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Morning Consult National Tracking Poll #150706 July 31 - August 3, 2015 Crosstabulation Results Methodology: is poll was conducted from July 31 - August 3, 2015, among a national sample of 2069 registered voters. e in- terviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, region, annual household income, home ownership status and marital status. Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. 1

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  • Morning ConsultNational Tracking Poll #150706

    July 31 - August 3, 2015

    Crosstabulation Results

    Methodology:This poll was conducted from July 31 - August 3, 2015, among a national sample of 2069 registered voters. The in-terviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters basedon age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, region, annual household income, home ownership status andmarital status. Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

    1

  • Table Index

    1 Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direc-tion, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

    2 Table P2NET: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? . . . . . . 11

    3 Table P2: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? . . . . . . . . . 14

    4 Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind whenyou cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

    5 Table gopPresApp_1NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

    6 Table gopPresApp_1: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24

    7 Table gopPresApp_2NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28

    8 Table gopPresApp_2: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32

    9 Table gopPresApp_3NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rick Perry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36

    2

  • National Tracking Poll #150706, July-August, 2015

    10 Table gopPresApp_3: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rick Perry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40

    11 Table gopPresApp_4NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44

    12 Table gopPresApp_4: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48

    13 Table gopPresApp_5NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52

    14 Table gopPresApp_5: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56

    15 Table gopPresApp_6NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60

    16 Table gopPresApp_6: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64

    3

  • Paragon Insights

    17 Table gopPresApp_7NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Scott Walker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68

    18 Table gopPresApp_7: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Scott Walker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72

    19 Table gopPresApp_8NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76

    20 Table gopPresApp_8: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80

    21 Table gopPresApp_9NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84

    22 Table gopPresApp_9: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88

    23 Table gopPresApp_10NET:Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92

    4

  • National Tracking Poll #150706, July-August, 2015

    24 Table gopPresApp_10: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96

    25 Table gopPresApp_11NET:Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100

    26 Table gopPresApp_11: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104

    27 Table gopPresApp_12NET:Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108

    28 Table gopPresApp_12: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112

    29 Table gopPresApp_13NET:Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Lindsey Graham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116

    30 Table gopPresApp_13: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Lindsey Graham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120

    5

  • Paragon Insights

    31 Table gopPresApp_14NET:Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Bobby Jindal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 124

    32 Table gopPresApp_14: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Bobby Jindal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128

    33 Table gopPresApp_15NET:Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” George Pataki . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132

    34 Table gopPresApp_15: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” George Pataki . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136

    35 Table gopPresApp_16NET:Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140

    36 Table gopPresApp_16: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a VeryFavorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or VeryUnfavorable opinion of each individual.If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If youhave not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144

    37 Table v16r1: If the 2016 Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would you vote? . 148

    38 Table v16r2: And, who would be your second choice? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150

    39 Table v16d1: If the 2016 Democratic primary for President were held today, for whom would you vote? . 152

    40 Table v16d2: And, who would be your second choice? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155

    41 Table v16g1: If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat HillaryClinton and Republican Jeb Bush, for whom would you vote? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158

    6

  • National Tracking Poll #150706, July-August, 2015

    42 Table v16g2: If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat HillaryClinton and Republican Rand Paul, for whom would you vote? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161

    43 Table v16g3: If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat HillaryClinton and Republican Scott Walker, for whom would you vote? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164

    44 Table v16g4: If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat HillaryClinton and Republican Marco Rubio, for whom would you vote? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 167

    45 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170

    7

  • 8

    Morning ConsultTable P1

    Crosstabulation Results by Respondent Demographics

    Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off onthe wrong track?

    Demographic Right Direction Wrong Track Total NRegistered Voters 33% (688) 67% (1381) 2069Gender: Male 36% (345) 64% (620) 965Gender: Female 31% (343) 69% (761) 1104Age: 18-29 56% (184) 44% (147) 332Age: 30-44 32% (166) 68% (348) 515Age: 45-54 29% (115) 71% (283) 398Age: 55-64 31% (120) 69% (263) 383Age: 65+ 23% (102) 77% (340) 442PID: Dem (no lean) 57% (396) 43% (304) 700PID: Ind (no lean) 26% (196) 74% (547) 743PID: Rep (no lean) 15% (96) 85% (529) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 62% (194) 38% (117) 310PID/Gender: DemWomen 52% (202) 48% (187) 390PID/Gender: Ind Men 28% (89) 72% (226) 315PID/Gender: Ind Women 25% (107) 75% (321) 429PID/Gender: Rep Men 19% (63) 81% (277) 340PID/Gender: Rep Women 12% (33) 88% (253) 286Tea Party: Supporter 24% (144) 76% (462) 606Tea Party: Not Supporter 37% (536) 63% (912) 1448Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 54% (305) 46% (261) 566Ideo: Moderate (4) 37% (208) 63% (348) 556Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 14% (104) 86% (641) 744Educ: < College 32% (431) 68% (929) 1360Educ: Bachelors degree 35% (159) 65% (301) 460Educ: Post-grad 39% (98) 61% (151) 250Income: Under 50k 33% (292) 67% (606) 897Income: 50k-100k 36% (247) 64% (433) 680Income: 100k+ 30% (149) 70% (343) 491

    Continued on next page

    "Poll","Question","Demographic","Right Direction (%)","Right Direction (N)","Wrong Track (%)","Wrong Track (N)","Total N"150706,"P1","Registered Voters","33%","688","67%","1381","2069"150706,"P1","Gender: Male","36%","345","64%","620","965"150706,"P1","Gender: Female","31%","343","69%","761","1104"150706,"P1","Age: 18-29","56%","184","44%","147","332"150706,"P1","Age: 30-44","32%","166","68%","348","515"150706,"P1","Age: 45-54","29%","115","71%","283","398"150706,"P1","Age: 55-64","31%","120","69%","263","383"150706,"P1","Age: 65+","23%","102","77%","340","442"150706,"P1","PID: Dem (no lean)","57%","396","43%","304","700"150706,"P1","PID: Ind (no lean)","26%","196","74%","547","743"150706,"P1","PID: Rep (no lean)","15%","96","85%","529","626"150706,"P1","PID/Gender: Dem Men","62%","194","38%","117","310"150706,"P1","PID/Gender: Dem Women","52%","202","48%","187","390"150706,"P1","PID/Gender: Ind Men","28%","89","72%","226","315"150706,"P1","PID/Gender: Ind Women","25%","107","75%","321","429"150706,"P1","PID/Gender: Rep Men","19%","63","81%","277","340"150706,"P1","PID/Gender: Rep Women","12%","33","88%","253","286"150706,"P1","Tea Party: Supporter","24%","144","76%","462","606"150706,"P1","Tea Party: Not Supporter","37%","536","63%","912","1448"150706,"P1","Ideo: Liberal (1-3)","54%","305","46%","261","566"150706,"P1","Ideo: Moderate (4)","37%","208","63%","348","556"150706,"P1","Ideo: Conservative (5-7)","14%","104","86%","641","744"150706,"P1","Educ: < College","32%","431","68%","929","1360"150706,"P1","Educ: Bachelors degree","35%","159","65%","301","460"150706,"P1","Educ: Post-grad","39%","98","61%","151","250"150706,"P1","Income: Under 50k","33%","292","67%","606","897"150706,"P1","Income: 50k-100k","36%","247","64%","433","680"150706,"P1","Income: 100k+","30%","149","70%","343","491"150706,"P1","Ethnicity: White","27%","447","73%","1238","1685"150706,"P1","Ethnicity: Hispanic","55%","102","45%","82","184"150706,"P1","Ethnicity: Afr. Am.","67%","178","33%","88","266"150706,"P1","Ethnicity: Other","54%","63","46%","55","118"150706,"P1","Relig: Protestant","24%","133","76%","429","562"150706,"P1","Relig: Roman Catholic","33%","143","67%","294","437"150706,"P1","Relig: Ath./Agn./None","38%","211","62%","342","553"150706,"P1","Relig: Something Else","42%","132","58%","185","317"150706,"P1","Relig: Jewish","40%","21","60%","32","53"150706,"P1","Relig: Evangelical","28%","147","72%","377","524"150706,"P1","Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics","29%","194","71%","470","664"150706,"P1","Relig: All Christian","29%","341","71%","847","1188"150706,"P1","Relig: All Non-Christian","39%","343","61%","526","870"150706,"P1","Community: Urban","44%","206","56%","262","468"150706,"P1","Community: Suburban","32%","333","68%","703","1036"150706,"P1","Community: Rural","26%","146","74%","414","560"150706,"P1","Employ: Private Sector","34%","226","66%","442","668"150706,"P1","Employ: Government","41%","61","59%","90","151"150706,"P1","Employ: Self-Employed","39%","60","61%","94","154"150706,"P1","Employ: Homemaker","23%","55","77%","182","236"150706,"P1","Employ: Student","67%","45","33%","22","68"150706,"P1","Employ: Retired","26%","123","74%","358","481"150706,"P1","Employ: Unemployed","38%","63","62%","103","166"150706,"P1","Employ: Other","37%","51","63%","89","140"150706,"P1","Job Type: White-collar","33%","294","67%","596","890"150706,"P1","Job Type: Blue-collar","30%","238","70%","547","785"150706,"P1","Job Type: Don't Know","39%","153","61%","236","389"150706,"P1","Military HH: Yes","27%","114","73%","311","426"150706,"P1","Military HH: No","35%","570","65%","1068","1639"150706,"P1","RD/WT: Right Direction","100%","688","0%","0","688"150706,"P1","RD/WT: Wrong Track","0%","0","100%","1381","1381"150706,"P1","Obama Job: Approve","73%","604","27%","225","829"150706,"P1","Obama Job: Disapprove","5%","52","95%","1095","1147"150706,"P1","\#1 Issue: Economy","33%","261","67%","535","796"150706,"P1","\#1 Issue: Security","20%","76","80%","303","379"150706,"P1","\#1 Issue: Health Care","37%","100","63%","174","274"150706,"P1","\#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security","30%","76","70%","174","249"150706,"P1","\#1 Issue: Women's Issues","64%","52","36%","29","82"150706,"P1","\#1 Issue: Education","58%","71","42%","51","122"150706,"P1","\#1 Issue: Energy","51%","35","49%","35","70"150706,"P1","\#1 Issue: Other","18%","18","82%","81","98"150706,"P1","2014 Vote: Democrat","55%","412","45%","338","750"150706,"P1","2014 Vote: Republican","12%","87","88%","649","736"150706,"P1","2014 Vote: Other","21%","31","79%","115","146"150706,"P1","2014 Vote: Didn't Vote","35%","152","65%","276","428"150706,"P1","2012 Vote: Barack Obama","57%","493","43%","373","865"150706,"P1","2012 Vote: Mitt Romney","9%","71","91%","684","756"150706,"P1","2012 Vote: Other","10%","12","90%","112","124"150706,"P1","2012 Vote: Didn't Vote","34%","109","66%","209","318"150706,"P1","4-Region: Northeast","35%","132","65%","245","377"150706,"P1","4-Region: Midwest","34%","166","66%","322","488"150706,"P1","4-Region: South","32%","246","68%","524","769"150706,"P1","4-Region: West","33%","145","67%","290","434"

  • National Tracking Poll #150706, July-August, 2015

    9

    Table P1

    Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off onthe wrong track?

    Demographic Right Direction Wrong Track Total NRegistered Voters 33% (688) 67% (1381) 2069Ethnicity: White 27% (447) 73% (1238) 1685Ethnicity: Hispanic 55% (102) 45% (82) 184Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 67% (178) 33% (88) 266Ethnicity: Other 54% (63) 46% (55) 118Relig: Protestant 24% (133) 76% (429) 562Relig: Roman Catholic 33% (143) 67% (294) 437Relig: Ath./Agn./None 38% (211) 62% (342) 553Relig: Something Else 42% (132) 58% (185) 317Relig: Jewish 40% (21) 60% (32) 53Relig: Evangelical 28% (147) 72% (377) 524Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 29% (194) 71% (470) 664Relig: All Christian 29% (341) 71% (847) 1188Relig: All Non-Christian 39% (343) 61% (526) 870Community: Urban 44% (206) 56% (262) 468Community: Suburban 32% (333) 68% (703) 1036Community: Rural 26% (146) 74% (414) 560Employ: Private Sector 34% (226) 66% (442) 668Employ: Government 41% (61) 59% (90) 151Employ: Self-Employed 39% (60) 61% (94) 154Employ: Homemaker 23% (55) 77% (182) 236Employ: Student 67% (45) 33% (22) 68Employ: Retired 26% (123) 74% (358) 481Employ: Unemployed 38% (63) 62% (103) 166Employ: Other 37% (51) 63% (89) 140Job Type: White-collar 33% (294) 67% (596) 890Job Type: Blue-collar 30% (238) 70% (547) 785Job Type: Don’t Know 39% (153) 61% (236) 389Military HH: Yes 27% (114) 73% (311) 426Military HH: No 35% (570) 65% (1068) 1639RD/WT: Right Direction 100% (688) — (0) 688RD/WT: Wrong Track — (0) 100% (1381) 1381

    Continued on next page

  • 10

    Morning ConsultTable P1

    Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off onthe wrong track?

    Demographic Right Direction Wrong Track Total NRegistered Voters 33% (688) 67% (1381) 2069Obama Job: Approve 73% (604) 27% (225) 829Obama Job: Disapprove 5% (52) 95% (1095) 1147#1 Issue: Economy 33% (261) 67% (535) 796#1 Issue: Security 20% (76) 80% (303) 379#1 Issue: Health Care 37% (100) 63% (174) 274#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 30% (76) 70% (174) 249#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 64% (52) 36% (29) 82#1 Issue: Education 58% (71) 42% (51) 122#1 Issue: Energy 51% (35) 49% (35) 70#1 Issue: Other 18% (18) 82% (81) 982014 Vote: Democrat 55% (412) 45% (338) 7502014 Vote: Republican 12% (87) 88% (649) 7362014 Vote: Other 21% (31) 79% (115) 1462014 Vote: Didn’t Vote 35% (152) 65% (276) 4282012 Vote: Barack Obama 57% (493) 43% (373) 8652012 Vote: Mitt Romney 9% (71) 91% (684) 7562012 Vote: Other 10% (12) 90% (112) 1242012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 34% (109) 66% (209) 3184-Region: Northeast 35% (132) 65% (245) 3774-Region: Midwest 34% (166) 66% (322) 4884-Region: South 32% (246) 68% (524) 7694-Region: West 33% (145) 67% (290) 434Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding.

  • National Tracking Poll #150706, July-August, 2015

    11

    Table P2NET

    Table P2NET: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

    Demographic Approve DisapproveDon’t Know / No

    Opinion Total NRegistered Voters 40% (829) 55% (1147) 5% (93) 2069Gender: Male 43% (411) 55% (527) 3% (27) 965Gender: Female 38% (418) 56% (620) 6% (66) 1104Age: 18-29 55% (183) 37% (121) 8% (28) 332Age: 30-44 42% (219) 53% (272) 5% (24) 515Age: 45-54 36% (142) 60% (237) 5% (19) 398Age: 55-64 37% (142) 59% (225) 4% (16) 383Age: 65+ 33% (144) 66% (291) 1% (6) 442PID: Dem (no lean) 73% (508) 23% (163) 4% (29) 700PID: Ind (no lean) 32% (234) 61% (456) 7% (53) 743PID: Rep (no lean) 14% (87) 84% (528) 2% (11) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 78% (242) 19% (58) 4% (11) 310PID/Gender: DemWomen 68% (266) 27% (106) 5% (18) 390PID/Gender: Ind Men 36% (114) 60% (189) 4% (12) 315PID/Gender: Ind Women 28% (121) 62% (267) 10% (41) 429PID/Gender: Rep Men 16% (55) 83% (280) 1% (4) 340PID/Gender: Rep Women 11% (32) 86% (247) 2% (7) 286Tea Party: Supporter 24% (144) 74% (449) 2% (13) 606Tea Party: Not Supporter 47% (676) 48% (692) 5% (79) 1448Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 69% (392) 30% (168) 1% (6) 566Ideo: Moderate (4) 47% (260) 48% (269) 5% (26) 556Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 15% (111) 83% (614) 2% (18) 744Educ: < College 38% (516) 56% (765) 6% (79) 1360Educ: Bachelors degree 42% (195) 56% (258) 1% (6) 460Educ: Post-grad 47% (118) 49% (123) 3% (8) 250Income: Under 50k 40% (359) 54% (488) 6% (50) 897Income: 50k-100k 42% (286) 55% (371) 3% (23) 680Income: 100k+ 37% (184) 58% (287) 4% (21) 491Ethnicity: White 34% (572) 62% (1046) 4% (66) 1685Ethnicity: Hispanic 54% (99) 37% (68) 10% (18) 184

    Continued on next page

    "Poll","Question","Demographic","Approve (%)","Approve (N)","Disapprove (%)","Disapprove (N)","Don't Know / No Opinion (%)","Don't Know / No Opinion (N)","Total N"150706,"P2NET","Registered Voters","40%","829","55%","1147","5%","93","2069"150706,"P2NET","Gender: Male","43%","411","55%","527","3%","27","965"150706,"P2NET","Gender: Female","38%","418","56%","620","6%","66","1104"150706,"P2NET","Age: 18-29","55%","183","37%","121","8%","28","332"150706,"P2NET","Age: 30-44","42%","219","53%","272","5%","24","515"150706,"P2NET","Age: 45-54","36%","142","60%","237","5%","19","398"150706,"P2NET","Age: 55-64","37%","142","59%","225","4%","16","383"150706,"P2NET","Age: 65+","33%","144","66%","291","1%","6","442"150706,"P2NET","PID: Dem (no lean)","73%","508","23%","163","4%","29","700"150706,"P2NET","PID: Ind (no lean)","32%","234","61%","456","7%","53","743"150706,"P2NET","PID: Rep (no lean)","14%","87","84%","528","2%","11","626"150706,"P2NET","PID/Gender: Dem Men","78%","242","19%","58","4%","11","310"150706,"P2NET","PID/Gender: Dem Women","68%","266","27%","106","5%","18","390"150706,"P2NET","PID/Gender: Ind Men","36%","114","60%","189","4%","12","315"150706,"P2NET","PID/Gender: Ind Women","28%","121","62%","267","10%","41","429"150706,"P2NET","PID/Gender: Rep Men","16%","55","83%","280","1%","4","340"150706,"P2NET","PID/Gender: Rep Women","11%","32","86%","247","2%","7","286"150706,"P2NET","Tea Party: Supporter","24%","144","74%","449","2%","13","606"150706,"P2NET","Tea Party: Not Supporter","47%","676","48%","692","5%","79","1448"150706,"P2NET","Ideo: Liberal (1-3)","69%","392","30%","168","1%","6","566"150706,"P2NET","Ideo: Moderate (4)","47%","260","48%","269","5%","26","556"150706,"P2NET","Ideo: Conservative (5-7)","15%","111","83%","614","2%","18","744"150706,"P2NET","Educ: < College","38%","516","56%","765","6%","79","1360"150706,"P2NET","Educ: Bachelors degree","42%","195","56%","258","1%","6","460"150706,"P2NET","Educ: Post-grad","47%","118","49%","123","3%","8","250"150706,"P2NET","Income: Under 50k","40%","359","54%","488","6%","50","897"150706,"P2NET","Income: 50k-100k","42%","286","55%","371","3%","23","680"150706,"P2NET","Income: 100k+","37%","184","58%","287","4%","21","491"150706,"P2NET","Ethnicity: White","34%","572","62%","1046","4%","66","1685"150706,"P2NET","Ethnicity: Hispanic","54%","99","37%","68","10%","18","184"150706,"P2NET","Ethnicity: Afr. Am.","73%","193","19%","51","8%","22","266"150706,"P2NET","Ethnicity: Other","54%","64","42%","49","4%","5","118"150706,"P2NET","Relig: Protestant","31%","175","67%","377","2%","10","562"150706,"P2NET","Relig: Roman Catholic","41%","179","57%","251","2%","7","437"150706,"P2NET","Relig: Ath./Agn./None","49%","269","46%","254","5%","30","553"150706,"P2NET","Relig: Something Else","43%","138","46%","145","11%","35","317"150706,"P2NET","Relig: Jewish","36%","19","57%","30","7%","4","53"150706,"P2NET","Relig: Evangelical","31%","161","66%","347","3%","17","524"150706,"P2NET","Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics","39%","258","59%","394","2%","12","664"150706,"P2NET","Relig: All Christian","35%","419","62%","740","2%","29","1188"150706,"P2NET","Relig: All Non-Christian","47%","406","46%","399","7%","64","870"150706,"P2NET","Community: Urban","53%","246","44%","204","4%","18","468"150706,"P2NET","Community: Suburban","39%","408","56%","582","5%","47","1036"150706,"P2NET","Community: Rural","31%","172","64%","359","5%","29","560"150706,"P2NET","Employ: Private Sector","42%","280","55%","370","3%","18","668"150706,"P2NET","Employ: Government","46%","69","51%","76","4%","5","151"150706,"P2NET","Employ: Self-Employed","48%","74","46%","70","6%","9","154"150706,"P2NET","Employ: Homemaker","29%","68","65%","153","7%","16","236"150706,"P2NET","Employ: Student","67%","46","24%","16","9%","6","68"150706,"P2NET","Employ: Retired","35%","166","63%","304","2%","10","481"150706,"P2NET","Employ: Unemployed","40%","67","48%","80","12%","20","166"150706,"P2NET","Employ: Other","40%","56","53%","75","7%","9","140"150706,"P2NET","Job Type: White-collar","40%","355","57%","512","3%","24","890"150706,"P2NET","Job Type: Blue-collar","39%","303","58%","457","3%","25","785"150706,"P2NET","Job Type: Don't Know","43%","167","45%","177","11%","44","389"150706,"P2NET","Military HH: Yes","37%","156","60%","255","3%","15","426"150706,"P2NET","Military HH: No","41%","670","54%","890","5%","78","1639"150706,"P2NET","RD/WT: Right Direction","88%","604","8%","52","5%","33","688"150706,"P2NET","RD/WT: Wrong Track","16%","225","79%","1095","4%","61","1381"150706,"P2NET","Obama Job: Approve","100%","829","0%","0","0%","0","829"150706,"P2NET","Obama Job: Disapprove","0%","0","100%","1147","0%","0","1147"150706,"P2NET","\#1 Issue: Economy","39%","309","58%","464","3%","22","796"150706,"P2NET","\#1 Issue: Security","20%","77","76%","288","4%","14","379"150706,"P2NET","\#1 Issue: Health Care","47%","128","49%","134","4%","11","274"150706,"P2NET","\#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security","40%","100","57%","142","3%","8","249"150706,"P2NET","\#1 Issue: Women's Issues","78%","64","19%","15","3%","2","82"150706,"P2NET","\#1 Issue: Education","57%","70","27%","33","15%","19","122"150706,"P2NET","\#1 Issue: Energy","82%","57","16%","11","2%","1","70"150706,"P2NET","\#1 Issue: Other","25%","25","59%","58","16%","16","98"150706,"P2NET","2014 Vote: Democrat","72%","541","25%","187","3%","22","750"150706,"P2NET","2014 Vote: Republican","11%","81","87%","643","2%","11","736"150706,"P2NET","2014 Vote: Other","17%","25","68%","100","14%","21","146"150706,"P2NET","2014 Vote: Didn't Vote","41%","175","50%","214","9%","38","428"150706,"P2NET","2012 Vote: Barack Obama","74%","644","22%","187","4%","34","865"150706,"P2NET","2012 Vote: Mitt Romney","7%","52","92%","695","1%","9","756"150706,"P2NET","2012 Vote: Other","15%","18","79%","98","6%","8","124"150706,"P2NET","2012 Vote: Didn't Vote","35%","111","52%","164","13%","43","318"150706,"P2NET","4-Region: Northeast","41%","154","55%","206","4%","17","377"150706,"P2NET","4-Region: Midwest","40%","195","56%","275","4%","18","488"150706,"P2NET","4-Region: South","35%","272","59%","452","6%","45","769"150706,"P2NET","4-Region: West","48%","208","49%","213","3%","14","434"

  • 12

    Morning ConsultTable P2NET

    Table P2NET: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

    Demographic Approve DisapproveDon’t Know / No

    Opinion Total NRegistered Voters 40% (829) 55% (1147) 5% (93) 2069Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 73% (193) 19% (51) 8% (22) 266Ethnicity: Other 54% (64) 42% (49) 4% (5) 118Relig: Protestant 31% (175) 67% (377) 2% (10) 562Relig: Roman Catholic 41% (179) 57% (251) 2% (7) 437Relig: Ath./Agn./None 49% (269) 46% (254) 5% (30) 553Relig: Something Else 43% (138) 46% (145) 11% (35) 317Relig: Jewish 36% (19) 57% (30) 7% (4) 53Relig: Evangelical 31% (161) 66% (347) 3% (17) 524Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 39% (258) 59% (394) 2% (12) 664Relig: All Christian 35% (419) 62% (740) 2% (29) 1188Relig: All Non-Christian 47% (406) 46% (399) 7% (64) 870Community: Urban 53% (246) 44% (204) 4% (18) 468Community: Suburban 39% (408) 56% (582) 5% (47) 1036Community: Rural 31% (172) 64% (359) 5% (29) 560Employ: Private Sector 42% (280) 55% (370) 3% (18) 668Employ: Government 46% (69) 51% (76) 4% (5) 151Employ: Self-Employed 48% (74) 46% (70) 6% (9) 154Employ: Homemaker 29% (68) 65% (153) 7% (16) 236Employ: Student 67% (46) 24% (16) 9% (6) 68Employ: Retired 35% (166) 63% (304) 2% (10) 481Employ: Unemployed 40% (67) 48% (80) 12% (20) 166Employ: Other 40% (56) 53% (75) 7% (9) 140Job Type: White-collar 40% (355) 57% (512) 3% (24) 890Job Type: Blue-collar 39% (303) 58% (457) 3% (25) 785Job Type: Don’t Know 43% (167) 45% (177) 11% (44) 389Military HH: Yes 37% (156) 60% (255) 3% (15) 426Military HH: No 41% (670) 54% (890) 5% (78) 1639RD/WT: Right Direction 88% (604) 8% (52) 5% (33) 688RD/WT: Wrong Track 16% (225) 79% (1095) 4% (61) 1381Obama Job: Approve 100% (829) — (0) — (0) 829Obama Job: Disapprove — (0) 100% (1147) — (0) 1147

    Continued on next page

  • National Tracking Poll #150706, July-August, 2015

    13

    Table P2NET

    Table P2NET: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

    Demographic Approve DisapproveDon’t Know / No

    Opinion Total NRegistered Voters 40% (829) 55% (1147) 5% (93) 2069#1 Issue: Economy 39% (309) 58% (464) 3% (22) 796#1 Issue: Security 20% (77) 76% (288) 4% (14) 379#1 Issue: Health Care 47% (128) 49% (134) 4% (11) 274#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 40% (100) 57% (142) 3% (8) 249#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 78% (64) 19% (15) 3% (2) 82#1 Issue: Education 57% (70) 27% (33) 15% (19) 122#1 Issue: Energy 82% (57) 16% (11) 2% (1) 70#1 Issue: Other 25% (25) 59% (58) 16% (16) 982014 Vote: Democrat 72% (541) 25% (187) 3% (22) 7502014 Vote: Republican 11% (81) 87% (643) 2% (11) 7362014 Vote: Other 17% (25) 68% (100) 14% (21) 1462014 Vote: Didn’t Vote 41% (175) 50% (214) 9% (38) 4282012 Vote: Barack Obama 74% (644) 22% (187) 4% (34) 8652012 Vote: Mitt Romney 7% (52) 92% (695) 1% (9) 7562012 Vote: Other 15% (18) 79% (98) 6% (8) 1242012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 35% (111) 52% (164) 13% (43) 3184-Region: Northeast 41% (154) 55% (206) 4% (17) 3774-Region: Midwest 40% (195) 56% (275) 4% (18) 4884-Region: South 35% (272) 59% (452) 6% (45) 7694-Region: West 48% (208) 49% (213) 3% (14) 434Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding.

  • 14

    Morning ConsultTable P2

    Table P2: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

    DemographicStronglyApprove

    SomewhatApprove

    SomewhatDisapprove

    StronglyDisapprove

    Don’t Know /No Opinion Total N

    Registered Voters 16% (334) 24% (495) 17% (355) 38% (792) 5% (93) 2069Gender: Male 18% (173) 25% (238) 17% (162) 38% (364) 3% (27) 965Gender: Female 15% (161) 23% (257) 17% (193) 39% (427) 6% (66) 1104Age: 18-29 23% (75) 32% (108) 18% (59) 19% (62) 8% (28) 332Age: 30-44 16% (84) 26% (134) 20% (102) 33% (170) 5% (24) 515Age: 45-54 13% (53) 22% (89) 16% (66) 43% (171) 5% (19) 398Age: 55-64 15% (56) 23% (86) 17% (64) 42% (161) 4% (16) 383Age: 65+ 15% (66) 18% (78) 14% (64) 51% (227) 1% (6) 442PID: Dem (no lean) 32% (227) 40% (281) 13% (93) 10% (70) 4% (29) 700PID: Ind (no lean) 10% (72) 22% (162) 22% (165) 39% (291) 7% (53) 743PID: Rep (no lean) 6% (35) 8% (52) 15% (97) 69% (431) 2% (11) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 35% (107) 43% (134) 12% (38) 6% (20) 4% (11) 310PID/Gender: DemWomen 31% (120) 38% (146) 14% (56) 13% (50) 5% (18) 390PID/Gender: Ind Men 12% (39) 24% (75) 21% (66) 39% (123) 4% (12) 315PID/Gender: Ind Women 8% (33) 20% (88) 23% (99) 39% (168) 10% (41) 429PID/Gender: Rep Men 8% (26) 8% (29) 17% (58) 65% (222) 1% (4) 340PID/Gender: Rep Women 3% (8) 8% (24) 13% (38) 73% (209) 2% (7) 286Tea Party: Supporter 13% (81) 10% (63) 15% (93) 59% (356) 2% (13) 606Tea Party: Not Supporter 17% (250) 29% (426) 18% (261) 30% (431) 5% (79) 1448Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 31% (176) 38% (216) 16% (89) 14% (79) 1% (6) 566Ideo: Moderate (4) 16% (87) 31% (174) 22% (124) 26% (145) 5% (26) 556Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 5% (36) 10% (75) 15% (114) 67% (501) 2% (18) 744Educ: < College 15% (203) 23% (313) 17% (234) 39% (531) 6% (79) 1360Educ: Bachelors degree 16% (74) 26% (121) 19% (87) 37% (171) 1% (6) 460Educ: Post-grad 23% (57) 24% (61) 14% (34) 36% (89) 3% (8) 250Income: Under 50k 18% (166) 22% (194) 16% (140) 39% (348) 6% (50) 897Income: 50k-100k 15% (103) 27% (183) 17% (116) 38% (255) 3% (23) 680Income: 100k+ 13% (65) 24% (119) 20% (99) 38% (188) 4% (21) 491Ethnicity: White 11% (192) 23% (380) 18% (306) 44% (740) 4% (66) 1685Ethnicity: Hispanic 25% (45) 29% (54) 20% (37) 17% (31) 10% (18) 184

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    "Poll","Question","Demographic","Strongly Approve (%)","Strongly Approve (N)","Somewhat Approve (%)","Somewhat Approve (N)","Somewhat Disapprove (%)","Somewhat Disapprove (N)","Strongly Disapprove (%)","Strongly Disapprove (N)","Don't Know / No Opinion (%)","Don't Know / No Opinion (N)","Total N"150706,"P2","Registered Voters","16%","334","24%","495","17%","355","38%","792","5%","93","2069"150706,"P2","Gender: Male","18%","173","25%","238","17%","162","38%","364","3%","27","965"150706,"P2","Gender: Female","15%","161","23%","257","17%","193","39%","427","6%","66","1104"150706,"P2","Age: 18-29","23%","75","32%","108","18%","59","19%","62","8%","28","332"150706,"P2","Age: 30-44","16%","84","26%","134","20%","102","33%","170","5%","24","515"150706,"P2","Age: 45-54","13%","53","22%","89","16%","66","43%","171","5%","19","398"150706,"P2","Age: 55-64","15%","56","23%","86","17%","64","42%","161","4%","16","383"150706,"P2","Age: 65+","15%","66","18%","78","14%","64","51%","227","1%","6","442"150706,"P2","PID: Dem (no lean)","32%","227","40%","281","13%","93","10%","70","4%","29","700"150706,"P2","PID: Ind (no lean)","10%","72","22%","162","22%","165","39%","291","7%","53","743"150706,"P2","PID: Rep (no lean)","6%","35","8%","52","15%","97","69%","431","2%","11","626"150706,"P2","PID/Gender: Dem Men","35%","107","43%","134","12%","38","6%","20","4%","11","310"150706,"P2","PID/Gender: Dem Women","31%","120","38%","146","14%","56","13%","50","5%","18","390"150706,"P2","PID/Gender: Ind Men","12%","39","24%","75","21%","66","39%","123","4%","12","315"150706,"P2","PID/Gender: Ind Women","8%","33","20%","88","23%","99","39%","168","10%","41","429"150706,"P2","PID/Gender: Rep Men","8%","26","8%","29","17%","58","65%","222","1%","4","340"150706,"P2","PID/Gender: Rep Women","3%","8","8%","24","13%","38","73%","209","2%","7","286"150706,"P2","Tea Party: Supporter","13%","81","10%","63","15%","93","59%","356","2%","13","606"150706,"P2","Tea Party: Not Supporter","17%","250","29%","426","18%","261","30%","431","5%","79","1448"150706,"P2","Ideo: Liberal (1-3)","31%","176","38%","216","16%","89","14%","79","1%","6","566"150706,"P2","Ideo: Moderate (4)","16%","87","31%","174","22%","124","26%","145","5%","26","556"150706,"P2","Ideo: Conservative (5-7)","5%","36","10%","75","15%","114","67%","501","2%","18","744"150706,"P2","Educ: < College","15%","203","23%","313","17%","234","39%","531","6%","79","1360"150706,"P2","Educ: Bachelors degree","16%","74","26%","121","19%","87","37%","171","1%","6","460"150706,"P2","Educ: Post-grad","23%","57","24%","61","14%","34","36%","89","3%","8","250"150706,"P2","Income: Under 50k","18%","166","22%","194","16%","140","39%","348","6%","50","897"150706,"P2","Income: 50k-100k","15%","103","27%","183","17%","116","38%","255","3%","23","680"150706,"P2","Income: 100k+","13%","65","24%","119","20%","99","38%","188","4%","21","491"150706,"P2","Ethnicity: White","11%","192","23%","380","18%","306","44%","740","4%","66","1685"150706,"P2","Ethnicity: Hispanic","25%","45","29%","54","20%","37","17%","31","10%","18","184"150706,"P2","Ethnicity: Afr. Am.","43%","113","30%","80","9%","24","10%","28","8%","22","266"150706,"P2","Ethnicity: Other","24%","29","30%","35","21%","25","20%","24","4%","5","118"150706,"P2","Relig: Protestant","12%","67","19%","108","17%","98","50%","279","2%","10","562"150706,"P2","Relig: Roman Catholic","14%","62","27%","118","17%","76","40%","175","2%","7","437"150706,"P2","Relig: Ath./Agn./None","18%","101","30%","168","18%","98","28%","156","5%","30","553"150706,"P2","Relig: Something Else","21%","68","22%","70","17%","55","28%","90","11%","35","317"150706,"P2","Relig: Jewish","13%","7","23%","12","22%","12","35%","18","7%","4","53"150706,"P2","Relig: Evangelical","15%","78","16%","83","15%","77","51%","270","3%","17","524"150706,"P2","Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics","13%","86","26%","173","19%","123","41%","270","2%","12","664"150706,"P2","Relig: All Christian","14%","163","22%","256","17%","200","45%","540","2%","29","1188"150706,"P2","Relig: All Non-Christian","19%","169","27%","238","18%","153","28%","246","7%","64","870"150706,"P2","Community: Urban","23%","108","29%","138","18%","86","25%","119","4%","18","468"150706,"P2","Community: Suburban","14%","148","25%","260","18%","186","38%","395","5%","47","1036"150706,"P2","Community: Rural","14%","76","17%","95","15%","83","49%","276","5%","29","560"150706,"P2","Employ: Private Sector","16%","104","26%","176","18%","119","38%","251","3%","18","668"150706,"P2","Employ: Government","21%","32","25%","37","18%","27","33%","49","4%","5","151"150706,"P2","Employ: Self-Employed","24%","36","25%","38","10%","16","35%","55","6%","9","154"150706,"P2","Employ: Homemaker","8%","19","21%","49","20%","47","45%","106","7%","16","236"150706,"P2","Employ: Student","20%","13","47%","32","13%","8","11%","7","9%","6","68"150706,"P2","Employ: Retired","17%","80","18%","87","17%","84","46%","221","2%","10","481"150706,"P2","Employ: Unemployed","18%","31","22%","36","12%","19","36%","60","12%","20","166"150706,"P2","Employ: Other","12%","17","28%","39","24%","34","29%","41","7%","9","140"150706,"P2","Job Type: White-collar","16%","141","24%","214","17%","153","40%","359","3%","24","890"150706,"P2","Job Type: Blue-collar","14%","108","25%","195","18%","143","40%","314","3%","25","785"150706,"P2","Job Type: Don't Know","21%","83","22%","84","15%","60","30%","117","11%","44","389"150706,"P2","Military HH: Yes","15%","65","21%","90","14%","58","46%","197","3%","15","426"150706,"P2","Military HH: No","16%","267","25%","403","18%","297","36%","593","5%","78","1639"150706,"P2","RD/WT: Right Direction","40%","275","48%","328","6%","40","2%","12","5%","33","688"150706,"P2","RD/WT: Wrong Track","4%","58","12%","167","23%","315","56%","780","4%","61","1381"150706,"P2","Obama Job: Approve","40%","334","60%","495","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","829"150706,"P2","Obama Job: Disapprove","0%","0","0%","0","31%","355","69%","792","0%","0","1147"150706,"P2","\#1 Issue: Economy","15%","122","24%","187","19%","152","39%","312","3%","22","796"150706,"P2","\#1 Issue: Security","7%","25","14%","51","12%","44","64%","244","4%","14","379"150706,"P2","\#1 Issue: Health Care","20%","54","27%","74","19%","52","30%","82","4%","11","274"150706,"P2","\#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security","17%","42","23%","58","24%","59","33%","83","3%","8","249"150706,"P2","\#1 Issue: Women's Issues","38%","31","40%","32","9%","7","10%","8","3%","2","82"150706,"P2","\#1 Issue: Education","19%","24","38%","46","18%","22","9%","11","15%","19","122"150706,"P2","\#1 Issue: Energy","32%","22","50%","35","9%","7","7%","5","2%","1","70"150706,"P2","\#1 Issue: Other","14%","14","11%","11","11%","11","47%","47","16%","16","98"150706,"P2","2014 Vote: Democrat","32%","238","40%","303","15%","115","10%","71","3%","22","750"150706,"P2","2014 Vote: Republican","4%","32","7%","49","15%","112","72%","531","2%","11","736"150706,"P2","2014 Vote: Other","3%","5","14%","20","23%","33","46%","67","14%","21","146"150706,"P2","2014 Vote: Didn't Vote","13%","54","28%","120","22%","95","28%","120","9%","38","428"150706,"P2","2012 Vote: Barack Obama","32%","274","43%","370","14%","119","8%","69","4%","34","865"150706,"P2","2012 Vote: Mitt Romney","2%","18","5%","34","17%","127","75%","568","1%","9","756"150706,"P2","2012 Vote: Other","3%","4","11%","14","21%","26","58%","72","6%","8","124"150706,"P2","2012 Vote: Didn't Vote","11%","36","24%","75","26%","83","26%","81","13%","43","318"150706,"P2","4-Region: Northeast","18%","68","23%","87","21%","79","34%","127","4%","17","377"150706,"P2","4-Region: Midwest","15%","75","25%","120","18%","87","39%","189","4%","18","488"150706,"P2","4-Region: South","15%","119","20%","153","17%","129","42%","323","6%","45","769"150706,"P2","4-Region: West","17%","72","31%","136","14%","60","35%","153","3%","14","434"

  • National Tracking Poll #150706, July-August, 2015

    15

    Table P2

    Table P2: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

    DemographicStronglyApprove

    SomewhatApprove

    SomewhatDisapprove

    StronglyDisapprove

    Don’t Know /No Opinion Total N

    Registered Voters 16% (334) 24% (495) 17% (355) 38% (792) 5% (93) 2069Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 43% (113) 30% (80) 9% (24) 10% (28) 8% (22) 266Ethnicity: Other 24% (29) 30% (35) 21% (25) 20% (24) 4% (5) 118Relig: Protestant 12% (67) 19% (108) 17% (98) 50% (279) 2% (10) 562Relig: Roman Catholic 14% (62) 27% (118) 17% (76) 40% (175) 2% (7) 437Relig: Ath./Agn./None 18% (101) 30% (168) 18% (98) 28% (156) 5% (30) 553Relig: Something Else 21% (68) 22% (70) 17% (55) 28% (90) 11% (35) 317Relig: Jewish 13% (7) 23% (12) 22% (12) 35% (18) 7% (4) 53Relig: Evangelical 15% (78) 16% (83) 15% (77) 51% (270) 3% (17) 524Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 13% (86) 26% (173) 19% (123) 41% (270) 2% (12) 664Relig: All Christian 14% (163) 22% (256) 17% (200) 45% (540) 2% (29) 1188Relig: All Non-Christian 19% (169) 27% (238) 18% (153) 28% (246) 7% (64) 870Community: Urban 23% (108) 29% (138) 18% (86) 25% (119) 4% (18) 468Community: Suburban 14% (148) 25% (260) 18% (186) 38% (395) 5% (47) 1036Community: Rural 14% (76) 17% (95) 15% (83) 49% (276) 5% (29) 560Employ: Private Sector 16% (104) 26% (176) 18% (119) 38% (251) 3% (18) 668Employ: Government 21% (32) 25% (37) 18% (27) 33% (49) 4% (5) 151Employ: Self-Employed 24% (36) 25% (38) 10% (16) 35% (55) 6% (9) 154Employ: Homemaker 8% (19) 21% (49) 20% (47) 45% (106) 7% (16) 236Employ: Student 20% (13) 47% (32) 13% (8) 11% (7) 9% (6) 68Employ: Retired 17% (80) 18% (87) 17% (84) 46% (221) 2% (10) 481Employ: Unemployed 18% (31) 22% (36) 12% (19) 36% (60) 12% (20) 166Employ: Other 12% (17) 28% (39) 24% (34) 29% (41) 7% (9) 140Job Type: White-collar 16% (141) 24% (214) 17% (153) 40% (359) 3% (24) 890Job Type: Blue-collar 14% (108) 25% (195) 18% (143) 40% (314) 3% (25) 785Job Type: Don’t Know 21% (83) 22% (84) 15% (60) 30% (117) 11% (44) 389Military HH: Yes 15% (65) 21% (90) 14% (58) 46% (197) 3% (15) 426Military HH: No 16% (267) 25% (403) 18% (297) 36% (593) 5% (78) 1639RD/WT: Right Direction 40% (275) 48% (328) 6% (40) 2% (12) 5% (33) 688RD/WT: Wrong Track 4% (58) 12% (167) 23% (315) 56% (780) 4% (61) 1381Obama Job: Approve 40% (334) 60% (495) — (0) — (0) — (0) 829Obama Job: Disapprove — (0) — (0) 31% (355) 69% (792) — (0) 1147

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  • 16

    Morning ConsultTable P2

    Table P2: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

    DemographicStronglyApprove

    SomewhatApprove

    SomewhatDisapprove

    StronglyDisapprove

    Don’t Know /No Opinion Total N

    Registered Voters 16% (334) 24% (495) 17% (355) 38% (792) 5% (93) 2069#1 Issue: Economy 15% (122) 24% (187) 19% (152) 39% (312) 3% (22) 796#1 Issue: Security 7% (25) 14% (51) 12% (44) 64% (244) 4% (14) 379#1 Issue: Health Care 20% (54) 27% (74) 19% (52) 30% (82) 4% (11) 274#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 17% (42) 23% (58) 24% (59) 33% (83) 3% (8) 249#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 38% (31) 40% (32) 9% (7) 10% (8) 3% (2) 82#1 Issue: Education 19% (24) 38% (46) 18% (22) 9% (11) 15% (19) 122#1 Issue: Energy 32% (22) 50% (35) 9% (7) 7% (5) 2% (1) 70#1 Issue: Other 14% (14) 11% (11) 11% (11) 47% (47) 16% (16) 982014 Vote: Democrat 32% (238) 40% (303) 15% (115) 10% (71) 3% (22) 7502014 Vote: Republican 4% (32) 7% (49) 15% (112) 72% (531) 2% (11) 7362014 Vote: Other 3% (5) 14% (20) 23% (33) 46% (67) 14% (21) 1462014 Vote: Didn’t Vote 13% (54) 28% (120) 22% (95) 28% (120) 9% (38) 4282012 Vote: Barack Obama 32% (274) 43% (370) 14% (119) 8% (69) 4% (34) 8652012 Vote: Mitt Romney 2% (18) 5% (34) 17% (127) 75% (568) 1% (9) 7562012 Vote: Other 3% (4) 11% (14) 21% (26) 58% (72) 6% (8) 1242012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 11% (36) 24% (75) 26% (83) 26% (81) 13% (43) 3184-Region: Northeast 18% (68) 23% (87) 21% (79) 34% (127) 4% (17) 3774-Region: Midwest 15% (75) 25% (120) 18% (87) 39% (189) 4% (18) 4884-Region: South 15% (119) 20% (153) 17% (129) 42% (323) 6% (45) 7694-Region: West 17% (72) 31% (136) 14% (60) 35% (153) 3% (14) 434Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding.

  • National Tracking Poll #150706, July-August, 2015

    17

    Table P3

    Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such asU.S. Senate or Congress?

    DemographicEconomicIssues

    SecurityIssues

    HealthCare Issues

    Senior’sIssues

    Women’sIssues

    EducationIssues

    EnergyIssues Other Total N

    Registered Voters 38%(796) 18%(379) 13%(274) 12%(249) 4% (82) 6%(122) 3% (70) 5% (98) 2069Gender: Male 39%(377) 21%(199) 13%(122) 13%(124) 2% (19) 4% (37) 4% (38) 5% (48) 965Gender: Female 38%(419) 16%(180) 14%(152) 11%(125) 6% (62) 8% (85) 3% (32) 5% (50) 1104Age: 18-29 41%(135) 13% (43) 8% (25) 2% (7) 13% (43) 18% (58) 4% (12) 3% (9) 332Age: 30-44 42%(214) 15% (76) 17% (90) 4% (22) 4% (18) 7% (38) 5% (27) 6% (29) 515Age: 45-54 49%(196) 18% (71) 15% (58) 6% (24) 2% (8) 3% (12) 2% (8) 5% (22) 398Age: 55-64 37%(140) 21% (81) 15% (59) 15% (58) 3% (11) 2% (8) 3% (10) 4% (16) 383Age: 65+ 25% (110) 24%(108) 9% (41) 31%(138) — (2) 1% (6) 3% (13) 5% (23) 442PID: Dem (no lean) 36%(252) 11% (79) 17% (118) 15%(106) 5% (37) 6% (40) 5% (38) 4% (30) 700PID: Ind (no lean) 40%(300) 16%(120) 12% (92) 10% (74) 3% (19) 10% (72) 4% (26) 5% (39) 743PID: Rep (no lean) 39%(243) 29%(179) 10% (64) 11% (69) 4% (25) 2% (11) 1% (6) 5% (29) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 37% (114) 11% (36) 18% (56) 17% (52) 1% (3) 6% (18) 7% (22) 4% (11) 310PID/Gender: DemWomen 35%(138) 11% (43) 16% (62) 14% (55) 9% (35) 6% (22) 4% (16) 5% (19) 390PID/Gender: Ind Men 42% (131) 21% (65) 13% (41) 9% (28) 1% (4) 4% (12) 4% (13) 7% (21) 315PID/Gender: Ind Women 40%(170) 13% (56) 12% (51) 11% (46) 4% (15) 14% (60) 3% (13) 4% (18) 429PID/Gender: Rep Men 39%(132) 29% (99) 7% (25) 13% (45) 4% (13) 2% (7) 1% (3) 5% (17) 340PID/Gender: Rep Women 39% (111) 28% (81) 14% (40) 8% (24) 4% (12) 1% (4) 1% (3) 4% (12) 286Tea Party: Supporter 40%(240) 27% (161) 10% (62) 7% (45) 5% (30) 4% (26) 3% (19) 4% (23) 606Tea Party: Not Supporter 38%(550) 15%(213) 15% (211) 14%(203) 3% (51) 7% (96) 4% (51) 5% (73) 1448Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 34%(195) 10% (55) 20% (112) 12% (66) 9% (50) 7% (40) 5% (28) 3% (20) 566Ideo: Moderate (4) 38%(214) 17% (97) 11% (59) 16% (88) 3% (17) 7% (41) 4% (25) 3% (16) 556Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 42%(310) 27%(201) 9% (71) 10% (72) 2% (14) 2% (18) 2% (13) 6% (46) 744Educ: < College 35%(479) 18%(244) 14% (191) 15%(203) 4% (56) 6% (80) 3% (39) 5% (69) 1360Educ: Bachelors degree 46%(210) 19% (89) 12% (56) 5% (24) 4% (18) 5% (25) 4% (20) 4% (17) 460Educ: Post-grad 43%(107) 18% (45) 11% (27) 9% (22) 3% (7) 7% (18) 4% (11) 5% (13) 250Income: Under 50k 34%(302) 16%(148) 15%(133) 16%(139) 6% (49) 6% (51) 4% (31) 5% (44) 897Income: 50k-100k 41%(278) 19%(130) 13% (89) 8% (52) 3% (22) 7% (51) 3% (18) 6% (41) 680Income: 100k+ 44%(216) 21% (101) 11% (52) 12% (58) 2% (10) 4% (21) 4% (21) 3% (13) 491Ethnicity: White 38%(643) 20%(338) 13%(216) 12%(208) 4% (65) 5% (78) 3% (57) 5% (81) 1685

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    "Poll","Question","Demographic","Economic Issues (%)","Economic Issues (N)","Security Issues (%)","Security Issues (N)","Health Care Issues (%)","Health Care Issues (N)","Senior's Issues (%)","Senior's Issues (N)","Women's Issues (%)","Women's Issues (N)","Education Issues (%)","Education Issues (N)","Energy Issues (%)","Energy Issues (N)","Other (%)","Other (N)","Total N"150706,"P3","Registered Voters","38%","796","18%","379","13%","274","12%","249","4%","82","6%","122","3%","70","5%","98","2069"150706,"P3","Gender: Male","39%","377","21%","199","13%","122","13%","124","2%","19","4%","37","4%","38","5%","48","965"150706,"P3","Gender: Female","38%","419","16%","180","14%","152","11%","125","6%","62","8%","85","3%","32","5%","50","1104"150706,"P3","Age: 18-29","41%","135","13%","43","8%","25","2%","7","13%","43","18%","58","4%","12","3%","9","332"150706,"P3","Age: 30-44","42%","214","15%","76","17%","90","4%","22","4%","18","7%","38","5%","27","6%","29","515"150706,"P3","Age: 45-54","49%","196","18%","71","15%","58","6%","24","2%","8","3%","12","2%","8","5%","22","398"150706,"P3","Age: 55-64","37%","140","21%","81","15%","59","15%","58","3%","11","2%","8","3%","10","4%","16","383"150706,"P3","Age: 65+","25%","110","24%","108","9%","41","31%","138","0%","2","1%","6","3%","13","5%","23","442"150706,"P3","PID: Dem (no lean)","36%","252","11%","79","17%","118","15%","106","5%","37","6%","40","5%","38","4%","30","700"150706,"P3","PID: Ind (no lean)","40%","300","16%","120","12%","92","10%","74","3%","19","10%","72","4%","26","5%","39","743"150706,"P3","PID: Rep (no lean)","39%","243","29%","179","10%","64","11%","69","4%","25","2%","11","1%","6","5%","29","626"150706,"P3","PID/Gender: Dem Men","37%","114","11%","36","18%","56","17%","52","1%","3","6%","18","7%","22","4%","11","310"150706,"P3","PID/Gender: Dem Women","35%","138","11%","43","16%","62","14%","55","9%","35","6%","22","4%","16","5%","19","390"150706,"P3","PID/Gender: Ind Men","42%","131","21%","65","13%","41","9%","28","1%","4","4%","12","4%","13","7%","21","315"150706,"P3","PID/Gender: Ind Women","40%","170","13%","56","12%","51","11%","46","4%","15","14%","60","3%","13","4%","18","429"150706,"P3","PID/Gender: Rep Men","39%","132","29%","99","7%","25","13%","45","4%","13","2%","7","1%","3","5%","17","340"150706,"P3","PID/Gender: Rep Women","39%","111","28%","81","14%","40","8%","24","4%","12","1%","4","1%","3","4%","12","286"150706,"P3","Tea Party: Supporter","40%","240","27%","161","10%","62","7%","45","5%","30","4%","26","3%","19","4%","23","606"150706,"P3","Tea Party: Not Supporter","38%","550","15%","213","15%","211","14%","203","3%","51","7%","96","4%","51","5%","73","1448"150706,"P3","Ideo: Liberal (1-3)","34%","195","10%","55","20%","112","12%","66","9%","50","7%","40","5%","28","3%","20","566"150706,"P3","Ideo: Moderate (4)","38%","214","17%","97","11%","59","16%","88","3%","17","7%","41","4%","25","3%","16","556"150706,"P3","Ideo: Conservative (5-7)","42%","310","27%","201","9%","71","10%","72","2%","14","2%","18","2%","13","6%","46","744"150706,"P3","Educ: < College","35%","479","18%","244","14%","191","15%","203","4%","56","6%","80","3%","39","5%","69","1360"150706,"P3","Educ: Bachelors degree","46%","210","19%","89","12%","56","5%","24","4%","18","5%","25","4%","20","4%","17","460"150706,"P3","Educ: Post-grad","43%","107","18%","45","11%","27","9%","22","3%","7","7%","18","4%","11","5%","13","250"150706,"P3","Income: Under 50k","34%","302","16%","148","15%","133","16%","139","6%","49","6%","51","4%","31","5%","44","897"150706,"P3","Income: 50k-100k","41%","278","19%","130","13%","89","8%","52","3%","22","7%","51","3%","18","6%","41","680"150706,"P3","Income: 100k+","44%","216","21%","101","11%","52","12%","58","2%","10","4%","21","4%","21","3%","13","491"150706,"P3","Ethnicity: White","38%","643","20%","338","13%","216","12%","208","4%","65","5%","78","3%","57","5%","81","1685"150706,"P3","Ethnicity: Hispanic","36%","67","18%","34","13%","24","5%","9","5%","10","13%","25","4%","7","5%","9","184"150706,"P3","Ethnicity: Afr. Am.","39%","103","6%","17","15%","41","13%","35","4%","10","14%","37","4%","10","5%","13","266"150706,"P3","Ethnicity: Other","42%","50","20%","24","14%","17","5%","6","5%","6","6%","8","3%","3","4%","5","118"150706,"P3","Relig: Protestant","35%","195","23%","130","11%","64","18%","99","2%","14","4%","21","3%","18","4%","22","562"150706,"P3","Relig: Roman Catholic","44%","194","21%","94","13%","57","9%","41","2%","7","5%","21","4%","16","2%","7","437"150706,"P3","Relig: Ath./Agn./None","36%","200","13%","73","15%","83","11%","63","9%","48","6%","35","4%","22","5%","27","553"150706,"P3","Relig: Something Else","42%","134","14%","46","12%","38","10%","32","2%","7","10%","31","3%","9","6%","20","317"150706,"P3","Relig: Jewish","34%","18","34%","18","6%","3","17%","9","1%","1","3%","2","4%","2","2%","1","53"150706,"P3","Relig: Evangelical","36%","190","21%","112","13%","66","12%","64","2%","12","5%","28","2%","12","7%","39","524"150706,"P3","Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics","41%","271","21%","140","13%","85","14%","90","2%","14","4%","27","4%","26","2%","10","664"150706,"P3","Relig: All Christian","39%","461","21%","252","13%","152","13%","154","2%","26","5%","55","3%","38","4%","49","1188"150706,"P3","Relig: All Non-Christian","38%","334","14%","119","14%","121","11%","95","6%","55","8%","67","4%","31","5%","47","870"150706,"P3","Community: Urban","38%","179","18%","85","12%","55","12%","56","6%","28","6%","28","4%","17","5%","21","468"150706,"P3","Community: Suburban","40%","413","19%","199","14%","147","11%","110","3%","33","5%","56","3%","30","5%","48","1036"150706,"P3","Community: Rural","36%","203","17%","93","13%","72","15%","84","4%","20","7%","38","4%","23","5%","27","560"150706,"P3","Employ: Private Sector","47%","315","16%","109","14%","92","4%","30","5%","31","5%","35","4%","26","4%","30","668"150706,"P3","Employ: Government","51%","77","16%","24","8%","12","7%","10","3%","5","10%","15","3%","4","2%","3","151"150706,"P3","Employ: Self-Employed","34%","52","25%","39","13%","20","5%","8","6%","9","8%","12","4%","7","5%","8","154"150706,"P3","Employ: Homemaker","38%","89","18%","42","16%","39","4%","10","5%","11","8%","18","4%","9","8%","18","236"150706,"P3","Employ: Student","36%","24","7%","5","8%","5","0%","0","16%","11","27%","18","5%","3","1%","1","68"150706,"P3","Employ: Retired","26%","124","24%","117","9%","43","32%","152","1%","5","1%","6","3%","13","4%","21","481"150706,"P3","Employ: Unemployed","41%","69","15%","26","16%","27","8%","13","4%","7","8%","13","2%","4","4%","7","166"150706,"P3","Employ: Other","31%","43","11%","16","24%","34","19%","26","2%","3","3%","4","3%","5","7%","10","140"150706,"P3","Job Type: White-collar","40%","358","20%","181","12%","110","9%","76","5%","46","4%","38","5%","42","5%","40","890"150706,"P3","Job Type: Blue-collar","38%","301","18%","144","13%","105","15%","116","3%","23","5%","41","3%","20","4%","34","785"150706,"P3","Job Type: Don't Know","35%","135","13%","52","15%","58","15%","57","3%","13","11%","43","2%","8","6%","22","389"150706,"P3","Military HH: Yes","30%","126","29%","123","13%","56","13%","55","3%","13","4%","17","4%","18","4%","17","426"150706,"P3","Military HH: No","41%","669","15%","254","13%","217","12%","195","4%","68","6%","105","3%","52","5%","80","1639"150706,"P3","RD/WT: Right Direction","38%","261","11%","76","15%","100","11%","76","8%","52","10%","71","5%","35","3%","18","688"150706,"P3","RD/WT: Wrong Track","39%","535","22%","303","13%","174","13%","174","2%","29","4%","51","3%","35","6%","81","1381"150706,"P3","Obama Job: Approve","37%","309","9%","77","15%","128","12%","100","8%","64","8%","70","7%","57","3%","25","829"150706,"P3","Obama Job: Disapprove","40%","464","25%","288","12%","134","12%","142","1%","15","3%","33","1%","11","5%","58","1147"150706,"P3","\#1 Issue: Economy","100%","796","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","796"150706,"P3","\#1 Issue: Security","0%","0","100%","379","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","379"150706,"P3","\#1 Issue: Health Care","0%","0","0%","0","100%","274","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","274"150706,"P3","\#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","100%","249","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","249"150706,"P3","\#1 Issue: Women's Issues","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","100%","82","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","82"150706,"P3","\#1 Issue: Education","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","100%","122","0%","0","0%","0","122"150706,"P3","\#1 Issue: Energy","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","100%","70","0%","0","70"150706,"P3","\#1 Issue: Other","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","0%","0","100%","98","98"150706,"P3","2014 Vote: Democrat","40%","300","11%","86","15%","112","14%","103","5%","36","6%","44","6%","43","3%","25","750"150706,"P3","2014 Vote: Republican","41%","304","28%","208","11%","78","8%","61","2%","15","3%","23","1%","9","5%","38","736"150706,"P3","2014 Vote: Other","28%","41","17%","24","13%","19","17%","25","2%","2","14%","20","1%","1","8%","12","146"150706,"P3","2014 Vote: Didn't Vote","35%","148","13%","56","15%","64","14%","61","6%","28","8%","33","3%","15","6%","24","428"150706,"P3","2012 Vote: Barack Obama","39%","336","10%","86","16%","136","14%","118","5%","45","7%","62","6%","52","4%","31","865"150706,"P3","2012 Vote: Mitt Romney","39%","298","30%","225","11%","82","10%","73","2%","14","2%","15","1%","7","6%","42","756"150706,"P3","2012 Vote: Other","39%","49","20%","25","7%","9","20%","24","1%","2","5%","7","2%","3","6%","7","124"150706,"P3","2012 Vote: Didn't Vote","35%","112","12%","40","14%","45","11%","34","6%","20","12%","38","3%","9","6%","19","318"150706,"P3","4-Region: Northeast","43%","163","15%","58","15%","56","13%","49","2%","8","3%","12","3%","10","6%","21","377"150706,"P3","4-Region: Midwest","41%","200","18%","86","13%","64","12%","56","5%","26","5%","22","3%","13","4%","19","488"150706,"P3","4-Region: South","35%","266","18%","140","14%","110","13%","99","4%","33","7%","54","3%","23","6%","43","769"150706,"P3","4-Region: West","38%","166","22%","94","10%","44","10%","44","3%","14","8%","34","5%","23","3%","15","434"

  • 18

    Morning ConsultTable P3

    Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such asU.S. Senate or Congress?

    DemographicEconomicIssues

    SecurityIssues

    HealthCare Issues

    Senior’sIssues

    Women’sIssues

    EducationIssues

    EnergyIssues Other Total N

    Registered Voters 38%(796) 18%(379) 13%(274) 12%(249) 4% (82) 6%(122) 3% (70) 5% (98) 2069Ethnicity: Hispanic 36% (67) 18% (34) 13% (24) 5% (9) 5% (10) 13% (25) 4% (7) 5% (9) 184Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 39%(103) 6% (17) 15% (41) 13% (35) 4% (10) 14% (37) 4% (10) 5% (13) 266Ethnicity: Other 42% (50) 20% (24) 14% (17) 5% (6) 5% (6) 6% (8) 3% (3) 4% (5) 118Relig: Protestant 35%(195) 23%(130) 11% (64) 18% (99) 2% (14) 4% (21) 3% (18) 4% (22) 562Relig: Roman Catholic 44%(194) 21% (94) 13% (57) 9% (41) 2% (7) 5% (21) 4% (16) 2% (7) 437Relig: Ath./Agn./None 36%(200) 13% (73) 15% (83) 11% (63) 9% (48) 6% (35) 4% (22) 5% (27) 553Relig: Something Else 42%(134) 14% (46) 12% (38) 10% (32) 2% (7) 10% (31) 3% (9) 6% (20) 317Relig: Jewish 34% (18) 34% (18) 6% (3) 17% (9) 1% (1) 3% (2) 4% (2) 2% (1) 53Relig: Evangelical 36%(190) 21% (112) 13% (66) 12% (64) 2% (12) 5% (28) 2% (12) 7% (39) 524Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 41%(271) 21%(140) 13% (85) 14% (90) 2% (14) 4% (27) 4% (26) 2% (10) 664Relig: All Christian 39%(461) 21%(252) 13%(152) 13%(154) 2% (26) 5% (55) 3% (38) 4% (49) 1188Relig: All Non-Christian 38%(334) 14% (119) 14% (121) 11% (95) 6% (55) 8% (67) 4% (31) 5% (47) 870Community: Urban 38%(179) 18% (85) 12% (55) 12% (56) 6% (28) 6% (28) 4% (17) 5% (21) 468Community: Suburban 40%(413) 19%(199) 14%(147) 11% (110) 3% (33) 5% (56) 3% (30) 5% (48) 1036Community: Rural 36%(203) 17% (93) 13% (72) 15% (84) 4% (20) 7% (38) 4% (23) 5% (27) 560Employ: Private Sector 47%(315) 16%(109) 14% (92) 4% (30) 5% (31) 5% (35) 4% (26) 4% (30) 668Employ: Government 51% (77) 16% (24) 8% (12) 7% (10) 3% (5) 10% (15) 3% (4) 2% (3) 151Employ: Self-Employed 34% (52) 25% (39) 13% (20) 5% (8) 6% (9) 8% (12) 4% (7) 5% (8) 154Employ: Homemaker 38% (89) 18% (42) 16% (39) 4% (10) 5% (11) 8% (18) 4% (9) 8% (18) 236Employ: Student 36% (24) 7% (5) 8% (5) — (0) 16% (11) 27% (18) 5% (3) 1% (1) 68Employ: Retired 26%(124) 24% (117) 9% (43) 32%(152) 1% (5) 1% (6) 3% (13) 4% (21) 481Employ: Unemployed 41% (69) 15% (26) 16% (27) 8% (13) 4% (7) 8% (13) 2% (4) 4% (7) 166Employ: Other 31% (43) 11% (16) 24% (34) 19% (26) 2% (3) 3% (4) 3% (5) 7% (10) 140Job Type: White-collar 40%(358) 20% (181) 12% (110) 9% (76) 5% (46) 4% (38) 5% (42) 5% (40) 890Job Type: Blue-collar 38%(301) 18%(144) 13%(105) 15% (116) 3% (23) 5% (41) 3% (20) 4% (34) 785Job Type: Don’t Know 35%(135) 13% (52) 15% (58) 15% (57) 3% (13) 11% (43) 2% (8) 6% (22) 389Military HH: Yes 30%(126) 29%(123) 13% (56) 13% (55) 3% (13) 4% (17) 4% (18) 4% (17) 426Military HH: No 41%(669) 15%(254) 13%(217) 12%(195) 4% (68) 6%(105) 3% (52) 5% (80) 1639RD/WT: Right Direction 38%(261) 11% (76) 15%(100) 11% (76) 8% (52) 10% (71) 5% (35) 3% (18) 688RD/WT: Wrong Track 39%(535) 22%(303) 13%(174) 13%(174) 2% (29) 4% (51) 3% (35) 6% (81) 1381

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  • National Tracking Poll #150706, July-August, 2015

    19

    Table P3

    Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such asU.S. Senate or Congress?

    DemographicEconomicIssues

    SecurityIssues

    HealthCare Issues

    Senior’sIssues

    Women’sIssues

    EducationIssues

    EnergyIssues Other Total N

    Registered Voters 38%(796) 18%(379) 13%(274) 12%(249) 4% (82) 6%(122) 3% (70) 5% (98) 2069Obama Job: Approve 37%(309) 9% (77) 15%(128) 12%(100) 8% (64) 8% (70) 7% (57) 3% (25) 829Obama Job: Disapprove 40%(464) 25%(288) 12%(134) 12%(142) 1% (15) 3% (33) 1% (11) 5% (58) 1147#1 Issue: Economy 100%(796) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 796#1 Issue: Security — (0) 100%(379) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 379#1 Issue: Health Care — (0) — (0) 100%(274) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 274#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(249) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 249#1 Issue: Women’s Issues — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (82) — (0) — (0) — (0) 82#1 Issue: Education — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(122) — (0) — (0) 122#1 Issue: Energy — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (70) — (0) 70#1 Issue: Other — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (98) 982014 Vote: Democrat 40%(300) 11% (86) 15% (112) 14%(103) 5% (36) 6% (44) 6% (43) 3% (25) 7502014 Vote: Republican 41%(304) 28%(208) 11% (78) 8% (61) 2% (15) 3% (23) 1% (9) 5% (38) 7362014 Vote: Other 28% (41) 17% (24) 13% (19) 17% (25) 2% (2) 14% (20) 1% (1) 8% (12) 1462014 Vote: Didn’t Vote 35%(148) 13% (56) 15% (64) 14% (61) 6% (28) 8% (33) 3% (15) 6% (24) 4282012 Vote: Barack Obama 39%(336) 10% (86) 16%(136) 14% (118) 5% (45) 7% (62) 6% (52) 4% (31) 8652012 Vote: Mitt Romney 39%(298) 30%(225) 11% (82) 10% (73) 2% (14) 2% (15) 1% (7) 6% (42) 7562012 Vote: Other 39% (49) 20% (25) 7% (9) 20% (24) 1% (2) 5% (7) 2% (3) 6% (7) 1242012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 35% (112) 12% (40) 14% (45) 11% (34) 6% (20) 12% (38) 3% (9) 6% (19) 3184-Region: Northeast 43%(163) 15% (58) 15% (56) 13% (49) 2% (8) 3% (12) 3% (10) 6% (21) 3774-Region: Midwest 41%(200) 18% (86) 13% (64) 12% (56) 5% (26) 5% (22) 3% (13) 4% (19) 4884-Region: South 35%(266) 18%(140) 14% (110) 13% (99) 4% (33) 7% (54) 3% (23) 6% (43) 7694-Region: West 38%(166) 22% (94) 10% (44) 10% (44) 3% (14) 8% (34) 5% (23) 3% (15) 434Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding.

  • 20

    Morning ConsultTable gopPresApp_1NET

    Table gopPresApp_1NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential Republican candidates for President. It is along list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if youhave a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person,but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.”Jeb Bush

    Demographic Total Favorable Total UnfavorableNo Opinion / Never

    Heard Of Total NRegistered Voters 36% (738) 45% (933) 19% (398) 2069Gender: Male 40% (388) 48% (461) 12% (115) 965Gender: Female 32% (349) 43% (472) 26% (283) 1104Age: 18-29 33% (110) 35% (115) 32% (107) 332Age: 30-44 32% (166) 48% (245) 20% (104) 515Age: 45-54 36% (142) 44% (177) 20% (79) 398Age: 55-64 34% (130) 49% (186) 17% (66) 383Age: 65+ 43% (189) 48% (210) 10% (42) 442PID: Dem (no lean) 23% (159) 59% (414) 18% (126) 700PID: Ind (no lean) 28% (211) 45% (332) 27% (201) 743PID: Rep (no lean) 59% (368) 30% (186) 11% (71) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 25% (78) 62% (193) 13% (39) 310PID/Gender: DemWomen 21% (81) 57% (222) 22% (87) 390PID/Gender: Ind Men 34% (107) 51% (159) 15% (48) 315PID/Gender: Ind Women 24% (103) 40% (173) 36% (152) 429PID/Gender: Rep Men 60% (203) 32% (109) 8% (28) 340PID/Gender: Rep Women 58% (165) 27% (77) 15% (44) 286Tea Party: Supporter 47% (286) 38% (233) 14% (87) 606Tea Party: Not Supporter 31% (445) 48% (693) 21% (310) 1448Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 27% (152) 61% (344) 13% (71) 566Ideo: Moderate (4) 37% (206) 46% (258) 17% (92) 556Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 48% (357) 37% (276) 15% (111) 744Educ: < College 32% (437) 44% (593) 24% (331) 1360Educ: Bachelors degree 43% (197) 47% (216) 10% (47) 460Educ: Post-grad 42% (104) 50% (125) 8% (20) 250

    Continued on next page

    "Poll","Question","Demographic","Total Favorable (%)","Total Favorable (N)","Total Unfavorable (%)","Total Unfavorable (N)","No Opinion / Never Heard Of (%)","No Opinion / Never Heard Of (N)","Total N"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Registered Voters","36%","738","45%","933","19%","398","2069"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Gender: Male","40%","388","48%","461","12%","115","965"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Gender: Female","32%","349","43%","472","26%","283","1104"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Age: 18-29","33%","110","35%","115","32%","107","332"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Age: 30-44","32%","166","48%","245","20%","104","515"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Age: 45-54","36%","142","44%","177","20%","79","398"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Age: 55-64","34%","130","49%","186","17%","66","383"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Age: 65+","43%","189","48%","210","10%","42","442"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","PID: Dem (no lean)","23%","159","59%","414","18%","126","700"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","PID: Ind (no lean)","28%","211","45%","332","27%","201","743"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","PID: Rep (no lean)","59%","368","30%","186","11%","71","626"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","PID/Gender: Dem Men","25%","78","62%","193","13%","39","310"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","PID/Gender: Dem Women","21%","81","57%","222","22%","87","390"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","PID/Gender: Ind Men","34%","107","51%","159","15%","48","315"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","PID/Gender: Ind Women","24%","103","40%","173","36%","152","429"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","PID/Gender: Rep Men","60%","203","32%","109","8%","28","340"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","PID/Gender: Rep Women","58%","165","27%","77","15%","44","286"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Tea Party: Supporter","47%","286","38%","233","14%","87","606"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Tea Party: Not Supporter","31%","445","48%","693","21%","310","1448"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Ideo: Liberal (1-3)","27%","152","61%","344","13%","71","566"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Ideo: Moderate (4)","37%","206","46%","258","17%","92","556"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Ideo: Conservative (5-7)","48%","357","37%","276","15%","111","744"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Educ: < College","32%","437","44%","593","24%","331","1360"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Educ: Bachelors degree","43%","197","47%","216","10%","47","460"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Educ: Post-grad","42%","104","50%","125","8%","20","250"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Income: Under 50k","29%","256","45%","403","27%","239","897"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Income: 50k-100k","40%","273","46%","313","14%","94","680"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Income: 100k+","43%","209","44%","217","13%","66","491"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Ethnicity: White","37%","624","46%","774","17%","287","1685"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Ethnicity: Hispanic","28%","52","36%","66","36%","66","184"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Ethnicity: Afr. Am.","30%","81","41%","108","29%","77","266"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Ethnicity: Other","28%","33","43%","51","29%","34","118"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Relig: Protestant","45%","253","43%","242","12%","67","562"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Relig: Roman Catholic","44%","194","41%","178","15%","65","437"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Relig: Ath./Agn./None","23%","127","51%","284","26%","142","553"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Relig: Something Else","31%","98","48%","152","21%","67","317"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Relig: Jewish","34%","18","60%","32","6%","3","53"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Relig: Evangelical","43%","225","38%","199","19%","100","524"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics","43%","283","44%","292","13%","90","664"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Relig: All Christian","43%","508","41%","491","16%","189","1188"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Relig: All Non-Christian","26%","225","50%","437","24%","208","870"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Community: Urban","36%","167","44%","204","21%","97","468"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Community: Suburban","37%","388","45%","467","17%","181","1036"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Community: Rural","32%","180","46%","259","21%","120","560"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Employ: Private Sector","40%","270","46%","309","13%","90","668"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Employ: Government","37%","55","44%","66","19%","29","151"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Employ: Self-Employed","40%","62","50%","77","10%","15","154"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Employ: Homemaker","28%","67","41%","97","31%","73","236"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Employ: Student","30%","21","42%","29","27%","19","68"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Employ: Retired","40%","190","45%","216","15%","74","481"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Employ: Unemployed","22%","37","42%","71","35%","58","166"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Employ: Other","23%","33","48%","67","29%","41","140"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Job Type: White-collar","45%","396","45%","400","11%","94","890"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Job Type: Blue-collar","33%","260","51%","400","16%","126","785"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Job Type: Don't Know","20%","79","34%","132","46%","178","389"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Military HH: Yes","37%","159","48%","202","15%","64","426"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Military HH: No","35%","576","44%","729","20%","334","1639"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","RD/WT: Right Direction","32%","222","49%","334","19%","132","688"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","RD/WT: Wrong Track","37%","516","43%","599","19%","267","1381"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Obama Job: Approve","30%","249","53%","443","17%","137","829"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","Obama Job: Disapprove","42%","478","40%","463","18%","206","1147"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","\#1 Issue: Economy","36%","286","44%","349","20%","160","796"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","\#1 Issue: Security","44%","165","41%","157","15%","57","379"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","\#1 Issue: Health Care","34%","93","43%","117","23%","64","274"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","\#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security","33%","83","49%","122","18%","44","249"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","\#1 Issue: Women's Issues","31%","26","54%","44","14%","12","82"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","\#1 Issue: Education","32%","39","43%","53","25%","31","122"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","\#1 Issue: Energy","26%","18","65%","46","8%","6","70"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","\#1 Issue: Other","28%","28","46%","46","26%","25","98"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","2014 Vote: Democrat","26%","195","60%","451","14%","103","750"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","2014 Vote: Republican","57%","419","33%","243","10%","73","736"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","2014 Vote: Other","19%","28","43%","62","38%","56","146"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","2014 Vote: Didn't Vote","22%","93","40%","171","38%","164","428"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","2012 Vote: Barack Obama","26%","229","58%","502","16%","135","865"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","2012 Vote: Mitt Romney","55%","416","33%","251","12%","88","756"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","2012 Vote: Other","21%","26","43%","54","36%","44","124"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","2012 Vote: Didn't Vote","20%","64","39%","124","41%","131","318"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","4-Region: Northeast","35%","133","46%","173","19%","72","377"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","4-Region: Midwest","35%","172","44%","216","21%","100","488"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","4-Region: South","39%","300","42%","324","19%","144","769"150706,"gopPresApp_1NET","4-Region: West","31%","133","51%","219","19%","82","434"

  • National Tracking Poll #150706, July-August, 2015

    21

    Table gopPresApp_1NET

    Table gopPresApp_1NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential Republican candidates for President. It is along list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if youhave a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person,but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.”Jeb Bush

    Demographic Total Favorable Total UnfavorableNo Opinion / Never

    Heard Of Total NRegistered Voters 36% (738) 45% (933) 19% (398) 2069Income: Under 50k 29% (256) 45% (403) 27% (239) 897Income: 50k-100k 40% (273) 46% (313) 14% (94) 680Income: 100k+ 43% (209) 44% (217) 13% (66) 491Ethnicity: White 37% (624) 46% (774) 17% (287) 1685Ethnicity: Hispanic 28% (52) 36% (66) 36% (66) 184Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 30% (81) 41% (108) 29% (77) 266Ethnicity: Other 28% (33) 43% (51) 29% (34) 118Relig: Protestant 45% (253) 43% (242) 12% (67) 562Relig: Roman Catholic 44% (194) 41% (178) 15% (65) 437Relig: Ath./Agn./None 23% (127) 51% (284) 26% (142) 553Relig: Something Else 31% (98) 48% (152) 21% (67) 317Relig: Jewish 34% (18) 60% (32) 6% (3) 53Relig: Evangelical 43% (225) 38% (199) 19% (100) 524Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 43% (283) 44% (292) 13% (90) 664Relig: All Christian 43% (508) 41% (491) 16% (189) 1188Relig: All Non-Christian 26% (225) 50% (437) 24% (208) 870Community: Urban 36% (167) 44% (204) 21% (97) 468Community: Suburban 37% (388) 45% (467) 17% (181) 1036Community: Rural 32% (180) 46% (259) 21% (120) 560Employ: Private Sector 40% (270) 46% (309) 13% (90) 668Employ: Government 37% (55) 44% (66) 19% (29) 151Employ: Self-Employed 40% (62) 50% (77) 10% (15) 154Employ: Homemaker 28% (67) 41% (97) 31% (73) 236Employ: Student 30% (21) 42% (29) 27% (19) 68Employ: Retired 40% (190) 45% (216) 15% (74) 481Employ: Unemployed 22% (37) 42% (71) 35% (58) 166Employ: Other 23% (33) 48% (67) 29% (41) 140

    Continued on next page

  • 22

    Morning ConsultTable gopPresApp_1NET

    Table gopPresApp_1NET: Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential Republican candidates for President. It is along list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below.