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Mainstreaming social inclusion seminar - 26 April 2004
Developing measures of spatial deprivation in Northern Ireland
Robert Beatty
Targeting needTargeting need
“New Targeting Social Need is about identifying people and areas in greatest need in our society and trying to ensure that government programmes are more effective in helping them.”
Subject - developing measures to inform spatial targeting.
Outline of talkOutline of talk
Part 1 – Description of the spatial measures of deprivation currently used in Northern Ireland
Part 2 – Dissemination of the information and examples of application of the measures
What is required?What is required?
Robust statistical indicatorsRelevant to ‘deprivation’ or ‘disadvantage’Available for all geographic areas
A little historyA little history
1970s – Areas of special social need1980s – Areas of relative social need1990s – Relative deprivation in Northern
Ireland (Robson)
Census of Population
1971 1981 1991 Ten-year cycle Can be using 12 year-old data
Using administrative dataUsing administrative data
Attraction in using administrative dataLow-cost, up-to-date, full coverageHistorical access problems (IT)Also allocating cases to geographic units
(Old) Administrative geography
Electoral Wards(566)
Av. population 3,000
Assembly Areas (Parliamentary
Constituencies)(18)
Local Government
Districts(26)
Size of target areasSize of target areas
Depends on the nature of policy intervention
Major industrial initiative – Local Authority level (Local Area Unit 1 [LAU 1])
Community based – Ward level (Local Area Unit 2 [LAU 2])
Most user interest at Ward level
Deprivation indicatorsDeprivation indicators
As direct as possible a measure of the domain deprivation
Major feature of the deprivation (not experienced by just a few people)
Up-to-date and updateableStatistically robustAvailable and applicable throughout
Northern Ireland
Using administrative dataUsing administrative data
Requirement to link administrative data sets to geographic areas
UK system ‘postcodes’Operated by Post OfficeEvery address has a postcodePostcode covers, on average, 15 households
(Old) Geography
Electoral Wards(566)
Assembly Areas (Parliamentary
Constituencies)(18)
Local Government
Districts(26)
Unit Postcodes ( about 40,000)
Research project 2000-2001Research project 2000-2001
Team from University of Oxford (Mike Noble)
Identify set of indicatorsCombine into measures of deprivationPublished summer 2001
Domains of deprivation
Income Geographical Access
Employment Social Environment
Health Housing
Education
Brought together in measure of multiple deprivation
Income Deprivation: Indicators
People in households receiving – Income Support Income Based Job Seekers Allowance Family Credit Disability Working Allowance (All from DSD, August 1999)
Income Deprivation: Measure
Four benefits non-overlapping System identifies number of people in
household of recipient Simple addition of people in such
households Expressed as percentage of area’s
population Measure is a percentage
Education Deprivation: Indicators
GSCE point score School-leavers not staying-on 17-20 year-olds not applying to HE Year 11 & 12 not in grammar school Absenteeism at secondary level School-leavers with no qualifications Adults with no qualifications
Education Deprivation: Measure
Person or household can experience more than one indicator
Measure created by combining indicators using factor analysis approach
Data reduction method “Weighted average approach”
Measure of multiple deprivation
Measures on 7 domains Desire to have a measure of overall, or
multiple, deprivation Common problem – how to give relative
importance to domains Weights subject to agreement
WeightingIncome Deprivation 25%Employment Deprivation 25%Health & Disability Deprivation 15%Education, Skills & Training 15%Geographical Access 10%Housing Deprivation 5%Social Environment 5%
Criteria - Priority Order- Robustness
Interpreting multiple Interpreting multiple deprivation rankingsdeprivation rankings
Domain Ladybrook Brookeborough
Multiple 171 172
Income 144 167
Employment 158 255
Health 119 181
Education 233 390
Access 516 27
Housing 424 46
Social Environ. 63 478
Pockets of DeprivationPockets of Deprivation
Used the geography of the 1991 CensusCensus Enumeration DistrictsTypical population about 450 peopleIdentify pockets of deprivationIncome domain and Employment domain
(Old) Geography
Electoral Wards(566)
Census EDs (3729)
Assembly Areas (Parliamentary
Constituencies)(18)
Local Government
Districts(26)
Unit Postcodes (c40,000) –search only
What information is available?What information is available?
Each ward scored and ranked on 7 domains of deprivation, plus a multiple measure
Enumeration District scores on the two most important, and robust, domains (pockets of deprivation)
A number of summary statistics at LGD level
Use of the measuresUse of the measures
Commended for use by all departments for spatial targeting
NISRA recommendation is to use the targeting tool most appropriate for the programme – need not be Noble
Spatial only one aspect of targeting
Targeting and monitoringTargeting and monitoring
Noble measures are the preferred tools for targeting
Composite measures not well-suited to monitoring change
For monitoring, use individual indicatorsNeighbourhood Statistics system (later)
Updating the measuresUpdating the measures
Published in 2001Data refer to mid 1999More up-to-date data available now2001 CensusNew research underwayPublication early 2005
In part two ….In part two ….
Applying the measuresDisseminating the informationLinkages to other statisticsExamples of applications
Spatial measures of deprivation
Part 2 – Dissemination and application
Robert Beatty
Information about deprivationInformation about deprivation
Internet main dissemination toolHard copy reportHard copy User guideSeries of presentations and seminars
Neighbourhood Information Neighbourhood Information System (NINIS)System (NINIS)
NISRA’s online Geographical Information System
Ward-level statistical informationIncludes deprivation outputsInteractive mapping facilitywww.ninis.nisra.gov.uk
Neighbourhood Information Neighbourhood Information System (NINIS)System (NINIS)
Demonstration
Application of the measuresApplication of the measures- comments- comments
No ‘master list’ of deprived wardsApplication appropriate to the policyPromoting the use of the domains
Applications of the measures - Applications of the measures - examplesexamples
International Fund for IrelandStamp Duty ReliefPEACE II allocations to LSPs
International Fund for IrelandInternational Fund for Ireland
Non-government body that targets deprivation with an emphasis on labour market
Used multiple deprivation measure and employment deprivation
Historically targeted about one-third of Northern Ireland, using wards
International Fund for IrelandInternational Fund for Ireland
Identified 175 most deprived wards on multiple deprivation measure and similarly on employment deprivation
Wards qualified on either / or basisTarget list of 197 wardsAugmented by small number of deprived
EDs in 34 non-designated wards
Stamp duty reliefStamp duty relief
Stamp duty charged on house purchases over £60,000 in UK
UK initiative to encourage deprived areas – no stamp duty up to £150,000
Applies to 10% worst wards throughout UKNI wards defined by the measure of
multiple deprivation
PEACE II allocationsPEACE II allocations
Resources from Priority 3 of the PEACE II Operational Programme
Requirement to allocate resources to 26 Local Strategy Partnerships (LSPs)
Guidelines state that resources should be allocated on the basis of a formula based on “population weighted by deprivation”
PEACE II allocationsPEACE II allocations
Allocations to LSPs based on: - 1/3 - ‘most deprived areas’ 1/3 - ‘number of deprived people’ 1/3 - population
Most deprived areasMost deprived areas
The most deprived 10% of EDs across Northern Ireland used for allocation.
Strabane has 16 EDs among the 10% most deprived, with 3.7% of the population
Use of EDs allows pockets of deprivation to contribute
Measured using a combination of Income and Employment domains
Most deprived areasMost deprived areas
LGD Deprived EDs
Population Population share (%)
Cookstown 6 2,100 1.1
Dungannon 4 1,400 0.8
Fermanagh 3 700 0.4
Limavady 3 1,800 1.0
Magherafelt - - -
Strabane 16 6.900 3.7
N Ireland 373 185,700 100
Defining deprived areasDefining deprived areasPercentage of EDs defined as deprived
Fermanagh’s share of population
Derry’s share of population
10 0.4 20.9
20 1.8 15.1
30 2.0 12.0
40 2.8 11.1
50 3.5 10.2
100 3.4 6.3
Scale of deprivationScale of deprivation
‘Most deprived areas’ approach can be criticised as excluding deprived people outside deprived areas
Scale of deprivation counts all ‘deprived’ people within an LGD - need count data to use this method
Can use income and employment domains Dungannon has 3.45% of income deprived people
in Northern Ireland Similar exercise for employment deprivation
Scale of deprivation - incomeScale of deprivation - income
LGD Number of income deprived
Share of income deprived (%)
Cookstown 10,900 2.4
Dungannon 16,100 3.5
Fermanagh 17,000 3.7
Limavady 9,700 2.1
Magherafelt 11,400 2.4
Strabane 15,400 3.3
N Ireland 466,500 100
Population sharePopulation share
Relatively straightforwardFermanagh has 3.39% of the Northern
Ireland population so gets 3.39% of the resources
Population sharesPopulation shares
LGD Population Population
share (%)
Cookstown 31,600 1.9
Dungannon 48,500 2.9
Fermanagh 57,600 3.4
Limavady 31,900 1.9
Magherafelt 39,300 2.3
Strabane 37,800 2.2
N Ireland 1,697,800 100
Example - LisburnExample - Lisburn
PEACE II had £74m to distribute£24.7 m on each of three basesDeprived areasDeprived people(Half using income deprived, half using
income deprived)Population
Example - LisburnExample - Lisburn Deprived areas – Lisburn has 5.6 % of population living
in the worst EDs in Northern Ireland, so receives £1.38m (5.6% of £24.7m)
Deprived people – Lisburn has 5.4% of income deprived persons, so receives £0.67m (5.4% of £12.35m)
Deprived people – Lisburn has 5.0% of employment deprived persons, so receives £0.62m (5.0% of £12.35m)
Population – Lisburn has 6.58% of NI population, so receives £1.62m (6.58% of £24.7m)
So Lisburn receives £4.3m in total
ConclusionConclusionWidespread dissemination of the researchUse of the internet as the main toolProactive organisation of seminarsPublication of guidanceWidely used by government and beyond
The EndThe End