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Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® [email protected] NWA Annual Meeting 18 October 2006

Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® [email protected]

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Page 1: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood?

Matt KelschUCAR/COMET®

[email protected] Annual Meeting

18 October 2006

Page 2: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood?

Basic Hydrologic Sciences Course: www.meted.ucar.edu• Hydrologic Cycle• Unit Hydrograph• Runoff Processes• Streamflow Routing• Flood Frequency• River Ice• Snowmelt• Flash Flood Processes• FF Cases (teletraining)

Snowmelt

River Ice

Page 3: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood?Intense Rainfall, Small Area

Short-fused, Small-scale• Rainfall and runoff

occurring on the same time and space scale

• Warms season convection

• Small basin or sub-basin

Page 4: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood?Rapid Runoff, Overland Flow

Overland flow: most rapid type of runoff

• Infiltration excess overland flow (even when soil is dry!)

• Saturation excess overland flow

Page 5: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood?Soil Properties That Reduce Infiltration

• Small particle size (clay)

• Compaction• Intense Fire

Page 6: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood?Faster Drainage, Less Infiltration Time

Steep drainages• “straightening” channels

increases steepnessReduce surface roughness• Vegetation removal,

pavement, culverts,… reduce “roughness”

High Stream Density• More tributaries• Psuedo-tributaries…

road and sewer networks

Page 7: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood?Altered Soil, Increase Sediment Transport

High-intensity Fire• Soil layer

becomes hydrophobic

• Most notable in coniferous burn areas

Hydrophobic layer

Soil layers slide downhill

video

Page 8: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood?Urbanization: More and Faster Runoff

Impervious Cover Surface Roughness Stream Density Channel Length Slope Vegetation

All of the above lead to:1) Greater runoff volume2) Faster drainage to

stream channels and low areas

Blue: stream channelsGray: Impervious SurfacesRed: major storm drains

Page 9: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

Radecke Avenue

Sinclair Lane

Baltimore’s Moore’s Run

• 9.1 sq miles

•Upper part, no surface channel

Flood inundation in lower Moores Run on 13 June 2003

Material from Jim Smith, Princeton

Urbanization: More and Faster Runoff

Page 10: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

Urbanization: More and Faster RunoffLas Vegas, 19 Aug 2003

Page 11: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

video

Page 12: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood?Rapid Release of Impounded Water

Structural failure can turn a general flood into a flash flood

• Dam/Levee• Road embankment• Blocked bridge or

culvert

Problematic for forecasters who do not have access to information about structures and impounded water

Rapid City, SD, June 1972

Fort Collins, CO, 28July 1997

Kansas Turnpike, 30 Aug 2003

Page 13: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

Rapid Release of Impounded Water9 October 2005

Page 14: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

near Alstead, NH

Page 15: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

Hinsdale, NH

Page 16: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood?Sudden Rise Associated With River Ice

Rapid backwater effect upstream of ice jam

Possible surge downstream of failed ice jam

* Upstream flash flooding from backwater is more common and can occur within 60 min of ice jam formation

Page 17: Matthew Kelsch NWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006 Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood? Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET ® kelsch@ucar.edu

Matthew KelschNWA Annual Meeting,18 October 2006

Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood?

Basic Hydrologic Sciences Course: www.meted.ucar.edu• Intense rain• Small area• Rapid Surface Runoff

– Steep Slope– High Stream Density– Low Surface Roughness

• Low Infiltration– Soil properties– Surface Cover– Rapid runoff

• *Urbanization*• Structural failure• Ice jam formation

Matt Kelsch UCAR/COMET Hydrometeorologist

[email protected]