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[email protected] [email protected] Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected] [email protected] Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

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Page 1: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches

of Wild-oats

Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman

IACR-Rothamsted

Page 2: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Background:

• Important grass weed

• Patchy distribution

• Patch stability unknown

Wild-oats:

Page 3: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Experiment details

• Patch size 3x3 m

• Two sowing densities:– 10 plants/m2 and 50 plants/m2

• Ploughing, cultivations and combining in same direction each year

• +/- wild-oat herbicide in 2000

Page 4: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted
Page 5: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Experiment design

SLD

SHDLDSHD

LDSLDHD

HD

HD = high density; LD = low density; S = sprayed

arrows indicate cultivation & combining direction

N

30m

12m

3m

3m

Page 6: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Monitoring

• Panicle distribution

• Seed movement

• Patch shape

• Location of outliers

Page 7: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Panicle and seed distribution 1999

Panicles / m2

Seeds / m2

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Distance (m)

Pa

nic

les

/ m

2

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Se

ed

s /

m2

Direction of cultivation & combining

Page 8: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Panicle and seed distribution Sprayed Treatments 2000

Panicles / m2

Seeds / m2

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Distance (m)

Pa

nic

les

/ m

2

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

Se

ed

s /

m2

Direction of cultivation & combining

Page 9: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Seed distribution after harvestSprayed v Unsprayed 2000

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Distance (m)

Pe

rce

nta

ge

of

tota

l s

ee

ds

Sprayed UnsprayedDirection of cultivation & combining

Total no. seeds/m2

Sprayed: 17,860

Unsprayed: 139,410

Page 10: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Low Density Sprayed Patch

1998 (9 m2)

1999 (20.3 m2)

2000 (20.6 m2)m

harvesting &

cultivation

0 1 2 3

Page 11: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

m

1998 (9 m2)

1999 (29.5 m2)

2000 (41.0 m2)

High Density Unsprayed Patch

harvesting &

cultivation

0 1 2 3

Page 12: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

513260 513280 513300213180

213190

213200

213210

213220

213230

213240

213250

213260

213270 1999

Patch outline

Outliers

Page 13: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

513260 513280 513300 513320213180

213190

213200

213210

213220

213230

213240

213250

213260

213270

213280

2000

Patch outline

OutliersS

S

S

S

S Sprayed plots

Page 14: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Conclusions

• Majority of seeds move 1-2 m– movement due to cultivations and plants

leaning in wind

• Isolated plants occur up to 30 m away– movement by combine– may lead to future infestations / new

patches

Page 15: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Conclusions

• Wild-oats need frequent re-mapping

• Patches not stable and new patches may form from isolated plants

• Presence of outliers make decisions on patch spraying complicated

Page 16: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted
Page 17: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Limitations of manually mapping

weed patches

Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman

IACR-Rothamsted

Page 18: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Methods of manually mapping weed patches

• Visual detection (human)– mapping on a grid– ATV, tractor/sprayer, combine– walking around patches

Page 19: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted
Page 20: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Weed attributes which can be recorded

• Presence / absence

• Approximate levels (high / low)

• Weed numbers

• Weed vigour / ground cover

Page 21: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Weed attributes which can be recorded from a vehicle or using quadrats

Vehicle Quadrat

Presence/Absence

Levels (high/low) ?

Counts x

% cover x

Page 22: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Timing of visual assessments

Winter EarlySpring

Summer Harvest

Black-grass

? Y Y N

Cleavers ? Y Y ?

Wild-oats ? ? Y Y

Couchgrass

N N ? Y

Page 23: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted
Page 24: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Activities on Warren Field(winter wheat)

Crop drilled 16 Sept 99

Quadrat mapped 2 Dec 99

ATV mapped 27 Jan 00

Sprayed ‘Grasp’ 13 Mar 00

Sprayed ‘Topik’ 30 Apr 00

Tractor mapped 30 Jun 00

Page 25: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Warren Field black-grass comparison of mapping methods

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Correlation : 0.82

Quadrat threshold 20 plants/m2 (Dec 99)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Black-grass

No Black-grass

ATV (Jan 00)

Page 26: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Warren Field black-grass comparison of mapping methods

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Correlation : 0.60

Quadrat threshold 5 plants/m2 (Dec 99)

Black-grass

No Black-grass

ATV (Jan 00)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Page 27: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Warren Field black-grass comparison of mapping methods

Correlation : 0.37

Quadrat threshold 20 plants/m2 (Dec 99)

Black-grass

No Black-grass

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Tractor (June 00)

Page 28: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Warren Field black-grass comparison of mapping methods

Correlation : 0.84

Quadrat threshold 2 plants/m2 (Dec 99)

Black-grass

No Black-grass

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Tractor (June 00)

Page 29: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Warren Field wild-oats comparison of mapping methods

ATV (Jan 00)

Correlation : 0.74

Quadrat threshold 2 plants/m2 (Dec 99)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Wild-oats

No Wild-oats

Page 30: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Warren Field wild-oats comparison of mapping methods

Tractor (June 00)

Correlation : 0.58

Quadrat threshold 2 plants/m2 (Dec 99)

Wild-oats

No Wild-oats

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Page 31: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Broad Mead black-grass comparison of mapping methods

ATV (Jan 00)

Correlation : 0.70

Quadrat threshold 5 plants/m2 (Dec 99)

Black-grass

No Black-grass0 20 40 600

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0 20 40 600

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Page 32: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Black-grass distribution in Cashmore Field

Mapped from ATV Nov 99

Mapped from combine July 00

black-grass

no black-grass

508450 508500 508550 508600 508650 508700 508750

235450

235500

235550

508500 508550 508600 508650 508700 508750

235450

235500

235550

508450 508500 508550 508600 508650 508700 508750

235450

235500

235550

Mapped on foot May 00

Page 33: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Conclusions

• Limitations to manually mapping weeds

• Discrete quadrat sampling too time consuming for mapping on a whole-field scale

• Continuous visual detection from a vehicle is less accurate, & may be restricted to tramlines, but is quicker

Page 34: Nicola.Perry@bbsrc.ac.uk Peter.Lutman@bbsrc.ac.uk Spatial and Population Dynamics of Patches of Wild-oats Nicola Perry and Peter Lutman IACR-Rothamsted

[email protected]@bbsrc.ac.uk

Conclusions

• Need to make more progress with optimum visual detection in absence of automated detection