Nigerian Economy and Security

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    1. In format ion w as sourced f rom www. indexmund i . com an onl ine dat abase for GDP and po w ered by t he CIA Wo rld Fact Book

    2. SeeJohn Andrew M cNeish and Jon Harald Sand (eds), Secur i ty and Development, Berghan Books: Oslo, 2010

    3. See John Rouke, Internat io nal Relat ion s, McGraw Hi l l : New York, 2005

    1

    THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY AND SECURITY

    Background

    In America, there exists a philosophy of thought which is aptly captured as in pursuit of

    Happiness. This idea contends the belief that every American has the right to life, liberty and

    the numerous benefits of life. This thought dates back to the early days of the AmericanRevolution and was the guiding principle for their founding fathers. In Africa, a country which

    holds tenaciously to this principle of this thought is Nigeria. The average Nigerian has the hope

    that one day e go bet aNigerias idea of in pursuit of Happiness. The government and all the

    concerned agencies a trying to ensure that the dream of every Nigerian is actualized, thus living

    up to the expectation of all. How could this be achieved in the face of the current security

    challenges and threat in the country? Herein lays the argument of all Nigerians and the

    international community.

    In 1999 when the Fourth Republic was inaugurated, Nigerias economy was at a critical

    condition as she had enormous external debt as there was as less as a 0.474 % change in her

    previous GDP1. Thus the Olusegun Obasanjo administration had a lot on its hand. Since then

    the Nigerian economy has improve (according to International rating), but still yet to make the

    desired impact on her populace. With the Goodluck Jonathan administration trying its possible

    best to see there this growth in the economy has commensurate impact on Nigerian lives; the

    current trend of security challenges has been identified as a militating agent towards Nigerias

    economic development.

    Security and the Economy

    In any nation of the world, security has a large part to play in economic development. Since the

    9/11 attacks, security issues have been identified as key to development challenges and thus

    should be tackled as such. In addition to this, volumes of documents have been published on

    the nexus between security and economic development2. Unarguably, the connection between

    security and economic development is one which has not been taken for granted in most parts

    of the world. A case of point is the numerous bi-lateral security and economic agreements

    between major countries in Eastern Europe and parts of Asia (areas which have higher security

    challenges).

    According to John Rouke3, Security connections with economy could be in two folds the intra

    and inter security concerns. Within this purview, security concerns have geographic

    connotations as well as economic concerns within this same area.

    Threat to Nigerias Economic Development

    The current wave of security challenges within Nigeria has and would continue to deter every

    effort toward economic Eldorado. Today, the continuous bombing and in the North, the

    renewed activities of militants in the South and the incidence of kidnapping in the South South

    and South East have in so many way deter the economic improvement of the country. In

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    tracing the antecedent of these security concerns in Nigeria, analysts have identified under

    development and absence of social justice as key to these security issues. In the writers view

    and in-depth look into this could be true. For example, the most disturbing security concern in

    Nigeria- the Boko Haram issues- still has economic undertone to it. Little wonder the Northern

    Governors Forum advocated for better formula for sharing the national wealth, which would in

    turn assist developmental efforts in these states. Unemployment could also be identified as afactor to security challenges in Nigeria. This is so because an unemployed person can always

    offer himself to social vices as a means to demonstrate his grievance against society. According

    to the National Bureau of Statistics, the unemployment rate in Nigeria is pegged at 23.9% of

    the countrys total population. Most people (even the current writer) believe that this figure is

    grossly under estimated, as someone once said if you multiply the number of all the motorbikes

    okada- in Nigeria by five, you will get a close figure of the number of unemployed in the

    country.

    Initiatives by the Nigerian government to tackle these problems associated with unemployment

    could prove to nothing if the current waves of security challenges continue. For example thegovernments youth entrepreneur initiative (YouWin) as well as out laudable programs cannot

    be sustained in an environment where insecurity exists. Young entrepreneur who might want to

    start up key activities in these crisis areas would be easily discouraged. On a larger scale, it is a

    known fact that insecurity discourages investments.

    In the Nigerias external trade with the West African sub region, the security challenge has

    reduced significantly the volume of trade. Only recently, an entrepreneur based in the Northern

    part of Nigeria aptly captured the effects of insecurity by saying that some parts of West Africa

    were going hungry. His stance on this was fecundated by the fact that Northern Nigeria mainly

    states like Kano, Kaduna, Kastina and Jigawa- contributed to the volume of trade in the Sahel

    region of West Africa.

    Another alarming situation to this is the external investments in Nigeria. Thus, Foreign Direct

    Investments (FDIs) in Nigeria would witness a slow and steady decline if the situation

    continues. Other areas would include decline in technical support from international

    development agencies and persons, mass migration away from crisis prone areas thereby

    abandoning their means of livelihood. On the flip side, Nigerias image to the international

    community would be battered amidst the security challenges as she would find it hard to

    convince the world that the country is safe for investment. Already the monetary effects of the

    security challenge to the Nigerian economy can be seen. This was seen in the 2012 Budget as

    over nine hundred billion naira was allocated to security.

    The Future We Want

    It is not in the place of the current writer to instruct the government on its job, but as a

    Nigerian in pursuit of happiness I would say if the government cannot fulfill one of the basic

    elements of governance which is to provide security to its nationals from internal and external

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    aggression, then there is a need to review why the government exists in the first place. It is

    understandable that the government did not expect this magnitude of security challenge, but

    should we keep arms akimbo and mouth ajar while our path to economic development is

    threatened by security challenge.

    Solution to this security challenge could be in three (3) phases. The first would be to tackle the

    immediate security challenge by actively engaging community leaders and enhancedintelligence gathering within security agencies and not their usual brute force. This could

    include infiltration of the ranks of suspected groups and gathering information on their activities

    as well as monitoring the level of information release to the public (security agents should stop

    talking in press conferences and act more).

    The second phase would be to reassuring Nigerians that their dreams and aspiration to pursue

    happiness could be achieved by strengthening institutions which would promote employment

    and reduce economic hardship, while the last phase would be the promotion of social justice

    and reducing to the barest minimum corruption in Nigeria. This would go a long way to

    encourage the feeling of unity and promote brotherhood in Nigeria.

    In the end Nigerians are still hopeful that one day it will get better, but the political class should

    remember that like the Americans, everyone will not wait for happiness to come, but can do

    what it takes to achieve this.