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Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 2000 1 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Page 1: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 2000

1

Minority Health Research:Application of Epidemiologic Methods

Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D.

San Diego State University

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 2: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 2000

2

Learning Objective

• To increase awareness on the relevance of epidemiologic methods for studying minority health problems– Classic studies– prototypical epidemiologic designs– Sampling issues– Data Analytic issues– Inferential errors?

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 3: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 2000

3

The Framingham Study

• Lowering cholesterol

• Controlling hypertension

• Increasing physical activity

• Avoiding cigarette smoking, etc.

• Methodologic contributions

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 4: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 2000

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Important Questions

• Is there any reason to believe that we need to frame the research question differently in terms of the factors that significantly impact the health conditions of a large proportion of minority population?

• What can epidemiology inform us about research on minority populations in this millennium?

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 5: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Some Flashbacks… In the 1950s

• One-third of New York City’s Midtown Manhattan’s residents were immigrants– Germans - 21.7%

– Irish - 16.9%

– Czekoslovakian - 9.2%

– Hungarians - 8%

– Italians - 7%

– British - 6.9%

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 6: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Puerto Ricans and Others

• 4% of Midtown Manhattan’s population was in the age range of 20-59 years

• The group labeled “All others”– made up 25% of midtown’s population– Predominantly Russians, Polish, and

Lithuanians– Though different, they were “meltable”

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 7: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Some observations?

The group most distinctly different from others appear to have the largest percentage of impairments.

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 8: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 2000

8

Traditional Approaches

• Efforts to improve access to health care– Often overlooks urban social conditions

• Availability of guns, drugs, liquor, fast foods

• Call for change in social conditions– Implicitly ignores currently afflicted

individuals

• Focus on individual risk factors– Blames the individual; negates social dilemma

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 9: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Minority Health Research: Issues

A. Choice of Study Design

B. Race/Ethnicity Identifier

C. Confounding and Effect Modification

D. Contextualized Analysis

E. Participatory community research

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 10: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Study Designs

• Sample Surveys

• Cohort Studies

• Clinical Trials

• Case-Control Method

• Hybrid designs

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 11: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Study Design: Surveys

• Advantages:– Obtain estimates of prevalence– Explore multiple factors associated with

multiple health outcomes

• Disadvantages:– High cost; large manpower demand– Temporality not established with certitude– Takes time to plan, collect, and analyze data

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 12: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

Hypothetical Sample Survey

D D

E

E

24

5

22,976

22,995

45,97129 N=46,000

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 13: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

Hypothetical Sample Survey

D D

E

E

924

95

22,076

22,905

44,9811019 N=46,000

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 14: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Problems in Minority Research

• Small numbers overall

• Geographic dispersion

• Confounding of ethnicity by geography– Sample unrepresentative of other locations

• Absence of targeted research funding

• Demand for different linguistic versions

• High cost (money, time, manpower)

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 15: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Study Design: Cohort Studies

• Advantages:– Examine multiple outcomes associated with

one or a few exposures– Temporality more clearly established– study natural history of disease– assess effectiveness of intervention– opportunity for a quasi-experiment

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 16: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Cohort Studies

• Disadvantages:– High cost: population scattered and mobile– Sample attrition can be problematic – Multiple-language versions– Reliability and validity issues– Measurement drifts over time– A cadre of trained personnel; staff turnover– Long waiting period to obtain findings

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 17: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Study Design: Clinical Trials

• Equipoise: a state of genuine uncertainty– beneficial effects suggested in literature– equally strong evidence of harmful effects

• If standard of care exists, unethical to use placebo group for comparison

• If no or low statistical power, unethical to do the study

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 18: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Some Issues

• Is it time to translate findings from DASH for use in different minority populations by substituting different ethnic foods?– Should we do more trials on minorities? Or,– Should we do health promotion right away?

• HRT: the number of minority women not sufficiently large to test for dosage and ethnic differences in response to treatment?

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 19: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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The Case-Control Method

• 1920: Broders

•1950: Wynder and Graham

•1950: Doll and Peto

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 20: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

Recall the Survey Data

D D

E

E

24

5

22,976

22,995

45,97129

OR=4.8

C.I.: 1.8, 12.6

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 21: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

21Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 2000

Hypothetical Case-Control Study

D D

E

E

24

5

49

51

10025

OR=4.99

C.I.: 1.8, 14.4

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 22: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Key Difference

Sample Survey• Interview 45,971

non-diseased persons • Odds ratio = 4.8• Confidence Interval

(1.83, 12.59)• need a defined

denominator

Case-Control Method• interview 100 controls

(representative)• Odds ratio = 4.99• Confidence Interval

(1.77, 14.14)• Useful if no defined

denominator

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 23: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Why Case-Control Method?

• Advantages:– Numerous factors associated with an outcome– Efficiency: quick; low cost; less manpower– Feasible to use for program evaluation

• Disadvantages:– Controls may be unrepresentative– Temporality not always determinable if

prevalent cases are used

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 24: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Application to Minority Research

• State of readiness– Cases already at ethnic clinics/service agencies– Culturally competent manpower on site to assist

• Choice of methods in selection of controls:– Incidence density sampling of controls– Random digit dialing, and other methods

• Can use different types of controls – by ethnicity, disease, geography, etc.

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 25: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Minority Health Research

A. Choice of Study Design

B. Race/Ethnicity Identifier

C. Confounding and Effect Modification

D. Contextualized Analysis

E. Participatory community research

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 26: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Ethnicity Identifier

• Multi-dimensional: pigmentation, values• Not mutually exclusive: overlapping identities

• May be time- and context-dependent

• Minimum data collected should include:– country of birth– generation– Where educated and native tongue

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 27: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Ethnicity is a Marker

• Country of birth - one’s own & parents’

• age on arrival in the U.S., if foreign-born

• Left by choice or by force of circumstance?

• Amount of preparedness for U.S.

• Ability to read English prior to arrival

• Place lived longest (rural, urban, pop. size)

• Prior education and occupation

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 28: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Minority Health Research

A. Choice of Study Design

B. Race/Ethnicity Identifier

C. Confounding and Effect Modification

D. Contextualized Analysis

E. Participatory community research

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 29: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 2000

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Confounding

X Y

Z

1. Z associated with X;2. Z associated with Y; and3. Z not an intermediate step between X and Y

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 30: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Crude vs. Adjusted Estimate

• Crude estimate:– Association between X and Y, Z absent

• Adjusted estimate:– Association of X and Y in the presence of Z

• If no difference between crude & adjusted,– conclude that Z is not a confounder– Z is irrelevant

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 31: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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If Z is in Causal Pathway

X YZ

Adjusting Z would be an “overfit”

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

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SES in the Causal Pathway

RaceHealth

OutcomesSES

Adjusting for SES would attenuateor eliminate the association

between race and health

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 33: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Policy Consequence of analysis

• Deny racism is a fundamental cause– Called “Fundamental” cause because the

health effects … cannot be eliminated by addressing the mechanism that appear to link them to disease (Link and Phelan, 1995)

• Identify SES as the appropriate point of intervention

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 34: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Failure to understand

has led some epidemiologists to

make inferences about

genetic transmission …

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 35: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 2000

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Modeling

Y = race

Y = race + Factor1 + … + etc.

• If the additional covariates do not produce a statistically significant result, drop them.

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

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A Common Conclusion

• The covariates do not help explain the outcome;

• Race difference is important– suggests possible genetic/biologic

factors

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

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Kaufman et al., 1997

Four sources of residual confounding:

1. Categorization of the SES variable

2. Measurement error

3. Aggregation

4. Incommensurate indicators

• An excellent paper on race and SES

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 38: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Residual Confounding

• Holding constant income, education, occupation, etc. is not holding constant !!!

• Holding income constant does not make African and white Americans comparable; they differ in what their money can buy.

• Holding education constant, an Asian American college entrant requires a higher SAT score to get admitted.

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

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Assessing Effect Modification

• Requires large sample size.

• Preferably equal sample size b/w groups.

• Over-sampling of minority groups has not achieved this level of comparability.

• Estimate for minority population has a large standard error. Conclude data unreliable.

• SE affects the test statistic and significance.

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 40: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Issue in Clinical Research

• Should minority populations be included or not?

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 41: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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1993 NIH Revitaliztion Act

• Purpose: to ensure that all federally funded clinical research include a valid analysis to determine whether the intervention under study affects women or members of minority groups differently from other subgroups.

• The word clinical research include clinical trials.

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 42: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Ethical Concerns For & Against

In support of the Act• okay because no prior

data to support ethnic differences; minorities should be included (social justice)

• Inclusion not expected to show subgroup differences

Not in support• fear of inflated cost• Increase harm to

minorities through “hard sell”/protracted accrual of subjects

• puts politics ahead of science

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 43: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 2000

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Minority Health Research

A. Choice of Study Design

B. Race/Ethnicity Identifier

C. Confounding and Effect Modification

D. Contextualized Analysis

E. Participatory community research

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 44: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Contextualized Analysis

• Cast individualized risk factors in the context of a macro-social environment

• Examine the life circumstances that shape a person’s exposures to risk factors.

• Distal causes are important.

• Address fundamental causes of mortality and morbidity.

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 45: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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In some academic settings

• The conduct of minority research has been equated with poor-quality research

• Attempts to develop new approaches in sampling rare elements are sometimes viewed as ‘soft’ or irreproducible

• Lack of comparability of measures for majority and minority populations threatens the validity of inferences

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 46: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

46Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 2000

How can we do methodologically rigorous research to improve the health of the minority populations and society at large?

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 47: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Suggested Approaches

Include a social-ecologic systems perspective

• Include group-level variables along with individual risk-factor variables in modeling

• Incorporate qualitative data with quantitative data in interpretation of results

• Understand disease distribution within and between populations

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 48: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Society’s characteristic at large

• Can affect health outcomes

• Individuals have a personal income

• Populations have an income distribution• In states where income differences are

greatest, people view their social environment as hostile; less likely to join organizations; more distrustful of others (Kawachi, 1997).

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 49: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Cultural Sensitivity

• Do racial comparisons with knowledge of intra-group variability.

• Study heterogeneity within ethnic groups• Interpret SES cautiously: is occupation

measuring past, cumulative, or current exposure?

• Watch for time- and context-dependent aspects of SES.

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 50: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Look beyond race

• Distinguish age, period, and cohort effects

• Study network structure

• Measure social ties better than we do now

• Understand types and functions of support

• Evaluate and measure chronic stress better

• Include chronic disease over the life course

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 51: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Chronic Disease

• In 1990, six major chronic diseases were the underlying cause of 60% of deaths in the U.S.

• These diseases are: ischemic heart disease, cancer, stroke, diabetes, COPD, and cirrhosis of the liver (NCHS, 1991).

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

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Newer data analytic techniques

• Repeated measures

• Multi-state modeling

• Adaptive genetic algorithms

• How to deal with missing data?

• How to handle discrepancies between multiple sources of information?

• How to measure quality of life?

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 53: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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More Precise Ecologic Data

• Distinguish between compositional effects and contextual effects (Szwarcwald et al., 1999)

• Compositional effects arise from “the population composition of types of people whose individual characteristics influence their health.”

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

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Compositional Variables

• Common “census” information:– Percent unemployed– Percent income below poverty level– Percent single head of household with children

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 55: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Contextual Effects

• Contextual effects emerge from the area in which the individual lives or the social groups to which they belong.

• Is the association between income and mortality due to compositional or contextual effects, or both?

• How best to assess their independent and joint effects?

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 56: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Area Characteristics

• Number of active neighborhood community groups

• Per capita crime rates; injury, mv crashes

• Number and conditions of stores, bars, etc.

• Extent of social services; recreat’l centers

• Perceptions of community problems

• Overall quality of life in a community

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 57: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Minority Health Research

A. Choice of Study Design

B. Race/Ethnicity Identifier

C. Confounding and Effect Modification

D. Contextualized Analysis

E. Participatory community research

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu

Page 58: Minority Health Institute, UNC, June 20001 Minority Health Research: Application of Epidemiologic Methods Elena S. H. Yu, Ph.D. San Diego State University

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Community Participation

• Research must be capacity-building

• Partners in defining the research problem; symmetrical relationship

• Training of minority scientists

• Mentoring of minority investigators

• Sharing of results with the community

Copyright © 2000, Elena YuCopyright © 2000, Elena Yu

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The Community

• Selects the research problem that has social significance; creative problem solving

• Assures the physical safety of participants

• Prevents socially damaging uses of data

• Assures long-term social benefit to the community

• Establish infrastructures for interventions

Copyright © 2000, Elena YuCopyright © 2000, Elena Yu

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Legacy of the Tuskegee Study

• Distrust between community and scientists

• Community participation is important, but does not in and of itself guarantee against mis-communication or misunderstanding the intent of research

• Ultimately, improving the educationl level of minorities will be beneficial

Copyright © 2000, Elena Yu