NEEDS AND POPULATION MONITORING REPORT - … · NEEDS AND POPULATION MONITORING REPORT ... Overview of target population categories by demographics ... NPM initiative is embedded

NEEDS AND POPULATION MONITORING REPORT

POPULATION BASELINE ROUND V

NOVEMBER 2015

SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC

© NPM Aleppo Team

Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015

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Contents

1. Background .......................................................................................................................................... 3

2. Methodology ....................................................................................................................................... 3

2.1 Classification of Target Population ................................................................................................................................ 4

2.2 Limitations .................................................................................................................................................................... 5

3. Brief information on round V (November 2015) ................................................................................. 6

4. Key findings ......................................................................................................................................... 7

5. Coverage .............................................................................................................................................. 8

6. Overview of target population categories by demographics .............................................................. 9

6.1 Present population categories in assessed communities .............................................................................................. 9

6.1.1 IDPs ....................................................................................................................................................................... 10

6.1.2 Returnees .............................................................................................................................................................. 11

6.2 Population categories currently not present in the assessed locations ....................................................................... 11

6.2.1 Fled within Syria .................................................................................................................................................... 12

6.2.2 Fled out of Syria .................................................................................................................................................... 13

7. Overview of target population categories by type of shelter ........................................................... 15

7.1 Affected resident population by shelter type ............................................................................................................. 15

7.2 Returnees by shelter type ............................................................................................................................................ 16

7.3 IDPs by shelter type ..................................................................................................................................................... 17

Annexes .................................................................................................................................................. 18


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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM)

1. Background

The ongoing conflict in Syria, which continues to be dynamic, complex and multi-faceted, has become the world’s largest humanitarian crisis since World War II. In order to respond to the continuous deterioration of the humanitarian situation in the country - characterized by poor access to basic goods and services, large-scale displacements, increasing vulnerabilities of populations in need, damage to key infrastructure, and restricted movement of goods and people - the humanitarian community has developed innovative approaches to conduct comprehensive country-wide assessments of humanitarian needs. Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM) is a set of tools and methods implemented through OCHA to identify, assess, and track target population categories within Syria in relation to needs and population mobility dynamics at the lowest geographical level possible. NPM aims to assist the humanitarian community by regularly disseminating verified data on targeted population groups in accessible areas within Syria. The collected data serves as baseline information on the mobility of the population and has the main purpose to inform clusters, donors, and other humanitarian partners inside Syria. NPM initiative promotes a collaborative approach among aid actors in which local Syrian NGOs collect data and international partners provide technical support, capacity building, and coordination among the involved parties. The NPM initiative is embedded within the Whole of Syria Needs Identification Framework (NIF), and as such supports the established inter-agency coordination mechanisms at regional and country levels.

2. Methodology

NPM is implemented in successive rounds of primary data collection on a monthly basis, aims to cover as many locations as possible at the lowest geographical level based on security and accessibility. Each round takes approximately three to four weeks of data collection, followed by data processing, visualization and report writing. The main data collection instruments for the fieldwork is the NPM Baseline Location Profile - Community Level Questionnaire known as B2 Form. In addition to this, the NPM Baseline Location Profile - Mobility Dynamic Monitoring Questionnaire known as B3 Form is used to update data that was collected in the previous round. NPM Mobility Dynamic Assessment also aims at collecting monthly information on mobility patterns of target population categories inside Syria through primary data collection at community level. The presented figures in this report are the sum of the data that is collected in newly added locations through the B2 Form, with the latest figures provided by the Mobility Dynamic Monitoring exercise held in November 2015 through the B3 Form1. NPM is built around the collection of data from primary sources at the community level (also referred to as village/neighborhood) which is the lowest level of human settlement/lowest administrative unit inside Syria. Data collection at such level intends to provide better accuracy since the area for which key informants (KIs) are giving information relates directly to their actual area of knowledge. NPM approach consists of primary data collection through multiple direct interviews with KIs and direct observations in different locations. Local and knowledgeable KIs are selected in target locations to get the best quality and reliability of the work done. These KIs include NGO/humanitarian aid workers, community based organization leaders, community leaders, health workers, religious leaders, teachers, traders/shopkeepers, local administration, military commanders,

1 The NPM Mobility Dynamic Monitoring for November 2015 assessed 3,950 locations within 12 accessible governorates of Syria by taking 4,123 locations assessed in NPM Round IV as baseline, with 72% coverage, involving 10 team leaders, 16 DPAs, 104 enumerators, and 11,314 KIs. This exercise focused on the movement of target population categories that occurred solely during November2015.


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social workers, and group leaders of internally displaced persons (IDPs). In order to perform direct observation seen as complementary to the interviews held with the KIs, public places are visited as well. Data collection teams in each governorate are composed of one or two team leader/s, data entry/processing assistants (DPAs), and a number of enumerators depending on the number of locations to be covered. Given the fact that having good access to and knowledge of target locations is critical in conducting fieldwork, all field data collection team members are selected locally based on their knowledge and network in the specific area or nearby locations where the data collection takes place. Regional/team leaders, DPAs, and enumerators who are selected in accordance with the criteria listed above by the implementing partners (IPs) undergo multiple trainings on NPM methodology including the questionnaire, selection of KIs, interview techniques, target groups, and locations. Depending on the circumstances induced by security restrictions and access constraints, these trainings are held either face-to-face or remotely.

Enumerators work mostly in pairs and collect quantitative data in the field through KI interviews and direct observation. Upon their return, each enumerator has a debriefing session with his/her team leader where they are asked to provide robust evidence (photos, lists, contact details of KIs) for the figures reported. However, data collection in inaccessible locations is conducted remotely and thus direct observation does not take place. With regard to the quality control and verification, the first phase takes place in the field. Each completed questionnaire is checked on a daily basis, verified by crosschecking information from multiple sources, and cleared by each corresponding team leader before it is entered into the database. Where mistakes are identified or further information is required, the corresponding data collector is asked to verify the data through either revisiting the site or contacting the KIs. Lastly, team leaders conduct random calls in different communities located in each governorate to verify numbers provided. The second phase starts once all the data is entered into the database. The NPM team then uses random samples to check the quality of information and, if necessary, field teams in the covered governorates are consulted to further verify the identified issues. The third and final phase before the release of the report is the regular verification exercise.

NPM provides information on the overall situation of target population and their locations by taking into consideration two main factors; mobility and type of residence. The scope of the NPM exercise focuses on the most vulnerable categories within Syria by looking at these two factors. Therefore, the population category of current resident populations not affected has not been included in this framework since this category has been influenced neither by mobility nor type of residence.

2.1 Classification of Target Population

The NPM includes seven different categories of targeted population as per graph below. The first two categories are related to the current resident populations within Syria who have or have not been affected in relation to shelter. The current resident population affected by shelter is defined as the resident population who is forced to move to another shelter within the same location, mainly because of shelter damage. The following two categories assess the resident populations within Syria who are currently absent from their location of origin because they fled to another location either within or out of Syria. The fifth category relates to returnees2 who fled the location and have returned since 2011, and the last two categories are for Syrian and non-Syrian IDPs who arrived in the location since 2011. Within the framework of mobility, NPM includes the following population categories: current resident population affected by shelter, resident population fled within or out of Syria3, returnees, and IDPs that arrived in the location since 2011. Data collected on these population categories relates to the date/year of movement, as well as the location of origin and destination of those movements. As for the type of residence, the NPM collects data on the current resident population affected, returnees, and IDPs who are considered to be in severe need of temporary shelter by looking at the following categories:

2 Definition of returnees is not related to the criteria of return in terms of safety and dignity, nor with any durable solutions defined strategy. NPM Baseline Assessments only record the estimated number of those who fled the community at one point since 2011 and have returned since. 3 NPM has no means of verification on the destination and exact figures submitted under the population categories fled/left out and not returned (resident population that fled and not returned, IDPs that left and not returned), either if these fled out populations reached the destination or crossed the border.


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In village/town, using rented accommodation

In village/town, with host families (rent fee)

In village/town, using abandoned buildings or public spaces

In formal collective shelters (schools, public buildings, etc.)

In informal collective shelters (schools, public buildings, etc.)

In camps (organized and structured)

In camps (self-settled “camps”)

In own house

2.2 Limitations

Recording mobility patterns in real time has proven a difficult exercise, considering the extremely dynamic population movements within Syria. For the time being, NPM has not been able to cover the governorate of Tartous, while the NPM coverage is below 50% for the governorates of Damascus (10%), Homs (33%), and Lattakia (14%). Only 8 out of 104 enumerators (8%) and 641 out of 8,794 KIs (7%) were female. Gender imbalance caused by the low number of female enumerators and KIs should be considered while evaluating the assessment results. Overall, findings presented in this report are based on the best estimates provided by the interviewed key informants during the data collection which carries limitations of its own. Due to access and security constraints, some of the interviews were conducted remotely without direct observation in the locations, hence resorting again to best possible estimates. Moreover, it is important to note that NPM has no means of verifying the destination and exact figures provided under the resident population that fled and have not returned, reported by KIs. Whether these fled-out-populations actually reached the destination inside Syria or crossed the border, as reported by key informants, is not known. Therefore, population figures are subject to an undefined margin of error since it is based on the best estimates of the KIs who are from the assessed location itself.

Target Population

Current Resident Population (currently present in the

location)

Current Resident Population AFFECTED by Shelter Aspect (currently present in the location)

Current Resident Population NON AFFECTED

(currently present in the location)

Resident Population that FLED(absent from the location)

Resident population that FLED and not returned

but WITHIN SYRIA

Resident population that FLED and not returned

OUT of SYRIA

Returnees (currently present in the location)

Resident Population that FLED and RETURNED to the location since 2011 (currently present in the location)

IDPs (currently present in the location)

Syrian IDPs that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location)

Non-Syrian IDPs that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location)


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3. Brief information on round V (November 2015)

NPM Round V assessed 4,139 locations within 13 accessible governorates out of total of 5,708 locations within 14 governorates of Syria, with 73% coverage. This NPM round involved 10 team leaders, 16 DPAs and 104 enumerators. Furthermore, 9,301 KIs were interviwed in Novmeber 2015. In this round, the presented figures are calculated through aggregating the updated data of Round IV4 with the latest figures provided by the Mobility Dynamic Monitoring exercise conducted in November 2015, and the data that is collected in newly added locations.

4,139

73% 104

8%

Total locations assessed in 13 Governorates

Of known 5,708 locations assessed

Enumerators involved

Female enumerators

The table below shows the profiles of key informants interviewed.

9,301

90% 10%

Total key informants interviewed

Male key informants

Female key informants

This data has to be considered as estimation rather than absolute figures of the population residing in the assessed governorates. All data sets for Round V are available to the interested humanitarian partners for their use and analysis.

4 The NPM Round IV in October 2015 assessed 4,123 locations within 13 accessible governorates out of a total of 5,708 locations within 14 governorates of Syria, with 72% coverage.


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4. Key findings

1,029,945 current resident population affected by shelter

More than 60% of them are in Aleppo (416,593) and Rural Damascus (222,578)

1,168,041 returnees

62% of total returnees in Aleppo (344,083) and Idlib (369,164)

5,293,290 Syrian IDPs

1,431,291 are in Aleppo

1,057,594 are in Idleb

714,745 are in Rural Damascus

4,233,874 people fled out of Syria

57% to Turkey

15% to Lebanon

8% to Jordan

2% to Iraq

Current resident population affected by shelter

47% staying with host families

26% in abandoned buildings

18% in rented accommodation

8% continue to stay in their own houses

1% in camps and shelters

Returnees

81% of returnees stay in their own houses


6% stay with host families


1% in camps and shelters

Syrian IDPs


25% stay with host families


10% in collective shelters

2% continue to stay in their own houses

People fled out of Syria

60% fled out to Turkey are from Aleppo

67% fled out to Lebanon are from Homs

88% fled out to Jordan are from Dar’a and Rural Damascus

97% fled out to Iraq are from Al-Hasakeh

Governorates of destination for 6,653,303 people absent from their location of origin as they fled to another location inside Syria:

IDPs have been displaced mostly within their governorate of origin

Intra-governorate displacement:

27% Rural Damascus

26% Aleppo

11% Idleb

7% Ar-Raqqa

7% Homs

6% Damascus

4% Dar’a

2% Hama

4% Other

98% Dar’a

95% Lattakia

94% Deir-ez-Zor

88% Homs

80% Rural Damascus

77% Al-Hasakeh

54% Aleppo

54% Damascus

48% Ar-Raqqa


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5. Coverage

NPM assessments of the communities within the accessible governorates of Syria are carried out by taking the list of communities on existing datasets (p-codes) used by OCHA and humanitarian agencies in Syria. Round V, which took place in November 2015, assessed 4,139 locations within 13 governorates out of a total of 5,708 locations within 14 governorates. In comparison to its previous round, the NPM has increased its coverage by 1% in its fifth round and reachedup to 73% overall coverage.5 The governorates with a high coverage are Quneitra (86%), As-Sweida (98%), Dar’a (98%), and Deir-ez-Zor (99%), in addition to Aleppo, Al-Hasakeh, Ar-Raqqa, and Idleb all with 100% coverage. The percentage of coverage in the assessed communities in the remaining governorates, except Rural Damascus (74%) and Hama (54%), is less than 50%.

NPM carried out its assessment in 206 sub-districts (out of total 272) with varying percentages of coverage.

Number of assessed communities and listed

communities per governorate, November 2015 Percentage coverage in sub-districts based on number of

communities assessed

4,139

NPM Round 5

assessed

communities

5,708 Total number of known communities

5 NPM Round IV in October 2015 assessed 4,123 locations within 13 accessible governorates out of a total of 5,708 locations within 14 governorates of Syria, with 72% coverage.


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6. Overview of target population categories by demographics

After giving estimated population figures of currently present population categories within 13 accessible governorates of

Syria (current resident population affected by shelter, IDPs and returnees), specific data on the year of movement, as well

as the destination of those movements, will be presented for IDPs and returnees. Then, the population categories,

currently not present in the assessed locations, will be submitted with their estimated numbers, possible destinations,

and the year of movement.

6.1 Present population categories in assessed communities

Based on its community level assessment held in November 2015, the NPM Round V estimates the number of current

resident population affected by shelter as 1,029,945 individuals or 206,189 households, returnees as 1,168,041

individuals or 229,435 households, and IDPs, both Syrian and non-Syrian, as 5,328,629 individuals or 1,028,012

households.

The map below illustrates the number of people by category in each governorate. For instance, more than 60% of all

current resident population affected by shelter are in Aleppo (416,593 individuals) and Rural Damascus (222,578

individuals). Returnees in Aleppo and Idleb (715,342individuals) represent 63% of total returnee population. The

governorates hosting the highest number of IDPs are Aleppo (1,431,396 individuals), Idleb (1,057,699 individuals) and

Rural Damascus (714,625individuals).


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-

14,715

46,043

50,616

54,756

95,811

313,808

343,497

381,547

390,996

397,871

714,745

1,057,594

1,431,291

Tartous

Lattakia

Ar-Raqqa

Quneitra

As-Sweida

Damascus

Dar'a

Al-Hasakeh

Deir-ez-Zor

Homs

Hama

Rural Damascus

Idleb

Aleppo

IDPs by Governorates in assessed locations, November 2015

6.1.1 IDPs

In its fifth round, the NPM assessed

2,708 locations with IDP presence

inside Syria. More than half of the

assessed locations with IDP presence

are spotted in Aleppo with 1,104

locations and Idleb with 443

locations.

In all assessed governorates, 10%

(523,816 individuals) of the IDPs

arrived in 2012, 28% (1,491,338

individuals) in 2013, 24% (1,251,625

individuals) in 2014, and 12%

(621,086 individuals) in 2015.

Approximately 70% of those who

arrived in 2012 are in Homs (183,345

individuals) and Rural Damascus (167,952 individuals). The great majority of IDPs who arrived in the locations in 2013 are

composed of those in Aleppo (547,379 individuals), Rural Damascus (370,679 individuals) and Hama (238,280 individuals).

However, in 2014, almost half of those having arrived in the locations (652,445 individuals) were spotted in Aleppo alone.

Nearly 40% (246,844 individuals) of the total number of IDPs that arrived during 2015 are in Al-Hasakeh.

IDPs by Governorates and Year of Arrival, November 2015

Governorate Number of

Locations assessed

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Unknown Total

Aleppo 1,104 1,700 53,091 547,379 652,445 132,986 43,690 1,431,291

Al-Hasakeh 246 - 6,701 58,690 26,504 246,844 4,758 343,497

Ar-Raqqa 218 - 75 40 565 1,510 43,853 46,043

As-Sweida 37 - 29,530 175 - 525 24,526 54,756

Damascus 6 - 1,520 - - 94,291 - 95,811

Dar'a 96 - 3,199 111,348 169,791 29,128 342 313,808

Deir-ez-Zor 129 - 771 - - - 380,776 381,547

Hama 154 - 2,305 238,280 133,042 18,378 5,866 397,871

Homs 88 9,692 183,345 62,334 99,611 22,857 13,157 390,996

Idleb 443 - 56,050 80,478 35,657 25,641 859,768 1,057,594

Lattakia 39 - 3,777 8,941 716 1,281 - 14,715

Quneitra 28 - 15,500 13,994 8,552 12,345 225 50,616

Rural Damascus

120 14,775 167,952 370,679 124,742 35,300 1,297 714,745

Tartous - - - - - - - -

TOTAL 2,708 26,167 523,816 1,492,338 1,251,625 621,086 1,378,258 5,293,290

IDPs are mainly displaced from the governorates of Aleppo (17% or 914,514 individuals), Homs (15% or 812,591 individuals), Rural Damascus (13% or 668,500 individuals), Idleb (10% or 516,787 individuals), Hama (9% or 483,284 individuals), and Deir-ez-Zor (8% or 415,582 individuals) – Refer to Annex II for more details.

The main characteristic of internal displacement within Syria is that IDPs have been displaced mostly within their governorate of origin. The map below shows the percentage of IDPs displaced within same governorate.


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Governorates # of returnees % of Total

Idleb 344,001 31%

Aleppo 333,599 30%

Homs 128,984 12%

Deir-ez-Zor 113,795 10%

Damascus 54,815 5%

Dar'a 34,262 3%

Rural Damascus 28,796 3%

Al-Hasakeh 15,617 1%

Hama 14,590 1%

Quneitra 13,186 1%

Ar-Raqqa 12,292 1%

Lattakia 380 0%

Tartous - 0%

As-Sweida - 0%

Total 1,094,317 100%

6.1.2 Returnees

Returnees refer to those who fled out from their community of origin at some point since 2011, and have returned. NPM Round V held in November 2015 estimates the number of returnees as 1,094,317 individuals. Returnees in Idleb (344,001 individuals) and Aleppo (333,599 individuals) represent 61% of the total number of returnees. The remaining 39% of the returnees are dispersed as follows: 12% in Homs (128,984 individuals), 10% in Deir-ez-Zor (113,795 individuals), 5% in Damascus (54,815 individuals), 3% in Dar’a (34,262 individuals), 3% in Rural Damascus (28,796 individuals), and 6% in the governorates of Al-Hasakeh (15,617 individuals), Hama (14,590 individuals), Ar-Raqqa (12,292 individual), Quneitra (13,186 individuals) and Lattakia (380 individuals).

6.2 Population categories currently not present in the assessed locations6

Population categories currently not present in the assessed locations are composed of the ones who fled to another

location within the country and those who fled abroad. For the first category, NPM Round V indicates that there are

6,653,303 individuals and for the second category the estimation is 4,233,874 individuals. The graph below displays the

numbers of both categories and it is noticeble that for both categories, the majority of the people came from Aleppo and

Rural Damascus. The aggregated numbers of those who fled Aleppo and Rural Damascus and have not returned since,

represent more than half of the total figures.

6 All presented data under this category is based on the best estimates of the KIs and the NPM has no means of verification on the destination and exact figures.


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Distribution of population categories not present in the location, November 2015

6.2.1 Fled within Syria

This category provides data on the resident population who are currently absent from the location of origin because of

having fled into another location within Syria since 2011. NPM Round V spotted 2,329 locations where resident

population fled from their locations and headed to another place within the country.

Resident Population Fled Within Syria by Year and Governorate - November 2015

Governorate Number

of Locations

Total number of people

Unknown 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Aleppo 652 2,239,887 341,754 - 584,588 632,308 479,634 201,603

Al-Hasakeh 346 111,695 31,390 30 1,410 12,321 27,560 38,984

Ar-Raqqa 241 76,186 74,289 - 155 76 893 773

As-Sweida 15 3,729 1,315 - 189 - 2,225 -

Damascus 10 711,295 - - 495,470 215,825 - -

Dar'a 130 175,455 12 - 46,078 87,355 9,282 32,728

Deir-ez-Zor 133 406,847 406,653 - 50 - - 144

Hama 244 549,516 30,054 - 70,091 161,780 149,989 137,602

Homs 93 591,972 25,544 15,000 335,616 182,405 16,887 16,520

Idleb 241 349,384 258,207 - 5,555 17,302 39,820 28,500

Lattakia 58 20,729 322 - 18,608 1,539 260 -

Quneitra 35 41,699 125 1,600 11,565 14,785 13,624 -

Rural Damascus 131 1,374,909 1,009 30,206 637,722 621,175 75,360 9,437

Tartous - - - - - - - -

TOTAL 2,329 6,653,303 1,170,675 46,836 2,207,097 1,946,871 815,534 466,291

TOTAL % 100% 17.6% 0.7% 33.2% 29.3% 12.2% 7.0%


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As shown in the table above, almost one third of these spotted locations are in Aleppo (652 locations). Other

governorates having high number of locations with populations having fled within Syria are Al-Hasakeh (346 locations),

Ar-Raqqa (241 locations), and Hama (244 locations).

The total population of those who are currently absent from their location of origin, because of having fled into another

location inside Syria, is estimated at 6,653,303 individual. Out of this total number, 33% fled in 2012, 29% in 2013, 12% in

2014, and 7% in 2015.

Number of Those Fled within Syria by Governorate of Origin and Governorate of Destination, November 2015 Governorate of Destination

Go

vern

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Ale

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Al-

Has

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Ar-

Raq

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As-

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Dam

ascu

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Dar

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Dei

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Ham

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Ho

ms

Idle

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Latt

akia

Qu

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Ru

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cus

Tart

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Un

kno

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Aleppo 1,678,171 - 49,084 - 67,280 300 410 200 - 62,825 11,525 - 3,290 22,671 344,131

Al-Hasakeh - 65,574 2,396 - - - - - 120 12,120 160 - - 600 30,725

Ar-Raqqa 1,600 75 43,715 134 1,572 - - 13,386 7,255 - 7,715 - - 45 689

As-Sweida - - - 2,494 - 160 - - - - - - - - 1,075

Damascus - - - - 115,225 - - - - - - - 596,070 - -

Dar'a - - - 4,520 19,453 151,470 - - - - - - - - 12

Deir-ez-Zor - 103 320,345 - 13,346 - 68,827 - - 3,202 - - - - 1,024

Hama 24,990 - 13,035 - - 90 - 91,238 3,226 383,209 7,685 - - 410 25,633

Homs 4,610 - 14,400 - 4,425 - - 5,185 442,595 15,057 - - 54,211 40,110 11,379

Idleb 15,230 - 500 4,547 4,811 20 49 19,555 - 268,954 13,885 - 501 240 21,092

Lattakia - - - - - - - - - 8,648 11,759 - - - 322

Quneitra - - - - 18,170 - - - - - - 21,479 2,050 - -

Rural Damascus

- 512 - 4,750 128,095 115,515 - - - - - 15,500 1,109,528 - 1,009

Tartous - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

TOTAL 1,724,601 66,264 443,475 16,445 372,377 267,555 69,286 129,564 453,196 754,015 52,729 36,979 1,765,650 64,076 437,091

TOTAL % 26% 1% 7% 0% 6% 4% 1% 2% 7% 11% 1% 1% 27% 1% 7%

Regarding the governorate of destination for the fled-within-Syria population, Rural Damascus was assessed with 27%

(1,765,650 individuals) and Aleppo with 26% (1,724,601 individuals), followed by Idleb with 11% (754,015 individuals), Ar-

Raqqa 7% (443,475 individuals), and Homs also with 7% (453,196 individuals) (see table above for more details).

As for the governorate of origin of those who fled-within-Syria, it is noted that the majority of the people fled within their

own governorate. This pattern is noteworthy, particularly in Dar’a (86%), Rural Damascus (81%), Idleb (77%), Aleppo (75%)

and Homs (75%). Damascus, Deir-ez-Zor, and Hama are the governorates breaking out of this pattern by having

significantly less number (all three with 16%) of people who fled into another location within their own governorate.

6.2.2 Fled out of Syria

This category presents data on the resident population who are currently absent from their location of origin, because of

having fled into another location out of Syria as of 2011 and have not returned since then. NPM Round V recorded 3,560

locations where resident population fled their locations of origin to another country. Of those locations, nearly 40% were

recorded in Aleppo (1,320 locations). Other governorates with high numbers of locations from which people fled abroad

are Al-Hasakeh (756 locations), Idleb (322 locations), Hama (254 locations), and Ar-Raqqa (253 locations).


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Countries of destination

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Iraq

Jordan

Unknown

Other

Lebanon

Turkey

Percentage of the fled-out population

COUNTRY OF DESTINATION OF THE FLED-OUT SYRIAN POPULATION

Resident Population Fled-out-of-Syria by Year and Governorate - November 2015

As illustrated in the table above, out of an estimated 4.2 million people who fled out of Syria, 24% (896,744 individuals)

moved out of their locations in 2012, 47% (1,793,527 individuals) in 2013 and 22% (842,858 individuals) in 2014. Those

who fled abroad in 2011 represent 1% (51,537 ndividuals) and those in 2015 represent 6% (228,061 individuals).

The digramme below shows the location of destination of the people who fled out of Syria. It is estimated that 57%

(2,29,570 individuals) headed to Turkey, 15% (642,554 individuals) to Lebanon, 8% (329,570 individuals) to Jordan, and 1%

(65,466 individuals) to Iraq. Refer Annex II for more details.

Governorate Number of Locations 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Unknown Total

Aleppo 1,320 7,324 291,575 648,596 597,104 53,424 27,401 1,625,424

Al-Hasakeh 756 145 5,889 101,301 53,617 155,064 2,732 318,748

Ar-Raqqa 253 - 79 150 291 905 53,277 54,702

As-Sweida 29 - - - - 2,001 2,145 4,146

Damascus 10 - 111,780 100,698 - - - 212,478

Dar'a 148 - 137,026 84,491 4,610 96 2,509 228,732

Deir-ez-Zor 142 - - - 749 - 93,942 94,691

Hama 254 - 17,677 67,560 69,554 10,294 3,795 168,880

Homs 103 235 152,404 162,165 67,162 1,022 2,520 385,508

Idleb 322 75 4,835 11,460 4,605 5,255 231,937 258,167

Lattakia 45 - 10,399 2,345 580 - 104 13,428

Quneitra 33 - 4,506 7,339 1,932 - 60 13,837

Rural Damascus 145 43,758 160,574 607,422 42,654 - 725 855,133

Tartous - - - - - - - -

TOTAL 3,560 51,537 896,744 1,793,527 842,858 228,061 421,147 4,233,874

TOTAL % - 1% 24% 47% 22% 6% 11% 100%


Page 15 of 27

7. Overview of target population categories by type of shelter

The residences assessment was designed for the purpose of improving understanding of the shelter conditions of following population categories: Resident population affected (Cat.1) – those who are forced to move to another shelter in the same location mainly because of shelter damage, Returnees (Cat.5), and IDPs (Cat.6).

7.1 Affected resident population by shelter type

The results of the residences

assessment indicate that 47%

(479,559 individuals) of the total

number of the current resident

population affected by shelter

(1,029,945 individuals) in Syria

stay with host families, while 26%

(267,222 individuals) are in

abandoned buildings, and 18%

(188,689 individuals) rent

accommodation. The remmaining

9% are staying either in formal

collective sheltes, in informal

collective shelters, in organized

camps, in self settled camps, or in

their own houses.

More than half (55%) of those

staying with host families and

more than a third (36%) renting

accommodation are in Aleppo.

Around 49% of those staying in

abandoned buildings are in Rural

Damascus, while 25% of those

staying in their own house are in

Idleb. The chart on the right

shows the top three residence

types for population affected by

shelter damage in each

governorate.


Page 16 of 27

7.2 Returnees by shelter type

The great majority of returnees (81% or 952,452 individuals) stay in their own houses. Among the remaining returnees, 8% (94,546 individuals) rent accommodation, 5% (64,182 individuals) stay with host families, while 4% (43,377 individuals) are in abandoned buildings, and 1% (12,214 individuals) are in camps and shelters. Almost 80% of those staying in abandoned buildings are in Aleppo and Deir-ez-Zor hosts 60% of the returnees renting accommodation. The chart below displays the top three residence types for returnees in each governorate.


Page 17 of 27

7.3 IDPs by shelter type

Out of the 5,293,290 IDPs, 44% (2,344,430 individuals) are in rented accommodation, 25% staying with host families, and 19% are in abandoned buildings. Another 10% of the total IDP population is in settled camps or formal and informal collective shelters and the last 2% are in their own house. The chart below illustrates the top three residence types for IDPs in each governorate.


Page 18 of 27

Annexes

Annex I: links to NPM Round V products.

Annex II: Tables.

Annex III: NPM Baseline Monitoring Questionnaire B2.

For more information please contact: [email protected]

mailto:[email protected]


Page 19 of 27

Annex I : Links to Products : 1. Online map : http://bit.do/NPM-Round5-Coverage-map

2. Dataset : http://bit.do/NPM-Round-5-Report

http://bit.do/NPM-Round5-Coverage-map

http://bit.do/NPM-Round-5-Report


Page 20 of 27

Annex II : Tables

A. Number of Individuals by Population Category and Governorate, November 2015

Governorate 1.Current Resident

population AFFECTED # IND

2.Current Resident population NOT

affected # IND 5.RETURNEES # IND 6.IDP #IND

7.IDP NON Syrians #IND

Damascus 34,930 89,092 55,195 95,811 1,550

Aleppo 416,593 2,424,229 344,083 1,431,291 560

Rural Damascus 222,578 790,599 35,085 714,745 22,760

Homs 108,333 593,348 136,966 390,996 -

Hama 81,898 714,280 22,023 397,871 5,100

Lattakia 1,026 4,128 648 14,715 -

Tartous - - - - -

Idleb 74,098 977,140 369,164 1,057,594 190

Al-Hasakeh 585 730,466 24,295 343,497 5,015

Deir-ez-Zor 33,900 1,010,793 113,917 381,547 8

Ar-Raqqa 7,834 650,137 15,067 46,043 -

Dar'a 45,276 519,106 38,357 313,808 156

As-Sweida 50 287,471 - 54,756 -

Quneitra 2,844 34,672 13,241 50,616 -

TOTAL 1,029,945 8,825,461 1,168,041 5,293,290 35,339

B. Number of Households by Population Category and Governorate, November 2015

Governorate 1.Current Resident

population AFFECTED # HH

2.Current Resident population NOT

affected # HH 5.RETURNEES # HH 6.IDP #HH

7.IDP NON Syrians #HH

Damascus 6,986 17,836 11,049 18,804 310

Aleppo 83,428 483,754 68,454 275,907 112

Rural Damascus 44,256 159,658 7,303 144,160 4,552

Homs 22,350 118,029 25,707 71,057 -

Hama 16,160 144,056 3,621 68,001 850

Lattakia 208 834 128 2,990 -

Tartous - - - - -

Idleb 14,819 192,377 72,948 204,635 38

Al-Hasakeh 117 147,185 4,675 69,677 878

Deir-ez-Zor 6,777 202,907 22,775 75,941 1

Ar-Raqqa 1,564 129,160 2,917 9,163 -

Dar'a 8,950 103,321 7,224 61,360 28

As-Sweida 10 64,937 - 9,440 -

Quneitra 564 6,936 2,634 10,108 -

TOTAL 206,189 1,770,990 229,435 1,021,243 6,769


Page 21 of 27

C. Number of IDPs by Current Governorate and Governorate of Origin, November 2015

LOCATION BY GOVERNORATE OF ORIGIN OF IDPs

Go

vern

ora

te

Un

kno

wn

Ale

pp

o

Al-

Has

ake

h

Ar-

Raq

qa

As-

Swe

ida

Dam

ascu

s

Dar

'a

De

ir-e

z-Zo

r

Ham

a

Ho

ms

Idle

b

Latt

akia

Qu

ne

itra

Ru

ral

Dam

ascu

s

Tart

ou

s

Aleppo 597,621 776,033 - 2,875 - 871 - - 8,488 1,657 43,736 10 - - -

Al-Hasakeh 1,380 5,086 264,251 3,749 - 13,540 - 55,471 - - - - - 20 -

Ar-Raqqa 1,024 4,253 1,189 22,065 - - - 1,171 215 15,802 85 - - 239 -

As-Sweida 269 - - - - 12,569 39,573 - - - - - - 2,345 -

Damascus - - - - - 52,096 - - - - - - - 43,715 -

Dar'a 342 - - - - - 308,504 - - - - - - 4,962 -

Deir-ez-Zor 93 - 988 - - 7,603 - 358,940 - 13,923 - - - - -

Hama 4,041 53,546 - - - - - - 71,203 213,148 55,933 - - - -

Homs 15,457 2,935 - - - - - - 373 345,101 - - - 27,130 -

Idleb 15,809 72,661 - - - 1,025 - - 403,005 142,800 416,325 5,124 - - 845

Lattakia - - - - - - - - - - 708 14,007 - - -

Quneitra - - - - - 1,596 11,856 - - - - - 21,700 15,464 -

Rural Damascus

1,512 - - - - 58,448 - - - 80,160 - - - 574,625 -

Tartous - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

TOTAL 637,548 914,514 266,428 28,689 - 147,748 359,933 415,582 483,284 812,591 516,787 19,141 21,700 668,500 845

D. Resident Population Fled-out-of-Syria by Destination, Country and Governorate of Origin, November 2015

Governorate Jordan Turkey Lebanon Other Iraq Unknown

Aleppo 4,709 1,434,096 25,488 58,922 1,560 100,649

Al-Hasakeh - 198,758 9,116 45,467 63,406 2,001

Ar-Raqqa 85 1,368 374 191 - 52,684

As-Sweida - - - 2,205 - 1,941

Damascus 10,030 67,500 85,093 49,855 - -

Dar'a 188,366 55 28,453 2,914 - 8,944

Deir-ez-Zor - 3,692 - 2,095 - 88,904

Hama 20,233 108,322 21,508 6,930 - 11,887

Homs 2,761 69,389 261,648 28,992 - 22,718

Idleb 910 141,689 50,768 5,615 - 59,185

Lattakia - 13,324 - - - 104

Quneitra 486 - 6,301 7,040 - 10

Rural Damascus 101,990 360,914 153,805 235,917 500 2,007

Tartous - - - - - -

TOTAL 329,570 2,399,107 642,554 446,143 65,466 351,034

TOTAL % 7.78% 56.66% 15.18% 10.54% 1.55% 8.29%


Page 22 of 27

E. Residence population affected by type of shelter in each governorate, November 2015

Governorate In RENTED

ACCOMODATION

With HOST without

RENT

In ABANDONED

buildings

In FORMAL COLLECTIVE

SHELTERS

In INFORMAL

COLLECTIVE SHELTERS

In ORGANIZED

CAMPS

In SELF SETTLED

CAMPS

In OWN HOUSE

Aleppo 68,251 265,974 75,163 160 85 - - 6,960

Al-Hasakeh 225 60 - - 50 - - 250

Ar-Raqqa 2,081 2,658 135 50 10 25 - 2,875

As-Sweida - 50 - - - - - -

Damascus - 1,500 33,430 - - - - -

Dar'a - 45,276 - - - - - -

Deir-ez-Zor 9,258 15,411 2,296 300 2,122 - 984 3,529

Hama 21,226 39,830 9,228 - 2,900 - 30 8,684

Homs 37,171 37,084 14,100 - - - - 19,978

Idleb 22,063 27,513 1,592 200 400 - 750 21,580

Lattakia - - 1,026 - - - - -

Quneitra 1,350 1,494 - - - - - -

Rural Damascus 27,064 42,709 130,252 - - - - 22,553

Tartous - - - - - - - -

TOTAL 188,689 479,559 267,222 710 5,567 25 1,764 86,409

TOTAL % 18.3% 46.6% 25.9% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 8.4%

F. Returnees by type of shelter in each governorate, November 2015


ACCOMODATION

With HOST without

RENT

In ABANDONED

buildings


SHELTERS

In INFORMAL

COLLECTIVE SHELTERS

In ORGANIZED

CAMPS

In SELF SETTLED

CAMPS

In OWN HOUSE

Aleppo 4,673 7,610 34,450 - - - 100 296,120

Al-Hasakeh 2,085 25 - - - - - 22,185

Ar-Raqqa 1,090 560 300 450 230 175 25 12,237

As-Sweida - - - - - - - -

Damascus - - 1,745 - - - - 53,450

Dar'a - 790 - - - 104 - 37,463

Deir-ez-Zor 59,006 22,043 1,510 5,525 1,750 - 1,280 22,803

Hama 422 947 2,871 - 25 - 5 17,753

Homs 208 1,460 40 - 135 - - 135,123

Idleb 26,205 27,557 870 60 925 - 50 313,357

Lattakia - - - - - - - 648

Quneitra 500 - - - - - - 12,741

Rural Damascus 357 3,190 1,591 - 1,375 - - 28,572

Tartous - - - - - - - -

TOTAL 94,546 64,182 43,377 6,035 4,440 279 1,460 952,452

TOTAL % 8.1% 5.5% 3.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 81.6%


Page 23 of 27

G. IDPs by type of shelter in each governorate, November 2015


ACCOMODATION

With HOST without

RENT

In ABANDONED

buildings


SHELTERS

In INFORMAL

COLLECTIVE SHELTERS

In ORGANIZED

CAMPS

In SELF SETTLED

CAMPS

In OWN HOUSE

Aleppo 4,673 7,610 34,450 - - - 100 296,120

Al-Hasakeh 2,085 25 - - - - - 22,185

Ar-Raqqa 1,090 560 300 450 230 175 25 12,237

As-Sweida - - - - - - - -

Damascus - - 1,745 - - - - 53,450

Dar'a - 790 - - - 104 - 37,463

Deir-ez-Zor 59,006 22,043 1,510 5,525 1,750 - 1,280 22,803

Hama 422 947 2,871 - 25 - 5 17,753

Homs 208 1,460 40 - 135 - - 135,123

Idleb 26,205 27,557 870 60 925 - 50 313,357

Lattakia - - - - - - - 648

Quneitra 500 - - - - - - 12,741

Rural Damascus 357 3,190 1,591 - 1,375 - - 28,572

Tartous - - - - - - - -

TOTAL 94,546 64,182 43,377 6,035 4,440 279 1,460 952,452

TOTAL % 8.1% 5.5% 3.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 81.6%


Page 24 of 27

Annex III : NPM Baseline Monitoring Questionnaire B2

SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC

BASELINE LOCATION PROFILE, Community Level FORM QUESTIONNAIRE │ Version: 5.0

Needs & Population Monitoring (NPM)

GUIDELINES AND INSTRUCTIONS

Objective of the baseline is to identify affected population categories in Syria based on mobility and on lowest geographical level possible.

Researcher should be familiar with the Community that is subject of observation (village, small town, or the neighbourhood of the capital city – Hay).

Review existing knowledge of location and categories of affected population and their number in the comunity. Make notes and identify key informants from different organizations or population groups that can help get latest reliable information.

Key question: Are there diferent population categories-groups in this comunity? Population categories/groups are defined based on mobility (moved out, moved in from elswhere, residents that changed shelter if affected, residents that did not change shelter). Questionnaire is just a tool to record the information. In discussion with key informants the researcher should get the best possible information on the topics in the form.

WHERE?

LIST different TYPE OF SITE/RESIDENCE by population category for affected, returnees and internally displaced.

WHO?

Current resident population AFFECTED (damaged shelter and /or moved in another building/shelter in the same location):

Current resident population NOT affected (not damaged shelter and NOT moved -remained in same residence):

Resident population that FLED and not returned (left the location) to another location WITHIN SYRIA (currently absent from the location):

Resident population that FLED and has not returned (left the location) to another location OUT of SYRIA (currently absent from the location):

RETURNEES of the resident population that fled and returned to the location (currently present in the location):

INTERNALY DISPLACED SYRIANS that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location):

INTERNALY DISPLACED NON Syrians that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location):

HOW MANY?

Best estimate of number. Use always average five members per household. Try to find out if there is any list or record keeping of the population groups in the locations.

WHEN, TO WHERE and FROM WHERE?

Time of movement by year.

Origin and destination based on movement.

FOR FOLLOW UP

If Key Informant agrees please provide name. Contact will be used for follow-up site assessments on conditions and needs of the affected population.

B2F


Page 25 of 27

A. LOCATION AND TEAM MEMBERS

Date of Assessment d d - m m - y y y y Researcher

Organization: name contact

Team Leader: name contact

Implementing Partner (IP) ↓ IP - Processing Team (IP_PT) ↓

Mohafaza

Governorate

Mantika

District

1. Nahya

Sub -district

For rural areas: Village, small town – community level. For Capital of Governorate: neighborhood/hay level. Use the names and codes from the lists and maps.

2. Capital City

Community

1.1 Village, town C_PCODE Type 1. Urban 2. Rural

Community

2.1 HAY in CC C_PCODE Type 1. Urban

B. DEMOGRAPHICS: Population categories based on mobility and estimated numbers SOURCES

0.Resident population baseline 2011 Kn Un HHs # IND #

1.Current Resident population AFFECTED (damaged shelter and /or moved in another building/shelter in the same location):

Yes

No HHs # IND # Un

2.Current Resident population NOT affected (not damaged shelter and NOT moved -remained in same residence):

Yes

No HHs # IND # Un

3.Resident population that FLED and not returned (left the location) to another location WITH IN SYRIA (currently absent from the location):

Yes

No HHs # IND # Un

4.Resident population that FLED and not returned (left the location) to another location OUT of SYRIA (currently absent from the location):

Yes

No HHs # IND # Un

5.RETURNEES of the resident population that fled and returned to the location (currently present in the location):

Yes

No HHs # IND # Un

6.INTERNALY DISPLACED SYRIANS that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location):

Yes

No HHs # IND # Un

7.INTERNALY DISPLACED NON Syrians that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location):

Yes

No HHs # IND # Un

C. TIMELINE: Year of mobility event population categories

1. Year when majority of the population FLED the location to another location WITH IN SYRIA (cat:3)

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

2. Year when majority of the population FLED the location to another location OUT of SYRIA (cat: 4)

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015


Page 26 of 27

3. Year when majority of the RETURNEE population returned to the location (cat: 5)

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

4. Year when majority of the DISPLACED population arrived to the location (cat:6&7)

2011 2012 2013 2014 201

5

D. DESTINATION & ORIGIN: From where, by mobility event and population categories

Governorate District Sub-district Place

1. WHERE TO majority of the population FLED the location to another location WITH IN SYRIA (cat:3)

4. FROM WHERE in Syria majority of the DISPLACED population arrived to the location (cat:6&7)

2. WHERE TO majority of the population FLED the location to another location OUT of SYRIA (cat: 4)

Country Place

3. FROM WHERE majority of the RETURNEE population returned to the location (cat: 5)

Out of Syria Country

With IN

Syria Gov.

E. TYPE OF SITE/RESIDENCE by population category, list where Population category 1, 5,6 is living ( please assort them according to the majority 1st, 2nd and 3rd ) DON’T include category 7 , and if all Category 5 returned to their own original houses just ignore and indicate where category 1 and category 6 is living.

Type of Temporary Settlements for Affected Pop. Exist #Units Pop. Cat. 1,5,6 #HHs IND DNK

1 In village/town, using rented accomodation

(consider only 1,5,or 6 pop. cat)

Y N

1st: Un

2nd: Un

3rd : Un

2 In village/town, with host families no rent fee


Y N 1st: Un

2nd: Un

3rd : Un

3 In village/town, using unfinished abandoned buildings or public spaces (consider only 1,5,or 6 pop. cat)

Y N 1st: Un

2nd: Un

3rd : Un

4 In formal collective shelters (schools, public buildings, vacanted, etc…) (consider only 1,5,or 6 pop. cat)

Y N 1st: Un

2nd: Un

3rd : Un

5 In informal collective shelters

(schools, public buildings, vacanted, etc…)


Y N 1st: Un

2nd: Un

3rd : Un

6 Camps, organized and structured

(consider only 1,5,6 or7 pop. cat)

Y N 1st: Un

2nd: Un

3rd : Un


Page 27 of 27

7 Camps, self settled “camps”


Y N 1st: Un

2nd: Un

3rd : Un

8 In their OWN house


Y N 1st: Un

2nd: Un

3rd : Un

F. KEY INFORMANT DETAILS

If Key informant agrees please provide name. Contact will be used for follow up assessment on population conditions and needs.

For Column C. Type use: 1.NGO/Humanitarian Aid Worker; 2.Community Based Organization Leader; 3.Community Leader; 4. Health Worker 5. Religious leaders; 6.Teachers; 7. Trader/Shopkeeper; 8.Local administration; 9. Military Commander; 10. Social Worker; 11. Group Leader of IDP’s; 12. Other, please specify in contact column.

NAME AND SURNAME

if informant agrees, if not mark XX and state the type and sex only

Type Sex

M/F

Contact Details

(Phone or Address)

A B C D E

1

2

3

Documents

NEEDS AND POPULATION MONITORING REPORT - … · NEEDS AND POPULATION MONITORING REPORT ... Overview of target population categories by demographics ... NPM initiative is embedded