31
Modelling longitudinal structural change from serial MRI Ged Ridgway [email protected] John Ashburner Colleagues at the FIL (WTCN) and the Dementia Research Centre Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging UCL Institute of Neurology

Modelling longitudinal structural change from serial MRI Ged Ridgway – [email protected]@ucl.ac.uk John Ashburner Colleagues at the

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • Slide 1

Modelling longitudinal structural change from serial MRI Ged Ridgway [email protected]@ucl.ac.uk John Ashburner Colleagues at the FIL (WTCN) and the Dementia Research Centre Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging UCL Institute of Neurology Slide 2 Overview Motivation for longitudinal data Need for appropriate statistical analysis Benefits of longitudinal image processing Risk of bias from asymmetric processing Longitudinal imaging in SPM12 Unbalanced data and further extensions Slide 3 Motivation for longitudinal data Development, growth, plasticity, aging, degeneration, and treatment-response are inherently longitudinal Serial data have major advantages over multiple cross-sectional samples at different stages Increasing power Subtlety of change over time vs. inter-individual variation Reducing confounds Demonstrating causality with interventions Separating within-subject changes from cohort effects Slide 4 Example: Training & structural plasticity Intervention (training) + longitudinal data allows causal interpretation of change, cf. just difference Draganski et al. (2004) Neuroplasticity: Changes in grey matter induced by trainingDraganski et al. (2004) volunteers who learned to juggle transient and selective structural change in brain areas associated with processing and storage of complex visual motion Draganski et al. (2006) Temporal and spatial dynamics of brain structure changes during extensive learningDraganski et al. (2006) Slide 5 Example: Training & structural plasticity Scholz et al. (2009) Training induces changes in white matter architectureScholz et al. (2009) Slide 6 Example: Training & structural plasticity Comments & Controversies, NeuroImage, 2013, 73:225267 Thomas & Baker: Teaching an adult brain new tricks: A critical review of evidence for training-dependent structural plasticity in humansTeaching an adult brain new tricks: A critical review of evidence for training-dependent structural plasticity in humans Erickson: Evidence for structural plasticity in humans: Comment on Thomas and Baker (2012)Evidence for structural plasticity in humans: Comment on Thomas and Baker (2012) [ Jones et al: White matter integrity, fiber count, and other fallacies: The do's and don'ts of diffusion MRI ]White matter integrity, fiber count, and other fallacies: The do's and don'ts of diffusion MRI Draganski & Kherif: In vivo assessment of use-dependent brain plasticityBeyond the one trick pony imaging strategyIn vivo assessment of use-dependent brain plasticityBeyond the one trick pony imaging strategy Fields: Changes in brain structure during learning: Fact or artifact? Reply to Thomas and Baker Thomas & Baker: On evidence, biases and confounding factors: Response to commentariesChanges in brain structure during learning: Fact or artifact? Reply to Thomas and BakerOn evidence, biases and confounding factors: Response to commentaries Slide 7 Example: Alzheimers disease evolution Multiple sources of cohort effects Birth-year (nutrition, etc.) Disease onset-time cohorts Healthy survivor effect Timescales too long for pure longitudinal studies Unstructured multicohort longitudinal designs See Thompson et al. (2011)Thompson et al. (2011) [source of figure on next slide] Slide 8 Example: Alzheimers disease evolution Slide 9 Further statistical issues Even simple designed experiments have pitfalls Usually seek group-by-time interaction Not significant change in one group but not another Not group difference at one time-point but not another Cant ignore dependence within-subject over time In an ANOVA with group and time factors: Time effects can relate to (smaller) within-subject var. Group differences must relate to between-subject var. Group-by-time interaction Slide 10 Benefits of longitudinal image processing Smaller within-subject variation motivates longitudinally-tailored image processing methods Boundary shift integral (BSI) Intensity difference after rigid registration over region from brain masks more precise than mask volume diff. Non-rigid registration Jacobian-integration JI over segmented region more precise than multiple independent segmentations (example following) Temporally-constrained/regularised 4D methods E.g. Xues CLASSIC, Wolzs 4D graph-cutCLASSIC4D graph-cut Slide 11 Longitudinal imaging animations Interpolating rigidly aligned images Warping average by interpolated transform Interpolating volume change (divergence) relative to the average Slide 12 Benefits of longitudinal image processing Anderson et al. (2012) Gray matter atrophy rate as a marker of disease progression in ADAnderson et al. (2012) Slide 13 Risk of bias from asymmetric processing Within-subject image processing often treats one time-point differently from the others Later scans registered (rigidly or non-rigidly) to baseline Baseline scan segmented (manually or automatically) Asymmetry can introduce methodological biases E.g. only baseline has no registration interpolation error Baseline seg. more accurate than propagated segs. Change in later intervals more regularised/constrained Slide 14 Risk of bias from asymmetric processing Theory known for a long time (but often ignored) Ashburner et al. 1999; Christensen, 1999; Cachier & Rey, 2000; Smith et al. 2001Ashburner et al. 1999 Christensen, 1999 Cachier & Rey, 2000 Smith et al. 2001 Demonstrated in practice recently as a serious issue Thomas et al. 2009; Yushkevich et al. 2010; Thompson & Holland 2011Thomas et al. 2009 Yushkevich et al. 2010 Thompson & Holland 2011 Slide 15 Risk of bias from asymmetric processing Comments & Controversies, NeuroImage, 2011, 57:1-21 Thompson & Holland: Bias in tensor based morphometry Stat-ROI measures may result in unrealistic power estimatesBias in tensor based morphometry Stat-ROI measures may result in unrealistic power estimates Hua et al: Accurate measurement of brain changes in longitudinal MRI scans using tensor-based morphometryAccurate measurement of brain changes in longitudinal MRI scans using tensor-based morphometry Fox et al: Algorithms, atrophy and Alzheimer's disease: Cautionary tales for clinical trialsAlgorithms, atrophy and Alzheimer's disease: Cautionary tales for clinical trials Reuter & Fischl: Avoiding asymmetry-induced bias in longitudinal image processingAvoiding asymmetry-induced bias in longitudinal image processing Slide 16 Longitudinal image processing in SPM12 Ashburner & Ridgway (2013) Unified rigid and non-rigid registration with model of differential intensity inhomogeneity (bias) Generative each time-point is a reoriented, spatially warped, intensity biased version of avg. Symmetric with respect to permutation of images Consistent with direct registration between pair Diffeomorphic complex warping without folding Slide 17 Slide 18 Generative model Average image Inhomogeneity regularization Registr. (velocity) regularization Time- point N Non-rigid Transform Velocity Inhomog. correction field Rigid Transform Rigid parameters Noise-level Slide 19 Slide 20 Slide 21 Slide 22 Slide 23 Example result Alzheimers disease subject Above: Images aligned only rigidly (OASIS data)OASIS Below: Non-rigid volume change (divergence) Slide 24 Example result Group averages 82 subjects from OASIS longitudinal data (part 1) DARTEL for between-subject spatial normalisation Divergences transformed without modulation Next step could be SPM statistical analysis Slide 25 Terminology: TBM, DBM & (longitudinal) VBM (Deformation) Tensor-based morphometry (TBM) Davatzikos et al. (1996); Chung et al. (2001)Davatzikos et al. (1996)Chung et al. (2001) SPM-like (mass-univariate) analysis of Jacobian or div See also mass-multivar. generalized TBM (Lepore et al. 2008)Lepore et al. 2008 Deformation-based morphometry (DBM) Ashburner et al. (1998)Ashburner et al. (1998) Multivariate analysis of displacement vector patterns Longitudinal VBM (Kipps et al. 2005)Kipps et al. 2005 Tissue-specific volume-change (using segmentation) Slide 26 Longitudinal statistical modelling in SPM Balanced data (e.g. designed experiment) Same number (and timing) of time-points over subjects Repeated-measures / within-subject ANOVA Dependence within specified factor(s) Unbalanced data (e.g. observational study) E.g. more frequent observation closer to onset (DIAN)DIAN Two-stage (fMRI-like) analysis of summary statistics E.g. straight line or polynomial regression coefficients Sub-optimal if times vary dramatically (singletons dropped) Slide 27 Other statistical modelling approaches Bernal-Rusiel et al. (2012) Statistical analysis of longitudinal neuroimage data with Linear Mixed Effects models. [FreeSurfer]Bernal-Rusiel et al. (2012) Chen et al. (2013) Linear mixed-effects modeling approach to FMRI group analysis. [AFNI]Chen et al. (2013) Li et al. (2013) Multiscale adaptive generalized estimating equations for longitudinal neuroimaging data. [unbalanced twin and familial studies]Li et al. (2013) Bayesian spatio-temporal modelling in SPM Slide 28 Demo of longitudinal imaging in SPM12 Beta version released in December 2012 (phew!) http://www.fil.ion.ucl.ac.uk/spm/software/spm12/http://www.fil.ion.ucl.ac.uk/spm/software/spm12/ Frequent updates until final release Record (and ideally report) the SPM12 revision number (r5360) Longitudinal registration relatively stable No longitudinal examples in SPM manual yet Possibly after SPM course in May Support on SPM list, or email me (dont email John!) http://www.fil.ion.ucl.ac.uk/spm/support/ Slide 29 No Longitudinal button, but found in Batch menu, like Dartel, etc. Choice of paired or general serial. No difference in model, but easier specification and results for pairs. Slide 30 Specify Time 1 scans for all subjects, then all Time 2 scans (in same order!) Default values can be left; NaN to automatically estimate (Rician) noise levels Vector (list) of time intervals (yr) Slide 31 One module per subject (scripting required if many subjects!) Vector (list) of times relative to arbitrary datum (e.g. baseline=0) Select all scans for this subject Jacobian output useful to quantify interpretable ROI volumes (in litres) Slide 32 Output/results Average image Jacobians or divergences Deformations Next steps Segment avg Run Dartel/Shoot Warp e.g. dv to standard space SPM stats on dv (TBM) Or combine with seg of avg (VBM) Slide 33 Modelling longitudinal structural change from serial MRI Ged Ridgway [email protected]@ucl.ac.uk This work was supported by the Medical Research Council [grant number MR/J014257/1] The Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging is supported by core funding from the Wellcome Trust [091593/Z/10/Z]