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Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results Jonathan La Marche KADR Hydrologist 3/20/2000

Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

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Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results. Jonathan La Marche KADR Hydrologist3/20/2000. Information Prepared for the Klamath Basin Alternative Dispute Resolution Process and - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-BasinDistribution Model Preliminary Results

Jonathan La Marche KADR Hydrologist 3/20/2000

Page 2: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Information Prepared for the Klamath Basin Alternative Dispute Resolution Process andis not admissible in legal proceedings, pursuant to ADR Operating Principle 7.2, without the consent of the affected participants, ADR Operating Principle 7.3.3(3).

Page 3: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

•What is a water distribution model?

A water accounting system. Routes water within a distribution network (stream, canal, etc.)to demands based on priority and supply.

Water Distribution Models

Page 4: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Klamath Model Summary

• Flows and instream claims are evaluated only at the sub-basin outlet. Upstream consumptive uses are aggregated by priority date.

• Four priority date groups• -1864• 1865-1904• 1905• post 1905

• Since there are no gages on diversions, consumptive use (i.e. net diversions) have to be estimated.

Page 5: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results
Page 6: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle and Upper Williamson sub-basins.

Middle Williamson is defined as the drainage between Choloditch (just above Klamath Marsh) and the OWRD gage nearKirk (just below Sheep Creek).

The Upper Williamson is defined as the drainage above theOWRD gage near Kirk.

Page 7: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Effects of instream claims on diversions in the Middle and Upper Williamson sub-basins.

Compare:• Tribal Claim, Adjudicators Preliminary Findings, ODFW Water Rights, Historical Flows.

Evaluate:• Diversions, Shortages and Instream flows using the above instream requirements.

Page 8: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

1) Comparison of

•Tribal Claims,

•Preliminary Findings,

•ODFW Certificates and

•Historic Flows

Compared at the two sub-basin outlet: near Rocky Ford, above Cholo Ditch

For all graphs, bars represent demands- either instream or irrigation. Linesrepresent flows- either instream or diversions.

Page 9: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results
Page 10: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Instream Claims/Permits vs Average Historical Flows Upper Williamson near Rocky Ford (Gage # 11491400)

0

50

100

150

200

OctNov Dec Ja

nFeb M

ar AprM

ay Jun Ju

lAug

Sept

cfs

Tribal Claim Preliminary ODFW 74-97 Avg

Page 11: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Instream Claims/Permits vs Average Estimate FlowsMiddle Williamson above Cholo Ditch

0

50

100

150

200

OctNov Dec Ja

nFeb M

ar AprM

ay Jun Ju

lAug

Sept

cfs

Tribal Claim Preliminary ODFW 74-97 Avg

Page 12: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Instream Claim/Permit Comparison Summary

• Tribal claim #631 as originally claimed and as described in the adjudicator’s preliminary findings are very similar, except during spring runoff months. • Historical gage flows near Rocky Ford are somewhat lower than those stated in the preliminary findings, especially spring flows. Summer flows above Cholo Ditch are lower than the claimed amount, especially during summer months.

• ODFW water right amounts are much lower than historical flows and those stated in claim #631.

Page 13: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

• Using tribal claim as originally filed.

• Using instream values as stated in adjudicators preliminary findings.

• Using ODFW certificate values for instream flows.

Results of instream claims on diversions in the Mid and Upper Williamson sub-basins.

Page 14: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Two types of output for diversions and instream flows.

• Monthly Average over the Period of Record (74-97)

• Monthly Average by year type (wet, avg, dry)

Page 15: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Results for Upper Williamson sub-basin (above Rocky Ford) using claim #631 as initially filed and as stated in the OWRD adjudicators preliminary findings.

Page 16: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Upper Williamson Average Monthly Irrigation Demand and Deliveries over POR

0

10

20

30

40

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

uwill_a uwill_d Initial Prelim

Page 17: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Upper Williamson near Rocky Ford Monthly Average Flows over POR and Instream

Demand #631b

0

50

100

150

200

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Prelim_Claim Initial_Claim Initial Prelim

Page 18: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Upper Williamson R. Average Monthly Irrigation Demand and Deliveries for Wet Years

0

5

10

15

20

25

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

uwill_a uwill_d Initial Prelim

Page 19: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Upper Williamson R near Rocky Ford, Monthly Average Flows over Wet Years and Instream Claim #

631b

0

40

80

120

160

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Prelim_Claim Initial_Claim Initial Prelim

Page 20: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Upper Williamson R. Average Monthly Irrigation Demand and Deliveries for Average Years

05

1015202530

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

uwill_a uwill_d Initial Prelim

Page 21: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Upper Williamson R near Rocky Ford, Monthly Average Flows over Average Years and Instream Claim # 631b

0

40

80

120

160

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Prelim_Claim Initial Claim Initial Prelim

Page 22: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

General Summary There would not have been a substantial difference in the effects of instream claim #631 on irrigation above Rocky Ford as defined by the OWRD adjudicator or as originally claimed.

Period of Record Average On average, irrigation would have ceased for any user with a priority date later than 1864. For the “-1864” priority group, irrigation would be substantially reduced.

Summary for Upper Williamson (above Rocky Ford) subjectto instream claim # 631.

Page 23: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Average by Year Type

Average and Dry YearsFor average and dry years, users with any priority date would have been substantially reduced or eliminated by claim # 631 as defined by adjudicator or as initially claimed.

Wet YearsFor wet years, -1864 priority users in the Upper Williamsonsub-basin would have not been affected on average by instream claim #631 as defined in the preliminary findings by the OWRD adjudicator. However, all later priority dates would have been affected.

Summary for Upper Williamson (above Rocky Ford) subjectto instream claim # 631.

Page 24: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

• Results for Middle Williamson sub-basin (between Cholo Ditch and Rocky Ford).

Page 25: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results
Page 26: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle Williamson Average Monthly Irrigation Demand and Deliveries over POR

0

10

20

30

40

50

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Midwill_a Midwill_d Initial Prelim

Page 27: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle Williamson above Klamath Marsh Monthly Average Flows over POR and Instream

Demand #631a

0

50

100

150

200

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Prelim_Claim Initial_Claim Initial Prelim

Page 28: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle Williamson R. Average Monthly Irrigation Demands and Deliveries for Wet Years

0102030405060

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Midwill_a Midwill_d Initial Prelim

Page 29: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle Williamson R above Klamath Marsh, Monthly Average Flows over Wet Years and Instream Claim #

631a

04080

120160200240

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Prelim_Claim Initial_Claim Initial Prelim

Page 30: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle Williamson R. Average Monthly Irrigation Demands and Deliveries for Average Years

0102030405060

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Midwill_a Midwill_d Initial Prelim

Page 31: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle Williamson R above Klamath Marsh, Monthly Average Flows over Average Years and Instream Claim

# 631a

0

40

80

120

160

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Prelim_claim Initial_claim Initial Prelim

Page 32: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Summary findings for Middle Williamson (between Cholo ditch and Rocky Ford) subject to instream claim # 631.

Period of Record Average.

On average, irrigators in the “-1864” priority group between Cholo ditch and Rocky Ford would have been moderately affected by claim #631 as originally claimed or as stated in the OWRD adjudicators preliminary findings. On average, any irrigators with a later priority date would be eliminated or greatly reduced by claim #631.

Page 33: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Summary findings for Middle Williamson (between Cholo ditchand Rocky Ford) subject to instream claim # 631.

Average by Year Type.

Wet Years During wet years, irrigators in the “-1864” priority group would have not be affected by claim#631 as stated in the original claim or as determined by the adjudicator. All other priority groups may have been affected in the late summer months.

Page 34: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Summary findings for Middle Williamson (between Cholo ditchand Rocky Ford) subject to instream claim # 631.

Average by Year Type.

Average Years During average years, irrigators in the “-1864” priority group may be moderately affected in late summer by claim #631 as determined by the adjudicator. The original claim amount would have further reduced irrigation for the “-1864” priority group. No or very small amounts of irrigation would have occurred for the other priority groups.

Page 35: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Summary findings for Middle Williamson (between Cholo ditchand Rocky Ford) subject to instream claim # 631.

Average by Year Type.

Dry Years No or very small amounts of irrigation would have occurred during dry years using either claim#631 as originally stated or as determined by the adjudicator.

Page 36: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Results using ODFW water right value with time immemorial priority.

• Monthly Average over the Period of Record (74-97) •Monthly Average by year type (wet, avg, dry)

Page 37: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Upper Williamson sub-basin (above Rocky Ford).

Page 38: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Upper Williamson Average Monthly Irrigation Demand and Deliveries over POR

0

10

20

30

40

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

uwill_a uwill_d Initial ODFW

Page 39: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Upper Williamson near Rocky Ford, Monthly Average Flows over POR & Instream Claim #631b

0

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100

150

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Claimed ODFW Permit ODFW

Initial Gage Flows

Page 40: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Upper Williamson R. Average Monthly Irrigation Demands and Deliveries for Dry Years

0

10

20

30

40

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

uwill_a uwill_d Initial ODFW

Page 41: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Upper Williamson R at Rocky Ford, Monthly Average Flows for Dry Years & Instream Claim # 631b

0

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10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Claim 631b ODFW Permits ODFW Initial

Page 42: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Summary findings for Upper Williamson (above Rocky Ford) subject to ODFW values given a time immemorial priority.

Period of Record Average.

On average, irrigators above Rocky Ford would not be affected or only slightly affected by instream ODFW flow values. Minimum summer flows at Rocky Ford would average around 50 cfs for the period of record.

Page 43: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Summary findings for Upper Williamson (above Rocky Ford) subject to ODFW values given a time immemorial priority.

Average by Year Type.

Dry Years On average, irrigators above Rocky Ford would have been minimally affected (if at all) by ODFW flow values during dry years. Minimum summer flows at Rocky Ford during dry years would have averaged around 41 cfs.

Page 44: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle Williamson sub-basin (between Cholo Ditch and Rocky Ford).

Page 45: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle Williamson Average Monthly Irrigation Demand and Deliveries over POR

0

10

20

30

40

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Midwill_a Midwill_d Initial ODFW

Page 46: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle Williamson above Klamath Marsh, Monthly Average Flows over POR & Instream Demand #631a

0

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100

150

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Claimed ODFW PermitsODFW InitialGage Flow (est)

Page 47: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle Williamson R. Average Monthly Irrigation Demands and Deliveries for Dry Years

0

10

20

30

40

50

10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Midwill_a Midwill_d ODFW Initial

Page 48: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Middle Williamson R above Klamath Marsh, Monthly Average Flows for Dry Years & Instream Claim # 631a

0

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120

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10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

cfs

Claim 631a ODFW Permit ODFW Initial

Page 49: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Summary findings for Middle Williamson (between Cholo Ditchand Rocky Ford) subject to ODFW values given a time immemorial priority.

Period of Record Average.

On average, irrigators in the Middle Williamson would have been minimally affected (if at all) by ODFW flow values. Minimum summer flows above Cholo Ditch would have averaged about 44 cfs over the period of record.

Page 50: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Summary findings for Middle Williamson (between Cholo Ditchand Rocky Ford) subject to ODFW values given a time immemorial priority.

Average by Year Type.

Dry Years On average, irrigators in the Middle Williamson would have been minimally affected (if at all) by ODFW flow values during dry years. Minimum summer flows above Cholo Ditch during dry years would have averaged around 30 cfs.

Page 51: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

General Summary

Above Rocky Ford• Tribal Claim #631 as defined in the original claim or as defined by the adjudicator would have greatly affected any irrigators with a post 1864 priority date. Irrigators with a priority date of 1864 or earlier would be affected in dry and average years, but not wet years.

• ODFW instream flows with a time immemorial priority would have had a minimal or zero impact on irrigation. The minimum average summer flow for dry years would have been around 41cfs.

Page 52: Middle and Upper Williamson Sub-Basin Distribution Model Preliminary Results

Summary

Between Cholo Ditch and Rocky Ford• Tribal Claim #631 as defined in the original claim or as defined by the adjudicator would have had a slight impact on irrigation during wet years, a moderate impact during average years, and a high impact during dry years.

• ODFW instream flows with a time immemorial priority would have had a minimal or zero impact on irrigation. Average minimum summer flows during dry years would have been around 30cfs.