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MARKETs UPDATE

MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

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Page 1: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

MARKETs UPDATE

Page 2: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

MS WORLD Local Currency Index

Page 3: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

MS WORLD Local Currency Index

Trump's election and his presumed tax reform continue to push equity market higher

Page 4: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

S&P 500 Index

Folliwing Trump's election, SPX start a strong rally reaching all-time high

Page 5: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

EUROSTOXX 600 Index

EuroStoxx 600 rebounded as well staying well above 200 days moving average

Page 6: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

SMI Index

SMI rebounded, breaking the 200 days moving average

DAX Index

Page 7: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

DAX Index

Page 8: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

FTSEMIB Index

Italian costitutional referendum hasn't passed but equity market focused on the government's bails out for Monte Paschi giving risk appetite to investors

Page 9: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

NIKKEI Index

Nikkei retested the 50 days MA

Page 10: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

MS EMERGING MARKETs Index

Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the commodities rebound

Page 11: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

HANG SENG Index

Page 12: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

MICEX Index

Good relationship between Trump and Putin helps MICEX's rally

Page 13: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the
Page 14: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

US 10 Yield

Trump's policies skyrocketed yields

Page 15: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

EU 10 Yield

QE's extension create a tap for yield's spike

Page 16: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

JAPAN 10 Yield

Kuroda's new policy approach pushed 10Y yield near 0% (as targeted).

Page 17: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

BARCLAYS US AGGREGATE IG INDEX

Yields' jump worldwide starts to affect IG bond prices.

Page 18: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

BARCLAYS EU AGGREGATE IG INDEX

Spike in US (and in general) yields put a bit of pressure to bond market widening spreads

Page 19: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

BARCLAYS US AGGREGATE HY INDEX

Risk on evironment helps HY even if monetary yield are jumping

Page 20: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

BARCLAYS EU AGGREGATE HY INDEX

ECB policy is always helping HY sector in EZ

Page 21: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

SPREAD PERIPHERAL EU COUNTRIES vs BUND

Rumors for a possible QE Tapering start to put some little pressure on peripheral countries' spread

Page 22: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the
Page 23: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

EUR vs USD

Trump's comment on dollar strenght, pushed dollar back to 1.07

Page 24: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

EUR vs CHF

BNS is always saying CHF is overvalued but apparently it seems BNS is less active to support CHF strenght.

Page 25: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

JPY vs USD

Monetary policy divergence between BoJ and FED is helping JPY to depreciate in a massive way

Page 26: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

DOLLAR Index

Page 27: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

EUR vs GBP

GBP is living some strenght after Brexit sell off.

JPM EM Currency Index

Page 28: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

JPM EM Currency Index

Page 29: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

EUR vs NOK

NOK has experienced a side range between 8.90 and 9.10 since October

EUR vs AUD

Page 30: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

EUR vs AUD

Commodities rebound is helping AUD

Page 31: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

EUR vs TRY

Page 32: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

EUR vs RUB

Possible Putin-Trump agreements is helping RUB

Page 33: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

USD vs MXN

MXN alway under pression because of Trump's comments

Page 34: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

USD vs BRL

Page 35: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

OIL

Page 36: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

OIL

Comprise between OPEC and NON-OPEC countries for a cut oil production keeps oil price at top

GOLD

Page 37: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

GOLD

Gold is showing a perfect positive correlation to US yield.

Page 38: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

CRB Index

Trump's election pushed commodities' price higher.

Page 39: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the
Page 40: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

UNMPLOYMENT RATE

US labour market is always in a good shape.

Page 41: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

INFLATION

US inflation is picking up.

Page 42: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

INFLATION SWAP FWD 5Y/5Y

Except Japan expected inflation is also picking up fast

Page 43: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

MARKIT PMI Index

PMI indicies show a recent improvement for manufacture industry

Page 44: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

ISM vs IFO

IFO index last week came down but it is too early to say if it is the beginning of a bigger correction

Page 45: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

US CONSUMER CONFIDENCE

Trump "revolution" is helping US consumer confidence

Page 46: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group · DAX Index. DAX Index. ... Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the

CITI ECONOMIC SURPRISE INDEX

Main macro variables are surprising negatively worldwide wiht the exception of Japan