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Spiegel & McDiarmid Conclusions DR largely relegated to emergency/price response –Limited participation –Limited benefits FERC moving toward economic DR programs Need market design changes that allow revenue stream and financing of technology
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New Incentives for Pursuing Demand Response
Scott Strauss and Sean FlynnSpiegel & McDiarmid
APPA Legal SeminarSan Francisco – November 2004
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Overview
Demand Response: What is it?The Problem: “The Hockey Stick”Benefits of demand response Implementation in SW Connecticut
– Opening Bidding Markets– Incentives to curtail
Conclusion
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Conclusions
DR largely relegated to emergency/price response– Limited participation– Limited benefits
FERC moving toward economic DR programsNeed market design changes that allow revenue
stream and financing of technology
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Demand Response
“programs that encourage customers to adjust their usage in response to changes in prices or market conditions affecting reliability.” – GAO 2004
Reliability (emergency) Price responseMarket-based bidding
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Price Spikes
1998/’99 NY Ancillary Services: $10,000 /mwh
1998 Midwest: $7,500 /mwh2000 New England: $6,000 /mwh2000 Pacific NW: $1,000 /mwhCA Average prices /mwh
– 1998: $33– 1999: $317
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Benefits of Demand Response
Cut price spikesControl market powerReliabilityReduce/supplement transmission and
generation investmentsReduce use of peaking plants (air quality
benefits)
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Emerging Consensus
DOE, National Energy Policy, 2001CBO, Lessons of the CA Crisis, 2001FTC, Focus on Retail Competition, 2001FERC SMD, 2002DOE Report to Congress, 2003DOE “Grid 2030”, 2003H.R. 6, Energy Policy Act 2003
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Actual and Potential Cost Savings
Summer 2001 New York ISO: $13 million FERC 2002 RTO “economic assessment”:
$7.5 billion /year by 2010 McKinsey & Co. $10-15 billion /year +
250 peaking plantsDOE: $80 billion savings over 20 years
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Southwest Connecticut
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Problems
Reliability– “loss of a single major transmission line or
power plant in Southwest Connecticut could lead to the disruption of electricity supply” in the region.
New England ISO April 2004Price
– LMP
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Goals
Incentives for customers to curtail– Time-based pricing options
• Time of use• Critical Peak Pricing• Real Time
– Advanced metering & load controlLink to wholesale markets
– Bidding– Curtailment service providers
• Provide technology; Aggregate load
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Incentives to Curtail Public Act No. 03-135; CPUC Doc. 03-07-16
Alternative Transitional Standard Offer ServicesMandated offerings (green and DR)Customer Education
– Bill inserts– Check off to apply
Technology financing– On the bill financing/Pay as you go– Conservation funding
But: no real time pricing yet
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Link to Wholesale MarketsNE ISO SMD (2002)
Day Ahead/Real Time Reliability– ISO Call– Pay LMP price or $500 min.
Real Time Price Response – ISO call– $100 floor– $500 ceiling
No bidding as resource/ cannot set market clearing price
Spiegel & McDiarmid
New England Demand Response Initiative
Day ahead price-driven demand biddingEqualize bid ceilingsRemove 1MW minimumLICAP credits for DR
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Link to Wholesale Markets Cont’dFERC 9/20 & 12/20 2002
Support and expand demand bidding– Price-based Day Ahead
(But: 10/04 filing: “Sequential Clearing”)– May allocate costs to all load– Equalize Bid Ceilings (But: $50/$100 bid
floors)
Spiegel & McDiarmid
More FERC
Opportunities for Curtailment Service Providers– “any party that can curtail its own use or
provide curtailment services is eligible”“Commission will insist on similar
measures in all regional markets.”
Spiegel & McDiarmid
National demonstration projectDOE “Gridwise”, Nxegen, DPUC (Energy Conservation Mgt Board)
1000 customers goal: Commercial, retail, municipal
Advanced metering, load control, monitoring, efficiency technology
Split savings + Conservation fundingLoad aggregation and centralized
monitoring– Could participate in day ahead market
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Progress to date
New Haven– 95 schools and municipal buildings– Savings: $42,000 /month; $15 m /5 yrs; $51 m 2010
Norwalk– 14 Schools, $85,000 savings /year
Stratford– 15 schools by 2005
ISO NE– 136 MW enrolled in price driven real time– 260 MW enrolled reliability programs
Spiegel & McDiarmid
Conclusions
Goal: Create incentives for customers to curtail; link to wholesale markets.
Means: Advanced technology, real time pricing + demand bidding.
It takes a village– FERC, PUC, Curtailment service providers
NE not perfect– No day ahead price bidding– Bid floors– “Sequential clearing”