Nations Changing Demographic Environment

Wayne Hatcher

Regional Director

Census Bureau

Charlotte, NC

NC SDC Meeting

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Changes & Trends that affect us all…

Today I will discuss…..

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Population of 13 Colonies in 1790 – 3.9 Million

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Similar to Population of Maricopa County, AZ today!

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What are Some Significant Trends that affect Census Work

Growth

Diversity

Aging Population

Other

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About…Ten years ago . . There were

• 35,000,000 fewer Americans

• 18,000,000 fewer Latinos in the U.S.

• 200,000,000 fewer cell phone subscribers

• 20,000,000 fewer persons over 50

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Or…..

• We Are Bigger!

• We Are More Diverse

• We Are Older

• We Are More Connected

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Growth…….

North to South

East to West

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Banking Moves South

Bank of America and Wachovia in Charlotte….

Citibank in NYC is the only major bank left in the North

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Auto Manufacturing Moves South

BMW in SC

Nissan in Alabama

GM & Peterbuilt to Texas

Saturn to Tennessee

Also, Honda, Hyundai, Toyota….

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Retirees Moving South

Florida, NC and SC are destinations

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Population Growth 1990 - 2000

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National Population at 300,000,000

1967 – 200,000,000

2006 – 300,000,000

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Estimated Growth in NC 2000 - 2030

More than 50%

12,000,000 by 2030

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First Migration – West End of 17th Century

Second Migration – North & West Great Depression

Third Migration – South & West 2000-2020

(Dr. Jim Taylor)

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35th Parallel

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Growth of 50 Million Persons over next 20 Years

Below the 35th Parallel

(Dr. Jim Taylor)

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Diversity

Defined…..”All the ways in which we differ.”

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Diversity

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Diversity

Latino/Hispanics

Regional/Local Growth

Charlotte/Greensboro/Raleigh-Durham “Hypergrowth” Areas

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NC Hispanic Population Changes 1980-2005

Year Hispanic Count

% of Total

1980 56,667 1.0%

2000 378,963 4.7%

2007 638,444 7.05%

Three Counties in North Carolina With High Hispanic

Population Gains

Are….

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Number 3 - Guilford County, NC

Year Hispanic Count

% of Total

1980 2,404 0.8%

2000 15,985 3.8%

2006 25,601 5.67%

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Number 2 - Wake County, NC

Year Hispanic Count

% of Total

1980 2,385 0.8%

2000 33,985 5.4%

2006 62,674 7.97%

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Number 1 - Mecklenburg County, NC

Year Hispanic Count

% of Total

1980 3,962 1.0%

2000 44,871 6.5%

2006 81,241 9.82%

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Summary Of High Hispanic Growth Counties NC 1980-2006

County % Gain Hispanic/Year Gain

Mecklenburg 1,980% 3,125

Wake 2,527% 2,410

Guilford 965% 985

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Aging Population

First Wave of 78 Million Baby Boomers

Nearing Retirement

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Baby Boom Generation

Born 1946 - 1964

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65 and Over Population

Today 1 out of 8

2020 (est.) 1 out of 6

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NC Population 50+

Today 28%

2020 34%

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NC Elderly (65+)

1990 – 2000

21% Increase

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NC Elderly (65+)

2000 – 2030 (est.)

More than Double from969,000 to 2,142,000

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Other Demographic Trends

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More People Live Alone

1950 1 in 10

Today 1 in 4

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Population Less Connected Socially

Decline in Memberships at Clubs, Lodges, etc.

More Solitary Activities

Fewer Group Activities

Longer Work Hours

Longer Commutes

Increased Use of Internet

Increased Use of Drive Through (restaurants/pharmacies)

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Housing Changes

Bigger houses on Smaller Lots with fewer people in the houses

More garages and bathrooms

More two story, fewer one story houses

More Condos

Housing built further & further from downtown

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Ten Years ago Google and Monster.com

did Not Exist

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Ten years ago fewer than 40% of Americans had

Internet Access . . . Compared to more than

70% today.

Estimated that more than 212,000,000 Americans were

“Internet Users” in 2007

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We were not at War

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• Privacy concerns were not “Front Page” Issues

• “PII’ was not in our census vocabulary

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Summary – What does all this mean to us?

Growth may mean more demand for Services.

Population Growth will be un-even in North Carolina.

People from different parts of the country may want different products, hours, services.

Diversity brings requirements for bilingual staff

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Summary – What does all this mean to us?

Products in Language

Rapidly increasing older population may have more free time.

Population is becoming more educated and more affluent which is good for Society.

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The World, the U.S., the Carolinasand your community are

changing rapidly.

To Flourish – Change with them!