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Making Business Sense of Whatrsquos Next
Marketing Research Conference
Ravi Parmeswar Managing Director
Global Consumer and Marketplace Insights Citigroup
Come with me to the Emerald Citi
2
Life was good
3
Then the tornado hit
Housing crisis Banking crisis Global economic crisis
4
Uniquely qualified to talk about change
5
6
Sub-prime lending and credit crisis led to
a global equity market collapse in 2008hellip
Jan-2009
Market value
$ trillionsAnnual Change
Percent
SampP Global 1200 Index
Source Standard amp Poorrsquos
bull SampP Global 1200 index
captures 70 of the
worldrsquos capital market
bull Declines by ~42
( $11 646 trillion)
bull Reversed almost all
of the gains since
2001
205899
162262
180256
220652
262423
278724
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
(500)
(400)
(300)
(200)
(100)
00
100
200
300
400
00
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan-72 Jan-76 Jan-80 Jan-84 Jan-88 Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan-00 Jan-04 Jan-08
Federal Reserves Fund Rate 1972-2008Percent
Source Federal Reserve Board
bull Federal Reserve abandons
its official target rate of 1
bull Fed fund rate now stands
reduced to an
unprecedented 0 to 025
bull Has indicated a shift in its
finance policy to
lsquoquantitative easingrsquo in an
attempt to revive the
economy
bull Near zero rate is expected to
help stabilize housing prices
bull However this could also
weaken the US dollar
US has reduced its Fed fund rate to near zero and
announced a shift in its finance policyhellip
7
Jan-2009
8
Start of World
War I
Russian Revolution
begins
Great Depression and
economic crisis sets in
World War II
begins
United Nations
established
European Economic
Community effective
Oil Crisis began
Fall of Soviet
Union
Early 2000
recession
Subprime and the
credit crisis
Unprecedented in its scale the current crisis will likely result in
generation marking event
1914 1917 1929 1939 1945 1958 1973 1991 2001 2007
Jan-2009
hellip as it together with countries worldwide have
responded with stimulus packages to ease the crisis
and jump start economic growth
9
US ~ $850B
UK $297B
China
$586B
Australia
$74B
South Korea
$113B
Mexico
$58B
Sweden
$18B
Netherlands
$76B
Spain
$14BItaly $8B
India $4B
Japan
$105B
Note As of Dec 18 2008 except US and Germany Information captured is not exhaustive - Expected
France
$33B
Germany
$69B
bull Governments worldwide respond
with a nearly $17 trillion dollars
economic package
bull US is planning a stimulus package of
as much as $850 billion that hopes to
create an impact by favoring long-
term infrastructure and job creation
projects
bull China aims to spend almost $600
billion over the next two years with
the EU pushing a package of around
$250 billion
Source Wall Street Journal news articles
Hungary
$69B
Jan-2009
We represent a strange new land
Welcome to the New Normal
10
Could we have foreseen this
magnitude of change
11
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Come with me to the Emerald Citi
2
Life was good
3
Then the tornado hit
Housing crisis Banking crisis Global economic crisis
4
Uniquely qualified to talk about change
5
6
Sub-prime lending and credit crisis led to
a global equity market collapse in 2008hellip
Jan-2009
Market value
$ trillionsAnnual Change
Percent
SampP Global 1200 Index
Source Standard amp Poorrsquos
bull SampP Global 1200 index
captures 70 of the
worldrsquos capital market
bull Declines by ~42
( $11 646 trillion)
bull Reversed almost all
of the gains since
2001
205899
162262
180256
220652
262423
278724
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
(500)
(400)
(300)
(200)
(100)
00
100
200
300
400
00
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan-72 Jan-76 Jan-80 Jan-84 Jan-88 Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan-00 Jan-04 Jan-08
Federal Reserves Fund Rate 1972-2008Percent
Source Federal Reserve Board
bull Federal Reserve abandons
its official target rate of 1
bull Fed fund rate now stands
reduced to an
unprecedented 0 to 025
bull Has indicated a shift in its
finance policy to
lsquoquantitative easingrsquo in an
attempt to revive the
economy
bull Near zero rate is expected to
help stabilize housing prices
bull However this could also
weaken the US dollar
US has reduced its Fed fund rate to near zero and
announced a shift in its finance policyhellip
7
Jan-2009
8
Start of World
War I
Russian Revolution
begins
Great Depression and
economic crisis sets in
World War II
begins
United Nations
established
European Economic
Community effective
Oil Crisis began
Fall of Soviet
Union
Early 2000
recession
Subprime and the
credit crisis
Unprecedented in its scale the current crisis will likely result in
generation marking event
1914 1917 1929 1939 1945 1958 1973 1991 2001 2007
Jan-2009
hellip as it together with countries worldwide have
responded with stimulus packages to ease the crisis
and jump start economic growth
9
US ~ $850B
UK $297B
China
$586B
Australia
$74B
South Korea
$113B
Mexico
$58B
Sweden
$18B
Netherlands
$76B
Spain
$14BItaly $8B
India $4B
Japan
$105B
Note As of Dec 18 2008 except US and Germany Information captured is not exhaustive - Expected
France
$33B
Germany
$69B
bull Governments worldwide respond
with a nearly $17 trillion dollars
economic package
bull US is planning a stimulus package of
as much as $850 billion that hopes to
create an impact by favoring long-
term infrastructure and job creation
projects
bull China aims to spend almost $600
billion over the next two years with
the EU pushing a package of around
$250 billion
Source Wall Street Journal news articles
Hungary
$69B
Jan-2009
We represent a strange new land
Welcome to the New Normal
10
Could we have foreseen this
magnitude of change
11
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Life was good
3
Then the tornado hit
Housing crisis Banking crisis Global economic crisis
4
Uniquely qualified to talk about change
5
6
Sub-prime lending and credit crisis led to
a global equity market collapse in 2008hellip
Jan-2009
Market value
$ trillionsAnnual Change
Percent
SampP Global 1200 Index
Source Standard amp Poorrsquos
bull SampP Global 1200 index
captures 70 of the
worldrsquos capital market
bull Declines by ~42
( $11 646 trillion)
bull Reversed almost all
of the gains since
2001
205899
162262
180256
220652
262423
278724
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
(500)
(400)
(300)
(200)
(100)
00
100
200
300
400
00
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan-72 Jan-76 Jan-80 Jan-84 Jan-88 Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan-00 Jan-04 Jan-08
Federal Reserves Fund Rate 1972-2008Percent
Source Federal Reserve Board
bull Federal Reserve abandons
its official target rate of 1
bull Fed fund rate now stands
reduced to an
unprecedented 0 to 025
bull Has indicated a shift in its
finance policy to
lsquoquantitative easingrsquo in an
attempt to revive the
economy
bull Near zero rate is expected to
help stabilize housing prices
bull However this could also
weaken the US dollar
US has reduced its Fed fund rate to near zero and
announced a shift in its finance policyhellip
7
Jan-2009
8
Start of World
War I
Russian Revolution
begins
Great Depression and
economic crisis sets in
World War II
begins
United Nations
established
European Economic
Community effective
Oil Crisis began
Fall of Soviet
Union
Early 2000
recession
Subprime and the
credit crisis
Unprecedented in its scale the current crisis will likely result in
generation marking event
1914 1917 1929 1939 1945 1958 1973 1991 2001 2007
Jan-2009
hellip as it together with countries worldwide have
responded with stimulus packages to ease the crisis
and jump start economic growth
9
US ~ $850B
UK $297B
China
$586B
Australia
$74B
South Korea
$113B
Mexico
$58B
Sweden
$18B
Netherlands
$76B
Spain
$14BItaly $8B
India $4B
Japan
$105B
Note As of Dec 18 2008 except US and Germany Information captured is not exhaustive - Expected
France
$33B
Germany
$69B
bull Governments worldwide respond
with a nearly $17 trillion dollars
economic package
bull US is planning a stimulus package of
as much as $850 billion that hopes to
create an impact by favoring long-
term infrastructure and job creation
projects
bull China aims to spend almost $600
billion over the next two years with
the EU pushing a package of around
$250 billion
Source Wall Street Journal news articles
Hungary
$69B
Jan-2009
We represent a strange new land
Welcome to the New Normal
10
Could we have foreseen this
magnitude of change
11
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Then the tornado hit
Housing crisis Banking crisis Global economic crisis
4
Uniquely qualified to talk about change
5
6
Sub-prime lending and credit crisis led to
a global equity market collapse in 2008hellip
Jan-2009
Market value
$ trillionsAnnual Change
Percent
SampP Global 1200 Index
Source Standard amp Poorrsquos
bull SampP Global 1200 index
captures 70 of the
worldrsquos capital market
bull Declines by ~42
( $11 646 trillion)
bull Reversed almost all
of the gains since
2001
205899
162262
180256
220652
262423
278724
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
(500)
(400)
(300)
(200)
(100)
00
100
200
300
400
00
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan-72 Jan-76 Jan-80 Jan-84 Jan-88 Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan-00 Jan-04 Jan-08
Federal Reserves Fund Rate 1972-2008Percent
Source Federal Reserve Board
bull Federal Reserve abandons
its official target rate of 1
bull Fed fund rate now stands
reduced to an
unprecedented 0 to 025
bull Has indicated a shift in its
finance policy to
lsquoquantitative easingrsquo in an
attempt to revive the
economy
bull Near zero rate is expected to
help stabilize housing prices
bull However this could also
weaken the US dollar
US has reduced its Fed fund rate to near zero and
announced a shift in its finance policyhellip
7
Jan-2009
8
Start of World
War I
Russian Revolution
begins
Great Depression and
economic crisis sets in
World War II
begins
United Nations
established
European Economic
Community effective
Oil Crisis began
Fall of Soviet
Union
Early 2000
recession
Subprime and the
credit crisis
Unprecedented in its scale the current crisis will likely result in
generation marking event
1914 1917 1929 1939 1945 1958 1973 1991 2001 2007
Jan-2009
hellip as it together with countries worldwide have
responded with stimulus packages to ease the crisis
and jump start economic growth
9
US ~ $850B
UK $297B
China
$586B
Australia
$74B
South Korea
$113B
Mexico
$58B
Sweden
$18B
Netherlands
$76B
Spain
$14BItaly $8B
India $4B
Japan
$105B
Note As of Dec 18 2008 except US and Germany Information captured is not exhaustive - Expected
France
$33B
Germany
$69B
bull Governments worldwide respond
with a nearly $17 trillion dollars
economic package
bull US is planning a stimulus package of
as much as $850 billion that hopes to
create an impact by favoring long-
term infrastructure and job creation
projects
bull China aims to spend almost $600
billion over the next two years with
the EU pushing a package of around
$250 billion
Source Wall Street Journal news articles
Hungary
$69B
Jan-2009
We represent a strange new land
Welcome to the New Normal
10
Could we have foreseen this
magnitude of change
11
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Uniquely qualified to talk about change
5
6
Sub-prime lending and credit crisis led to
a global equity market collapse in 2008hellip
Jan-2009
Market value
$ trillionsAnnual Change
Percent
SampP Global 1200 Index
Source Standard amp Poorrsquos
bull SampP Global 1200 index
captures 70 of the
worldrsquos capital market
bull Declines by ~42
( $11 646 trillion)
bull Reversed almost all
of the gains since
2001
205899
162262
180256
220652
262423
278724
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
(500)
(400)
(300)
(200)
(100)
00
100
200
300
400
00
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan-72 Jan-76 Jan-80 Jan-84 Jan-88 Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan-00 Jan-04 Jan-08
Federal Reserves Fund Rate 1972-2008Percent
Source Federal Reserve Board
bull Federal Reserve abandons
its official target rate of 1
bull Fed fund rate now stands
reduced to an
unprecedented 0 to 025
bull Has indicated a shift in its
finance policy to
lsquoquantitative easingrsquo in an
attempt to revive the
economy
bull Near zero rate is expected to
help stabilize housing prices
bull However this could also
weaken the US dollar
US has reduced its Fed fund rate to near zero and
announced a shift in its finance policyhellip
7
Jan-2009
8
Start of World
War I
Russian Revolution
begins
Great Depression and
economic crisis sets in
World War II
begins
United Nations
established
European Economic
Community effective
Oil Crisis began
Fall of Soviet
Union
Early 2000
recession
Subprime and the
credit crisis
Unprecedented in its scale the current crisis will likely result in
generation marking event
1914 1917 1929 1939 1945 1958 1973 1991 2001 2007
Jan-2009
hellip as it together with countries worldwide have
responded with stimulus packages to ease the crisis
and jump start economic growth
9
US ~ $850B
UK $297B
China
$586B
Australia
$74B
South Korea
$113B
Mexico
$58B
Sweden
$18B
Netherlands
$76B
Spain
$14BItaly $8B
India $4B
Japan
$105B
Note As of Dec 18 2008 except US and Germany Information captured is not exhaustive - Expected
France
$33B
Germany
$69B
bull Governments worldwide respond
with a nearly $17 trillion dollars
economic package
bull US is planning a stimulus package of
as much as $850 billion that hopes to
create an impact by favoring long-
term infrastructure and job creation
projects
bull China aims to spend almost $600
billion over the next two years with
the EU pushing a package of around
$250 billion
Source Wall Street Journal news articles
Hungary
$69B
Jan-2009
We represent a strange new land
Welcome to the New Normal
10
Could we have foreseen this
magnitude of change
11
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
6
Sub-prime lending and credit crisis led to
a global equity market collapse in 2008hellip
Jan-2009
Market value
$ trillionsAnnual Change
Percent
SampP Global 1200 Index
Source Standard amp Poorrsquos
bull SampP Global 1200 index
captures 70 of the
worldrsquos capital market
bull Declines by ~42
( $11 646 trillion)
bull Reversed almost all
of the gains since
2001
205899
162262
180256
220652
262423
278724
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
(500)
(400)
(300)
(200)
(100)
00
100
200
300
400
00
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan-72 Jan-76 Jan-80 Jan-84 Jan-88 Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan-00 Jan-04 Jan-08
Federal Reserves Fund Rate 1972-2008Percent
Source Federal Reserve Board
bull Federal Reserve abandons
its official target rate of 1
bull Fed fund rate now stands
reduced to an
unprecedented 0 to 025
bull Has indicated a shift in its
finance policy to
lsquoquantitative easingrsquo in an
attempt to revive the
economy
bull Near zero rate is expected to
help stabilize housing prices
bull However this could also
weaken the US dollar
US has reduced its Fed fund rate to near zero and
announced a shift in its finance policyhellip
7
Jan-2009
8
Start of World
War I
Russian Revolution
begins
Great Depression and
economic crisis sets in
World War II
begins
United Nations
established
European Economic
Community effective
Oil Crisis began
Fall of Soviet
Union
Early 2000
recession
Subprime and the
credit crisis
Unprecedented in its scale the current crisis will likely result in
generation marking event
1914 1917 1929 1939 1945 1958 1973 1991 2001 2007
Jan-2009
hellip as it together with countries worldwide have
responded with stimulus packages to ease the crisis
and jump start economic growth
9
US ~ $850B
UK $297B
China
$586B
Australia
$74B
South Korea
$113B
Mexico
$58B
Sweden
$18B
Netherlands
$76B
Spain
$14BItaly $8B
India $4B
Japan
$105B
Note As of Dec 18 2008 except US and Germany Information captured is not exhaustive - Expected
France
$33B
Germany
$69B
bull Governments worldwide respond
with a nearly $17 trillion dollars
economic package
bull US is planning a stimulus package of
as much as $850 billion that hopes to
create an impact by favoring long-
term infrastructure and job creation
projects
bull China aims to spend almost $600
billion over the next two years with
the EU pushing a package of around
$250 billion
Source Wall Street Journal news articles
Hungary
$69B
Jan-2009
We represent a strange new land
Welcome to the New Normal
10
Could we have foreseen this
magnitude of change
11
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
00
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan-72 Jan-76 Jan-80 Jan-84 Jan-88 Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan-00 Jan-04 Jan-08
Federal Reserves Fund Rate 1972-2008Percent
Source Federal Reserve Board
bull Federal Reserve abandons
its official target rate of 1
bull Fed fund rate now stands
reduced to an
unprecedented 0 to 025
bull Has indicated a shift in its
finance policy to
lsquoquantitative easingrsquo in an
attempt to revive the
economy
bull Near zero rate is expected to
help stabilize housing prices
bull However this could also
weaken the US dollar
US has reduced its Fed fund rate to near zero and
announced a shift in its finance policyhellip
7
Jan-2009
8
Start of World
War I
Russian Revolution
begins
Great Depression and
economic crisis sets in
World War II
begins
United Nations
established
European Economic
Community effective
Oil Crisis began
Fall of Soviet
Union
Early 2000
recession
Subprime and the
credit crisis
Unprecedented in its scale the current crisis will likely result in
generation marking event
1914 1917 1929 1939 1945 1958 1973 1991 2001 2007
Jan-2009
hellip as it together with countries worldwide have
responded with stimulus packages to ease the crisis
and jump start economic growth
9
US ~ $850B
UK $297B
China
$586B
Australia
$74B
South Korea
$113B
Mexico
$58B
Sweden
$18B
Netherlands
$76B
Spain
$14BItaly $8B
India $4B
Japan
$105B
Note As of Dec 18 2008 except US and Germany Information captured is not exhaustive - Expected
France
$33B
Germany
$69B
bull Governments worldwide respond
with a nearly $17 trillion dollars
economic package
bull US is planning a stimulus package of
as much as $850 billion that hopes to
create an impact by favoring long-
term infrastructure and job creation
projects
bull China aims to spend almost $600
billion over the next two years with
the EU pushing a package of around
$250 billion
Source Wall Street Journal news articles
Hungary
$69B
Jan-2009
We represent a strange new land
Welcome to the New Normal
10
Could we have foreseen this
magnitude of change
11
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
8
Start of World
War I
Russian Revolution
begins
Great Depression and
economic crisis sets in
World War II
begins
United Nations
established
European Economic
Community effective
Oil Crisis began
Fall of Soviet
Union
Early 2000
recession
Subprime and the
credit crisis
Unprecedented in its scale the current crisis will likely result in
generation marking event
1914 1917 1929 1939 1945 1958 1973 1991 2001 2007
Jan-2009
hellip as it together with countries worldwide have
responded with stimulus packages to ease the crisis
and jump start economic growth
9
US ~ $850B
UK $297B
China
$586B
Australia
$74B
South Korea
$113B
Mexico
$58B
Sweden
$18B
Netherlands
$76B
Spain
$14BItaly $8B
India $4B
Japan
$105B
Note As of Dec 18 2008 except US and Germany Information captured is not exhaustive - Expected
France
$33B
Germany
$69B
bull Governments worldwide respond
with a nearly $17 trillion dollars
economic package
bull US is planning a stimulus package of
as much as $850 billion that hopes to
create an impact by favoring long-
term infrastructure and job creation
projects
bull China aims to spend almost $600
billion over the next two years with
the EU pushing a package of around
$250 billion
Source Wall Street Journal news articles
Hungary
$69B
Jan-2009
We represent a strange new land
Welcome to the New Normal
10
Could we have foreseen this
magnitude of change
11
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
hellip as it together with countries worldwide have
responded with stimulus packages to ease the crisis
and jump start economic growth
9
US ~ $850B
UK $297B
China
$586B
Australia
$74B
South Korea
$113B
Mexico
$58B
Sweden
$18B
Netherlands
$76B
Spain
$14BItaly $8B
India $4B
Japan
$105B
Note As of Dec 18 2008 except US and Germany Information captured is not exhaustive - Expected
France
$33B
Germany
$69B
bull Governments worldwide respond
with a nearly $17 trillion dollars
economic package
bull US is planning a stimulus package of
as much as $850 billion that hopes to
create an impact by favoring long-
term infrastructure and job creation
projects
bull China aims to spend almost $600
billion over the next two years with
the EU pushing a package of around
$250 billion
Source Wall Street Journal news articles
Hungary
$69B
Jan-2009
We represent a strange new land
Welcome to the New Normal
10
Could we have foreseen this
magnitude of change
11
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
We represent a strange new land
Welcome to the New Normal
10
Could we have foreseen this
magnitude of change
11
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Could we have foreseen this
magnitude of change
11
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
And what will the future hold
12
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
13
The experts didnrsquot agree thenhellip
Jun lsquo09
Jun lsquo10
Jun lsquo11
Jun lsquo12
ldquoOn average expect the downturn
to conclude in June 2009rdquo
Wall Street Journal (Dec-2008)
ldquoThere is a reasonable probability of
the US economy starting to recover at
the end of 2009 or the start of 2010rdquo
Dominique Strauss-Kahn MD
International Monetary Fund
(Dec-2008)
ldquoThe likely duration of the financial turmoil is difficult to
judge and thus the uncertainty surrounding the
economic outlook is unusually large hellipEconomic
conditions will probably remain weak for a timerdquo
Ben S Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Dec-2008)
ldquoGDP rising just 15 in the fourth quarter of
2009 Do not see a resumption of anything
close to trend growth before 2010rdquo
Goldman Sachs (Nov-2008)
Analyst Expectations of Recovery
Jan-2009
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
hellipAnd they donrsquot agree now
ldquoEven though from a technical perspective the
recession is very likely over at this point it is still
going to feel like a very weak economy for some
time as many people still find their job security and
their employment status is not what they wish it
wasrdquo
Ben Bernanke Chairman
Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System (Sept-2009)
ldquoTechnically itrsquos not freezing but itrsquos still
pretty darn cold outside and you see
ice everywherehellip The economy has
not improved that muchrdquo
Mark Vitner Senior Economist
Wells Fargo (Sept-2009)
Sources Wall Street Journal Charlotte Business Journals Business Week Salt Lake Tribune
ldquoThere is a long way to go before
the level of output gets back to
where it was Growth rates donrsquot
tell the story itrsquos the levels that
matterrdquo
Mervyn King Governor
Bank of England (Sept-2009)
ldquoWe need more data to see if this
is sustainable or just noise The
income and credit constraints on
consumers remain intense
Ian Shepherdson Chief US Economist
High Frequency Economics (Sept-2009)
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Beware the so-called Wizards
Futurists Pundits Experts
15
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
They have been wrong beforehellipabout the market
Stocks have reached what looks like
a permanently high plateau
- Irving Fisher Professor of Economics Yale University 1929
16
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
They have been wrong beforehellipabout music
We dont like their sound and guitar music is on the way out
- Decca Recording Co rejecting the Beatles 1962
17
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers
Thomas Watson chairman of IBM 1943
There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home
Ken Olson president chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp 1977
640K ought to be enough for anybodyldquo
Bill Gates 1981
They have been wrong beforehellipabout computers
18
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
bull Oil crisis in the 80rsquos ndash world out of oil in 2000-2010
bull Microwave revolution ndash change the way the kitchen looks
bull Internet ndash Death of brick amp motor
bull Fast food deadndash Health amp wellness -
19
More predictoons
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Take their Input Then think for yourself
bull Linear extrapolation is dangerous
bull They have been wrong before hellipand probably will be wrong again
bull Pay only some attention to ldquothe men behind the curtainrdquo
bull Be your own wizard Create your future
20
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
21
So wizards what shape will recovery take
V L W U
SCOTT GURVEY NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT
Tonights story is brought to you by the letter V or perhaps W maybe L How about
U Were not sure because when you ask an economist to forecast the shape of the
recovery you could get any one of those letters as an answer
The question is where do we go from here
V L W U
Sometimes forecasting the economy is like playing Scrabble
How does R get in here
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
C is the Only Constant
ndash V L W or U Its all About Change
C
We can only predict one thing
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Which way will it roll
23
You can never tell
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
What should companies focus on in the future
As you take small steps down a long and winding road
24
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
A non-linear approach to planning
Old planning rules out Not prescribed steps but scenarios
25Source Ralston Consulting Chart
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
AAA grade to contain risk
Act
Adjust
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
You need a continuous process
Adjust
Act
Anticipate
27
Anticipate
bull More than measuring
bull Continuous sensing
bull Peripheral vision
Act
bull In real time
bull Agility is key
Adjust
bull For market changes
bull Consumer changes
bull The unexpected
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
28
Anticipate
Develop your organizationrsquos peripheral vision
ldquoMost organizations have maverick employees with insights about the periphery
but these individuals are rarely tappedrdquo
George Day amp Paul Schoemaker ldquoScanning the Peripheryrdquo
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
29
New national survey by Citi reveals
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups
have permanently changed their saving and spending habits
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
30
29
63
Spending and saving
will go back to the way it was
Spending and saving
will be forever changed
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
63 said the way they spend and save has been forever changed as a result of the economic downturn
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
31
Cutting back on everyday expenses
Saving and investing more
Cutting down on credit card purchases
Cutting back on the amount of money you owe
Consumers across all income levels and ethnic groups said they plan
to continue to their adjusted spending habits
Anticipating our new normal at Citi
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Along with tracking yoursquoll need some friends
to navigate the Yellow Brick Road
32
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Make friends
The future is all about collaboration
33
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
bull Companies like Ningcom allow you the opportunity
to create your own social media community
bull One such community Finance 30 connects
almost 18000 members of the financial modeling
corporate finance accounting and financial
management world
bull New social media networks are popping up everyday
covering a full range of interests
Social media now accounts for more web traffic
than any other type of Internet sites
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Listen internally too
Consider the brain trust you have in your own company
35
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Beware of The Wicked Witch
Naysayers Pessimists
36
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Things witches say
bull That hasnrsquot worked in the past
bull No one has done that before
bull That wonrsquot work now
bull Irsquoll get you hellip and your little dog too
37
You must melt them
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Watch out for Flying Monkeys
Seemingly random events coming at you from nowhere
38
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Source Edward N Lorenz The Essence of Chaos
When a butterfly flaps itrsquos wings in Brazil
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Send the monkeys flying
Agility is paramount
bull Old way 5 year plan
bull New way Change course as the market demands
bull Best way Move before the market moves
40
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Act
Long-term planning is dead
41
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it ndash is dead welcome to the fast strategy gamerdquo
Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen Fast Strategy How Strategic Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead of the Game
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
The world has changed and
the rules of engagement have shifted
Jan-2009
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
43
Adjust
Tweak the plan Completely revamp the plan
ldquoHas an organization ever failed to survive because it forgot something important
More likely is the possibility that organizations fail because
they remember too much too long and persist too often
doing too many things the way theyrsquove always done themrdquo
The Importance of Doubt
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
More than Measuring
Multi-dimensional measures
44
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Citi never sleeps
MoreFeedback
DailyTracking
Real TimeData amp
Insights
FasterDecisions
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Anticipation develop your organizationrsquos
peripheral vision
bull Ask open-ended questions not ldquowhat is our
market sharerdquo
bull Donrsquot determine what happened in the past
determine what lessons learned from the past
can build on the future
bull Scan broadly throughout the entire
organization donrsquot get stuck in the midlevel
groupthink
bull Envision future possibilities for the organization
after digesting past and present information
ldquoMost organizations have
maverick employees with
insights about the
periphery but these
individuals are rarely
tappedrdquo
-George Day amp Paul
Schoemaker ldquoScanning
the Peripheryrdquo
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because
established corporate cultures hinder new
ideas and change the dynamic world is
rapidly picking up the pace and young
startup companies are quickly making a
splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that
have enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource
Fluidity and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko
Kosonen Fast
Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You
Stay Ahead of the
Game
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Adjustment knowing what to remember and
knowing what to forget
bull The dynamic market requires companies to realize
effective strategy in the past does not ensure
success in the future
bull In actuality volatility and change means a more
effective strategy is likely available with each
passing month
bull Failing to forget often establishes routines that
become entrenched in a companyrsquos culture
fostering a false sense of security and strategic
direction
bull Companies must foster a living strategy that
integrates new business data as well as the impact of
past decisions
ldquoHas an organization ever
failed to survive because
it forgot something
important More likely is
the possibility that
organizations fail
because they remember
too much too long and
persist too often doing too
many things the way
theyrsquove always done
themrdquo
-The Importance of Doubt
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
ACT with Agility strategic agility in execution
bull Strategic agility is at premium because established
corporate cultures hinder new ideas and change
the dynamic world is rapidly picking up the pace
and young startup companies are quickly
making a splash in the market
bull It is most needed in those organizations that have
enjoyed the most success
bull Successful strategic agility requires a balance
between Strategic Sensitivity Resource Fluidity
and Leadership Unity
ldquoStrategy ndash as we knew it
ndash is dead welcome to
the fast strategy gamerdquo
-Yves Doz amp Mikko Kosonen
Fast Strategy How Strategic
Agility Will Help You Stay Ahead
of the Game
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
Summary
Future belongs to those companies with a bias toward fast decisive action and constant re-evaluation with regular real-time feedback loops Flexibility will be key
Act
Adjust
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
You must melt them
Forget the past ndash create a new future
Do something no one has done before
Whorsquos to say what wonrsquot work now
51
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54
You canrsquot give up
Turn those threats into opportunities
52
You have had the power all along
53
54