Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program

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    Missing the Point(s)

    The declining fortunes of Canadaseconomic immigration program

    Edwina OSheaBosch Fellow, Transatlantic Academy

    p a p e r s e r i e s

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    2009 ransatlantic Academy. All rights reserved.

    No part o this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any orm or by any means without permission

    in writing rom the ransatlantic Academy. Please direct inquiries to:

    ransatlantic Academy

    1744 R Street, NW

    Washington, DC 20009

    1 202 745 3886

    F 1 202 265 1662

    E [email protected]

    Tis publication can be downloaded or ree at http://www.transatlanticacademy.org.

    Transatlantic Academy Paper Series

    Te ransatlantic Academy Paper Series presents research on a variety o transatlantic topics by sta, ellows, and

    partners o the ransatlantic Academy. Te views expressed here are those o the author and do not necessarily

    represent the view o the ransatlantic Academy. Comments rom readers are welcome; reply to the mailing ad-

    dress above or by e-mail to [email protected].

    About the Transatlantic Academy

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    Missing the Point(s)

    The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program

    Transatlantic Academy Paper Series

    April 2009

    Ew OS*

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    Missing the Point(s):

    The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program3

    F

    I E, v

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    Canada has a

    long tradition

    of managing

    an economic

    immigration

    program, but

    despite 40 years

    of experience

    the Canadian

    system is today

    in a state of flux.

    Introduction

    1

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    Transatlantic Academy4

    C b, C

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    v w b v

    1 D Mw I White Paper onImmigration Ow: Q P, 166

    I C W P v w b v v

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    167 w v

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    3 CIC F O L: C Cz I ://www/ENGLISH//b//-6#6-7

    Henceforth,

    economic

    immigrants would

    be assessed

    against a set of

    selection factors

    that measured

    the potential of

    the individual

    to successfully

    establish herself

    in Canada.

    Origins of the Points-based

    Selection System2

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    Missing the Point(s):

    The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program5

    , w ,

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    While the 1967

    regulations

    laid the basis

    for a selection

    system that

    would be familia

    to Canadian

    immigration

    practitioners in

    2009, it remaine

    embedded in

    legislation dating

    back to 1952.

    Table 1. Selection Factors in the 1967 Immigration Regulations

    Factor Maximum Units Notes

    A 1

    E

    L Ab 1

    O

    D15

    S V

    P (SVP)1

    P Sb 15

    B F

    A

    E/

    D

    E

    1T w v jb ;

    D O L

    A Rv 35 5 D

    P M 5

    S: G G, 14

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    Missing the Point(s):

    The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program7

    Table 2. Selection Factors in the 1978 Immigration Regulations

    Factor Maximum Units Notes

    A 1

    E 1

    L Ab 1

    O

    D15

    S V

    P (SVP)15

    Ex 8

    P Sb 1

    B F

    A

    E/

    D

    E

    1T w v jb ;

    D O L

    A Rv 35 5 D

    P M 5

    S: G G, 1

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    Transatlantic Academy8

    Immigration in the 1980s and 1990s:

    Emerging Discontents3

    The economic

    downturn that hit

    Canada in the

    early 1980s with

    accompanying high

    unemployment led

    to measures to

    reduce immigration.

    T w C 18 w

    , w k

    T b

    Tb 3 Tk v

    w

    v jb ,

    x 3

    186, w

    w

    Table 3. Economic Immigrants as Component of Total Immigration, 1983 to 1992

    YearEconomic

    ImmigrantsTotal Immigrants Percentage

    183 4,187 8,1 71

    184 6,7 88,76 5

    185 6,11 84,345 31

    186 35,83 ,353 361

    187 74,13 15,6 487

    188 8, 161,574 46

    18 ,145 11,55 471

    1 7,3 16,445 45

    11 86,57 3,83 37

    1 5,83 54,818 376

    S: G G, 1

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    18 w

    v , w

    v w b w

    v b

    C A Tb 4 w,

    w b

    /b k , w

    b

    Sv w

    v b

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    Missing the Point(s):

    The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program9

    With the lifting

    of restrictions

    on independent

    immigration that

    accompanied

    economic recove

    in the mid 1980s

    came renewed

    attention to the

    effectiveness

    of the selection

    criteria.

    Table 4. Selection Factors, as Revised in 1986

    Factor Maximum Units Notes

    A 1

    E 1

    Language Ability 15 R

    Occupational

    Demand1 R 15

    S V

    P (SVP)15

    Ex 8

    P Sb 1

    Demographic Factor 1Nw v; v

    B F

    A

    E/

    D

    E

    1

    A Rv 1 Sb

    P M 7 R 5

    S: G G, 1

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    Transatlantic Academy10

    T w 186 w bv b v,

    b bw ,

    v

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    b k v w , w

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    k

    , w ,

    Tk

    w 186 , w b 13 v b w

    The early 1990s

    saw increased

    interest in

    adjusting the

    balance between

    economic and

    noneconomic

    immigrants.

    Table 5. Selection Factors, as Amended in 1993

    Factor Maximum Units Notes

    A 1

    Education 16R 1; v

    q x

    L Ab 15

    O

    D

    1

    Specific Vocational

    Preparation (SVP)18 R 15

    Ex 8

    P Sb 1

    D F 1

    B F

    A

    E/

    D

    E

    1

    Assisted Relative 5 R

    P M 7 R 5

    S: G G, 1

    v 178 , w

    w

    v b k

    I

    , 1 w

    j b bw

    Pv, ,

    w k

    C

    b ,

    D -186,

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    Missing the Point(s):

    The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program11

    5 b 1T w 16 v

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    8 CIC 7 F F 7 I Ovvw:P T R Cz I C Rv ://www/// /7/x

    The result was a

    policy decision

    in 1996 to strive

    for what came to

    be known as the

    60/40 split in

    which immigratio

    levels planning

    would reflect the

    goal of 60 perce

    of immigrant

    admissions

    coming from

    the economic

    categories, with

    the remaining 40

    percent drawn

    from family

    reunification

    and refugee

    categories.

    Table 6. Economic Immigrants as Component of Total Immigration, 1993 to 2003

    YearEconomic

    ImmigrantsTotal Immigrants Proportion

    13 15,66 56,73 41

    14 1,31 4,37 456

    15 16,63 1,87 51

    16 15,37 6,73 555

    17 18,351 16,38 54

    18 7,11 174,17 56

    1 1,51 18,55 575

    136, 7,458 5

    1 155,718 5,638 61

    137,864 ,4 6

    3 11,45 1,34 547

    S: Cz I C (F F 7)8

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    During the 1990s

    research by

    both academics

    and officials

    began to point

    to evidence that

    recent economic

    immigrants were

    experiencing

    more difficulty

    integrating into

    the Canadian

    economy than had

    been the case

    in the 1970s.

    Transatlantic Academy12

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    A 18

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    1 CIC B S F 1 C:Nw D I R P L, 18

    Preparing for a New Century

    4

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    The IRPA

    selection factors

    represent an

    almost complete

    realization

    of a human

    capital model

    for managing

    economic

    immigration.

    Missing the Point(s):

    The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program13

    bjv b, w w

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    k

    67

    IRPA v w

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    A bw 1 4

    v , w w w

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    A b Tb 7, IRPA

    z

    T

    b k q

    b w

    v jb T

    Table 7. Selection Factors in the 2002 Immigration and Refugee Protection Regulations

    Factor Maximum Units Notes

    A 1 A bw 1 4 v

    E 5

    L Ab 4

    Ab 1B bjv ; v

    v C

    B F

    A

    E1

    P M 67

    S: I R P R,

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    Transatlantic Academy14

    b, w b 4 bw T w

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    186 13, w w

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    v I w - IRPA, v b

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    v Eb

    v bw

    v v, v

    v xb

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    b IRPA I, b

    v

    v w , b

    -v

    w , v b w w IRPA

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    By 2006 some

    800,000 people

    had applications

    pending a

    decision; more

    than 500,000 of

    the applications

    were in the

    traditional skilled

    worker category.

    Missing the Point(s):

    The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program15

    Economic Immigration Post IRPA:

    Continuing Malaise5I w IRPA,b k w

    , w

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    68 v !11 T

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    IRPA

    v C v IRPA

    A ,

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    w kw, b

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    , bw, b b

    bk

    Processing times and the backlog

    W v, bk, w w

    w C , b 6

    b w

    11 S: CIC bwb- N b; w z qk w k v z

    B 1

    8, ;

    5, w

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    v v k

    IRPA

    q v

    q

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    -IRPA , bw 6, 13 A

    w v w z,

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    k wk w , w

    Tb 8

    W b

    v qk

    v, b , v

    w bk T -

    k wk v , b

    v

    bw v

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    wk k,

    w

    1 S k b Hb M Sb, z , b H CS C Cz I, M 1,6

    13 S A R P, 3 8 Avb: ://www/EGLI//b/x

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    Between 1980

    and 2000, the

    earnings of

    immigrant men

    fell by 13 percent,

    while the earnings

    of Canadian-

    born men rose

    by 10 percent.

    Transatlantic Academy16

    B z k wk

    x

    bk -k wk P

    IRPA, w v x

    G O

    L C

    b kw b P-

    IRPA, w

    x k b

    W v

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    b k

    14 S ://www/////x

    (z) w

    w , j

    bw C b w

    j -v

    Deteriorating immigrant outcomes

    B ,

    w

    , w b

    v-b C

    T , w w

    b b

    Cz I C, w

    x- , w

    w bw C

    w 1

    18 1

    w k

    w

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    b 1 w

    w, w

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    b v

    b B

    ,

    w v 17 w

    C-b wk w wv 18 w 85

    C I w v

    15 P, G & Sw, A, 5 T DE W I Pb C: U5 A S B R P S56, S C, A S B

    Table 8. Processing Times in SelectedImmigrant Categories, 2007

    Immigrant

    Category

    Processing time (months)

    for 50 percent/80 percent

    of cases

    A A 1/37

    F-Sk

    Wk36/68

    Qb-Sk

    Wk8/15

    Pv

    N7/11

    F C

    (

    )

    5/8

    F C

    (

    )

    11/1

    S: Cz I C14

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    These findings

    suggest that

    the decline in

    the economic

    performance of

    recent immigran

    can be explained

    in large part

    as the result of

    the changing

    composition of

    immigrant intake

    Missing the Point(s):

    The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program17

    1 w 7 C,

    wk16

    A w , v

    v , v w

    v q

    w b b q

    jb k W ,

    x,

    q , w

    b C I

    A,A, S A, w w

    W E A

    16 Ibid.

    b bv w wk x, w x

    v w

    x U S

    E Tk

    b x

    k A

    , w

    v C k E F

    v v-b C,

    x v b b k17

    17 A, Ab & Sk, Mk, 4 Ex D E E C IC: 166- A S B R PS 45, S C, A S B

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    Transatlantic Academy18

    Foreign credential recognition

    A

    b b kw b w

    v b b,

    b

    b v A

    , b bv,

    w k b C

    v x

    , w b

    w b I, v b b

    wk b

    b C ,

    v w

    q V qk

    : v v

    j v

    b, v

    bw w v v,

    w w A b

    v , v b 7 w F

    C R O (FCRO) w

    v x

    N bv

    v, b

    w w v b

    vb k

    v q b wk C

    Growing numbers of provincial nominees

    A w , w

    LRAG , v

    b 1

    w v, v

    T v b

    ,

    , , b , b

    w b

    v T w

    W b

    v w

    v , b 5, w bk

    k wk b v

    , b v

    w b

    A w Tb ,

    v w qk

    5 1, ,

    17, 7

    W b v

    w v xb

    w w

    b IRPA , qk

    b v

    v v

    k wk

    Ad Hoc Responses

    6

    Table 9. Provincial Nominee Admissions, 1999 to 2007

    Year 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    Admissions

    (

    )

    477 1,5 1,74 ,17 4,418 6,88 8,47 13,336 17,5

    S: Cz I C (F F 7)

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    This trend toward

    a two-step

    process helped

    drive temporary

    foreign worker

    volumes to recor

    levels, and forced

    the government

    to reallocate

    resources from

    permanent

    immigrant

    processing.

    Missing the Point(s):

    The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program19

    T b, b bv,v

    , w W

    , 7,

    w b v

    b k wk

    b z

    Expansion of the Temporary Foreign

    Worker program

    P ,

    C w

    wk b,

    - z b

    k W x

    b w C

    b w Mx v

    Cw Cbb ,

    wk jb

    w k G w

    wk q

    w v b b q

    C T x, x,

    N A F T A

    (NAFTA), k

    wk wk C (

    C U S)

    T b wk

    C, w

    wk C w

    , b w

    5 ( Tb 1) T

    7, w w

    8 b, w k b b b

    Tw v

    wk v T , w

    w-k wk

    w

    A

    , , w k bk

    k wk F

    w ,

    b k b v

    wk ( wk

    k wk

    b )

    b bb w

    w

    w U S

    v W wk C

    w w

    b

    C U S (

    kw B S), 7, v w

    w v

    wk w

    w C, w

    w

    C T w w-

    v wk v

    v, v

    Table 10. Temporary Foreign Workers in Canada, 1997 to 2007

    Year 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    Admitted 17,1 116,651 11,775 111,16 13,46 11,7 1,848 13,7 165,18

    Total 165,755 178,587 187,561 18,64 18,884 1,867 5,481 57,8 3,37

    S: Cz I C (F F 7)

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    Each of these

    measures sought

    to respond to one

    aspect or another

    of the discontents

    plaguing the post-

    IRPA economic

    immigration

    program For the

    most part, though,

    the solutions

    addressed only

    the symptoms,

    not the causes,

    of the problems.

    Transatlantic Academy20

    v wk ,

    z k wk q

    Canada Experience Class

    I 7 C v

    IRPA

    w C

    Ex C (CEC) A b bv,

    w CEC w w

    w

    , b x

    kw R I S

    b

    I k

    w x

    k wk , :

    F Sk Wk P (FSWP)

    b k v

    b k

    wk FSWP

    v b

    k k ,

    T F Wk P

    18

    L x

    v w , w

    v -

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    Missing the Point(s):

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    The most

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    Transatlantic Academy22

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    Missing the Point(s):

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    While there is

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    Transatlantic Academy24

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    Conclusion

    8

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