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Navy Motorcycle Safety FY14 to date (3 March 2014)
Don Borkoski
Naval Safety Center
Motorcycle Programs
Fatal History DON FY71-FY14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
FY71 FY75 FY81 FY91 FY02 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
Nu
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of
Fata
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s
↓ DON offered MC training since 1972
↓ MSF BRC-RSS adopted,1975
↓ Training mandated after “Hurt Study”, 1981
↓ MSF Improved BRC, 1988
↓ MSRC introduced, 2008
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014
↓Traffic Safety Contract 2005
↓Training Funding Cuts 2010
Future?
2
↓ Track bikes morf into street legal “sport bikes”, 1985 (1985 Ninja 600 or zx600 first true North American “sport bike”)
↓ Super Sportbike Boom, 1990 (1987 Ninja ZX10 “Tomcat” leads boom leveraging the movie TOP GUN)
Top Gun GPZ900
PMV-415
PMV-220
Ped/Bike7
Recreation6
Aviation2
Shore/Ground/
Op MV
5
Afloat3
Class A Mishaps USN FY13
Total Class A
76
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 3
Motorcycles were 26% of all class A’s
Biggest piece of the Class A pie with less than 8% of the population
Motorcycle Class A
1:1375 riders
Private Auto Class A 1:20,640 drivers
If you ride,
you are 15 TIMES more likely to be involved in a Class A
mishap than if you drive.
Cars vs Bikes USN Fatalities FY06-FY14 to date
50
33
30
18 18
8
15 15
8
27
19
33
14 13
16
20
17
11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
Fata
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Cars Bikes
Motorcycle fatalities are historically trending down but since 2010 they are creeping up
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 4
Traffic Safety Policy Evolution
Where We Were • Increasing PMV2 fatalities
• Underground Rider
• Inadequate Training • No Training Bikes • Limited Resources
Where We're Going • Joint Service Training ? • Standardized DoD policies ?
• Targeted Training ? • Sustainment ?
What We Did
• MSRC and ARC • Traffic Safety Training Contract
• Motorcycle Census/ESAMS/MSR’s
• Revised PPE Policy
• Aligned resources (Training bikes, Ranges)
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014
OR:
We have made gains that are temporarily holding.
Budget cuts and reduced support may be reverting
us back to where we were in 2008.
Signs?
FY14 fatal to date =12
FY13 fatal at this time =4
5
Required Motorcycle Training
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 6
Basic Rider Coarse (Fundamental Training)
LEVEL 1 Before you ride
LEVEL 2 Within 60 days
of BRC
LEVEL 3 Every 3 years
No Training
Advance Rider Course or Military Sport-bike Rider Course
(Risk Management/Performance Bike Training)
Refresher Training
(Continuing Education)
Proven Deadly
Enough to be Dangerous
Proven Effective
Fights Complacency
70
69
72
72
PMV2 Fatalities FY14 (Oct to Nov)
Hawaii
• The only areas of the country with consistent
riding weather in FY14 include:
• Southern California
• Southern Florida
• Mississippi
• Hawaii
• Texas
Japan 53
45
69
58
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014
Weather should contribute to less
motorcycle fatalities. Not so!
11 PMV-2 fatalities so far this year.
Only 4 at this time last year!
7
Seasonal Factor USN PMV2 Fatal by Age 5yr Avg (FY8-12)
1.0
0.5
1.3
2.2
1.7
2.2
2.3
2.8
2.0
1.7
0.8
0.5 31.9
35.3
42.4
52
60.8
68.8
73.3 72.1
65.2
54.8
43.5
34.5
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Avg/Mo Avg US Temp Linear (Avg/Mo) Linear (Avg US Temp)
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014
Avg Temps over 52 are conducive to riding. 78% of fatalities in Apr-Oct
(avg over 52)
Avg US Temp=52.9 degrees F Avg Fatalities/Mo=1.6
8
Gas Price Effect USN PMV-2 Fatalities FY06-FY14
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
$5.00
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
DAY NIGHT WEEKEND GAS $
MSRC
Impact
Synopsis
• Higher gas prices corresponds to increase in PMV-2 work day fatalities
• Workday riding increases exposure and potential for mishaps.
• Prior to the MSRC impact (FY09), fatality distribution was evenly distributed day, night and weekend.
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 9
Experience Factor USN PMV2 Fatal by Experience (FY09 to FY14 to date)
60
11
5 4 5 2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Less than 1 yr 1-2 yrs 2-3 yrs 3-4 yrs 4-5 yrs More than 5 yrs
Fatal
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014
First Year Riders are most at risk !!!!
Commands: Assign a sponsor to your first and
second year riders !!!
Sponsors: Stay with your wingman;
Help them survive !!!
Riders: Learn from your sponsor.
When you think you know it all: YOU ARE IN DANGER !
10
Age Factor USN PMV2 Fatal by Age 5yr Avg (FY8-12)
0
4 4 3 3
1 1 1
16
27
15
9
3
6 5
2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
U21 22-25 26-29 30-33 35- 41-45 46-50 51+
Non-Sport Sport Total
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014
Riders under 26 years of age
are most at risk
11
Sport vs Non-Sport USN PMV-2 Fatalities
21
18
29
10 11
12 14
17
8 6
1
4 4 2
4 6
0 1
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
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7.5 : 1
Sport : Non-sport Fatalities
Synopsis
Sportbike fatalities remain higher than Non-sportbike fatalities.
Sportbikes are more challenging to ride and see.
Higher level training has and will continue to help reduce mishaps.
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014
MSRC
Impact
12
USN PMV-2 Fatalities Training
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14Fatal Tng Shortfall
Synopsis
• Prior to FY09 most riders in a fatal mishap had training shortfalls (lines close)
• As training shortfalls diminish, the overall number of fatalities was diminished
• As expected, with a high training compliance, a larger number of the riders involved in mishaps are trained (larger gap)
• Unfortunately a quarter of the riders killed have training shortfalls.
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 13
Is training cost effective? Does Motorcycle training work?
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 14
Every death and injury
has an impact on readiness
Approximate Cost of one Active Duty USN Fatality
Demographics
• Mean age = 25
• Years Svc = 6
• Married = 75%
• Will spouse remarry = no
• Avg # Children = 2
• Avg Training = C school
• Avg Pay Grade = E5
• Avg Billet Gap = 6 months
Approximate Cost
$100,000 Tax free Death Benefit
$384,400 SGLI $400k - $.065/$1000/6 years
$573,600 Survival Spouse: $1195/mo/40years
$6,000 Child Benefit: $250/mo/2years
$10,064 Per Child Benefit: $296/mo/child/till age 18
$82,350 Child Education: $915/mo/child/for 45 mo
$30,120 Child in College: $251/mo/age 18 to 23
$18,000 Housing or BAH: avg $1500/mo/1 year
$1,740 Tri-Care: $580/year/3years
$2,520 Delta Dental: $70/mo/3years
$40,000 “A” School $10k/”C” school $30k
$2,230 EMS $500/Tow $250/Emergency Rm
$1500
$1,403,024 MINIMUM Financial loss for average rider
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 15
63
32 31
25
35 32
20
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
# Fatal
$10 $9 $7
$5 $4 $4 $2
$88.2
$44.8 $43.4
$35.0
$49.0 $44.8
$26.6
$0.0
$10.0
$20.0
$30.0
$40.0
$50.0
$60.0
$70.0
$80.0
$90.0
$100.0
$ Contract M $Fatal M
Traffic Safety Cost USN PMV-2 and PMV-4 Fatalities (FY08-FY14 to date)
$ M
illio
n
Cost based on $1.4M/fatality
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014
Are training cuts really saving the Navy
money?
(Cost for survivors benefits only)
16
Why do we train motorcycle riders? Aren’t there other options?
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 17
Safety Improvement Methods The 3-E’s
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014
Engineering
• 2011: ABS brakes
• 2012: Traction control
• 2013-14: Automobile radar braking
Engineering usually requires industry changes.
It is expensive and often beyond our ability to control.
Enforcement
• 2010: Required ESAMS and MSR
• 2012: No DoD decal requirement reduced “underground” ridership
• 2012: No DoD decal has forced commands to track rider training
Enforcement is beyond our control in the civilian sector.
On-base enforcement can drive riders underground who do not receive training
Education
• 2004: Better availability with Contract training
• 2008: MSRC reduced sport bike mishaps
• 2010: MSR’s increased the training compliance
• 2011: ERC has introduced much needed risk management
Education is our most effective tool providing lifesaving skills and knowledge
Education is not cheap,
but saves millions of lost dollars for each mishap mitigated or prevented
18
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014
Motorcycle Mentorship
• Encourage motorcycle mentorship groups
–MSR’s can act as initiators
–Example charters on Safety center web page
• Keep it simple
–Group rides
–Training sessions
–Inspect bikes before rides (TCLOCS)
• Leadership involvement will ensure success
• Riders should be encouraged to
Manage their own Risk
Motorcycle Riding is one of the most dangerous activities
most people will ever do in their life
20
ESAMS ESAMS Navy Training Database
• Scheduling
• Census data
• Training Compliance
• Completion Database
• Traffic Safety Training reports
Motorcycle Safety Rep (MSR)
• Manage Ridership and Census Data
• Manage Training and Refreshers
• Generate command Motorcycle Reports
• Command Mentor Coordinator
Region Safety/Contract Leads
• Assist MSR’s with ESAMS training/concerns
• Provide MSR meetings
• Assist with Training schedules
• Assist with Rides, Stand-downs and Events
Enterprise Safety Applications
Management System (ESAMS)
Collateral Duty MSRs Have More Ability To Reduce
Fatalities / Injuries Than Anyone Else In The Navy!
ESAMS
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 21
Who are the riders in my command? What is their training compliance?
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 22
Thank you for your support !
Don Borkoski
Naval Safety Center
Motorcycle Programs
Its up to you to
Drive and Ride safely.
The roads are dangerous
out there!
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 24
Sport Bike Characteristics
Rider
CG
Foot Controls
behind Rider CG
Rider
CG
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 26
NON-Sport Bike Characteristics
Rider
CG
Foot Controls
at or forward o
of Rider CG
Rider
CG
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 27
EDUCATION
ENFORCEMENT ENGINEERING
Engineering:
• Most effective
• Expensive
Education:
• Effective
• Affordable
Enforcement:
• Limited
effectiveness
• Costly
3-E
Safety Improvement
Method
Safety Improvement Methods The 3-E’s
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 29
Service Web Sites
• DoD: dodig.mil
• USN: www.safetycenter.navy.mil
– Facebook, Twitter, E-Blast
• USMC: www.marines.mil/unit/safety/
• USA: https://safety.army.mil
• USAF: www.afsc.af.mil
• USCG: www.uscg.mil/hq/cg1/cg113/
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014 31
Motorcycle Lessons Learned
• Riders with less than one year experience are extremely vulnerable.
• Mentorship for first and second year riders can reduce mishaps.
• More riders are exposed to work-day traffic.
• Some riders continue to operate motorcycles with the same risk awareness they apply while driving a car and it is deadly.
• Timely Safety stand-downs and command rider training can help keep rider risk management in the forefront.
• A high number of riders involved in fatal crashes have not completed the required training.
• Excessive requirements on Motorcyclists drives them off base where they do not attend training and are 30 times more likely to be in a mishap.
• Keep motorcycle Training shortfalls under 80%
• Continue to fight for training support and funds. Mishaps are more expensive than Training!!!
PDC 2014 by Don Borkoski as of 3 March 2014
Training Saves lives We can’t afford not to fund it !!!
32