New Poll: Louisiana Presidential, Governor 2015, Landrieu ... · Magellan ID#: LASTW-100112 Page 4 of 7 Field Dates: 10/02-10/04/2012, MOE +/-1.9%, 2682n And still thinking ahead

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact: John DiezOctober 8, 2012 (225) 647-7557

New Poll: Louisiana Presidential, Governor 2015, Landrieu Reelect

Baton Rouge, LA – Magellan Strategies BR today released the survey results of anautomated survey of 2,682 likely voters. The survey was conducted October 2nd

through October 4th. The margin of error for a survey of this size is 1.9%. Thestudy measures voter opinion among a wide array of issues and election contests,including the upcoming Presidential, 2014 U.S. Senate and 2015 Gubernatorialmatchups.

The survey finds Mitt Romney leading President Obama by 22 points (59%Romney/36% Obama/5% undecided). The presidential ballot tracks very closelyto the 2008 presidential election results (58.6% McCain/39.9% Obama).

Also tested was the upcoming 2014 U.S. Senate race. The survey finds that over 50%of respondents would prefer a new candidate over current U.S. Senator MaryLandrieu. Only 32.7% of those questioned would definitely vote to reelectLouisiana’s senior Senator.

In a hypothetical matchup for the 2015 Louisiana gubernatorial contest, U.S. SenatorDavid Vitter leads a field of six potential candidates. Vitter and New Orleans MayorMitch Landrieu were the only tested candidates to receive more than ten percentsupport. Additionally in a head-to-head matchup, Vitter leads Landrieu by over 5percentage points (45.2% Vitter/39.8% Landrieu/15% Undecided).

Magellan ID#: LASTW-100112 Page 2 of 7Field Dates: 10/02-10/04/2012, MOE +/-1.9%, 2682n

Louisiana StatewideTOPLINES

MAGELLAN ID#: LASTW-100112 Sample Size = 2,682n; +/-1.9%Field Date: 10/2 - 10/4/2010

Hello, this is ________________ of a political research firm. We’re conducting a quicksurvey with people in LOUISIANA this evening and would like to ask you a fewquestions on a confidential basis

1. How likely are you to vote in the elections for President of the United States?

EXTREMELY LIKELY 94.3%

VERY LIKELY 4.0%

SOMEWHAT LIKELY 1.6%

2. Would you say things in the COUNTRY are going in the right direction orhave they gotten off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 36.9%

WRONG TRACK 63.1%

3. If the election for U.S. CONGRESS was being held today, and all you knewabout the two candidates was that one was a Republican and the other was aDemocrat, for whom would you vote?

REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE 46.5%

DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE 32.5%

UNDECIDED 21.0%


T Thinking now about the up-coming election for President of the United States...4. If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the

candidates were MITT ROMNEY, Republican, or BARACK OBAMA, Democrat?

MITT ROMNEY 58.8%

BARACK OBAMA 36.2%

UNDECIDED 4.9%

5. Did you watch last night’s Presidential debate?

YES 82.8%

NO 17.2%

6. In your opinion, which candidate do you think won the debate?

MITT ROMNEY 65.0%

BARACK OBAMA 25.5%

UNDECIDED 9.4%

T And thinking ahead to the 2015 election for Governor in Louisiana.7. If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the

candidates were DAVID VITTER, REPUBLICAN, MITCH LANDRIEUDEMOCRAT; JAY DARDENNE, REPUBLICAN; JOHN KENNEDY, REPUBLICAN;MIKE STRAIN, REPUBLICAN and JOHN GEORGES, DEMOCRAT?

DAVID VITTER 31.1%

MITCH LANDRIEU 29.4%

JAY DARDENNE 6.5%

JOHN KENNEDY 7.2%

MIKE STRAIN 3.1%

JOHN GEORGES 6.0%

UND/SOMEONE ELSE 16.7%


And still thinking ahead to the 2015 election for Governor in Louisiana.8. If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the

candidates were DAVID VITTER, REPUBLICAN and MITCH LANDRIEUDEMOCRAT?

DAVID VITTER 45.2%

MITCH LANDRIEU 39.8%

UNDECIDED 15.0%

9. When voting for a candidate for the U.S. CONGRESS, which issue position ismost important to you: Their position on fiscal issues like taxes andspending, or their position on social issues like abortion and gay marriages?

FISCAL ISSUES 66.6%

SOCIAL ISSUES 21.4%

UNDECIDED 11.9%

10. And do you approve or disapprove of the job that DAVID VITTER is doing asU.S. SENATOR?

APPROVE 59.1%

DISAPPROVE 33.2%

UNSURE/NO OPINION 7.7%

11. And do you approve or disapprove of the job that JAY DARDENNE is doing asLT. GOVERNOR?

APPROVE 40.0%

DISAPPROVE 21.3%



And changing topics for a second…12. Do you believe that Mary Landrieu has performed her job as U.S. Senator well

enough to deserve to be re-elected or do you think it is time to give a newperson a chance?

RE-ELECT 39.5%

NEW PERSON 50.8%

UNDECIDED 9.7%

DEFINITELY REELECT 32.7%

PROBABLY REELECT 6.8%

DEFINITELY NEW PERSON 42.2%

PROBABLY NEW PERSON 8.6%

13. Which of the following two options do you think is the best approach tocreating jobs and growing the economy? Reducing tax rates on businessesboth large and small, or increasing taxes on the wealthy and investing morefederal dollars in government job creation programs?

REDUCE TAX RATES 53.8%

INCREASE TAXES FORWEALTHY

36.5%



14-15. Do you consider yourself conservative, moderate or liberal on fiscal issueslike taxes and government spending?

CONSERVATIVE 55.4%

MODERATE 33.8%

LIBERAL 10.8%

VERY CONSERVATIVE 39.3%

SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE 16.1%

16-17. Do you consider yourself conservative, moderate or liberal on social issueslike same sex marriage and abortion?

CONSERVATIVE 52.8%

MODERATE 29.2%

LIBERAL 18.1%

VERY CONSERVATIVE 41.8%

SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE 11.0%

These last few questions are for statistical purposes only.18. Are you male or female?

MALE 45.0%

FEMALE 55.0%

19. Regardless of how you feel today, with which party are you registered tovote?

REPUBLICAN 34.6%

DEMOCRAT 53.4%

INDEPENDENT/OTHER 12.0%


20. And regardless of how you are registered to vote, which party bestrepresents your point of view on issues important to you?

REPUBLICAN 60.8%

DEMOCRAT 39.2%

21. Which of the following age group applies to you?

18-34 10.0%

35-44 14.0%

45-54 22.0%

55-64 24.0%

65+ 30.0%

22. For statistical purposes only, what is your race?

WHITE 70.0%

BLACK OR AFRICAN AMERICAN 25.0%

HISPANIC OR LATINO 1.1%

OTHER 3.9%

Louisiana StatewideSurvey

Survey of 2,862 likely votersconducted

October 2-4, 2012

MOE=+/-1.9%

59%

36%

5%

MITT ROMNEY BARACK OBAMA UNDECIDED

If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were MITT ROMNEY, Republican, or BARACK OBAMA,Democrat?

2012 Presidential Ballot

94%

61%

35%

62%

73%

4%

29%

59%

31%

20%

2%

10%6% 7% 7%

GOP IND DEM WHT DEM WHT IND



63%

56%

79%

8%

33%

39%

16%

88%

4% 6% 5% 4%

MALE FEMALE WHITE BLACK



70%

4%

69%65%

69% 70%

23%

92%

26%

31%27% 25%

7%4% 5% 4% 4% 5%

CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6



40%

51%

10%

REELECT NEW PERSON UND

Do you believe that Mary Landrieu has performed her job as U.S. Senator well enough to deserve to be re-elected or do you think it is time togive a new person a chance?

Mary Landrieu Reelect

14%

32%

58%

43%

27%

78%

55%

32%

47%

61%

9%12%

10% 10%12%




36%

43%

27%

72%

57%

46%

63%

18%

8%11%

10% 10%

MALE FE- MALE WHT BLK



42%

75%

27%

32% 32% 33%

49%

17%

65%

57% 56% 58%

9% 8% 8%11% 12%

10%




31%

29%6%

7%3%

6%

17%

DAVID VITTER MITCH LANDRIEU JAY DARDENNE JOHN KENNEDY MIKE STRAIN JOHN GEORGES UND/SOMEONE ELSE

If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were DAVID VITTER, REPUBLICAN, MITCH LANDRIEU DEMOCRAT;JAY DARDENNE, REPUBLICAN; JOHN KENNEDY, REPUBLICAN; MIKE STRAIN, REPUBLICAN and JOHN GEORGES, DEMOCRAT?

2015 Gubernatorial Ballot

52%

28%

19%

31%32%

5%

24%

47%

32%

18%

10%

7%

4%6%

8%10% 9%

5%7%

11%

17%

23%

15%

18%

22%




33%30%

40%

8%

26%

32%

18%

61%

7% 6%8%

2%

10%

5%

9%

3%

14%

19% 18%

11%




41%

3%

36%38% 37%

29%

26%

63%

22%

26%

22% 21%

6%

2%5%

4%6%

16%

9%

0%

9% 8% 7%9%

1%

23%

5%2% 3% 2%

14%

8%

21%18%

20%18%




45%

40%

15%

DAVID VITTER MITCH LANDRIEU UNDECIDED

If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were DAVID VITTER, REPUBLICAN and MITCH LANDRIEUDEMOCRAT?

2015 Gubernatorial Ballot

79%

44%

23%

40%

52%

7%

33%

63%

41%

28%

13%

23%

14%18% 20%




50%

41%

60%

7%

36%

43%

23%

83%

14%16% 16%

10%




56%

4%

52% 52% 53%51%

31%

86%

32% 32% 31% 31%

13%11%

16% 16% 16%19%




Documents

New Poll: Louisiana Presidential, Governor 2015, Landrieu ... · Magellan ID#: LASTW-100112 Page 4 of 7 Field Dates: 10/02-10/04/2012, MOE +/-1.9%, 2682n And still thinking ahead