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8/11/2019 NEC Background
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development
The Role of Technology Change in NECs Growth
J. Travis Brooks
New York UniversityFebruary 19, 2003
8/11/2019 NEC Background
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8/11/2019 NEC Background
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development3
Background on NEC Corporation
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development5
Major Products and Services (1)
NEC Solutions
Systems Integration (SI)Services
Systems integration/Consulting
Software Operatingsystems/Middleware/Application software
Internet Services and
Support Services
Internet services (BIGLOBE)/Maintenance
of computers and related equipment
Outsourcing services/Education services
Servers/Storage/Workstation
Mainframes/PC & UNIXservers/Supercomputers/Storage systems
Workstations/Industry specificworkstations (ATM, POS, Multimediaterminals )/ Key telephone systems
Personal products Personal computers/Printers/Facsimiles
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development6
Major Products and Services (2)
NEC Networks
NetworkInfrastructure
Optical Systems Backbone systems (DWDM for Terrestrial,Submarine), SDH/SONET)/ Metro, Access (DSL,Cable modems, FTTH, Ethernet)/ CATVsystems/Installation and maintenance
IP Network
Systems
IP networking (switches, routers, network
servers)/Mobile communications core networksystems/Digital central office switches/DigitalPBXs/Installation and maintenance
Mobile andWireless Systems
Base stations/Terrestrial microwave/Satellitesystems/Fixed wireless access systems/Installation and maintenance
MobileTerminals Cellular phones
Other Systems DigitalBroadcast/Studio/management/systems/
Aerospace/Defense electronics/Microwavetubes/Installation and maintenance
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development7
Major Products and Services (3)
NEC Electronics
Corporation
Semiconductors MPUs/Memory ICs (Elpida
joint venture)/Semi-customICs/Application Specific ICs/GeneralPurpose Linear ICs/Transistors/Diodes/Thyristors/ Opticalsemiconductors/Microwavesemiconductors
Others TFT color LCD modules/Color PDPmodules/Plasma display monitors
Lithium-ion rechargeablebatteries/Capacitors/Relays/Printed wiringboards
ABS (Antilock Break System) Unit/EPS(Electric Power Steering) Unit
Manufacturing equipment forsemiconductors/LCD projectors
Construction services of information andnetwork systems
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development8
Net Sales
Net Sales
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000(Million yen)
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
(%)
Net Sales Annual Growth
Net Sales 4,397,192 4,948,437 4,901,122 4,759,412 4,991,447 5,409,736 5,101,022
Annual Growth 16.7% 12.5% -1.0% -2.9% 4.9% 8.4% -5.7%
FY1996/
3
FY1997/
3
FY1998/
3
FY1999/
3
FY2000/
3
FY2001/
3
FY2002/
3
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development9
Current Sales Forecast
( ): Y-over-Y Growth
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development10
EBIT
Income (Loss) Before Income Taxes
-500,000
-400,000
-300,000
-200,000
-100,0000
100,000
200,000(Million yen)
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%0%
2%
4%(%)
Income (Loss) Before Income Taxes Ratio to Net Sales
Income (Loss) Before Income
Taxes
151,31
8
121,22
2
90,993 (224,72
6)
30,183 92,323 (461,18
3)
Ratio to Net Sales 3.4% 2.4% 1.9% -4.7% 0.6% 1.7% -9.0%
FY1996/3
FY1997/3
FY1998/3
FY1999/3
FY2000/3
FY2001/3
FY2002/3
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development11
Sales/Net Income in Dollar Terms
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development12
Current P/L Forecast
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development13
Overseas Sales
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development14
NEC in the USA
NEC Corporation
Tokyo, Japan
NEC USANew York, NY
Holding Company
NEC Solutions AmericaSacramento, CA
Systems Integration
Software
NEC America*Irving, TX
Telecommunications
NEC Capital
New York, NY
Finance
NEC
Laboratories America
Princeton, NJ
(Nov. 1, 2002)
DCM Solutions
Irving, TX
Systems Integration
Newton, MA
HSNX
Supercomputers
NEC Foundation
* Includes 4 subsidiaries:
NEC Business Network Solutions
NEC Eluminant Technologies
NMI
North Coast Logic
NEC
FiberOptechNEC Financial
Services, Inc.
Teaneck, NJ
Finance & Leasing
NEC Electronics
Santa Clara, CA
Semiconductors
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development15
Historical IT Perspective: TechnologyInnovation
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development16
Development History
First Japanese joint venture withforeign capital, Western Electric 1924: Radio ops established
1932: Ally with Sumitomozaibatsu1939: R&D lab established
1950: R&D of transistors initiatedafter Bell Labs 1947 introduction 1954: R&D of computers begins
1958: Jack Kilby of TI, SolidCircuit; Robert Noyce in 1961
1956: R&D of electronicswitching systems (ESSs)
1966: Satcom earth stationsto India
1965: NEAC-Series 2200mainframes; 1974 ACOS
1975: Central Research Labestablished; 1978 DallasPlant
1963: NEC America opens
1983: SX-1/2 supercomputers
1988: NEC ResearchInstitute1990: 4Mbit DRAM, 1996
256Mbit SDRAM
1998: SX-5 fastest;20-millionth PCsold in Japan
2000: In-house companystructure adopted
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development17
Explaining Moores Law
1947 Innovation of transistor,birth of the semiconductor
(Circuits per chip) =2(year-1975)/1.5
Has held true forDRAMs andmicroprocessors
SemiconductorIndustry
1950s-present
User communities, distinct(software developers) andindirect (consumers)
Expectations
feedback loop
Physics and chemistryMarket forces
e.g., Wintel
1959 Invention of the Planarintegrated circuit andmanufacturing process
Semiconductor circuit densities
double at regular, exponentialrates:
1965: Moores Plot (annual)
1975: Moores Law (18months)
NEC patents from:
Communications =ISE (1950);ITT (1951); Western Electric(1951)
TV:RCA, EMI, Philips (1953-1957)
ICs: GE (1958); RCA (1958);Fairchild (1961)
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development18
Products/Technology/CustomerMatrix: Communications
GROUP I GROUP II GROUPSIII-IVOSILayer Key
Technology IXCs RBOCs,ILECsCLECs
Enterprise
Layer3 IP
Layer2 ATM
Layer1 SONET
OpticalSub-layer
DWDM
ATMSwitch(IP/ATMMPLS)
IntegratedAD(IP /ATM/F -R/xDSL/PBX)
Multi-serviceAD
(IP /ATM/F -R/xDSL)
Gigabit/TerabitSwitch/Router
SONETTDMDXC
Optical Switch(OXC,OADM)
NG(Optical)-DLC(FTTx,xDSL)
Long-haul DWDM
IP/ATM-PBX
VoIPGateway(IP/PSTN)
MetroDWDM
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development19
CPE
CPE
CPE
CPE
Service
Node
(Router)
IP
Backbone
Access Network
Circuit Multiplexing Portion
Packet/Cell Multiplexing
Cable
Modem
ATU-R
(ADSL)
Modem/
ISDN
DSLAM
AuthenticationSupply IP address
Accounting
Routing
Packet/Cell Multiplexing is also included in Access Network
Definition of Edge Node
Service
Node
(Class5
SW)
CPE
CPE
CPE
CPE
Circuit Multiplexing
PSTN
Backbone
HE
Example
PON OLT
Conventional
IP Access
Circuit Multiplexing
Circuit Multiplexing
Packet/Cell Multiplexing
Portion
Source: Photonic IP, 4.2 High-speed IP Access
Packet/Cell MUXing in Broadband (IP)Access Network
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development20
Optical Advances
OC -1 51.84 MbpsOC-3 155.52 Mbps
OC-12 622.08 Mbps
OC-24 1.244 Mbps
OC-48 2.488 Mbps
OC-192 10 Gbps
OC-256 13.271 Gbps
Home
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development21
WDM
Photonic
Router T-bit
Router
OXC
PHYPHY
PHY
PHY
PHY
PHY
Layer2
Layer3
Layer4
PHY
Layer2
Layer3
L2
L3
L2
L3
L2
L3
L4
T-bit
Router
T-bit
Router
Super
Router
Photonic
Router
Super
Router
OADM
WDMPhotonic
Router
T-bit
Router
T-bit
Router
T-bit
Router
OADM
H323
GW
PBX
MLSW
MLSW MLSW
Super
Router
The
Internet
PHY
Layer2
Layer3
Layer4
APL
PHY
Layer2
Layer3
VPN
Service
Video
Service
Authentication
Service
WWW
Service
IXP
Providing Consuming
BackboneEdge
Node
Access
Edge
Node Access
PHY
L2
L3
L4
APL
Information
Consumer
Service
Provider
OADMOADM
OADM
OADM
OADM
OADM
OADM
OADMOADM
OADM
OADM
Corporate
Home
Video over IP
Voice over IP
WWW
QoS Service
Best Effort
Service QoS Service
Best Effort
Service
Photonic
Router
Photonic
RouterPhotonic
Router
OXC
MMNode
NEC Js Network Architecture
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development22
3rd Layer
2nd Layer
1st Layer
Photonic Layer
IP Router
ATMNE
Fast Frame
Relay SW
SDH/SONET LTE
Photonic NE : WDM, OADM, OXC
SDH frame
Photonic
Router
IP Router
ATMNE
FutureNow
Vision of the Evolution of the PhysicalLayer
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development23
NEC and Emerging Wireless Value Chain
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development24
Metcalfs Law
Robert Metcalf's law states that the "value" or "power" of a
network increases in proportion to the square of thenumber of nodes on the network. In other words, if you have four nodes, or computers, on a
network, say, an office intranet, its "value" would be four squared(4^2), or 16.
If you added on addition node, or PC, then the value wouldincrease to 25 (5^2).
Holds for LANs and WANs (metro, the Internet)
One consequence of the network effect is that once aproduct is established in the market, demand for similarbut incompatible products collapses.
Advantage of earlier drivers who come to dominate: Microsoft;Dell; Intel; Amazon; eBay.
A feedback phenomenon that says whenever it is in people's bestinterests to be where everyone else is, then that's where they'll be.
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development25
Evolution of the Internet
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development26
C&C Perspective-1977
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development27
The Era of Consolidation: Back to Basics
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development28
Worldwide Semiconductor Demand
HISTORICAL SEMICONDUCTOR SALES AND Y/Y GROWTH (3-month Average)
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development29
U.S. Computer Hardware (1)
NOMINAL PDE INVESTMENT-COMPUTERS & PERIPHERALS (Y/Y)
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development30
U.S. Computer Hardware (2)
IMPLICIT PDE DEFLATOR COMPUTER (Y/Y)
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development31
Networking Equipment
NOMINAL COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT INVESTMENT (Y/Y)
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development32
Networking Equipment Driver
ENTERPRISE EQUIPMENT SALES vs. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
1Q98-3Q02
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development33
Networking Equipment Pricing
PPI COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT (Y/Y)
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development34
Telecommunications Equipment
NEW ORDERS TELECOMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT (Y/Y)
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development35
RBOC Capex and Capex to Sales
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development36
Factors Leading to the Tech Bubble
The Telecom Act of 1996
The Buildout of the Internet
The Buildout of Digital Wireless Networks
Rebuilding of U.S. Cable Networks
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development37
IT Consulting and Services
EMPLOYMENT Y/Y COMPUTER & DATA PROCESSING SERVICES
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development38
Best Technology vs. Basic Business
From 1993-2000, high R&D-to-sales ratios played best for
companies with the fastest and latest equipment andstrong revenue growth.
Now, operational factors more competitive:
Good cash management
Strong customer relationships
Control over both the supply and distribution sides of theirbusinesses
Evolutionary, not revolutionary technology
Consolidation seemingly inevitable Slower but more sustainable rate of technological development,
more rational use of capital
Fewer players means more benign pricing pressures, allowing forimproved gross margins and profitability
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development39
Strategic Challenges to NEC
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Corporate Strategy and Business Development40
Issues Areas Being Addressed by NEC
Creating a globally competitive corporate culture with new
management skill sets Ensuring strategy formulation and execution; marketing; financial
Should NEC remain in semiconductor, computers, andcommunications businesses
How best to survive and grow in consolidating IT sectors,particularly by integrating IT and network businesses
Aligning capital and costs structures to current and likelyfuture market conditions; cash management
Identify/define core competencies needed in todays high-tech markets
Institutionalizing strong corporate governance
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Upcoming Visit to NEC
March 18 (Mon)
at NEC Head Office
9:00-9:05 Opening Remark (Dr. H. Kaneko)
9:05-10:15 Presentation (S. Suzuki SVP)
10:15-10:30 Q&A
at NEC Saitama
14:00-14:30 Outline of NEC Saitama
14:30-15:30 Plant Tour, Q&A