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Needs and perspectives to accelerate the transition to renewable energy Local Renewables Conference 2012 Christine Lins [email protected] Executive Secretary of REN21 www.ren21.net Freiburg, 25 th October 2012

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Needs and perspectives to accelerate the transition to renewable energy

Local Renewables Conference 2012

Christine Lins [email protected] Executive Secretary of REN21 www.ren21.net

Freiburg, 25th October 2012

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About REN21

Multi-stakeholder Policy Network grouping:

National governments: Brazil, Germany, Denmark, UK, Spain, Norway, India, UAE, US, Uganda, Morocco, etc.

International organisations: IEA, IRENA, UNEP, UNIDO, UNDP, ADB, GEF, etc.

Industry associations: GWEC, WWEA, WBA, IGA, ISES, IHA, ARE, EREC, etc.

Science & Academia: SANEDI, IIASA, TERI, etc.

NGOs: WWF, Greenpeace, ICLEI, CURES, WRI, etc.

Objective: enable a rapid global transition to renewable energy

REN21 Secretariat based at UNEP in Paris/France

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10/25/2012 3

REN21 Renewables Global Status Report Launched on June 11, 2012 along with UNEP’s Global trends in RE investment

Team of over 400 Contributors, researchers & reviewers worldwide

Lead author (Janet Sawin) & Chapter authors

Regional Contributors , Technology contributors & Rural energy contributors

REN21 Secretariat research support team

The report features:

Global Market Overview, Investment Flows, Industry Trends,

Policy Landscape, Rural Renewable Energy

All renewable energy technologies

Sectors: power, heating/cooling, transport

New elements in 2012:

Rural renewable energy

Renewable energy & energy efficiency

www.ren21.net/GSR

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10/25/2012 4

Renewable Energy in the World

RE supplied an estimated 17% of global final energy consumption

UN Secretary General’s goal : doubling the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix by 2030

Renewable energy continued to grow strongly despite policy uncertainty in some countries, the geography of renewables is expanding as prices fall and policies spread

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10/25/2012 5

Renewables accounted for nearly half of the estimated 208GW of new electric capacity installed in 2011

Renewable electric power capacity worldwide reached 1,360 GW (+8%) in 2011

Renewable energy comprised more than 25% of global power generation capacity

20.3% of global electricity was produced from renewable energy

Global Market Overview – Power Markets

New annual power capacity added in EU in 2011: 71, 3 % renewable based

Source: EWEA

47% of all new EU electrical capacity came from PV

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Solar Power

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•30GW of new solar PV capacity came into being in 2011

•Solar PV capacity in operation in 2011 is about ten times the global total in 2006

•47% of all new EU electrical capacity came from PV

•Size of global PV industry exceeds USD 100 billion per year.

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Wind Power

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•In 2011, 40 GW of wind power capacity was installed, increasing the global total to 238 GW.

• Annual growth rate of cumulative wind power capacity between 2006-2010 averaged at 26%

•Latin America saw the most significant growth in wind power. Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Dominican Republic, Honduras and Mexico all added capacity during 2011

c

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10/25/2012 9

Industry Trends

RE industry saw continued growth in manufacturing, sales and installation

Cost reductions (especially in PV and onshore wind) contributed to growth

Changing policy landscape in many countries industry uncertainties, declining policy support, international financial crisis and barriers to trade

Worldwide jobs in renewable energy industries exceeded 5 million in 2011; clustered primarily in bioenergy and solar industries

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10/25/2012 10

Investment Flows

Total global investment in RE jumped in 2011to a record of $257 billion , up 17% from 2010

This is 6 times the level of investment in 2004 and 94% more than the total investment in RE in 2007

Total investment exceeds

$267 billion including estimated $10 billion (unreported) invested in solar hot water

~$282 billion including the $25 billion invested in large hydropower (>50 MW)

Despite the rise in investment, the rate of growth of investment was below the 37% rise in investment from 2009 to 2010.

Source: UNEP/Bloomberg: Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2011

Investment Flows The top 5 countries for total investment

in 2011 were China, USA, Germany, Italy and India.

Investment in RE in China went up by 17% in 2011

Investment in RE in USA made a significant leap of 57% in 2011.

Investment in Germany (excluding R&D) dipped 12% from the 2010 levels

Investment in RE in India went up by 62% in 2011

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10/25/2012 12

Policy Landscape

Targets in at least 118 countries up from the 96 reported in previous year; more than half are developing countries.

Some setbacks resulting from a lack of long-term policy certainty and stability in many countries

GSR2012 portrays efforts in systematic linking of energy efficiency and renewable energy in the policy arena.

REN21 Studies: Regional and Local Renewables Status Reports

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Global Status Report on Local Renewable Energy Policies

A Collaborative Report by ICLEI,ISEP and REN21 that complements the Global Status Report by providing information at city and local levels about activities and policies that promote renewable energy

The future of renewable energy – what is in the cards?

SREN report (IPCC): close to 80 percent of the world‘s energy supply could be met by renewables by mid-century if backed by the right enabling public policies

Deploying Renewables 2011 (IEA): renewables are now the fastest-growing sector of the energy mix and offer great potential to address issues of energy security and sustainability

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10/25/2012 15

A New Energy Ecosystem

generation

transmission

distribution

Linked System

Level

ICT-

Infrastructure

Level

Storage

Decentralised Energy

Generation Services

Markets

Industrial Energy

Management

E-Mobility

Smart

Home

Closed System

Level

Central Energy

Generation

Transmission

Grid

Distribution

Grid

Source: GIZ

Paradigm shift from consumption-oriented electricity production to

generation-optimised consumption

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10/25/2012 16

A New Energy Ecosystem

Linked System Level

ICT- Infrastructure Level

Storage

Decentralised Energy

Generation Services

Markets

Industrial Energy

Management

E-Mobility

Smart

Home

Closed System Level

Central Energy

Generation

Transmission

Grid

Distribution

Grid

Source: GIZ

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10/25/2012 17

The Smart Grid

When Edison meets Graham Bell………

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10/25/2012 18

Renewable Energy and the Smart Grid

The Smart Grid makes the deployment of renewable energy more practical, more efficient and more reliable

RE Challenges Smart Solutions

Grid Congestion Improved Grid efficiency and Intelligence: expands usable capacity of lines

Intermittency

Integration of appropriate Technologies: 1. Demand Response 2. Energy Storage

Uni-directional Flow of the grid

Enable 2-way Power Flow bringing RE in the grid

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10/25/2012 19

The Green Revolution Enabler

Source: US DOE

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10/25/2012 20

Cities as Pioneers: Smart Cities

The concept of smart cities is to make extensive use of ICT to enhance energy efficiency, maximise the integration and use of renewables in buildings and in local electricity grid and ensure the smooth roll out of EV`s. It enables intelligent energy management and creates a system of: Smart Grids Smart Buildings Smart Transport

Currently there are 102 smart city project in the world including Amsterdam, Seoul, Boulder, Colorado, Johannesburg, Lagos , Delhi and China

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10/25/2012 21

Cities as Pioneers: Amsterdam

40% CO2 reduction by 2025 20% Sustainable energy by 2025

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10/25/2012 22

Cities as Pioneers

Low Carbon London • Roll out of 5,000 smart meters as parts of the ‘Low Carbon London with

extension to some 10 low carbon zones • Building of smart grid project connecting some 30 commercial and industrial

buildings • Testing of ‘Urban OS’; smart grid IT system in 2012

Munich Distributed energy managment system that plans production of power from wind

farms Set up of one ‘Virtual Power Plant’ operating with six renewables installations

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10/25/2012 23

Smart Grid: Technology but also Policy Driven…

Integrated Renewable energy policy (e.g. across sectors/technologies)

Interconnection Standards and rules Smart Metering Targets Demand Response Pricing Policies (Time of use or real-

time tariffs) Bonus-penalty systems integrated Data Security

Policies are needed to kick start the roll out of smart grid technologies but also to sustain their development and ensure its success.

REN21 facilitates global dialogue on RE transition

Stay informed, Stay connected Contribute & Exchange…

www.ren21.net

[email protected]

15-17 January 2013

incl. Launch of

REN21 Global Futures Report