Burn :Supply
Enforcement Policy: Search, Confiscate, BurnEnforcement Policy: Search, Confiscate, Burn
Fiscal Policy: 50% Excise Tax, Government Keeps the RevenueFiscal Policy: 50% Excise Tax, Government Keeps the Revenue
a
PM
PM
2 a
2 PM
FreeMarketSupply
50 % Excise TaxSupply
Quantity Produced
Price,MarginalCost
Tax/unit = 0.5 Price/unitRevenue - Tax = $20,0002 Plots*P - 2 Plots*T = $20,0002(P - T) = $20,0002(P - 0.5P) = $20,000P = $20,000
a
2 a
FreeMarketSupply
50 % Excise TaxSupply
Quantity Producedand Demanded, Q
Demand
FreeMarketPrice, PFM
After a 50 %Excise Tax:Price, PTax Rate =0.5 P
Price,MarginalCost
Fiscal Policy: 50% Excise Tax, Government Keeps RevenueFiscal Policy: 50% Excise Tax, Government Keeps Revenue
a
2 a
FreeMarketSupply
50 % Excise TaxSupply
Quantity Producedand Demanded, Q
Price,MarginalCost
Demand
FreeMarketPrice, PFM
Price, Pwith a 50%Excise Taxand BuyProgram
50 % Excise Tax and BuyProgramSupply
Fiscal Policy: 50% ExciseTax, Use Revenue to Buy MarijuanaFiscal Policy: 50% ExciseTax, Use Revenue to Buy Marijuana