32
Methodology for Estimating Fugitive Windblown and Mechanically Resuspended Road Dust Emissions Applicable for Regional Air Quality Modeling Richard J. Countess Countess Environmental Westlake Village, CA

Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    18

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Methodology for Estimating FugitiveWindblown and MechanicallyResuspended Road Dust EmissionsApplicable for Regional Air QualityModeling

Richard J. CountessCountess Environmental

Westlake Village, CA

Page 2: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Expert Panel Members

William Barnard - Harding ESE

Candis Claiborn - Washington State University

Dale Gillette - NOAA

Douglas Latimer - U.S. EPA, Region VIII

Thompson Pace - U.S. EPA, OAQPS

John Watson - Desert Research Institute

Page 3: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Acknowledgements

Rich Halvey – Western Governors’ Association

Mark Scruggs – National Parks Service

C.V. Mathai – Pinnacle West Capital Corporation

Page 4: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Objectives!Summarize the findings and recommendations of a

panel of air quality experts regarding the bestmethodology for estimating emissions of fugitivewindblown and mechanically resuspended roaddust applicable for regional scale air qualitymodeling

!Make recommendations for future researchactivities to generate improved fugitive dustemissions estimation techniques applicable forregional scale air quality modeling.

Page 5: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Expert Panel Findings:Suspension vs. Transport

!A large fraction of the suspended particles arenot transported long distances"Particle losses due to impaction and deposition

!Regional-scale vertical flux is smaller than thelocal-scale fugitive dust flux"Particle loss affected by particle size, injection

height, wind speed, terrain, obstacles

Page 6: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Horizontal PM10 Flux At Various ElevationsDownwind of Unpaved Roads

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Elevation above Unpaved Road (m agl)

Frac

tion

of P

M10

Flu

x be

low

Ele

vatio

n

Page 7: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Attenuation of PM10 ConcentrationsDownwind of Unpaved Road

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

0 10 20 30 40 50D istance from Unpaved R oad (m )

Nor

mal

ized

PM

10 a

t 2 m

agl

Page 8: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Wind Speed Attenuation BasedOn Vegetative Cover

Page 9: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Downwind Deposition BasedOn Vegetative Cover

Page 10: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Gillette’s Model DepictingVertical & Horizontal Dust Flux

Z=0

dm/dtambout

X

dm/dtdepos

dm/dtup

X=Xo

dm/dtceil

dm/dtambin

dm/dtroad

dm/dtout

dm/dtambin

dm/dtceil

dm/dtroad

∆L=1

∆Z

Wind

Page 11: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Ratio of Vertical Flux toHorizontal Flux

Page 12: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Findings: Emission Rates

!Emission factors must be appropriate"Based on physically consistent model

!Activity levels should be accurate"Avoid default values

!Fine fraction needs to be characterized"Few direct measurements exist for PM2.5

Emission Rate = Emission Factor x Activity Level(e.g.: pounds/day = pounds/mile x miles/day)

Page 13: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Apply Atmospheric Wind Suspension RatherThan Agriculture Based Wind Erosion Model

Vertical Dust Flux Predicted as a Function of Friction Velocity. Threshold Friction Velocity of 0.4 m/s Assumed

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

0 0.5 1 1.5 2Friction Velocity (m s-1)

Flux

(ug

m-2 s

-1)

Claiborn et al., 1998. CP3 Nov 93

Claiborn et al., 1998. CP3 Sept 93

Tegen and Fung (disturbed soils)

Tegen and Fung (undisturbedsoils)Nickling and Gillies (1993)

Draxler and Gillette (2000)

Page 14: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Findings: Emissions Vary Temporallyand Spatially

!Emissions are not continuous processes"Wind erosion is of short duration & explosive in nature

!Annual inventories are not sufficient"Need to quantify short term variations in emissions to

develop effective control strategy!Spatial allocation of emissions is needed

"Reservoirs and activities vary significantly spatially"Disturbed surfaces produce significantly more dust

than undisturbed surfaces

Page 15: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

PM10 Index vs. STATSGO Clay(Ashbaugh et al., 2000)

y = 0.237x + 6.176R2 = 0.973

y = 0.031x + 2.404R2 = 0.928

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Percent Clay

PM10

Inde

x (m

g/g)

75 µm

2000 µm

Li (75 )

Page 16: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

PM10 Index vs. AP-42 Silt

y = 0.234x + 7.230R2 = 0.571

y = 0.032x + 2.527R2 = 0.574

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Percent Dry Silt

PM10

Inde

x (m

g/g)

75 µm

2000 µm

Linear (75 µm)

Page 17: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Findings: Models

!Air quality models need to integratemeteorology with the emissions generationprocesses"Previous modeling overestimated effect of emissions

!Receptor models can distinguish amongdifferent dust source categories" Identify contributions from specific dust sources

(local vs. distant, paved road vs. windblown dust)

Page 18: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Recommendations for Generating aFugitive Dust Emissions Inventory

!What do the experts say we need to do?!What can we do based on available

resources and funding?!What are the priorities?!What is the schedule for various tasks?

Page 19: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Experts’ Recommendations!Utilize physically consistent fugitive dust

emissions model!Quantify vertical PM10 & PM2.5 emission rates!Develop fugitive dust emissions inventory for the

region!Reconcile air quality dispersion model predictions

with the inventory!Apply receptor models to identify contributions

from specific sources

Page 20: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Recommendations: UtilizePhysically Consistent Emissions Model

!Test validity of assumptions of Gillette’s model"Upgrade model to account for deposition and impaction

!Windblown dust"Field test USDA’s Wind Erosion Prediction System"Alternatively, adopt Draxler’s approach"Examine previous studies to determine proportionality

constant between vertical and horizontal flux

!Mechanically suspended road dust"Evaluate alternative forms of EPA’s emission factors

Page 21: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Recommendations: Quantify PM10 &PM2.5 Vertical Flux Emission Rates

!Select unambiguous methodology to measurespatial and temporal variations in emissions"Few direct PM2.5 measurements exist"Fewer measurements of PM10 & PM2.5 vertical profiles

!Acquire accurate emission factors"Acquire information on parameters used in emission

factor equations (silt loading, silt content, moisturecontent, threshold friction velocity, PM10 & PM2.5 indices)

Page 22: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Recommendations: Quantify VerticalFlux Emission Rates (continued)

!Characterize temporal variability inemission rates taking into account:"Variability in threshold friction velocity"Variability in wind speed and the

importance of wind gusts"Seasonal variations"Short duration events (e.g., analyze short

term PM sampling results)

Page 23: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Recommendations: Quantify VerticalFlux Emission Rates (continued)

!Characterize spatial variability in emission rates"Determine availability of using existing spatially

resolved data bases (land use, soil surveys) toimprove inventories

"Acquire samples of representative soils to determinetheir particle erosion potential (PM10 & PM2.5indices)

"Develop practical method to obtain continuousroadway dust loadings

"Develop GIS emissions modeling structure foracquiring and updating spatially resolved data foruse in fugitive dust inventories

Page 24: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Recommendations: Quantify VerticalFlux Emission Rates (continued)

!Acquire accurate values of activity levels atsub-county level"Characterize spatial and temporal variability

!Quantify extent of particle reservoirs"Determine which surfaces have a limited vs.

unlimited supply of particles"Examine effect of different types of disturbances"Quantify processes affecting particle reservoir

replacement

Page 25: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Recommendations: Develop FugitiveDust Emissions Inventory

!Develop inventory using best estimates ofemission rates and quantify uncertainties

!Quantify effects of obstructions"Effect of upwind versus downwind obstructions

on wind speed"Effect of attenuation of wind speed on residence

time of suspended PM

!Determine variability in effectiveness ofcontrols

Page 26: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Recommendations: ReconcileDispersion Model Predictions with theInventory

!Air quality models need to integratemeteorology with the emissions processes"Quantify impaction and deposition losses for

different size particles"Quantify uncertainty of model inputs"Use “puff” type air dispersion model to

characterize instantaneous emission rates fromupwind/downwind exposure profiling studies

Page 27: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Recommendations: Apply ReceptorModels to Identify ContributionsFrom Specific Sources

!Utilize existing data bases (e.g., IMPROVE)!Identify analytical methods with the potential

to distinguish among different sources!Implement a systematic source profile

measurement program for the region!Implement high temporal resolution ambient

measurement program at selected IMPROVEsites

Page 28: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Inventory Approach! Select emission factor equations! Identify and assemble spatial data bases

for soil properties, vegetative cover,roadway, and land use activity

! Quantify PM suspension potential, PMreservoir, shelterbelt attenuation ofwinds, and downwind deposition

! Determine temporal and spatialvariations in dust-creating activities

Page 29: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Inventory Approach! Determine wind directions and speeds

for periods of interest! Apply emissions factors to estimate

suspension through vertical layers! Apply Gillette vertical/horizontal flux

inter-grid transport model to sub-grids! Sum emissions into and out of sub-grids

to obtain emissions out of the pre-sizedemissions grid (10 to 50 km for regionalinventories)

Page 30: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Activity Data Bases

!Ground cover (USGS, CALVEG)!Soils (STATSGO, SSURGO)!Agricultural fields and land use

(California Water Resources, aerialphotography)

!Roadways (FHWA, US Census Bureau)

Page 31: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Activity Types! Where and when activities create,

enhance, or reduce suspendablereservoirs (high winds, traffic,deposition, pollution controls, grazing,agriculture)

! Where and when activities injectsurface dust into the atmosphere(winds, traffic)

! Size of reservoir and fraction thatwould suspend as PM10 or PM2.5

Page 32: Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and ......Methodology for estimating fugitive windblown and mechanically resuspend ed road dust emissions applicable for regional air

Conclusions!A theoretical framework exists to create more

realistic regional fugitive dust inventories

!The data bases and computational capabilitiesare sufficient to implement further improvements

!Systematic surveys are needed to quantifyrepresentative samples of: PM potentials(replacing AP-42 silt); reservoir capacity;chemical/physical composition; and PM2.5emissions factors