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Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater

Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

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Page 1: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Measuring & ModelingSnow

Andrew G. Slater

Page 2: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

SNOW!

Page 3: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Air to Soil Temperature Gradient

Ivotuk is in the northern foothills of the Brooks Range, AK

Page 4: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Integrated Extent-Duration of Snow

http://cires.colorado.edu/~aslater/NH_SNOW/

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June Snow Cover Retreat

Derksen and Brown, 2012

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Rapid Snow Retreat in 2013

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Snow Extent : Observations & Models

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Trends in Snow Extent (1966-2012)

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Nth Hemisphere Snow Mass/Depth Data

Product Native Resolution Period Product Type Reference

AMSR-E 25km EASE Grid 2002-2009 Passive Microwave Tedesco et al, 2004

SSMI 25km EASE Grid 2000-2007 Passive Microwave Armstrong & Brodzik

GlobSno 25km EASE Grid 2000-2009 Station data + Microwave Takala et al, 2011

ERAI 0.75 x 0.75 Deg 2000-2009 Reanalysis, with depth analysis Dee et al.

JRA 1.125 x 1.125 Deg 2000-2009 Reanalysis, with depth analysis Onagi et al.

CFSRR 0.33 x 0.33 Deg 2000-2009 Reanalysis, with depth analysis Saha et al

NARR 32km (NCEP 221) 2000-2009 Reanalysis, with depth analysis Messinger et al

ASR 30km WRF grid 2000-2009 Reanalysis, with depth analysis Bromwich et al.

MERRA 0.5 x 0.666 Deg 2000-2009 Reanalysis, forecast Reinecker et al.

CIRES 2.5 x 2.5 Degrees 2000-2009 Reanalysis, forecast Compo et al.

CMC ~24km IMS grid 2000-2009 Station interpolation/analysis Ross Brown

ETAC 1.0 x 1.0 degree Pre-1988 Station interpolation Foster & Davey

GRACE Big (ask Sean) 2002-2008 Gravity anomaly Sean Swenson

Page 10: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

March SWE : Spatial Correlation (2000-2009)

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March SWE : Spatial Correlation (2000-2009)

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Arctic BasinsLena

MacKenzie

Ob

Yenesy

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2000 – 2009 : Observations

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2000 – 2009 : Observations + CMIP5 Models

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2030 – 2039 : CMIP5 Models

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2060 – 2069 : CMIP5 Models

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2090 – 2099 : CMIP5 Models

Page 18: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Measurement Methods

Photos: A. Slater

SNOTEL and Precipitation Gauges Snow Board

Page 19: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Measurement Methods

Photos: A. Slater

Sonic Snow Depth Sensor

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Measurement MethodsAlter

Wyoming

DFIR

Nipher

Photos: NCAR

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Measurement Methods

Photos: A. Slater

Pyranometer and Stevenson Screen

Page 22: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Other Data Sources

CAIC TowerBerthoud Pass

Photos: A. Slater

Snow courses & weather networks

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Surface Hoar

Photos: A. Slater

Page 24: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Depth Hoar

Photo: http://www.avalanche.org/

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Depth Hoar Formation

• Driven by vapor density gradient, but temperature is a good proxy

• Large temp gradient, high temperatures & large pores = big crystals

• ~10°C/m is the critical gradient

Page 26: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Fresh Snow Density

Grant & Rhea, 1974Colorado

Page 27: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Snow Crystal Formation

Nakaya, 1945 (Lab Experiments)

Based on Magono & Lee, 1966 (Observations)

SectorPlates

Very Thick Plates

Hollow

SolidPrisms

SolidPrisms

Cups

-10 -20 -30 -40TEMPERATURE (oC)

0

Prisms

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

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North Slope Alaska, April 2009

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Constructive Metamorphism

Snow stratigraphy (right) at site KD-7 (Yamba Lake). The color representation of the NIR image of the left side of the snowpit indicates the relative grain size (yellow and red = largest; purple and blue = smallest). Sturm et al., 2008

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2011

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2012

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2013

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Manabe, 1969 – 1970’s

Accumulation Ablation

Time

Sn

ow M

ass/

Dep

th

Snowfall

****

*

Albedo = 0.70

Air to groundtemperature gradient

Radiation

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Climate Model (1980’s)

Metamorphism = f (mass)Accumulation Ablation

Time

Sn

ow M

ass/

Dep

th

Snowfall SublimationEvaporation

Runoff

****

*

WindAlbedo ~ Age

Ground heat flux

Radiation Turbulent fluxes

Page 37: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Land Surface Model (1990’s)

Metamorphism = f (age)Accumulation Ablation

Time

Sn

ow M

ass/

Dep

th

Snowfall SublimationEvaporation

Runoffsettling compaction

compaction

****

*

WindAlbedo ~ Tsnow

Turbulent fluxesRadiation

Ground heat flux

Page 38: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

More Sophisticated Snow Model (2000’s)

Metamorphism = f (mass, temperature, age)Accumulation Ablation

Time

Sn

ow M

ass/

Dep

thTurbulent fluxesRadiation Heat due to rain

Ground heat flux

Snowfall SublimationEvaporation

Rain

ice layer

Runoffsettling

settling

compactioncompaction

wet metamorphism

****

*

Wind

‘‘‘

‘‘

Albedo ~ Age ~ Sun angle ~ Cloud

Page 39: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Instrument Pass Bands & Spectral Reflectences

Image Courtesy: Bruce Raup, NSIDC

Page 40: Measuring & Modeling Snow Andrew G. Slater. SNOW!

Any Questions Before I Leave?