Mainstreet - Panama Papers

8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Panama Papers

1/24

Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,513 Canadians by Smart IVR™ on April 6th, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cell ph

were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 1.95%, 19 times out of 20. Regional margins of error: Atlantic (ATL): +/-5.46%; Quebec (+/-4.03%; Ontario (ON): +/-4.01%; Prairies: +/-5.39%; Alberta: +/- 5.41%; BC: +/- 5.28%; 19 times out of 20. Results w

weighed by geography, age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

METHODOLOGY

THE PANAMA PAPERS


2/24

81% SAY THE RICH ARE NOT PAYING THEIR FAIR SHARE

April 9, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds 81% of Canadians do not believe thich are paying their fair share. The survey on tax avoidance and tax evasion comes after the publicatio

of the Panama Papers, an unprecedented leak of files from the database of a major international law fiThe Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.95%, 19 times out of 20.

It's pretty clear from these numbers that Canadians don't believe the one percent are paying their fair

hare of taxes,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “Over 80 percent of Canadiansbelieve they are not paying their fair share in fact, with just 10% believing they do and almost another 1unsure. It's unclear whether people believe the wealth of the 1 percenters has influence on political parbut when asked which party is likeliest to be influenced by them, 34% said the Conservatives, followed

Liberals at 21%, the NDP at 17%, just 6% were not sure”.

Over 6 in 10 Canadians also believe that offshore tax havens are very damaging to the Canadian

economy. Experts estimate there is over $100 billion in assets in these foreign tax havens that cost theederal government an estimated $7.8 billion in revenues every year. “

There is a public sentiment against wealth, and the perception of influence it buys. Recent revelations

he Panama papers show a pattern of tax avoidance and evasion that confirms what many people belieabout the super-rich and that is driving these results.”

It should also be noted that these numbers reveal some lack of financial literacy in the distinction

between tax avoidance and tax evasion. Tax avoidance is the reduction of taxes paid through legal me

Deductions that could include RRSPs, TFSAs, transit and childcare expense deductions. Further researwould be required to determine to what extent the literacy plays in to these opinions. It's likely that to

ome extent, people feel the tax system has more deductions for those who make more,” finished Mag

About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of

government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public

opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in BritColumbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate pollingfirm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet wahe only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Available for Interview from Ottawa: Quito Maggi, [email protected]

For more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protecteby copyright. The information and/or data may onlybe rebroadcast or republished with full and propercredit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.


3/24

Some Canadians utilize legal methods to minimize t

amount of taxes they pay. This is known as tavoidance. In your opinion, how acceptable is it legally avoid paying taxes?

Completely Acceptable Very Acceptable Moderately Acceptable

Not SureSlightly Acceptable Not At All Acceptable

7%

11%

29%

31%

17%

5%


4/24

Completely Acceptable

Very Acceptable

Moderately Acceptable

Slightly Acceptable

Not At All Acceptable

Not Sure

Sample

18-34

4%

10%

31%

32%

19%

4%

391

35-49

7%

11%

29%

31%

18%

5%

494

50-64

9%

11%

29%

31%

15%

6%

778

65+

9%

13%

29%

29%

15%

5%

850

Male

10%

12%

28%

28%

16%

5%

1195

Fema

4%

10%

30%

33%

18%

5%

1318

Completely Acceptable

Very Acceptable

Moderately Acceptable

Slightly Acceptable


Not Sure

Sample

BC

5%

9%

23%

39%

19%

6%

344

AB

7%

11%

33%

28%

16%

5%

328

Prairies

9%

12%

31%

28%

15%

5%

331

ON

9%

12%

30%

27%

16%

5%

598

QC

5%

9%

30%

32%

20%

3%

590

ATL

5%

13%

26%

36%

14%

5%

322

Some Canadians utilize legal methods to minimize tamount of taxes they pay. This is known as t

avoidance. In your opinion, how acceptable is it legally avoid paying taxes?


5/24

And have you ever done anything to legally avo

paying taxes?

11%

81%

8%

Yes No Not Sure


6/24

Yes

No

Not Sure

18-34

7%

84%

9%

35-49

10%

81%

9%

50-64

13%

80%

7%

65+

15%

79%

6%

Male

14%

78%

8%

Fema

8%

84%

8%

Yes

No

Not Sure

BC

12%

80%

8%

AB

12%

80%

8%

Prairies

12%

79%

9%

ON

12%

81%

7%

QC

7%

85%

8%

ATL

12%

80%

9%

And have you ever done anything to legally avo

paying taxes?


7/24

If you were offered a chance to legally avoid paying

taxes how likely is it you would participate?

7%

9%

13%

7%

60%

4%

Completely Likely Very Likely Moderately Likely

Not SureSlightly Likely Not At All Likely


8/24

Completely Likely

Very Likely

Moderately Likely

Slightly Likely

Not At All Likely

Not Sure

18-34

7%

8%

13%

6%

60%

5%

35-49

5%

10%

12%

7%

61%

4%

50-64

7%

10%

14%

6%

58%

4%

65+

8%

7%

13%

9%

61%

2%

Male

8%

10%

12%

7%

60%

3%

Fema

6%

8%

14%

7%

61%

5%

Completely Likely

Very Likely

Moderately Likely

Slightly Likely

Not At All Likely

Not Sure

BC

7%

10%

12%

8%

59%

5%

AB

7%

8%

14%

7%

58%

5%

Prairies

8%

9%

9%

8%

61%

4%

ON

8%

10%

15%

6%

58%

3%

QC

5%

7%

10%

9%

65%

4%

ATL

8%

9%

13%

7%

59%

4%

If you were offered a chance to legally avoid paying

taxes how likely is it you would participate?


9/24

In Canada, the very rich, sometimes known as the 1

earn an average income of over $454,000 a yeaThinking about most Canadian politicians, hoinfluenced do you think they are by the 1 percent?

Not SureNot At All Influenced

Very Influenced Somewhat Influenced Not Too Influenced

29%

15%

19%

14%

23%


10/24

Very Influenced

Somewhat Influenced

Not Too Influenced

Not At All Influenced

Not Sure

18-34

30%

15%

19%

14%

23%

35-49

28%

16%

20%

13%

23%

50-64

27%

15%

19%

15%

23%

65+

31%

13%

19%

14%

23%

Male

30%

15%

16%

14%

24%

Fema

27%

15%

22%

14%

22%

Very Influenced

Somewhat Influenced

Not Too Influenced

Not At All Influenced

Not Sure

BC

29%

15%

24%

8%

24%

AB

22%

12%

36%

5%

24%

Prairies

25%

13%

12%

22%

28%

ON

31%

16%

15%

17%

21%

QC

31%

15%

19%

13%

22%

ATL

23%

14%

17%

17%

29%

In Canada, the very rich, sometimes known as the 1

earn an average income of over $454,000 a yeaThinking about most Canadian politicians, hoinfluenced do you think they are by the 1 percent?


11/24

Which political party do you think is the mo

influenced by the very rich, or 1 percent?

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

L

i b e r a l

N D P

C P C

G r e e n

B Q

N o

t S u r e

2 1 %

1 7 %

3 4 %

7 %

1 5 %

6 %

UndecidedNDP CPCLiberal Green


12/24

Liberal Party

Conservative Party

NDP

Green Party

Bloc Québécois

Not Sure

18-34

17%

41%

13%

7%

18%

5%

35-49

20%

35%

17%

7%

15%

6%

50-64

24%

30%

21%

6%

12%

7%

65+

19%

39%

16%

7%

14%

6%

Male

23%

29%

18%

7%

16%

6%

Fema

19%

39%

16%

7%

14%

6%

Liberal Party

Conservative Party

NDP

Green Party

Bloc Québécois

Not Sure

BC

15%

38%

21%

6%

14%

6%

AB

25%

22%

25%

5%

18%

5%

Prairies

27%

21%

18%

8%

18%

7%

ON

21%

33%

16%

8%

16%

6%

QC

23%

40%

14%

7%

11%

6%

ATL

14%

42%

13%

7%

17%

7%

Which political party do you think is the mo



13/24

Which political party do you think is the leainfluenced by the very rich, or 1 percent?

60

55

50

45

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

Liberal NDP CPC Green BQ UD

1 1 %

1 7 %

6 %

6 0 % 3

% 3 %

UndecidedNDP CPCLiberal Green


14/24

Which political party do you think is the lea


Liberal Party

Conservative Party

NDP

Green Party

Bloc Québécois

Not Sure

18-34

9%

18%

4%

62%

4%

3%

35-49

15%

17%

5%

58%

2%

3%

50-64

10%

17%

8%

60%

2%

3%

65+

11%

15%

8%

60%

3%

3%

Male

10%

18%

7%

57%

4%

3%

Fema

12%

16%

5%

63%

2%

3%

Liberal Party

Conservative Party

NDP

Green Party

Bloc Québécois

Not Sure

BC

14%

24%

5%

54%

2%

3%

AB

11%

12%

7%

65%

2%

3%

Prairies

11%

17%

9%

57%

2%

3%

ON

12%

19%

5%

60%

1%

3%

QC

7%

12%

8%

63%

8%

3%

ATL

14%

17%

6%

57%

3%

3%


15/24

Do you think the 1 percent in Canada are paying thefair share?

10%

81%

9%

Yes No Not Sure


16/24

Do you think the 1 percent in Canada are paying the

fair share?

Yes

No

Not Sure

18-34

8%

82%

10%

35-49

10%

81%

9%

50-64

11%

80%

8%

65+

11%

81%

8%

Male

12%

80%

8%

Fema

8%

82%

10%

Yes

No

Not Sure

BC

9%

82%

9%

AB

12%

78%

10%

Prairies

12%

80%

8%

ON

10%

80%

10%

QC

9%

83%

8%

ATL

9%

83%

9%


17/24

29%

22%15%

9%

3%

3%

11%

8%

Cayman Panama Switzerland Virgin Islands Maldives

Sweden Other Not Sure

Which ountry do you most closely associate with ta

avoidance or tax evasion?


18/24

Which country do you most closely associate with t

avoidance or tax evasion?

Cayman Islands

Panama

Switzerland

Virgin Islands

Maldives

Sweden

A Different Country

Not Sure

BC

30%

23%

14%

9%

3%

4%

11%

8%

AB

28%

21%

16%

13%

2%

2%

10%

7%

Prairies

29%

21%

16%

9%

4%

2%

11%

8%

ON

30%

21%

16%

8%

4%

3%

10%

8%

QC

28%

24%

14%

9%

2%

3%

12%

9%

ATL

29%

20%

14%

12%

2%

4%

12%

8%

Cayman Islands

Panama

Switzerland

Virgin Islands

Maldives

Sweden

A Different Country

Not Sure

18-34

33%

20%

16%

11%

2%

3%

6%

9%

35-49

28%

20%

15%

8%

3%

3%

15%

8%

50-64

28%

23%

15%

8%

3%

3%

12%

8%

65+

27%

24%

14%

9%

4%

3%

11%

7%

Male

28%

19%

17%

11%

3%

3%

11%

7%

Fema

30%

24%

13%

8%

3%

3%

11%

9%


19/24

61%15%

8%

3%

13%

Not SureNot At All Damaging

Very Damaging Somewhat Damaging Not Too Damaging

Some financial analysts estimate that offshore ta

havens cost the federal treasury as much as $7.8 billioin lost tax revenues annually. How damaging do yo

think the use of offshore tax havens is to the country


20/24

Very Damaging

Somewhat Damaging

Not Too Damaging

Not At All Damaging

Not Sure

18-34

62%

16%

5%

3%

13%

35-49

61%

15%

8%

3%

14%

50-64

61%

14%

9%

3%

13%

65+

60%

14%

10%

3%

13%

Male

58%

16%

8%

3%

14%

Fema

63%

14%

8%

3%

12%

Very Damaging

Somewhat Damaging

Not Too Damaging

Not At All Damaging

Not Sure

BC

60%

14%

9%

3%

14%

AB

60%

14%

12%

2%

11%

Prairies

61%

16%

9%

4%

10%

ON

61%

15%

8%

3%

13%

QC

62%

15%

6%

3%

14%

ATL

61%

17%

6%

3%

12%

Some financial analysts estimate that offshore ta

havens cost the federal treasury as much as $7.8 billioin lost tax revenues annually. How damaging do yo

think the use of offshore tax havens is to the country


21/24

SCRIPT

Some Canadians utilize legal methods to minimize the amount of taxes they pay. This is known as ta

avoidance. In your opinion, how acceptable is it to legally avoid paying taxes?

Completely AcceptableVery Acceptable

Moderately AcceptableSlightly Acceptable


Not Sure

And have you ever done anything to legally avoid paying taxes?

Yes

NoNot Sure

If you were offered a chance to legally avoid paying taxes how likely is it you would participate?

Completely Likely

Very LikelyModerately Likely

Slightly LikelyNot At All Likely

Not Sure

In Canada, the very rich, sometimes known as the 1%, earn an average income of over $454,000 a yeThinking about most Canadian politicians, how influenced do you think they are by the 1 percent?

Most Canadian Politicians are very influenced by the 1 percentMost Canadian Politicians are somewhat influenced by the 1 percent

Most Canadian Politicians are not too influenced by the 1 percentMost Canadian Politicians are not at all influenced by the 1 percent

Not Sure

Which political party do you think is the most influenced by the very rich, or 1 percent?

Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauConservative Party led by Rona AmbroseNDP Led by Tom Mulcair

Green Party led by Elizabeth MayBloc Québécois led by Rheal Fortin

Undecided


22/24

SCRIPT

Which political party do you think is the least influenced by the very rich, or 1 percent?

Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauConservative Party led by Rona Ambrose

NDP Led by Tom MulcairGreen Party led by Elizabeth May

Bloc Québécois led by Rheal FortinUndecided

Do you think the 1 percent in Canada are paying their fair share?

Yes

No

Not Sure

Which country do you most closely associate with tax avoidance or tax evasion?

Cayman IslandsPanama

SwitzerlandVirgin Islands

Maldives

SwedenA Different Country

Not Sure

Some financial analysts estimate that offshore tax havens cost the federal treasury as much as $7.8

billion in lost tax revenues annually. How damaging do you think the use of offshore tax havens is to

country?

Very DamagingSomewhat Damaging

Not Too DamagingNot At All Damaging

Not Sure


23/24

ONLY WE

CALLED

THELIBERAL

MAJORITY

Mainstreet Research | 132−2255B Queen Street East

| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada

“I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because it’s an interviewwith a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Pub

Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such confidence, a weekbefore we voted.

Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 20in defiance of the majority of the polls.

His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanatiofor how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running

political campaign.” - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015


24/24

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all thrlevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadi

public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liber

government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet h

been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal major

government in the 2015 federal election.

CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE

mainstreetresearch ca

TWITTER

@MainStResearch

FACEBOOK

fb com/mainstresearch

Documents

Mainstreet - Panama Papers