Managing the Mobile Bandwidth Explosion

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    WhitePaper:ManagingtheMobileBandwidthExplosion

    1|P a g e G o S N e t w o r k s L t d 2 0 1 1

    ManagingtheMobileBandwidth

    Explosion:ASolutionforthe

    ClientEdge

    AWhitePaperfromGoS

    Networks

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    ContentsExecutiveSummary...................................................................................................................3Introduction..............................................................................................................................5BandwidthConsumption:AMulti-SidedProblem....................................................................6

    Figure1:ApplicationVisibility...........................................................................................8SolvingCongestionProblems....................................................................................................8

    CapexDefermentEstimates..................................................................................................9ActiveBandwidthSaving.......................................................................................................9

    BandwidthVisibilityattheNetworkEdge..............................................................................10 Figure2:ApplicationVisibilitywiththeDeploymentofGoS..........................................11

    Conclusion...............................................................................................................................12References..............................................................................................................................12Abbreviations..........................................................................................................................12Appendix1..............................................................................................................................14

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    ExecutiveSummary

    Therelentlessgrowthofnetworkbandwidth,andthe

    associatedincreaseintrafficvolume,providesanon-goingchallengeforMobileNetworkOperatorseverywhere

    particularlywhenitcomestothemanagementandcontrolof

    CAPEXandOPEX.SignificantproportionsofMNOCAPEXand

    OPEXareconsumedbygrowingandmanagingnetwork

    infrastructure,andtheproblemisgrowingwithtraffic

    volumes.

    Despitecontinuedheavyinvestment,theyarestillfailingto

    meetcapacitydemanddatafromCiscosuggestsaCAGRof

    108%formobiledatatrafficbetween2009and2014(Cisco,2010).WiththisgrowthrateMNOssimplycannotupgrade

    capacityfastenough.

    Insufficientbandwidthprovisionleadstopoornetwork

    performance.Thishasanegativeeffectonsubscriber

    experience,leadingtodissatisfactionwiththenetwork

    provider.ThechallengeforMNOsistomanageCAPEXand

    OPEXinvestmentstoensurereturnoninvestmentis

    maximised,andtodeliverthelevelsofenhancedperformance

    thatarenowbeingdemandedbyusers.

    Inaddition,MNOsneedtounderstandthenatureofthe

    trafficsenttoandfromsubscribersinordertoprovision

    existingnetworkresourceseffectivelyandappropriately,and

    tocapturedataonsubscriberbehaviour.

    Unfortunately,therearenumerousproblemsthatcurrently

    reducetheefficientallocationofexistingbandwidthresources,

    thebenefitsoffutureinvestments,andtheabilityofMNOsto

    fullyunderstanduserapplicationdemands.

    CurrentsolutionsleverageDeepPacketInspection(DPI)a

    technologythatallowsInternetProtocol(IP)packetstobe

    inspectedastheytraversepathsbetweenendpoints.

    However,DPI-basedsolutionsarelimitedastheydonot

    providefullvisibilityofalltrafficfromtheendpointsoruser

    devices.

    MNOsneedtosolvethecongestionproblemandsecure

    greatervisibilityofapplicationperformance,usageand

    demandacrosstheirnetworks.Anewsolutionpromisesto

    addresstheseissues:namely,GuaranteeofService(orGoS)fromGoSNetworks.

    KeyPoints

    1. WithGoS,MobileNetworkOperatorscandeferCAPEX

    investmentinbandwidthand

    capacitybyupto9months

    2. GoSenablesMobileNetworkOperatorstoimprovevideo

    downloadefficiencybyupto

    10x.

    3. GoShelpsMobileNetworkOperatorssave20%ofoverall

    bandwidthrequirements

    4. GoScanbedeployedinmobiledevices,donglesand

    internetkeystoprioritiseand

    managebandwidth

    requirementsforboth

    downstreamandupstream

    traffic,helpingreducethe

    totalnetworkload.

    5. GoScanrestrictbandwidthconsumptiontowhatisreally

    necessary,helpingpromote

    fairusagebetweenusersin

    anygivencell.

    6. GoSenablesbandwidthtobeusedmoreefficiently,

    allowingMNOstodefer

    investmentincapacity

    upgrades,helpmeetfinancial

    targetsandmanageCAPEX

    andOPEXmoreeffectively.

    7. GoSallowsanMNOtorapidlydeployandguarantee

    revenue-generatingdata

    servicesonanexistingdata

    connection,reducingOPEX

    consumption

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    GuaranteeofService,orGoS,isauniquesolutionfromGoSNetworksthatcanbe

    embeddedasasoftwareclientwithinmobiledevicesanddongles.GoSdeliversmultiple

    real-timeclassesofservice,enablingmultiple,parallelreal-time(andnearreal-time)

    applicationsbyprovidingindependentcontroloftraffic.

    GoSprovidesthemeanstomanagebandwidthdemandsmoreefficientlybymaintaining

    trafficcharacteristicsevenwhenthebandwidthisfullyutilisedandbyallowingupto90%of

    thebandwidthtobeusedforreal-timeandcriticalapplications.Thiscanleadtoasignificant

    reductioninnetworkcongestion.Ifcongestioncanberelievedsothatavailablebandwidthis

    usedmoreefficiently,theninvestmentsincapacityincreasescanbedeferred.

    Streamingvideoisanapplicationthatisexperiencingstronggrowthfrommobileusers,but

    itcancausesignificantdownstreamcongestionwhendownloadingtakesplaceatthe

    maximumpossiblebandwidth.EstimatesbyCiscoandotherssuggestthathalfofalltrafficin

    mobilenetworksisderivedfromvideodeliveredtomobilebroadbandclients.Calculations

    suggestthatapplyingGoStostreamingvideotrafficcouldreducetheoverallpeakloadby

    nearly50%,whichisequivalentto9.5monthstrafficgrowthatcurrentrates,estimatedat

    108%CAGR.Further,additionalcalculationsbasedonstreamingratesindicatethatuseof

    GoScanresultina20%reductionintheamountofvideodataconsumed.

    GoScanbedeployedinmobiledevicesanddonglestoprioritiseandmanagebandwidth

    requirementsforbothdownstreamandupstreamtraffic,helpingtoreducethetotal

    networkload.Byrestrictingbandwidthconsumptiontowhatisreallynecessary,GoS

    promotesfairusagebetweenusersinanygivencell.Byusingbandwidthmoreefficiently,

    MNOscandeferinvestmentincapacityupgradesinordertomeetfinancialtargetsand

    manageCAPEXandOPEXmoreeffectively.

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    Introduction

    Therelentlessgrowthofnetworkbandwidth,andtheassociatedincreaseintrafficvolume,

    providesanon-goingchallengeforMobileNetworkOperatorseverywhereparticularly

    whenitcomestothemanagementandcontrolofCAPEXandOPEX.Significantproportions

    ofMNOCAPEXandOPEXareconsumedbygrowingandmanagingnetworkinfrastructure,

    andtheproblemisgrowingwithtrafficvolumes.Thesechallengesareaptlyillustratedby

    thefollowingpassage,whichdescribesTheRedQueensRaceintheclassicbookThrough

    theLookingGlassbyLewisCarroll:

    "Well,inourcountry,"saidAlice,stillpantingalittle,"you'dgenerallygettosomewhereelse

    ifyourunveryfastforalongtime,aswe'vebeendoing."

    "Aslowsortofcountry!"saidtheQueen."Now,here,yousee,ittakesalltherunningyoucan

    do,tokeepinthesameplace.Ifyouwanttogetsomewhereelse,youmustrunatleasttwice

    asfastasthat!"

    Whileinvestmentinbandwidthisunavoidable,currentgrowthratesmeanthatMNOsfacea

    continuallymovingtarget.Despitecontinuedheavyinvestment,theyarestillfailingtomeet

    capacitydemanddatafromCiscosuggestsaCAGRof108%formobiledatatrafficbetween

    2009and2014(Cisco,2010).WiththisgrowthrateMNOssimplycannotupgradecapacity

    fastenough.LiketheRedQueen,theyarerunningjusttostandstill.

    Ofcourse,insufficientbandwidthprovisionleadstopoornetworkperformance.Inturn,thishasanegativeeffectonsubscriberexperience,leadingtodissatisfactionwiththenetwork

    provider.ThechallengeforMNOsistomanageCAPEXandOPEXinvestmentstoensure

    returnoninvestmentismaximised,andtodeliverthelevelsofenhancedperformancethat

    arenowbeingdemandedbyusers.

    Inaddition,MNOsneedtounderstandthenatureofthetrafficsenttoandfrom

    subscribersinordertoprovisionexistingnetworkresourceseffectivelyandappropriately,

    andtocapturedataonsubscriberbehaviour.

    Unfortunately,therearenumerousproblemsthatcurrentlyreducetheefficientallocationof

    existingbandwidthresources,thebenefitsoffutureinvestments,andtheabilityofMNOsto

    fullyunderstanduserapplicationdemands.

    Solvingtheseproblemswillensuremoreeffectiveutilisationofbandwidthdeploymentsand

    createconditionsforgreaterreturnsonplannednetworkcapacityupgrades.Ifexisting

    bandwidthcanbeusedmoreefficiently,investmentscanbedeferred,generatingsignificant

    savingsinCAPEXandOPEX(dependingonthemodelusedbytheMNOforbandwidth

    deployment:ownedorleasedcapacity).Furthermore,abetterunderstandingofsubscriber

    behaviourwillhelpMNOstocreatenewrevenuestreamsthroughmoretargetedoffersand

    toenhancecustomersatisfactionwithexistingoffers.

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    CurrentsolutionsleverageDeepPacketInspection(DPI)atechnologythatallowsInternet

    Protocol(IP)packetstobeinspectedastheytraversepathsbetweenendpoints.However,

    DPI-basedsolutionsarelimitedastheydonotprovidefullvisibilityofalltrafficfromtheend

    pointsoruserdevices.

    ThiswhitepaperwillexploretheproblemsfacedbyMNOsinmeetingbandwidthdemands

    andhighlightasolutionthatcomplementstraditionalDPIequipmentandcan:

    Helpinvestmentsgofurther,andallowdefermentofcapacityinvestment; Leadtoamoreefficientevolutionofnetworkinfrastructure;and Providegreatervisibilityoftrafficusageformobiledevicesanddongles.

    BandwidthConsumption:AMulti-SidedProblem

    Currentlimitationswithmobilebroadbandcapacityeffectivelyconstrainapplication

    performanceandhence,userexperience.Fromtheuserperspective,therearetwo

    aspectsofbandwidthconsumptionthatareimportant:

    Upstreamtraffic;thatgeneratedatsubscriberdevices;and Downstreamtraffic;thatdeliveredtoclientdevices.

    Quitesimply,consumersexpectbandwidthcapacityfordownstreamtraffictobesufficient

    topowertheapplicationstheywantatanappropriateperformancelevel.Traditionally,

    MNOshavefocusedonachievingsufficientdownstreamtrafficperformance.However,user-

    generatedtrafficcanbeequallyimportantwhenaddressingcapacityconcerns,butitisoften

    overlookedbyMNOs.Inatypicalnetwork,greatercapacityisavailableinthedownstream

    directionwiththeresultthatupstreambandwidthismoreeasilysaturated.

    Increasingly,mobileusersaregeneratinggreatervolumesoftraffic,allofwhichneedstobe

    deliveredbythenetwork.Thisisassociatedwith,amongotherthings,theriseofuser-

    generatedcontent,increaseduseofVoiceoverIP(VoIP)clientsforcommunication,and

    PeertoPeer(P2P)traffic.However,thispresentsanadditionalproblemforMNOs:someof

    theseapplicationscreaterevenue,whileotherssimplyburdenthenetwork.Inaddition,the

    combinationofdifferenttrafficsourcesmaycauseproblemsforcertainapplications.For

    example,heavyP2Ptraffic(whichdoesnotgeneraterevenue)maylimittheeffective

    transmissionofrevenue-generatingservices,suchasVoIP,orcausedisruptionstoother

    real-timeservices.

    Thecontinuedriseindownstreamandupstreamtrafficleadstocongestioninthenetwork

    thatinhibitstheperformanceofapplicationsinbothdirections.Currently,thiscanonlybe

    effectivelyrelievedbyincreasingnetworkcapacity,whichpacetheRedQueen,isan

    ultimatelyunsatisfactoryapproach.

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    Anadditionalproblemwithbandwidthconsumptionisrelatedtothevisibilityofthetraffic

    consumedbyusers.ForMNOs,itisessentialthattheycanmonitor,inrealtime,thetypesof

    applicationsbeingusedbysubscribers,forseveralreasons.First,MNOshavetoensurethat

    applicationsperformattheappropriatelevel,sothatuserexperienceismaintained.This

    ensuresthattheirbasicserviceofferisofanacceptablestandardandisanimportantaspect

    ofthefightagainstsubscriberchurn.

    Secondly,MNOsneedtoconstantlymonitortheirnetworktoensurethatitperforms

    consistentlyacrossallcellsites.Forexample,someareaswillexperiencemoredemandthan

    others,whichtypicallyrelatestofluctuationsinuserdensity,ortospikesindemandcaused

    bylocalisedorirregularevents.ItisthereforenotenoughforMNOstobeawareofspecific

    applications,theyalsoneedtoconsidertheentirenetworkinfrastructure,thenatureofthe

    trafficwithinit,andhowtocopewithexpectedsurgesindemand.

    Thirdly,MNOshavehistoricallyfacedcontinueddownwardpricingpressureandnowwishto

    addressthisbyofferingdifferentiatedpricingbundlesandservices.Inordertoachievethis

    mostefficiently,MNOshavetoincreasetheirknowledgeofsubscriberbehaviourand

    applicationdemand.AwarenessofapplicationusageanddemandallowsMNOsto

    understandsubscriberbehaviourandcreatemoretargetedoffersbothtoallusersand,

    critically,onanindividualuserlevel.SuchknowledgecanenableMNOstooffer

    differentiatedchargingplansthatgobeyondallyoucaneatbundles,andtocreatenew

    revenueopportunities.

    TheseproblemsareillustratedinFigure1,whichhighlightsthelackofvisibilityofapplication

    demandandconsumptionattheedgeofthenetwork.

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    Figure1:ApplicationVisibility

    MNOsneedtosolvethecongestionproblemandsecuregreatervisibilityofapplication

    performance,usageanddemandacrosstheirnetworks.Anewsolutionpromisestoaddress

    theseissues:namely,GuaranteeofService(orGoS)fromGoSNetworks.

    SolvingCongestionProblems

    GuaranteeofService,orGoS,isauniquesolutionfromGoSNetworksthatcanbe

    embeddedasasoftwareclientwithinmobiledevicesanddongles.GoSdeliversmultiple

    real-timeclassesofservice,enablingmultiple,parallelreal-time(andnearreal-time)

    applicationsbyprovidingindependentcontroloftraffic.Theseserviceclassesconcern:

    Throughput; Loss;and Delay/Jitter.

    Inthisway,GoSprovidesfine-grainedprioritisationofdifferenttraffictypes,ensuring

    acceptableperformanceforreal-timeapplicationsevenwhentheupstreambandwidthis

    saturated.GoSalsoprovidesthemeanstomanagebandwidthdemandsmoreefficientlyby

    maintainingtrafficcharacteristicsevenwhenthebandwidthisfullyutilisedandbyallowing

    upto90%ofthebandwidthtobeusedforreal-timeandcriticalapplications.Inturn,this

    canleadtoasignificantreductioninnetworkcongestion.Ifcongestioncanberelievedso

    thatavailablebandwidthisusedmoreefficiently,theninvestmentsincapacityincreasescan

    bedeferred.

    Withcurrentpublishedgrowthrateestimates,itispossibletocalculatethetimefactorfor

    CAPEXdefermentthatagivenreductioninnetworkcongestionwilldeliverforparticularuse

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    cases.ItisfurtherpossibletocalculatebandwidthsavingsbasedontheapplicationofGoSto

    particularapplications.

    CapexDefermentEstimates

    Streamingvideoisanapplicationthatisexperiencingstronggrowthfrommobileusers,but

    itcancausesignificantdownstreamcongestionwhendownloadingtakesplaceatthe

    maximumpossiblebandwidth.Itisoftenassumedthattoachieveappropriatelevelsof

    customersatisfactionforstreamingvideoitisessentialtomaintainmaximumdownload

    ratesatalltimes.However,independentexperimentsundertakenbyGoSNetworkshave

    shownthatcustomerexperienceisactuallyunaffectedifthemaximumdownloadrateis

    constrainedtoabout1.25xtherateofconsumption.Sincethemaximumdownloadratecan

    beanythingupto161timestheminimumrequired,thisrepresentsasubstantialsaving.A

    typicalstreamingrateis440kbps,so660kbpsismorethanadequatetopreventplayout

    pauses.RestrictingavideodownloadtothisrateratherthanthefullHSDPArateof

    7.2Mbpsreducesthepeakbandwidthconsumedbyvideodownloadsbyafactorofmore

    than10.EstimatesbyCiscoandotherssuggestthathalfofalltrafficinmobilenetworksis

    derivedfromvideodeliveredtomobilebroadbandclients,soapplyingGoSinthiscasecould

    reducetheoverallpeakbynearly50%,whichisequivalentto9.5monthstrafficgrowthat

    currentrates,estimatedat108%CAGR(Cisco,2010).

    ForMNOsfacedwithpressureonCAPEXbudgets,beingabletogracefullymanagenetwork

    enhancementsandplanwithmoregranularitycanbeasignificantbenefit.Thiscanbe

    achievedbydeployingGoSinmobiledevicesanddonglestoactivelymanagedownload

    servicesbyrestrictingdownloadrateswhileensuringfairaccesstoavailableservicesand

    resources.

    ActiveBandwidthSaving

    Deviceclientsthatstreamvideodownloadcontentdosoatafasterratethanitisplayedout

    inordertofillbuffers.Experimentsshowthata25%excessrateissufficienttoavoid

    playbackpauses.However,aclientinanHSPA(HighSpeedPacketAccess)cellmayusethe

    full3Grate,therebydenyingservicetootherusers.Furthermore,statisticsshowthatusers

    typicallyabandonavideoclipbeforereachingtheend,sothecapacityusedtodownload

    andbuffertheendoftheclipiswasted.ArecentstudybyVisibleMeasuresexaminedshort-

    1ThisfigureisderivedfromindependentcalculationsbyGoSNetworks,thatcomparetheminimum

    downloadratewiththetypicalmaximumdownlinkcapacityofHSPA3G.Bmin=440k,Bmax=7.2M,

    =>Bmax/Bmin=16.36

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    formvideosoflessthan300seconds(5minutes)induration,andmadeanumberofkey

    findings(VisibleMeasures,2010).

    20%oftheaudiencewillabandonviewingthevideointhefirst10seconds; 33%willclickawaybeforethe30secondmark;and 44%oftheaudiencewillhaveleftby60seconds.

    Thisdatacanbeusedtocalculatepotentialbandwidthsavingsthatcanbeachievedby

    deployingGoSinmobiledevicesanddongles.CalculationsundertakenbyGoSNetworks

    suggesta20%reductionintheamountofvideodataconsumed[seeAppendix1].

    Inessence,GoSallowsMNOstoconstrainexcessbandwidththatmightotherwisebe

    consumedbytheclientdevices,freeingcapacityforotherusersandapplications.Asusers

    tendtoterminatesessionsprematurely,thetotalamountofavailablebandwidthisalso

    deployedwithgreaterefficiency.

    BandwidthVisibilityattheNetworkEdge

    ForMNOstoeffectivelymanagetheirnetworks,itisessentialforthemtobeabletoview

    bandwidthdemandandperformanceattheextremeedgeofthenetworkthatis,inthe

    devicesthatareactuallyinvolvedinsessions,suchasmobileterminalsanddongles.

    However,currentsolutionssuchasDPIequipmentcannotextendbeyondthenetwork

    boundary.Consequently,DPIproductsneedtobecomplementedbysoftwarethatcanbe

    deployeddirectlyintomobiledevicesanddongles.GoSisauniquesolutionthatcanachieve

    this.WithGoS,MNOscanobtainfullvisibilityofthepacketsthatarebeingsentdownstream

    todevices,aswellasthepacketsthatarebeingdemandedbyupstreamapplications.Thisis

    becauseGoSisresponsibleformanagingcongestiononthelinkatthepointoforiginandso

    performsthefunctionofselectivelydiscardingexcesspackets.Inturn,MNOscandetermine

    whichapplicationsaresufferingpacketlossdatathatcannotbeobtainedusingDPI

    equipment.TheeffectofdeployingGoSisillustratedinFigure2.

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    Figure2:ApplicationVisibilitywiththeDeploymentofGoS

    Armedwiththisinformation,MNOscandeterminewhichapplicationsarebeingutilisedand

    bywhomandtoreviewapplicationperformanceandtooptimisetheirnetworkstoensure

    thattherightapplicationsreceivetherightpriority.GoSalsoprovidesinformationaboutthe

    real-timelinkratesattheclientside,whichenablescontrolmechanismstobeenforcedat

    thepointoftrafficoriginorthesourceofdemand,ratherthandeeperinthenetwork.In

    otherwords,MNOscanactbeforetheproblembecomesapparentinthenetworkcore.

    Collectingthisinformationhasadditionalbenefits.Forexample,MNOscanbeinstantly

    alertedwhenqualityandperformancedropbelowexpectedlevels.Understandingwhy

    thingsdonotworkisequallyimportantfordeliveringsuccessfulandprofitableservices.

    Althoughmanyservicesdonotattractincrementalrevenue,theycanbekeybenchmarksfor

    usersatisfaction.Moreover,therearemanynewservicepossibilitiesthatcangenerate

    additionalrevenueandtheirnumbersareexpectedtogrowasMNOsmovefrombasic

    servicepackagestomoredifferentiatedoffers.Ifaserviceistocapturerevenue,ithasto

    performtothelevelsthatconsumersdemand.

    AnotherchallengeforMNOsisthat,asmoredevicesswitchbetween3GPPandnon-3GPP

    modesofaccess,suchasWiFi,thereisagreaterriskoflosingvisibilityoftheapplications

    thatarebeingconsumedacrossalternativenetworks.Again,GoSprovidesasolution.Since

    GoSisembeddedinmobiledevicesanddongles,itisstillabletocapturevaluabledata

    regardingsubscriberbehaviour,irrespectiveofwhethertraffictraversestheMNOnetwork

    oranalternativeWiFiaccesspoint.Thisdatacanbeusedtoenhanceofferstosubscribers

    andalsopromotesnetworkoptimisation.

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    Conclusion

    Inthefaceofcontinuallysoaringuserdemand,MNOsarefightingalosingbattlethrowing

    capacityattheproblemisnotthesolution,asitplacesincreasingstrainonCAPEXandOPEX

    budgets.Therefore,MNOsshouldexploresolutionsthathelpdeferCAPEXandOPEX

    investmentthroughmoreefficientusageofdeployedcapacity.However,tobeeffective,any

    solutionmustactatthenetworkedgethatis,inuserdevices.Currentsolutions,suchas

    DPI,aredeployedinthenetworkcoreandcannotprovidevisibilityofuserapplication

    demand.AuniquesolutiontothisproblemisofferedbyGoSNetworks.

    GoScanbedeployedinmobiledevicesanddonglestoprioritiseandmanagebandwidth

    requirementsforbothdownstreamandupstreamtraffic,helpingtoreducethetotal

    networkload.Byrestrictingbandwidthconsumptiontowhatisreallynecessary,GoS

    promotesfairusagebetweenusersinanygivencell.Byusingbandwidthmoreefficiently,

    MNOscandeferinvestmentincapacityupgradesinordertomeetfinancialtargetsand

    manageCAPEXandOPEXmoreeffectively.

    Inadditiontoefficientbandwidthusage,GoSalsoprovidesvisibilityofapplicationand

    subscriberbehaviour,allowingMNOstocreatemoretargetedoffersandachievemore

    consistentnetworkperformance.AsMNOsseektomovefrombasic,allyoucaneatdata

    plans,suchknowledgecanhelptocreatevaluablenewrevenuestreams.

    GoSNetworksworkswithmobilenetworkoperatorstocalculatepotentialCAPEXandOPEX

    savingsbasedondeferrednetworkcapacityupgrades.Usingdatathatisspecifictoan

    individualnetwork,thebenefitsofdeployingaGoSsolutioninclient-edgedevicescanbe

    calculated,andinmanycasesidentifythepotentialforsignificantcostsavings.ContactGoS

    NetworksnowtofindouthowmuchGoScansaveyou.

    References

    Carroll,L.(1871).ThroughtheLookingGlass.

    Cisco.(2010).VisualNetworkingIndex.

    VisibleMeasures.(2010).UnderstandingViewerAbandonmentTrendsinShort-FormOnline

    VideoContent.

    Abbreviations

    3GPPThirdGenerationPartnershipProject

    ANAccessNode

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    CAGRCompoundAnnualGrowthRate

    DPIDeepPacketInspection

    IMSIPMultimediaSubsystem

    IPInternetProtocol

    MNOMobileNetworkOperator

    P2PPeertoPeer

    QoEQualityofExperience

    QoSQualityofService

    TISPANTelecommunicationsandInternetconvergedServicesandProtocolsforAdvanced

    Networking

    VoIPVoiceoverIP

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    Appendix1

    Parameter Notation Notes

    proportionoftrafficduetomobiledongle

    users

    !! Ciscoestimatethisat70%by2014

    proportionoftrafficduetostreaming

    video

    !! Ciscoestimatethisat66%by2014

    minimumbandwidthconsumedbya

    streamingvideoclient

    !!"# Typicallyabout440kbps

    maximumbandwidthconsumedbya

    streamingvideoclient

    !!"# Upto7.2MbpsinHSPA

    bandwidthconsumedbyastreaming

    videoclientwhencontrolledbyGoS

    !!"# E.g.660kbpsbps:!!"# > !!"# >

    !!"#

    averageproportionofavideoclipthatis

    actuallywatched

    !! Withanaveragecliplengthof150s,

    basedonthefiguresfromVisible

    Measures,thisis64%

    Thenwecancalculate:

    Theproportionoftotaltrafficthatisstreamingvideotomobilebroadbandusers:

    !!" = !!!!(=about50%basedonCiscoestimates).

    WhenweapplyGoStocontrolsuchstreamingvideothistrafficisreducedbyafraction!!"#

    !!"#

    .

    Thusthepeaktrafficloadisreducedto:!!"# = !!"#$#%&' 1 !!"#

    !!"#

    !!".

    Ciscopredictsmobiledatagrowthof108%CAGR:inmathematicaltermsthismeansthat

    trafficTisanexponentialfunctionoftime, t:

    ! = !"!"

    Ifwemeasuretinyears,thenCiscospredictionmakes! = ln 2.08 = 0.732.Byreducingtrafficbyafactor!!"

    !!"#

    !!"#$#%&'= 1 !!" 1

    !!"#

    !!"#

    thenthetimeatwhichthetraffic

    reachesaparticularthreshold!!"#

    isdelayedfromtimettotimet:

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    !!"#

    = !!!"= !!"!!

    !!! ,fromwhich!! = ! ln(!!") !.Usingthefiguresinthetext

    givesadelayof9.5months.

    Nowconsidertheamountofdatadownloaded.Thetimetodownloadacompleteclipofsize

    SatbandwidthBis!! =!

    !;andthemaximumacceptabletimeisthedurationoftheclip,

    !! =!

    !!"#

    .Thetypicaltimeatwhichtheclipisabandonedis !! = !!!!.

    If!! !!thenwedownloadthewholeclipbeforeabandoningit,whichwastesdata.If

    !! > !!thenwegiveupbeforedownloadingthewholeclip,thussavingsomebandwidthon

    average.Thisconditionisequivalentto!!

    ;inthiscasewesaveaproportion

    !!"#

    !!"#

    !!ofthedatathatwouldotherwisehavebeendownloaded.

    Ifweusethefigures: !!"# = 440!"#$, !!"# = 660!"#$,then!!"#

    !!

    = 1.55 > !!"#sowemeettheconditiontosavedata,andtheproportionsavedis

    !!"#

    !!"#

    !! = 0.8i.e.a20%reductionintheamountof

    videodataconsumed.