8
and move weslwards or weslnorthwestward s along mon- soon trough. produce large amount of rainfall along it. Because of \he high polential of monsoon depressions and lows in produ cing wide spread heavy rainfall , Ihese have MAUSAM. SO. I. (Jan uary 1999).55·62 551.513:551.553.3(267.64) Inter-annual and intra-seasonal variation of some characteristics of monsoon disturbances formed over the Bay . . J. RAJENDRA KUMAR and S.K. DASH Meteo rologica l Office, Pune - 411005, India (Received 4 July 1997 , Modified BJune 1998) lrn - 1971-96 <t\ 3l'lftl ij If!1IT 3fR I!ffiP <t\ t'nR 'lRlfl <1>1 3ltzIlR ;ffi; 3R\: <nm <1>1 'ffi1 W1R fW! fc);<u 'J'lI % I ll'ffi, ri'JuT 3fR f<m;r 'lRlfl ij 1979 it 88 ll'Ii <t\ 3l'lftl ij <Mffi <t\ ij 'foR <lffi 'lRlfl ¥J <1>1 -fl 3ltzIlR fc);<u 'J'lI I "" itlllR qftuwij it 'ffi1 "ffiffi qqT <t\ em; qqT ij 'lRlfl It-! 31ltr'6 ma I em; <lffi qqT <t\ llM'll ij <lffi qcij ij f.l"l c:T'I 'foR 3l'ffl1: 31ltr'6 ma ;;iT 3I"'lc:T'I'i'ij- 'lft<IfffiI m ;;rffi ;)oj ij <Ir.! q)1l Ml fIR<m 31ltr'6 3fR lII'IT"l it <ful c:T'I lI<'io1: ma I 3lWfilI em; qqT t'nR 'lRlfl fllm WI it 31ltr'6 ma I "" t'nR 'Ir.f\ ij 31ltr'6 ma 3fR fuw! <t\ <furffi 3fR fIR<m 'It f.lm: 'R<ft 1 ri'JuT 'lRlfl <t\ llM'll ij ll'ffi 'lRlfl t'nR f.l"l c:T'I 31ltr'6 mszn ij 3I"'lc:T'I'i ij 'lftuTo m ;;rffi I ll'ffi 'l"Rll:' t'nR f.l"l c:T'I 3fR <t\ <Ir.! 31ltr'6 M 3fR 31ltr'6 ll'fq ll'Ii ;f.t I ffillP«l : f<tt<;f 'lRlfl ll'fq f.l"l c:T'I 1$1 q)1l om 3fR rn it <iiW -fl 3I"'fc:T'I ij 'lftuTo I ilffi : ll'ffi 3fR ri'JuT 'lRlfl ll'fq 1M m,,4sl'1 " l<l <t\ 3I"'lc:T'I'i 'foR fW! 3If.r.rrl! I f<tt<;f 'lRlfl 11>1 'Il'I 'liB <lffi . 3fR lII'IT"l 'l"Rll:' 11>1 Tl: 'liB <lffi ftfwij <t\ -fl qqf <t\ 'It I ABSTRAl.T . The characteristics of monsoon disturbances during drought and Ilood years for the peri od 1971-96 are studied 10 find out thei r inter-annual variations. Yaria tions of some of the characteristics of monsoon disturbances formed Over Hay during 1979·8X. with respect to different monsoon conditions such as strong. weak and break monsoons. arc also studied. The results show thai monsoon disturbance days an: higher during flood years than during drought years. Drought years are associated with higher chances of low pressure areas eo intensity into depressions. less westward movement. more horizontal extent, intense pressure departure from nonnaJ in comparison wuh flood years. However, more monsoon disturbances tilt significantly flood years. The rainfall associated wilh lhese disturbances is highly variable and does nOI depend on the intensity, horizontal and vertical eXlent of the individual system. More numher of lows intensify inlo dC'pressions during strong monsoon conditions compared to lhose of .....eak monsoon conditions. Lows and depression!> during strong mOnsoons have more westward movement and longer life period. Generally, very few lows fonn during break monsoon and none of lhem inlen. "ify into depression. Hence, the presence of mid-tropospheric healing during strong and weak monsoons is essential for lhe fonnation of depression. Synoptic systems ..... hich abate break monsoon condition and re-establish nonnal monsoon are also discussed. Key words · Monsoon disturbance!>. Inter-annual variation. I Dem-seasonal vari::lIion. Strong monsoon. Weak monsoon. Break monsoon. Indianseasonal monsoon rainfall(ISMR), Monsoon lrough. Drought, Flood. 1. Int rodu cti on The monsoon disturbances of different spatial and tem- poral scales such as low pressure areas, depressions, cy- clo nic circulations which generally fono over Bay of Bengal • Cenlre for Almospheric Sciences. Indian I nslilUte of Technology, New Delhi - 11 0016, India (55)

mszn m - Metnetmetnet.imd.gov.in/mausamdocs/15018_F.pdf · J. RAJENDRA KUMAR and S.K. DASH Meteorological Office, Pune- 411005, India (Received 4July 1997, Modified BJune 1998) lrn-1971-96

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Page 1: mszn m - Metnetmetnet.imd.gov.in/mausamdocs/15018_F.pdf · J. RAJENDRA KUMAR and S.K. DASH Meteorological Office, Pune- 411005, India (Received 4July 1997, Modified BJune 1998) lrn-1971-96

and move weslwards or weslnorthwestward s along mon­soon trough. produce large amount of rainfall along it.Because of \he high polentia l of monsoon depressions andlows in produ cing widespread heavy rainfall , Ihese have

MAUSAM. SO. I. (Jan uary 1999).55·62

551.513:551.553.3(267 .64)

Inter-annual and intra-seasonal variation of some characteristics ofmonsoon disturbances formed over the Bay

. .J. RAJENDRA KUMAR and S.K. DASH

Meteorological Office, Pune - 411005, India

(Received 4 July 1997, Modified BJune 1998)

lrn- 1971-96 <t\ 3l'lftl ij If!1IT 3fR I!ffiP <t\~ ~ t'nR 'lRlfl~~ ",fqri~ijii <1>1 3ltzIlR

;ffi; 3R\: <nm~ <1>1 'ffi1 W1R ~ fW! fc);<u 'J'lI %I ll'ffi, ri'JuT 3fR f<m;r~~ 'lRlfl~~~ ij 1979 it 88 ll'Ii <t\ 3l'lftl ij <Mffi <t\~ ij 'foR <lffi 'lRlfl~~ ¥J31fqri~ijii ~~ <1>1 -fl 3ltzIlR fc);<u 'J'lI ~ I ""~ itlllR qftuwij it ~ 'ffi1 "ffiffi ~ ~

~ qqT <t\~ em; ~ qqT ij 'lRlfl fll~ ~ It-! 31ltr'6 ma ~ I em; <lffi qqT <t\ llM'll ij~<lffi qcij ij f.l"l c:T'I ~ ~ 'foR ~ 3l'ffl1: 31ltr'6 ma ~ ;;iT 3I"'lc:T'I'i'ij- 'lft<IfffiI m;;rffi ~ ;)oj~

ij qfi'q~Ifq~ <Ir.! q)1l M l ~ fIR<m 31ltr'6~ ~ 3fR lII'IT"l it <ful c:T'I lI<'io1: ma ~ I

3lWfilI em; ~ qqT ~ t'nR 'lRlfl~ fllm WI it 31ltr'6 ma ~ I ""~~ t'nR ~ 'Ir.f\~ ij 31ltr'6~ ma ~ 3fR~ • fuw! <t\ <furffi~ 3fR~~ fIR<m 'It f.lm:~ 'R<ft ~ 1 ri'JuT 'lRlfl~3i\ <t\ llM'll ij ll'ffi 'lRlfl~3i\ ~ t'nR f.l"l c:T'I ~ 31ltr'6mszn ij 3I"'lc:T'I'i ij 'lftuTo m;;rffi ~ I ll'ffi 'l"Rll:' ~ t'nR f.l"l c:T'I~ 3fR~ <t\ qfi'a~Ifi:l~ 1

<Ir.! 31ltr'6 M ~ 3fR ~ 31ltr'6 ll'fq ll'Ii ;f.t~ ~ I ffillP«l: f<tt<;f 'lRlfl ~ ll'fq f.l"l c:T'I 1$1"¥ q)1l om ~ 3fR rn it <iiW -fl 3I"'fc:T'I ij 'lftuTo~~ ~ I ilffi: ll'ffi 3fR ri'JuT 'lRlfl ~ ll'fq

1M m,,4sl'1"l<l~ <t\~ 3I"'lc:T'I'i ~ 'foR ~ fW! 3If.r.rrl! ~ I f<tt<;f 'lRlfl~3i\ 11>1 'Il'I

'liB <lffi .3fR lII'IT"l 'l"Rll:' 11>1 Tl:~ 'liB <lffi fu~q; ftfwij <t\ -fl qqf <t\ 'It ~ I

ABSTRAl.T . The characteristics of monsoon disturbances during drought and Ilood years for theperi od 1971-96 arestudied 10 find out thei r inte r-annual variations. Yaria tions of some of the characteris tics of monsoon disturbances formed Over

Hay during 1979·8X. with respect to different monsoon conditions such as strong. weak and break monsoons. arc also studied.The results show thai monsoon disturbance days an: higher during flood years than during drought years. Drought years areassociated with higher chances of low pressure areas eo intensity into depressions. less westward movement. more horizontalextent, intense pressure departure from nonnaJ in comparison wuh flood years. However, more monsoon disturbances tiltsignificantly d~ring flood years. The rainfall associated wilh lhese disturbances is highly variable and doesnOI depend on theintensity, horizontal and vertical eXlent of the individual system. More numher of lows intensify inlo dC'pressions during strongmonsoon conditions compared to lhose of .....eak monsoon conditions. Lows and depression!> during strong mOnsoons havemore westward movement and longer life period. Generally, very few lows fonn during break monsoon and none of lheminlen."ify into depression. Hence, the presence of mid-tropospheric healing during strong and weak monsoons is essential forlhe fonnation of depression. Synoptic systems .....hich abate break monsoon condition and re-establish nonnal monsoon arealso discussed.

Key words · Monsoondisturbance!>. Inter-annual variation. IDem-seasonal vari::lIion. Strong monsoon. Weak monsoon.Break monsoon. Indian seasonal monsoon rainfall (ISMR), Monsoon lrough. Drought, Flood.

1. Introduction

The monsoon disturbances of different spatial and tem­

poral scales such as low pressure areas, depressions, cy­

clo nic circulations which generally fono over Bay of Bengal

• Cenlre for Almospheric Sciences. Indian InslilUte of Technology, New Delhi - 110016, India

(55)

Page 2: mszn m - Metnetmetnet.imd.gov.in/mausamdocs/15018_F.pdf · J. RAJENDRA KUMAR and S.K. DASH Meteorological Office, Pune- 411005, India (Received 4July 1997, Modified BJune 1998) lrn-1971-96
Page 3: mszn m - Metnetmetnet.imd.gov.in/mausamdocs/15018_F.pdf · J. RAJENDRA KUMAR and S.K. DASH Meteorological Office, Pune- 411005, India (Received 4July 1997, Modified BJune 1998) lrn-1971-96
Page 4: mszn m - Metnetmetnet.imd.gov.in/mausamdocs/15018_F.pdf · J. RAJENDRA KUMAR and S.K. DASH Meteorological Office, Pune- 411005, India (Received 4July 1997, Modified BJune 1998) lrn-1971-96
Page 5: mszn m - Metnetmetnet.imd.gov.in/mausamdocs/15018_F.pdf · J. RAJENDRA KUMAR and S.K. DASH Meteorological Office, Pune- 411005, India (Received 4July 1997, Modified BJune 1998) lrn-1971-96
Page 6: mszn m - Metnetmetnet.imd.gov.in/mausamdocs/15018_F.pdf · J. RAJENDRA KUMAR and S.K. DASH Meteorological Office, Pune- 411005, India (Received 4July 1997, Modified BJune 1998) lrn-1971-96
Page 7: mszn m - Metnetmetnet.imd.gov.in/mausamdocs/15018_F.pdf · J. RAJENDRA KUMAR and S.K. DASH Meteorological Office, Pune- 411005, India (Received 4July 1997, Modified BJune 1998) lrn-1971-96
Page 8: mszn m - Metnetmetnet.imd.gov.in/mausamdocs/15018_F.pdf · J. RAJENDRA KUMAR and S.K. DASH Meteorological Office, Pune- 411005, India (Received 4July 1997, Modified BJune 1998) lrn-1971-96