MarketBob Academy Awards 2012 Predictions

8/3/2019 MarketBob Academy Awards 2012 Predictions

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MarketBOB's

Academy

Awards 2012

© 2012 by Sportscar Projects Ltd




February 19, 2012

Have you seen all the moviesnominated for best picture for the 2012Academy Awards? My guess is:probably not. Box office hits werescarce in Oscar nominees this year,like the last several years. But fear not,for MarketBOB has gone beyond theusual box office #1 movies to help you

pick the likely winners and perhapstake home the Oscar Pool cash thisyear.

The usual wisdom for making foolhardy

predictions is to build up “expert” knowledge

from years of movie watching and cinemastudy and then make rational, learned observations about

which films and performances “should” win. Of course,

if you ignore the massive publicity campaigns, movie

star glad-handing and the power of momentum and mass

media, then you have no hope of picking winners.

Make no mistake, movies are a business and Oscar

winners make money at the box office. The studios aredesperate for Oscars, not for the art and prestige of

being anointed in the annals of cinema glory, but for the

cash gained by attracting more bums into theater seats




and post-release revenues from DVD purchases and

rentals (streaming and so on).

The competition is fierce, to influence voters indirectly(as blatant influence is forbidden, nudge nudge…) for

votes. Then there is always the loose cannon of

celebrity mouths, who can piss off voters with one

innocent comment or a volume of desperate

campaigning and being labeled as “wanting the Oscar

too much”.

The final force at work is the power of consensusreported in the media as all the pundits give their

opinions and make voters wonder just how stupid they

are for liking their own picks when it is obvious the

insiders have anointed another nominee.

So, given the media momentum, critical mass

consensus, celebrity star power and, oh yes, the actualperformances, I present below my personally

researched, critically observed and celebrity influenced

2012 Oscar Predictions. Where meaningful comment is

needed, I have added some rationale for my choices, but

I have also posted some in-depth Oscar reviews of

movies that never made #1 and thus, were not

MarketBOB reviewed when first released.




Best motion picture of the year * "The Artist" Thomas Langmann, Producer

* "The Descendants" Jim Burke, Alexander Payne and

Jim Taylor, Producers* "Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close" Scott Rudin,

Producer

* "The Help" Brunson Green, Chris Columbus and

Michael Barnathan, Producers

* "Hugo" Graham King and Martin Scorsese,

Producers

* "Midnight in Paris" Letty Aronson and Stephen

Tenenbaum, Producers* "Moneyball" Michael De Luca, Rachael Horovitz

and Brad Pitt, Producers

* "The Tree of Life" Sarah Green, Bill Pohlad, Dede

Gardner and Grant Hill, Producers

* "War Horse" Steven Spielberg and Kathleen

Kennedy, Producers

And the Winner is: The Artist, because it is so damn happy

and inventive even though it is in black and white and

without speaking parts – just the sort of “against all odds”

movie that wins. Like, what studio would green-light a

silent, black and white movie these days, with 3D and all

the other innovations they’ve invested millions to help

raise ticket prices? A black and white silent should be

shown at a discount ticket price.

Achievement in directing

* "The Artist" Michel Hazanavicius

* "The Descendants" Alexander Payne




* "Hugo" Martin Scorsese

* "Midnight in Paris" Woody Allen

* "The Tree of Life" Terrence Malick

And the Winner is: "The Artist" Michel Hazanavicius,

because the director of the best picture usually wins as

well.

Performance by an actor in a leading role

* Demián Bichir in "A Better Life"

* George Clooney in "The Descendants"

* Jean Dujardin in "The Artist"* Gary Oldman in "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy"

* Brad Pitt in "Moneyball"

And the Winner is: Jean Dujardin in "The Artist" because

the Screen Actors Guild voted for him and they are the

same voters here as well.

Performance by an actress in a leading role

* Glenn Close in "Albert Nobbs"

* Viola Davis in "The Help"

* Rooney Mara in "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo"

* Meryl Streep in "The Iron Lady"

* Michelle Williams in "My Week with Marilyn"

And the Winner is: Viola Davis in "The Help", because the

Screen Actors Guild voted for her and they are the same

voters here as well.




Performance by an actor in a supporting role * Kenneth Branagh in "My Week with Marilyn"

* Jonah Hill in "Moneyball"

* Nick Nolte in "Warrior"* Christopher Plummer in "Beginners"

* Max von Sydow in "Extremely Loud & Incredibly

Close"

And the Winner is: Christopher Plummer in "Beginners",

same SAG reasons as above.

Performance by an actress in a supporting role * Bérénice Bejo in "The Artist"

* Jessica Chastain in "The Help"

* Melissa McCarthy in "Bridesmaids"

* Janet McTeer in "Albert Nobbs"

* Octavia Spencer in "The Help"

And the Winner is: Jessica Chastain in "The Help", againSAG.

Best animated feature film* "A Cat in Paris" Alain Gagnol and Jean-Loup Felicioli

* "Chico & Rita" Fernando Trueba and Javier Mariscal

* "Kung Fu Panda 2" Jennifer Yuh Nelson

* "Puss in Boots" Chris Miller

* "Rango" Gore Verbinski

And the Winner is: "Rango" Gore Verbinski, because as

an adult, I enjoyed the western, Clint Eastwood vibe and




clever images, but Puss in Boots was way better than I

expected and would be my close second choice.

Best foreign language film of the year * "Bullhead" Belgium

* "Footnote" Israel

* "In Darkness" Poland

* "Monsieur Lazhar" Canada

* "A Separation" Iran

And the Winner is: "A Separation" Iran

Best documentary feature

* "Hell and Back Again" Danfung Dennis and Mike

Lerner

* "If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front"

Marshall Curry and Sam Cullman

* "Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory" Joe Berlinger and Bruce

Sinofsky* "Pina" Wim Wenders and Gian-Piero Ringel

* "Undefeated" TJ Martin, Dan Lindsay and Richard

Middlemas

And the Winner is: "Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory" Joe

Berlinger and Bruce Sinofsky, go with the injustice and

falsely accused prison story over the artistic dance film,

Pina.

Adapted screenplay

* "The Descendants" Screenplay by Alexander Payne and

Nat Faxon & Jim Rash




* "Hugo" Screenplay by John Logan

* "The Ides of March" Screenplay by George Clooney &

Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon

* "Moneyball" Screenplay by Steven Zaillian and AaronSorkin. Story by Stan Chervin

* "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy" Screenplay by Bridget

O'Connor & Peter Straughan

And the Winner is: "The Descendants" Screenplay by

Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash

Original screenplay * "The Artist" Written by Michel Hazanavicius

* "Bridesmaids" Written by Annie Mumolo & Kristen

Wiig

* "Margin Call" Written by J.C. Chandor

* "Midnight in Paris" Written by Woody Allen

* "A Separation" Written by Asghar Farhadi

And the Winner is: "Midnight in Paris" Written by Woody

Allen, the most nominated person in Academy history, and

this script is a charming and accessible light fantasy.

Achievement in art direction

* "The Artist" Production Design: Laurence Bennett; Set

Decoration: Robert Gould

* "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2"

Production Design: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration:

Stephenie McMillan

* "Hugo" Production Design: Dante Ferretti; Set

Decoration: Francesca Lo Schiavo




* "Midnight in Paris" Production Design: Anne Seibel; Set

Decoration: Hélène Dubreuil

* "War Horse" Production Design: Rick Carter; Set

Decoration: Lee Sandales

And the Winner is: "Hugo" Production Design: Dante

Ferretti; Set Decoration: Francesca Lo Schiavo because the

sets and clock mechanisms are just so damn amazing, not

to mention the glass movie studio.

Achievement in cinematography

* "The Artist" Guillaume Schiffman* "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" Jeff Cronenweth

* "Hugo" Robert Richardson

* "The Tree of Life" Emmanuel Lubezki

* "War Horse" Janusz Kaminski

And the Winner is: "The Tree of Life" Emmanuel

Lubezki, because light is the main character in this film,shimmering through trees, buildings, oceans and the glossy

backs of dinosaurs.

Achievement in costume design * "Anonymous" Lisy Christl

* "The Artist" Mark Bridges

* "Hugo" Sandy Powell

* "Jane Eyre" Michael O'Connor

* "W.E." Arianne Phillips

And the Winner is: "The Artist" Mark Bridges




Achievement in film editing

* "The Artist" Anne-Sophie Bion and Michel

Hazanavicius* "The Descendants" Kevin Tent

* "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" Kirk Baxter and

Angus Wall

* "Hugo" Thelma Schoonmaker

* "Moneyball" Christopher Tellefsen

And the Winner is: "The Artist" Anne-Sophie Bion and

Michel Hazanavicius

Achievement in makeup

* "Albert Nobbs" Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnston and

Matthew W. Mungle

* "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2" Nick

Dudman, Amanda Knight and Lisa Tomblin

* "The Iron Lady" Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland

And the Winner is: "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows

Part 2" Nick Dudman, Amanda Knight and Lisa Tomblin,

because Harry Potter made so much money for so many

people that it deserves an Oscar for something, as this is

the finale (until they re-make the series in a decade or so).

Achievement in music written for motion pictures(Original score) * "The Adventures of Tintin" John Williams

* "The Artist" Ludovic Bource

* "Hugo" Howard Shore




* "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy" Alberto Iglesias

* "War Horse" John Williams

And the Winner is: "The Artist" Ludovic Bource, as it’sthe only musical in the bunch, so the music better be great.

Achievement in music written for motion pictures(Original song) * "Man or Muppet" from "The Muppets" Music and Lyric

by Bret McKenzie

* "Real in Rio" from "Rio" Music by Sergio Mendes and

Carlinhos Brown Lyric by Siedah Garrett

And the Winner is: "Man or Muppet" from "The Muppets"

Music and Lyric by Bret McKenzie, because who the heck

is going to vote against the Muppets?

Achievement in sound editing

* "Drive" Lon Bender and Victor Ray Ennis* "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" Ren Klyce

* "Hugo" Philip Stockton and Eugene Gearty

* "Transformers: Dark of the Moon" Ethan Van der Ryn

and Erik Aadahl

* "War Horse" Richard Hymns and Gary Rydstrom

And the Winner is: Hugo, tick, tock.

Achievement in sound mixing

* "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" David Parker,

Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce and Bo Persson

* "Hugo" Tom Fleischman and John Midgley




* "Moneyball" Deb Adair, Ron Bochar, Dave Giammarco

and Ed Novick

* "Transformers: Dark of the Moon" Greg P. Russell, Gary

Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush and Peter J. Devlin* "War Horse" Gary Rydstrom, Andy Nelson, Tom

Johnson and Stuart Wilson

And the Winner is: "Hugo" Tom Fleischman and John

Midgley, tick, tock.

Achievement in visual effects

* "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2" TimBurke, David Vickery, Greg Butler and John Richardson

* "Hugo" Rob Legato, Joss Williams, Ben Grossman and

Alex Henning

* "Real Steel" Erik Nash, John Rosengrant, Dan Taylor

and Swen Gillberg

* "Rise of the Planet of the Apes" Joe Letteri, Dan

Lemmon, R. Christopher White and Daniel Barrett* "Transformers: Dark of the Moon" Scott Farrar, Scott

Benza, Matthew Butler and John Frazier

And the Winner is: "Rise of the Planet of the Apes" Joe

Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White and Daniel

Barrett, because the apes make the movie and look just

like us, act like us and without them, there is no movie.

Best animated short film

* "Dimanche/Sunday" Patrick Doyon

* "The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore"

William Joyce and Brandon Oldenburg




* "La Luna" Enrico Casarosa

* "A Morning Stroll" Grant Orchard and Sue Goffe

* "Wild Life" Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby

And the Winner is: "La Luna" Enrico Casarosa, with a

little help from Pixar.

Best live action short film

* "Pentecost" Peter McDonald and Eimear O'Kane

* "Raju" Max Zähle and Stefan Gieren

* "The Shore" Terry George and Oorlagh George

* "Time Freak" Andrew Bowler and Gigi Causey* "Tuba Atlantic" Hallvar Witzø

And the Winner is: "Raju" Max Zähle and Stefan Gieren

Best documentary short subject * "The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil

Rights Movement" Robin Fryday and Gail Dolgin* "God Is the Bigger Elvis" Rebecca Cammisa and Julie

Anderson

* "Incident in New Baghdad"James Spione

* "Saving Face" Daniel Junge and Sharmeen Obaid-

Chinoy

* "The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom" Lucy Walker

and Kira Carstensen

And the Winner is: "The Tsunami and the Cherry

Blossom" Lucy Walker and Kira Carstensen

So, there you have it, the MarketBOB Oscar predictions




for another year. Good luck with your picks and I hope

you win some green cash to make the TV show more

exciting, for once.

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MarketBob Academy Awards 2012 Predictions