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Natural Hazards and Regional Planning Developing an Integrated Geographic Information Model AAG 2009 Bill Bass Senior Land Use Modeler Socio-Economic Modeling Group Houston-Galveston Area Council

Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

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Development of an integrated geographic information model to support understanding of potential risks to infrastructure and critical areas.

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Page 1: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Developing an Integrated Geographic Information Model

AAG 2009

Bill BassSenior Land Use Modeler

Socio-Economic Modeling GroupHouston-Galveston Area Council

Page 2: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

H-GAC Background Regional Council of

Government (COG)• Regional Planning• Transportation MPO

13 Counties

12,500 Square Miles

105 Cities

13 School Districts

5.7 Million People

Page 3: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Socio-Economic Modeling

Socio-economic forecasting • Demographics- Population, Census• Economics- Employment, Economic Development• Land Use- Environmental, Current/Future Use, Valuation

• Primary Users… Transportation planning Environmental Planning Economic Development

Demographics

EconomicsLand Use

SEModeling

Page 4: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Land Use Modeling Process

AppraisalData

AppraisalData

PreliminaryLand Use

PreliminaryLand Use

Parks &Nat. AreasParks &

Nat. AreasInfra-

structureInfra-

structure BuildingsBuildings

Land Use Related Datasets

Integrationof

Data

Integrationof

Data

RevisedLand UseRevised

Land Use

National, State, and Local SourcesNational, State, and Local Sources

Inputs toPlanningProjects

Inputs toPlanningProjects

CulturalSites

CulturalSites

ImageryValidationValidation

Page 5: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Hurricane Ike- NOAA SLOSH Model (Estimated Storm Surge)

Page 6: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Bolivar Bridge- Pre Ike

Page 7: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Bolivar Bridge- Post Ike

Page 8: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

A Call to Action Quickly provide searchable

information• Infrastructure• Industrial facilities• Demographics• Property values

Allow on the ground teams to deal with immediate needs

Provide summaries to support impact scenarios, damage estimates and funding requests

• Federal Agencies• State Agencies• Local Governments• Businesses• Communities

Page 9: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Data Resources & Analysis Capabilities

Imagery• Pre Ike• Post Ike• NAIP (rural counties)• Pre Ike Land Cover Transportation

• Major Highways• Arterial Roads (StarMap)• Airports & Runways• Bridges• Railways & Crossings• Metro Transit Centers• Intermodal Terminals• Ports• Waterways

Infrastructure• Refineries• Pipelines• Power Plants• Power Sub-Stations• Power Transmission Lines• Fire & Police Stations• Hospitals• Schools & Universities• Wastewater Treatment• Landfills• Closed Landfills• Commercial Facilities• Grocery Stores/Retailers• Cultural Sites• Buildings• Cemeteries• Correctional Facilities

Socio-Economic• Parcel Boundaries• Parcel Valuation• Parcel Land Use• Population• Employment• Households• SBA Loans• Businesses (InfoUSA)• Regional Forecast

ZipCode

CensusTract

CensusBlock

CityETJ

CountyCustomExtents

CensusBlock Group

Analysis provided in the following geographies

Page 10: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Hurricane Ike- Actual Path and Estimated StormSurge

Storm surge of10 feet or morecommon in theGalveston Bayarea

Used extent of 10 foot surge as analysis zone

Page 11: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Hurricane Ike- Storm SurgeZone Potential Impacts

No.

Households 205K81K

Pop

Page 12: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Hurricane Ike- Storm SurgeZone Potential Impacts

No.

Households 205K81K

Pop

Businesses 99K

JobsNo.

>5K

Page 13: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Hurricane Ike- Storm SurgeZone Potential Impacts

No.

Households 205K81K

Pop

$3.7B

Impr.Property*

Residential

Commercial

Other

$6.9B

$191M

60K

5K

32K

Parcels Value

*Galveston, Liberty, Harris, and Brazoria Counties

Businesses 99K

JobsNo.

>5K

Page 14: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Hurricane Ike- Storm SurgeZone Potential Impacts

No.

Households 205K81K

Pop

Schools (K-12) 42

No.Infrastructure

Businesses 99K

JobsNo.

>5K

$3.7B

Impr.Property*

Residential

Commercial

Other

$6.9B

$191M

60K

5K

32K

Parcels Value

*Galveston, Liberty, Harris, and Brazoria Counties

Page 15: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Hurricane Ike- Storm SurgeZone Potential Impacts

No.

Households 205K81K

Pop

Sub-Stations 41

Schools (K-12) 42

No.Infrastructure

Businesses 99K

JobsNo.

>5K

$3.7B

Impr.Property*

Residential

Commercial

Other

$6.9B

$191M

60K

5K

32K

Parcels Value

*Galveston, Liberty, Harris, and Brazoria Counties

Page 16: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Hurricane Ike- Storm SurgeZone Potential Impacts

No.

Households 205K81K

Pop

Sub-Stations 41

Waste Water Treatment Plants

131

Schools (K-12) 42

No.Infrastructure

Businesses 99K

JobsNo.

>5K

$3.7B

Impr.Property*

Residential

Commercial

Other

$6.9B

$191M

60K

5K

32K

Parcels Value

*Galveston, Liberty, Harris, and Brazoria Counties

Page 17: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Hurricane Ike- Storm SurgeZone Potential Impacts

No.

Households 205K81K

Pop

Sub-Stations 41

Waste Water Treatment Plants

131

Schools (K-12) 42

No.Infrastructure

Businesses 99K

JobsNo.

>5K

$3.7B

Impr.Property*

Residential

Commercial

Other

$6.9B

$191M

60K

5K

32K

Parcels Value

*Galveston, Liberty, Harris, and Brazoria Counties

Hospitals 13

Page 18: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Hurricane Ike- Storm SurgeZone Potential Impacts

No.

Households 205K81K

Pop

Sub-Stations 41

Waste Water Treatment Plants

131

Schools (K-12) 42

No.Infrastructure

Businesses 99K

JobsNo.

>5K

$3.7B

Impr.Property*

Residential

Commercial

Other

$6.9B

$191M

60K

5K

32K

Parcels Value

*Galveston, Liberty, Harris, and Brazoria Counties

Hospitals 13

Universities 4

Page 19: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Hurricane Ike- Evacuation Area

No.Households

606K228K

Pop

Businesses

256K

JobsNo.

>15K

Special Needs

14K

No.Households w/out Cars

96KDisabled Individuals

Page 20: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Bolivar Ferry- Pre Ike

Page 21: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Bolivar Ferry- Post Ike

Page 22: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Seabrook WWTP- Pre Ike

Page 23: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Seabrook WWTP- Post Ike

Page 24: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Damage Assessment

Tot. Area 935 SqMi

Assessed 29 SqMi

Change 8 SqMiNo Change 21 SqMi

Total Loss 58%

Rooftop Analysis

Partial Loss 26%

Intact 16%

Moderate 2 SqMi

Debris Analysis

Light 6 SqMi

Heavy 5 SqMi

Not Deter. 17 SqMi

3%

Tot. Area

ChangeNo Change

Assessed Areas

Page 25: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Moving Beyond Traditional Maps

User Interaction

Dyn

am

ic I

nq

uir

y

Low High

Low

Hig

h

Static Maps‘PDFs’

Interactive Maps‘Point & Click’

Animated Maps‘Preset Animations’

GIS Applications‘ArcIMS/ArcGIS Server’

Past

Present/Future

Page 26: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Leveraging Current GIS Capabilities

http://www.h-gac.com/forecast

www.arcgis.h-gac.com/Regional_SE_GIS

www.arcgis.h-gac.com/Regional_LU_GIS

Page 27: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

RadialRadial

LinearLinear

AreaArea

Calculators

Pre-definedPre-defined

LandmarksLandmarks

PopulationPopulation

Browser BasedRegional

GIS

Browser BasedRegional

GIS

Land UseLand Use

EmploymentEmployment

GeoprocessingGeoprocessing

Land UseLand Use

Socio-EconomicSocio-EconomicDesktop GIS

(ArcGIS, ArcExplorer)Desktop GIS

(ArcGIS, ArcExplorer)

LandmarksLandmarks

InfrastructureInfrastructure InfrastructureInfrastructure

DataOptimization

DataOptimization

Regional Geographic Information Model

Applications Map Layers/Geoprocessing Tools Geodatabases

Page 28: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Regional GIS

Map Layers

GeoprocessingTools

Page 29: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Regional GIS

PredefinedQueries

Page 30: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Regional GIS

QueryResults

Page 31: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Regional GIS

User-DefinedQueries

Page 32: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Regional GIS

Page 33: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Regional GIS

QueryResults

Page 34: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Summary Continue to acquire and validate data

• Infrastructure• Land Uses• Future Development (Announced Projects, Plats)

Incorporate new models into our geoprocessing tools

Flexibility• User interactivity• Self Service• Delivery methods (desktop, browser)

High resolution

Page 35: Natural Hazards and Regional Planning

Thank You.

Bill Bass(713) 499-6687

[email protected]/forecast