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MAPS_Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry of Environment Rodrigo Palma | Lead Researcher, Energy Center, University of Chile Hernán Blanco | Lead Facilitator COP17, Durban – 01.12.2011 Research Lab – Lima, September 2011

MAPS Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry ......The EXPECTED RESULTS • Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating

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Page 1: MAPS Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry ......The EXPECTED RESULTS • Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating

MAPS_Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat,

Ministry of Environment Rodrigo Palma | Lead Researcher, Energy

Center, University of Chile Hernán Blanco | Lead Facilitator

COP17, Durban – 01.12.2011

Research Lab – Lima, September 2011

Page 2: MAPS Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry ......The EXPECTED RESULTS • Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating

MAPS Chile: Why this project now

• Challenges: Chile’s pledge 20/20; low carbon development (OECD); securing/enhancing competitiveness; previous research efforts available, but…

• Opportunities: sustainable development; income distribution • Governmental project – leadership • Active component of national policy on climate change – answering

fundamental questions; coordinated with: – NAMAs, Third National Communication, Low Emissions Development Strategy,

Partnership for Market Readiness, and others

Page 3: MAPS Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry ......The EXPECTED RESULTS • Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating

The QUESTIONS we want to answer

• Mandate from an Inter Ministerial Steering Committee

– What are the most efficient and effective mitigation options to comply with the international commitments on climate change? Among these, which are the most feasible and favorable to implement?

– What are opportunities and trade-offs associated with the various mitigation options in terms of alleviating poverty, contributing to positive macro and micro economic results, and allowing Chile to gain and secure its international competitiveness?

– What are the key links between adaptation and mitigation options in the country?

– What are the key public policy measures, instruments and private initiatives that would contribute to climate change mitigation in order to enhance low carbon development?

Page 4: MAPS Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry ......The EXPECTED RESULTS • Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating

The EXPECTED RESULTS

• Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating climate change in Chile 2020, 2030 and 2050.

• A palette of concrete and preferred mitigation options for the key sectors and their appropriate modeling approaches

• Web-based, user- friendly simulation tools will be explored as a means to communicate and disseminate results.

• A contribution to the design of a low emissions development strategy (road map for a low carbon economy).

• Outreach materials in diverse formats aimed at key stakeholder.

• Implementation of knowledge management tools relating to climate change in Chile.

• Feedback (opinions, concerns, ideas, etc.) from the diverse stakeholders on key issues related to climate change.

• Relevant experience on best practices for multi-stakeholder participatory processes on sustainability issues in the country.

Page 5: MAPS Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry ......The EXPECTED RESULTS • Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating

Research STRATEGY

Emisiones[Mt CO2]

Tiempo [Años]

Línea Base o BAU

Requerido por la ciencia

Elección de un plan específicoImplementación de políticas analizadas

Implementación de nuevas políticas

Incertidumbres relacionadas con una plan específico

205020302020

Coordination and supervision by core research group. Tender processes for specific research packages will be opened to experts/institutions.

Page 6: MAPS Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry ......The EXPECTED RESULTS • Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating

Research CHALLENGES

• Modelling assumptions/agreements

• Integration of sectoral models

• Integration of economic dimensions

• Strategic assessment approach (social, environmental, economic; impacts, indicators)

• Mitigation Actions “library”

• Long term horizon

Page 7: MAPS Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry ......The EXPECTED RESULTS • Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating

Research RESULTS so far

Energía Transporte

Minería

Silvoagropecuario

COCHILCO

PRIEN PROGEA

EnergíaSolaryEficienciaEnergé ca

CentrodeInnovaciónEnergé ca

Dpto.Ing.EléctricaU.Católica

Laboratorioderecursosrenovables

SistemasSustentables

GTZ

Poch

AGRIMED

Dpto.EconomíaAgraria,U.Católica

INFOR

ASAGRIN

INIA

Gruposdeinves gaciónrelacionadosconelproyecto

Dpto.Ing.MecánicaU.Chile

UNTEC

CCG-UC

I.Alarcón

KAS

Dpto.Geo sicaU.Chile

CEGA

Deuman

Gamma

CentrodeDesarrolloEnergé coAntofagasta

Dpto.Ing.CivilU.Chile

PWC

GreenLabUC

DICTUCCENMA

MCT

Dpto.Ing.IndustrialU.Chile

BIOCOMSA

BioEnercel

DESERT

CCD

CICITEM

NúcleoElectrónicaIndustrialyMecatrónica

FacultaddeCienciasForestalesyRecursosNaturales,U.Austral

FacultaddeCienciasForestalesyAgropecuarias,U.Frontera

Dpto.AgronomíaU.Concepción

CLI-Chile

CETAM

FundaciónChile

Accesoalsistemavíaweb

h p://146.83.6.25/MAPS/mapschile.php

Accesoalsistemavíaweb

Page 8: MAPS Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry ......The EXPECTED RESULTS • Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating

The PROCESS

Three phases:

1. BAU and RBS

2. Mitigation options/packages

3. Outreach and policy discussion

Process for Phase 1

Page 9: MAPS Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry ......The EXPECTED RESULTS • Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating

Opportunities for LEARNING and DOING

• South-South Cooperation

• Project basic funding to be secured (c. US$ 2,5 millions; CIFF, Gov of Chile, CDKN, Swiss Gov); looking for opportunities to incorporate other dimensions – Adaptation

– Poverty

– Communications

– Subnational participation

– Science…

Page 10: MAPS Chile Andrea Rudnick | Project Secretariat, Ministry ......The EXPECTED RESULTS • Quantitative scenarios (Required by Science RBS, Business as Usual BAU) and options for mitigating

Where we ARE and NEXT STEPS

• So far

– Steering Committee and Strategic Advisory Committee already in place and working together with project team

– UNDP implementing agency: working on contracts

– Comprehensive mapping of available studies and researchers; preliminary desing and implementation of knowledge management platform

– Agreement on criteria for SBT; preliminary mapping of potential participants; interviews

– First research workshop with 45 researchers working on climate change and related subjects

• Next Steps

– Logo and web site development

– Terms of Reference for BAU and RBS (end of year)

– Public seminar (January 2012)

– First SBT meeting (March 2012)