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Measuring the Internet in South East Asia When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when you cannot express it in numbers your knowledge about is of a meagre and unsatisfactory kind.” —Lord Kelvin Michael.Minges@itu. int The Internet in South East Asia Bangkok, 21-23 November 2001

Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

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Page 1: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Measuring the Internet in

South East Asia

“When you measure what you are speaking about and

express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when you cannot express it in

numbers your knowledge about is of a meagre and

unsatisfactory kind.”—Lord Kelvin

[email protected]

The Internet in South East AsiaBangkok, 21-23 November 2001

Page 2: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Overview

Conventional comparisonsUseful ICT indicators Defining access to ICTFrameworksSourcesConclusions

Page 3: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

The SE Asia Digital Divide I

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120

MyanmarLao P.D.R.CambodiaViet NamIndonesia

ASEANPhilippines

ThailandMalaysia

BruneiSingapore

FixedMobile

Telephone subscribers per 100 inhabitants2000

Source: ITU.

Page 4: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

The SE Asia Digital Divide II

0.1%

0.1%

0.3%

0.9%

2.0%

2.3%

3.8%

15.8%

24.9%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Cambodia

Laos

Vietnam

Indonesia

Philippines

ASEAN 8

Thailand

Malaysia

Singapore

Internet users as % of population2000

Source: ITU.

Page 5: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

How many Internet users?Who knows…

What is a user?Regular surveys are only conducted in SingaporeIn other countries, estimates based on subscribersThat such an important indicator should be so unmethodological is shocking!

14%

32%36% 43%

Nielsen*NetValue IDA Nielsen**

Note: * Used in last month. ** Total universe. Source: ITU adapted from sources shown.

Singapore: Internet users as % of population, mid-

2000

Page 6: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Internet subscribers

Not all countries compile (Thailand & Philippines)“Free” access distorts (Singapore)How to account for access-on-demand and pre-paid cards?

0.0% 1.0% 100.0%

Laos

Cambodia

Vietnam

Indonesia

Philippines

ASEAN 8

Thailand

Malaysia

Singapore

Users

Subscribers

Per 100 inhabitants, 2000

Source: ITU.

Page 7: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Internet pricing

$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50

Singapore

MalaysiaThailand

Indonesia

PhilippinesMEDIAN

Vietnam

LaosCambodia

ISP chargeTelephone usageTelephone rental

30 hours of Internet access, US$, October 2001Source: ITU adapted from ISPs / PTOs

Page 8: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

International Internet bandwidth

1'360

442

816

470

1'870

625

1'448

1'898

903

656.74

9.77

0.565.117.22

0.570.621.62

31.53

Singa

pore

Malays

ia

Indon

esia

Viet

nam

Cambo

dia

Thail

and

Philipp

ines

Laos

ASEA

N 8

Per subscriber

Per capita

Bits per second

Page 9: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Definition: ICT Universal Service

Universal service to Information & Communication Technology is defined as household access to the InternetProblem is, only Singapore has the information

98%

61%

50%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

TelephonePCInternet

Singapore% of households2000

Survey on Infocomm Usage in Households 2000 http://www.ida.gov.sg/Website/IDAContent.nsf/dd1521f1e79ecf3bc825682f0045a340/fa305296969a7951c8256ab7000c7eca?OpenDocument

Page 10: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Household telephones

1%

3%

8%

11%

13%

28%

66%

98%

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Cambodia*

Laos*

Vietnam*

Indonesia*

Philippines*

Thailand#

Malaysia*

Singapore#

Note: # = Census data. * = Derived from residential fixed telephone lines.Source: ITU.

% of households with a telephone, 2000

Page 11: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Definition: ICT Universal Access

Access to ICT Physical ownership / availability Affordability Skills

“There will always be segments of any society that will not want to avail themselves of technology…”“In essence, the real difference between the info-poor and the info-rich is the inequality of physical and financial access to ICT and in the actual usage of sources of information in a particular society.”

Source: www.nitc.org.my/resources/AccessEquity.pdf

Page 12: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Sizing the market

No access14%

No formal edu-

cation4%

>65 years4%

<6 years4%

In school28%

Only primar

y14%

Others32%

Univ-ersities

5%

High School

18%

Offices16%Warnet

50%

Relig-ous

schools11%

Potential Internet Users in Indonesia Total: 61 million

29% of 2000 population

Market segmentationin Malaysia, 2000

Sourc

e:

Post

el.

Sourc

e:

NIT

A.

Page 13: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Frameworks

Growing number of indexes for measuring “e-readiness”Problem is many use same indicatorsHow useful are they?

Page 14: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Mosaic comparison

0

1

2

3

4Pervasiveness

Dispersion

Absorption

Connectivity

Organizational

Sophistication

SingaporeMalaysiaThailand

Page 15: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Statistical agency Telecom regulator

Indonesia Statistics Indonesia www.bps.go.id

POSTELwww.postel.go.id

Malaysia Department of Statisticswww.statistics.gov.my

CMC www.cmc.gov.my

Singapore Statistics Singaporewww.singstat.gov.sg

IDAwww.ida.gov.sg

Vietnam General Statistical Office DGPT

Cambodia MPTC

Thailand PTD

Philippines

NTC

Laos National Statistical Centre

MCPTC

Market research

Page 16: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Malaysia & Thai 2000 Census

Are the following items available for use by members of this Household:

Radio / Hi-fi Television Video / VCD / DVD Fixed Telephone Line Mobile phone Personal Computer (PC) Internet SubscriptionSource: Question B7.

Population and Housing Census Malaysia 2000

77.2

73.5

64.5

27.7

25.1

10.3

91.5Television

Radio

Refrigerator

Motor cycle

Telephone

Motor car

AC

% of households with durable appliance

Source: Thailand 2000 Censuswww.nso.go.th/pop2000/pop2000.htm

Page 17: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Telephone distribution in Thailand

76%

36%28%

22% 21%

12%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Bangkok Central THAILAND Southern Northern North-eastern

% of households with telephoneBy region, 2000

Source: Thailand 2000 Censuswww.nso.go.th/pop2000/pop2000.htm

Page 18: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Key indicatorsNumber of fixed telephone subscribers Homes with a fixed telephone subscription (%)

Estimated Internet users

Internet subscribers - Dial-up Internet subscribers - Leased line Internet subscribers - DSL Internet subscribers - Cable modem Internet subscribers - Other broadband Internet subscribersHomes with an Internet subscription (%)

International Internet Bandwidth (Mbps) - International outgoing Internet Bandwidth (Mbps) - International incoming Internet Bandwidth (Mbps)

Total dial-up Internet traffic (minutes)

Number of Personal ComputersHomes with a Personal Computer (%)

Page 19: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Market research for Singapore

Number of Sessions per Month Number of Unique Sites Visited Time Spent per Site Time Spent per Month Time Spent During Surfing Session Duration of a Page viewed Active Internet Universe Current Internet Universe Estimate

15 40 21:33 8:35:04 33:30 00:36 871,938 2,120,318

INTERNET USAGE STATISTICS FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER 2001

Page 20: Measuring the Internet in South East Asia “When you measure what you are speaking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it, but when

Conclusions

Access to ICT is not the same thing as use. Regulators should mandate ICT availability but can only encourage use.Regulators must work with national statistical agencies to include questions about ICT availability in annual household surveys.Regulators must use statistics to gauge ICT development in the country and evolve strategies for enhancing access.