Macro Production Growth

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    MACROECONOMICS

    Production and growth

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    How productivity is determined?

    The standard of living in an economydepends on the economys ability to

    produce goods and services.Productivity, in turn, depends on theamount of physical capital, humancapital, natural resources and

    technological knowledge available toworkers.

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    Contd. Physical capital: The stock of equipment and

    structures that are used to produce goods andservices is called physical capital or just capital.

    Human capital: The knowledge and skills that workers

    acquires through education, training and experience.Like physical capital human capital raises theeconomies ability to produce goods and services.

    Natural resources: The inputs into the production ofgoods and services that are provided by nature, such

    as land, rivers and mineral deposits. Technological knowledge: Societys understanding of

    the best ways to produce goods and services.

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    Economic growth and public policy: Government policy can try to

    influence the economys growth ratein many ways, by encouragingsavings and investment, encouraginginvestment from abroad, fosteringeducation, maintaining propertyrights and political stability, allowing

    free trade, promoting the researchand development of new technologiesand controlling population growth.

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    For a closed economy:

    Y = C + I + G

    --H

    ouseholds consume some of the economys output-- Firms and households use some of the output for

    investment

    -- The govt. buys some of the output for public purposes

    We want to see how GDP is allocated among thesethree uses.

    What determines the demand for

    goods and services?

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    Consumption (c) Disposable income: Y T

    Households divide their disposable

    income between consumption andsaving.

    We assume that the level ofconsumption depends directly on thelevel of disposable income

    C = C (Y-T)

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    Consumption (C) Marginal Propensity to consumption

    (MPC):

    This implies the amount by whichconsumption changes whendisposable income increases by onedollar (taka).

    0 < MPC < 1

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    Consumption Function (c)The consumptionfunctionrelatesconsumption Cto disposable

    income Y T.MPC is theamount bywhichconsumptionincreases whendisposable

    incomeincreases byone taka.

    MPC

    Disposable income (Y-T)

    Consumption,C

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    Investment Function (I) The investment

    function relates thequantity of investmentI to the real interestrate r.

    Investment depends onthe real interest ratebecause the interestrate is the cost ofborrowing.

    The investmentfunction slopes

    downward. When theinterest rate rises,fewer investmentprojects are profitable.

    Quantity of investment,I

    Real interest rate, r

    Investment

    function,I(r)

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    Government Purchases (G) G is the third component of DD for good &

    services.

    Purchases for defense

    Services of government employees

    Spending on infrastructure development

    G = T Balance Budget

    G>T Budget deficit G < T Budget surplus

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    Equilibrium in the goods marketY = C + I + G

    C = C (Y T)

    I = I (r)

    G = GT = T

    Combining, Y = C (Y T) + I (r) + G

    As G and T are fixed by policy,

    Y = C (Y T) + I (r) + G

    This equation states that the supply of output equals its demand

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    Saving & Investment

    In the National Income Accounts: National income accounting identities

    reveal some important relationshipsamong macroeconomic variables. In

    particular for a closed economy, nationalsaving must equals investment.Financial institution are the mechanismthrough which the economy matches

    one persons saving with anotherpersons investment.

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    Equilibrium in the financial marketY C G = I

    S = I (S National saving)

    S = Private saving + public saving= (Y T C) + (T G) = I

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    Equilibrium in the financial market The interest rate adjusts

    to bring saving andinvestment into balance.The vertical linerepresents saving the

    supply of loanablefunds.

    The downward slopingline representsinvestmentdemand

    for loanable funds.

    The interesction of thesetwo lines determines theequilibrium interestrates.

    I(r)

    Sr

    I, S

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    Changes in saving:

    The effects of fiscal policy (G, T) The increase in G causes

    interest rate to increase andinvestment to decrease.Decrease in T will have thesame effect

    When government budgetdeficit crowds out investment(i.e. fall in investment

    because of governmentborrowing is called crowingout), it reduces the growth of

    productivity and GDP.

    A decrease in tax raisesdisposable income by T,consumption goes up byMPC x T. National savingfalls by the same amount asconsumption rises. So,supply of loanable funds shiftto the left, which increasesthe interest rate and crowsout investment.

    r1

    r2

    S1

    S2

    I(r)

    I, S

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    Changes in saving:

    The effects of fiscal policy (G, T) Government budget

    surpluses work just the

    opposite as budget deficit.

    Thus , a budget surplus (i.e.

    T > G) increases the supplyof loan able funds, reduces

    the interest rate, and

    stimulates investment.

    Higher investment, in turn,

    means greater capitalaccumulation and more

    rapid economic growth.

    r1

    r2

    S1

    S2

    I(r)

    I, S