Upload
others
View
4
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Making a Difference Through Manufacturing
Driving Growth,
Creating Higher Productivity Jobs,
Enabling Shared Prosperity
The IFC Approach
October, 2014
2
I. Manufacturing Market Drivers
II. Development Impact of Manufacturing
III. IFC Experience
IV. Chemicals and Fertilizers-Key Manufacturing Sector
V. How We Finance Projects
CONTENTS
3
0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.70.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
0.3 0.4 0.5 0.60.7
0.81.0
1.21.4
1.7 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.9 5.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
19
50
19
55
19
60
19
65
19
70
19
75
19
80
19
85
19
90
19
95
20
00
20
05
20
10
20
15
20
20
20
25
20
30
20
35
20
40
20
45
20
50
World Urban and Rural Population(Billion)
Urban Developing
Urban Developed
Rural Developing
Rural Developed
Source: World Bank
Population Growth & Urbanization in Emerging Markets
Manufacturing Market Drivers
4
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2009 2020
Num
ber o
f Mid
dle
Cla
ss (
billi
ons)
Global Middle Class by region, 2009-2020
Middle East and North Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
Asia Pacific
Central and South America
Europe
North America
Source: World Bank
Which in Turn Drives Their Growing Middle Class
Manufacturing Market Drivers
5
Source: McKinsey & Company
Penetr
ati
on (
%)
Household penetration by country
Take off point Saturation point Per capita income $ thousand, PPP
Refrigerator Washing machine
Demand for Manufactured Goods Rises Sharply With Incomes
Global market growth
concentrated in
emerging markets
where incomes rising
the fastest
Manufacturing Market Drivers
Manufacturing is a Key Engine of Economic Growth Association between growth in manufacturing
value added and GDP growth (2000-2005)
Source: “Role of manufacturing in Development” (Adam Eddy Szirmai), UNIDO Industrial development report (2009); MGI Manufacturing the Future
Inputs into the Manufacturing Strategy: Development Impact of Manufacturing
6
Growth of Manufacturing Value Added is a major
determinant of GDP growth across a broad range
of countries. Manufacturing growth has a
correlation of 0.75 with GDP growth.
Manufacturing’s Share of output and employment
rises as income rises through middle income
levels, then declines at higher income levels as
services growth dominates.
IFC Engagement
Development Impact of Manufacturing
Entry to Formal Economy
Manufacturing can absorb large
numbers of workers with
limited skills, providing them
with stable jobs, including
opportunities to acquire new
skills, especially for women in
some sectors.
Higher Wages
Labor productivity and
earnings tend to be
substantially higher in
manufacturing than in the rest
of the economy, enabling
higher wages and benefits.
Increasing Incomes
Manufacturing is an “escalator
activity:” once an industry is
established, productivity tends to
rise rapidly towards that industry’s
technology frontier, these dynamic
productivity gains sustain further
increases in wages.
Indirect Employment Impact
Manufacturing has a higher employment multiplier than Agriculture or Services, creating more indirect/induced jobs.
Manufacturing Makes Unique Contribution to Employment
7
IFC Clients Sector, Country Direct Jobs
Indirect Jobs
Multiplier
Ecogreen Chemicals, Indonesia 177 3,646 21
OCL Cement, India 293 7,156 24
Safal Steel, Africa 4,200 24,000 6
The IFC Jobs Study case analyses in
Manufacturing illustrate the high
multiplier effects on indirect and
induced job creation. The direct jobs
in the companies were in higher
skilled categories.
Source: D. Rodrik, “Unconditional Convergence in Manufacturing,” 2012; MAS-CDI microcase studies on job creation
Development Impact of Manufacturing
Manufacturing has a Changing Role as Economies Grow
Manufacturing Strategy
Small industrial base, <10% of GDP/Employment, Local market orientation
Large informal activity in small scale manufacturing
Establishment of formal, large scale manufacturing in isolated sectors where competitive (basic
industries) has impact on market development, linkage and spillover effects, and limited
employment impact
Low-Capabilities Stage
(primarily Agrarian)
Industrial base grows to become 10-20% of GDP and employment; broader range of industries
becomes competitive
Growing consumer markets drive simple manufactures growth
Production at scale for regional markets emerges
Labor-intensive light manufacturing can be driver of mass employment provided the country is
competitive in labor cost/productivity, infrastructure, and transport
Medium-Capabilities Stage
(Transforming)
8
Development Impact of Manufacturing
Manufacturing typically >20% of GDP, in some cases up to 25-30%.
Growth of competitive industrial clusters with complex inter-industry linkages, progressively
higher skills, value added and technological sophistication
Manufacturing sector growth drives economic growth; strong export contributor
Increasing skills demands including skilled workers (technical) and professionals (engineering)
Industry competitiveness depends on broad range of factors including infrastructure,
education/skills, market access, depth of cluster and cost levels in related industries, etc.
Industrial Stage
(Urbanized)
Evolution of Manufacturing Investments
9
Steady growth with increasing project size for the past 10-11 years
IFC Experience C
om
mit
ted
Am
ou
nt
(Mil
lio
n $
) #
of P
roje
cts
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
-
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
1.800
2.000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013YTD 4/30
Millo
nes
Manufacturing Committed Amount (IFC Own Account and Mobilization)
Fertilizers Chemicals Textiles, Apparel & Leather
Other Plastics & Rubber Transport Equipment Machinery & Renewables
Other Bldg Mat Metals Glass
Cement # M Projects
10
US$87.5m Risk Sharing
Facility
Ukraine
US$170m
India
US$110m Equity and US$70m
Debt
Tanzania and West Africa
US$25m Debt
Mozambique
US$4b
Global
€ 20m Debt and €5m
Convertible Debt
Yugoslavia
US$25m Debt and US$15m
Concessional Financing
Mexico
Bayer Ukraine Ltd.
Heidelberg Cement Africa Ikea Moscow
BHP Biliton, Mitsubishi,
Industrial Dev. Corp., Gov’t
of Mozambique Joint Venture
Michelin Group Joint Venture with Tigar
Rubber Products Group
Supply Trade Finance Facility “Trade Finance of the Year 2012” award by Euro Money
Global Trade Liquidity
Program
€ 50m Share Issue
Ukraine and Russia
US$15m Debt
Russia
John Deere
Risk Sharing Agreements
Multi-Country
€ 35m Debt
India
Volkswagen India Pvt. Ltd.
EDF La Ventosa
Veolia Voda S.A. A Loan $200MM, B Loan
$125mm
Equity $50MM
Refinancing
Egypt
Select Transactions With Global Clients
IFC Experience
Chemicals & Fertilizers Sector - a Core Manufacturing Sector
11
The chemicals & fertilizers sector is one of the most important
manufacturing sectors
This is a huge industry hidden behind finished products
It supplies intermediates for products and articles in everyday use
Well-developed and highly integrated in North America, Western
Europe and Japan
Growth opportunities in Asia and BRIC countries
It has one of the most significant employment multiplier effects
Chemicals and Fertilizers-Key Manufacturing Sector
Global Chemicals Output ($5,213 bn in 2013, +4.0% on 2012)
12
Chemicals and Fertilizers-Key Manufacturing Sector
Source: ICIS; American Chemistry Council
Asia-paific; 51%
North America; 18%
Latin America; 5%
Western Europe; 20%
Eastern & Central Europe; 3%
Africa & Middle East; 3%
Data includes pharmaceuticals
5.5% increase in
North America
shipments in 2013
Share of Global Chemicals Output ($3,996 bn excl. pharma in 2013, +2.7%)
13
Chemicals and Fertilizers-Key Manufacturing Sector
Source: ICIS; American Chemistry Council
Consumer Products; 11%
Inorganics; 10%
Bulk Petrochemical & Intermediates;
23%
Plastic Resins; 15%
Synthetic Rubber; 1%
Man-made Fibres; 6%
Coatings; 5%
Other Specialties; 16%
Agricultural Chemicals; 12%
Petchems and plastics output
= $1,543bn, +3.5%
14
Chemicals and Fertilizers-Key Manufacturing Sector
Source: Cefic Chemdata International, *Asia excluding China and Japan.
Emerging Markets Show Strength
30,5%
27,7%
9,9%
4,0% 2,8%
4,5% 3,7%
1,9%
17,8% 16,8%
5,6% 4,6% 3,7%
19,1%
30,5%
1,9%
EU-27 NAFTA Japan Latin America Other Europe Rest of Asia* China Rest of theWorld
World Sales 2002: €1,363 billion World Sales 2012: €3,127 billion
15
Chemicals and Fertilizers-Key Manufacturing Sector
Asia Chemicals Sales Dominate
Source: Cefic Chemdata International
China, 952
EU, 558 526
144 60
Rest of Asia, 472
Rest of Europe*, 115
Japan, 176
South Korea, 124
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
1.800
2.000
Asia Europe NAFTA Latin America Rest of the World
World chemicals sales in 2012 are valued at €3,127 billion.
The Europe Union accounts for 17.8% of the total.
*Rest of Europe = Switzerland, Norway and other Central & Eastern Europe
(excluding the new EU-12 countries)
Chemical Sales (Euro Billion)
16
Chemicals and Fertilizers-Key Manufacturing Sector
China - by Far the Largest Chemicals Market in 2012
952
558
175,6 161,1 124,1
82,5 73,1 64,2 63,3 61,1 0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1.000
China USA Japan Germany Korea France Brazil Taiwan Russia India
Source: Cefic Chemdata International
Chemical Sales 2012 (Euro Billion)
Committed Amount by Sector Committed Amount by Region
17
IFC’s Total Investments in the Sector: $1.5Bn in FY13 (including $800M Own Account)
Chemicals and Fertilizers-Key Manufacturing Sector
US$6.5 billions invested (own account)
307 projects
54 countries
Portfolio well diversified across sectors and
geographies, small and large projects
Key Portfolio Features
Chemicals and Fertilizers Strengths of IFC
In-house industry specialists with global experience in the sector and
benchmarking capabilities
Strong regional knowledge with high exposure in fast growing in
emerging markets - Brazil, India, China, Mexico, Russia, Thailand
Expertise on Environmental and Social Best Practices
Promotion of sustainable economic growth and competitiveness with
creation of direct and indirect jobs, know-how transfer
18
Chemicals and Fertilizers-Key Manufacturing Sector
How IFC differs from Other Equity Partners
IFC can provide debt, equity, or a combination of both depending on the client’s needs.
IFC has a longer investment horizon (5-7+ years) and is less cyclical than most financial
investors.
With its equity investments, IFC can act as an “honest broker” in joint venture situations,
give additional comfort for minority shareholders, and be a catalyst for other investors.
Leading multilateral source of development finance – IFC’s breadth of investment
expertise and years of experience in emerging markets add value to its clients.
IFC strong reputation adds credibility to investee companies that access international
capital markets.
Best practice know-how on corporate governance, environmental management, local
communities, and insurance requirements.
19
Chemicals and Fertilizers-Key Manufacturing Sector
20
Sub-Sectors
Petrochemicals
Refineries
Distribution
Specialty Chemicals
Inorganic Chemicals
Fertilizers and Crop protection
Project Type
Greenfield
Expansions
Modernization and rehabilitation
Energy Efficiency
Acquisition financing
Financial restructuring
Improvements in environmental,
health, and safety performance
Distribution and Supplier finance
Projects Financed
Chemicals and Fertilizers-Key Manufacturing Sector
21
IFC Project Solvay/Rhodia - Supplier Finance
IFC’s participation is helping to sustain the financial and physical needs of the guar supply
chain, especially in areas of India, such as the northern region of Rajasthan, where guar
production is largely concentrated. Through the additional working capital provided by the
immediate cash that suppliers receive, IFC is strengthening the value chain by allowing
producers of guar to have several production cycles. IFC facility is enabling Rhodia to
source more guar from its Indian suppliers and is expected to directly benefit over 20,000
farmers. The project won “2012 Deal of The Year” awards from EuroMoney and Trade
and Forfaiting Review.
June, 2012
Location of Project &
Description of Site
Commitment Date
$170 million funded, including $85 million IFC uncommitted participation. Investment
Sponsors & Project
Description
The project is a funded, risk-sharing credit facility issued by BNP Paribas and utilized for
purchases of guar from Indian suppliers by Rhodia, a subsidiary of Solvay International,
one of the world largest specialty chemicals manufacturers. Guar is an agricultural
commodity widely used by the specialty chemicals and food processing industries. Major
price increases of guar in 2012 resulted in a situation in which Rhodia was facing liquidity
issues in its guar procurement and urgently needed a financing solution that was successfully
developed and provided by BNP Paribas and IFC.
Sample Projects
22
Sponsor
Location of Project
Commitment Date
IFC Investment $87.5 million risk sharing facility
Bayer AG is Germany-based pharmaceuticals, polymers and agrochemicals conglomerate
with sales of about €40 billion and EBITDA of about €8.3 billion in 2012. The group’s
structure consists of three divisions: Bayer Healthcare, Bayer CropScience and Bayer
MateriaScience. Bayer CropScience manufactures herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, seed
treatment and seeds.
Bayer Ltd. covers the entire territory of Ukraine via the chain of local distributors.
Project Description
Risk sharing facilities with Raiffeisen Bank Aval and Credit Agricole Bank of up to
US$87.5 million on the portfolio of receivables generated by Bayer Ltd. Ukraine on the
sales of crop-protection products to private sector farmers in Ukraine. The RSF covers a
portfolio of seasonal receivables (with maturities less than 1 year) with a total portfolio
amount of up to US$175 million equivalent in local currency.
April, 2011; March, 2012
Sample Projects
IFC Project Bayer - End Customer Finance
Sponsors
Location of Project
Commitment Date
IFC Investment A Loan of up to US$285M. IFC played a leading role on the Mobilization (B Loan) of up
to US$350 million.
The Project sponsors are Braskem S.A. (“Braskem”) and Grupo Idesa S.A. de C.V. (“Idesa”).
Braskem and Idesa have established Braskem Idesa (the “Company”). Braskem and Idesa will
hold shareholding interests of up to 65% and up to 35%, respectively, in the Company.
Braskem is a listed Brazilian company and a leading thermoplastic resin producer. Idesa is a
privately owned Mexican petrochemical company dedicated to the production of
petrochemical products.
The Project will be located in Nanchital de Lazaro Cardenas, in the state of Veracruz, Mexico.
Project Description
Etileno XXI (the “Project”) consists of the development, construction and commercial
operation of a petrochemical complex in Mexico, composed of one cracker facility to
produce ethylene from ethane, integrated to three polyethylene plants with an aggregate
nominal capacity of 1,050,000 tons per year. Etileno XXI, which is located in Nachital de
Lazaro Cardenas a frontier region of Coatzacoalcos, represents the largest investment in
Mexico’s petrochemical sector in the last 20 years. Access to competitively priced feedstock
will make the Project one of the most competitive in the Americas. The Project seeks to
serve the Mexican polyethylene market, which is rapidly growing and currently being supplied
in part by imports.
December, 2012
Project Cost The total Project cost is estimated at US$4.3 billion.
“2012 Latin American Project Finance Deal of the Year” award by Euro Money
Sample Projects
IFC Project Etileno XXI- Large Exposures
23
2002 Owned by management and employees, KuAz is identified by IFC as one of the few independent players in Russia's Chemicals industry
2003 IFC engages KuAz through IFC Russia Corporate Governance Project (RCGP); KuAz management is receptive to the RCGP recommendations and proceeds with implementation
2005 First IFC $15mm senior loan approved
2008 IFC approves $20mm equity investment in KuAz to support the Company's upcoming IPO planned for 2008 (equity negotiated with a put and a reset)
2009 In the midst of the financial crisis IFC extends $20mm Energy Efficiency loan to support the cost-cutting measures planned by KuAz and targeting improvements in its competitiveness
2012 IFC extends a second EE loan ($10mm) under the Cleaner Production Lending Facility
2014 IFC disburses $75mm A-Loan and $75mm B-Loan for corporate expansion/upgrades that include the construction & operation of a new ammonia plant, a 50:50 JV with Linde Germany
24
Located in Togliatti, Samara region, Kuibyshevazot (KuAz) is the leading Russian
manufacturer of caprolactam (the raw material for synthetic fibers, engineering plastics,
automotive and other downstream products) and one of the top Russian producers of
nitrogenous fertilizers.
Togliatti, Samara region, Russian Federation.
Sponsors
Location of Project
IFC Engagements
Sample Projects
IFC Project Kuibyshevazot - Long Term Partnership
IFC’s Project Cycle
Early
Review
Client needs
determined
Contribution of
project to
development
assessed
Project screened
for potential
risks & issues
Mandate letter
Due
Diligence Negotiation Disclosure
Internal
Approvals and
Commitment
Disbursement
Site visit
Assessment of
business
potential, risks,
opportunities
Financial and
economic
Evaluation
Compliance
with IFC’s
social and
environmental
performance
standards
reviewed
Terms and
conditions of the
IFC investment
Action plan
agreed
Environmental
and social
information
disclosed
Opportunity for
public
comment
Board
consideration
Board approval
Legal review
Signing of legal
documents
Fulfillment of
conditions of
disbursement
IFC funds
disbursed
We Agree on a Specific Timeline to Meet Client’s Needs
25
How We Finance Projects
Approaching IFC
Foreign or Domestic Sponsors
New venture or expansion; private sector majority ownership only
Project must be developmentally sound and commercially viable
Sponsor Commitment is Required
Equity participation; pre-completion support/guarantees
Submit Preliminary Business Plan or Feasibility Study
Brief project description, incl. technical feasibility and market study
Information on sponsors and operator
Environmental studies
Information on requirements, financing plan and cash flow projections
How We Finance Projects
26
27
International
Finance
Corporation
Petro-
chemical
Sector
Activities
Working
with
IFC
Kremena Tenev Andre Laude Principal Investment Officer Chief Investment Officer
Chemicals & Fertilizers Manufacturing & Services
Washington D.C. Paris, France
Phone: 202-458-5466 Phone: 33-1-4069-3180
Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected]
How to Contact us: