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Needs and perspectives to accelerate the transition to renewable energy
Local Renewables Conference 2012
Christine Lins [email protected] Executive Secretary of REN21 www.ren21.net
Freiburg, 25th October 2012
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About REN21
Multi-stakeholder Policy Network grouping:
National governments: Brazil, Germany, Denmark, UK, Spain, Norway, India, UAE, US, Uganda, Morocco, etc.
International organisations: IEA, IRENA, UNEP, UNIDO, UNDP, ADB, GEF, etc.
Industry associations: GWEC, WWEA, WBA, IGA, ISES, IHA, ARE, EREC, etc.
Science & Academia: SANEDI, IIASA, TERI, etc.
NGOs: WWF, Greenpeace, ICLEI, CURES, WRI, etc.
Objective: enable a rapid global transition to renewable energy
REN21 Secretariat based at UNEP in Paris/France
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REN21 Renewables Global Status Report Launched on June 11, 2012 along with UNEP’s Global trends in RE investment
Team of over 400 Contributors, researchers & reviewers worldwide
Lead author (Janet Sawin) & Chapter authors
Regional Contributors , Technology contributors & Rural energy contributors
REN21 Secretariat research support team
The report features:
Global Market Overview, Investment Flows, Industry Trends,
Policy Landscape, Rural Renewable Energy
All renewable energy technologies
Sectors: power, heating/cooling, transport
New elements in 2012:
Rural renewable energy
Renewable energy & energy efficiency
www.ren21.net/GSR
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Renewable Energy in the World
RE supplied an estimated 17% of global final energy consumption
UN Secretary General’s goal : doubling the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix by 2030
Renewable energy continued to grow strongly despite policy uncertainty in some countries, the geography of renewables is expanding as prices fall and policies spread
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Renewables accounted for nearly half of the estimated 208GW of new electric capacity installed in 2011
Renewable electric power capacity worldwide reached 1,360 GW (+8%) in 2011
Renewable energy comprised more than 25% of global power generation capacity
20.3% of global electricity was produced from renewable energy
Global Market Overview – Power Markets
New annual power capacity added in EU in 2011: 71, 3 % renewable based
Source: EWEA
47% of all new EU electrical capacity came from PV
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Solar Power
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•30GW of new solar PV capacity came into being in 2011
•Solar PV capacity in operation in 2011 is about ten times the global total in 2006
•47% of all new EU electrical capacity came from PV
•Size of global PV industry exceeds USD 100 billion per year.
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Wind Power
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•In 2011, 40 GW of wind power capacity was installed, increasing the global total to 238 GW.
• Annual growth rate of cumulative wind power capacity between 2006-2010 averaged at 26%
•Latin America saw the most significant growth in wind power. Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Dominican Republic, Honduras and Mexico all added capacity during 2011
c
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Industry Trends
RE industry saw continued growth in manufacturing, sales and installation
Cost reductions (especially in PV and onshore wind) contributed to growth
Changing policy landscape in many countries industry uncertainties, declining policy support, international financial crisis and barriers to trade
Worldwide jobs in renewable energy industries exceeded 5 million in 2011; clustered primarily in bioenergy and solar industries
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Investment Flows
Total global investment in RE jumped in 2011to a record of $257 billion , up 17% from 2010
This is 6 times the level of investment in 2004 and 94% more than the total investment in RE in 2007
Total investment exceeds
$267 billion including estimated $10 billion (unreported) invested in solar hot water
~$282 billion including the $25 billion invested in large hydropower (>50 MW)
Despite the rise in investment, the rate of growth of investment was below the 37% rise in investment from 2009 to 2010.
Source: UNEP/Bloomberg: Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2011
Investment Flows The top 5 countries for total investment
in 2011 were China, USA, Germany, Italy and India.
Investment in RE in China went up by 17% in 2011
Investment in RE in USA made a significant leap of 57% in 2011.
Investment in Germany (excluding R&D) dipped 12% from the 2010 levels
Investment in RE in India went up by 62% in 2011
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Policy Landscape
Targets in at least 118 countries up from the 96 reported in previous year; more than half are developing countries.
Some setbacks resulting from a lack of long-term policy certainty and stability in many countries
GSR2012 portrays efforts in systematic linking of energy efficiency and renewable energy in the policy arena.
REN21 Studies: Regional and Local Renewables Status Reports
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Global Status Report on Local Renewable Energy Policies
A Collaborative Report by ICLEI,ISEP and REN21 that complements the Global Status Report by providing information at city and local levels about activities and policies that promote renewable energy
The future of renewable energy – what is in the cards?
SREN report (IPCC): close to 80 percent of the world‘s energy supply could be met by renewables by mid-century if backed by the right enabling public policies
Deploying Renewables 2011 (IEA): renewables are now the fastest-growing sector of the energy mix and offer great potential to address issues of energy security and sustainability
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A New Energy Ecosystem
generation
transmission
distribution
Linked System
Level
ICT-
Infrastructure
Level
Storage
Decentralised Energy
Generation Services
Markets
Industrial Energy
Management
E-Mobility
Smart
Home
Closed System
Level
Central Energy
Generation
Transmission
Grid
Distribution
Grid
Source: GIZ
Paradigm shift from consumption-oriented electricity production to
generation-optimised consumption
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A New Energy Ecosystem
Linked System Level
ICT- Infrastructure Level
Storage
Decentralised Energy
Generation Services
Markets
Industrial Energy
Management
E-Mobility
Smart
Home
Closed System Level
Central Energy
Generation
Transmission
Grid
Distribution
Grid
Source: GIZ
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The Smart Grid
When Edison meets Graham Bell………
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Renewable Energy and the Smart Grid
The Smart Grid makes the deployment of renewable energy more practical, more efficient and more reliable
RE Challenges Smart Solutions
Grid Congestion Improved Grid efficiency and Intelligence: expands usable capacity of lines
Intermittency
Integration of appropriate Technologies: 1. Demand Response 2. Energy Storage
Uni-directional Flow of the grid
Enable 2-way Power Flow bringing RE in the grid
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The Green Revolution Enabler
Source: US DOE
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Cities as Pioneers: Smart Cities
The concept of smart cities is to make extensive use of ICT to enhance energy efficiency, maximise the integration and use of renewables in buildings and in local electricity grid and ensure the smooth roll out of EV`s. It enables intelligent energy management and creates a system of: Smart Grids Smart Buildings Smart Transport
Currently there are 102 smart city project in the world including Amsterdam, Seoul, Boulder, Colorado, Johannesburg, Lagos , Delhi and China
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Cities as Pioneers: Amsterdam
40% CO2 reduction by 2025 20% Sustainable energy by 2025
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Cities as Pioneers
Low Carbon London • Roll out of 5,000 smart meters as parts of the ‘Low Carbon London with
extension to some 10 low carbon zones • Building of smart grid project connecting some 30 commercial and industrial
buildings • Testing of ‘Urban OS’; smart grid IT system in 2012
Munich Distributed energy managment system that plans production of power from wind
farms Set up of one ‘Virtual Power Plant’ operating with six renewables installations
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Smart Grid: Technology but also Policy Driven…
Integrated Renewable energy policy (e.g. across sectors/technologies)
Interconnection Standards and rules Smart Metering Targets Demand Response Pricing Policies (Time of use or real-
time tariffs) Bonus-penalty systems integrated Data Security
Policies are needed to kick start the roll out of smart grid technologies but also to sustain their development and ensure its success.
REN21 facilitates global dialogue on RE transition
Stay informed, Stay connected Contribute & Exchange…
www.ren21.net
15-17 January 2013
incl. Launch of
REN21 Global Futures Report