Logistics, Trade and Transportation Symposium 2014

Industry Professional Track AgendaDay 2- Thursday, February 27

Impacts of the Panama Canal Expansion: Global Logistics

Kevin Horn, Ph.D.Senior Consultant

G.E.C., Inc.

General Trade Routes

Main Routes-FY 2010

Main Logistics Hubs

The Panama Canal Trade and Main Users

Size of Locks and Vessels

Influence on Ship Design and Orders

• From Panamax to the new Panamax (Post-Panamax)

• Orders for container ships in the 10,000 TEU+ range

• Dry bulk demand not (yet) affected• Liquid bulk (oil, LNG) ships specifically

designed for the new Channel• Breathes new life into smaller container ships

Influence on the Design of Logistics Systems (Supply Chains)

• Consider the growing distribution center investment “behind” EC ports

• Service to and from many new ports• Implications for market access• Offers the “greenest” routing to and from

ports served through the Canal

For Asia-USEC, the All-Water route is still the cheapest; but transshipment is not that far behind in terms of cost.

Using an 8000 TEU ship dramatically expands the accessible market from USEC ports.

Impact of Expansion on Container Services (Lines Perspective)

Panama Provides Easy Access to Consumers Located in Latin America, the Caribbean, North America, Asian,

and European Markets

The Expansion Will Provide for Economies of Scale that Will Make the Route More Competitive and Will Enhance the

Benefits of Doing Transshipments in the Country

Panama: Only Port of the World With Terminals in Two Oceans

Caribbean Transshipment Triangle

Questions?