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www.utm.my innova-ve ● entrepreneurial ● global 1
By
Ir. Dr. Syuhaida Ismail razakschool.utm.my/syuhaida
0126469235 [email protected]
MDE 2583 -‐ PROJECT MANAGEMENT
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ICE-‐BREAKING
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● Cer-fied PMP? ● Experience in PM? ● ANended any PM courses/training? ● Skill in using PM tools?
ICE-‐BREAKING
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ASSESSMENT
1 Quiz 1 x 10% 10% 2 Individual Assignment 1 x 20% 20 % 3 Case Study Group
Assignment 1 x 20% 20 %
4 Post Module Assignment 1 x 50% 50 %
Total 100 %
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References/Bibliography
● PMBOK (2013) ● MS Project 2013 ● Kerzner, R. (2013). Project Management:
Systems Approach to Planning, Scheduling and Controlling. John Wiley & Sons Inc.
● Gray, C.F. and Larson, E.W. (2006). Project Management: The Managerial Process. New York: McGraw-Hill International Edition.
● Meredith, J.R. and Mantel, S.J. (2009). Project Management: A Managerial Approach. John Wiley & Sons Inc.
5
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IMPORTANCE OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT
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Project management is “the applicaEon of knowledge, skills, tools, and techniques to project ac-vi-es in order to meet or exceed stakeholder needs and expectaEons from a project” (PMI, Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide), 2013, p. 6)
• Both a management science of science (technical skill, tool and technique) and art (so_ skill and people) that follows systema-c and structured process
• 47 processes + 5 process groups + 10 knowledge areas
WHAT IS PROJECT MANAGEMENT?
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Management is an act of geang things done through and with others, with 2 basic concepts: • Goals – set objec-ves, do the right things
(effec-ve) • Ac-ons – establish right process, do
things right (efficient)
WHAT IS MANAGEMENT?
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OPERATION VS PROJECT
Opera-on – Exis-ng systems – Repe--ve work – Efficiency (do the right things) and effec-veness (do the things right)
– Reliance on standard procedures
– Line management – Focus on “maintaining”
Project – One-‐-me resource configura-on
– Unique and separate work
– Cohesion and direc-on – End-‐product driven – Stakeholder driven – Project orienta-on – Focus on “change”
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DEFINITION OF A “PROJECT”
● Must make a distinction between terms: – Program - an exceptionally large, long-range
objective that is broken down into a set of projects – Task - set of activities comprising a project – Work Packages - division of tasks – Work Units - division of work packages
● In the broadest sense, a project is a specific,
finite task to be accomplished
Chapter 1-8
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Program
Project A
Task A1
Work Package A1a
Work Package A1b
Work Unit
Task A2
Project B
Task B1
DEFINITION OF A “PROJECT”
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CHARACTERISTICS OF A PROJECT
● Specific objec-ves-‐ Time (4 years), Cost (USD 12 B) & Performance – Life-‐cycle of building, M&E, road, O&G, steel structure
● Mul--‐Disciplinary – different disciplines, companies and countries (Belgian and Dutch dredger)
● Temporary undertakings-‐ definite start and end date (2000-‐2004); therefore of finite dura-on
● Consume and compete for scarce resources (40000 workers, 2 shi_s, 12 hours/shi_
● Produce unique and one-‐off outcomes – 2 palm island, 100 luxury hotels, theme parks, monorail etc
● Phases -‐ Project has a number of phases/schedule ● Usually have own budgets ● One leader assigned overall responsibility ● Projects are subject to a lot of changes – less tourist due to 9/11, rising
seawater hence unsound soil, 6-‐7 Richter scale earthquake, storm, 2m high waves
● Subject to conflicts – monorail, damage marine habitat, coastal erosion, wave paNern, silty water, changes on coastal shape
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TASK 1
● Please divide yourselves into a few groups of maximum FOUR (4) members
● You are randomly given the following topics: – Torre David – ManhaNan Project
● In 30 minutes, using Microso_ PowerPoint presenta-on, your tasks are to prepare the following, which will be presented at the end of today’s class: – Brief introduc-on to the above randomly-‐selected project – Characteris-cs demonstra-ng that the above is a PROJECT
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PROJECT STAKEHOLDERS
● Stakeholders are the people involved in or affected by project ac-vi-es
● Stakeholders include – the project sponsor and project team (unethical project team in 15%
cost plus contract) – support staff – customers (1990s automo-ve sales strategy vs 2010s) – users (Proton Saga wind-‐down auto window using rubber losing
torque due to sun) – suppliers – opponents to the project (e.g. Lynas, Bakun dam, Langat 2)
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WHEN IS A PROJECT A PROJECT? (PETRONAS TWIN TOWER)
Stewart (1965) uses four criteria ● Scope-‐ definable in terms of a single, specified end result
(From 5 SEA countries, Malaysia is the least known) ● Unfamiliarity-‐unique, infrequent, more uncertainty
(uniquely Malaysia, pinnacles, the tallest) ● Complexity-‐ greater degree on interdependency amongst
tasks (2 contractors, site sat on cliff edge, decayed limestone and so_ rocks)
● Stake (risk)-‐ Outcome affects company’s stake (bad concrete batch, heavy rain, Tower 1 leaning 25 mm off from ver-cal)
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TRIPLE CONSTRAINTS OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT
Solutions must not exceed boundaries
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NORMAL MEASURES OF SUCCESS
● New Products – touch pad, smart phone ● New Markets – Australian university in Singapore ● New Facili-es – AFTA with reduced 5% tariff for
luxurious cars ● New Organisa-onal Forms ● Etc (Happiness Index, early -me to market, venture to
new market/segment, IP, revenue, % use of new technology) Subject to the triple constraints of sa-sfying Time, Cost and Performance criteria
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TORRE DAVID
● Is Torre David a failure or a success? Discuss. – How do you measure the success/failure – What are the factors that most influence a successful/failed project outcome?
● What are the causes that lead to under-‐performing of projects? How do they arise?
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OTHER MEASURES OF PROJECT SUCCESS
● Na-onal pride or security ● Learning and experience ● Improved status and visibility ● Training and development ● Opportuni-es for authority and responsibility
● Improved ability/skills
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SYDNEY OPERA HOUSE-‐ PROJECT MANAGEMENT FAILURE?
"The construc-on of the beau-ful freestanding, sculptural tripar-te Opera House was one of the longest contractual sagas of the century. Sadly, Danish architect Jorn Utzon became the scapegoat of a scandalous poli-cal affair and in 1966 withdrew from his project. Originally, the winner of an interna-onal open compe--on in 1957, it was a scheme that broke most of the rules. It was finally completed in August 1973 by other hands under the direc-on of Peter Hall."
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IRONIC ISN’T IT?
● Despite its failure as a PM exercise, the Sydney Opera House is considered a world-‐class venue for opera and a tourist aNrac-on. It is one of the 20th century's most dis-nc-ve buildings and one of the most famous performing arts centres in the world.
● So, are we confusing between the project exercise and the result of a project?
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CONCORDE-‐FAILURE ? ● First commercial supersonic
airlines ● Conceived in 1959. The first
prototype (aircra_ 001 F-‐WTSS) was rolled out on 11 December 1967, but extensive ground tes-ng meant that it didn't fly un-l 2 March 1969. In December 1971, the first pre-‐produc-on aircra_ (101) made its maiden flight.
● However, the oil crisis sparked by the 'Yom Kippur' war of 1973 had a most devasta-ng affect on sales. The soaring cost of fuel rendered Concorde completely uneconomic for all but state-‐subsidised airlines.
● Symbol of diplomacy between France and England
● Poli-cal interference, much spending on research, test and commission
● Runway crash in July 25, 2000 with 113 deaths
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SUCCESS IN FAILURE
● Although the Concorde was a commercial failure, it was a marvellous engineering success and flew for almost thirty years un-l its re-rement in 2003.
● Sold? An-cipated sales?
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MARS POLAR LANDER’S FAILURE OF SIMPLE NASA SYSTEM ENGINEERING ERROR
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PROJECT MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK
Project Integration Management
Project Success
Scope Mgt.
Time Mgt.
Cost Mgt.
Quality Mgt.
HR Mgt.
Comm. Mgt.
Risk Mgt.
Procure. Mgt.
10 Knowledge Areas Core Functions
Facilitating Functions
Stakeholder needs and
expectations
Tools and techniques
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Knowledge
Areas
Project Management Process Groups
Ini$a$ng Process Group
Planning Process Group Execu$ng Process Group
Monitoring & Controlling Process Group
Closing Process Group
Project Integra$on Management
Develop Project Charter
Develop Project Management Plan Direct and Manage Project Execu-on
• Monitor & Control Project work • Perform Integrated Change Control
Close Project or Phase
Project Scope Management • Collect requirements • Define Scope • Create WBS
• Verify scope • Control scope
Project Time Management • Define ac-vi-es • Sequence Ac-vi-es • Es-mate Ac-vity resources • Es-mate Ac-vity dura-ons • Develop schedule
Control Schedule
Project Cost Management • Es-mate cost • Determine budget
Control Cost
Project Quality Management
Plan Quality Perform Quality Assurance
Perform Quality Control
Project Human Resource Management
Develop Human Resource Plan • Acquire project team • Develop project team • Manage Project team
Project Communica$on Management
Iden-fy Stakeholders Plan Communica-ons • Distribute Informa-on • Manage Stakeholder Expecta-on
Report Performance
Project Risk Management • Plan Risk Management • Iden-fy Risk • Perform Qualita-ve Risk Analysis • Perform Quan-ta-ve Risk Analysis • Plan Risk Response
Monitor & Control Risk
Project Procurement Management
Plan Procurements Conduct Procurements Administer Procurements Close Procurements
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PROJECT INTEGRATION MANAGEMENT
Project managers must coordinate all of the other knowledge areas throughout a project’s life cycle
Many new project managers have trouble looking at the “big picture” and want to focus on too many details
E.g. Sony and Siemen do it all while Apple Inc outsources to pass over costs to customer i.e. Corning gorilla glass manufactured in China by Taiwanese
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RESPONSIBILITY AND AUTHORITY
● Senior management commitment to Project Management concept is vital
● Project Manager must clear authority and responsibility over personnel -‐50% of the baNle for project success
● Leadership is crucial-‐in all cases, these can only be one responsible project leader
● Project Manager is supported by PMO, a management structure standardising project-‐related governance process, facilita-ng sharing of resources, method, tool and technique
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PROJECT MANAGER VS PMO
Project Manager PMO Project focus Overall organisa-onal
focus: a) Suppor-ve PMO –
consulta-ve role b) Controlling PMO – require compliance to
governance c) Direc-ve PMO – directly manage
projects
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KEY TO SUCCESS
● People processes of Teamwork and Leadership as well as Tools and Techniques
● Blending of Hard & So_ Methods and Techniques are important in Project Management
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Tools in Project Management
● Microso_ Project (MSP) ● Primavera Project Planner (P3) ● Primavera Professional Project Management (P6)
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Project Management Structures
● Enterprise Project Structure (EPS)
38
Water Sewage Company
Operation & Logistic
Water
Abadan Ahwaz
Project1
Project 2
Project 3
Sewage
Human Resource Marketing
Project1
Office Building
Design
Construct
Civil &Structural
Mechanical and electrical equipment
Exterior
Interior
Oxidation Ponds Transformation Software
• Work Break Down Structure (WBS)
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PROJECT LIFE CYCLE Time Distribu-on of Project Effort
● Concep-on ● Selec-on ● Planning, scheduling, monitoring, control
● Evolu-on and termina-on
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Process Groups Interact in a Phase or Project
Project Management Process (IPEC+MC)
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PMBOK 5 process groups
Project Management Process (IPEC+MC)
Initiation
Planning
Execution
Monitoring and
Controlling Closing
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PROJECT LIFE-‐CYCLE
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FACTORS AFFECTING PROJECT OUTCOME
● Project manager ● Project team ● Stakeholder ● Scope, goals and objec-ves
● Communica-on ● Risks
Early Project phase work Important maNers Alterna-ves Planning Control Outsourcing Documenta-on
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PROJECT CATEGORIES BY TIME SCALES
● Long Term (over 10 years) Electrifica-on / Water pipes replacement Defence Upgrading
● Medium Term (3 to 10 years) Construc-on of a Dam Computerisa-on of schools
● Short term (0.5 to 3 years) Organisa-on of conferences/ new consumer products Hotel construc-on
● Special small scale Emergency evacua-on JE vaccina-on
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TYPES OF PROJECTS
Well Defined
Poorly Defined
Well Defined
TYPE 1 (KLIA)
TYPE 3 (Software)
Poorly Defined
TYPE 2 (A380 Airbus)
TYPE 4 (Multi Media
Super Corridor)
Project Results P
roje
ct m
etho
ds
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DISCUSSIONS
Give examples of project types in your organisa-on and reason out why you assign them into the above categories
1. TYPE 1-‐ ……………………………. 2. TYPE 2-‐ ……………………………. 3. TYPE 3-‐ ……………………………. 4. TYPE 4-‐ …………………………….
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PROJECT CONSTRAINTS
● Inadequate resources ● Unrealis-c schedules ● Unrealis-c budgets ● Unrealis-c objec-ve ● Conflicts
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PROJECT MANAGEMENT PROBLEMS
1. Inadequate resources. 2. Unrealis-c deadlines. 3. Unclear goals or direc-on. 4. Team members uncommiNed.
5. Insufficient planning. 6. Communica-on breakdown.
7. Changes in goals and/or resources.
8. Conflicts between func-ons or departments.
9. Underes-ma-on of the technical difficulty
10. Problems with so_ware projects.
11. Inability to control contractors work and failure to use specialist staff.
12. Weakness in contract arrangements.
13. Lack of effec-ve planning and control.
14. Interrup-ons in funding (escala-on to escala-on).
15. Non-‐compliance with procedures
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Scope Management
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Project Scope Management
● Organisation scope – defining scopes amongst organisations involved
● Project scope – defining scopes of the project itself ● Activity scope – determining how detailed you want to
cover the activity
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Project Time Management
● Create project calendar ● Define WBS ● Define the activities ● Determine sequence of activities ● Estimate activities duration ● Estimate activities resources ● Determine constraints and limitation ● Develop schedule ● Control
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WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE
● A work breakdown structure (WBS) is an outcome-‐oriented analysis of the work involved in a project that defines the total scope of the project
● A graphical display of the project that shows division of work in a mul-level system
● The concept of the WBS is simple: in order to manage a whole project, one must manage/control each of its part
● It is a founda-on document in project management because it provides the basis for planning and managing project schedules, costs, and changes
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WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE
● WBS defines: – Work to be performed – The needed exper-se, – Selec-on of the project team, – Base for project scheduling and control
● The development of WBS is a con-nuing process: – Starts when the project is first assigned to the project manager
– Con-nues un-l all work packages have been defined
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54
Figure 4-‐6a. Sample of Intranet WBS Organized by Product
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55
Figure 4-‐6b. Sample Intranet WBS Organized by Phase
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Table 4-‐3. Intranet WBS in Tabular Form 1.0 Concept
1.1 Evaluate current systems 1.2 Define Requirements 1.2.1 Define user requirements 1.2.2 Define content requirements 1.2.3 Define system requirements 1.2.4 Define server owner requirements 1.3 Define specific functionality 1.4 Define risks and risk management approach 1.5 Develop project plan 1.6 Brief web development team
2.0 Web Site Design 3.0 Web Site Development 4.0 Roll Out 5.0 Support
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Figure 4-‐7. Intranet WBS and Ganc Chart in Microsod Project 98
WBS Gantt Chart
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APPROACHES TO DEVELOP WBS
● Using guidelines: Some organiza-ons, like the DOD, provide guidelines for preparing WBSs
● The analogy approach: It o_en helps to review WBSs of similar projects
● The top-‐down approach: Start with the largest items of the project and keep breaking them down
● The boNoms-‐up approach: Start with the detailed tasks and roll them up
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BASIC PRINCIPLES FOR CREATING WBS
1. A unit of work should appear at only one place in the WBS. 2. The work content of a WBS item is the sum of the WBS items below it. 3. A WBS item is the responsibility of only one individual, even though many people
may be working on it. 4. The WBS must be consistent with the way in which work is actually going to be
performed; it should serve the project team first and other purposes only if prac-cal.
5. Project team members should be involved in developing the WBS to ensure consistency and buy-‐in.
6. Each WBS item must be documented to ensure accurate understanding of the scope of work included and not included in that item.
7. The WBS must be a flexible tool to accommodate inevitable changes while properly maintaining control of the work content in the project according to the scope statement.
*Cleland, David I. Project Management: Strategic Design and Implementation, 1994
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Sample of Ac-vity Defini-on Form
60
WBS: Date: Activity Code Activity
Name Duration Predecessor Lag Constraint/
Limitation Resource Cost
Project Manager Signature: Date:
Supervisor Signature: Date:
Provider Signature: Date:
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CREATE A WBS FOR SATAY BARBEQUE
Assumptions • Vegetables are uncut
• Nasi impit is uncut • Kuah is unheated
• Satay is raw • Satay Grill ready but no fire
• Arang/coal ready • Fire lighter available
• Lighter available • Plates are available
Activity ends when satay is served as
shown
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WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE
Serve Satay
Veggies & Nasi Impit
Prepare Satay Grill
Barbeque & Serve
1.1 Cut nasi impit 1.2 Cut onions 1.3 Cut cucumbers 1.4 Warm up sauce
2.1 Put charcoal in grill 2.2 Light Fire 2.3 Spread charcoal
3.1 Put Satay on Grill 3.2 Grill & Serve
1 2 3
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Heat up Kuah Cut Nasi Impit
Serve Satay on plate
Cut Cucumber Cut Onions Light fire
Spread coals
Cook Satay
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WHY ARE PROJECTS HARD? ● Resources
– People, materials ● Planning
– What needs to be done? – How long will it take? – What sequence? – Keeping track of who is supposedly doing what, and geang them to do it
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IT PROJECTS
● Half finish late and over budget ● Nearly a third are abandoned before comple-on
– The Standish Group, in Infoworld
● Get & keep users involved & informed ● Watch for scope creep / feature creep
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PROJECT SCHEDULING
● Establishing objec-ves ● Determining available resources ● Sequencing ac-vi-es ● Iden-fying precedence rela-onships ● Determining ac-vity -mes & costs ● Es-ma-ng material & worker requirements
● Determining cri-cal ac-vi-es
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WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE
● Hierarchy of what needs to be done, in what order
● For me, the hardest part – I’ve never done this before. How do I know what I’ll do when and how long it’ll take?
– I think in phases – The farther ahead in -me, the less detailed – Figure out the tricky issues, the rest is details – A lot will happen between now and then – It works not badly with no deadline
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MUDROOM REMODEL
● Big-‐picture sequence easy: – Demoli-on – Framing – Plumbing – Electrical – Drywall, tape & texture – Slate flooring – Cabinets, lights, paint
● Hard: can a sink fit?
D
W
D W
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PROJECT SCHEDULING TECHNIQUES
● GanN chart ● Cri-cal Path Method (CPM) ● Program Evalua-on & Review Technique (PERT)
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GANTT CHART
J F M A M J JTime Period
Activity
Design
Build
Test
J F M A M J JTime Period
Activity
Design
Build
Test
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PERT & CPM
● Network techniques/analysis system ● Consider precedence rela-onships & interdependencies
● Each uses a different es-mate of ac-vity -mes
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CRITICAL PATH METHOD (CPM)
● Cri-cal Path Method (CPM) – Developed in 1956 – by the DuPont Company with Remington Rand as consultants, as a determinisEc approach to scheduling.
– Commonly used in the engineering and construc-on industry.
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PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIEW TECHNIQUE (PERT)
● Program Evalua-on and Review Technique (PERT) -‐Similar method – Developed in 1957 – by the US Navy, with Booz, Allen & Hamilton Management Consultants, as a probabilisEc approach to scheduling for Polaris missile
– Commonly used by the manufacturing industry
v Both methods are o_en referred to as a network analysis system.
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PERT -‐ PROBABILITY
● Expected project -me (T) • Sum of cri-cal path ac-vity -mes, t
64 bmaET ++
=
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● The purpose of CPM is – Plan the work
– Guide the progress of a project
– Provide a baseline for project control
CRITICAL PATH METHOD (CPM)
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PERT & CPM STEPS
● Iden-fy ac-vi-es ● Determine sequence ● Create network ● Determine ac-vity -mes ● Find cri-cal path
• Earliest & latest start -mes • Earliest & latest finish -mes • Slack
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● Activity – A specific task or set of tasks – Use resources and take time to complete – e.g. concreting
● Event – The result of completing one or more
activities – Use no resources
Chapter 8-9
TERMINOLOGY
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● Network – Combination of all activities and events – Define the project and the activity
precedence relationships
Chapter 8-9
TERMINOLOGY
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TERMINOLOGY
● Path – Series of connected activities (or intermediate
events) between any two events in a network
● Critical – Activities, events, or paths which, if delayed,
will delay the completion of the project – A sequence of critical activities that connect
the project’s start event to its finish event
Chapter 8-10
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● An activity can be in any of these conditions: – It may have a successor(s) but no
predecessor(s) - starts a network – It may have a predecessor(s) but no
successor(s) - ends a network – It may have both predecessor(s) and
successor(s) - in the middle of a network
Chapter 8-11
TERMINOLOGY
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AcEvity on Node (AoN)
2 2? Years
Enroll Receive Master
Project: Obtain a Master’s Degree
1 month
Attend class, study etc.
1 1 day
3
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AcEvity on Arrow (AoA)
2 ? Years
Enroll Receive Master
Project: Obtain a Master’s Degree
1 month
Attend class, study,
etc. 1
1 day 2 3 4
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AoA Nodes Have Meaning
Graduating Applicant
Project: Obtain a Master’s Degree
1
Alumni
2 3 4
Student
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Terminology
Chapter 8-9
event activity
Indicator b = concreting
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We’ll use AcEvity on Node
1-2 must be done before 2-3 or 3-4 can start
2
3
4
1
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AcEvity RelaEonships
2-3 must be done before 3-4 or 3-5 can start
2
3
4
1 5
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2-4 and 3-4 must be done before 4-5 can start
2
3
4
1 5
AcEvity RelaEonships
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When 5-6 is done, project is complete.
2
3
4
1 5 6
AcEvity RelaEonships
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NETWORK EXAMPLE
You’re a project manager for Bechtel. Construct the network.
Ac-vity Predecessors A -‐-‐ B A C A D B E B F C G D H E, F
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NETWORK EXAMPLE -‐ AON
A
C
E
F
B D
G
H
Z
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NETWORK EXAMPLE -‐ AON
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NETWORK EXAMPLE -‐ AOA
2
4
5 1
3 6 8
7 9 A
C F
E B D
H
G
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AOA DIAGRAMS
2 3 1 A
C
B D
A precedes B and C, B and C precede D
2 4 1 A C
B
D
3
5
4
Add a phantom arc for clarity.
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DUMMY
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LET’S TRY THIS!
AcEvity Predecessor A -‐ B -‐ C A D A,B
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DUMMY
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DUMMY
● An ac-vity with zero dura-on ● Links together ac-vi-es whose sequence would otherwise not be shown
● Indicated by a dashed arrow ● Show the sequence between ac-vi-es e.g. ac-vity A and D without the problem of linking Ac-vity B with Ac-vity C
● Is determined by looking at the ac-vity list and find those ac-vi-es that share some, but not the en-re set of prior ac-vi-es.
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CRITICAL PATH ANALYSIS
● Provides ac-vity informa-on • Earliest (ES) & latest (LS) start • Earliest (EF) & latest (LF) finish • Slack (S): Allowable delay
● Iden-fies cri-cal path • Longest path in network • Shortest -me project can be completed • Any delay on ac-vi-es delays project • Ac-vi-es have 0 slack or float *Cri-cal ac-vi-es = Ac-vi-es in cri-cal path. Have no float i.e. ES = EF and/or LS = LF. Indicated with double line.
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CRITICAL PATH ANALYSIS
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SLACK/FLOAT
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SLACK/FLOAT
● Total float: Measure of leeway (delay) in starting and completing an activity. It assumes that all activities preceding that activity finished as Early as possible and all successor activities are started as Late as possible. FREE TIME WITHOUT DELAYING THE WHOLE PROJECT DURATION
TF = LF – EF = LS - ES ● Free float: Amount of time that an activity’s start can be
delayed with out affecting the early start date of any successor activity in the network. FREE TIME WITHOUT DELAYING THE EARLY START OF SUCCEESOR ACTIVITY
FF = ES NEXT ACTIVITY – EF THAT ACTIVITY
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COMPUTE SLACK/FLOAT
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1
3
7 6
4
5
2
A D
G
B
E
L
H
F
C
J
MK
Activity on arrow network – Figure 1.0
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The duration (in weeks) of the activities in the network are given as listed below:-
● A – 7 ● B – 1 ● C – 10 ● D – 3 ● E – 2 ● F – 3
● G – 12 ● H – 13 ● J – 8 ● K – 17 ● L – 4 ● M – 12
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EXAMPLE 1
● Find a) The minimum project time b) The earliest and latest times for each event c) The critical path
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CRITICAL PATH ANALYSIS EXAMPLE 2
Event ID Pred. Description Time
(Wks) A None Prepare Site 1 B A Pour fdn. & frame 6 C B Buy shrubs etc. 3 D B Roof 2 E D Do interior work 3 F C Landscape 4 G E,F Move In 1
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NETWORK SOLUTION
A
E D B
C F
G
1
6 2 3
1
4 3
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EARLIEST START & FINISH STEPS
● Begin at star-ng event & work forward ● ES = 0 for star-ng ac-vi-es
• ES is earliest start ● EF = ES + Ac-vity -me
• EF is earliest finish ● ES = Maximum EF of all predecessors for non-‐star-ng ac-vi-es
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Activity ES EF LS LF SlackA 0 1BCDEF
ACTIVITY A EARLIEST START SOLUTION
For starting activities, ES = 0.
A E D B
C F
G 1
6 2 3
1
4 3
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Activity ES EF LS LF Slack A 0 1 B 1 7 C 1 4 D 7 9 E 9 12 F 4 8 G 12 13
EARLIEST START SOLUTION
A E D B
C F
G 1
6 2 3
1
4 3
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LATEST START & FINISH STEPS
● Begin at ending event & work backward ● LF = Maximum EF for ending ac-vi-es
• LF is latest finish; EF is earliest finish ● LS = LF -‐ Ac-vity -me
• LS is latest start ● LF = Minimum LS of all successors for non-‐ending ac-vi-es
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Activity ES EF LS LF SlackA 0 1B 1 7C 1 4D 7 9E 9 12F 4 8G 12 13 13
EARLIEST START SOLUTION
A E D B
C F G
1
6 2 3
1
4 3
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Activity ES EF LS LF SlackA 0 1 0 1B 1 7 1 7C 1 4 4 7D 7 9 7 9E 9 12 9 12F 4 8 7 12G 12 13 12 13
LATEST FINISH SOLUTION
A E D B
C F
G
1
6 2 3 1
4 3
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SLACK/FLOAT
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SLACK/FLOAT
● Total float: Measure of leeway (delay) in starting and completing an activity. It assumes that all activities preceding that activity finished as Early as possible and all successor activities are started as Late as possible. FREE TIME WITHOUT DELAYING THE WHOLE PROJECT DURATION
● Free float: Property of an activity and not the network path that an activity is part of. It is the amount of time that an activity’s start can be delayed with out affecting the early start date of any successor activity in the network. FREE TIME WITHOUT DELAYING THE EARLY START OF SUCCEESOR ACTIVITY
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COMPUTE SLACK/FLOAT
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Activity ES EF LS LF Slack A 0 1 0 1 0 B 1 7 1 7 0 C 1 4 5 8 4 D 7 9 7 9 0 E 9 12 9 12 0 F 4 8 8 12 4 G 12 13 12 13 0
COMPUTE SLACK/FLOAT
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CRITICAL PATH
A
E D B
C F
G
1
6 2 3
1
4 3
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NEW NOTATION
● Compute ES, EF for each ac-vity, Le_ to Right
● Compute, LF, LS, Right to Le_
C 7 LS LF
ES EF
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EXHIBIT 2.6, P.35
A 21
E 5 D 2 B 5
C 7 F 8
G 2
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A 21
E 5 D 2 B 5
C 7 F 8
G 2
21 28 28 36
36 38
28 33 26 28 21 26
0 21
F cannot start until C and D are done. G cannot start until both E and F are done.
EXHIBIT 2.6, P.35
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A 21
E 5 D 2 B 5
C 7 F 8
G 2
21 26
0 21
26 28 31 36
36 38
21 28 28 36
21 28 28 36
36 38
28 33 26 28 21 26
0 21
E just has to be done in time for G to start at 36, so it has slack. D has to be done in time for F to go at 28, so it has no slack.
EXHIBIT 2.6, P.35
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A 21
E 5 D 2 B 5
C 7 F 8
G 2
21 26
0 21
26 28 31 36
36 38
21 28 28 36
21 28 28 36
36 38
28 33 26 28 21 26
0 21
EXHIBIT 2.6, P.35
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GANTT CHART -‐ ES
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
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CAN WE GO FASTER?
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TIME-‐COST MODELS
1. Iden-fy the cri-cal path 2. Find cost per day to expedite each node on cri-cal path.
3. For cheapest node to expedite, reduce it as much as possible, or un-l cri-cal path changes.
4. Repeat 1-‐3 un-l no feasible savings exist.
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What about Uncertainty?
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PERT ACTIVITY TIMES
● 3 -me es-mates • Op-mis-c -mes (a) • Most-‐likely -me (m) • Pessimis-c -me (b)
● Follow beta distribu-on ● Expected -me: t = (a + 4m + b)/6 ● Variance of -mes: v = (b -‐ a)2/36
$
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PROJECT TIMES
● Expected project -me (T) • Sum of cri-cal path ac-vity -mes, t
● Project variance (V) • Sum of cri-cal path ac-vity variances, v
64 bmaET ++
=
( )36
22 ab −=σ
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EXAMPLE
Ac-vity a m b E[T] variance A 2 4 8 4.33 1 B 3 6.1 11.5 6.48 2 C 4 8 10 7.67 1
Project 18.5 4
C B A 4.33 6.48 7.67
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BENEFITS OF PERT/CPM
● Useful at many stages of project management
● Mathema-cally simple ● Use graphical displays ● Give cri-cal path & slack -me ● Provide project documenta-on ● Useful in monitoring costs
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LIMITATIONS OF PERT/CPM
● Clearly defined, independent & stable ac-vi-es
● Specified precedence rela-onships ● Ac-vity -mes (PERT) follow beta distribu-on
● Subjec-ve -me es-mates ● Over emphasis on cri-cal path
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Risk Management
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WHAT IS RISK? A risk is a potenEal problem characterised by: (a) A likelihood of occurrence (b) A poten-al impact
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SOURCES OF RISK
1. Use of new or untried technology 2. Inexperienced team 3. Poor Project management
structure 4. Lack of resource or resource
conflicts 5. Work takes longer than planned 6. Deliveries from supplier late 7. Insufficient produc-on facili-es 8. Placing of subcontract and
purchase orders
10. Replace key, sick or holidaying personnel
11. Weather may delay work 12. Labour disputes may delay work 13. Poor cost es-mates 14. Currency conversion rates may
changes 15. Interfaces with other people,
departments and companies. 16. Pressure from NGOs, Poli-cians,
Crooks 17. Global Weather Changes 18. Natural Disasters
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RISK ASSESSMENT MAP
Impact Probability
Low Medium High
High ? Medium
Low ?
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Management Structure
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FUNCTIONAL, PROJECT AND MATRIX ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURES
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ORGANIZATION STRUCTURE INFLUENCES ON PROJECTS
Organization Type Project Characteristics
Functional
Matrix Projectized Weak Matrix Balanced
Matrix Strong Matrix
Project Manager's Authority
Little or None
Limited Low to Moderate
Moderate To High
High to Almost Total
Percent of Performing Organization's Personnel Assigned Full- time to Project Work
Virtually None
0-25%
15-60%
50-95%
85-100%
Project Manager's Role Part-time Part-time Full-time Full-time Full-time Common Title for Project Manager's Role
Project Coordinator/ Project Leader
Project Coordinator/ Project Leader
Project Manager/ Project Officer
Project Manager/ Program Manager
Project Manager/ Program Manager
Project Management Administrative Staff
Part-time
Part-time
Part-time
Full-time
Full-time
The organizational structure influences the project manager’s authority, but remember to address the human resources, political, and symbolic frames, too.
PMBOK Guide, 1996, p. 18
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DISTINCTIONS BETWEEN PROJECT AND FUNCTIONAL MANAGEMENT
– Job of func-onal managers go on forever
– They operate and op-mise the use of resources of overall company basis
– Job of project managers is over once project is finished
– They op-mise resources of a project
– Different defini-ons of op-misa-on may lead to conflicts
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ADVANTAGES OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT ORGANISATIONAL APPROACH
● Teamwork-‐ beNer mo-va-on & Communica-on
● Synergism-‐ high performing team ● Cross-‐Border management-‐ diff cultures, func-ons and boundaries
● Forward Looking-‐ what else needs doing ● Clent Rela-ons-‐ one point of contact ● Results – more effec-ve
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Project Measurement
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EARNED VALUE MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
(EVMS)
Presented By Sean Alexander (703) 503-5000 or (888) 860-0700
BASIC CONCEPTS
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EVMS OBJECTIVES
● Plan all work prior to beginning it ● Measure performance based on an objec-ve set of technical criteria
● Analyze schedule status and projec-ons using a -me phased CPM network
● Analyze the expenditure of funds in light of the work accomplished (not work scheduled)
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EVMS OBJECTIVES
● Isolate problems: – Quan-fy technical problems within the context of cost
and schedule parameters; – Not aimed at replacing or changing the process for
technical problem detec-on;
● Forecast comple-on date and final cost; ● Take correc-ve ac-on; ● Maintain disciplined control of the performance measurement baseline.
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BUDGET STRUCTURE
Negotiated Changes
Written Change Authorization, Not
Negotiated
Profit/Fee
Contract Cost Authorized, Unpriced Work
Distributed Budget [Σ of all CAs]
Undistributed Budget Management Reserve
Performance Measurement Baseline (PMB)
Contract Budget Base (CBB)
Contract
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EARNED VALUE TERMINOLOGY
Data Element Term Acronym Scheduled Work Budgeted Cost for Work Scheduled BCWS
Earned Value Budgeted Cost for Work Performed BCWP
Actuals Actual Cost of Work Performed ACWP
Authorized Work Budget At Completion BAC
Forecasted Cost Estimate At Completion EAC
Work Variance Schedule Variance SV
Cost Variance Cost Variance CV Completion Variance Variance At Completion VAC
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0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
EARNED VALUE DATA ELEMENTS
T/N
Cost Variance Schedule Variance
Projected Program Delay
VAC
EAC
BAC (PMB)
CBB
MR
ACWP BCWP
BCWS
ETC
Schedule Slip
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Control Account
Software Engineering
CWBS/OBS INTEGRATION
Work Packages
Planning Packages
OBS DATA SUMMARIZATION
SOFTWARE INTEGRATION PROGRAM
Product Development
Master Planning
Ada Products
Software Tools Standards
CPCI #1 MOS
CPCI #2 MOLE
CPCI #3 MAC
Ada Study
Ada Conversion
Ada Approach
Ada Applications
Secure Systems
LAN Applications
Marketing
BCWS BCWP ACWP BAC EAC
FUNCTIONAL ORGANIZATION
CWBS EXTENSION
SELECTED REPORTING ELEMENTS
SELECTED PSWBS ELEMENTS
Hardware Engineering
Engineering
Operations
WBS DATA SUMMAR I ZAT I ON
VP/GM
Control Account
Control Account
Control Account
Control Account
Control Account
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CONTROL ACCOUNT ELEMENTS
Work Packages Detailed, short-‐span tasks, or material items, required to
accomplish the CA objec-ves,
typically in the near term
Task 1 Task 2
Task 4 Task 5
Task 3 Work Packages
Planning Packages
Planning Packages Future work that has not been detail planned as work packages. They are always scheduled to occur in the future.
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EARNED VALUE TECHNIQUES
A predetermined amount of value, i.e. budget, that is claimed, or earned, when the corresponding work is accomplished. The budget value is earned in one of the following ways: þ 0/100 þ X/Y Percent
± 25/75 ± 40/60 ± 50/50
þ Milestone Weights
þ Milestone Weights with Percent Complete
þ % Complete ± Subjective Estimate ± Objective Indicators
þ Apportioned Effort þ Level of Effort
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Budgets vs Funds
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BCWS vs ETC
● Budgeted Cost for Work Scheduled (BCWS) – Time phased budget spread of required resources for
the en-re task. – Forms the Performance Measurement Baseline (PMB).
● Es-mate To Complete (ETC) – Funding required to complete remaining work. – When added to ACWP, it results in the EAC.
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EAC
THE PLAN (BCWS) AND THE ETC
BCWS
ETC
BAC/
The BCWS & BAC represent the work. The ETC & EAC represent the funds (i.e., money) required for that work.
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BAC vs EAC
● Budget At Comple-on (BAC) – Budgetary number represen-ng ALL authorized work
(i.e., the SOW). – Cannot change without a change to the SOW, or
appropriate approval.
● Es-mate At Comple-on (EAC) – Funding number represen-ng ALL the money that
will be spent. – Can change without a commensurate change to the
SOW.
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BUDGET VS FUNDS
Budget
ü A number written on a piece of paper
ü Cannot be spent
ü BCWS
ü BCWP
ü BAC
Funds
ü Actuals
ü Expenditures & estimates of future spending
ü ETC
ü ACWP
ü EAC
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P CUM
DATA ANALYSIS RELATIONSHIPS
Term Formula
Percent Complete
Cost Performance Index or Performance Factor
Checklist Actions Ratio of work accomplished in terms of the total amount of work to do.
Symbol % Done
CPI or PF
TCPI or VF
BCWP BAC
Average Performance BCWPcum
Duration (wks or mos) Since ACWP Began
BCWPcum Duration (wks or mos)
From Time Now to Manager's Stated Completion Date
SC or S/C Schedule Correlation
BCWP ACWP
Ratio of work accomplished against money spent (an efficiency rating: Work Done for Resources Expended)
To Complete Performance Index
or Verification Factor
BAC - BCWP EAC - ACWP
Ratio of work remaining against money remaining (Efficiency which must be achieved to complete the remaining work with the expected remaining money)
Schedule Performance Index SPI Ratio of work accomplished against what should have been done (Efficiency Rating: Work done as compared to what should have been done)
BCWP BCWS
SV
Ratio of Schedule Variance (SV) in terms of average amount of work accomplished (in weeks or months). It indicates a correlation to program true schedule condition
IEAC Independent Estimate At Completion
BAC PF
Calculation of a projected Estimate At Completion to compare with the CAM's Estimate At Completion: 1) Ration of total work to be done against experienced cost efficiency 2) Sunk costs added to a ratio of remaining work against weighted cost and schedule efficiencies
1)
2) BAC - BCWP .8CPI + .2SPI
ACWP +
Average Expected Performance To Finish
Average rate at which work has been accomplished since work began
Average rate at which work must be accomplished in the future to finish on the date the CAM has forecasted for completion of the work. P TO GO
P CUM
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BENEFITS OF EVMS
● Clear defini-on of work prior to beginning that work – Helps the line manager credibly request appropriate
resources – Provides the basis for a realis-c plan against which to
measure performance
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BENEFITS OF EVMS
● Objec-ve measurement of work accomplishment – Helps the line manager develop plans that are rooted
in reality • If the task can be done within scope, schedule, budget; confidence
in a successful outcome is increased • If the task cannot be done within scope, schedule, budget; that
problem can be defined and resolved at a -me when the resolu-on will be reasonably inexpensive
– Assists the line manager to request needed help – Assists program and func-onal management to iden-fy areas requiring addi-onal management aNen-on
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BENEFITS OF EVMS
● Provides true cost condi-on – Side-‐steps false cost variances – Encourages realis-c projec-ons of final cost – Enhances accuracy of funding forecasts
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● Reduces propensity of customer/boss to add work without adding budget – Ties budget directly to work – Requires all work transfers to include associated budget – Requires all budget transfers to include associated work
● Fosters management decisions within a framework of reality, rather than latent unease
BENEFITS OF EVMS
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0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
EARNED VALUE DATA ELEMENTS
Time Now
Cost Variance Schedule Variance
Projected Project Delay
Variance at Completion (VAC)
Estimate at Completion (EAC)
Budget at Completion (BAC)
Project Budget Base Management Reserve
ACWP BCWP
BCWS
ETC
Schedule Slip
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EARNED VALUE TERMINOLOGY
Data Element Term Acronym Scheduled Work Budgeted Cost for Work Scheduled BCWS
Earned Value Budgeted Cost for Work Performed BCWP
Actuals Actual Cost of Work Performed ACWP
Authorized Work Budget At Completion BAC
Forecasted Cost Estimate At Completion EAC
Work Variance Schedule Variance SV
Cost Variance Cost Variance CV Completion Variance Variance At Completion VAC
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EARNED VALUE EXERCISE – FENCE PROJECT
Calculation of Earned Value
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Project CommunicaEons Management
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IMPORTANCE OF GOOD COMMUNICATIONS
● The greatest threat to many projects is a failure to communicate
● Strong verbal skills are a key factor in career advancement for Project Managers
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PROJECT COMMUNICATIONS MANAGEMENT PROCESSES
● Communica-ons planning: determining the informa-on and communica-ons needs of the stakeholders
● Informa-on distribu-on: making needed informa-on available in a -mely manner
● Performance repor-ng: collec-ng and dissemina-ng performance informa-on
● Administra-ve closure: genera-ng, gathering, and dissemina-ng informa-on to formalize phase or project comple-on
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COMMUNICATIONS PLANNING
● Every project should include some type of communica-ons management plan, a document that guides project communica-ons
● Crea-ng a stakeholder analysis for project communica-ons also aids in communica-ons planning
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COMMUNICATIONS MANAGEMENT PLAN CONTENTS
● A descrip-on of a collec-on and filing structure for gathering and storing various types of informa-on
● A distribu-on structure describing what informa-on goes to whom, when, and how
● A format for communica-ng key project informa-on ● A project schedule for producing the informa-on ● Access methods for obtaining the informa-on ● A method for upda-ng the communica-ons
management plans as the project progresses and develops
● A stakeholder communica-ons analysis
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INFORMATION DISTRIBUTION
● Geang the right informa-on to the right people at the right -me and in a useful format is just as important as developing the informa-on in the first place
● Important considera-ons include – using technology to enhance informa-on distribu-on
– formal and informal methods for distribu-ng informa-on
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PERFORMANCE REPORTING
● Performance repor-ng keeps stakeholders informed about how resources are being used to achieve project objec-ves – Status reports describe where the project stands at a specific point in -me
– Progress reports describe what the project team has accomplished during a certain period of -me
– Project forecas-ng predicts future project status and progress based on past informa-on and trends
– Status review mee-ngs o_en include performance repor-ng
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CASE-‐STUDY LYNAS -‐ WHAT ARE THE ISSUES?
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LYNAS CASE-‐STUDY – GROUP WORK
● Use the internet to get all the informa-on ● Iden-fy project stakeholders ● What are the issues? ● What are project benefits? ● What are the project risks? (major & minor)
● Why are there conflicts? ● How to resolve conflicts? ● How can management inform the public?
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ADMINISTRATIVE CLOSURE
● A project or phase of a project requires closure
● Administra-ve closure produces – project archives – formal acceptance – lessons learned
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SUGGESTIONS FOR IMPROVING PROJECT COMMUNICATIONS
● Resolve conflicts effec-vely ● Develop beNer communica-on skills ● Run effec-ve mee-ngs ● Use templates for project communica-ons
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CONFLICT HANDLING MODES IN ORDER OF PREFERENCE
● Confronta-on or problem-‐solving: directly face a conflict
● Compromise: use a give-‐and-‐take approach ● Smoothing: de-‐emphasize areas of differences and emphasize areas of agreement
● Forcing: the win-‐lose approach ● Withdrawal: retreat or withdraw from an actual or poten-al disagreement
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Project Closure
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WHAT IS INVOLVED IN CLOSING PROJECTS?
● Closing processes include gaining stakeholder acceptance of the final product and bringing the project or phase to an orderly end
● Closing verifies that all of the deliverables have been completed
● A project audit is o_en done
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TRANSITION PLANNING ● It is important to plan for and execute a smooth transi-on of the project into the normal opera-ons of the company
● Most projects produce results that are integrated into the exis-ng organiza-onal structure
● Some projects require the addi-on of new organiza-onal structures
● Some projects end by ex-nc-on or starva-on
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ADMINISTRATIVE CLOSURE
● Administra-ve closure involves – verifying and documen-ng project results to formalize acceptance of the products produced
– collec-ng project records – ensuring products meet specifica-ons – analyzing whether the project was successful and effec-ve
– archiving project informa-on for future use
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FINAL REPORT OUTLINE
● Cover page ● Table of contents and execu-ve summary (for a long report) ● Need for the project ● Project descrip-on and leNer of agreement ● Overall outcome of the project and reasons for success or failure ● Project management tools and techniques used and assessment
of them ● Project team recommenda-ons and future considera-ons ● Final project GanN chart ● ANachments with all deliverables
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Closing Remarks
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CURRENT & FUTURE OF PM (-‐ Pinto and Kharbanda 1995)
• PM approach will replace functional line management • Globalisation needs PM approach • Trend towards flat, flexible organisation • PM used as competitive weapon • PM concept changes from decision maker, boss director to leader, coach & facilitator
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THE END
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PETRONAS TWIN TOWERS
● Iden-fy the PETRONAS Twin Towers’ stakeholders, their roles and interests.
● Discuss the risks faced during the project management processes of the PETRONAS Twin Towers.
● Appraise the mi-ga-on to the above risks in terms of innova-ons.
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BOSCH POWER TOOLS: THE DELTA-‐SANDER PROJECT (A)
● What are the problems facing the Bosch Delta-‐Sander project?
● What are the steps required by Mr. Klaus HuNelmaier in order to rec-fy the problems?
● Should the Bosch Delta-‐Sander be exhibited in Cologne? Give your opinions.
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INDIVIDUAL ASSIGNMENT 1
● One of the project failure causes is due to lack of integrity. Discuss.
● Why do you think SC s-ll implemented Construc-on Management approach although the SC management team was facing various issues throughout the SC project?