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May 2013 Moving towards Sustainability in the Mexican Petroleum Industry Carlos Morales Gil General Director, PEMEX Exploration & Production

Moving Towards Sustentability in the Mexican Petroleum Industry

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  • May 2013

    Moving towards Sustainability in the

    Mexican Petroleum Industry

    Carlos Morales Gil General Director, PEMEX Exploration & Production

  • The energy that moves the

    world

  • 3

    90% of Mexicos energy supply comes from hydrocarbons

    Oil

    34%

    Hydroelectric

    2% Biomass

    8%

    Solar, wind and

    biofuels1%

    Coal

    23%

    Nuclear

    6%

    Gas

    26%

    Worldwide energy consumption Energy consumption in Mexico

    Oil

    65%

    Gas

    23%

    Hydroelectric

    6%

    Biomass

    3%

    Coal, nuclear,

    solar 3%

    60% hydrocarbons

    Source: Outlook for Energy: A View to 2030 Source: Estrategia Nacional de Energa, SENER 2013

    90% hydrocarbons

  • Ranking

    4th

    17th

    International comparison

    Crude oil production

    3.16 MMbd a

    Crude oil reserves (1P)*

    10.025 MMMb

    Natural gas production

    7.03 MMMcfd

    Natural gas reserves (1P)*

    17.22 MMMMcf

    Refining capacity

    1,540 Mbd

    Sales

    80.6 billion dollars

    a Includes gas liquids * Las Reservas de Hidrocarburos de Mxico 2012,

    January 1, 2012.

    * PIW 2010 Rankings, December 2011. Petroleum Intelligence

    Weekly

    9th

    33rd

    14th

    11th

    4

    PEMEX ranks high in the world

  • 0500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    60 62 65 67 70 72 75 77 80 82 85 87 90 92 95 97 00 02 05 07 10

    Thousands of barrels per day

    Chiapas-Tabasco Mesozoic

    Cantarell

    Ku-Maloob-Zaap

    Other offshore fields

    Tampico-Misantla Basin

    Production

    plateau

    Cantarells plateau

    Production increases at Ku-Maloob-Zaap, Ixtal, Crudo Ligero Marino

    Revitalization of mature fields (bano, Delta del Grijalva, 5 Presidentes)

    Integrated E&P Contracts

    5

    PEMEX has been a reliable oil supplier

    for Mexico and abroad

  • 3P reserves

    (only new discoveries)

    Millions of barrels of crude oil equivalent

    1P reserves

    -500

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Replacement

    Production

    14%

    Replacement rate of existing projects

    59%

    108%

    66%

    102%

    129%

    45%

    -19%

    26% 26%

    50%

    77%

    86%

    104%

    101%

    128%

    104%

    Source: BDI,

    POT-I 2012

    Production and 1P and 3P reserves

    replacement rates

    Replacement of proven reserves is

    the foundation for the future

    6

  • Management of the strategy

    [

    GOALS

    2013 - 2017

    Maintain average oil production between 2.5 and 3.0 mmbd

    Maintain average gas production between 5.7 and 6.2 mmmcfd

    Replace proven reserves at or above 100%

    Maintain production costs in the first quartile and optimize discovery and development costs to push

    them up also into the first quartile globally

    Achieve zero accidents

    Be perceived as a socially responsible company

    Increase reserves inventory through new

    discoveries and

    reclassification

    Increase hydrocarbon production

    Increase and improve execution capacity

    Optimize investment

    Optimize operating expenses

    Optimize production operations,

    distribution and

    commercialization

    Continue to implement best practices in HSE

    Strengthen good relations with the

    community

    Modernize technology management

    Acquire and develop talent

    Focus on business

    Improve project planning, execution and control

    Growth Corporate responsibility Operating efficiency Modernization of management

    7

    Strategic Plans reflect the vision [

  • Reserv

    es

    New

    field

    s

    Exis

    tin

    g f

    ield

    s

    Strategic challenges

    1. Increase the reserves replacement rate

    2. Increase the exploration success rate

    3. Increase the recovery factor

    5. Reduce the decline rate

    4. Reduce costs

    People

    Processes Technology

    Knowledge

    management

    8

    Knowledge management:

    essential to face challenges

    6. Accelerate the development

    of new production

  • E&P head

    office

    Business units that support the operation

    Management of

    Technical

    Resources

    Business

    Development

    HSE Auditing Project Services

    Distribution &

    Commercialization Exploration

    Field

    Development

    Produccin Produccin Produccin

    Production NE Offshore Region

    SW Offshore Region

    South Region

    North Region

    Administration &

    Finances

    Planning &

    Evaluation

    Maintenance & Logistics

    Drilling Unit

    Organization focusing on value creation

    Main opportunities for

    improvement

    I. Focus on projects

    IV. Flexibility in the

    assignment of resources to

    projects

    III. Efficient allocation of

    resources

    II. Technical quality

    9

  • Resources and reserves:

    starting point for projects

  • Unconventional (shale gas)

    Basin Cumm.

    prod.

    Reserves Prospective

    resources

    1P 2P 3P Conv. Unconv.

    Southeast 45.4 12.2 18.2 25.1 20.1

    Tampico

    Misantla 6.5 1.0 7.0 17.7 2.5 34.8

    Burgos 2.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 2.9 15.0

    Veracruz 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.6 0.6

    Sabinas 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 9.8

    Deep

    Waters 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 26.6

    Yucatan

    Platform 0.5

    Total 55.0 13.9 26.2 44.5 54.6 60.2

    Billions of barrels of crude oil equivalent

    Oil and gas basins

    Exploration

    projects

    Production projects

    28.4

    11

    Resources and reserves:

    starting point for the projects

  • Delineation Design

    Exploitation/

    Reservoir

    management

    Distribution and

    Commercialization Reserves

    incorporation

    Evaluation

    of the

    petroleum

    potential

    Production Development Exploration

    Build facilities

    Drilling

    PROJECTS

    12

    The exploration and production process demands

    deep knowledge of multiple disciplines

  • E&P project portfolio

    22 light oil 4 heavy oil 3 gas

    2 gas

    7 shallow water 6 deep water 7 onshore

    Exploration

    Production

    Integrated

    The investments aim to increase oil and gas production and to continue increasing the proven and 3P reserves replacement

    rates

    80 Projects Integrales

    Production

    Exploration

    Facilities 30

    2

    Exploration 20

    Production 29

    [

    [

    13

  • Reservoir declines

    Recovery factor

    Production

    Costs

    Reserves replacement

    Development times

    Maximization

    of economic

    value

    Proyectos

    Execution capacity

    Investment

    Technology

    Human

    Resources

    PROJECTS

    [

    [

    The project is foremost in the generation of value

    14

  • Anlisis de cartera Documentacin de

    proyectos

    Reliable documentation

    Quantify expenses and

    benefits

    Quantify the uncertainty of

    key variables

    Alternative evaluation

    methodologies

    Stochastic

    analysis

    Quality of the

    information

    Integration of

    profitable/strategic

    projects

    Strategic elements and

    opportunities to optimize

    Maximization of economic

    value

    Analysis and allocation of

    tecnical and financial

    resources

    Allocation of

    resources

    Portfolio

    optimization

    Defining the

    critical

    elements of the

    model

    Portfolio

    integration

    Deterministic

    economic

    evaluation

    Assessment of

    flexibility

    Continuous and efficient allocation of resources

    during the life of a project

    15

    Project documentation Portfolio analysis

  • Contracting

    With financial resources

    With technology and human resources

    Transactional contracts

    Without technology and human resources

    Comprehensive contracts without

    financing

    Without financial resources

    Comprehensive contracts with

    financing Financial resources

    Goods and

    services

    Technology and human resources

    Execution capacity

    Example

    Cantarell Ku-Maloob-Zaap Litoral de

    Tabasco

    Burgos Chicontepec Complejo A.J.

    Bermdez

    Jujo-Teco

    Deep water Chicontepec Mature fields

    Scope of the contract

    16

    PEMEX E&P has established contracting

    strategies per project, asset and region

  • Technology and human

    resources

  • 18

    Technology strategy

    Forcing the pace of innovation in those few critical technologies where the industry cannot be relied upon to do so (2 areas)

    Intelligent Buyer

    Flag- ships

    We developed the concept of a three-tier hierarchy, but based around probability of market innovation and need for specialist adaptation (rather than competitive advantage or importance, used by IOCs)

    Adapter Following the pace of innovation in selected critical technologies where specialist adaptation is required (6 areas)

    To achieve excellence in all key attributes, PEMEX needs to be an intelligent buyer (80-90% of technology needs)

    Requires excellent capabilities, but very different from those needed for invention or lab R&D

  • 19

    Delivering the strategy: manage technology development & demonstrate value

    1. Create the link between asset needs and technology

    development

    2. Maintain the link throughout development and deployment

    3. Evaluate performance of technology delivery and

    demonstrate value

  • 20

    Re-cap of technology strategy

    Intelligent

    Buyer

    Fluid characteristics

    Drilling equipment and chemicals

    Processing facilities

    Shale gas

    Artificial lift

    Flow assurance

    Water handling

    Pipeline and riser systems

    Sand control

    Completion equipment

    Petrophysics

    Stimulation and acid injection

    Drilling & completions

    Facilities Production operations

    Subsurface

    EOR/ IOR in naturally fractured

    carbonates

    Offshore extra-heavy oil

    Flagships

    Deepwater technology

    Reservoir imaging

    Difficult sandstone reservoirs

    Reservoir monitoring

    HPHT drilling and completion

    Gas reservoirs near critical point

    Adapt & Deploy

    Only two flagship areas (at present), plus six adapt & deploy technology themes. In everything else, PEP seeks to become a (better) Intelligent Buyer

  • Projects

    Recruit Succession

    plan

    Evaluate

    Assign

    Plan

    Governance model

    When should we

    retain or replace

    talent?

    To whom should we

    assign the projects?

    How should we

    measure and

    recognize

    performance?

    How can we

    teach skills?

    How can we access talent?

    What do the

    projects call

    for?

    Talent management: the key to success

    Recruit 200 recent graduates in earth

    sciences and petroleum

    engineering per year

    900 specialists in

    geosciences

    1200 specialists in petroleum engineering

    Retain 30 specialists and

    experts yearly and replace all personnel ready for retirement

    Application of the skills model in the

    E&P value chain

    30 professionals doing graduate work

    abroad and 26 in

    Mexico

    Increase skill levels from 2.16 to 2.50

    21

    1 2 3 Develop

    4

    5

    6

  • Training portfolio

    22

    Mentoring

    Workshops

    Integrated Training

    Programs

    Graduate

    studies

    41 masters 15 doctoral

    Self-study

    Traditional courses

    Training

  • Developments in progress

  • Exploration results on the right track

    11 1435

    68

    119132

    147 148 150158

    98

    69

    2810

    1