NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Adults, Registered Voters ...maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/OHPolls... · NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Adults. Interviews conducted March 4th

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Adults,Registered Voters, & Potential Electorates

March 2016

How the Survey was Conducted

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Ohio Poll of 2,458 Adults This survey of 2,458 adults was conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016 by The Marist Poll sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Ohio were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of Ohio from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for the youngest male. This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. Both samples were matched by telephone number to a voter registration list for the state. Voter information was appended to each matched case. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection and L2 for voter registration information. After the interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, region, and race. Results are statistically significant within ±2.0 percentage points. There are 2,052 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±2.2 percentage points. Among registered voters, 694 had a phone match in the voter file and 1,358 did not. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±3.7 percentage points and ±2.7 percentage points, respectively. There are 974 voters in the potential Republican primary electorate. The potential Republican primary electorate in Ohio includes all voters who prefer to vote in the Republican presidential primary and those who identify as Republicans or Republican leaning independents without a primary preference. There are 868 voters in the potential Democratic primary electorate. The potential Democratic primary electorate in Ohio includes all voters who prefer to vote in the Democratic presidential primary and those who identify as Democrats or Democratic leaning independents without a primary preference. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±3.1 percentage points and ±3.3 percentage points, respectively. There are 564 likely Republican primary voters and 453 likely Democratic primary voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the 2016 Ohio Republican/Democratic Presidential Primary based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±4.1 percentage points and ±4.6 percentage points, respectively. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 1

Ohio Adults Ohio Registered Voters

Col % Col %

100%

83% 100%

40% 47%

23% 27%

35% 42%

18% 22%

Democrat n/a 33%

Republican n/a 33%

Independent n/a 34%

Other n/a 1%

Very liberal n/a 5%

Liberal n/a 19%

Moderate n/a 36%

Conservative n/a 29%

Very conservative n/a 10%

n/a 21%

Men 48% 48%

Women 52% 52%

Under 45 45% 41%

45 or older 55% 59%

18 to 29 21% 16%

30 to 44 24% 25%

45 to 59 28% 30%

60 or older 26% 29%

White 82% 84%

African American 11% 11%

Latino 3% 3%

Other 3% 3%

Cleveland Area 16% 16%

North 26% 26%

Ohio Valley & West 22% 22%

Columbus Area 17% 17%

Cincinnati/Dayton Area 19% 19%

Less than $50,000 52% 48%

$50,000 or more 48% 52%

Not college graduate 65% 61%

College graduate 35% 39%

Married 47% 53%

Not married 53% 47%

Yes 38% 39%

No 62% 61%

29% 30%

Practice a Religion 51% 54%

Does not Practice a Religion 49% 46%

Yes 11% 13%

No 89% 87%

Match n/a 34%

No Match n/a 66%

Landline 40% 43%

Cell Phone 60% 57%

Nature of the Sample - Ohio

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Adults. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2458 MOE +/- 2.0 percentage points. Ohio Registered Voters: n=2052 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Ohio Likely Republican Primary Voters

Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate

Ohio Likely Democratic Primary Voters

Religiosity

U.S. Military Veteran

Ohio Voter Registration List

Interview Type

Household Income

Education

Marital Status

Evangelical Christian

White Evangelical Christians

Gender

Age

Age

Race

Region

Party Identification

Political Ideology

Tea Party Supporters

Ohio Adults

Ohio Registered Voters

Ohio Potential Republican Electorate



Ohio Potential Republican Electorate Ohio Likely Republican Primary Voters

Col % Col %

100%

58% 100%

Democrat 3% 3%

Republican 67% 69%

Independent 29% 27%

Other 1% 1%

Yes 77% 85%

No 23% 15%

Very liberal 1% 1%

Liberal 6% 5%

Moderate 32% 29%

Conservative 45% 45%

Very conservative 17% 19%

34% 36%

Men 54% 54%

Women 46% 46%

Under 45 38% 33%

45 or older 62% 67%

18 to 29 13% 10%

30 to 44 25% 23%

45 to 59 33% 35%

60 or older 29% 32%

White 95% 95%


Latino 2% 2%

Other 2% 2%


North 24% 24%




Less than $50,000 38% 37%

$50,000 or more 62% 63%



Married 63% 65%

Not married 37% 35%

Yes 48% 49%

No 52% 51%

44% 45%



Yes 16% 16%

No 84% 84%

Match 35% 38%

No Match 65% 62%

Landline 42% 45%

Cell Phone 58% 55%


NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=974 MOE +/- 3.1 percentage points. Ohio Likely Republican Primary Voters: n=564 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Ohio Likely Republican Primary Voters

Interview Type



Religiosity



Race

Region

Household Income

Education

Marital Status

Gender

Age

Age

Ohio Potential Republican Electorate


Past Participation*

Political Ideology




Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate Ohio Likely Democratic Primary Voters

Col % Col %

100%

52% 100%

Democrat 73% 76%

Republican 1% 1%

Independent 26% 23%

Other 0% 0%

Yes 76% 83%

No 24% 17%

Very liberal 10% 12%

Liberal 33% 35%

Moderate 41% 37%

Conservative 12% 11%

Very conservative 4% 4%

9% 8%

Men 40% 43%

Women 60% 57%

Under 45 42% 47%

45 or older 58% 53%

18 to 29 19% 18%

30 to 44 23% 29%

45 to 59 28% 33%

60 or older 30% 21%

White 75% 76%


Latino 3% 2%

Other 3% 3%


North 29% 29%




Less than $50,000 56% 52%

$50,000 or more 44% 48%



Married 45% 47%

Not married 55% 53%

Yes 31% 30%

No 69% 70%

18% 16%



Yes 9% 9%

No 91% 91%

Match 34% 32%

No Match 66% 68%

Landline 44% 40%

Cell Phone 56% 60%


NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=868 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Ohio Likely Democratic Primary Voters: n=453 MOE +/- 4.6 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Ohio Likely Democratic Primary Voters


Religiosity



Interview Type

Region

Household Income

Education

Marital Status


Gender

Age

Age

Race


Past Participation*

Political Ideology





Approve Disapprove Unsure

Adults Ohio Adults

Registered Voters Ohio Registered Voters

Potential Republican Electorate Ohio Potential Republican Electorate

Potential Democratic Electorate Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate


Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology

Very liberal-Liberal

Moderate

Conservative-Very conservative

Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters

Region

Cleveland Area

North

Ohio Valley & West

Columbus Area

Cincinnati/Dayton Area

Household IncomeLess than $50,000

$50,000 or more

EducationNot college graduate

College graduate

Race

White

African American

Latino

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women

Marital StatusMarried

Not married

ReligiosityPractice a Religion

Does not Practice a Religion

U.S. Military VeteranYes

No

Interview TypeLandline

Cell Phone 7%

8%

7%

9%

7%

7%

8%

6%

8%

6%

6%

8%

6%

6%

7%

10%

10%

4%

7%

5%

8%

5%

7%

6%

7%

8%

8%

6%

2%

5%

7%

5%

8%

4%

5%

5%

4%

6%

7%

47%

50%

47%

57%

42%

54%

40%

57%

43%

53%

54%

41%

51%

56%

48%

34%

30%

5%

55%

49%

47%

54%

42%

48%

45%

60%

45%

38%

79%

78%

41%

16%

49%

85%

14%

15%

82%

49%

48%

47%

42%

46%

34%

51%

39%

52%

37%

49%

41%

40%

51%

43%

38%

46%

56%

60%

91%

38%

46%

45%

41%

51%

45%

48%

32%

47%

56%

19%

18%

52%

79%

43%

11%

80%

80%

13%

45%

45%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Adults. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2458 MOE +/- 2.0 percentage points. Ohio Registered Voters: n=2052 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points.Potential Republican Electorate: n=974 MOE +/- 3.1 percentage points. Potential Democratic Electorate: n=868 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



John Kasich Donald Trump Ted Cruz Marco Rubio Other Undecided

Potential RepublicanElectorate

Ohio Potential RepublicanElectorate

Intensity of Support

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Might vote differently

Party IdentificationRepublican

Independent

Political IdeologyModerate

Conservative-Veryconservative

Political Ideology

Moderate

Conservative

Very conservative


Region

Cleveland Area

North

Ohio Valley & West

Columbus Area



$50,000 or more


College graduate

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married

White Evangelical ChristiansWhite EvangelicalChristians



U.S. Military VeteranNo

Yes


Cell Phone

4%0%7%18%33%37%

2%

1%

16%

11%

4%

18%

18%

19%

25%

35%

36%

39%

36%

41%

5%

4%

0%

0%

5%

8%

17%

19%

39%

31%

35%

39%

4%

4%

0%7%

7%

22%

13%

33%

29%

34%

48%

5%

3%

4%

0%

4%

8%

7%

39%

16%

13%

29%

34%

29%

23%

38%

48%

2%0%7%28%38%24%

6%

3%

4%

2%

9%

0%

0%

7%

6%

6%

7%

8%

20%

18%

19%

19%

12%

33%

22%

39%

36%

35%

34%

50%

32%

37%

36%

3%

5%

0%

0%

9%

4%

20%

16%

30%

42%

38%

33%

4%

4%0%

8%

6%

18%

18%

25%

39%

45%

32%

4%

4%

5%

5%

0%5%

8%

7%

9%

13%

18%

20%

26%

30%

36%

33%

35%

47%

35%

36%

26%

4%

5%

0%7%

7%

16%

22%

33%

34%

41%

32%

5%

3%0%

8%

6%

17%

19%

29%

37%

40%

35%

4%

3%

0%

0%

6%

7%

14%

20%

41%

29%

33%

40%

4%0%9%23%32%32%

5%

3%0%

5%

8%

14%

21%

46%

26%

31%

42%

5%

4%0%

4%

7%

17%

18%

44%

31%

30%

39%

4%

5%

0%

0%

7%

6%

21%

14%

35%

32%

33%

43%

2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=974 MOE +/- 3.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to round-ing.



Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure


Ohio Potential Republican Electorate witha Candidate Preference

Primary Support

John Kasich

Donald Trump

Ted Cruz


Republican

Independent

Political Ideology

Moderate


Political Ideology

Moderate

Conservative

Very conservative


Region

Cleveland Area

North

Ohio Valley & West

Columbus Area


Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education

Not college graduate

College graduate

Race

White

Non-white

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

White Evangelical ChristiansWhite Evangelical Christians

Religiosity

Practice a Religion



Yes

No

Interview Type

Cell Phone

Landline

1%9%29%60%

2%

1%

1%

9%

7%

9%

28%

29%

26%

62%

63%

63%

1%

2%

10%

9%

38%

25%

52%

65%

1%

2%

8%

11%

25%

34%

65%

53%

2%

1%

2%

6%

9%

11%

16%

29%

34%

76%

61%

53%

8%21%71%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

8%

8%

8%

12%

9%

34%

22%

28%

28%

37%

57%

69%

63%

58%

52%

1%

2%

10%

10%

29%

29%

61%

59%

1%

2%

8%

10%

29%

29%

62%

60%

3%

1%

12%

9%

39%

28%

46%

61%

2%

3%

6%

9%

11%

14%

24%

28%

28%

44%

68%

61%

61%

42%

2%7%

12%

26%

33%

64%

55%

2%

1%

11%

8%

29%

29%

59%

62%

2%

1%

10%

9%

35%

26%

54%

65%

2%11%24%63%

1%

1%

11%

8%

31%

28%

57%

62%

2%9%

9%

29%

26%

60%

65%

2%

1%

7%

11%

23%

33%

68%

55%

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote dif-ferently on Primary Day?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate Preference including absentee. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=883MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



John Kasich Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Donald Trump Other Undecided


Ohio Potential Republican Electoratewith a Candidate Preference

Primary Support

John Kasich

Donald Trump

Ted Cruz


Republican

Independent

Political Ideology

Moderate


Political Ideology

Moderate

Conservative

Very conservative


Region

Cleveland Area

North

Ohio Valley & West

Columbus Area


Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

White Evangelical ChristiansWhite Evangelical Christians

Religiosity

Practice a Religion



Yes

No

Interview Type

Cell Phone

Landline

11%2%12%23%26%26%

7%

11%

14%

1%

3%

2%

21%

19%

31%

24%

34%

9%

40%

37%

46%

14%

9%

3%

2%

11%

12%

20%

26%

27%

25%

24%

26%

9%

11%

2%

2%

13%

12%

26%

18%

23%

35%

27%

23%

8%

9%

11%

4%

2%

2%

14%

13%

12%

20%

29%

18%

23%

22%

35%

31%

26%

23%

5%2%15%27%22%29%

10%

14%

8%

13%

6%

3%

3%

1%

2%

2%

11%

12%

12%

15%

12%

19%

22%

30%

21%

24%

33%

27%

24%

22%

20%

23%

22%

25%

27%

36%

9%

10%

2%

2%

13%

11%

23%

24%

27%

21%

25%

32%

9%

12%

2%

2%

11%

13%

24%

23%

33%

20%

21%

29%

12%

12%

9%

7%

1%

3%

2%

2%

14%

14%

7%

15%

23%

21%

29%

19%

20%

22%

33%

34%

30%

28%

20%

24%

12%

8%

2%

2%

14%

10%

22%

26%

21%

33%

29%

21%

12%

10%

1%

3%

11%

13%

26%

21%

26%

26%

24%

28%

10%

11%

2%

2%

13%

12%

23%

24%

25%

26%

26%

25%

9%3%13%24%24%26%

12%

10%

1%

3%

13%

12%

22%

24%

22%

28%

30%

23%

10%

11%

3%12%

12%

23%

27%

27%

21%

25%

29%

16%

7%

1%

3%

12%

12%

21%

25%

24%

27%

25%

26%

Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candi-date]?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate Preference. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=837 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to100% due to rounding.



Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Other Undecided

Potential DemocraticElectorate


Intensity of Support

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Might vote differently


Democrat

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate


Region

Cleveland Area

North

Ohio Valley & West

Columbus Area


Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Race

White

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

Religiosity

Practice a Religion


Interview Type

Landline

Cell Phone

6%0%36%57%

50%

37%

37%

50%

63%

63%

5%

6%0%

53%

30%

41%

63%

11%

5%

4%1%

28%

34%

42%

61%

62%

53%

6%

7%

5%

7%

5%

1%

1%

38%

32%

40%

41%

30%

56%

60%

54%

52%

66%

4%

6%

0%

0%

42%

33%

54%

60%

6%

6%

1%41%

34%

53%

60%

8%

6%0%

26%

40%

66%

54%

9%

6%

3%

6%

0%

1%

21%

27%

48%

59%

70%

66%

49%

34%

8%

4%

0%

0%

24%

53%

68%

42%

6%

6%1%

32%

42%

61%

51%

7%

5%

0%

0%

39%

32%

54%

63%

4%

7%

0%

0%

43%

28%

53%

65%

4%

9%

1%43%

28%

52%

64%

2016 Ohio Democratic presidential primary including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted ab-sentee

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=868 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100%due to rounding.



Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure

Potential DemocraticElectorate

Ohio Potential Democratic Electoratewith a Candidate Preference

Primary Support

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders


Democrat

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate


Region

Cleveland Area

North

Ohio Valley & West

Columbus Area


Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Race

White

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

Religiosity

Practice a Religion


Interview Type

Landline

Cell Phone

1%11%29%58%

2%

1%

15%

9%

28%

30%

56%

60%

1%

1%

23%

8%

37%

26%

40%

65%

4%

1%

0%

11%

17%

6%

21%

35%

27%

64%

47%

67%

1%

1%

1%

2%

9%

5%

12%

15%

12%

29%

30%

41%

26%

25%

61%

65%

46%

58%

60%

1%

1%

10%

14%

31%

27%

58%

58%

0%

2%

11%

12%

26%

31%

63%

56%

1%

1%

9%

12%

28%

30%

62%

57%

2%

1%

1%

7%

10%

17%

13%

24%

26%

34%

37%

66%

63%

49%

50%

2%

1%

9%

15%

25%

35%

65%

49%

2%

1%

12%

10%

28%

31%

58%

58%

1%

1%

12%

11%

28%

31%

59%

57%

1%

1%

11%

11%

33%

25%

55%

63%

1%

2%

13%

10%

32%

25%

54%

64%

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Primary Day?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate with a Candidate Preference including absentee. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=761 MOE +/- 3.6 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Hillary Clinton, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Undecided



Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Cleveland Area

North

Ohio Valley & West

Columbus Area



$50,000 or more


College graduate

RaceWhite

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




No


Cell Phone 10%

11%

10%

9%

8%

11%

10%

10%

11%

9%

9%

12%

10%

9%

14%

8%

2%

11%

11%

10%

9%

9%

8%

12%

11%

11%

10%

9%

13%

10%

5%

13%

13%

4%

10%

42%

42%

40%

56%

38%

45%

36%

48%

34%

51%

46%

37%

44%

48%

38%

36%

7%

47%

41%

43%

48%

36%

45%

39%

53%

39%

32%

71%

69%

32%

14%

42%

77%

9%

42%

48%

47%

50%

35%

53%

43%

54%

42%

55%

40%

45%

51%

46%

44%

48%

56%

91%

41%

49%

47%

43%

54%

47%

50%

37%

50%

58%

20%

18%

58%

81%

46%

10%

86%

48%

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Registered Voters. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2052 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Hillary Clinton, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Undecided



Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Cleveland Area

North

Ohio Valley & West

Columbus Area



$50,000 or more


College graduate

RaceWhite

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




No


Cell Phone 7%

11%

8%

13%

9%

7%

9%

7%

8%

9%

8%

8%

9%

8%

9%

7%

4%

9%

8%

8%

6%

9%

7%

8%

9%

10%

7%

3%

7%

8%

5%

13%

6%

5%

8%

50%

43%

46%

55%

40%

54%

39%

55%

41%

54%

47%

48%

45%

49%

49%

46%

4%

53%

49%

46%

54%

39%

50%

47%

59%

43%

35%

79%

75%

40%

16%

47%

88%

8%

47%

43%

46%

46%

32%

52%

39%

52%

38%

51%

37%

45%

44%

46%

43%

42%

47%

92%

38%

43%

46%

39%

51%

43%

45%

32%

47%

58%

19%

18%

52%

79%

41%

6%

87%

45%





Hillary Clinton, the Democrat John Kasich, the Republican Undecided



Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Cleveland Area

North

Ohio Valley & West

Columbus Area



$50,000 or more


College graduate

RaceWhite

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




No


Cell Phone 6%

8%

7%

8%

6%

7%

7%

6%

7%

6%

7%

6%

6%

8%

7%

4%

7%

6%

7%

6%

5%

7%

6%

5%

9%

8%

5%

3%

6%

6%

5%

10%

3%

5%

7%

58%

55%

56%

63%

52%

62%

51%

63%

51%

63%

57%

57%

57%

58%

56%

58%

11%

63%

59%

56%

63%

51%

59%

60%

65%

53%

46%

82%

79%

55%

26%

60%

92%

19%

57%

36%

37%

37%

29%

43%

32%

43%

31%

42%

30%

36%

37%

37%

35%

37%

37%

82%

30%

34%

38%

32%

43%

35%

34%

26%

40%

48%

15%

15%

39%

69%

30%

4%

76%

36%





Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Undecided



Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Cleveland Area

North

Ohio Valley & West

Columbus Area



$50,000 or more


College graduate

RaceWhite

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




No


Cell Phone 6%

12%

9%

8%

6%

10%

7%

9%

10%

7%

10%

6%

11%

9%

7%

5%

2%

9%

9%

8%

8%

8%

9%

8%

10%

9%

6%

5%

10%

8%

4%

10%

10%

5%

9%

42%

40%

40%

54%

38%

45%

34%

49%

33%

50%

46%

35%

44%

47%

38%

31%

7%

46%

41%

42%

47%

35%

43%

38%

53%

39%

31%

73%

68%

32%

14%

37%

77%

10%

41%

52%

48%

52%

38%

56%

45%

59%

42%

57%

43%

44%

58%

45%

43%

55%

64%

91%

44%

51%

50%

45%

57%

49%

54%

37%

52%

62%

22%

22%

60%

82%

52%

13%

85%

50%





Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Undecided



Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Cleveland Area

North

Ohio Valley & West

Columbus Area



$50,000 or more


College graduate

RaceWhite

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




No


Cell Phone 9%

14%

11%

14%

10%

11%

11%

11%

13%

9%

13%

9%

13%

12%

11%

6%

8%

11%

11%

11%

8%

12%

10%

12%

11%

12%

12%

5%

9%

12%

8%

15%

7%

9%

11%

45%

43%

43%

52%

37%

51%

36%

52%

39%

50%

46%

42%

45%

48%

45%

37%

13%

49%

45%

44%

50%

39%

46%

44%

53%

39%

38%

78%

71%

36%

16%

40%

83%

11%

44%

46%

43%

46%

33%

53%

38%

53%

37%

48%

41%

41%

49%

42%

40%

44%

57%

79%

40%

44%

45%

42%

50%

44%

45%

36%

48%

50%

17%

21%

51%

76%

46%

10%

80%

45%





Documents

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Adults, Registered Voters ...maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/OHPolls... · NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Adults. Interviews conducted March 4th