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Introduction to NASA’s Modern Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Research and Applications: MERRA NASA Remote Sensing Training Geo Latin America and Caribbean Water Cycle capacity Building Workshop Colombia, November 28-December 2, 2011 ARSET ARSET A A pplied pplied R R emote emote S S ensing ensing E E ducation ducation and and T T raining raining A project of NASA Applied Sciences A project of NASA Applied Sciences

Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

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Page 1: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research Retrospective-analysis for Research

and Applications: and Applications: MERRA

NASA Remote Sensing TrainingGeo Latin America and Caribbean Water Cycle capacity Building Workshop

Colombia, November 28-December 2, 2011

ARSETARSET

AAppliedpplied RRemoteemote SSensingensing EEducationducation andand TTrainingraining

A project of NASA Applied SciencesA project of NASA Applied Sciences

Page 2: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

ObjectivesObjectives

For details see For details see http://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/research/merra/http://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/research/merra/

To Present: • A brief overview of MERRA Water Products

• Examples of analysis and visualization of weather events and climate variability

Page 3: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

NASA Water Products• Rain

• Snow/Ice

• Water Vapor

• Clouds

• Soil Moisture

• Ground Water

• Snow/Ice

• Rain, Clouds, Water Vapor

• Soil Moisture

• Evaporation/Transpiration

• Run off

Water Cycle Components Water Cycle Components

Products in red - derived from satellite measurementsProducts in red - derived from satellite measurements

Products in blue - derived from atmospheric/land surface models, Products in blue - derived from atmospheric/land surface models, such as such as MERRAMERRA, in which satellite measurements are assimilated or combined, in which satellite measurements are assimilated or combined

Page 4: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

Modeling of the atmosphere-Land-Ocean Systems

• Models use laws of physics in terms of mathematical equations to represent atmosphere, ocean, land systems and changes occurring in them in space and time

• Models apply these mathematical equations, on horizontal and vertical grids by using numerical methods

• Models use observations to represent the atmosphere ocean-land system at a given time to deduct how the system will evolve over space/time

• Models ‘parameterize’ physical processes based on physical/statistical/empirical techniques derived or verified by using observed quantities

Page 5: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

Modeling of the atmosphere-Land-Ocean Systems• Modeling of water-related processes is complex due to

presence of water in gaseous, liquid, and solid forms in the atmosphere-ocean-land system

• Rigorous validation with observations and model tomodel inter-comparisons are conducted to assessuncertainties in models

MERRA MERRA precipitation precipitation comparison comparison with other with other modelsmodels

Page 6: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

What is Reanalysis?

• A technique to produce multiple climate variables in which past observations are combined with a model

• Past observations of basic meteorological data such as temperature, wind speed, and pressure are analyzed and interpolated onto model grids

• 3-D forecasting model is initialized and constrained with the observations

• The model simulations provide many climate variables which are not observed, for example moisture flux

• The model simulations also provide more frequent (hourly, 6-hourly) output than observations

Page 7: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

MERRA Reanalysis Data

• Input: Standard Meteorology– Temperature, Pressure, Wind, Moisture, Radiance

– Chemistry: Ozone; Aerosol and Carbon under development

– Irregularly distributed in space and time

• Output– Clouds and their properties

– Water Cycle

– Energy Budget from the top of atmosphere to the surface of the Earth

– Global coverage at regular frequency

From: Michael Bosilovich, NASA-GSFC-GMAOFrom: Michael Bosilovich, NASA-GSFC-GMAO

Page 8: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

• Blends the vast quantities of observational data with output data of the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) model [1979-present]

MERRAMERRA

Current satellite coverage assimilated in MERRACurrent satellite coverage assimilated in MERRA

Page 9: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

Observations used in Reanalysis

• Technologies change; Instrument life cycleFrom: Michael Bosilovich, NASA-GSFC-GMAOFrom: Michael Bosilovich, NASA-GSFC-GMAO

MERRA Focuses on historical analyses of the water cycle on a broadrange of weather and climate time scales (hours to years) and placesthe NASA satellite observations in a climate context

Page 10: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

Reanalysis

• Strengths – The processed data are globally continuous in space and time, and provide meteorological and climatological relevant fields

• Weakness – Earth system models represent the human knowledge of how the world works

From: Michael Bosilovich, NASA-GSFC-GMAOFrom: Michael Bosilovich, NASA-GSFC-GMAO

Relative Humidity (fraction)Relative Humidity (fraction)

Eastward Winds (m/s)Eastward Winds (m/s)

July 2011 (850 hPa)July 2011 (850 hPa)

Page 11: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

MERRA Water Products

Specific Humidity Kg/KgRelative Humidity Fraction Cloud Fraction Fraction

Spatial Resolution: 2/3°x1/2°Spatial Resolution: 2/3°x1/2°

Surface Rainfall Rate Kg/m2/s Surface Evaporation Kg/m2/s Cloud Top Pressure and Temperature hPa and K

Vertically Integrated Water Vapor Kg/m2

Temporal Resolution: MonthlyTemporal Resolution: MonthlySpatial Resolution: 1.25°x1.25° and 42 vertical levelsSpatial Resolution: 1.25°x1.25° and 42 vertical levels

3-dimensional Parameters3-dimensional Parameters UnitsUnits

2-dimensional Parameters2-dimensional Parameters

Page 12: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

MERRA Water Products

Specific Humidity Kg/KgRelative Humidity Fraction Cloud Fraction FractionCloud liquid and ice water mixing ratio Kg/Kg

Spatial Resolution: 2/3°x1/2°Spatial Resolution: 2/3°x1/2°

Surface Rainfall Rate Kg/m2/s Snow Mass Kg/m2

Snow Cover Fraction Snow Depth m Surface Snowfall Rate Kg/m2/s Surface Evaporation Kg/m2/s Cloud Top Pressure and Temperature hPa and KVertically Integrated Water Vapor,

cloud liquid and ice water content Kg/m2

Temporal Resolution: HourlyTemporal Resolution: HourlySpatial Resolution: 1.25°x1.25° and 42 vertical levelsSpatial Resolution: 1.25°x1.25° and 42 vertical levels

3-dimensional Parameters3-dimensional Parameters UnitsUnits

2-dimensional Parameters2-dimensional Parameters

Page 13: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

MERRA for WeatherMERRA for WeatherHurricane Irene August 27 0 GMTHurricane Irene August 27 0 GMT

Sea L

evel P

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ea L

evel P

ressu

re Tota

l Atm

osp

heric

Tota

l Atm

osp

heric

Mois

ture

Mois

ture

Eastw

ard

Win

dEastw

ard

Win

d North

ward

N

orth

ward

W

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Win

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Page 14: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

MERRA Climate data

MSU data is assimilated, so the apparent correlation is expected

-0.8-0.6-0.4-0.2

00.20.40.60.8

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

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1995

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1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

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2007

2008

2009

2010

CMSU Temperature of the Lower Troposphere (TLT)

Anomaly (1989-2008)

MERRA UAH

From: Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA-GSFC-GMAOFrom: Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA-GSFC-GMAO

Page 15: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

MERRA Data: Regional Climate Variability

Snow DepthSnow Depth

Snow DepthSnow Depth

Snow MassSnow Mass

Page 16: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

MERRA products MERRA products Can be downloaded from Can be downloaded from http://mirador.gsfc.nasa.gov by a keyword search. Also, can search by time and location/region

Page 17: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

Numerous atmospheric and surface parameters available from http://disc.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/giovanni

MERRA Image ProductsMERRA Image Products

Page 18: Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:

Retrospective-Analyses• Value added merger of many types of observations

with the latest Earth systems models• Development of reanalyses lead to improved

models and observations• As the observing system improves, uncertainties

decrease• Weather, climate, climate variation in both research

and applied decision making• Some climate trend study can be made, significantly

more research and development is needed

From: Michael Bosilovich, NASA-GSFC-GMAOFrom: Michael Bosilovich, NASA-GSFC-GMAO