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The Economy in Israel
Ministry of FinanceJune 2012
Outline of the Deficit2013-2020
2
Budget DeficitIsrael and selected countries, 2011-2012
3Source: IMF, Ministry of Finance.
GermanyIsraelFranceSpainGreeceUnited Kingdom
United States
Simulated Outline of Debt-to-Product RatioBased on the Deficit and Expenditure Outline
4
New outline – 3.5% average growth
New outline – 4.0% average growth
Year 2011 - Summary
Growth4.8%
Unemployment (based on the new index*)7.0%
Income from taxes (NIS billions)211.3
Deficit (percentage of product)3.3%
Debt (percentage of product)74.2%
5
* The recent amendment of the method of the workforce survey by the Central Bureau of Statistics resulted in an upward adjustment of unemployment rates.
Projection for 2012
6
Growth3.2%
Income from taxes (NIS billions)221
Deficit (percentage of product)3.4%
Debt (percentage of product)73.8%
Product Growth2008-2011
0.8%
4.8%
4.0%
4.8%
0%
2%
4%
6%
2008 2009 2010 2011
7Source: Central Bureau of Statistics.
Product Growth – Global Comparison2011-2012
Source: OECD, Central Bureau of Statistics.
8
Germ
any
China
Chile
Israe
l
Korea
Brazil
Austra
lia
United
State
sFra
nce
United
Kingdo
m Japa
n
Increase in Real Investments2008-2012
9
Between the years 2010-2011, the volume of investments grew by some 33%.
Source: OECD, Central Bureau of Statistics.* The projection for 2012 is based on OECD data.
Increase in Real Investments, Global Comparison2011
10
Germ
any
China
Chile
Israe
lKor
ea
Austra
liaUnit
ed
State
sFra
nce
United
Kingdo
mJa
pan
Source: OECD, Central Bureau of Statistics.China – based on IMF data.
Unemployment and Rate of Participation
The high growth rates recorded in the economy and the reduction in transfer payments since 2003 increased the rate of participation
11
Right axisRate of participation
Left axisUnemployment rate
Unemployment Rate2008-2012
12
United States Eurozone (12 countries) Israel
The data for 2012 are the existing available data, and in Israel are based on the new index.Source: BLS, CBS, EUROSTAT.
Creation of Jobs in IsraelIncrease in the Number of the Employed and of Available
Jobs, in Thousands
13
S&P Credit RatingIsrael and Western Europe, 2010-2012
CountryCurrent ratingChange in rating
AustriaAA+
ItalyBBB+
IrelandBBB+4X
BelgiumAA
United KingdomAAA=
GermanyAAA=
The NetherlandsAAA=
GreeceCC12X
IsraelA+
SpainBBB+
PortugalBB5X
FranceAA+
SwedenAAA=
14* An arrow represents the rise or decline of the rating by one level.
Real Rate of Product Growth 1970-2011
15* Includes an updated projection for 2012 at the rate of 3.2%.
16
Average growth
3.6%
* Updated projection.
Real Rate of Product Growth 2002-2012
Share of the Workforce* in the Population2009-2029
17
* Population of ages 15-65.Source: Demographic projections of CBS, analyses by Economics and Research Division.