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Moving forwardOliver Bäte
Member of the Board of Management
Morgan Stanley European Financials ConferenceLondon, March 19, 2013
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1 2012 results review
2 Strategic priorities in Europe
3 Summary
Moving forward
1Moving forward
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Highlights of the 2012 results
Total revenues increase 2.7 percent to EUR 106.4bn
Solvency I ratio increases by 18%-points to 197%
Operating profit grows 20.8 percent to EUR 9.5bn
Shareholders’ net income doubles to EUR 5.2bn
2012 results review
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Net income
Operating profit
Total revenues
Strong results despite difficult environment
1
)
Internal growth 0.5%, adjusted for F/X and consolidation effects
201220112010
106.4106.5 103.6
+2.7%1
9.58.2 7.9
+20.8%
+95.8%
Key drivers 2012/11 development
2012 results review
Net income almost doubles supported by lower impairments in 2012
Solid growth inProperty-Casualtyand excellent growthin Asset Management
All operating segments contribute to strong operating profit increase
5,053 5,169
5.55.2
2.8
2,545
EUR bn
Net income
Shareholders’ net income
5.12.5
5.2
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Operating profit 2012 (EUR bn)
Total
L/H
AM
Co. &
Con.
P/C
Target range published 02/12
Total AuM up 11.8%Higher investment margin
Strong net inflowsHigher performance fees
CR 96.3%Low NatCat
As expected
Operating profit exceeds target range
4.0
2.0
-0.9
7.7
2.2
5.0
2.8
2.4
-1.1
8.7
4.7
-1.1
9.5
3.0
3.0
Outlook increased
to > 9bn in 10/12
9.0
2012 results review
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Operating profit outlook 2013
7.9
2011
9.5
2012
8.7
1
)
From 2013 onwards restructuring costs will be classified as operating
Outlook 2013
4.3 –
5.1
2.5 –
3.1
2.7 –
3.1
-1.1
to -1.3
+0.5bn
-0.5bn
9.2
2012
adjusted1
9.2
Range of operating profit outlook reflects diversificationDisclaimer: Impact from NatCat, financial markets andglobal economic development not predictable!
Operating profit (EUR bn)
GroupP/C L/H AM CO +
Conso.
2012 results review
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P/C –
solid operating performance
Revenue growth due to both positive price and volume effects
Strong increase in operating profit driven by underwriting result
Combined ratio down by 1.5%-points with significant improvements in Germany, Italy and Reinsurance
NatCat with 1.7%-points combined ratio impact below normalized level
Revenues
(EUR bn)
Operating profit
(EUR mn)
2011 2012
+4.7%
44.8 46.9
2011 2012
+12.5%
4,1964,719
97.8 96.3
Combined ratio (%)
2012 results review
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L/H –
strong performance in challenging environment
Selective growth with focus on margins
Operating profit substantially improved due to rebound of investment margin
New business margin solid at 1.8%
Operating asset base up 10%, operating investment income up 20%
Revenues
(EUR bn)
Operating profit
(EUR mn)
2011 2012
-1.0%
52.9 52.3
2011 2012
+22.1%
2,420
2,955
2.3 1.8
Operating asset base (EUR bn)
431 476
New business margin (%)
2012 results review
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2012e
~2.0%
Business in force
(based on Ø
aggregate
policy reserves)New business
2.6%
1
)
Based on IFRS current interest and similar income (net of interest expenses)2
)
Based on IFRS current interest and similar income (net of interest expenses) + net harvesting and other (operating)3
)
Weighted by aggregate policy reserves
5.3%
Ø
guarantee
new
business3
2012
Reinvest-
ment
yield
F/I 2012
Total2
yield
2012
Ø min. guarantee3
2012
270bp
Covered bonds
10ys mat., ~3.7%
77% A or better
~14%
~28%
Government bonds
16ys maturity, ~3.5%
98% BBB or better
Corporate bonds 10ys mat., ~3.8%
95% BBB or better
~1.7%
190bp
~4%
ABS/MBS
~54%
+ strong buffer EUR 19bn of RfB
equal 5.7% of aggregate policy reserves
~3.6%5.0% Current
yield1
2012 results review
L/H –
resilient margins and strong buffers
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AM –
another excellent year
Growing AuM drive revenuesand profitability
Operating profit on an all-time high and 2nd highest in the Group
Strong 3rd party net inflowsof EUR 113.6bn
Excellent cost-income ratio of 55.6%
Share of outperforming assets at outstanding 96% (PIMCO) / 62% (AllianzGI)
Performance fees substantially above medium-term average
3rd party AuM
(EUR bn)
Operating profit
(EUR mn)
2011 2012
+12.3%
1,2811,438
2011 2012
+33.6%
2,256
3,014
59.0 55.6
Cost-income ratio (%)
38.3 113.6
3rd party net inflows (EUR bn)
2012 results review
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111) Investments for P/C and L/H incl. unit-linked assets; 3rd party assets for AM
2)
AM: excluding performance fees; L/H: before policyholder participation
Interest and similar income plus AM fee and commission income2 (EUR bn)
15.6 16.3 17.5 19.3 20.0 20.4
CAGR 6.0%
20.4
CAGR
Operating asset base1
(EUR bn)
927 9711,186 1,239 1,240 1,133
1,4011,679
10.9%
6.9%
0.6%
CAGR 9.0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
23.0
2,019
2011
24.7
2012
1,811
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
P/CL/HAM
P/CL/HAM
Investments –
growth in operating asset base mitigates declining yields
26.4
2012
2012 results review
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Conglomerate solvency ratio179% 197%
2011 2012
Economic solvency ratio191% 199%
2011 2012
Capitalization –
strong and resilient
S&P capital adequacy (AA)
2011 2012
Reduced
asset/liability mismatch
Asset duration extended
by one year
Reduced
financial cluster risksExposure1
in strategic
stakes reduced by
more than EUR 2bn2
Reduced
banking debt
Eurozone
bank debt3
reduced by EUR 2.1bn
Spanishgovernment bonds
Exposure3 halvedto EUR 2.6bn
Italiangovernment bondsExposure3 reduced by EUR 3.3bn in H2 2012
Lowerminimum guaranteesØ guarantee for new Life
business lowered by~40bp to 1.7%
1
)
Delta based on fair values as per 31.12.112
)
Includes divestments and hedging 3)
Based on amortized cost
deficit
surplus
2012 results review
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Attractive dividend yield for investors
Healthy capital adequacy in volatile market environment
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e
DPS (EUR)
3.504.50 4.504.10
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e
4.501
Payout ratio (%)
Dividend yield (%)2
40 40 40
81
3.3
5.6 5.2 5.1 5.2
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e
1
)
Proposal2
)
Based on average share price of fiscal year (2012: EUR 87.23)
40
Dividend –
balanced capital management
2012 results review
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1 2012 Group results review
2 Strategic priorities in Europe
3 Summary
Moving forward
Moving forward
2Moving forward
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Quick facts of the Europe1 business division
France
Italy
Belgium
Netherlands
Luxembourg
Greece
Turkey
Strategic priorities in Western Europe
Business division (BD) Western & Southern Europe is composed of7 countries as well as Africa
Substantial contribution toGroup performance for bothtop- and bottom-line
1
)
Full name of the business division is Western & Southern Europe (incl. Africa). All following numbers on the business division cover these 7 countries and Africa
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BD Europe1
delivered exceptional profitability
development during recent years
2012
2,192
1,456
736
2011
1,898
1,144
754
2010
1,538
855
683
2012
1,298
832
466
2011
826
548
278
2010
844
463
381
GPW (EUR bn)
2012
26.4
9.5
16.9
2011
25.6
9.2
16.5
2010
27.8
18.6
9.2
OP (EUR mn) Net income (EUR mn)
28 26 27 21 29 29 17 21 24
+19%2 +24%2
Strategic priorities in Europe
1
)
Full name of the business division is Western & Southern Europe (incl. Africa). Numbers on the business division include Africa and refer to insurance business only2)
CAGR
flat
Contributed ~ 1/4 of the Group’s top-line and profits from the insurance segments
In % of Group P/C & L/H
Life/HealthProperty/Casualty
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Our strategic priorities for 2013-2015
Maintain operating profit stability
Reduce complexity across business entities
Ensure profitable growth across segments
Enhance sustainability in daily business
Strategic priorities in Europe
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Allianz Italy now 2nd largest P/C profit contributor within Allianz Group
Maintain resilient operating profit in P/C Italy, despite difficult market conditions
406413421
899906
FranceGermany AGCSItaly Credit insurance
2012 OP of Allianz top-5 P/C OEs (EUR mn)
Market1Allianz
Avg. CR 2008-2012 (%)
Strategic priorities in Europe
1
)
Based on regulator data for 2008-2011 and own best estimate as of 9M 20122)
Direct business Italy
Strategic priorities Achievement so farGrow in direct channel Genialloyd2
with 20% growth in top-line, with high cost competitiveness
Promote innovation SMS-based FastQuote
application generated 51k new customers
Secure customer satisfaction 88% of customers highly satisfied
P/C Italy’s combined ratio significantly
better than
market
-6.9%p
94.5
101.4
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Excellent operating profitability of Allianz Greece despite crisis
Strong operating profits
(EUR mn)
Strong operating profitability in 2012-
Combined ratio 82.4% -
one of the best in Allianz Group
-
Returns well above cost of capital
Fully de-risked investment portfolio-
Highly rated core EU and supra-national assets
-
Sold remaining GGBs
in 2012
Strong brand and customer satisfaction:-
3rd strongest brand in Greek market-
Market leading NPS
Allianz Greece highly competitive
Strategic priorities in Europe
LifeP/C
2012
23.6
4.5
19.1
18.4
3.1
15.3
19.2
3.7
15.5
14.3
3.3
11.0
2009
11.5
2.0
9.5
2008 2010 2011
-8%-12%-16% -3% -11%
CR vs. Market
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Streamlined governance:joint management functions
Shared expertise:e.g. Dutch claims management, Belgian Life operations, central functions
Shared investments:new IT and pricing tools
Synergies:e.g. joint operating systems andintegrated central functions
Benefits:
BeNeLux
3.4
10.411.5
27.6
3.4 3.0 2.4 2.31.3 1.0 0.8
PLNLATITFRDE CH ES UKBE1
1)
Including Luxembourg
Achieve leading productivity levels through Benelux integration
Allianz 2012 GPW in Europe(EUR bn)
Strategic priorities in Europe
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Superior growth in Turkey …
Total GPW1
growth Allianz Turkey (%)
1)
Including
Life, P/C and Health
2012
Turkey is a high growth market, with double digit GPW growth (above GDP)
Allianz growth significantly higher than the market in 2012
-
Prior to 2012 Allianz focused on profit protection, by intentionally not participating in irrationally low pricing
-
Starting from 2012 Allianz Turkey outperformed market growth, driven by all lines, particularly MotorMarket Allianz
Allianz Turkey picking up momentum
Strategic priorities in Europe
+11%p
16
27
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(2)
(2)(2)
(3)(4)
(6)
(11)(17)
(18)(21)
(21)(24)
(44)
BNP Paribas
Işık
Zurich
Halk
Eureko
AkSompo
Japan
Allianz
Mapfre
G.
Ziraat
Yapı
Kredi
Magdeburger
HDIAxa
Euro
GeneraliKoru
Ray
T Nippon
Güneş
Dubai
Aviva
LibertyErgo
Anadolu
Loss-maker Σ
-181 Profit-maker Σ
104
P/C market net income
AvivaSAHalk
Hayat
Ziraat
L/P
Yapi
Kredi
Anadolu
L/P
Garanti
E
GroupamaAllianz
Metlife
L/P
Finans
Acibadem
Vakif
E
Axa
Hayat
Mapfre G.Y.Demir
Hayar
BNP Paribas Hayat
ING E.Aegon
Asya
L/PCignaErgo L/P
BNP Paribas E
Loss-maker Σ
-44 Profit-maker Σ
200
… combined with outstanding profit, especially in P/C (9M 2012, EUR mn)
Strategic priorities in Europe
L/P market net income
Allianz Turkey’s competitive advantages in P/CBest-in-class U/W capabilities with high level of Straight-Through-Processing State-of-the-art claims handling capabilitiesHigh customer satisfaction: rank 1 in Net Promoter Score for 4 consecutive years
Source: Türkiye
Sigorta
Birliği
–
insurance association of Turkey
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Strategic priorities for enhancing sustainable success( )
Highly relevantRelevantCurrently limited
Strategic relevance:
France Italy Benelux Turkey Greece
L/H margins and
profitable growth
“Digital company”
Growth
Productivity – – – –
Multi access
(new agency model) – ( ) ( )
Commercial/ midcorp ( )
Net Promoter Score Reach “loyalty leader” or “above market” in all segments
Allianz Engagement Survey Further improve in all OEs, across locations and functions
Value
impact
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1 2012 Group results review
2 Strategic priorities in Europe
3 Summary
Moving forward
Moving forward
3Moving forward
© A
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Summary –
moving forward
Taking advantage of
competitive strengthStrong balance sheet
Attractive dividend yield
Proven and well diversified business model
Continuing optimization
EUR 8.7 -
9.7bn operating profit 2013e
Resilient performance in Europe despite headwinds
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Disclaimer
These assessments are, as always, subject to the disclaimer provided below.
Forward-looking statements
The statements contained herein may include prospects, statements of
future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based
on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and
unknown risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance or events
may differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-
looking statements.
Such deviations may arise due to, without limitation, (i) changes of the
general economic conditions and competitive situation, particularly in the
Allianz Group's core business and core markets, (ii) performance
of financial
markets (particularly market volatility, liquidity and credit events) (iii) frequen-
cy and severity of insured loss events, including from natural catastrophes,
and the development of loss expenses, (iv) mortality and morbidity levels and
trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi) particularly in the banking
business, the
extent of credit defaults, (vii) interest rate levels, (viii) currency exchange
rates including the Euro/U.S. Dollar exchange rate, (ix) changes
in laws and
regulations, including tax regulations, (x) the impact of acquisitions, including
related integration issues, and reorganization measures, and (xi) general
competitive factors, in each case on a local, regional, national
and/or global
basis. Many of these factors may be more likely to occur, or more
pronounced, as a result of terrorist activities and their consequences.
No duty to updateThe company assumes no obligation to update any information or forward-
looking statement contained herein, save for any information required
to be disclosed by law.