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8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
1/26
Missing the Point(s)
The declining fortunes of Canadaseconomic immigration program
Edwina OSheaBosch Fellow, Transatlantic Academy
p a p e r s e r i e s
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
2/26
2009 ransatlantic Academy. All rights reserved.
No part o this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any orm or by any means without permission
in writing rom the ransatlantic Academy. Please direct inquiries to:
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Tis publication can be downloaded or ree at http://www.transatlanticacademy.org.
Transatlantic Academy Paper Series
Te ransatlantic Academy Paper Series presents research on a variety o transatlantic topics by sta, ellows, and
partners o the ransatlantic Academy. Te views expressed here are those o the author and do not necessarily
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dress above or by e-mail to [email protected].
About the Transatlantic Academy
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Bucerius, the Robert Bosch Stiung, and the Lynde and Harry Bradley Foundation, the Transatlantic Academy
serves as a orum or a select group o scholars rom both sides o the Atlantic and rom diferent academic and
policy disciplines to examine a single set o issues. Working together rom a transatlantic and interdisciplinary
perspective, Academy ellows use research, publications, and ideas to make policy-relevant contributions to
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startup rom the Transatlantic Program o the Government o the Federal Republic o Germany through unds
o the European Recovery Program (ERP) o the Federal Ministr y o Economics and Technology.
About Transatlantic Academy
Brussels Forum is an annual high-level meeting o the most inuential American and European political, corpo-
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please visit www.brusselsorum.org.
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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Missing the Point(s)
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program
Transatlantic Academy Paper Series
April 2009
Ew OS*
B Fw, T A
I 3
O P-b S S 4
I 18 1: E D 8P Nw C 1
E I P IRPA: C M 15
A H R 18
Bk F: B C-5 R Lb Mk Dv C
C 4
* Ew OS w D Cz I C, wk S v C US , w -k C M OS wk C b , , - T,N, S, K S b Q Uv Uv T, C T x , vw Cz I C
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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Missing the Point(s):
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program3
F
I E, v
v -
b
F,
x,
C
, b 4
x C
x C w w C : b
16, b bw
b
k w
-
T b b
v M 8,
v , b
b O b
6, A bk, v
w v
A v
b
C
w v
T C b w w
k
I w v
b , v M , 8, v
b -
B w v?
D
? W w x
? A
C
b
v ?
Canada has a
long tradition
of managing
an economic
immigration
program, but
despite 40 years
of experience
the Canadian
system is today
in a state of flux.
Introduction
1
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
5/26
Transatlantic Academy4
C b, C
176 I A I ,
bk 16, w C
w D
16, v
v E
A b
T b
vb w
C B R, w
16 b b
, , A , w
, w
,
k x S
b v
w w
W W II, b b v
16 k b
v w k
wk w I 166, Lb v
W P1
T W P z
b
w W
, W P
v b
w
b k wk
v v
T
v w b v
1 D Mw I White Paper onImmigration Ow: Q P, 166
I C W P v w b v v
b bjv k x v
T 166 W P w
167 w v
F, w D
Mw I, b
b b k w
b w z T
v w
z v
w v C b
k Nx, w bw b kw 3
(
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b)
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, w w b
x,
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Tk
w b k
w b w
w , w
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q wk
I v b w ,
3 CIC F O L: C Cz I ://www/ENGLISH//b//-6#6-7
Henceforth,
economic
immigrants would
be assessed
against a set of
selection factors
that measured
the potential of
the individual
to successfully
establish herself
in Canada.
Origins of the Points-based
Selection System2
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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Missing the Point(s):
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program5
, w ,
b-k , b b
w b wk C
b k b
b k Lb k
x 35 , w 5
q T w, ,
v
I ( )
b (1 ), w
, w 1 w A
4 w k b
4 G, A G G, Dv A, T E G C I P: P P C PbP, V XXV, N 4 1
I ,
wv, bjv
b
( w ) w w 15
F, -
bw k ,
b C
w bw 35 5 b ,
k bw
W 167 b
w b C
,
b bk 15 I
17, w Lb v,
b P T, k k
While the 1967
regulations
laid the basis
for a selection
system that
would be familia
to Canadian
immigration
practitioners in
2009, it remaine
embedded in
legislation dating
back to 1952.
Table 1. Selection Factors in the 1967 Immigration Regulations
Factor Maximum Units Notes
A 1
E
L Ab 1
O
D15
S V
P (SVP)1
P Sb 15
B F
A
E/
D
E
1T w v jb ;
D O L
A Rv 35 5 D
P M 5
S: G G, 14
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8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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Missing the Point(s):
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program7
Table 2. Selection Factors in the 1978 Immigration Regulations
Factor Maximum Units Notes
A 1
E 1
L Ab 1
O
D15
S V
P (SVP)15
Ex 8
P Sb 1
B F
A
E/
D
E
1T w v jb ;
D O L
A Rv 35 5 D
P M 5
S: G G, 1
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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Transatlantic Academy8
Immigration in the 1980s and 1990s:
Emerging Discontents3
The economic
downturn that hit
Canada in the
early 1980s with
accompanying high
unemployment led
to measures to
reduce immigration.
T w C 18 w
, w k
T b
Tb 3 Tk v
w
v jb ,
x 3
186, w
w
Table 3. Economic Immigrants as Component of Total Immigration, 1983 to 1992
YearEconomic
ImmigrantsTotal Immigrants Percentage
183 4,187 8,1 71
184 6,7 88,76 5
185 6,11 84,345 31
186 35,83 ,353 361
187 74,13 15,6 487
188 8, 161,574 46
18 ,145 11,55 471
1 7,3 16,445 45
11 86,57 3,83 37
1 5,83 54,818 376
S: G G, 1
W v
18 w
v , w
v w b w
v b
C A Tb 4 w,
w b
/b k , w
b
Sv w
v b
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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Missing the Point(s):
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program9
With the lifting
of restrictions
on independent
immigration that
accompanied
economic recove
in the mid 1980s
came renewed
attention to the
effectiveness
of the selection
criteria.
Table 4. Selection Factors, as Revised in 1986
Factor Maximum Units Notes
A 1
E 1
Language Ability 15 R
Occupational
Demand1 R 15
S V
P (SVP)15
Ex 8
P Sb 1
Demographic Factor 1Nw v; v
B F
A
E/
D
E
1
A Rv 1 Sb
P M 7 R 5
S: G G, 1
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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Transatlantic Academy10
T w 186 w bv b v,
b bw ,
v
A, b bw
b k v w , w
v b
wk vv I 13,
k
, w ,
Tk
w 186 , w b 13 v b w
The early 1990s
saw increased
interest in
adjusting the
balance between
economic and
noneconomic
immigrants.
Table 5. Selection Factors, as Amended in 1993
Factor Maximum Units Notes
A 1
Education 16R 1; v
q x
L Ab 15
O
D
1
Specific Vocational
Preparation (SVP)18 R 15
Ex 8
P Sb 1
D F 1
B F
A
E/
D
E
1
Assisted Relative 5 R
P M 7 R 5
S: G G, 1
v 178 , w
w
v b k
I
, 1 w
j b bw
Pv, ,
w k
C
b ,
D -186,
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Missing the Point(s):
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program11
5 b 1T w 16 v
w b kw 6/4
w v w
6
, w
4 w
W q,
w v bq
, w Tb 6
8 CIC 7 F F 7 I Ovvw:P T R Cz I C Rv ://www/// /7/x
The result was a
policy decision
in 1996 to strive
for what came to
be known as the
60/40 split in
which immigratio
levels planning
would reflect the
goal of 60 perce
of immigrant
admissions
coming from
the economic
categories, with
the remaining 40
percent drawn
from family
reunification
and refugee
categories.
Table 6. Economic Immigrants as Component of Total Immigration, 1993 to 2003
YearEconomic
ImmigrantsTotal Immigrants Proportion
13 15,66 56,73 41
14 1,31 4,37 456
15 16,63 1,87 51
16 15,37 6,73 555
17 18,351 16,38 54
18 7,11 174,17 56
1 1,51 18,55 575
136, 7,458 5
1 155,718 5,638 61
137,864 ,4 6
3 11,45 1,34 547
S: Cz I C (F F 7)8
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During the 1990s
research by
both academics
and officials
began to point
to evidence that
recent economic
immigrants were
experiencing
more difficulty
integrating into
the Canadian
economy than had
been the case
in the 1970s.
Transatlantic Academy12
B 1, v , w
w v
w T I A
w w
v I Nvb 16,
Lv Av G
(LRAG) x
w k v
I Db 17,
v , N J Nb: A
C Fwk F I T
b v:
x w, w wk
w
D 1, b b
b v
w x
C
b 17
A v w
z w x
w C-b wk, b w v
B 1,
w w w
A 18
1 w b
q v ,
D , w
b v b C
C, LRAG w
P, G & Sw, A, 5 T DE W I Pb C: U5 A S B R P S56, S C, A S B
b k I, w w
, ,
b, x k
O
v k b
w
w ,
b v O vk
, w k
T v
LRAG w
b w b 18 W P, B S
F 1 C1 I W
P, v v
T v v
w x ,
, w
, b v
16 I , v ,
- b
b k
w v x w
I, b LRAG -
, W P
b
I w b
k -
,
kw-b C
w b, ,
x k N -
b k w b , w v jb
w v b I
1 CIC B S F 1 C:Nw D I R P L, 18
Preparing for a New Century
4
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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The IRPA
selection factors
represent an
almost complete
realization
of a human
capital model
for managing
economic
immigration.
Missing the Point(s):
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program13
bjv b, w w
b bjv ,
v wk C b
T v w z w
I R
P A (IRPA) Tb 7
k
67
IRPA v w
b wk W
b b w
x k (
N O
C v , A, B), w
T jb
I
x
jb, IRPA v,
b T
, w w 5 ,
v w v v q:
v w L
v w w 4
U IRPA b q b
b, b
-
B C ILETS Ab, w
b ,
b b b,
v C
v wk C, w
A bw 1 4
v , w w w
v w 44 b
A b Tb 7, IRPA
z
T
b k q
b w
v jb T
Table 7. Selection Factors in the 2002 Immigration and Refugee Protection Regulations
Factor Maximum Units Notes
A 1 A bw 1 4 v
E 5
L Ab 4
Ab 1B bjv ; v
v C
B F
A
E1
P M 67
S: I R P R,
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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Transatlantic Academy14
b, w b 4 bw T w
, w
v , w w v
, w
k w b v
v w- wk A
w
186 13, w w
C
I k wk ( kw
), IRPA v
v I w - IRPA, v b
x z w w kw
v Eb
v bw
v v, v
v xb
b w
b IRPA I, b
v
v w , b
-v
w , v b w w IRPA
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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By 2006 some
800,000 people
had applications
pending a
decision; more
than 500,000 of
the applications
were in the
traditional skilled
worker category.
Missing the Point(s):
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program15
Economic Immigration Post IRPA:
Continuing Malaise5I w IRPA,b k w
, w
,
w : w
, k v v
, k
w w
v C ( x
v w PD) B w
F x, 7, v
z b v
A b b( ) b w
68 v !11 T
k C
v ;
bw v
IRPA
v C v IRPA
A ,
w w
v b C, b
w C w x L
w kw, b
x C, w v
, bw, b b
bk
Processing times and the backlog
W v, bk, w w
w C , b 6
b w
11 S: CIC bwb- N b; w z qk w k v z
B 1
8, ;
5, w
k wk T w q
w - b
v v k
IRPA
q v
q
T b
kb
-IRPA , bw 6, 13 A
w v w z,
bk w O,
, k wk
w v b z, bk
k wk w,
k wk w , w
Tb 8
W b
v qk
v, b , v
w bk T -
k wk v , b
v
bw v
v A w
b w, v
w, b -k
wk k,
w
1 S k b Hb M Sb, z , b H CS C Cz I, M 1,6
13 S A R P, 3 8 Avb: ://www/EGLI//b/x
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Between 1980
and 2000, the
earnings of
immigrant men
fell by 13 percent,
while the earnings
of Canadian-
born men rose
by 10 percent.
Transatlantic Academy16
B z k wk
x
bk -k wk P
IRPA, w v x
G O
L C
b kw b P-
IRPA, w
x k b
W v
b , k k wk b T
b k
14 S ://www/////x
(z) w
w , j
bw C b w
j -v
Deteriorating immigrant outcomes
B ,
w
, w b
v-b C
T , w w
b b
Cz I C, w
x- , w
w bw C
w 1
18 1
w k
w
T
b 1 w
w, w
w Bw 18 ,
b 13 , w
C-b b 1
E w b 6
, b w
w b w C-b
w15 I 1 w
b v
b B
,
w v 17 w
C-b wk w wv 18 w 85
C I w v
15 P, G & Sw, A, 5 T DE W I Pb C: U5 A S B R P S56, S C, A S B
Table 8. Processing Times in SelectedImmigrant Categories, 2007
Immigrant
Category
Processing time (months)
for 50 percent/80 percent
of cases
A A 1/37
F-Sk
Wk36/68
Qb-Sk
Wk8/15
Pv
N7/11
F C
(
)
5/8
F C
(
)
11/1
S: Cz I C14
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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These findings
suggest that
the decline in
the economic
performance of
recent immigran
can be explained
in large part
as the result of
the changing
composition of
immigrant intake
Missing the Point(s):
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program17
1 w 7 C,
wk16
A w , v
v , v w
v q
w b b q
jb k W ,
x,
q , w
b C I
A,A, S A, w w
W E A
16 Ibid.
b bv w wk x, w x
v w
x U S
E Tk
b x
k A
, w
v C k E F
v v-b C,
x v b b k17
17 A, Ab & Sk, Mk, 4 Ex D E E C IC: 166- A S B R PS 45, S C, A S B
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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Transatlantic Academy18
Foreign credential recognition
A
b b kw b w
v b b,
b
b v A
, b bv,
w k b C
v x
, w b
w b I, v b b
wk b
b C ,
v w
q V qk
: v v
j v
b, v
bw w v v,
w w A b
v , v b 7 w F
C R O (FCRO) w
v x
N bv
v, b
w w v b
vb k
v q b wk C
Growing numbers of provincial nominees
A w , w
LRAG , v
b 1
w v, v
T v b
,
, , b , b
w b
v T w
W b
v w
v , b 5, w bk
k wk b v
, b v
w b
A w Tb ,
v w qk
5 1, ,
17, 7
W b v
w v xb
w w
b IRPA , qk
b v
v v
k wk
Ad Hoc Responses
6
Table 9. Provincial Nominee Admissions, 1999 to 2007
Year 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Admissions
(
)
477 1,5 1,74 ,17 4,418 6,88 8,47 13,336 17,5
S: Cz I C (F F 7)
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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This trend toward
a two-step
process helped
drive temporary
foreign worker
volumes to recor
levels, and forced
the government
to reallocate
resources from
permanent
immigrant
processing.
Missing the Point(s):
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program19
T b, b bv,v
, w W
, 7,
w b v
b k wk
b z
Expansion of the Temporary Foreign
Worker program
P ,
C w
wk b,
- z b
k W x
b w C
b w Mx v
Cw Cbb ,
wk jb
w k G w
wk q
w v b b q
C T x, x,
N A F T A
(NAFTA), k
wk wk C (
C U S)
T b wk
C, w
wk C w
, b w
5 ( Tb 1) T
7, w w
8 b, w k b b b
Tw v
wk v T , w
w-k wk
w
A
, , w k bk
k wk F
w ,
b k b v
wk ( wk
k wk
b )
b bb w
w
w U S
v W wk C
w w
b
C U S (
kw B S), 7, v w
w v
wk w
w C, w
w
C T w w-
v wk v
v, v
Table 10. Temporary Foreign Workers in Canada, 1997 to 2007
Year 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Admitted 17,1 116,651 11,775 111,16 13,46 11,7 1,848 13,7 165,18
Total 165,755 178,587 187,561 18,64 18,884 1,867 5,481 57,8 3,37
S: Cz I C (F F 7)
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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Each of these
measures sought
to respond to one
aspect or another
of the discontents
plaguing the post-
IRPA economic
immigration
program For the
most part, though,
the solutions
addressed only
the symptoms,
not the causes,
of the problems.
Transatlantic Academy20
v wk ,
z k wk q
Canada Experience Class
I 7 C v
IRPA
w C
Ex C (CEC) A b bv,
w CEC w w
w
, b x
kw R I S
b
I k
w x
k wk , :
F Sk Wk P (FSWP)
b k v
b k
wk FSWP
v b
k k ,
T F Wk P
18
L x
v w , w
v -
b , C v
w bk Mv,
k, k v b
k v w, ,
18 Canada Gazette, V 14, N 3 A , 8
T q w CEC IRPA
Dv w ,
w b wk C
wk w ,
w b
C, CEC v w
I CEC, v
w w b v
w
qv Pv N Qb
T w w b z w 1
, 36 68 q
z k wk Eq ,
CEC w b w v,
, v CEC v,
w b w
w k wk B
k
wk
Impact of the ad hoc responses
E
-IRPA F
, ,
, , b I
, w xb
b k
wk F x, b
Pv N v
, w v, CEC
w w b
v v w vb k wk I
b w , b
wk, w
,
v w
,
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
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Missing the Point(s):
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program21
w k wk
T FCRO w
b b w
b
A w v, b
T v, b
v w, w b
w b
bkz k b C
A v wk
v
b
N b b w
w C
z x j
C ,
b z
I x,
b v
v b IRPA w
, v b
vb b v IRPA Ev
k b b v
,
w w
-IRPA
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
23/26
The most
obvious impact
of the ministerial
instructions
is to return
the Canadian
economic
immigration
program to
its roots.
Transatlantic Academy22
A CEC b 7 F B,
v b b w
v
b I Fb 8,
b, w
I R
P A T v w
k v
b k T v
w bq
B C-5 w : , IRPA
w q k ;
, w v
w k
, b
w b
Fw B C-5,
Cvv v w,
w w
T v
k wk v Fb7, 8 ( b )
w v
b b T
w b
w b , w
O ,
Pv N, b ,
, ,
w b
F k wk,
b w x
w b
C b k,
38 b
w v
w T
-k (, , ,
) v (
) v
w k (b,
, k)1 A w
v jb , w w
C b wk
,
x, w b v
T bv C
T
k
v
x w
167 ,
O bw
, b C-5,
:
b b b
IRPA B b
b w w
b k w
w IRPA
T b B C-5 x
v b
k Nw
w v qk b ,
,
b T v b Pv
N ,
1 F x ://www///k/-w-
Back to the Future: Bill C-50 and a
Return to Labor Market Driven Criteria7
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Missing the Point(s):
The declining fortunes of Canadas economic immigration program23
w b zw x b O
k
b b b
b A
v Fb 8, w w w
b bj ,
w q
T 8
w b I
, wv, 6, k wk
b Fb 7, 8,
w w Cv w b
D v
b w
q
w
36 68 I k, v
C
, v
w b w b
C , w
k v
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
25/26
While there is
no doubt that
recent immigrants
face integration
challenges, the
most pressing
issues facing
the system
relate to intake
management
and not the
selection model.
Transatlantic Academy24
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Conclusion
8
8/9/2019 Missing the Point(s): The declining fortunes of Canada's economic immigration program
26/26
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