Marc’s False Favorite G.O.M. - Clemson - W INNER! COLLEGE ......G.O.M. GOES SATURDAY! Marc’s False Favorite G.O.M. - Clemson - W INNER! † ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping

VegasInsider.com

Volume 31, Issue 7 October 5-10, 2016

COLLEGE UNDERDOG G.O.M. GOES SATURDAY!

Marc’s False Favorite G.O.M. - Clemson - WINNER!

• ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article

• Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends

• Incredible Stat of the Week

• Analysis on Every Lined Game

• Best Bets and Key Plays

• Full Schedule with Opening Lines

He’s Baaack! Tom Brady Returns For New England!

GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLEGET SMART GET PLAYBOOKCOPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published

without the prior written permission of Playbook.com. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice, nor may you offer for sale or resale the material included herein.

page 2 • www.VegasInsider.com

2016 Associated Press Poll Top 25 - Into Week 5:1 ALABAMA2 OHIO ST3 CLEMSON4 MICHIGAN5 WASHINGTON6 HOUSTON7 LOUISVILLE

8 TEXAS A&M9 TENNESSEE10 MIAMI FLA11 WISCONSIN12 NEBRASKA13 BAYLOR14 OLE MISS

15 STANFORD16 ARKANSAS17 N CAROLINA18 FLORIDA19 BOISE ST20 OKLAHOMA21 COLORADO

22 W VIRGINIA23 FLORIDA ST24 UTAH25 VA TECH

Marc Lawrence's

BETCHADIDN'TKNOW

DARLIN’ BE HOME SOON

A Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping

PLAY AGAINST any NFL road favorite off three

straight home games

“ I couldn’t bear to wait an extra minute if you dawdled

My darling be home soon.It’s not just these few hours

but I’ve been waiting since I toddledFor the great relief of having

you to talk to.”

Let’s face it. Like the American Express card, living the good life at home has its rewards. There’s the comfort of

your own bed. Knowing where your favorite remote control is at all times. Lounging in comfort. The home cooked meals. As Dorothy said to Toto, “There’s no place like home.”

Athletes agree, too. Playing games at home as opposed to on the road almost always fi nds a rise in performance levels. No argument here, with home teams in the NFL going 903-677-3 straight-up this decade prior to the start of the 2016 season. That represents a stodgy 57.2% winning edge for home teams.

The problem we have as players in backing home teams is, like prisoners incarcerated in state or federal institutions, they may have the benefi t of calling a jail cell home but it doesn’t get them the money. The same bunch of teams that wins over 57% of their games on the scoreboard manages to lose the money over 50% of the time,

…we have a dynamite winning angle that’s gone 32-53-1 ATS. (Note: according to the 2016 PLAYBOOK Football Preview Guide magazine, there will be 11 teams taking to the road off three straight home games this season, starting with New England at Cleveland this Sunday.

Put these road favorites in non-division affairs and they drop to their knees, going 17-36-1 ATS. Even worse, dress them up as non-division road favorites of more than 3 points off three straight home games and they disappear like the Cincinnati Bengals in a playoff game, going 4-20 ATS. But worst of all, put them up against an opponent off a loss and they dissolve like Alka-Seltzer in a glass of cold water, going 2-16 ATS.

And wouldn’t you know it, the Patriots take to the road with their highly publicized quarterback, Tom Brady, returning after a 4-game suspension. And to that we say, have it, Pats fans. Instead, we’ll take a seat in the Dawg Pound and look for Brady’s return to go plop, plop, fi zz, fi zz.

Thus, it’s no surprise to learn that John Sebastian and the Lovin’ Spoonful were also football fans. It suddenly puts a whole new spin on their classic tune above, doesn’t it?

going 760-778-45 ATS during the same span of games. And because the warden (read: bookmaker) charges 10% juice for the privilege of making a play, it just doesn’t pay backing home favorites on the blind.

That’s especially true in division games, where home chalk has broken many a back, going 174-189-9 ATS since 2010, including 37-53-3 ATS off a double-digit win. And if our division home favorite is off a 10-point or larger win, they shrink up like a hemorrhoid on Preparation H when facing opponents off a win, going 12-27-2 ATS. That’s another case for another study, though, as our intention today is to look at how NFL teams fare in long-awaited road games before returning to the comfy confi nes of home.

More specifi cally, we’re looking to put these teams in their most precarious role after camping at home for an extended period of time, namely three straight games, and then heading out on the road. That’s because teams in this role are 122-154-2 SU and 131-143-4 ATS on the blind in all games since 1980. Better yet, if we were to…

T R I V I A T E A S E R

This coach shines like a beacon at home in games off a loss, going 34-12-1 ATS in his career with this team, including 15-2-1 ATS

the last 18 games, and 15-2 ATS against foes off a SUATS win. Who is this week’s bright light?

For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 6.

THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY

T R I V I A T E A S E R

ATS W-L Record Since 1980:

18-2-1(90%)

COLLISION COURSE

PLAY ON any 4-0 or greater college football road dog of

3+ points off a conference win versus a 4-0 or greater opponent

off an away game that won 10 or fewer games last season.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

Play ON: TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS (Sat, 10/8)

www.VegasInsider.com • page 3

The Carolina Panthers are 13-0 ATS at home between away games.

Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

Saturday, October 8Houston 6-0 away vs conf revenge… 5-0 Game Six… 9-1 as DD RF’sNAVY 1-5 Game Five… 1-4 after Air Force… 5-15 as DD HD’s

Oklahoma 3-0 conf favs 13 < pts LY… 5-1 away w/ conf revengeTexas SERIES: 3-0 L3… 8-0 bef Iowa St… 1-4-1 vs conf revenge

Florida St SERIES: Visitor 8-2… 7-1 away bef BB HG… 6-1 RF’s 7 < pts MIAMI FLA 5-0 Game Five… 4-1 HD’s < 8 pts… 3-1 after Ga Tech

Ucla SERIES: Visitor 4-0… 0-7 Game Six… 1-4 w/ conf revenge ARIZONA ST 7-0 Game Six… 3-1 aft USC… 6-2 HD’s 8 < pts

Tennessee 7-3 Game Six… 1-4 conf RD’s 10 < pts… 2-5 after GeorgiaTEXAS A&M 0-4 Game Six… 1-5 bef conf rev RG… 2-5 conf HF < 8 pts

Washington 3-1 off conf SU win 21 > pts… 0-5 away w/ conf revengeOREGON 4-1 conf favs 6 < pts… 5-2 w/ conf revenge... 2-5 Game Six

Lsu SERIES: 5-1 L6… 8-2 away bef 3+ HG… 5-2 Game SixFLORIDA SERIES: Host 4-1… 0-4 bef Oregon St… 1-4 Game Five

Alabama 5-0 bef Tenn… 6-2 1st of BB RG… 1-4 conf RF’s 10 > ptsARKANSAS SERIES: Host 5-2… 5-1 home w/ conf revenge

Arizona SERIES: 4-0 L4… 0-6 after UCLA… 1-4 2nd of BB RG’sUTAH 7-0 Game Six… 4-0 after Cal… 0-5 HF’s 7 > pts

Wash St SERIES: Visitor 5-2… 15-1 Game Five… 8-3 after OregonSTANFORD 6-2 conf HF’s 14 > pts… 0-5 off SU loss 21 > pts

College Football Games

2-MINUTE HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog

F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

All results are ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains the exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and PLAYBOOK.COM™ and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

NFL Games

Thursday, October 6Arizona Series: 3-1 L4… 6-2 Game Five… 0-8 favs 2nd BB div SAN FRAN 5-1 Home Three… 8-2 bef AFC… 1-5 Thursday

Sunday, October 9Houston Series: 0-3 L3… 6-2 off home w/ rev vs foe off home MINNESOTA 8-0 vs AFC… 8-0 bef rest… 10-1 2nd BB home

Tennessee Series: 1-3 L4… 1-8 aft Houston… 2-10 2nd BB away MIAMI 4-1 < .500 Game Five… 1-6 favs off non-div Thurs game

New England 1-8 RF’s btwn 2 home… 1-4 .500 > off 3H vs non-divCLEVELAND 10-2 Home Two dogs… 0-6 < .500 off away vs foe off home

Ny Jets Series: 2-5 L7A… 5-1 bef NFC… 5-1 NFC sandwich PITTSBURGH 6-0 2nd BB home off non-div… 4-0 w/ single rev

Washington 5-0 RD’s off home vs foe off home w/ rev… 5-1 Away Two BALTIMORE 9-2 .500 > w/ single rev vs non-div… 3-7 Game Five

Philadelphia Series: 1-3 L4… 5-1 A w/ rest… 1-4 1st BB away DETROIT 7-1 off BB div vs non-div… 1-5 1st 3H vs non-div

Chicago 1-8 RD’s btwn 2 home… 1-6 dogs vs foe w/ double rev INDIANAPOLIS 7-0 Game Five off div… 7-1 favs aft Jax vs non-div

Atlanta 8-1 A aft Carolina… 7-2 dogs 1st BB away (1-0 TY)DENVER 5-1 off non-div home bef San Diego… 1-6 home Game Five

Buffalo Series: 5-2 L7… 9-2 RD’s 2nd BB away vs .500 > foe LOS ANGELES 1-5 off away vs foe off away… 1-7 Home Two vs foe w/ rev

San Diego Series: 1-3 L4… 4-0 A off home w/ rev vs foe off home OAKLAND 5-1 Game Five… 1-6 1st BB div… 1-6 Home Two vs div

Cincinnati 5-0 off home vs foe off away… 4-1 off Thursday vs non-divDALLAS 10-2 vs .500 > AFC… 1-5 Home Three vs foe w/ rev

Ny Giants Series: 4-0 L4 / 3-1 L4A… 6-1 A off MNF vs .500 > foe GREEN BAY 5-1 off div w/ triple rev… 1-6 off Detroit vs non-div

Monday, October 10Tampa Bay Series: 1-5 L6… 7-1 MNF dogs off non-div… 1-7 bef restCAROLINA 13-0 H btwn 2 away… 16-1 off away vs foe off home

WEEK FOUR BYES: JACKSONVILLE, KANSAS CITY, NEW ORLEANS, SEATTLE

SMARTBOX

5-0 FAT CATSIt’s the time of the season in which undefeated teams start fi ghting like cats and dogs while entertaining ideas of playing in the newly-created College Football Playoffs – especially those squads that have managed to open the season with fi ve consecutive wins in their fi rst fi ve games.

Forewarned is forearmed, however, when it comes to ‘playing on’ these 5-0 clubs as Game Six is often times a major chuckhole on the road to the playoffs for these Fat Cat favorites. That’s confi rmed by the fact that, since 1980, teams who fi nd themselves favored in these games are just 131-177-4 ATS, or a 42.5% ATS propostion. This week we fi nd Alabama, Clemson, Houston, Michigan, Texas A&M, Washington and Western Michigan dressing up as Fat Cat favorites.

Send them out on the road as favorites off a home win when facing a conference opponent and they fall to 28-48-2 ATS, including 16-37-2 ATS when taking on an avenging opponent. It looks like powerhouses Alabama, Clemson, Houston and Michigan will all fi nd themselves in a cat fi ght this Saturday.

On the fl ip side, these 5-0 teams tend to fatten up as dogs, going 50-32-1 ATS overall, including 24-7 ATS away versus conference opponents allowing more than 15 PPG. And they zoom to 23-3 ATS in these same games when taking 3 or more points. Tennessee looks to be best in class in this role this week.

So don’t be surprised to hear the Travelin’ Wilburys crooning one of their all-time favorites ‘End Of The Line’ for a handful of fattened favorites... or the Baha Men barking ‘Who Let The Dogs Out’ this weekend. Stay tuned.


NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a

strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

Marc Lawrence’s award-winning football selections are available all season long at:

VegasINSIDER.com

Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 6 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line

Snyder Shows Texas Tech The Real ‘Bad Grandpa’...G-Men Turn Into X-Men, Lay Waste To Cheeseheads...

THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 5-10

Wednesday, October 5

Ga Southern over ARKANSAS ST by 11 The NCAA takes its show to hump day but this Week Six opener is nothing to get excited about as the perennial Sun Belt power Red Wolves have lost their bite. After notching 44 wins over the previous nine seasons, Arkansas State is off to a 0-4 SUATS start, including a 28-23 setback last week at home against FCS Central Arkansas. And while we do expect the Wolves to pop a Viagra for this conference lid-lifter – and fi rst-ever meeting between these two schools – our MIDWEEK ALERT informs us that the Eagles fl y into Jonesboro with their usual powerful land game (321 RYPG - #4 in the nation). That doesn’t bode well for a porous Arky State stop-unit that is surrendering almost 500 yards per game, including 239 on the ground. ASU must also deal with an Eagles’ squad (lost 49-31 two Saturdays ago at Western Michigan) that doesn’t take kindly to losing as evidenced by a 7-0 SU and 5-1 ATS mark in games off a SU loss since joining the FBS. Thus, there’s only one way to look as we expect no ‘Southern’ hospitality from the red-faced visitors.

Thursday, October 6

MEMPHIS over Temple by 2 It has to be the lure of E$PN because the schedule maker certainly didn’t do the Tigers any favors regarding their AAC opener. Yes, the striped ones have the benefi t of not traveling on short rest but they also return home off a bruising battle with Ole Miss while Temple’s starters got some rest in a 45-20 rout of SMU. And don’t let the fi nal score in Oxford fool you – it was a 6-point game late in the third quarter before the Tigers ran out of gas in the 48-28 loss. And that begs the question, how much do the men from Memphis have left in the tank tonight? There’s no question that Mike Norvell’s cagey Cats are the superior squad but can the 1st-year head coach get the Tigers off the mat following that initial loss of the season? Temple’s 3-0 ATS series advantage since joining the conference says no, as does HC Matt Rhule’s 12-2 ATS career log as a dog of more than 7 points. And while we’re wise to the Owls’ deceiving 3-2 record this campaign (wins have come against Stony Brook, Charlotte and the aforementioned Mustangs), taking double-digits with a dominating dog in this situation is right up our alley. We suggest you come along for the walk.

Western Kentucky over LA TECH by 1 There has been few surprises in C-USA to start the year as pre-season favorites Southern Miss (9/4), Marshall (11/4), Western Kentucky (7/2) and Middle Tennessee (5/1) are either undefeated in league play or have yet to play. The next choice on the list is Louisiana Tech at 6 to 1 and their only setback came in a 38-34 loss at MTSU two Saturdays ago. Those spot-on odds came courtesy of the Bovada and today’s opening Westgate SuperBook line also appears to be sharp as the Hilltoppers hit Ruston riding a 14-game conference win skein while La Tech’s Skip Holtz is back in his role as a money-making dog: 2-1 ATS this season and 41-20-1 ATS in his career. And since it’s hard to fade Skippy in this spot or buck a WKU group who topped the Bulldogs last season at home as 2.5-point pups – and whose last conference defeat came on this fi eld in 2014 – it should come as no ‘surprise’ to fi nd us sitting this one out. Hence, we’ll tune in to CBS Sports Network on this Thursday for en

Friday, October 7

CENTRAL FLORIDA over Tulane by 8 This week’s Friday four-pack does feature Clemson but it doesn’t have the luster of last Friday’s Washington-Stanford matchup, or fi gure to have the drama of the BYU-Tulsa contest. We start in Orlando where the current Knights would make those of the round table proud by doing a complete 360 this season (yes, the correct term is 180 but work with us, folks – a circle is round and it has 360 degrees!). Winless in 2015, the Knights have already notched three victories this year (3-2 SU) while posting a perfect 4-0 ATS record against FBS opposition. The 3-2 Wave are another vastly improved bunch under 1st-year head coach Willie Fritz, having already matched each of their past two seasons win totals. Better yet, Fritz is at his best tonight as he owns a career 10-5 ATS mark away from home. When we couple that with the fact that the Knights were severely outstatted (518-370) in last week’s 18-point win over East Carolina, you can see in a ‘roundabout’ way why the points become the play this evening in the Magic Kingdom. You know what to do.

3� BEST BET

The Tigers delivered our False Favorite Game of the Month but not before handing us – as well as the 80,000+ in attendance at Death Valley – a few ulcers along the way as they let a 28-10 halftime lead slip into a 36-28 defi cit before scoring the game’s fi nal 14 points. We looked brilliant grabbing Dabo’s dudes as home dogs but now our SMART BOX recommends avoiding these ‘5-0 Fat Cats’ like a ‘Walmartian’ avoids a bra: road favorites off a SU home win against an avenging conference foe own a kitten-like 16-37-2 ATS record. Our database is also in agreement as Clemmie is 2-8 ATS as conference road chalk of more than 14 points and 1-3 ATS in weekday roadies. Meanwhile, the Eagles are 5-0 ATS as home dogs of 15 or more points, 4-1 ATS in Game Six and 2-0-1 ATS in this matchup of late. And don’t look now but the offensively-challenged Eagles have gained 400 or more yards in back-to-back games while scoring 87 points in the process. Granted, it was against the law fi rm of Wagner and Buffalo, but we’ll gladly grab doubles at home with the nation’s No. 1 ranked defense. Especially with the Tigers still sipping champagne, and this little nugget from THE CLINCHER: Eagles’ head coach Steve Addazio is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS versus a foe off a SU underdog win when his team owns a .500 or greater record.

Clemson over BOSTON COLLEGE by 6

TULSA over Smu by 11 The 2-3 Mustangs ride into R.A. Chapman Stadium with house money as their two wins already match last season’s output (and doubled that of 2014!). It’s unlikely Chad Morris’ men – who are now benefi ting from the freshmen who started a total of 62 games last season – will be hanging around for a postseason appearance. With Houston, Memphis and USF still dotting the slate, the realistic goal becomes multiple conference wins for the fi rst time since 2013. And though we don’t think this year’s fi rst AAC win will happen under the Friday night Tulsa lights, a 4-1 ATS series mark on this fi eld since 2005 suggests this could be a ‘dog and pony’ show. Yes, the 3-1 Golden Hurricane have the look of a team intent on going bowling for a second straight campaign but they continue to play ‘street ball’ by ignoring defense. And that could pave the way for a back-door cover – especially since it’s been three seasons since the Hurricane have covered as double-digit chalk (failed in this role earlier in the year at Fresno). Another Friday night take.

(continued on next page)


Boise St over NEW MEXICO by 11 We may as well make it a clean sweep of double-digit dogs as the largest favorite of the night – the 4-0 Boise State Broncos – arrive in Albuquerque off three straight non-covers. Meanwhile, the 2-2 Lobos aren’t far from perfection themselves, losing 32-31 late at New Mexico State and blowing a 21-point lead at Rutgers. We said many times that the Lobos are a dangerous dog under Bob Davie and his 16-9 ATS career mark when taking double-digits, including 7-1 ATS the last eight, is proof of that. Series history also sides with Bob’s boys as they have covered all fi ve in this matchup since 2011, including a 31-24 SU win last season in Boise as 30.5-point dogs. Normally that would spell major payback as well as no look-ahead but with the Lobos 5-1 ATS on this fi eld versus a foe with conference revenge and the Broncos 1-6 ATS with conference revenge, we just can’t lay this kind of wood – especially with Boise Blue a lifeless 0-5 ATS after mixing it up with physical Utah State. Thus, we’ll give the SU nod to the visitors (though an outright win wouldn’t surprise) but the points are a must tonight in University Stadium.

Saturday, October 8

Miami Ohio over AKRON by 1 The RedHawks let us down on these pages last week when they fell to Ohio, 17-7, as 2-point pups. But we expect the visitors to bounce back today in the Rubber City as they held the Bobcats to a season-low 201 yards while the Zips are a ‘leaking oil’ favorite (0-4 ‘ITS’ versus FBS foes this season) that has allowed season-high yards to each of their last four opponents. It also doesn’t help that it’s Homecoming in Akron, and you know our disdain for these favorites. One thing we can guarantee is the alumni – past and present – won’t be paying a visit to Dr. Bob’s House (#10 on TripAdvisor’s things to do in Akron) as the founder off AA (how is it that we know his name and where he lives if this is supposed to be anonymous?) won’t be throwing any weekend shindigs. Thus, we say the ‘Hawks improve to 6-1 ATS versus .333 or less MAC opposition, though we’ll tread lightly as the status of both starting QBs (Miami Ohio’s Billy Bahl injured his shoulder in the Ohio game while Akron’s Thomas Woodson missed the Kent contest with an injured shoulder as well) is unknown as of this writing.

Kent St over BUFFALO by 1 The aforementioned Flashes outyarded Akron in last week’s 31-27 home loss but they do hit UB Stadium with both the better offense and a stingier defense. And should the hosts come favored in this contest (the current line is Kent -1), that would make Lance Leipold’s Bulls another ‘leaking oil’ favorite as they have been outgained in all three FBS tilts this season by an average of 224 YPG. It would also have them donning the favorite’s clothing for the fi rst time this season – which is not a role that Buffalo’s 2nd-year head coach is fond of as he is 0-3 ATS when laying points, losing two of those games in SU fashion. The problem, however, in backing Kent is a smoke-less 1-12 SU mark as travelers over the past three seasons. We don’t need the Surgeon General to warn us about this yawner. We’ll ‘steer’ clear – especially if the Flashes continue to dwell on the left side of the column.

W MICHIGAN over Northern Illinois by 11 There’s a new monster emerging out of the MAC and it’s P.J. Fleck’s Broncos. WMU is off to its fi rst 5-0 start since 1994. The Broncos are also 4-0 ATS on the big board thanks to an offense that has fewer turnovers this season (0) than a bakery infi ltrated by Jenny Craig dropouts. The problem, however, in backing the wild horses this afternoon is three-fold: (1) they are in that dreaded role as Homecoming favorites (alumni are upset that the game didn’t take place Halloween weekend as a visit to Gene the Pumpkin Man (#4 on TripAdvisors things to do in Kalamazoo) would have carved out a few old memories, (2) the Broncos haven’t beaten the Huskies (7-0 SU, 5-1-1 ATS) since President Obama was a rookie in the White House (2008) and (3) the SMART BOX reminds us there’s a ‘Fat Cat’ mulling around Waldo Stadium. In addition, the sled dogs snapped a rare 4-game losing skid last week at Ball State, gaining a season-high 653 yards on the Cardinals. That could just be the buy sign we were looking for, especially with a dog that has only sniffed this amount of points twice since 2007. Another must take.

MICHIGAN ST over Byu by 3 A week fi lled with big heists (Tennessee ‘Between the Hedges’, North Carolina in Tallahassee, Baylor in Ames) began in Provo when the Cougars stole a last-second 55-53 win away from Toledo and ended in Paris when gunmen posing as police robbed Kim Kardashian of millions of dollars worth of jewelry (they could have doubled their take had they went for the saline instead). But unlike those crooks who would have been more worried if Inspector Clouseau had been on the case, the Cougs have developed a knack for close calls under new head coach Kalani Sitake as their fi ve games

this season have been decided by a total of 11 points. We could be in for another barn-burner today in East Lansing as BYU is 4-1 ATS away off a SU win of 3 or less points and 8-1 ATS as road dogs of 6 or less points. On the other sideline, Spartans’ HC Mark Dantonio is 10-2-1 ATS of back-to-back SU losses, including 6-0-1 ATS at home. And though this has the makings of another ‘double-inside out’ MIDWEEK ALERT dandy (BYU won the game but lost the stats while MSU lost the game but won the stats), the Spartans are a home favorite coming off an overtime loss – and that’s a no-no in our books. Especially with Sparty 0-5 ATS as non-conference home chalk of less than 9 points and 0-3 ATS in the fi rst of back-to-back homers. Sorry, Kim, but our hands are tied on this one as we’re forced to take it or leave it today in Spartan Stadium.

PITTSBURGH over Georgia Tech by 3 The Yellow Jackets invade enemy territory for the fi rst time this season (four of their fi rst fi ve games this season were at home while the other was in Dublin) and that’s a good omen as teams in Game Six playing their fi rst true road game are 16-7 SU and 15-8 ATS since 2005 (where else can you fi nd this kind of information but Playbook!). It also doesn’t hurt facing a stop-unit that is allowing 465 YPG to FBS foes this season. That yardage total must be driving Pitt head coach Pat Narduzzi to drink as the former Michigan State defensive coordinator eats and sleeps defense. He would have liked what he saw in last week’s Jackets’ game as their opponent, Miami Florida, broke open a close game (to our dismay) with two defensive scores early in the second quarter. That led to the Wreck’s demise but we have no choice but to back them again this week as the Panthers are just 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games when laying points, including 1-8-1 ATS at home. And with Pitt playing defense like a bullfi ghter who left his sword at the cantina (i.e. matador), the Jackets may just able to ‘Steel’ one this afternoon in Pitt. Another case of take it or leave it.

PENN ST over Maryland by 1 The line on this Big Ten East battle has shifted from Penn State -2 to Maryland going favored, and that usually spells home cooking for us (see Clemson/Louisville last week). However, 1st-year head coach D.J. Durkin has the Terps – a 3-win team in 2015 – off to their fi rst 4-0 start since 2013, and that has the attention of our all-knowing machine as: new coaches who start a season a perfect 4-0 are 7-1 SUATS away since 2006 when taking on foes off a SU win. Today’s foe wasn’t almost off a SU win but somehow James Franklin (our new whipping boy now that Les Miles is egging Cam Cameron’s house on Saturdays after seeing LSU gain a school-record 638 yards in a SEC game last week against Mizzou) continues to dodge the Grim Reaper after his Lions escaped at home with an overtime win over Minnesota. Franklin and the Valley will be Happy to know that home dogs off an extra session win are a long-term 48-34-2 ATS winning proposition. That will keep us at bay today in State College but we wouldn’t be surprised to fi nd Penn State somehow improve to 4-0 ATS in this series. Your call.

OKLAHOMA ST over Iowa St by 18 The Cyclones took their fans on a wild ride last Saturday at home against Baylor as they let a 14-point 4th quarter lead get away, losing 45-42 on a last-second fi eld goal. However, despite allowing a season-high 647 yards in the loss, it was the third straight ATS cash for the Cyclones as the offense has produced 106 points in those contests while committing only one turnover. The Carny now takes its show to Stillwater where the Cowboys are riding high after snapping an 8-game home losing skein to Texas – despite coughing up a season-high 568 yards to the Longhorns. A 4-1 SUATS mark at home after hosting the ‘Horns, as well as a strong 4-0 SUATS mark at home in this series since 2004, suggests we ‘Round Up’ all of our cash as this fi gures to be a ‘Wipeout.” However, with the ‘Boys still giddy over last week’s win, it’s probably best not take ‘Tilt-A-Whirl’ on this meaningless Big 12 affair. Pass.

Cincinnati over CONNECTICUT by 8 Depending on when and if you neglected our advice and took the boatload with UConn last week in Houston, the back door could have been open for a late cover (or push) in the 42-14 loss. However, the offi cial closing is 27.5 and that has the Huskies arriving today in East Hartford on a 4-game ATS and ‘ITS’ skid, losing the stat battle by an average of 91 YPG. Even with the status of Cincy QB Hayden Moore (missed the last two games with an ankle injury) uncertain at this time, this line looks a bit short as the ‘Cats have clearly gotten the better of the sled dogs since 2011, posting a 5-0 SUATS record – with the average win coming by 23 PPG. The only question we have is do the visitors arrive in an ornery mood following last week’s home collapse against USF or does HC Tommy Tuberville need to schedule a visit with Dr. Jennifer Melfi now that the Bearcats are likely out of the AAC East running? We suggest you lay it as Tubs and company avoid a 0-3 conference start.




Tcu over KANSAS by 27 Making a case for the sorry Jayhawks is like pulling teeth from a pit bull that hasn’t eaten in weeks. However, for the second straight season they catch a defl ated TCU team at just the right time. If you remember last year, the Jayhawks arrived in Fort Worth a week after the 8-0 Frogs suffered their fi rst setback of the season at Oklahoma State. Hence, the Horned Ones went though the motions, topping KU, 23-17, as 46-point favorites. This season, Gary Patterson’s squad arrives in Lawrence off a 12-round slugfest with Oklahoma in which they lost a 52-46 decision. That makes laying four touchdowns (though it seems kind of reasonable considering last year’s number) on the conference road rather diffi cult. Taking a look at the numbers, we could actually make a case for the Jayhawks as they are 4-0 ATS in this series since TCU joined the Big 12 in 2012 and 7-3 ATS following a weekday game while the Frogs are 0-6 ATS in the fi rst of back-to-back roadies. However, if the pissed-off amphibians decide to bounce, then we have to be leery of their 5-1 ATS log as road favorites of 21 or more points. Thus, we’re not on Kansas anymore. Next.

DUKE over Army by 6 The Cadets hit the road for a third straight game but they do benefi t from a week of rest. With revenge from a 41-point loss last season at West Point, we were about ready to snap the rubber band with the business-like Black Knights before this distraught stat was spewed from our well-oiled machine: Army is 1-19 ATS in regular-season games when playing with rest against anyone other than Navy. Talk about a major buzz-kill! They now catch a Duke bunch that was done in by six turnovers and a massive Irish letdown in a 34-20 Homecoming loss to Virginia last Saturday. The Blue Devils have now allowed season high – or 2nd high – yardage to all four FBS foes this season. Thus, we had no intention of dancing with these Devils – especially with Louisville on deck – until our unbelievable discovery about the Cadets and rest. So now we’ll pass rather than bust with rust today on Tobacco Road. Care to dance around that?

Syracuse over WAKE FOREST by 3 All good things must come to an end – especially if you’re a Wake Forest football team that hasn’t started the season with fi ve straight wins since Nintendo released the Wii and Dexter started taking justice into his own hands (2006). Our highly acclaimed MIDWEEK ALERT (as well as this publication) was on to the Deacons as they were outgained by 258 total yards in a Week Four win over Indiana. In last week’s loss, Wake was outstatted by 175 yards and that’s a major cause for concern – especially against an Orange squad that is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS all-time in this series and a coach who is 6-1-1 ATS as a single-digit dog, winning fi ve of those games in SU fashion. However, before squeezing a few hard-earned shekels out of the piggy bank, we must report that Syracuse has allowed season high – or 2nd high – yardage to all four of its FBS foes this season. Orange you glad we pointed that out? Still, we’ll grab the points with dog-loving Dino Babers.

5� BEST BET

Texas Tech star QB Patrick Mahomes (day-to-day) left last week’s victory over Kansas with a shoulder injury in the 3rd quarter and was replaced by Nic Shimonek who promptly threw for 271 yards and four TDs the rest of the way. However, there’s a far bigger difference than just ‘State’ between the two Kansas schools as the Wildcats have held their last three foes to season-low yardage while the Jayhawks would have trouble stopping a fraternity fl ag football team in the snow. So whether it’s Mahomes or Shimonek under center this Saturday in Manhattan, we’ll be fi rst in line to fade the defenseless Raiders who are surrendering 507 YPG to FBS foes this season, and allowed a season-high 68 points and 652 yards at Arizona State in their only road appearance to date. This is the same TTRR squad that is surrendering 43 PPG in its last 13 road games. You can bet (and we will) that Grandpa will have his 4th-ranked stop-unit (allowing 241 YPG) eating raw meat after watching tapes of last season’s game in Lubbock – a contest which saw the Raiders ring up 658 yards in a 59-44 victory – their fi rst win in the series since 2009 (1-4 SUATS). Thus, there’s only one way to look, especially after conferring with THE CLINCHER: Head coach Bill Snyder is at his absolute best at home when playing off a SU loss as our TRIVIA TEASER on page 2 attests.

KANSAS ST over Texas Tech by 20

MINNESOTA over Iowa by 6Safe to say, the Hawkeyes are a shell of last year’s Big Ten title team, having been outstatted in four of fi ve games this campaign, allowing 24 YPG more than they are gaining. They dropped to 3-2 on the season after losing to Northwestern, 38-31, a team that was averaging just 16 PPG entering the contest. The offensive line for the Hawkeyes was terrible, giving up six sacks – four by Wildcat DE Ifeadi Odenigbo – and QB C.J. Beathard had no time to fi nd his receivers. Meanwhile, the Golden Gophers had two running backs (Rodney Smith and Shannon Brooks) reach the century mark on the ground in a 29-26 OT loss to Penn State, and defensively, they bottled up star Penn State RB Saquon Barkley for most of the game until it counted. Barkley’s 25-yard TD run up the middle gave the Nittany Lions the victory and saddled the Gophers with their fi rst loss of the season. Minnesota has won three of the last four contests in this series at home and is 6-1 ATS overall in the role of home underdog. To cap it off, Iowa is a ‘leaking oil’ favorite here after going 0-3 In The Stats in the last three games, and except for the tough OT loss last week, we’d be backing the Gophers just a bit harder today as they try to reclaim the Floyd of Rosedale trophy.

OHIO ST over Indiana by 27Urban Meyer is putting up legendary numbers (54-4 with the Buckeyes) and with it comes humongous prices. Thus, with Ohio State coming off last week’s 58-point whitewash win over Rutgers, this game is loaded with value for the hard-trying dog. The Bucks are just 1-4 versus the number in their last fi ve Big Ten games at the Horseshoe when giving 25 or more points and the Hoosiers are 3-1 ATS as road dogs of 28 or more points. Indiana showed that they can play with anyone after knocking off Sparty in OT last weekend, and despite losing 21 straight to the Buckeyes, they have bagged the cash in their last fi ve matchups with Ohio State. Last week’s win was the fi rst over a ranked team for the Hoosiers since 2006, and while it would be a huge shock to see them do that two weeks in a row, we have no problem believing that Kevin Wilson’s squad can at least keep it relatively close here. Grab the points and cross your fi ngers.

ILLINOIS over Purdue by 3We saw a pretty game effort from the Fighting Illini in Lincoln last weekend as they tried to spoil Homecoming in front of a ‘Sea of Red’ in Nebraska’s 351st consecutive sell-out at Memorial Stadium. Lovie Smith’s team even held a 16-10 lead heading into the 4th quarter before Terrell Newby took over. The Illini then had their guts ripped out in a 21-0 fi nish by the Huskers as Newby touched the football on 13 of the Huskers’ 15 plays in the fi nal stanza, rolling up 113 yards on the ground with 2 TDs. Meanwhile the Boilermakers were held to just 208 yards in a 50-7 thumping at the hands of the Terrapins. But Purdue has covered its last eight games as double-digit road dogs, and with revenge from a 48-14 home loss last year – coupled with that 43-point loss at Maryland last week – we should see a more focused effort today. Besides, the Illini a ‘leaking oil’ favorite, a team that’s been outstatted by over 100 yards in each of their last three games. We’re defi nitely on the take here.

GAME OF THE WEEKUPSETUPSET UPSETUPSET

Virginia Tech over N CAROLINA by 10The Tar Heels have quietly won 15 of their last 16 regular season games, including 9 straight in Chapel Hill. However, they are coming off that huge last-second win over Florida State and have the Canes on deck, so this becomes a very tricky sandwich for Carolina. On the fl ip side, the Hokies are beating FBS foes by an average of 148 YPG this season – while UNC is losing the stats by 10 YPG against the same ilk. Hence, with the better defense this season by 158 YPG in FBS contests, it’s not diffi cult taking points with an avenging dog (dropped a 30-27 decision at home to the Heels last year). Remember, Hokies head coach Justin Fuente is 3-0 ATS as a dog of 10 or less points when his troops are off a win. He’s also 16-8 SUATS in games against foes who allow more than 28.5 PPG, including 5-0 ATS in those games as a dog of less than 20 points. But when push comes to shove in this contest, we’ll rely on THE CLINCHER: teams who beat Florida State are just 12-20 ATS at home the following game, including 1-9 ATS when facing a winning foe off a double-digit win.


VegasINSIDER.com



NC STATE over Notre Dame by 6Based on name and reputation, the Irish opened as slight favorites. But bettors quickly fl ip-fl opped that, probably based on the fact that Notre Dame’s dastardly defense is giving up 461 YPG while the Wolfpack are averaging over 500 YPG and giving up just 322 yards per contest. There wasn’t any noticeable difference in the Dame’s stop unit (and we use that term loosely) – after DC Brian VanGorder was fi red following the shocking loss to Duke and replaced with Greg Hudson – when Syracuse rolled up 33 points and 489 yards last week. It’s shocking to see the Golden Domers at 2-3, but despite QB DeShone Kizer’s best efforts, maybe it’s time realize that the Irish are just not that good. On the other hand, we know that the Wolfpack are never intimidated by matchups with high-profi le programs (witness their 8-2 ATS record against Florida State over the past 10 seasons) and new OC Eliah Drinkwiiz has installed a very explosive attack since coming over from Boise State. Keep an eye on this line, but a Wolfpack win today would not be that big an upset.

OHIO U over Bowling Green by 16Like a hooker walking into a PTA meeting, you could just see it coming when the cheesy Bee Gees were installed as favorites over improving EMU. Not surprisingly, they fell to their knees in yet another SU Homecoming favorite loss and new HC Mike Jinks appears to be a huge drop-off from Dino Babers, who is now calling the shots at Syracuse. But now it’s time for the Bobcats to be installed as chalk on Homecoming in Athens, so watch out. With Ohio having just one win in the last fi ve meetings in this series, and the Falcons cashing the ticket each time, we can’t lay this kind of wood into a dominating dog in a Homecoming affair… and neither should you. Back off the Bobcats today.

Toledo over EASTERN MICHIGAN by 10The Rockets had held their fi rst three foes to season-low yards before yielding 586 yards to BYU last week in a gut-wrenching 55-53 loss, the most yardage they’ve allowed this season. After Toledo took a 53-52 lead with 1:11 left, the Cougars moved deep into Rockets’ territory with a couple of big plays by BYU QB Taysom Hill. Following a critical facemask penalty, the Cougars booted the game-winning fi eld goal on the fi nal play. EMU’s numbers are up dramatically on both sides of the ball this season (offense +71 YPG; defense +127 YPG), as this is a completely different team in Chris Creighton’s third season. With that, we’ll toss out the Eagles’ poor series history (lost 9 straight times to the Rockets). Plus, we have to wonder if the after effects of that BYU loss don’t take a toll on Toledo as they take to the gray turf in Rynearson Stadium against the vastly improved Eagles today. A solid take is on order.

Houston over NAVY by 10One of the strangest box scores that we’ve come across over the last 10 years occurred in last week’s Air Force-Navy military matchup when both of these plowhorses passed for more yards than they gained on the ground. Yes, you read that right. It was mainly because the Midshipmen fell behind 20-0 after their rushing attack was completely shut down by the Falcons (managed just 57 yards on 38 carries). Meanwhile, Tom Herman’s team is a strong 6-0 ATS on the road versus conference revenge, 9-1 versus the number as double-digit road favorites and 6-1 ATS when coming off a SU win of 28 or more points. Sounds like we’re making a good case for a blowout by the talented Coogs, right? Not so fast, my friends. Instead, we expect the lurking presence of the SMART BOX – and the best of the SMART BOX, no less – to keep Navy in the game. Yes, we look for the Swabbies to get back to what they do best – running the ball and controlling the clock. We cement the call with this dandy from our database: 5-0 favorites of less than 20 points in Game Six of the season are 7-19 ATS when facing an opponent off its fi rst loss of the season.

USF over East Carolina by 8Pirates QB Phillip Nelson left last week’s skirmish with Central Florida after a targeting hit knocked him out of the contest late in the 3rd quarter. Sophomore QB Gardner Minshew came in and immediately threw a 75-yard TD pass to bring East Carolina within 2 points. However, a trio turnovers in the 4th period by the young backup helped the Knights pull away for a comfortable win. ECU is now riding a 0-3 SUATS losing skid, a role in which they are 3-0 SU and 2-0 SUATS in the following game since 1993. Meanwhile, the Bulls bounced back from their loss to FSU as they rallied from a 20-17 defi cit to win 45-20 at Cincinnati and move to 4-1. QB Quinton Flowers had a rather pedestrian effort as a passer, but ran for 74 yards and 2 TDs, while star RB Marlon Mack gained 118 yards and also scored twice, becoming the school’s all-time leading rusher. Willie Taggart’s high-powered Gulf Coast offense, currently ranked 5th in the nation in scoring offense with 45.8 PPG, will look to light up the scoreboard once again at Raymond James Stadium, but this Homecoming

affair turns us off, especially with Temple and Navy revengers coming up later this month. Be sure and check the status of Nelson for this game if you’re intent on taking a side.

Oklahoma over Texas by 7There’s no denying the Sooners looked impressive in their 52-46 win at TCU last week when they came back after trailing 21-7 early to outscore the Horned Frogs 42-3 in the middle two quarters. Stoops’ troops appear motivated with a pair of losses on their ledger, which brings up this interesting tidbit from our Coaches Database: Big Game Bob is 7-3 SUATS in this series when the Sooners are undefeated; but only 3-4 SU and 1-5-1 ATS when OU owns at least one loss on the season. Meanwhile, the Horns outstatted Oklahoma State in a 49-31 loss last week and remain spotless in the ITS wars this season. However, Charlie Strong demoted his DC Vance Bedford this week after Texas allowed 99 points in losses to Cal and OSU. He will direct the stop unit now himself, which can only be good news considering his defensive coordinator upbringing. Be aware that Texas saw their top two RB’s – Chris Warren (knee) and D’Onta Foreman (ribs) – leave last week’s game against Oklahoma State in the 3rd quarter with injuries. Foreman has been upgraded to probable, but check the injury status of both players before jumping too deep into this Red River Rivalry, which will be played in Dallas at the Cotton Bowl. FYI: The Sooners are just 3-11-1 SU and 2-12-1 ATS seeking revenge (lost 24-17 as 16-point chalk to Texas last season) when coming off one-win-exact that was preceded by a loss. Hook ‘em!

Florida St over MIAMI FLA by 3If we had told you that the aforementioned Sooners and the Seminoles would have FOUR losses combined on October 2nd, would you have believed us? We doubt it. But that’s the case after FSU dropped a heart-breaking decision to the Tar Heels last week on a 54-yard FG at the fi nal gun, snapping their 22-game home winning streak. The Noles are near the bottom of the Top 25 in the two major polls and Miami is ranked 10th in both, but the Canes have dropped six straight to Florida State in this series. Right now, the only chink in the armor for the ‘U’ this season is the fact they were outgained in a win over Georgia Tech last week. Two fumble recoveries for touchdowns in a 46-second span paved the way for UM’s victory in Atlanta, but it was a game in where Tech held a nearly 2-to-1 edge in Time of Possession. Miami is the only team in the current Top 10 without a win over a ranked opponent, and their strength of schedule ranks #112 in the nation. And here’s a really ugly stat if you’re a Canes fan: teams are just 1-5-1 ATS as favorites in games after a win over the Wreck if their next opponent is coming off a SU favorite loss. Miami fi nally has a chance to prove themselves under new head coach Mark Richt, but his 2-7 ATS career mark as a home favorite against winning foes off a loss is a major concern. Look for the seething Noles to continue their dominance at Hard Rock Stadium in this clash of the titans.

GEORGIA ST over Texas St by 10A matchup of two Sun Belters headed in the wrong direction. The Bobcats are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ITS in games versus FBS foes this season, losing the stats by an average of 289 YPG. The Panthers are 0-4 SU and ITS versus the same by an average losing margin of 189 YPG, making them a ‘leaking oil’ favorite here. TSU is also 0-4 SUATS off a win over the last two seasons. Georgia State is 0-5 ATS at home versus an opponent coming off a SU double-digit win, another stat that engenders no confi dence in either side. We’ll lean ever so slightly to the host in this disaster as out database reminds us that 0-4 teams who were bowlers last season have gone 13-4-2 ATS in Game Fives. Good luck with that!

OLD DOMINION over UMass by 14Just like last year, the Minutemen are being pushed all over the fi eld, losing the stats by an average of 128 YPG with their only SU and ITS win this season coming against Florida International. That’s not saying much for a team now hitting the road after being camped out at home for four games in a row. The latest poor performance was last week at McGuirk Stadium, when the defense was gashed for 280 yards on the ground by Tulane and gave up an early 14-0 lead before eventually dropping a 31-24 decision on Homecoming day. Meanwhile, the Monarchs’ only losses this season came on the road at Appalachian State and NC State as they’ve got bowling on their minds this year after 5-and-6 win campaigns over the past two seasons. Old Dominion showed a balanced offensive attack behind QB David Washington in a 52-17 pasting on the road of Charlotte last Saturday, and since this school started playing football in 2009 before moving to FBS play in 2014, a bowl appearance would be a watershed moment for this program. There’s only one way to look here.


FLA ATLANTIC over Charlotte by 8Here we go again. The Owls are favored in a contest despite the fact they are 0-4 SUATS in FBS games this season and 0-5 ITS in all games. That makes them a certifi ed ‘leaking oil’ fade, and with a horrifi c 0-10-1 ATS mark as chalk since the fi nal game of 2013, we have no problem obliging in what is probably the least attractive game on the NCAA schedule this week. In fact, the 49ers are the lowest-rated FBS team in the Sagarin ratings (Ohio State would be an 82-point favorite over Charlotte in the CFB Playoffs), but they’re still a dog returning 17 starters and are playing off back-to-back SUATS losses against an opponent off consecutive losses. Teams in this role are 35-10 ATS since 1990 – including 25-4 ATS away – so you know what to do. Grab the old clothespin and apply.

Ucla over ARIZONA ST by 3History tells us the visitor in this series has covered four straight times, but the Bruins are just 8-14 SU and 3-19 ATS in Game Sixes, including a disturbing 0-7 ATS over the past seven years. UCLA will be looking to avenge a 15-point home loss as 13-point chalk last season, but are just 1-4 ATS in the last fi ve years when seeking conference revenge. Meanwhile, the Sun Devils were just plain awful last week against USC after a 4-0 start to the campaign, falling behind 41-6 to the Trojans going into the 4th quarter before making the score somewhat respectable. ASU has averaged 43 PPG this year, but the only problem is the status of QB Manny Wilkins, who injured his leg late in the fi rst half against Southern Cal. HC Todd Graham said early in the week that the injury “wasn’t signifi cant”, but did not know if Wilkins would start. Redshirt freshman Brady White relieved Wilkins last Saturday and did a nice job, and Graham expressed a great deal of confi dence in the backup QB. The Sun Devils knocked off high-fl ying Texas Tech here in September and can do the same to the Bruins in the desert tonight.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN over Ball St by 8The Cardinals had their wings clipped in a 7-point loss as home favorites to Northern Illinois in a game that really wasn’t as close as the fi nal score indicated (lost the stats, 653-427). However, the Gonads have a good series history in their favor today, as they are 5-1 ATS the last six games overall versus the Chips, and 6-1 ATS in the last seven games at Mt. Pleasant in this series. After 3-0 start, Central Michigan has yielded 49 points in back-to-back games and as a result stands 3-2 heading into this fray. So after being taken back behind the shed and whipped 49-10 to close out last week’s game against rival Western Michigan, we’ll take a step back with the Chippewas this week.

Air Force over WYOMING by 3The Flyboys held Navy to 57 rushing yards on 38 attempts as the Falcons now own the nation’s top-ranked rush defense in games against FBS opponents, surrendering a mere 42 RYPG. The problem here is that the Falcons are 0-6 ATS over the last six years in games after playing Navy and have a huge revenger on deck with New Mexico (lost by 12 points as 11-point favorites at Albuquerque in the regular season fi nale last year). Meanwhile, speaking of defense, the Cowboys lassoed the Rams 38-17 after turning things around at halftime, holding Colorado State to just 134 yards after the intermission and winning the Border War for the fi rst time since 2012. Wyoming is now anxious to avenge a 14-point loss to Air Force last year and extend their streak of covers against the Flyboys to eight straight. In fact, the Pokes are 3-1 SUATS in the last four as home underdogs in this series. Cowboys lasso up the cover.

Georgia over SOUTH CAROLINA by 6For the fi rst time in over a decade, this rivalry sees new head coaches patrolling the sidelines and amazingly, they were actually teammates for a short time in Athens many years ago. Georgia’s HC Kirby Smart was heartbroken following Tennessee’s 34-31 comeback win last week – after Bulldog QB Jacob Eason hit Rodrigo Blankenship with a 47-yard TD strike to regain the lead with ten seconds left, Joshua Dobbs gave the Vols an improbable victory with a 43-yard Hail Mary TD on the fi nal play. Meanwhile, Will Muschamp’s squad dropped to 2-3 in his fi rst season at the helm after a 24-13 loss to Texas A&M, when the Gamecocks were only able to manage two 2nd-half fi eld goals following A.J. Turner’s 75-yard TD gallop on South Carolina’s fi rst play from scrimmage. The Dawgs, who should have RB Nick Chubb back this week, are 6-1 ATS as conference road favorites of 7 points or less with revenge (watch this line), but they’re 0-5 ATS after playing Tennessee. The Gamecocks are 4-0 ATS as home underdogs of 7 or less but have lost the stats war in their last four games – despite holding Texas A&M and Vandy to a season-lows in yardage. Tough call… we’ll let you make it.

Marc Lawrence’s award-winning football selections are available all season long at: VegasINSIDER.com

4� BEST BET

Autumn is here, and much like the arrival of cooler climes, you can always count on watching a headliner SEC matchup every Saturday afternoon on CBS. This week it’s a Texas Triangle showdown pitting the No. 8 Aggies against the visiting No. 9 Volunteers. No doubt you’re still in shock if you saw the end of last week’s miracle Tennessee win over Georgia. How many times has a team LOST a game with just seconds remaining on the clock, then WON it right back on the fi nal play? Then again, we’re dealing with a Vols squad that coughed up a 4th-quarter lead in all four of their losses last season, but have now won four games this season after trailing by double-digits in the contest. WTF? While Kevin Sumlin’s Aggies are 3-0 in SEC play for the fi rst time since entering the conference, they own dreadful numbers in this matchup, going 1-5 ATS before a conference revenge road game and 2-5 ATS as SEC home chalk of less than 8 points. Another ominous note for the Aggies: they have surrendered season-high yardage in each of their last two contests. Tennessee two-steps into town with an identical 5-0 record, the Vols’ fi rst since 1998 – the last year they won a National Championship – and they’re 4-2-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in conference road games versus an undefeated foe when playing off a previous away game. Honestly, Big Orange has yet to put together a 60-minute effort this season and if they deliver here, UT won’t fold in the late going like Arkansas did versus the Aggies. Should you still have questions, we refer you to THE CLINCHER: check out this week’s ‘Collision Course’ AWESOME ANGLE on page 2.

Tennessee over TEXAS A&M by 6

Vanderbilt over KENTUCKY by 3In honor of the not-so-attractive girls and geeked-out weirdo boys that never dated or learned rudimentary social skills in high school, we present today’s Wallfl ower Classic from Lexington, Kentucky. Yes, of all the incredible success enjoyed by SEC football since the turn of the century, these two have shared in very little, occupying the conference’s ‘hind teat’ position for the majority of those years. Look at ‘em now: stuck under. 500 again (2-3 SU) and facing a meat-grinder schedule that won’t produce many more wins by season’s end. Folks, you know for certain you have a matchup of conference sad sacks when the Commodores and Wildcats are BOTH losing the stats by more than 100 YPG! Fortunately, we have a database that makes sense of mind-numbing affairs such as these and it wastes no time in hoisting the Vanderbilt fl ag. That’s because the Commies are a satisfying 7-0 ATS away versus avenging conference foes, not to mention 3-0 ATS in conference road openers the last three years. No such luck for the Mildcats, who are a dismal 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in the last fi ve series get-togethers. Toss in Kentucky’s 3-6 ATS effort in its last nine as SEC home chalk and we’re removing UK from our dance card. ‘Dores do it!

MISSISSIPPI ST over Auburn by 1Beleaguered Auburn HC Gus Malzahn made good on his promise to fi eld a considerably more focused football team than the one that started the season 1-2. First came the huge win over LSU, followed by last week’s 58-7 destruction of UL-Monroe in what would normally be a natural letdown spot. Now let’s see what Mr. Malzahn does against an SEC foe that has whipped the Tigers in three of the last four meetings – while pocketing the cash in all four. We think it’s still too early to make Aubbie an SEC road favorite, especially against a rested bunch of Bulldogs, and for those who won’t let up about MSU’s loss to South Alabama, take a look at what the Jaguars did to formerly No. 19 San Diego State last Saturday. Yes, the Tigers did outgain the Bulldogs in last year’s 17-9 loss at Auburn, and while that should provide added incentive in this rematch, we’re going to have to see more before we hop back on the bus with Gus. Even so, State’s inconsistent defense – surrendered season-high yards in the last two games – means we’ll have to think some more about challenging an Auburn team with scoring edges on both sides of the ball. Okay, here we go. We’re now in our thinking pose…

NEVADA over Fresno St by 11Ever go to a new restaurant, open the menu and realize there’s not one damn thing on it that looks any good? That’s exactly how we feel each week when we see games like this on the schedule. The ink is in jeopardy



of drying on the ‘Bring Back Ault’ signs as 2-3 Nevada returns home after losing back-to-back road games to Purdue by 10 points (acceptable) and Hawaii by 21 points (the Rainbow Warriors’ largest overall margin of victory since 2012 – NOT acceptable). The Wolf Pack, who enter the year off back-to-back bowl appearances, continue to be stat-unfriendly. They’ve been outgained by nearly 100 YPG this season and if they can’t fl ip the script soon, the Pack will give up more yards than they’ve gained for the 4th straight year under HC Brian Polian. But if you think things look ragged in Reno, be advised the Fresno State football program is currently on life support. Yes, it’s becoming apparent the Bulldogs are looked upon little more than mongrels by the oddsmakers in Vegas – witness the fact they’ve been installed as double-digit dogs in every FBS contest this season, including last week at UNLV (yikes). That’s what happens when you’re 1-4 and have been outstatted by almost 200 YPG against EVERY FBS opponent this year. But we can’t take an underachieving Wolf Pack squad that’s gone 1-4 ATS the last fi ve as a host in this series. So it’s back to the menu… or maybe the exit door.

Washington over OREGON by 2Finally, the guys who paid the big bucks to get Chris Petersen away from Boise State are starting to see a serious return on their investment. Now ranked No. 5 in the AP poll, Petersen’s Huskies look like a team that’s ready to crash the playoff party. But guess what? The last time the Huskies downed the Ducks, Dubya (President Bush) announced the capture of Saddam Hussein (2003). So coming off their biggest win of the Petersen era (last year’s upset over USC a close second – lost 26-20 as 3-point chalk to Oregon following that win), we can’t blame these newbies if they show up somewhat fl at at Autzen Stadium tonight. Too bad the Ducks have darn near fl at-lined of late, losing three consecutive games for the fi rst time since 2007, and making their fi rst appearance as home underdogs since 2009. Translation: if you think the seat is hot in Happy Valley under James Franklin’s keister, Oregon HC Mark Helfrich doesn’t go anywhere without a fi re extinguisher these days. Understand, though, that OU is 14-10 SU and 16-8 ATS as a dog in Eugene since 1987, and the Ducks boast a perfect 5-0 ATS mark in the home dog role of late when getting fewer than 20 points. The Huskies have been sent straight to the morgue in this series, tagged with a 0-12 SU and 1-11 ATS failure in their last dozen matchups, and they’ve failed to cash in fi ve straight games as a Pac-12 revenger. Best of all, we fi nd ourselves with another DIA DIA (Dominating Dog In Action) situation, something that makes us sit up and take notice every time. Put out the fl ames and take the points.

USC over Colorado by 10Calling Ripley’s: not only does this current herd of Buffaloes look like the real deal, they also have a legitimate shot at winning the Pac-12 South – something we probably haven’t said since Bill McCartney walked the Colorado sidelines. But while we admit the Buffs have dramatically improved, we should remind you that they’re still just 7-49 SU and 19-36-1 ATS in their last 56 true away games. Not encouraging in light of a line move that’s seen the number drop from the opening price of USC -6.5 to -4… unless you overheard our database singing Southern Cal’s praises. Turns out the Trojans have been double-digit chalk in this series for fi ve years running (laid 17 at Boulder last year), which suggests they won’t go quietly in the Coliseum this afternoon. They’re also 12-4 ATS in Pac-12 games with a losing record when not laying 6 or more points, including 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS versus .800 or less opponents. Forget about USC’s 2-3 start. We suggest staying at home with the Trojans in this Bob Barker special – only because the ‘price is right’.

Michigan over RUTGERS by 20Jim Harbaugh’s Wolverines learned some valuable lessons last week when they were taken to the limit by Wisconsin before eking out a hardscrabble 14-7 decision, a game where the Badgers made a mockery of the double-digit pointspread favoring Michigan. Meanwhile, Rutgers was getting undressed in front of 105,000 people in Ohio Stadium (no, it wasn’t a dream) where the Knights were paraded up and down the fi eld while being spanked repeatedly, until a pair of zeroes on the scoreboard clock signaled the end of a merciless 58-0 drubbing by the Buckeyes. Anyone who even saw highlights of that game won’t want the Scarlet here, not even after we tell you they’re 8-3 SU and 7-4 ATS in Game Six, including 5-1 ATS as dogs. What if we told you Michigan has failed to cover its fi rst road game of the season for four straight years? Or that the Maize-and-Blue is a money-burning 1-5 ATS as road chalk of 22 or more points? You’d probably point out that the Wolverines are playing ferocious defense, holding all fi ve foes to season-low yards in 2016. Or that even though the trip is a scheduling dead spot, Michigan does get a week off afterwards to prepare for a home game with Illinois. The fi nal decision is rendered by our SMART BOX, which reminds us UM is a certifi ed 5-0 FAT CAT here,

and it commands a Harbaugh fade today. In a classic case of trusting the Sagacious Square – and fi nding the biggest clothespin in the drawer – we say take it or leave it.

Marshall over NORTH TEXAS by 6Has Marshall got anything left for this game? After getting blasted in previous weeks by Akron (65-38) and Louisville (59-28), the Herd rallied from a 27-0 defi cit against favored Pittsburgh last Saturday to trim the Panthers’ lead to 30-27 with just 4 minutes remaining, only to give up a pair of late TDs and fall to 1-3 on the year. Whew! Off that emotionally-draining trio of games, we now fi nd Marshall taking to the road as a double-digit favorite, a role in which the Herd has really struggled in the past (11-17 ATS) – and that was with GOOD teams. With its only win this season coming against Morgan State (Leroy Kelly’s alma mater), we have serious reservations about anteing up with Marshall tonight, even against a Lean Green bunch whose only stat win this year came against Bethune-Cookman. NOTE TO NCAA: Here’s a suggestion. Let’s play FBS games against FBS opposition, drop the façade and start comparing apples to apples – what d’ya say? You don’t see MLB teams playing minor league foes, or NBA squads taking on Developmental teams, during the course of the regular season, do you? While we wait for a phone call to tell us our idea is not a good one, we will inform you that North Texas is a respectable 18-13 SU and 16-10-1 ATS mark at Apogee Stadium since 2011, including 13-6 ATS when off a loss. Time for 1st-year HC Seth Littrell and the Mean Green to regain some of the respect they’ve lost over the previous two seasons… starting with an ATS cover here.

Southern Miss over UTSA by 21What could be more ‘Texas’ than a game featuring a team from the Lone Star State that kicks off a high noon? Probably one featuring a better outfi t than a Roadrunners’ contingent that’s posted a miserable 2-12 ATS mark in 14 SU conference losses since joining the FBS in 2012. UTSA stumbled as expected at Old Dominion last Saturday after blowing a big lead over Arizona State at home the previous week, dropping a 32-28 heartbreaker. Returning to the scene of the crime (Alamodome), the ‘Runners now have to square off against what could be the biggest turnaround story in the FBS over the last two seasons: Southern Miss. After winning just FOUR games from 2012-14, the Golden Eagles have gone 13-6 SU since the start of the 2015 campaign. They’ve also transformed into game-stat predators, chewing up opposition to the tune of 255 net YPG so far. That doesn’t bode well for a UTSA squad that’s been picked apart by over 100 YPG in all three FBS battles (losses) in 2016. Looks like the Eagles’ spotless 7-0 ATS record away mark against sub .800 foes the past two seasons does not appear to be in harm’s way today. Sit back and enjoy the fl ight.

FLORIDA over Lsu by 3A rare triple-revenge role for the Gators who are 4-1 SU but just 1-4 ATS this season. Was there an LSU lookahead in last week’s lethargic 13-6 win over Vanderbilt? Perhaps. But it was undeniably ugly, prompting Florida head coach Jim McElwain to comment after the game, “A wise man once told me, no matter what, you even got to bring them ugly babies home from the hospital. And that was ugly.” Meanwhile, LSU rang in the soon-to-be-short-lived Ed ‘Manpower’ Orgeron era with a cathartic 42-7 blowout win over Missouri at Baton Rouge. Both sides bring a bevy of good numbers into this important clash. LSU has cashed in fi ve of the last six series scrums and owns a 7-3 ATS mark when facing an SEC foe before a non-conference game. Florida answers with an impressive 8-0 ATS log as an SEC dog off an ATS loss versus a foe off a SUATS win, and the Gators are 23-7-1 ATS with conference revenge off a win versus a foe off a win. Add the Bayou Bengals’ weak 2-5 ATS effort away from Death Valley against a team with conference revenge into the mix and only the questionable status of Florida starting QB Luke Del Rio keeps us from snapping the rubber band. With LSU opening as a scant 1-point favorite, we’ll wait for injury updates on Del Rio as we see which way the line moves.

UL-MONROE over Idaho by 1There was a mad rush at the windows against the Vandals last week versus Troy, driving the line from Trojans -12 to -15 at kickoff – and Idaho indeed looked like a team ready to throw in the towel on their FBS membership, losing 34-13 at the Kibbie Dome. As a result, Paul Petrino’s potatoheads are 0-4 ITS in FBS scrums, losing by an average stat margin of 212 YPG. It’s futility like that which keeps us from trying to capitalize on Idaho’s profi table 5-1 ATS mark of late against sub .500 conference foes. The Warhawks fi nally get back home following a grueling 3-game gauntlet versus Oklahoma, Georgia Southern and Auburn (3 SU losses, outscored 140-45) but our MIDWEEK ALERT warns us to steer clear. ULM is the latest in a long line of




‘leaking oil’ favorites, now 0-3 ITS in its previous three games, losing the stats by a whopping 270 YPG in those contests. Though the Vandals have covered in back-to-back series meetings under Petrino, the bottom line is we have zero interest in a pair of programs headed nowhere fast.

UTEP over Florida Int’l by 8First, former Panthers head coach Ron Turner (canned two weeks ago) expressed his shock and disappointment at being fi red. Then, just like it was written in Hollywood, FIU went out and stunned arch rival Florida Atlantic in the annual hatefest known as the Shula Bowl, 33-31. Hey guys, if you’d played like that to start the season, Turner would still be there! The truth is a majority of those on the FIU campus would’ve been okay with the axe falling much earlier, and we think once the euphoria of the FAU victory fades amid the reality of a CUSA road trip, the Panthers’ surge of mini-momentum will come to a crashing halt in old El Paso tonight. That’s too bad, considering the visitors owns a surprisingly sharp 9-3 ATS mark in conference games off a win, and they’re facing a ragtag group of Miners that dropped four consecutive contests – while scoring 35 TOTAL POINTS – since getting past New Mexico State in their season opener. However, we think the UTEP offense will fi nd new life against the lightweight Panthers, and the Miners’ 7-0-2 ATS mark in their last nine tries as chalk should serve them well in a series that’s seen the host team romp in both meetings.

Alabama over ARKANSAS by 8Alabama’s bulletproof persona sure makes it tough to challenge the Tide. Not only do they bludgeon you with their 44 PPG offense, the defense is always formidable (69.4 rushing YPG in 2016) and special teams seem to deliver a big play whenever needed (the two units have scored a non-offensive TD in each of Bama’s last 9 games). But the great equalizer we call the pointspread has been profi cient at limiting the Tide’s ATS success. Saban’s boys are just 9-12 as road chalk since the start of the 2013 season and a troubling 1-4 ATS of late as an SEC road favorite of 10 or more points. Despite the perception that Arkansas is still a bunch of run-happy Hogs, the Razorbacks are gaining more yards through the air (246) than on the ground, which gives them a more balanced attack versus a Bama stop-unit primarily built to stifl e the run. These Hogs also go wild as double-digit dogs off a win, rooting out an 11-4 ATS mark, including 2-0 ATS at home. Though Nick won’t admit it, there’s a good chance his team will be distracted by two huge conference games on deck versus Tennessee and Texas A&M. Thus, we’ll back Arkansas to improve to 6-1 ATS when playing at home with conference revenge, and the series host to go 6-2 ATS. We know it’s tough stepping in front of the Tide but this is a good spot to do it.

UTAH over Arizona by 3If any team can attest to the occasionally random cruelty of college football, it’s Utah. Down 28-17 midway through the 4th quarter at California last Saturday, the Utes scored with 6:42 left to pull within 28-23. They regained possession in the late going and soon found themselves with a fi rst-and-goal at the Bears’ 2-yard line. Three straight times Utah failed to get into the end zone, and on 4th-and-goal at the 1-yard line, RB Zach Moss was stuffed on the game’s fi nal play. That gut-wrenching defeat – the Utes were 4-0 and ranked No. 18, with visions of national relevance dancing in their heads – may have a lingering effect here in this gloomy Homecoming affair. Utah’s 0-5 ATS failure of late as a home favorite of 7 or more points is a huge red fl ag, as is the fact that the visiting Wildcats have won AND covered the last four series showdowns. Rich Rod and his Cats may not be able to cash a ticket as home chalk (5-14 ATS) but they are an eye-opening 11-1 ATS off back-to-back losses versus .500 or greater opponents. Remember, Arizona took mighty Washington to overtime before coming up short and the 2-3 Wildcats can’t afford to lose many more if they want to extend their skein of 4 straight bowl appearances. Take the points as another Homecoming favorite fails to git ‘er done.

SAN DIEGO ST over Unlv by 11Aztecs HC Rocky Long hopes he never sees South Alabama on his team’s schedule again. Last year the Jaguars shocked San Diego State at Qualcomm Stadium as 17.5-point underdogs, 34-27. Fast forward to last Saturday as the Aztecs journeyed to Mobile in hopes of getting even with the upstart Jags. So what happened? Long and company were embarrassed all over again, falling 42-24 as 18-point chalk – and the Aztecs dropped from the ranks of the undefeated. Most discouraging of all, SDSU led the game going into the 4th quarter and allowed South Alabama to score the fi nal 21 points in

the upset. So what comes next for Diego after such a mighty bubble burst? The week after last year’s stunner, the Aztecs took to the road and lost the money to Penn State, 37-21. This year they return home to lick their wounds and mourn the end of a 13-game win streak, but we can’t lay the big lumber with this bunch until they right the ship. It may not happen tonight: San Diego State is only 1-5 ATS of late as chalk of 15 or more points, plus UNLV has cashed in three of the last four series meetings. The Rebels keep trying to rebound under 2nd-year HC Tony Sanchez but a home loss to Idaho two weeks ago proves they’re still got a long way to go. However, they are 6-1 ATS as conference dogs of 15 or more points, and 5-1 ATS in the fi rst of back-to-back road trips. The game does pit strength versus strength, UNLV’s stout run defense against Aztecs star RB Donnel Pumphrey. In the end, Diego gets back in the win column but the Rebels head back to Vegas with the cash.

STANFORD over Washington St by 6All Aboard The Stanford Bounce-Back Train! After the Cardinal were buried in a Huskies’ scoring avalanche last Friday night, 44-6, many will be buying a ticket to see David Shaw’s treehuggers get back on track against a fl imsy Washington State pass defense that’s been torched for an average of 294 YPG. We won’t be in line: after last week’s whipping (Stan allowed 8 sacks against U-Dub, compared to 20 all last season), we’ll need to see some signs of life before laying a TD against anybody, especially a powerful offense like WSU’s 44 PPG unit. Stanford has had trouble getting up after a one-sided defeat, going 0-5 ATS off a SU loss of 21 or more points, plus the Cardinal are 0-4 ATS of late after tangling with Washington. And while we see genuine problems in the WSU secondary, they Cougars defense did hold Oregon to a season-low 416 yards of offense in last week’s big win. Our database also warns against blindly taking the Stanford side as Wazzu HC Mike Leach owns an impressive 8-1 ATS log in his last nine tries as an underdog. A 5-2 ATS run by the series visitor seals the deal. Wave goodbye to the train… we’re headed for the pay window with the Cougars.

California over OREGON ST by 8We’ve already described Cal’s monumental game-saving goal-line stand against Utah last week, a sight rarely witnessed from a Sonny Dykes-coached defense. Thus, the Bears are bound for a letdown this week at Corvallis, especially since they take on a near-lifeless bunch of Beavers that have been pounded in consecutive losses to Boise State (38-24) and Colorado (47-6). While Oregon State has fared well in the series since 1984 with an 18-9-1 ATS winning run, this year’s 0-3 SU and ITS failure versus FBS foes makes this a tough take. Still, California is staring down the road to revengers with Oregon and USC, and takes the fi eld tonight with a polarizing 3-16-1 ATS mark in their last 20 tries as road chalk. All things considered, we can’t resist fading Cal in a role they have historically been unable to handle.

Utah St by over COLORADO ST by 1It was a BAD week for University of Georgia players now in the coaching ranks. Former Bulldog DB and current HC Kirby Smart had to watch his defense give up a Hail Mary touchdown on the game’s fi nal play to lose to Tennessee. And former UGA QB Mike Bobo, now the 2nd-year HC at Colorado State, saw his Rams totally embarrassed in a home loss to Wyoming, a team that CSU had handled with ease the previous three years. Utah State has held the upper hand against Colorado State of late, covering the last three matchups, but the MIDWEEK ALERT tells us the Aggies are getting pushed around the fi eld in FBS wars this season, winning the stats in just one of their four games in 2016. We’re not anxious to lay a TD on the road after those performances, not when the Rams sport a super-tough 6-0 ATS home dog log against losing opponents off a loss. We’ll know more about these 2-3 teams after this one’s over but if you’re compelled to get involved here, we suggest a take.

SAN JOSE ST over Hawaii by 4Well, it’s right back to Honolulu International Airport for Matt Rolovich and his Rainbow Warriors as they continue their ‘All Over The World Tour’ this week with a third trip to the U.S. mainland – after opening the 2016 season in Australia. And while new Hawaii HC Nick Rolovich has seen improvement despite the jet lag (shocked Nevada last week as a 3-point home dog, 38-17), the Warriors’ timid 1-5 ATS record as dogs versus .333 or less opposition tells us they can’t get up even against bad teams – and the Spartans are a bad team. Yes, it’s hard to imagine San Jose State dressing up as a favorite after losing the stats by 151 YPG this season, but when your opponent is 1-26 SU in it last 27 away games, you understand why. And while we want no part of a ‘leaking oil’ favorite with Jose, we’re not thrilled about backing the kids from the pineapple patch either. If discretion truly is the better part of valor, we’ll discreetly avoid what looks like a train wreck waiting to happen. So should you.



PRO FOOTBALL

Thursday, October 6Arizona over SAN FRANCISCO by 6

Dizzying results from last week found the turnover bug infesting the Cardinals once again as 5 TO’s for the second straight week has resulted in back-to-back defeats for the Redbirds. Making matters worse, QB Carson Palmer (concussion) is questionable. And having to come back on short notice is not exactly what Bruce Arians desires, either, considering that since moving from St. Louis to Arizona in 1988, the Cardinals are just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS on Thursdays. On the fl ip side, the 49ers are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS on Thursdays when coming off a loss, including 3-0 SU and ATS when coming off consecutive losses. Toss in the fact that Arizona is 0-8 ATS as a division favorite following a division game and suddenly life atop the NFC West is just a memory for Arians and company these days. The squelcher, though, is the fact that Arians is 33-8 SU and 30-9-2 ATS in games against sub .600 opposition, including 18-4-1 ATS away. That and the fact the Cardinals buried the Rams in the stats in Sunday’s 4-point home loss, out-yarding the Rams by 132 yards. Provided Palmer gets the call, we’ll fade fl ighty Frisco as ‘Zona moves to 3-0 SUATS in regular season games off back-to-back losses under The Boss here tonight.

Sunday, October 9MINNESOTA over Houston by 3

A ballsy underdog call to say the least, given Minny’s torrid 4-0 SUATS start to the season, and head coach Mike Zimmer’s insane 20-4 ATS career record in games outside the NFC North, including 8-1 ATS versus opponents from the AFC. To that we say “whoa, Nellie” as eventually all good things come to an end, and almost always at an added cost. For openers, NFL teams who open the season on a 4-0 SUATS winning note are just 7-13-2 ATS without rest in Game Five since 1990, including 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS when facing a winning foe. The Texans enter 6-1 SUATS in their last seven regular season games, and 3-0 SUATS in their last three games after tackling Tennessee. It’s hard passing on quality dogs in the NFL, especially against foes that are 0-3 SUATS at home after playing at home on Monday Night. Sometimes you’ve got to do what you’ve got to do... and take the points.

Tennessee over MIAMI by 1Meet the epitome of apathy in the NFL... the Miami Dolphins. Lucky to be 1-3, the Fish have been out-yarded in each game and only the fact that three missed fi eld goals by a new kicker signed 36 hours prior to the game keeps them out of the welfare line. Looking back, Miami has now been out-gained in 21 of their last 26 games. Only Tennessee’s indifferent 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS record in their last nine away games versus losing opponents keeps us from reaching for the rubber band. Pity owner Stephen Ross. He has personally fi nanced nearly a half-billion dollars into renovating Hard Rock Stadium, but without a team worth watching, it will be money poured down the drain. A loss today will fi nd more empty seats at The Rock than at a Marlins game.

New England over CLEVELAND by 3In a bit of irony, Patriots coach Bill Belichick welcomes quarterback Tom Brady back from his 4-game suspension this week when Belichick takes on his former team, the Cleveland Browns, at his former stomping grounds in the Dawg Pound. The fact that the Pats were whitewashed for the fi rst time ever at Gillette Stadium last week certainly does not bode well, as NFL teams are just 18-42 SU following a shutout home loss, including 3-7 ATS as favorites during the fi rst half of the season. In addition, Belichick has gone 1-2 SUATS with the Pats on the North Coast. What we especially like about the Browns is the fact that this team refuses to throw in the towel. Despite horrifi c call by referees in two games – how do you award the ball to the opposing team on a fumble when your team is in possession of the ball? – Cleveland has out-yarded 3 of its 4 opponents this season under new head coach Hue Jackson. Even more important, New England is a fade in Marc’s BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW article on page 2. With the Pats 1-7 ATS as road favorites when playing between home games, the points are clearly the play in this Brady love-fest today.

PITTSBURGH over NY Jets by 3The Steelers are like an old girl friend. When they’re good they’re really, really good. And when they’re bad – well, they’re really bad. Sunday night’s performance against the Chiefs left backers wanting a marriage. But before a quick annulment it’s best to read over the pre-nups… or in this case the trends. Entering this season, New York QB Ryan Fitzpatrick was 0-18 SU away in games versus opponents who ended the season with a


VegasINSIDER.com

winning record. However, the Jets are 5-1 ATS against AFC opponents when New York is between NFC games, and Jets head coach Todd Bowles is 4-1 ATS as an away dog in his NFL career. On the fl ip side, Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS in games after scoring 40 or more points when taking on a foe off a pair of losses. Yes, we realize that teams tend to suffer after butting heads with Pete Carroll’s Seahawks, but that is almost always in games in which they are favored, or in games against opponents off a loss. Thus, we propose the Jets to be the right side in this contest today.

3� BEST BET

We’ll be the fi rst to admit it’s hard coming right back with a team that let us down as a 5* Best Bet on these pages last week... but we are. With assistance from our MIDWEEK ALERT football newsletter, this game stands out like Kate Upton at a South Beach photo shoot as the bumbling Redskins have committed 93 turnovers the last three-plus seasons. Worse, Washington enters off an ‘inside-out’ win over the Browns in which they were out-gained by 79 yards, while Baltimore checks in off a loss to the Raiders in which they won the stats by 151 yards. In fact, the Black Birds’ defense is beginning to resemble the stonewall stop-units of their glory days as they have held three of their four foes to season-low yardage marks this campaign. Yes, with Ravens’ head coach John Harbaugh 11-1 SU and 8-3 ATS at home with a winning record in games versus NFC opponents, and Baltimore 15-7 SU and 14-7-1 ATS at home following a home loss since 1992, we’re back on the Birds this week. Especially knowing THE CLINCHER: the Redskins are just 9-15 SUATS in non-division games under Jay Gruden, including 0-4 SUATS away versus AFC foes by an average loss margin of 18 PPG.

BALTIMORE over Washington by 13

4� BEST BET

Part of the hottest new quarterback duo to hit the league since the rookie tandem of Andrew Luck and Russell Wilson in 2012, Philadelphia’s Carson Wentz – along with Dallas’ Dak Prescott – represent the new wave of nouveau riche QB’s this season. With it though, comes a price – and one we’re not willing to pay. Granted, teams with new NFL coaches (re: Philadelphia with Doug Pederson) who win their fi rst three games of the season are 12-5 SU and 13-4 ATS in Game Four. But Lions’ head coach Jim Caldwell is 5-1-1 ATS in his NFL career in games versus opponents from the NFC East division, including 4-0 ATS versus opponents owning a .400 or better percentage. Add to that Detroit’s sparkly 7-1 ATS record in non-division games when coming off a pair of division bouts. And Detroit is also 8-3 ATS in non-division home games following the Chicago Bears. Yes, we realize Wentz has been near perfect in his NFL debut this season, but it all comes down to THE CLINCHER: 3-0 SUATS NFL teams away in Game Four of the season are 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS in non-division games if they were a losing team the previous season.

DETROIT over Philadelphia by 10

Chicago over INDIANAPOLIS by 3 Who’da thunk it? After three quarters in their game against the Jaguars in London last week, Colts QB Andrew Luck threw for 47 yards. Not on one pass, but for the entire three quarters. It’s what happens when you’re operating behind an offensive line that allowed six sacks in the game. One that sent you to the season-ending IR half way through the season last year. And according to Lorenzo Reyes of USA TODAY, an Indy OL that has gone 60 consecutive games without a 100-yard rusher – with only ONE running back able to eclipse the century mark in Luck’s career! C’mon Jim Irsay, wake up and smell the odor. Bears’ head coach John Fox is 12-3-1 ATS away following a win as an underdog. Sure, NFL teams 10-3-1 ATS in the game following a loss in London, but the Colts are the fi rst NFL team to


play the following week without rest after playing a game in London. Thus the operative words in this clash are “sea legs.” Trying to run with them is next to impossible. Trying to do it behind this offensive line is improbable. Colts fall to 1-5 ATS as a home favorite versus NFC North opponents.

DENVER over Atlanta by 8As we outlined in the Philadelphia game, NFL teams who open the season on a 4-0 SUATS winning note are just 7-13-2 ATS in Game Five since 1990, including 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS when taking on foes with a winning record. However, defending Super Bowl champions are 5-0 ATS at home in Game Five after opening the season on a 4-0 note. So which way do we turn here in this hitters-versus-pitchers matchup, you ask? With defenses like Denver’s that have held their last three foes to season-low yards, and Atlanta’s stop-unit, which has allowed 454, and 474 yards in their road games to date, we’re on the Broncos like white on rice. Yes we realize Atlanta is 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in its last eleven games against the AFC West, including 6-0 SUATS the last six away games. But when you’re off a record-setting performance like Julio Jones and the Atlanta offense achieved last week, it’s back to reality the next. Denver makes it 7 straight wins and covers against the NFC South today.

LA RAMS over Buffalo by 6Next to Oakland, the Rams might be the phoniest team in the NFL to date, standing 3-1 despite being out-gained in every contest, losing the stats by an average 111 YPG. So why is it we’re touting them over the recently revived Bills today? For openers, Buffalo enters off the biggest win in the Rex Ryan era, a 16-0 blank job at Gillette Stadium last week – the only shutout loss in that stadium by the Patriots. Teams hitting the non-division road as dogs off a shutout win in the NFL are a paltry 3-25 SU and 6-21-1 ATS since 1993. Add the fact that Buffy is 1-6 ATS away following games with New England and you have your answer. Yes, know Los Angeles head coach Jeff Fisher is 1-9 ATS as a non-division home favorite following a win when facing an opponent off a SU underdog win, and the Rams are 2-11 SU in games versus AFC East opponents, including 0-4 SU and ATS as a favorite. But ask Rex what the biggest win in his NFL career has been and we feel the answer is forthcoming.

San Diego over OAKLAND by 3 Drum roll, please. Meet the NFL’s biggest fraud this season, namely the Oakland Raiders. Standing 3-1 on the season despite allowing all four foes season-high yardage, and being out-yarded in all four games, Jack Del Rio is like a poker player who keeps raking in pots while sharps at the table aren’t catching cards. You just know that sooner or later the bad beats will turn the other way. The bottom line is you can’t muck your way through the NFL and we feel it starts here in this AFC West battle today. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS away as an underdog following a SU loss as a favorite. More important, the Bolts are 16-10 SU and 19-7 ATS as a visitor in this series, including 10-0 ATS when Oakland won its last game. The Raiders are 1-6 ATS in the fi rst of back-to-back division games, and just 4-7 SU and 2-9 ATS as favorites at home in their last eleven division games. Heck, it’s almost enough to go all-in.

Cincinnati over DALLAS by 7So popular are the Cowboys these days they actually opened as the favorite in this contest. However, that was quickly adjusted, when word got out that the Bengals are 14-3 ATS in games versus NFC East opponents,

Monday, October 10

CAROLINA over Tampa Bay by 13 It seems like a lot longer than LAST YEAR when the Panthers and the Cardinals met in the NFC championship game, doesn’t it? Worse yet, both quarterbacks, Cam Newton and Carson Palmer, are on the NFL’s concussion protocol list after taking big hits last week. With both teams 1-3 after the fi rst four games of the season, it would appear they are deeply in danger of even making the postseason, let alone meeting again in the NFC title game. Nonetheless, with Newton having even more headaches with recent charges of mansion trashing, Ron Rivera has backup QB Derek Anderson standing by as Superman waits word from the NFL on his playing status this Monday Night. What we do know is the beleaguered Bucs are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS the last six games in this series, while the Panthers are an astounding 16-1 ATS following an away game when facing an opponent off a home game. Toss in this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3 and suddenly Rivera can start sleeping again at night.

5� BEST BET

The fi rst thought here is we’re looking at a team playing on short rest, off a Monday Night game, against an opponent off a Bye Week. Well put that notion aside as our all-knowing well-oiled machine points out that rested teams off a win are just 7-13 ATS versus Monday Night foes off a loss, including 1-7 ATS the last eight games since 2000. And in fact, Big Blue rises to the occasion on Sunday Night games like the penis pill they are most famously associated with, going 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS when playing off back-to-back losses, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS when facing a foe off a win. It’s no secret we’re all over Green Bay Packers’ eroding QB Aaron Rodgers and his listless performance once again this season. We note the Cheeseheads have been out-statted in all three games this season – it’s a good thing Bill Belichick isn’t his head coach, right Bernie? – as Olivia Munn’s guy has now failed to pass for 300 yards in each of his last 12 games. He is also 0-2 ATS with rest in his career in games versus NFC East opponents. And speaking of quarterbacks we cement our call in this contest with THE CLINCHER: Giants’ QB Eli Manning is 24-12-1 ATS away versus NFC foes in his NFL career, including 6-0 SUATS off an away games when facing a sub .850 foe.

NY Giants over GREEN BAY by 6

including 7-0 ATS the past seven away games. The Black Cats are also 5-0 ATS following a home game versus an opponent that played an away game in its last contest. Enter the other half of the NFL rookie quarterback dynamic duo, Dak Prescott. While life in the Big D is dandy these days without Tony Romo, the fact of the matter is Prescott has yet to face a team that owns a winning record. Toss Dallas’ 0-4 ATS mark in games off a win of 7 or more points when facing the AFC North, and its 2-11 ATS record at home between away games into the mix and you can understand our agreeing with the line move in this game. Back the better team, with the better-proven QB, here.


WISE GUYS CONTESTA $10,000 Winners-Take-All Handicapping Event

Now in its 31st year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take-all handicapping event. All plays are graded against the lines posted after 4:00 PM Mondays on the WISE GUYS CONTEST page. Each week below we’ll post Single Plays from the Top 20 point-earners. Following the play is their overall Win-Loss record / Double Play record / Total Points earned to date.

GAME MATCHUPS KEY OVER/UNDER STATS

2 0 1 6 N AT I O N A L F O O T B A L L L E A G U E – W E E K F I V E

THE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP: O/U STYLEThe fi rst 8 games of the NFL schedule are listed below. As always, the number listed fi rst is the ‘OVER’ and the number listed second is the ‘UNDER’. *This week’s Playbook O/U TREND play: Cardinals @ 49ers ’UNDER’ the TOTAL.

AN 'OVER / UNDER' REPORT ON THIS WEEK'S NFL CARDBY VICTOR KING

ArizonaSAN FRANCISCO

HoustonMINNESOTA

TennesseeMIAMI

New EnglandCLEVELAND

NY JetsPITTSBURGH

WashingtonBALTIMORE

PhiladelphiaDETROIT

ChicagoINDIANAPOLIS

0-10 O/U L10 as div RF’s... 1-5 O/U off SU home fav loss... 1-3 O/U aft score 10 < pts... 1-3 O/U Thursdays... 3-7 O/U aft Rams0-11 O/U L11 as div HD’s... 1-8 O/U Thursdays... 2-15 O/U L15 home gms... 1-3 O/U L4 vs Arz (40.0)... 2-6 O/U aft Dal

8-3-1 O/U L12 away vs NFC... but 0-3 O/U aft Ten... 1-6 O/U Gm 5... 1-3 O/U bef Ind... 1-3 O/U off div HG... 1-3 O/U vs NFC North5-1 O/U in 2nd of BB HG... 6-2 O/U aft Mon gm... 7-3 O/U bef Bye Week... 7-3 O/U Gm 5... but 0-3-1 O/U vs AFC South

6-0 O/U in 2nd of BB RG... 5-1 O/U Gm 5... 4-1 O/U Bef Clev... 3-1 O/U L4 vs Mia (46.3)... but 2-6 O/U as dogs vs AFC East7-0 O/U aft Thur gm... 3-0 O/U Gm 5... 3-1 O/U vs AFC South LY... but 1-5 O/U bef Pit... 1-3 O/U aft Cin... 1-3 O/U aft score 7 < pts

5-0 O/U aft Buf... but 1-8 O/U RF’s > 3 w/ line 52 < pts... 1-4 O/U away aft score 0 pts... 1-4 O/U off div HG... 2-7 O/U favs 10 > pts4-0 O/U L4 vs NE (52.3)... but 0-4 O/U aft allow 31 > pts... 1-6 O/U as HD’s 7 > pts... 1-6 O/U off 4+ SU losses... 2-5 O/U bef Ten

5-0 O/U in 1st of BB RG... 5-2 O/U away vs AFC North... 7-3 O/U Gm 5... but 0-3 O/U L3 vs Pit (31.7)... 2-5 O/U bef Mon RG7-1 O/U non-div favs 5 > pts... but 0-4 O/U aft KC... 0-3 O/U Gm 5... 2-6 O/U vs AFC East... 1-3 O/U aft score 40+ pts

4-0 O/U this season (52.7)... 5-1 O/U bef Phil... 5-1 O/U vs AFC North.. 7-2 O/U off non-conf HG... but 0-10 O/U Gm 56-2-2 O/U vs NFC East... but 1-4 O/U L5 vs Was (34.0)... 1-4 O/U off home fav loss... 1-4 O/U in 2nd of BB HG... 3-9 O/U Gm 5

6-0 O/U vs NFC North... 5-0 O/U L5 vs Det (61.2)... 7-3 O/U bef Wash... but 1-5 O/U away aft Bye... 1-3 O/U Gm 4 4-0 O/U aft Chi... 12-1 O/U off BB div gms... 10-3 O/U vs NFC East... 7-3 O/U in 1st of 3+ HG... but 1-5 O/U vs opp off Bye

7-3 O/U aft Det... but 0-3 O/U away vs AFC LY... 1-4 O/U off home dog win... 2-6 O/U Gm 5... 1-3 O/U off div HG6-1 O/U aft Jac... 6-1 O/U vs NFC North... 4-1 O/U Gm 5... 6-2 O/U as non-conf HF’s... but 1-4 O/U bef div RG... 1-3 O/U bef Hou

Below are the current Top 20 Contestants from the 2016 Wise Guys Contest – One Point Single Plays Listed

Texas A&M (-7)

Browns OVER 46.5

Notre Dame (+1)

BENGALS (Pk)

49ers OVER 42

Memphis (-9.5)

EAGLES (-3)

So Miss (-16.5)

Virginia Tech (+2.5)

Oregon (+8)

5-3 / 2-2 / 7 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

5-3 / 2-2 / 7 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

5-3 / *2-2 / 8 pts

5-2-1 / 2-2 / 7 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

7-1 / 3-1 / 10 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

6-2 / 3-1 / 9 pts

Andy Iskoethelogicalapproach.com

Big Board [email protected]

Billy The Kidplaybook.com

Brady Kannon@lasvegasgolfer

California Sportscaliforniasports.com

Chuck Edelbradpowerssports.com

Doc’s Sportsdocsports.com

Fairway Jayvegassportszone.com

Greg Gontarykmaverick4sports

Hurricane Billplaybook.com

N Carolina (-2.5)

Texas A&M (-7)

BROWNS (+10)

BRONCOS (-5)

Texas St (+10.5)

Texas (+10.5)

CARDINALS (-3)

E Michigan (+17)

RAVENS (-3.5)

Florida Int’l (+5)

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

7-1 / 3-1 / 10 pts

5-3 / 2-2 / 7 pts

6-2 / 3-1 / 9 pts

6-2 / 3-1 / 9 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

5-2-1 / 2-1-1 / 7 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

5-3 / 3-1 / 8 pts

7-1 / 3-1 / 10 pts

Ken Thomsonsportsxradio.com

Mike Muzykamjmsportsline.com

Okie Sportsplaybook.com

Richard Wittplaybook.com

Robert Ferringoplaybook.com

Sammy Jankusplaybook.com

Scott Rickenbachplaybook.com

Statfox Davestatfox.com

TD TonyASHNetwork.com

Victor Kingplaybook.com


4

HAWAII4:30 PM TIME CHANGE SAN JOSE ST

413 414 4

6 3

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 9

MONDAY, OCTOBER 10

TAMPA BAY 8:30 PM CAROLINA ESPN

475 476 NL 13

HOUSTON1:00 PM MINNESOTA

TENNESSEE1:00 PM MIAMI

NEW ENGLAND1:00 PM CLEVELAND

NY JETS1:00 PM PITTSBURGH

WASHINGTON1:00 PM BALTIMORE

PHILADELPHIA1:00 PM DETROIT

CHICAGO1:00 PMINDIANAPOLIS

ATLANTA4:05 PMDENVER

BUFFALO4:25 PM LA RAMS

SAN DIEGO4:25 PM OAKLAND

CINCINNATI4:25 PM DALLAS

NY GIANTS 8:30 PM GREEN BAY NBC

451 452

453 454

455 456

457 458

459 460

461 462

463 464

465 466

467 468

469 470

471 472

473 474

2’

4

2’

1

6

7

10

3

8

6

3

7

6

4

2

MIAMI OHIO3:00 PM TIME CHANGE AKRON

KENT ST 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE BUFFALO

NO ILLINOIS CBSSN6:30 PM TIME CHANGE W MICHIGAN

BYU3:30 PM TIME CHANGE MICHIGAN ST

GEORGIA TECH 12:30 PM TIME CHANGE PITTSBURGH ACC MARYLAND12:00 PM PENN ST BTN IOWA ST 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE OKLA ST ESPNU

CINCINNATI CBSSN 11:30 AM TIME CHANGE CONNECTICUT

317 318

319 320

321 322

323 324

325 326

327 328

329 330

331 332

17 18

1

2’ 8

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 8

Pk

TULANE8:00 PM TIME CHANGE UCF ESPNU

CLEMSON ESPN 7:30 PM BOSTON COLL

SMU 8:00 PM TULSA ESPN2

BOISE ST CBSSN9:00 PM NEW MEXICO

309 310

311 312

313 314

315 316

18’ 11

1

ARIZONA CBS8:25 PM SAN FRANCISCO

TEMPLE 8:00 PM TIME CHANGE MEMPHIS ESPN

W KENTUCKY8:00 PM TIME CHANGE LA TECH CBSSN

303 304

305 306

307 308

12’ 8

17 6

2’ 1

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 6

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 7

2016 COLLEGE & PRO FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 5-10

A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT STAR-RATED BEST BET SELECTIONSTHIS WEEK'S BEST BETS

FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY,OCTOBER 10, 2016 4� BEST BET3� BEST BET 5� BEST BET

COLLEGE

NFL

UPSET GAME

BOSTON COLLEGE TENNESSEE KANSAS STATE

RAVENS LIONS NY GIANTS

VIRGINIA TECH“Your purchase of the information in this publication is intended strictly for the private use of the subscriber and/or purchaser. The redistribution of any por tion of this information, in any form, without the express written consent of Preferred Picks® (or Playbook® or Playbook.com®) is strictly prohibited and is subject to the laws of the jurisdictions involved.”

Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the SportsOptions.com opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin. You have a PLAYBOOK Recommendation whenever our predicted margin of victory is 6 or more points off the opening line. Remember, opening

lines are subject to change during the week so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the PLAYBOOK line to determine a fi nal play.

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 5

OL PB333 334

335 336

337 338

339 340

341 342

343 344

345 346

347 348

349 350

351 352

353 354

355 356

357 358

359 360

361 362

363 364

365 366

367 368

369 370

371 372

OL PBAIR FORCE 3:30 PM WYOMING

GEORGIA 7:30 PM TIME CHANGE S CAROLINA SEC

TENNESSEE3:30 PM TEXAS A&M CBS

VANDERBILT4:00 PM TIME CHANGE KENTUCKY SEC

AUBURN12:00 PM TIME CHANGE MISSISSIPPI ST SEC FRESNO ST7:00 PM TIME CHANGE NEVADA

WASHINGTON7:30 PM TIME CHANGE OREGON FOX

COLORADO4:00 PM TIME CHANGE USC PAC12

MICHIGAN7:00 PM TIME CHANGE RUTGERS ESPN2

MARSHALL7:00 PM NORTH TEXAS

SOUTHERN MISS12:00 PM TIME CHANGE UTSA

LSU 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE FLORIDA ESPN

IDAHO7:00 PM UL-MONROE

FLORIDA INT’L8:00 PM UTEP

ALABAMA7:00 PM TIME CHANGE ARKANSAS ESPN

ARIZONA10:00 PM TIME CHANGE UTAH FS1

UNLV10:30 PM TIME CHANGE S DIEGO ST ESPNU WASHINGTON ST10:30 PM TIME CHANGE STANFORD ESPN

CALIFORNIA9:00 PM TIME CHANGE OREGON ST PAC12

UTAH ST CBSSN10:00 PM COLORADO ST

373 374

375 376

377 378

379 380

381 382

383 384

385 386

387 388

389 390

391 392

393 394

395 396

397 398

399 400

401 402

403 404

405 406

407 408

409 410

411 412

OL PB OL PB29

5

3

9

2

30’

7’

3’

1’

15

16’

17’

10’

7

5

1’

2

10

8

6’

25’

TCU12:00 PM KANSAS ESPNU

ARMY3:30 PM TIME CHANGE DUKE ACC

SYRACUSE 7:00 PM TIME CHANGE WAKE FOREST ACC

TEXAS TECH ESPNU7:00 PM TIME CHANGEKANSAS ST

IOWA12:00 PM MINNESOTA ESPN2

INDIANA3:30 PM TIME CHANGE OHIO ST ESPN

PURDUE 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE ILLINOIS BTN

VIRGINIA TECH 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE N CAROLINA

NOTRE DAME12:00 PM TIME CHANGE NC STATE ABC BOWLING GREEN2:00 PMOHIO U

TOLEDO3:00 PM E MICHIGAN

HOUSTON3:00 PM NAVY CBSSN

EAST CAROLINA 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE USF ESPNN OKLAHOMA FS1 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE TEXAS @ Dallas, TX

FLORIDA ST8:00 PM TIME CHANGE MIAMI FLA ABC

TEXAS ST3:30 PM GEORGIA ST

UMASS 6:00 PM TIME CHANGE OLD DOMINION CHARLOTTE3:30 PM FLA ATLANTIC UCLA 10:30 PM TIME CHANGE ARIZONA ST ESPN2

BALL ST 3:30 PM C MICHIGAN

GA SOUTHERN 8:00 PM ARKANSAS ST ESPN2

301 302

7 11

27

6

3

20

6

27

3

10

6

16

10

NL

10’

2

10

8

7

3

3

6

6

3

1

11

2

10

10’

1

4

20

6

3

1

15’ 21

8’

9

10

14

14

10

8

3

5 8

15

7

8

3

14’ 11

9’ 6

13 8

12’ 8

5’ 1

15’ 11

17’ 11

4 3

3’

10 3

1

7 3

2’ 6

9’ 2

8 3

NL

1

3’ 13

NFL WEEK FIVE BYES: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS, KANSAS CITY CHIEFS,

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS, SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

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Documents

Marc’s False Favorite G.O.M. - Clemson - W INNER! COLLEGE ......G.O.M. GOES SATURDAY! Marc’s False Favorite G.O.M. - Clemson - W INNER! † ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping