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Monitoring theParis Declaration in 2011
Preliminary Findings
Working Party on Aid Effectiveness
Paris, 5-8 July 2011
Overview
1. Monitoring and the 2011 Survey- Why? What? How?
2. What do the findings tell us?
3. Some notes on the process
4. What next?
Monitoring the Paris DeclarationWhy? What? How?
2005: Paris Declaration on Aid EffectivenessFive principles,56 commitments... and agreement to monitor progress
against targets established for 2010
12 indicators of progress measured at the country level
Monitoring the Paris DeclarationWhy? What? How?
Aims of the Survey1. Stimulate dialogue at the country level:
• Identify opportunities and bottlenecks to make aid more effective
• Foster a shared understanding• Track progress over time
2. At the global level:• Monitor implementation of the PD,
supporting political accountability• Evidence and learning – a key input to HLF-
4
Monitoring the Paris DeclarationWhy? What? How?
What is being monitored?– Progress towards agreed targets using
standard indicators– Efforts in other areas not captured by the
indicators• e.g. elements of the Accra Agenda for Action• Qualitative observations on opportunities and
challenges at the country level• Complementary evidence through optional
modules (gender equality; inclusive ownership)
• Monitoring the Fragile States Principles
Monitoring the Paris DeclarationWhy? What? How?
How is progress monitored?– Three successive Surveys
• 2006 Baseline Survey (the state of play in 2005)
• 2008 Survey (stock-taking, informing HLF-3)• 2011 Survey (were the 2010 targets met?)
– A country-led process• Managed by national co-ordinators in partner
countries, with support from donors• Dialogue with a broad range of stakeholders• Global co-ordination and support (OECD,
UNDP and World Bank)
Monitoring the Paris DeclarationWhy? What? How?
Increasing Survey coverage
20062008 2011
% of global core aid covered by the Survey (est.)
34 partner countries36% of global aid
55 partner countries58% of global aid
76 partner countries76% of global aid
Broader stakeholder participation(emerging donors, civil society, parliamentarians more involved in some countries)
Have the 2010 targets been met?(Preliminary 2010 aggregates, 32 baseline countries)
2010 Target2005 Baseline
75%
50%
54%
38%
19%
40%
7%
50%
38%
47%
25%
85%
565
71%
66%
40%
66%
100%
44%
1 696
42%
43%
20%
41%
44%
43%
1 145
40%
46%
22%
44%
48%
50%
>87%
49%
87%
51%
89%
Findings beyond the 12 indicators
More participatory approaches in development strategies, but challenges for civil society activity in some countries
Technical co-operation better co-ordinated, but further efforts needed to ensure support for capacity development is demand-driven
Improved country systems in 1/3 of countries, but a decline observed in others
Donors are not making systematic use of country systems where these are more reliable
Transparency – some promising initiatives, but work in progress
Efforts to enhance medium-term predictability of aid limited
Limited efforts to reduce the fragmentation of aid
Looking beyond the headlines
Significant variations across countries and donors on many indicators and issues
Particular challenges in fragile states and situations
There may also be variations across donor types, regions and groups of partner countries– Analysis of these trends is ongoing
Some notes on the process
Report on Progress since Paris– Evidence from the Surveys...– ... and other relevant and credible evidence– Country chapters – detailed analysis of
progress and challenges in each partner country
These findings are provisional– Data validation and verification is ongoing– Findings are still subject to change– Final Report available September 2011