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Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010 Ulrich Blahak, Axel Seifert German Weather Service, Offenbach New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

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Ulrich Blahak, Axel Seifert German Weather Service, Offenbach. New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model. Motivation. Present saturation adjustment is formulated as an isobaric process and does not conserve mass. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Ulrich Blahak, Axel Seifert

German Weather Service, Offenbach

New Saturation Adjustment for the

COSMO model

Page 2: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Motivation

Present saturation adjustment is formulated as an isobaric process and does not conserve mass.

During evaporation, mass is created and during condensation, mass is destroyed.

Because in total, there is more condensation than evaporation (due to precipitation), net sink of mass.

COSMO seems to be too dry compared to observations.

Page 3: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Saturation adjustmentx in

k g /k g

T_0, x_v0, x_c0

T_adj, x_vadj, x_cadj

Page 4: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Saturation adjustment

Solution to achieve mass conservation during the process:

Make it isochoric!

Implications: Change of thermodynamic formulation based on the first principle, adding pressure diagnosis after adjustment (→ let the model deal with the introduced pressure perturbation)

Page 5: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Isochoric saturation adjustment

Page 6: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Saturation adjustmentx in

k g /k g

T_0, x_v0, x_c0

T_adj, x_vadj, x_cadj

adiab. expansion happening in the next timestep

Page 7: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Saturation adjustment

Page 8: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Testing idealized cases

Page 9: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Testing idealized cases

Page 10: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Testing idealized cases

Page 11: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO EU June 2010

Page 12: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO EU June 2010

Page 13: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO EU June 2010

Page 14: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO EU June 2010

Page 15: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010

Page 16: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010

Page 17: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010

Page 18: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010

Page 19: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010

Page 20: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010

Page 21: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010

Page 22: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010

Page 23: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010

Page 24: New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Summary + Outlook

Isochoric saturation adjustment does conserve mass and seems to increase precipitation for both EU and DE.

Also influence on precipitation structure

Verification results so far indecisive: FBI improved, biases of T and p reduced, but other scores show no clear improvement.

Nevertheless, it will be more thoroughly tested in the framework of „65 levels for COSMO-DE“