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Na~tional Institute of Ju-stice James K. Stewart, Director (202) 724-2942
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. Dru,9 Use Forecasting (DUF):\. April-June 1988 Data
A Program of the National In.stitute of Justice
Cofunded by the Bureau of Justice Assistance
November 1988
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National Institute" of)J llstice. ;,.
CONTENTS Purpose of DUF ............. PAGE ............................................................................. ; .............................................. 2
2. Overview ................................................................................................................................................... 3
3. DUF sites ................................................................................................................................................... 4
4. Sample sizes for April-June 1988 data ..................................................................................................... 5
5. Test results for male arrestees, April-June 1988 ................................................................................ 6-14
6. Comparison of male and female test results ..................................................................................... 15-21
7',; Washington test results, May 1984-August 1988 ................................................................................... 22
8. Manhattan test results, 1984-June 1988 ................................................................................................ 23
9. Injection by male and female arrestees ................................................................................................... 24
10. Specific drugs injected by male and female arrestees ...................................................................... 25-26
1 r. Distribution of arrest charges in male arrestees, April-June 1988 .......................................................... 27
12. DistribGtion of arrest charges in female arrestees, April-June 1988 ....................................................... 28
13. Charge at arrest and test results for male arrestees, April-June 1988 ................................................... 29
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PURPOSE OF DUF PROGRAM
• To provide each city with information forDetecting drug epidemics earlier Planning allocation of law enforcement resources Determining treatment and prevention needs Measuring the impact of efforts to reduce drug use and crime .
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• To provide national-level estimates of illicit drug use among offenders .
• To track and forecast national drug use trends.
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OVERVIEW
• Voluntary urine specimens and anonymous interviews obtained from male and female arrestees. .
• Sampling of 200 to 250 new male arrestees and 50 to 1 00 new female arrestees every 3 months.
• Male arrestees primarily charged with nondrug felony offenses.
• DUF expanded to include juveniles in 1988.
• Response rates consistently high.
• DUF to be expanded to 25 cities in 1989.
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National Institute of Justlce
Los Angeles (L.A;) Phoenix (Px.) Portland (Por.) San Diego (S.D.)
* Data collected after June 1988.
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DRUG USE FORECASTING SITES
Dallas (Dal.) Houston (Hou.) San Antonio *
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Birmingham * Fort Lauderdale * Miami * New Orleans (N.O.)
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Chicago (Chi.) Cleveland • Detroit (Del.) Indianapolis (Ind.) Kansas City • New York!
Manhattan (N.Y.) Omaha I.t
Philadelphia * Sl. Louis * Washington (D.C.)
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Nationat.'Institute of Justice
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Cities
SAMPLE SIZES FOR DRUG TESTING April through June 1988
* Data not collected from female arrestees in Hou!!ton. Less than 50 female arrestees in Indianapolis and Detroit.
Female
Includesall arrestees tested in May 1988 by the Washington, D.C., Pretrial Testing Program. The program does not test for marijuana. Drug use forecasting data not available.
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100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
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PERCENTAG~ OF MALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSIT~VE FOR ANY DRUG, INCLUDING MARIJUANA
11 cities tested during April through June 1988
L.A. S.D. POR. P~. PAL. HOU. N.O. CHI. IND. DEL N.Y.
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-National 'Institute of J llstice
PERCENTAGE OF MALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE i)
FOR ANY DRUG, EXCLUDING MARIJUANA 12 cities tested during April through June 191:18
100 (]
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L.A. S.D. -. POR. PX. DAL HOU. N.O. CHI.iND. DE.T. D.C. N.Y. 7
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100
90
60
70
60
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PERCENTAGE OF MALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE FOR TWO OR MOR'~> DRUGS, INCLUDING MARIJUANA
11 cities tested during April through June 1988
56
L.A. . S.D. POR. . Px. DAL. HOU .. N.O. CHI. IND. DET. N.Y.
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90
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70
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40
30
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PERCENTAGE OF MALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE
FOR TWO OR MORE DRUGS, EXCLUDING MARIJUANA, 12 cities tested during April thro~gh June 1988
L.A. S.D. POR. PX. DAL. HOU. 'N.O. CHI; . IND. DET. D.C. N.v.
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100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
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-PERCENTAGE OF MALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE
FOR MARIJUANA 11 cities tested during April through June 1988
61
L.A. S.D. POR. PX. DAL. HOU. N.O. CHI. IND. DEl. N.Y.
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100
90
80
70
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, PERCENTAGE OF MALE ARRESTEESTESTING POSITIVE
FOR PCP 12 cities tested during April through June 1988
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LA:' S.,D. POR. P~. DAL,. IND. DET. D~C·. N.Y.
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100
90
80 1
PERCENTAGE OF MALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE
FOR COCAINE 12 cities tested during April through June 1988
701 65 ,~~--
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90
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70
60
50
40
30
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PERCENTAGE OF MALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE
FOR OPIATES 12 cities tested during April through June 1988
i.~. S.D. POR. PX.,.DAL.HOU •. N.O. CHI.' IND •. DET. D.C. N.Y.
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100
90
80
70
60
50
4°1 30
20
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PERCENTAGE OF MALEARRESTEESTESTING POSITIVE
FOR AMPHETAMIN;ES
12 cities tested during April through June 1988
35 .. 3,
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L.A. 'S.D. POR. PX.DAL. HOU.N.O. 'CHI. IND. DEY. D.C.
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National Institute of Justice
PERCENTAGE OF MALE AND FEMALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE
FOR ANY DRUG, INCLUDING MARIJUANA 100 8 cities tested during April through June 1988
90 90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0 L.A. S.D. POR. PX. DAL. N.O. CHI. N.Y .
• MALE III FEMALE I 15
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PERCENTAGE OF MALE AND FEMALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE~;~;? FOR ANY DRUG, EXCLUDING MARIJUANA
100 9 cities tested during April through June 1988
90 86
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
o DAL. N.O. CHI. N.Y .
• MALE • FEMALE I 16
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PERCENTAGE OF MALE AND FEMALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE
FOR MARIJUANA 100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
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8 cities tested during April through June 1988
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POR. px. DAL,. N.O. CHI. N.Y.
• MALE II FEMALE 117
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'·~.PERCENTAGE OF MALE AND FEMALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE FOR PCP
9 cities tested during April through June 1988 100
50
" 40
30 30
20
10
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POR. PX. DAL. N.O. CHI. D.C. N.Y •
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• MALE I 18 • FEMALE
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PERCENTAGE OF MALE AND FEMALE ARRESTEES TESTING PQSITIVE
FOR COCAINE
100
.9 cities tested during .April through June 1988
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• MALE .. FEMALE
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PERCENTAGE OF MALE AND FEMALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE
FOR OPIATES 9 cities tested during April through June 1988
100
90
80
70
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60
50
40 37
30
20
S.D. ' POR. ' PX. DAL. N.O; CHI. D.C. "N.Y.
., MALE I 20 • FEMA~E
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PERCENTAGE OF MALE AND FEMALE ARRESTEES TESTING POSITIVE
FOR AMPHETAMINES 9 cities tested during.Aprii through June 1988
47
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S.D. POR. px. OAt. N.O. CHI. D.C. N.Y. "
• MALE • FEMALE
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PERCENTAGE OF DRUGS FOUND IN MALE AND FEMALE ARRESTEES IN WASHINGTON, D.C.
80 I
60
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20
May 1984 through August 1988
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ANY DRUG EXCLUDING MARIJUANA
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MAY AUG. NOV. FEB. MAY AUG. NOV. FEB. MAY AUG. NOV. FEB. MAY AUG. NOV. FEB. MAY AUG. o .. .
1984 1985 I 1986 -1987 1988
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80
60
40
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PERCENTAGE OF DRUGS FOUND IN MALE ARRESTEES IN MANHATTAN
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1984 * through June 1988
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JAN. SEPT. ~OCT. NOV. JAN. APRIL J4LY OCT. JAN. JUNE
1984 1986. 1987 1988
"1984 information comes from a separate study of 4,847 arrestees in Manhattan.
H}85 is not represented-pilot work for DUF began in September 1986 .
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los Angeles
PERCENTAGE OF MALE AND FEMALE ARRESTEES WHO HAVE EVER INJECTED DRUGS·
11 cities·· tested during April through June 1988
Ever Injected
29
Injected in Last 6 Months
17
Ever Injected
38
aased on voluntary self-report and should therefore be interpreted as of iojection in arrestees,
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Injected in Last 6 Months
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City
PERCENTAGE OF SPECIFIC DRUGS EVER INJECTED BY MALE ARRESTEES*
11 cities tested during April through June 1988
Heroin , Cocaine Amphetamines
24 21 10
• Based on voluntary self-report and should therefore be interperted as minimUm estimates of injection in arrestees.
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PERCENTAGE OF SPECIFIC DRUGS EVER INJECTED BY FEMALE ARRESTEES*
8 cities tested during April through June" 1988
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City Heroin Cocaine Amphetamines
* Based on voluntary s~lf"reportand should therefore be interpreted as minimum estimates of injection in arrestees. ** Less than 1 %. "" ,
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PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF ARREST CHARGES OF THE TESTED MALE ARRESTEES FROM EACH SITE
11 cities teste~ during ApriUhrough June 1988
Sex Drug Stolen Weapons
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Site Larceny Offense Sale/Poss. Assault Burglary Property Robbery Offense Homicide Other
Los Angeles (N=446) 6 2 30 8 12 10 8 1 1 22
* Less than 1% ...
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PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF ARREST CHARGES OF THE TESTED FEMALE ARRESTEES FROM EACH SITE
8 cities tested during April· through June 1988
Sex Drug Stolen Weapons
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Site Larceny Offense Sale/Poss. Assault Burglary Property Robbery Offense Homicide Other
• Less. than 1 %.
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Site
PERCENTAGE OF MALE ARRESTEES WHO TESTED POSITIVE FOR ANY DRUG,8V CHARGE AT ARREST
11 cities tested during April through June 1988
Drug Sale! Possession
Income Generating a
Violent Crime b
Other Charges
,. Fewer than 20 persons with this charge. ••
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Read as 90% of the 134 males in Los Angeles arrested for sale or possession of drugs tested positive for one or more drugs .
Includes burglary, possession of burglary tools, embezzlement, forgery, fraud, larceny/theft, pickpocketing/jostling, robbery, possession of stolen property or stolen vehicle. Includes assault, family offense, homicide, manslaughter, sex assauhlrape, other sex offenses.
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