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McIntire Investment Institute At the University of Virginia Corning M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 1 Prepared by Alex Abosi & Chuhan Wang | 21 October 2010 Corning Inc. (GLW)

McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

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Page 1: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

McIntire Investment InstituteAt the University of Virginia

Corning

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e1

Prepared by Alex Abosi & Chuhan Wang | 21 October 2010

Corning

Inc.

(GLW)

Page 2: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

What’s what

• Company Overview and Stock Info

• Investment Thesis

• Potential Risks

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

• Potential Risks

• Recommendation for MII

• Your Questions

Page 3: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Company Overview

• Headquartered in Corning, NY & founded in 1851

• Manufacturer of glass & ceramics for industrial & scientific

applications

• Formerly best known for tableware & cookware in the 50’s/60’s

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Page 4: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

9 like this

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Page 5: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Company Overview

• Currently, 24,000 employees in 17 states & 24 different countries

• Changed its name in 1989 from Corning Glass Works to Corning Inc

• Current company structure:

- Display technologies

- Environmental Technologies

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

- Life Sciences

- Telecommunications

- Specialty materials

Page 6: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Company Structure

Environment

Specialty

Life Scienceother

Sales

Display Tech

Telecom

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Display Tech

Telecom

Telecom

Environment

Specialty

Life Science

other

Page 7: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Stock info

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Page 8: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Valuation

• Market Cap: 28.95B Beta: 1.39

• P/E: 9.39 PEG: 0.79

• Profit Margin: 49.59%

• ROE: 20.21% ROIC-12.61

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

• ROE: 20.21% ROIC-12.61

• 52 Week Range: 14.14-21.10

• Debt/ Equity: 11.48

• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009)

• 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9%

Page 9: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

GLW revenue and earnings

break down by segments

Segment

Revenue

(in Million) % of Total

Earnings

(in Million) % of Total

Display

Technologies 2426 44.97% 1992 106.30%

Telecommunica

tions 1677 31.08% 19 1.01%

Environmental

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Environmental

Technologies 590 10.94% -42 -2.24%

Specialty

Materials 331 6.14% -54 -2.88%

Life Sciences 366 6.78% 39 2.08%

All other 5 0.09% -80 -4.27%

Total 5395 100% 1874 100.00%

*information and data obtained from 10-K 2009

Page 10: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Investment Thesis• Revolutionary Technology & current R&D

potential/aspirations (& planned expansion)

• Relationship With Household Names & current

significant market share

• High Growth Potential & appeal to emerging markets

• Healthy Human Capital

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

• Healthy Human Capital

• Large Cash Position

• The Legend

Page 11: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Revolutionary Technology

• EAGLE XG®: for displays. low density, high chemical durability,

advanced thermal properties, and a pristine surface ideal for the

manufacture of large, high-resolution displays. No size limit! (2006)

• EAGLE XG® Slim: almost same as 0.4mm thick

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

• Jade®: for displays. higher-resolution displays with lower power

consumption. Previously, no glass substrate fully optimized for low-

temperature polysilicon (LTPS) = brighter displays and reduced

energy consumption

Ken Sofio-Corning investor relations representative

Page 12: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Revolutionary Technology

Gorilla® Glass

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

http://www.youtube.com/corningincorporated#p/u/8/dLXaCR6_0U0

Page 13: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Gorilla® Glass

• Superlative LCD display qualities- crisp

- clear

- strong

- durable

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

- durable

- scratch resistant

- impact resistant

- bendable? Yes!

- transportable

Largely becoming common place

Page 14: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Strong relationships

• Familiar names, huh?

• Any of these look familiar?• Currently in over 20 brands & 225 devices

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Page 15: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

& the near Future

• Green laser Technology- currently, only blue & red lasers are readily

available.

Micro projector devices need red+blue+green

light. Green laser technology allows micro

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

light. Green laser technology allows micro

projectors in mobile phones = larger image

view

Page 16: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Market Share & Barriers

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Page 17: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Market Share & Barriers

- Now with the introduction of specialized glass substrates, the only business

that makes more LCD screens that Corning Inc. is Corning Inc.

- Most of the majors have pledged their loyalty with GLW & have seen

immense success in doing so, moving away from plastic LCD screens.

- It appears as these companies battle for consumer popularity, GLW stands

to gain no matter what the outcome maybe, therefore potentially causing

more to flock to GLW for a chance at similar success.

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

more to flock to GLW for a chance at similar success.

- There was no previous significant market for LCD screens (only simple

LCD’s e.g. digital clocks existed). Product manufacturers made their own

screens, but now use GLW

- Future competitors have a long way to go to catch up

Page 18: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Human Capital

Ground

Breaking

Technology Knows

where

to go

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

•Wages!!!

to go

Page 19: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Large Cash Position

• graph

40

50

60

Cash as Persent of Sales

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

0

10

20

30

40

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 (ttm)

Cash as Persent of Sales

Page 20: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Large Cash Position Cont.

• Cash=4.26B Debt=1.95B

• Current ratio=4.43

• What do they use that for??!

• Acquisitions!

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

• Acquisitions!

• Expansions!

• Stable Dividends- 1.10% annual yield

• Stock Repurchase-1.2B in total

Page 21: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Page 22: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Survey from the consumers!

• 135/150 responses

• From students to parents

• 22% have broken screens before

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

• 73% are bothered by scratches & smudges

• >80% put keys with screen-based products

• ~94% have no idea about screen glass

• >70% will go for the Gorilla screen

Page 23: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

“Comments you want to leave?”

• “Love the new iPhone screen! And the iPad too!

It’s so scratch resistant and has virtually no

fingerprints on it!” --Lindsey

• “Now that I know my screen is made of Gorilla, I

will go for other products made of Gorilla!! No

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

will go for other products made of Gorilla!! No

more plastic screens”--Carl

• “The new fancy products should all matched up

with Gorilla glass.” --Robert

• “Will keep looking for Gorilla glass screen

products and will pay more to get them” --Katie

Page 24: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

High Growth Potential

GLW’s current primary product (Gorilla) just introduced into

the market in 2009.

- Market/demand for LCDs = growing

- Multiple potential future uses, e.g. construction, medical field

- “Gorilla glass will do for display screens what steel did for buildings”

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

- “Gorilla glass will do for display screens what steel did for buildings”

Page 25: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

0.52

0.39

0.42

0.44

0.52

0.58

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

Actual Earning

Analyst Estimate

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

0.32

0.390.42 0.42

0.52

0

0.2

0.4

Qtr 06/2009 Qtr 09/2009 Qtr 12/2009 Qtr 03/2009 Qtr 06/2009

Page 26: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

High Growth Potential Cont.

• Segment focus

• Screens!!!-phone/pc/TV set/ touch screen

• Solar-efficiency is no longer a dream

• Life science-promotes tech advancement

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

• Life science-promotes tech advancement

• Optical-wireless? Yes!

• And glass printing -----�

Page 27: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

High Growth Potential Cont.

• Geographical growth

*38%W 22%EU 66%C 70%J 105%SA

• Manufacturing based in Japan and Korea

• Mainland China presence

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

• Mainland China presence

*LCD& Bio-engineering

• Strategic acquisition and growing

presence in Europe

Page 28: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

The Legend

• Produced Thomas Edison’s light bulbs

• Is one of the main component of the iPhone 4’s front and

back

• Were the windows for every manned space vehicle

• Glass blank for mirror in Hubble Telescope

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

• Glass blank for mirror in Hubble Telescope

• Marketed & developed first optic fibers

• Also one of main component in iPad (fastest selling

electronic device)

Page 29: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Risks

• Failed growth of LCD/smartphone market

• Over-optimism of expansion endeavors

• Fail to adjust volumes and fixed cost structure

• Performance issues will let GLW suffer

• Subject to international disruptions

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

• Subject to international disruptions

• Key Personnel matters

Page 30: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Recommendation

• Based on our research, we suggest that

MII initiate a position of 4% at its current

price.

• It’s 3rd Quarter earnings report comes out

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

• It’s 3rd Quarter earnings report comes out

Monday Nov 1st

Page 31: McIntire Investment Institute - UVACollab...• FCF: 536M (Q2) 472M (Q1) 156M (2009) • 1-yr revenue growth; 24.9% GLW revenue and earnings break down by segments Segment Revenue

Questions? Comments?