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National Demographic s Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

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Page 1: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

National Demographics

Corporation

June 21st, 2011

Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios

1

Page 2: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Current Demographics

• Total Population,• 2010 Census total: 185,976• 62.0 % Hispanic• 25.8 % Non-Hispanic White• 8.3 % African-American • 1.9 % Asian-American • 0.2 % Other

2

Based on Census data from the 2010 Decennial Census:

Voting Age Population 2010 Census count: 124,946

55.8 % Hispanic 32.0 % Non-Hispanic White 7.9 % African-American 2.2 % Asian-American 0.2 % Other

Page 3: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Current Demographics

Voter Data• Voter Registration (Nov. 2010)

• 65,003 Total• 38.1 % Hispanic-surname• 1.0 % Asian-surname (excl. Filipino)• 0.8 % Filipino

Citizen Voting Age Population• From ACS: 92,974• 40.5 % Hispanic• 44.5 % Non-Hispanic White• 10.8 % Black• 1.6 % Asian American

• From Special Tabulation: 93,176 • 40.5 % Hispanic• 45.0 % Non-Hispanic White• 10.6 % Black• 1.7 % Asian American

3

Based on data from the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey (ACS) and from the California Statewide Database:

Page 4: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Population Density - Detail

2010 Population Density Shaded by Census Block• Attendance Areas in

Red

Page 5: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Hispanic/Latino Voting Age Population-Detail

5

2010 Hispanic Voting Age Population by Census Block

Page 6: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Hispanic/Latino Citizen Voting Age Population-Detail

6

2010 Hispanic Citizen Voting Age Population by Census Block

Page 7: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario A

Page 8: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario A

Page 9: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario A

Page 10: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario A

Page 11: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario A

Page 12: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario A

Page 13: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario A Counts

Plan 1 Tot. Pop. Dev. % Dev. Hisp NH WhtNH

DOJ BlkNH DOJ

IndNH DOJ

AsnNH DOJ

HwnNH DOJ

OthNH DOJ OthMR

1 36,971 -224 -0.60% 15,473 17,676 1,544 607 1,413 82 73 1032 37,041 -154 -0.41% 26,713 7,564 1,686 517 380 40 57 843 37,009 -186 -0.50% 20,940 8,963 5,513 521 751 37 58 2264 37,436 241 0.65% 30,450 3,728 2,504 370 204 16 65 995 37,519 324 0.87% 21,797 10,065 4,131 423 828 41 72 162

Total 185,976 548 1.47% 115,373 47,996 15,378 2,438 3,576 216 325 674Ideal 37,195

Plan 1

18+ Pop

H18+ Pop

NH18+

Wht

NH18+ DOJ

Blk

NH18+

DOJ Ind

NH18+ DOJ Asn

NH18+ DOJ Hwn

NH18+ DOJ Oth

NH18+

DOJ OthM

RTot. Reg.

Hisp. Reg.

Asn. Reg.

Fil. Reg.

Asn +

Fil. Reg.

Tot. Vote.

Hisp. Vote.

Asn. Vote.

Fil. Vote.

Asn +

Fil. Vote.

1 27,129 9,71214,74

8 973 4461,08

4 50 51 6519,19

5 5,052 326 142 46812,0

66 2,317 209 68 277

2 24,17416,16

5 6,207 1,018 382 283 27 39 5311,39

0 5,641 39 124 1635,30

5 2,032 21 52 73

3 25,10612,64

1 7,532 3,726 393 599 28 39 14812,40

0 4,105 105 113 2185,40

4 1,347 46 54 100

4 23,31818,25

8 3,046 1,520 263 143 11 34 43 9,258 5,799 38 71 1093,12

5 1,798 14 19 33

5 25,21912,99

5 8,416 2,689 309 636 28 45 10112,76

0 4,198 125 99 2246,09

2 1,493 65 37 102Tota

l124,94

669,77

139,94

9 9,926 1,7932,74

5 144 208 41065,00

324,79

5 633 5491,18

231,9

92 8,987 355 230 585

Special Tabulation American Community Survey (ACS)

Plan 1

Total CVAP

Hisp CVAP

NH Wht

CVAP

NH Blk

CVAP

NH Asn

CVAP

NH Ind

CVAP

NH Hwn CVAP

NH MR

CVAPTotal CVAP

Hisp CVAP

NH Wht

CVAP

NH Blk

CVAP

NH Asn

CVAP

NH Ind CVA

P

NH Hwn CVAP

NH MR

CVAP

NH Oth

CVAP

1 22,211 6,71413,63

1 883 520 322 3 12722,26

8 6,83613,57

7 858 462 254 2 882 4,120

2 17,508 9,320 6,757 950 125 273 27 5617,40

3 9,042 6,650 1,154 162 358 31 645 5,993

3 20,408 6,921 8,580 4,028 330 409 41 7820,62

0 6,894 8,735 4,019 282 265 38 777 4,476

4 13,422 8,143 3,203 1,657 117 238 7 5813,07

1 7,992 3,115 1,593 55 146 15 393 4,882

5 19,628 6,627 9,793 2,382 501 278 14 2519,61

2 6,934 9,336 2,376 489 254 12 461 4,025Tota

l 93,176 37,72641,96

4 9,899 1,593 1,520 92 34492,97

437,69

741,41

310,00

0 1,4491,27

7 97 3,15823,49

5

Abbreviations:Dev. = DeviationHisp = HispanicNH = "Non-Hispanic"Wht = WhiteBlk = Black / African

AmericanInd = Native AmericanAsn = Asian AmericanHaw or Hwn = Hawaiian and

Pacific IslanderOth = OtherOthMR or MR = Multi-RaceFil = Filipino"DOJ" = Aggregated

according to U.S. Department of Justice guidance

Reg = Voter RegistrationCVAP = Citizen Voting Age

Population

Page 14: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario A Percentages

Plan 1 % Hisp. % NH Wht% NH DOJ

Blk% NH DOJ

Ind% NH DOJ

Asn% NH

DOJ Hwn% NH DOJ

Oth

% NH DOJ

OthMR1 41.9% 47.8% 4.2% 1.6% 3.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%2 72.1% 20.4% 4.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%3 56.6% 24.2% 14.9% 1.4% 2.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6%4 81.3% 10.0% 6.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3%5 58.1% 26.8% 11.0% 1.1% 2.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%

Total 62.0% 25.8% 8.3% 1.3% 1.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%

Plan 1

% H18+ Pop

% NH18+ Wht

% NH18+ DOJ

Blk

% NH18+ DOJ

Ind

% NH18+ DOJ

Asn

% NH18+ DOJ Hwn

% NH18+ DOJ

Oth

% NH18+ DOJ OthM

R

% Hisp. Reg.

% Asn. Reg.

% Fil. Reg.

% Asn +

Fil. Reg.

Hisp. Vote.

Asn. Vote.

Fil. Vote.

Asn + Fil.

Vote.1 35.8% 54.4% 3.6% 1.6% 4.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 26.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.4% 19.2% 1.7% 0.6% 2.3%2 66.9% 25.7% 4.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 49.5% 0.3% 1.1% 1.4% 38.3% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4%3 50.4% 30.0% 14.8% 1.6% 2.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 33.1% 0.8% 0.9% 1.8% 24.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.9%4 78.3% 13.1% 6.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 62.6% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 57.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1%5 51.5% 33.4% 10.7% 1.2% 2.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 32.9% 1.0% 0.8% 1.8% 24.5% 1.1% 0.6% 1.7%

Total 55.8% 32.0% 7.9% 1.4% 2.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 38.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.8% 28.1% 1.1% 0.7% 1.8%Special Tabulation Amercian Community Survey (ACS)

Plan 1

% Total CVAP

% Hisp CVAP

% NH Wht

CVAP

% NH Blk

CVAP

% NH Asn

CVAP

% NH Ind

CVAP

% NH Hwn CVAP

% NH MR

CVAP

% Total CVAP

% Hisp CVAP

% NH Wht

CVAP

% NH Blk

CVAP

% NH Asn

CVAP

% NH Ind

CVAP

% NH Hwn CVAP

% NH MR

CVAP

% NH Oth

CVAP

1 81.9% 30.2% 61.4% 4.0% 2.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.6% 82.1% 30.7% 61.0% 3.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 4.0% 18.5%

2 72.4% 53.2% 38.6% 5.4% 0.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.3% 72.0% 52.0% 38.2% 6.6% 0.9% 2.1% 0.2% 3.7% 34.4%

3 81.3% 33.9% 42.0% 19.7% 1.6% 2.0% 0.2% 0.4% 82.1% 33.4% 42.4% 19.5% 1.4% 1.3% 0.2% 3.8% 21.7%

4 57.6% 60.7% 23.9% 12.3% 0.9% 1.8% 0.1% 0.4% 56.1% 61.1% 23.8% 12.2% 0.4% 1.1% 0.1% 3.0% 37.3%

5 77.8% 33.8% 49.9% 12.1% 2.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 77.8% 35.4% 47.6% 12.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.1% 2.3% 20.5%

Total 74.6% 40.5% 45.0% 10.6% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.4% 74.4% 40.5% 44.5% 10.8% 1.6% 1.4% 0.1% 3.4% 25.3%

Abbreviations:Dev. = DeviationHisp = HispanicNH = "Non-Hispanic"Wht = WhiteBlk = Black / African AmericanInd = Native AmericanAsn = Asian AmericanHaw or Hwn = Hawaiian and

Pacific IslanderOth = OtherOthMR or MR = Multi-RaceFil = Filipino"DOJ" = Aggregated according

to U.S. Department of Justice guidance

Reg = Voter RegistrationCVAP = Citizen Voting Age

Population

Page 15: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario B

Page 16: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario B

Page 17: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario B

Page 18: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario B

Page 19: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario B

Page 20: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario B – Detail: East

Page 21: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario B Counts

Special Tabulation American Community Survey (ACS)

DistTotal CVAP

Hisp CVAP

NH Wht

CVAP

NH Blk

CVAP

NH Asn

CVAP

NH Ind

CVAP

NH Hwn CVAP

NH MR

CVAPTotal CVAP

Hisp CVAP

NH Wht

CVAP

NH Blk

CVAP

NH Asn

CVAP

NH Ind CVA

P

NH Hwn CVAP

NH MR

CVAP

NH Oth

CVAP

1 20,884 6,45512,27

7 1,049 564 366 6 14321,06

0 6,759 12,2461,01

9 476 302 3 870 4,047

2 16,553 8,947 5,865 1,238 125 252 26 8116,50

2 9,038 5,6761,30

1 89 275 34 521 6,256

3 14,850 6,554 3,987 3,754 187 319 31 1614,88

2 6,618 3,8023,81

7 190 291 35 472 3,891

4 15,762 8,426 5,860 1,153 108 209 5 3715,65

7 8,026 5,9271,27

9 125 176 9 554 4,709

5 25,128 7,34313,97

5 2,706 609 374 24 6724,87

3 7,257 13,7622,58

4 570 233 17 741 4,593Tota

l 93,17637,72

641,96

4 9,899 1,5931,520 92 34492,97

437,69

7 41,41310,0

00 1,4491,27

7 97 3,15823,49

5

Abbreviations:Dev. = DeviationHisp = HispanicNH = "Non-Hispanic"Wht = WhiteBlk = Black / African AmericanInd = Native AmericanAsn = Asian AmericanHaw or Hwn = Hawaiian and Pacific

IslanderOth = OtherOthMR or MR = Multi-RaceFil = Filipino"DOJ" = Aggregated according to U.S.

Department of Justice guidance

Reg = Voter RegistrationCVAP = Citizen Voting Age Population

Dist18+ Pop

H18+ Pop

NH18+ Wht

NH18+ DOJ

Blk

NH18+ DOJ Ind

NH18+ DOJ Asn

NH18+

DOJ Hwn

NH18+ DOJ Oth

NH18+ DOJ

OthMR

Tot. Reg.

Hisp. Reg.

Asn. Reg.

Fil. Reg.

Asn +

Fil. Reg.

126,44

510,50

113,41

2 988 441 950 37 49 671753

3 4848 262 144 406

223,88

915,82

8 6,011 1,255 376 286 26 40 671047

0 5240 54 111 165

323,51

115,59

5 3,275 3,874 246 356 13 39 1131016

7 4555 79 70 149

424,22

917,25

5 5,031 1,268 276 310 26 32 311196

1 6241 90 76 166

526,87

210,59

212,22

0 2,541 454 843 42 48 1321487

2 3911 148 148 296Total

124,946

69,771

39,949 9,926 1,793

2,745 144 208 410

65003 24795 633 549

1182

DistTot. Pop. Dev. % Dev. Hisp

NH Wht

NH DOJ Blk

NH DOJ Ind

NH DOJ Asn

NH DOJ Hwn

NH DOJ Oth

NH DOJ

OthMR

1 37,092 -103 -0.28% 17,15816,18

4 1,621 616 1,275 58 68 1122 36,502 -693 -1.86% 26,005 7,289 2,116 510 381 33 59 1093 37,386 191 0.51% 26,641 3,979 5,698 352 473 20 66 1574 37,535 340 0.91% 28,570 6,007 2,026 368 381 49 64 70

5 37,461 266 0.71% 16,99914,53

7 3,917 592 1,066 56 68 226Tota

l185,97

6 1,033 2.78%115,37

347,99

615,37

8 2,438 3,576 216 325 674Idea

l 37,195

Page 22: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario B Percentages

Dist % Hisp.% NH Wht

% NH DOJ Blk

% NH DOJ Ind

% NH DOJ Asn

% NH DOJ Hwn

% NH DOJ Oth

% NH DOJ

OthMR1 46.3% 43.6% 4.4% 1.7% 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%2 71.2% 20.0% 5.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%3 71.3% 10.6% 15.2% 0.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%4 76.1% 16.0% 5.4% 1.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%5 45.4% 38.8% 10.5% 1.6% 2.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6%

Total 62.0% 25.8% 8.3% 1.3% 1.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%

Dist% H18+

Pop

% NH18+

Wht

% NH18+ DOJ Blk

% NH18+ DOJ Ind

% NH18+ DOJ Asn

% NH18+

DOJ Hwn

% NH18+ DOJ Oth

% NH18+

DOJ OthMR

% Hisp. Reg.

% Asn. Reg.

% Fil. Reg.

% Asn + Fil. Reg.

1 39.7% 50.7% 3.7% 1.7% 3.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 27.7% 1.5% 0.8% 2.3%2 66.3% 25.2% 5.3% 1.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 50.0% 0.5% 1.1% 1.6%3 66.3% 13.9% 16.5% 1.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 44.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.5%4 71.2% 20.8% 5.2% 1.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 52.2% 0.8% 0.6% 1.4%5 39.4% 45.5% 9.5% 1.7% 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 26.3% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0%

Total 55.8% 32.0% 7.9% 1.4% 2.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 38.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.8%

Special Tabulation Amercian Community Survey (ACS)

Dist% Total CVAP

% Hisp CVAP

% NH Wht

CVAP

% NH Blk

CVAP

% NH Asn

CVAP

% NH Ind

CVAP

% NH Hwn CVAP

% NH MR

CVAP

% Total CVAP

% Hisp CVAP

% NH Wht

CVAP

% NH Blk

CVAP

% NH Asn

CVAP

% NH Ind CVA

P

% NH Hwn CVAP

% NH MR

CVAP

% NH Oth

CVAP

1 79.0% 30.9% 58.8% 5.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.0% 0.7% 79.6%32.1

% 58.1% 4.8% 2.3%1.4% 0.0% 4.1% 19.2%

2 69.3% 54.1% 35.4% 7.5% 0.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.5% 69.1%54.8

% 34.4% 7.9% 0.5%1.7% 0.2% 3.2% 37.9%

3 63.2% 44.1% 26.8% 25.3% 1.3% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1% 63.3%44.5

% 25.5%25.6

% 1.3%2.0% 0.2% 3.2% 26.1%

4 65.1% 53.5% 37.2% 7.3% 0.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.2% 64.6%51.3

% 37.9% 8.2% 0.8%1.1% 0.1% 3.5% 30.1%

5 93.5% 29.2% 55.6% 10.8% 2.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.3% 92.6%29.2

% 55.3%10.4

% 2.3%0.9% 0.1% 3.0% 18.5%Tota

l 74.6% 40.5% 45.0% 10.6% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.4% 74.4%40.5

% 44.5%10.8

% 1.6%1.4% 0.1% 3.4% 25.3%

Abbreviations:Dev. = DeviationHisp = HispanicNH = "Non-Hispanic"Wht = WhiteBlk = Black / African AmericanInd = Native AmericanAsn = Asian AmericanHaw or Hwn = Hawaiian and Pacific

IslanderOth = OtherOthMR or MR = Multi-RaceFil = Filipino"DOJ" = Aggregated according to U.S.

Department of Justice guidanceReg = Voter RegistrationCVAP = Citizen Voting Age Population

Page 23: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario C

Page 24: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario C – Detail: South

Page 25: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario C – Detail: West

Page 26: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario C

Page 27: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario C

Page 28: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario C

Page 29: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario C - CountsPlan

6Tot. Pop. Dev. % Dev. Hisp

NH Wht

NH DOJ Blk

NH DOJ Ind

NH DOJ Asn

NH DOJ Hwn

NH DOJ Oth

NH DOJ

OthMR

1 37,178 -17 -0.05%30,144 3,266 3,047 362 206 11 65 772 38,110 915 2.46%27,392 7,785 1,782 511 434 60 58 88

3 36,517 -678 -1.82%17,97513,72

9 3,032 505 983 53 66 174

4 36,875 -320 -0.86%16,78016,42

7 1,537 606 1,285 62 66 1125 37,296 101 0.27%23,082 6,789 5,980 454 668 30 70 223

Total

185,976 1,593 4.28%

115,373

47,996

15,378 2,438 3,576 216 325 674

Ideal 37,195Plan

618+ Pop

H18+ Pop

NH18+

Wht

NH18+ DOJ

Blk

NH18+

DOJ Ind

NH18+ DOJ Asn

NH18+ DOJ Hwn

NH18+ DOJ Oth

NH18+

DOJ OthM

RTot. Reg.

Hisp. Reg.

Asn. Reg.

Fil. Reg.

Asn +

Fil. Reg.

Tot. Vote.

Hisp. Vote.

Asn. Vote.

Fil. Vote.

Asn +

Fil. Vote.

1 23,15617,99

9 2,712 1,954 262 152 6 33 38 9,653 5,797 39 68 1073,34

8 1,756 15 24 39

2 25,09016,68

9 6,489 1,073 368 343 39 37 5211,88

5 5,814 75 117 1925,67

2 2,113 43 44 87

3 26,04311,17

311,52

0 1,996 391 773 40 45 10514,42

8 4,064 146 144 2907,46

4 1,560 71 63 134

4 26,34910,29

713,56

7 930 438 964 39 48 6617,60

3 4,817 284 143 42710,8

35 2,174 180 71 251

5 24,30813,61

3 5,661 3,973 334 513 20 45 14911,43

4 4,303 89 77 1664,67

3 1,384 46 28 74Tota

l124,94

669,77

139,94

9 9,926 1,7932,74

5 144 208 41065,00

324,79

5 633 5491,18

231,9

92 8,987 355 230 585

Special Tabulation American Community Survey (ACS)

Plan 6

Total CVAP

Hisp CVAP

NH Wht

CVAP

NH Blk

CVAP

NH Asn

CVAP

NH Ind

CVAP

NH Hwn CVAP

NH MR

CVAPTotal CVAP

Hisp CVAP

NH Wht

CVAP

NH Blk

CVAP

NH Asn

CVAP

NH Ind CVA

P

NH Hwn CVAP

NH MR

CVAP

NH Oth

CVAP

1 13,454 7,893 3,313 1,862 112 259 7 1613,26

0 7,519 3,257 2,077 92 227 20 334 4,420

2 17,338 9,314 6,549 1,088 110 196 25 5817,39

1 9,392 6,437 1,116 109 261 26 620 6,355

3 22,643 6,64312,96

7 2,016 610 342 15 4022,32

6 6,76012,39

6 2,024 571 239 9 633 4,177

4 20,460 6,60212,04

8 795 507 330 8 15320,75

0 6,76112,17

5 811 444 276 4 898 4,016

5 19,281 7,274 7,086 4,139 254 392 37 7819,24

6 7,266 7,148 3,972 233 274 38 673 4,527Tota

l 93,176 37,72641,96

4 9,899 1,593 1,520 92 34492,97

437,69

741,41

310,00

0 1,4491,27

7 97 3,15823,49

5

Abbreviations:Dev. = DeviationHisp = HispanicNH = "Non-Hispanic"Wht = WhiteBlk = Black / African AmericanInd = Native AmericanAsn = Asian AmericanHaw or Hwn = Hawaiian and Pacific IslanderOth = OtherOthMR or MR = Multi-RaceFil = Filipino"DOJ" = Aggregated according to U.S.

Department of Justice guidanceReg = Voter RegistrationCVAP = Citizen Voting Age Population

Page 30: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario C - Percentages

Plan 6 % Hisp.% NH Wht

% NH DOJ Blk

% NH DOJ Ind

% NH DOJ Asn

% NH DOJ Hwn

% NH DOJ Oth

% NH DOJ

OthMR1 81.1% 8.8% 8.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2%2 71.9% 20.4% 4.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%3 49.2% 37.6% 8.3% 1.4% 2.7% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5%4 45.5% 44.5% 4.2% 1.6% 3.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%5 61.9% 18.2% 16.0% 1.2% 1.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6%

Total 62.0% 25.8% 8.3% 1.3% 1.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%

Plan 6

% H18+ Pop

% NH18+ Wht

% NH18+ DOJ

Blk

% NH18+ DOJ

Ind

% NH18+ DOJ

Asn

% NH18+ DOJ Hwn

% NH18+ DOJ

Oth

% NH18

+ DOJ

OthMR

% Hisp. Reg.

% Asn. Reg.

% Fil. Reg.

% Asn

+ Fil. Reg.

Hisp. Vote.

Asn. Vote.

Fil. Vote.

Asn + Fil.

Vote.

1 77.7% 11.7% 8.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 60.1% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1%52.4

% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2%

2 66.5% 25.9% 4.3% 1.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 48.9% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6%37.3

% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5%

3 42.9% 44.2% 7.7% 1.5% 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 28.2% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0%20.9

% 1.0% 0.8% 1.8%

4 39.1% 51.5% 3.5% 1.7% 3.7% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 27.4% 1.6% 0.8% 2.4%20.1

% 1.7% 0.7% 2.3%

5 56.0% 23.3% 16.3% 1.4% 2.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 37.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.5%29.6

% 1.0% 0.6% 1.6%Tota

l 55.8% 32.0% 7.9% 1.4% 2.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 38.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.8%28.1

% 1.1% 0.7% 1.8%

Special Tabulation Amercian Community Survey (ACS)

Plan 6

% Total CVAP

% Hisp CVAP

% NH Wht

CVAP

% NH Blk

CVAP

% NH Asn

CVAP

% NH Ind

CVAP

% NH Hwn CVAP

% NH MR

CVAP

% Total CVAP

% Hisp CVAP

% NH Wht

CVAP

% NH Blk

CVAP

% NH Asn

CVAP

% NH Ind CVA

P

% NH Hwn CVA

P

% NH MR

CVAP

% NH Oth

CVAP

1 58.1% 58.7% 24.6% 13.8% 0.8% 1.9% 0.0% 0.1% 57.3%56.7

% 24.6%15.7

% 0.7% 1.7% 0.1% 2.5%33.3

%

2 69.1% 53.7% 37.8% 6.3% 0.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.3% 69.3%54.0

% 37.0% 6.4% 0.6% 1.5% 0.1% 3.6%36.5

%

3 86.9% 29.3% 57.3% 8.9% 2.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.2% 85.7%30.3

% 55.5% 9.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.0% 2.8%18.7

%

4 77.7% 32.3% 58.9% 3.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.0% 0.7% 78.8%32.6

% 58.7% 3.9% 2.1% 1.3% 0.0% 4.3%19.4

%

5 79.3% 37.7% 36.8% 21.5% 1.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.4% 79.2%37.8

% 37.1%20.6

% 1.2% 1.4% 0.2% 3.5%23.5

%Tota

l 74.6% 40.5% 45.0% 10.6% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.4% 74.4%40.5

% 44.5%10.8

% 1.6% 1.4% 0.1% 3.4%25.3

%

Abbreviations:Dev. = DeviationHisp = HispanicNH = "Non-Hispanic"Wht = WhiteBlk = Black / African AmericanInd = Native AmericanAsn = Asian AmericanHaw or Hwn = Hawaiian and Pacific IslanderOth = OtherOthMR or MR = Multi-RaceFil = Filipino"DOJ" = Aggregated according to U.S. Department of

Justice guidanceReg = Voter RegistrationCVAP = Citizen Voting Age Population

Page 31: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario D

Page 32: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario D – Detail: South

Page 33: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario D

Page 34: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario D

Page 35: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario D

Page 36: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario D

Page 37: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario D - CountsPlan

Name Tot. Pop. Dev. % Dev. Hisp NH Wht

NH DOJ Blk

NH DOJ Ind

NH DOJ Asn

NH DOJ Hwn

NH DOJ Oth

NH DOJ OthMR

1 37,377 182 0.49% 15,479 17,543 1,983 611 1,497 63 82 119

2 37,484 289 0.78% 28,008 7,486 1,016 468 329 56 54 67

3 37,261 66 0.18% 28,345 5,015 3,062 423 236 22 56 102

4 36,274 -921 -2.48% 26,151 3,951 5,085 368 476 22 61 160

5 37,580 385 1.03% 17,390 14,001 4,232 568 1,038 53 72 226

Total 185,976 1,306 3.51% 115,373 47,996 15,378 2,438 3,576 216 325 674

Ideal 37,195

Plan Nam

e18+ Pop

H18+ Pop

NH18+ Wht

NH18+ DOJ

Blk

NH18+

DOJ Ind

NH18+ DOJ Asn

NH18+ DOJ Hwn

NH18+ DOJ Oth

NH18+

DOJ OthM

RTot. Reg.

Hisp. Reg.

Asn. Reg.

Fil. Reg.

Asn +

Fil. Reg.

Tot. Vote.

Hisp. Vote.

Asn. Vote.

Fil. Vote.

Asn +

Fil. Vote.

127,44

3 9,81514,66

1 1,200 4471,140 45 58 7718,77

0 4,956 312 155 46711,7

53 2,311 198 77 275

224,22

816,72

1 6,213 612 339 255 28 31 2912,23

2 6,249 60 87 1475,65

8 2,168 32 39 71

323,70

017,02

6 4,083 1,989 316 174 17 32 63 9,522 5,022 43 97 1403,69

8 1,643 22 28 50

422,75

915,41

8 3,268 3,308 251 356 13 36 109 9,710 4,650 67 68 1353,55

9 1,473 24 21 45

526,81

610,79

111,72

4 2,817 440 820 41 51 13214,76

9 3,918 151 142 2937,32

4 1,392 79 65 144

Total124,9

4669,77

139,94

9 9,926 1,7932,745 144 208 41065,00

324,79

5 633 5491,18

231,9

92 8,987 355 230 585

Special Tabulation American Community Survey (ACS)

Plan Nam

eTotal CVAP

Hisp CVAP

NH Wht

CVAP

NH Blk

CVAP

NH Asn

CVAP

NH Ind

CVAP

NH Hwn CVAP

NH MR

CVAPTotal CVAP

Hisp CVAP

NH Wht

CVAP

NH Blk

CVAP

NH Asn

CVAP

NH Ind

CVAP

NH Hwn CVAP

NH MR

CVAP

NH Oth

CVAP

1 22,798 7,135 13,412 1,131 523 412 7 17223,24

5 7,53013,45

0 1,164 465 289 13 964 4,785

2 16,809 8,502 7,079 725 202 248 9 5916,41

6 8,168 6,902 779 167 176 9 658 4,858

3 14,169 8,158 3,814 1,845 79 203 25 3914,16

8 8,112 3,841 1,880 75 307 26 334 5,442

4 14,937 6,736 4,154 3,432 182 341 30 2614,77

2 6,752 4,022 3,352 158 267 34 491 3,954

5 24,464 7,196 13,505 2,766 607 317 21 4824,37

2 7,13513,19

7 2,825 584 239 15 711 4,456Tota

l 93,176 37,726 41,964 9,899 1,593 1,520 92 34492,97

437,69

741,41

310,00

0 1,4491,27

7 97 3,15823,49

5

Abbreviations:Dev. = DeviationHisp = HispanicNH = "Non-Hispanic"Wht = WhiteBlk = Black / African AmericanInd = Native AmericanAsn = Asian AmericanHaw or Hwn = Hawaiian and Pacific

IslanderOth = OtherOthMR or MR = Multi-RaceFil = Filipino"DOJ" = Aggregated according to U.S.

Department of Justice guidanceReg = Voter RegistrationCVAP = Citizen Voting Age Population

Page 38: National Demographics Corporation June 21st, 2011 Bakersfield City School District 2011 Trustee Redistricting Scenarios 1

Trustee Scenario D - PercentagesPlan

Name % Hisp.% NH Wht

% NH DOJ Blk

% NH DOJ Ind

% NH DOJ Asn

% NH DOJ Hwn

% NH DOJ Oth

% NH DOJ

OthMR

1 41.4% 46.9% 5.3% 1.6% 4.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%

2 74.7% 20.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%

3 76.1% 13.5% 8.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%

4 72.1% 10.9% 14.0% 1.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%

5 46.3% 37.3% 11.3% 1.5% 2.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6%

Total 62.0% 25.8% 8.3% 1.3% 1.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%

Plan Nam

e

% H18+ Pop

% NH18+ Wht

% NH18+ DOJ

Blk

% NH18+ DOJ

Ind

% NH18+ DOJ

Asn

% NH18+ DOJ Hwn

% NH18+ DOJ

Oth

% NH18+ DOJ OthM

R

% Hisp. Reg.

% Asn. Reg.

% Fil. Reg.

% Asn + Fil. Reg.

Hisp. Vote.

Asn. Vote.

Fil. Vote.

Asn + Fil.

Vote.1 35.8% 53.4% 4.4% 1.6% 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 26.4% 1.7% 0.8% 2.5% 19.7% 1.7% 0.7% 2.3%2 69.0% 25.6% 2.5% 1.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 51.1% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 38.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3%3 71.8% 17.2% 8.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 52.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 44.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.4%4 67.7% 14.4% 14.5% 1.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 47.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 41.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3%5 40.2% 43.7% 10.5% 1.6% 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 26.5% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 19.0% 1.1% 0.9% 2.0%

Total 55.8% 32.0% 7.9% 1.4% 2.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 38.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.8% 28.1% 1.1% 0.7% 1.8%

Special Tabulation Amercian Community Survey (ACS)

Plan Name

% Total CVAP

% Hisp CVAP

% NH Wht

CVAP

% NH Blk

CVAP

% NH Asn

CVAP

% NH Ind

CVAP

% NH Hwn CVAP

% NH MR

CVAP

% Total CVAP

% Hisp CVAP

% NH Wht

CVAP

% NH Blk

CVAP

% NH Asn

CVAP

% NH Ind CVA

P

% NH Hwn CVAP

% NH MR

CVAP

% NH Oth

CVAP

1 83.1% 31.3% 58.8% 5.0% 2.3% 1.8% 0.0% 0.8% 84.7% 32.4% 57.9% 5.0% 2.0% 1.2% 0.1% 4.1%20.6

%

2 69.4% 50.6% 42.1% 4.3% 1.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.4% 67.8% 49.8% 42.0% 4.7% 1.0% 1.1% 0.1% 4.0%29.6

%

3 59.8% 57.6% 26.9% 13.0% 0.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.3% 59.8% 57.3% 27.1%13.3

% 0.5% 2.2% 0.2% 2.4%38.4

%

4 65.6% 45.1% 27.8% 23.0% 1.2% 2.3% 0.2% 0.2% 64.9% 45.7% 27.2%22.7

% 1.1% 1.8% 0.2% 3.3%26.8

%

5 91.2% 29.4% 55.2% 11.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.2% 90.9% 29.3% 54.1%11.6

% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1% 2.9%18.3

%Tota

l 74.6% 40.5% 45.0% 10.6% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.4% 74.4% 40.5% 44.5%10.8

% 1.6% 1.4% 0.1% 3.4%25.3

%

Abbreviations:Dev. = DeviationHisp = HispanicNH = "Non-Hispanic"Wht = WhiteBlk = Black / African AmericanInd = Native AmericanAsn = Asian AmericanHaw or Hwn = Hawaiian and Pacific IslanderOth = OtherOthMR or MR = Multi-RaceFil = Filipino"DOJ" = Aggregated according to U.S. Department

of Justice guidanceReg = Voter RegistrationCVAP = Citizen Voting Age Population