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Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

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Page 1: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

Next Steps

Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.

Niels Bohr

Page 2: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

Challenges

The Guardian

Page 3: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

Challenges

….carbon dioxide emissions are rising. There is very little argument that this will produce rises in temperature and sea levels with mostly deleterious effects on ecosytems, food and water supplies, and human communities.…it will be neither solved nor even helped by protestors who think that it is big and clever to splatter ministers…throwing custards pies is what clowns do.

The Times 7 March

Page 4: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

Challenges

Climate change is the greatest market failure the world has ever seen…

…..need to inform, educate and persuade individuals about what they can do to respond to climate change

Nicholas Stern (The economics of climate change)

Page 5: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

Challenges

The public is torn between competing and conflicting mindsets. As citizens they want to avert climate change but, at the same time, as consumers they want to go on holiday, own a second home, a big car and the latest electronic goods. They acknowledge their collective responsibilities but guard jealously their personal rights and freedoms

The IPSOS MORI and Social Research Unit report

Page 6: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

Issues

You will find that the State is the kind of organisation which, although it does big things badly, does small things badly, too.

JK Galbraith

Page 7: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

Issues

For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled.

Richard Feynman

There is an evil tendency underlying all our technology – the tendency to do what is reasonable even when it isn’t any good.

Robert Pirsig

Page 8: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

Issues

Sustainable Development is the only thing that stands between us and an utterly miserable descent into ecological collapse, resource wars, worsening inequity and social implosion

Attr. Jonathan Porritt

Page 9: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

What should campuses do?

Human history becomes more and more a race between education and catastrophe

HG Wells

Page 10: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

What should campuses do?

An affirmative corporate social agenda moves from mitigating harm to reinforcing corporate strategy through social progress

Organisations that make the right choices and build focused, proactive and integrated social initiatives in concert with their core strategies will increasingly distance themselves from the pack

Michael Porter, HBR December 2006

Page 11: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

What should campuses do?

For myself I am an optimist – it does not seem to be much use being anything else.

Winston Churchill

Page 12: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

What should campuses do?

The future is another country – We’ll do things differently there

Apologies to LP Hartley

Page 13: Next Steps Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr

What should campuses do?

You’ve got your passion, you’ve got your pride;

But don’t you know that only fools are satisfied;

Dream On, but don’t imagine they’ll all come true

Billy Joel, Vienna