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May 2013
Moving towards Sustainability in the
Mexican Petroleum Industry
Carlos Morales Gil General Director, PEMEX Exploration & Production
The energy that moves the
world
3
90% of Mexicos energy supply comes from hydrocarbons
Oil
34%
Hydroelectric
2% Biomass
8%
Solar, wind and
biofuels1%
Coal
23%
Nuclear
6%
Gas
26%
Worldwide energy consumption Energy consumption in Mexico
Oil
65%
Gas
23%
Hydroelectric
6%
Biomass
3%
Coal, nuclear,
solar 3%
60% hydrocarbons
Source: Outlook for Energy: A View to 2030 Source: Estrategia Nacional de Energa, SENER 2013
90% hydrocarbons
Ranking
4th
17th
International comparison
Crude oil production
3.16 MMbd a
Crude oil reserves (1P)*
10.025 MMMb
Natural gas production
7.03 MMMcfd
Natural gas reserves (1P)*
17.22 MMMMcf
Refining capacity
1,540 Mbd
Sales
80.6 billion dollars
a Includes gas liquids * Las Reservas de Hidrocarburos de Mxico 2012,
January 1, 2012.
* PIW 2010 Rankings, December 2011. Petroleum Intelligence
Weekly
9th
33rd
14th
11th
4
PEMEX ranks high in the world
0500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
60 62 65 67 70 72 75 77 80 82 85 87 90 92 95 97 00 02 05 07 10
Thousands of barrels per day
Chiapas-Tabasco Mesozoic
Cantarell
Ku-Maloob-Zaap
Other offshore fields
Tampico-Misantla Basin
Production
plateau
Cantarells plateau
Production increases at Ku-Maloob-Zaap, Ixtal, Crudo Ligero Marino
Revitalization of mature fields (bano, Delta del Grijalva, 5 Presidentes)
Integrated E&P Contracts
5
PEMEX has been a reliable oil supplier
for Mexico and abroad
3P reserves
(only new discoveries)
Millions of barrels of crude oil equivalent
1P reserves
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Replacement
Production
14%
Replacement rate of existing projects
59%
108%
66%
102%
129%
45%
-19%
26% 26%
50%
77%
86%
104%
101%
128%
104%
Source: BDI,
POT-I 2012
Production and 1P and 3P reserves
replacement rates
Replacement of proven reserves is
the foundation for the future
6
Management of the strategy
[
GOALS
2013 - 2017
Maintain average oil production between 2.5 and 3.0 mmbd
Maintain average gas production between 5.7 and 6.2 mmmcfd
Replace proven reserves at or above 100%
Maintain production costs in the first quartile and optimize discovery and development costs to push
them up also into the first quartile globally
Achieve zero accidents
Be perceived as a socially responsible company
Increase reserves inventory through new
discoveries and
reclassification
Increase hydrocarbon production
Increase and improve execution capacity
Optimize investment
Optimize operating expenses
Optimize production operations,
distribution and
commercialization
Continue to implement best practices in HSE
Strengthen good relations with the
community
Modernize technology management
Acquire and develop talent
Focus on business
Improve project planning, execution and control
Growth Corporate responsibility Operating efficiency Modernization of management
7
Strategic Plans reflect the vision [
Reserv
es
New
field
s
Exis
tin
g f
ield
s
Strategic challenges
1. Increase the reserves replacement rate
2. Increase the exploration success rate
3. Increase the recovery factor
5. Reduce the decline rate
4. Reduce costs
People
Processes Technology
Knowledge
management
8
Knowledge management:
essential to face challenges
6. Accelerate the development
of new production
E&P head
office
Business units that support the operation
Management of
Technical
Resources
Business
Development
HSE Auditing Project Services
Distribution &
Commercialization Exploration
Field
Development
Produccin Produccin Produccin
Production NE Offshore Region
SW Offshore Region
South Region
North Region
Administration &
Finances
Planning &
Evaluation
Maintenance & Logistics
Drilling Unit
Organization focusing on value creation
Main opportunities for
improvement
I. Focus on projects
IV. Flexibility in the
assignment of resources to
projects
III. Efficient allocation of
resources
II. Technical quality
9
Resources and reserves:
starting point for projects
Unconventional (shale gas)
Basin Cumm.
prod.
Reserves Prospective
resources
1P 2P 3P Conv. Unconv.
Southeast 45.4 12.2 18.2 25.1 20.1
Tampico
Misantla 6.5 1.0 7.0 17.7 2.5 34.8
Burgos 2.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 2.9 15.0
Veracruz 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.6 0.6
Sabinas 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 9.8
Deep
Waters 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 26.6
Yucatan
Platform 0.5
Total 55.0 13.9 26.2 44.5 54.6 60.2
Billions of barrels of crude oil equivalent
Oil and gas basins
Exploration
projects
Production projects
28.4
11
Resources and reserves:
starting point for the projects
Delineation Design
Exploitation/
Reservoir
management
Distribution and
Commercialization Reserves
incorporation
Evaluation
of the
petroleum
potential
Production Development Exploration
Build facilities
Drilling
PROJECTS
12
The exploration and production process demands
deep knowledge of multiple disciplines
E&P project portfolio
22 light oil 4 heavy oil 3 gas
2 gas
7 shallow water 6 deep water 7 onshore
Exploration
Production
Integrated
The investments aim to increase oil and gas production and to continue increasing the proven and 3P reserves replacement
rates
80 Projects Integrales
Production
Exploration
Facilities 30
2
Exploration 20
Production 29
[
[
13
Reservoir declines
Recovery factor
Production
Costs
Reserves replacement
Development times
Maximization
of economic
value
Proyectos
Execution capacity
Investment
Technology
Human
Resources
PROJECTS
[
[
The project is foremost in the generation of value
14
Anlisis de cartera Documentacin de
proyectos
Reliable documentation
Quantify expenses and
benefits
Quantify the uncertainty of
key variables
Alternative evaluation
methodologies
Stochastic
analysis
Quality of the
information
Integration of
profitable/strategic
projects
Strategic elements and
opportunities to optimize
Maximization of economic
value
Analysis and allocation of
tecnical and financial
resources
Allocation of
resources
Portfolio
optimization
Defining the
critical
elements of the
model
Portfolio
integration
Deterministic
economic
evaluation
Assessment of
flexibility
Continuous and efficient allocation of resources
during the life of a project
15
Project documentation Portfolio analysis
Contracting
With financial resources
With technology and human resources
Transactional contracts
Without technology and human resources
Comprehensive contracts without
financing
Without financial resources
Comprehensive contracts with
financing Financial resources
Goods and
services
Technology and human resources
Execution capacity
Example
Cantarell Ku-Maloob-Zaap Litoral de
Tabasco
Burgos Chicontepec Complejo A.J.
Bermdez
Jujo-Teco
Deep water Chicontepec Mature fields
Scope of the contract
16
PEMEX E&P has established contracting
strategies per project, asset and region
Technology and human
resources
18
Technology strategy
Forcing the pace of innovation in those few critical technologies where the industry cannot be relied upon to do so (2 areas)
Intelligent Buyer
Flag- ships
We developed the concept of a three-tier hierarchy, but based around probability of market innovation and need for specialist adaptation (rather than competitive advantage or importance, used by IOCs)
Adapter Following the pace of innovation in selected critical technologies where specialist adaptation is required (6 areas)
To achieve excellence in all key attributes, PEMEX needs to be an intelligent buyer (80-90% of technology needs)
Requires excellent capabilities, but very different from those needed for invention or lab R&D
19
Delivering the strategy: manage technology development & demonstrate value
1. Create the link between asset needs and technology
development
2. Maintain the link throughout development and deployment
3. Evaluate performance of technology delivery and
demonstrate value
20
Re-cap of technology strategy
Intelligent
Buyer
Fluid characteristics
Drilling equipment and chemicals
Processing facilities
Shale gas
Artificial lift
Flow assurance
Water handling
Pipeline and riser systems
Sand control
Completion equipment
Petrophysics
Stimulation and acid injection
Drilling & completions
Facilities Production operations
Subsurface
EOR/ IOR in naturally fractured
carbonates
Offshore extra-heavy oil
Flagships
Deepwater technology
Reservoir imaging
Difficult sandstone reservoirs
Reservoir monitoring
HPHT drilling and completion
Gas reservoirs near critical point
Adapt & Deploy
Only two flagship areas (at present), plus six adapt & deploy technology themes. In everything else, PEP seeks to become a (better) Intelligent Buyer
Projects
Recruit Succession
plan
Evaluate
Assign
Plan
Governance model
When should we
retain or replace
talent?
To whom should we
assign the projects?
How should we
measure and
recognize
performance?
How can we
teach skills?
How can we access talent?
What do the
projects call
for?
Talent management: the key to success
Recruit 200 recent graduates in earth
sciences and petroleum
engineering per year
900 specialists in
geosciences
1200 specialists in petroleum engineering
Retain 30 specialists and
experts yearly and replace all personnel ready for retirement
Application of the skills model in the
E&P value chain
30 professionals doing graduate work
abroad and 26 in
Mexico
Increase skill levels from 2.16 to 2.50
21
1 2 3 Develop
4
5
6
Training portfolio
22
Mentoring
Workshops
Integrated Training
Programs
Graduate
studies
41 masters 15 doctoral
Self-study
Traditional courses
Training
Developments in progress
Exploration results on the right track
11 1435
68
119132
147 148 150158
98
69
2810
1