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  • 8/11/2019 NEC Background

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development

    The Role of Technology Change in NECs Growth

    J. Travis Brooks

    New York UniversityFebruary 19, 2003

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development3

    Background on NEC Corporation

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development5

    Major Products and Services (1)

    NEC Solutions

    Systems Integration (SI)Services

    Systems integration/Consulting

    Software Operatingsystems/Middleware/Application software

    Internet Services and

    Support Services

    Internet services (BIGLOBE)/Maintenance

    of computers and related equipment

    Outsourcing services/Education services

    Servers/Storage/Workstation

    Mainframes/PC & UNIXservers/Supercomputers/Storage systems

    Workstations/Industry specificworkstations (ATM, POS, Multimediaterminals )/ Key telephone systems

    Personal products Personal computers/Printers/Facsimiles

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development6

    Major Products and Services (2)

    NEC Networks

    NetworkInfrastructure

    Optical Systems Backbone systems (DWDM for Terrestrial,Submarine), SDH/SONET)/ Metro, Access (DSL,Cable modems, FTTH, Ethernet)/ CATVsystems/Installation and maintenance

    IP Network

    Systems

    IP networking (switches, routers, network

    servers)/Mobile communications core networksystems/Digital central office switches/DigitalPBXs/Installation and maintenance

    Mobile andWireless Systems

    Base stations/Terrestrial microwave/Satellitesystems/Fixed wireless access systems/Installation and maintenance

    MobileTerminals Cellular phones

    Other Systems DigitalBroadcast/Studio/management/systems/

    Aerospace/Defense electronics/Microwavetubes/Installation and maintenance

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development7

    Major Products and Services (3)

    NEC Electronics

    Corporation

    Semiconductors MPUs/Memory ICs (Elpida

    joint venture)/Semi-customICs/Application Specific ICs/GeneralPurpose Linear ICs/Transistors/Diodes/Thyristors/ Opticalsemiconductors/Microwavesemiconductors

    Others TFT color LCD modules/Color PDPmodules/Plasma display monitors

    Lithium-ion rechargeablebatteries/Capacitors/Relays/Printed wiringboards

    ABS (Antilock Break System) Unit/EPS(Electric Power Steering) Unit

    Manufacturing equipment forsemiconductors/LCD projectors

    Construction services of information andnetwork systems

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development8

    Net Sales

    Net Sales

    0

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    5,000,000

    6,000,000(Million yen)

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    (%)

    Net Sales Annual Growth

    Net Sales 4,397,192 4,948,437 4,901,122 4,759,412 4,991,447 5,409,736 5,101,022

    Annual Growth 16.7% 12.5% -1.0% -2.9% 4.9% 8.4% -5.7%

    FY1996/

    3

    FY1997/

    3

    FY1998/

    3

    FY1999/

    3

    FY2000/

    3

    FY2001/

    3

    FY2002/

    3

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development9

    Current Sales Forecast

    ( ): Y-over-Y Growth

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development10

    EBIT

    Income (Loss) Before Income Taxes

    -500,000

    -400,000

    -300,000

    -200,000

    -100,0000

    100,000

    200,000(Million yen)

    -10%

    -8%

    -6%

    -4%

    -2%0%

    2%

    4%(%)

    Income (Loss) Before Income Taxes Ratio to Net Sales

    Income (Loss) Before Income

    Taxes

    151,31

    8

    121,22

    2

    90,993 (224,72

    6)

    30,183 92,323 (461,18

    3)

    Ratio to Net Sales 3.4% 2.4% 1.9% -4.7% 0.6% 1.7% -9.0%

    FY1996/3

    FY1997/3

    FY1998/3

    FY1999/3

    FY2000/3

    FY2001/3

    FY2002/3

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development11

    Sales/Net Income in Dollar Terms

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development12

    Current P/L Forecast

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development13

    Overseas Sales

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development14

    NEC in the USA

    NEC Corporation

    Tokyo, Japan

    NEC USANew York, NY

    Holding Company

    NEC Solutions AmericaSacramento, CA

    Systems Integration

    Software

    NEC America*Irving, TX

    Telecommunications

    NEC Capital

    New York, NY

    Finance

    NEC

    Laboratories America

    Princeton, NJ

    (Nov. 1, 2002)

    DCM Solutions

    Irving, TX

    Systems Integration

    Newton, MA

    HSNX

    Supercomputers

    NEC Foundation

    * Includes 4 subsidiaries:

    NEC Business Network Solutions

    NEC Eluminant Technologies

    NMI

    North Coast Logic

    NEC

    FiberOptechNEC Financial

    Services, Inc.

    Teaneck, NJ

    Finance & Leasing

    NEC Electronics

    Santa Clara, CA

    Semiconductors

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development15

    Historical IT Perspective: TechnologyInnovation

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development16

    Development History

    First Japanese joint venture withforeign capital, Western Electric 1924: Radio ops established

    1932: Ally with Sumitomozaibatsu1939: R&D lab established

    1950: R&D of transistors initiatedafter Bell Labs 1947 introduction 1954: R&D of computers begins

    1958: Jack Kilby of TI, SolidCircuit; Robert Noyce in 1961

    1956: R&D of electronicswitching systems (ESSs)

    1966: Satcom earth stationsto India

    1965: NEAC-Series 2200mainframes; 1974 ACOS

    1975: Central Research Labestablished; 1978 DallasPlant

    1963: NEC America opens

    1983: SX-1/2 supercomputers

    1988: NEC ResearchInstitute1990: 4Mbit DRAM, 1996

    256Mbit SDRAM

    1998: SX-5 fastest;20-millionth PCsold in Japan

    2000: In-house companystructure adopted

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development17

    Explaining Moores Law

    1947 Innovation of transistor,birth of the semiconductor

    (Circuits per chip) =2(year-1975)/1.5

    Has held true forDRAMs andmicroprocessors

    SemiconductorIndustry

    1950s-present

    User communities, distinct(software developers) andindirect (consumers)

    Expectations

    feedback loop

    Physics and chemistryMarket forces

    e.g., Wintel

    1959 Invention of the Planarintegrated circuit andmanufacturing process

    Semiconductor circuit densities

    double at regular, exponentialrates:

    1965: Moores Plot (annual)

    1975: Moores Law (18months)

    NEC patents from:

    Communications =ISE (1950);ITT (1951); Western Electric(1951)

    TV:RCA, EMI, Philips (1953-1957)

    ICs: GE (1958); RCA (1958);Fairchild (1961)

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development18

    Products/Technology/CustomerMatrix: Communications

    GROUP I GROUP II GROUPSIII-IVOSILayer Key

    Technology IXCs RBOCs,ILECsCLECs

    Enterprise

    Layer3 IP

    Layer2 ATM

    Layer1 SONET

    OpticalSub-layer

    DWDM

    ATMSwitch(IP/ATMMPLS)

    IntegratedAD(IP /ATM/F -R/xDSL/PBX)

    Multi-serviceAD

    (IP /ATM/F -R/xDSL)

    Gigabit/TerabitSwitch/Router

    SONETTDMDXC

    Optical Switch(OXC,OADM)

    NG(Optical)-DLC(FTTx,xDSL)

    Long-haul DWDM

    IP/ATM-PBX

    VoIPGateway(IP/PSTN)

    MetroDWDM

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development19

    CPE

    CPE

    CPE

    CPE

    Service

    Node

    (Router)

    IP

    Backbone

    Access Network

    Circuit Multiplexing Portion

    Packet/Cell Multiplexing

    Cable

    Modem

    ATU-R

    (ADSL)

    Modem/

    ISDN

    DSLAM

    AuthenticationSupply IP address

    Accounting

    Routing

    Packet/Cell Multiplexing is also included in Access Network

    Definition of Edge Node

    Service

    Node

    (Class5

    SW)

    CPE

    CPE

    CPE

    CPE

    Circuit Multiplexing

    PSTN

    Backbone

    HE

    Example

    PON OLT

    Conventional

    IP Access

    Circuit Multiplexing

    Circuit Multiplexing

    Packet/Cell Multiplexing

    Portion

    Source: Photonic IP, 4.2 High-speed IP Access

    Packet/Cell MUXing in Broadband (IP)Access Network

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development20

    Optical Advances

    OC -1 51.84 MbpsOC-3 155.52 Mbps

    OC-12 622.08 Mbps

    OC-24 1.244 Mbps

    OC-48 2.488 Mbps

    OC-192 10 Gbps

    OC-256 13.271 Gbps

    Home

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development21

    WDM

    Photonic

    Router T-bit

    Router

    OXC

    PHYPHY

    PHY

    PHY

    PHY

    PHY

    Layer2

    Layer3

    Layer4

    PHY

    Layer2

    Layer3

    L2

    L3

    L2

    L3

    L2

    L3

    L4

    T-bit

    Router

    T-bit

    Router

    Super

    Router

    Photonic

    Router

    Super

    Router

    OADM

    WDMPhotonic

    Router

    T-bit

    Router

    T-bit

    Router

    T-bit

    Router

    OADM

    H323

    GW

    PBX

    MLSW

    MLSW MLSW

    Super

    Router

    The

    Internet

    PHY

    Layer2

    Layer3

    Layer4

    APL

    PHY

    Layer2

    Layer3

    VPN

    Service

    Video

    Service

    Authentication

    Service

    WWW

    Service

    IXP

    Providing Consuming

    BackboneEdge

    Node

    Access

    Edge

    Node Access

    PHY

    L2

    L3

    L4

    APL

    Information

    Consumer

    Service

    Provider

    OADMOADM

    OADM

    OADM

    OADM

    OADM

    OADM

    OADMOADM

    OADM

    OADM

    Corporate

    Home

    Video over IP

    Voice over IP

    WWW

    QoS Service

    Best Effort

    Service QoS Service

    Best Effort

    Service

    Photonic

    Router

    Photonic

    RouterPhotonic

    Router

    OXC

    MMNode

    NEC Js Network Architecture

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development22

    3rd Layer

    2nd Layer

    1st Layer

    Photonic Layer

    IP Router

    ATMNE

    Fast Frame

    Relay SW

    SDH/SONET LTE

    Photonic NE : WDM, OADM, OXC

    SDH frame

    Photonic

    Router

    IP Router

    ATMNE

    FutureNow

    Vision of the Evolution of the PhysicalLayer

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development23

    NEC and Emerging Wireless Value Chain

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development24

    Metcalfs Law

    Robert Metcalf's law states that the "value" or "power" of a

    network increases in proportion to the square of thenumber of nodes on the network. In other words, if you have four nodes, or computers, on a

    network, say, an office intranet, its "value" would be four squared(4^2), or 16.

    If you added on addition node, or PC, then the value wouldincrease to 25 (5^2).

    Holds for LANs and WANs (metro, the Internet)

    One consequence of the network effect is that once aproduct is established in the market, demand for similarbut incompatible products collapses.

    Advantage of earlier drivers who come to dominate: Microsoft;Dell; Intel; Amazon; eBay.

    A feedback phenomenon that says whenever it is in people's bestinterests to be where everyone else is, then that's where they'll be.

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development25

    Evolution of the Internet

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development26

    C&C Perspective-1977

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development27

    The Era of Consolidation: Back to Basics

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development28

    Worldwide Semiconductor Demand

    HISTORICAL SEMICONDUCTOR SALES AND Y/Y GROWTH (3-month Average)

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development29

    U.S. Computer Hardware (1)

    NOMINAL PDE INVESTMENT-COMPUTERS & PERIPHERALS (Y/Y)

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development30

    U.S. Computer Hardware (2)

    IMPLICIT PDE DEFLATOR COMPUTER (Y/Y)

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development31

    Networking Equipment

    NOMINAL COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT INVESTMENT (Y/Y)

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development32

    Networking Equipment Driver

    ENTERPRISE EQUIPMENT SALES vs. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

    1Q98-3Q02

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development33

    Networking Equipment Pricing

    PPI COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT (Y/Y)

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development34

    Telecommunications Equipment

    NEW ORDERS TELECOMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT (Y/Y)

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development35

    RBOC Capex and Capex to Sales

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development36

    Factors Leading to the Tech Bubble

    The Telecom Act of 1996

    The Buildout of the Internet

    The Buildout of Digital Wireless Networks

    Rebuilding of U.S. Cable Networks

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development37

    IT Consulting and Services

    EMPLOYMENT Y/Y COMPUTER & DATA PROCESSING SERVICES

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development38

    Best Technology vs. Basic Business

    From 1993-2000, high R&D-to-sales ratios played best for

    companies with the fastest and latest equipment andstrong revenue growth.

    Now, operational factors more competitive:

    Good cash management

    Strong customer relationships

    Control over both the supply and distribution sides of theirbusinesses

    Evolutionary, not revolutionary technology

    Consolidation seemingly inevitable Slower but more sustainable rate of technological development,

    more rational use of capital

    Fewer players means more benign pricing pressures, allowing forimproved gross margins and profitability

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development39

    Strategic Challenges to NEC

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    Corporate Strategy and Business Development40

    Issues Areas Being Addressed by NEC

    Creating a globally competitive corporate culture with new

    management skill sets Ensuring strategy formulation and execution; marketing; financial

    Should NEC remain in semiconductor, computers, andcommunications businesses

    How best to survive and grow in consolidating IT sectors,particularly by integrating IT and network businesses

    Aligning capital and costs structures to current and likelyfuture market conditions; cash management

    Identify/define core competencies needed in todays high-tech markets

    Institutionalizing strong corporate governance

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    Upcoming Visit to NEC

    March 18 (Mon)

    at NEC Head Office

    9:00-9:05 Opening Remark (Dr. H. Kaneko)

    9:05-10:15 Presentation (S. Suzuki SVP)

    10:15-10:30 Q&A

    at NEC Saitama

    14:00-14:30 Outline of NEC Saitama

    14:30-15:30 Plant Tour, Q&A